IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Texas San Antonio
American Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.9	#167
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.1	#55
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.8	#139

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.7	#225

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.0%	2.3%	1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.1	11.8	12.9

.500 or above	30.2%	36.3%	13.7%
.500 or above in Conference	25.7%	29.4%	15.8%
Conference Champion	0.8%	1.0%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	20.3%	17.0%	29.3%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	1.9%	2.3%	1.0%
Second Round	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Home) - 73.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 3	4 - 6	6 - 13
Quad 4	5 - 2	11 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2025	240	SIU Edwardsville	W	74-68	73%
Nov 12, 2025	193	@ Texas St.	L	72-74	43%
Nov 15, 2025	321	@ Denver	W	77-71	69%
Nov 23, 2025	175	Abilene Christian	W	75-74	51%
Nov 25, 2025	249	Georgia Southern	W	80-76	63%
Dec 07, 2025	18	@ Alabama	L	76-97	4%
Dec 13, 2025	82	@ Colorado	L	68-79	18%
Dec 17, 2025	29	@ USC	L	68-86	6%
Dec 22, 2025	121	Seattle	L	70-71	49%
Jan 03, 2026	132	@ Temple	L	75-81	32%
Jan 07, 2026	185	Charlotte	W	74-70	63%
Jan 10, 2026	116	Tulane	L	75-76	46%
Jan 14, 2026	165	Rice	W	75-72	59%
Jan 18, 2026	53	@ Memphis	L	72-86	12%
Jan 21, 2026	89	@ North Texas	L	60-70	21%
Jan 24, 2026	132	Temple	W	78-77	52%
Jan 28, 2026	102	UAB	L	77-80	41%
Feb 04, 2026	106	@ South Florida	L	72-80	25%
Feb 07, 2026	89	North Texas	L	63-67	38%
Feb 11, 2026	158	@ East Carolina	L	71-75	38%
Feb 15, 2026	185	@ Charlotte	L	71-73	43%
Feb 22, 2026	149	@ Tulsa	L	72-76	36%
Feb 25, 2026	158	East Carolina	W	74-72	58%
Mar 01, 2026	122	Wichita St.	L	76-77	49%
Mar 08, 2026	165	@ Rice	L	72-75	40%
Projected Record						10 - 15	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0				2.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	1.5	1.2	0.4	0.0						3.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	1.9	1.9	0.5	0.0							4.8	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.2	2.8	0.8	0.0								6.1	5th
6th								0.1	1.8	3.6	1.5	0.1	0.0								7.1	6th
7th							0.0	1.3	4.2	2.3	0.2										8.0	7th
8th						0.0	0.7	3.9	3.7	0.5	0.0										8.9	8th
9th					0.0	0.5	3.5	4.7	1.3	0.0											10.1	9th
10th				0.0	0.6	3.0	5.2	2.1	0.1												11.0	10th
11th			0.0	0.7	2.9	5.1	2.5	0.3													11.5	11th
12th		0.1	1.1	3.5	4.9	2.7	0.5	0.0													12.7	12th
13th	0.7	2.3	4.2	3.6	1.8	0.4	0.0														13.1	13th

Total	0.7	2.5	5.3	7.8	10.2	11.7	12.5	12.3	11.2	9.1	6.9	4.8	2.7	1.6	0.5	0.2	0.0					Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	85.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	70.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	49.6%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	16.5%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	5.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%		71.2%	56.9%	14.2%	8.2						0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0						0.0		33.1%
15-3	0.2%		53.2%	36.2%	16.9%	9.8						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		26.5%
14-4	0.5%		26.1%	22.8%	3.3%	10.9										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.4		4.2%
13-5	1.6%		15.9%	15.4%	0.5%	11.1											0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.3		0.6%
12-6	2.7%		13.4%	13.1%	0.3%	11.6											0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			2.3		0.4%
11-7	4.8%		6.9%	6.9%		11.9												0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			4.4
10-8	6.9%		4.6%	4.6%		12.2												0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			6.6
9-9	9.1%		1.8%	1.8%		12.5												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		8.9
8-10	11.2%		1.2%	1.2%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.1
7-11	12.3%		0.7%	0.7%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.2
6-12	12.5%		0.3%	0.3%		14.9															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.5
5-13	11.7%		0.2%	0.2%		21.0																0.0	0.0	11.7
4-14	10.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.2
3-15	7.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.8
2-16	5.3%																							5.3
1-17	2.5%																							2.5
0-18	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		2.0%	1.9%	0.1%	12.1						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1	98.0		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%