Preseason Rankings
Towson
Colonial Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#131
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.9#348
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#146
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#129
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.4% 19.7% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.7 13.5
.500 or above 78.6% 82.5% 57.3%
.500 or above in Conference 85.6% 87.6% 75.2%
Conference Champion 26.4% 28.4% 15.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.5% 1.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.5%
First Round18.4% 19.6% 11.5%
Second Round2.3% 2.5% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Neutral) - 84.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 412 - 317 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 317   Loyola Maryland W 71-60 84%    
  Nov 08, 2025 1   @ Houston L 47-73 1%    
  Nov 14, 2025 251   Norfolk St. W 71-61 81%    
  Nov 18, 2025 129   @ James Madison L 64-67 39%    
  Dec 03, 2025 160   Cornell W 76-71 68%    
  Dec 07, 2025 74   @ Central Florida L 67-76 22%    
  Dec 16, 2025 13   @ Kansas L 58-77 5%    
  Dec 22, 2025 254   Sacred Heart W 76-66 80%    
  Dec 29, 2025 229   @ William & Mary W 74-71 59%    
  Dec 31, 2025 236   @ Hampton W 66-63 61%    
  Jan 03, 2026 211   Monmouth W 71-63 75%    
  Jan 08, 2026 178   Hofstra W 64-58 70%    
  Jan 10, 2026 226   @ Northeastern W 67-65 59%    
  Jan 15, 2026 123   College of Charleston W 72-69 59%    
  Jan 17, 2026 227   Drexel W 65-56 76%    
  Jan 22, 2026 228   @ Elon W 66-63 58%    
  Jan 24, 2026 351   @ N.C. A&T W 74-63 82%    
  Jan 29, 2026 118   UNC Wilmington W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 31, 2026 236   Hampton W 69-60 78%    
  Feb 07, 2026 178   @ Hofstra W 61-60 51%    
  Feb 12, 2026 288   Stony Brook W 71-59 84%    
  Feb 14, 2026 211   @ Monmouth W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 21, 2026 227   @ Drexel W 62-59 58%    
  Feb 26, 2026 228   Elon W 69-60 76%    
  Feb 28, 2026 203   Campbell W 68-61 73%    
  Mar 03, 2026 288   @ Stony Brook W 68-62 69%    
Projected Record 16 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.6 7.0 6.9 4.2 1.4 26.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.7 5.7 2.8 0.8 0.1 18.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.3 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.6 3.0 0.6 0.1 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 3.8 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.4 0.7 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 2.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 4.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.1 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.8 5.7 7.2 9.1 10.5 11.8 12.1 11.5 9.9 7.6 4.3 1.4 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.4    1.4
17-1 98.6% 4.2    4.0 0.2
16-2 89.9% 6.9    5.6 1.2 0.0
15-3 70.5% 7.0    4.4 2.3 0.3 0.0
14-4 39.8% 4.6    1.8 2.1 0.7 0.1
13-5 15.6% 1.9    0.5 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 26.4% 26.4 17.7 6.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.4% 54.2% 53.4% 0.8% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.8%
17-1 4.3% 49.6% 49.2% 0.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.2 0.9%
16-2 7.6% 40.9% 40.8% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.5 0.2%
15-3 9.9% 32.8% 32.8% 12.5 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.7
14-4 11.5% 26.3% 26.3% 12.9 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.1 8.5
13-5 12.1% 20.0% 20.0% 13.3 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 9.7
12-6 11.8% 14.2% 14.2% 13.9 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 10.1
11-7 10.5% 8.6% 8.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 9.6
10-8 9.1% 6.7% 6.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 8.5
9-9 7.2% 3.6% 3.6% 16.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.9
8-10 5.7% 2.1% 2.1% 17.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.6
7-11 3.8% 1.1% 1.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 3.7
6-12 2.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.3
5-13 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.3
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 18.4% 18.4% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.4 5.5 5.3 3.1 1.4 0.4 81.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 4.0 100.0