IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.2	#115
Expected Predictive Rating	+16.5	#5

Pace	62.7	#325
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.2	#156

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.0	#89

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.7%	5.9%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.8%	1.9%	0.3%
Average Seed	10.5	10.5	11.4

.500 or above	71.6%	72.8%	43.4%
.500 or above in Conference	53.6%	54.3%	34.9%
Conference Champion	5.0%	5.1%	1.8%
Last Place in Conference	6.3%	6.0%	14.2%

First Four	1.1%	1.1%	0.3%
First Round	5.1%	5.3%	0.6%
Second Round	1.4%	1.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 96.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	1 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 4	3 - 7
Quad 3	7 - 5	10 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 2	18 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	112	Bradley	W	69-63	48%	1 - 0			+9.6	+2.5	+7.4
Nov 08, 2025	351	Canisius	W	75-57	96%
Nov 12, 2025	185	Siena	W	70-62	77%
Nov 15, 2025	181	Youngstown St.	W	72-64	76%
Nov 20, 2025	216	Robert Morris	W	71-62	79%
Nov 25, 2025	23	North Carolina	L	65-76	15%
Nov 27, 2025	154	East Carolina	W	67-64	62%
Nov 30, 2025	130	@ Florida Atlantic	L	68-69	45%
Dec 06, 2025	321	@ Buffalo	W	75-66	79%
Dec 10, 2025	201	Colgate	W	71-62	77%
Dec 13, 2025	150	Ohio	W	73-70	61%
Dec 20, 2025	350	Le Moyne	W	79-61	94%
Dec 31, 2025	57	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	62-71	21%
Jan 07, 2026	129	Richmond	W	66-62	64%
Jan 10, 2026	170	Fordham	W	74-67	72%
Jan 14, 2026	116	@ Saint Joseph's	L	66-69	40%
Jan 17, 2026	193	@ La Salle	W	69-67	58%
Jan 20, 2026	108	Loyola Chicago	W	68-66	58%
Jan 23, 2026	70	Saint Louis	L	67-69	46%
Jan 28, 2026	110	@ Duquesne	L	62-66	38%
Jan 31, 2026	89	George Mason	W	63-62	51%
Feb 03, 2026	59	@ Dayton	L	61-70	22%
Feb 07, 2026	170	@ Fordham	W	71-70	53%
Feb 14, 2026	110	Duquesne	W	65-63	58%
Feb 18, 2026	116	Saint Joseph's	W	69-66	60%
Feb 21, 2026	129	@ Richmond	L	63-65	45%
Feb 25, 2026	128	Rhode Island	W	72-68	64%
Feb 28, 2026	89	@ George Mason	L	60-65	32%
Mar 04, 2026	79	@ George Washington	L	63-70	29%
Mar 07, 2026	140	Davidson	W	68-63	67%
Projected Record						17 - 13	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.4	1.4	0.9	0.4	0.1		5.0	1st
2nd												0.2	1.3	2.3	1.8	0.6	0.1	0.0			6.3	2nd
3rd											0.2	1.7	3.1	2.1	0.4	0.0					7.5	3rd
4th										0.1	1.4	3.9	2.2	0.5	0.0						8.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	3.9	3.1	0.6	0.0							8.3	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	3.4	4.1	1.0	0.1								8.9	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	2.1	4.7	1.6	0.1									8.6	7th
8th							0.1	1.2	4.5	2.8	0.2										8.7	8th
9th						0.0	0.6	3.6	3.4	0.5	0.0										8.2	9th
10th						0.4	2.4	3.9	1.1	0.0											7.8	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	1.9	3.7	1.5	0.1												7.4	11th
12th			0.0	0.2	1.4	2.9	1.8	0.3	0.0												6.6	12th
13th		0.0	0.3	1.3	2.1	1.3	0.3														5.3	13th
14th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.1	0.7	0.2															3.4	14th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.3	2.6	4.4	6.7	8.8	10.6	11.6	12.3	11.3	10.0	7.3	5.6	3.6	2.1	1.0	0.4	0.1			Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	98.6%	0.4		0.4	0.0
16-2	92.8%	0.9		0.7	0.2	0.0
15-3	67.8%	1.4		0.8	0.5	0.0	0.0
14-4	38.4%	1.4		0.5	0.6	0.3	0.0
13-5	12.7%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.0%	5.0		2.7	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.4%		69.9%	41.1%	28.8%	7.3			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		48.8%
16-2	1.0%		63.1%	28.2%	34.9%	8.9						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1						0.4		48.6%
15-3	2.1%		41.2%	19.9%	21.3%	10.3							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.0					1.2		26.6%
14-4	3.6%		26.1%	15.3%	10.8%	10.5								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.0					2.7		12.8%
13-5	5.6%		17.0%	12.2%	4.8%	10.9									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	0.1	0.0				4.7		5.5%
12-6	7.3%		9.5%	8.0%	1.4%	11.0										0.0	0.1	0.5	0.1					6.6		1.6%
11-7	10.0%		6.4%	6.1%	0.3%	11.5											0.0	0.3	0.3	0.0				9.3		0.3%
10-8	11.3%		3.2%	3.1%	0.0%	11.6											0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0			10.9		0.0%
9-9	12.3%		1.4%	1.4%		12.3												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			12.1
8-10	11.6%		0.7%	0.7%		12.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.5
7-11	10.6%		0.3%	0.3%		12.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			10.6
6-12	8.8%		0.1%	0.1%		13.0														0.0				8.8
5-13	6.7%		0.1%	0.1%		14.0															0.0			6.7
4-14	4.4%																							4.4
3-15	2.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.6
2-16	1.3%																							1.3
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.7%	3.9%	1.7%	10.5			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.9	2.8	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	94.3		1.8%