Air Force
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#323
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#285
Pace62.8#336
Improvement+1.9#49

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#333
First Shot-3.6#281
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#322
Layup/Dunks+0.0#177
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#218
Freethrows-1.0#246
Improvement+0.4#139

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#252
First Shot-1.9#240
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#226
Layups/Dunks-0.3#189
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#285
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#234
Freethrows+1.0#119
Improvement+1.4#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.7 n/a
.500 or above 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 78.5% 74.7% 81.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Neutral) - 43.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 80 - 10
Quad 32 - 112 - 21
Quad 44 - 47 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 94 @Belmont L 63-79 6%     0 - 1 -7.4 -1.1 -7.1
  Sat, Nov 8 165 Austin Peay L 54-74 32%     0 - 2 -23.8 -19.2 -4.1
  Tue, Nov 11 232 LIU Brooklyn L 72-76 44%     0 - 3 -11.2 -2.3 -8.9
  Sat, Nov 15 121 Miami (OH) L 61-76 21%     0 - 4 -15.2 -10.0 -5.8
  Wed, Nov 19 266 Alabama St. W 66-64 50%     1 - 4 -6.6 -8.6 +2.1
  Fri, Nov 21 204 SIU Edwardsville W 77-63 39%     2 - 4 +8.1 +5.4 +3.0
  Sun, Nov 23 355 IU Indianapolis W 98-85 76%     3 - 4 -3.0 +4.2 -8.7
  Wed, Nov 26 145 Northern Colorado L 53-71 29%     3 - 5 -20.7 -13.8 -9.5
  Sat, Nov 29 286 South Dakota L 74-76 43%    
  Wed, Dec 3 144 Pacific L 64-70 28%    
  Sun, Dec 7 159 @Navy L 61-72 15%    
  Wed, Dec 17 57 @San Diego St. L 58-79 2%    
  Tue, Dec 30 117 Wyoming L 64-73 21%    
  Sat, Jan 3 129 @UNLV L 67-81 10%    
  Tue, Jan 6 35 Utah St. L 61-79 5%    
  Sat, Jan 10 101 New Mexico L 67-77 17%    
  Tue, Jan 13 187 @San Jose St. L 61-71 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 122 Nevada L 64-72 23%    
  Tue, Jan 20 87 @Colorado St. L 59-77 5%    
  Sat, Jan 24 61 @Boise St. L 54-75 3%    
  Sat, Jan 31 153 Fresno St. L 67-72 31%    
  Tue, Feb 3 98 @Grand Canyon L 59-76 6%    
  Sat, Feb 7 57 San Diego St. L 61-76 9%    
  Tue, Feb 10 87 Colorado St. L 62-74 14%    
  Sat, Feb 14 153 @Fresno St. L 64-75 15%    
  Tue, Feb 17 101 @New Mexico L 64-80 7%    
  Sat, Feb 21 129 UNLV L 70-78 24%    
  Tue, Feb 24 187 San Jose St. L 64-68 36%    
  Sat, Feb 28 117 @Wyoming L 61-76 10%    
  Tue, Mar 3 98 Grand Canyon L 62-73 17%    
  Sat, Mar 7 122 @Nevada L 61-75 10%    
Projected Record 7 - 24 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 3.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.7 2.3 0.6 0.1 7.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 5.0 7.0 4.3 1.2 0.1 19.5 11th
12th 9.1 17.3 19.4 14.1 6.4 1.3 0.1 0.0 67.8 12th
Total 9.1 17.4 21.2 19.2 14.6 8.7 5.1 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 0.3% 1.3% 1.3% 14.0 0.0 0.2
9-11 0.6% 0.6
8-12 1.2% 1.2
7-13 2.5% 2.5
6-14 5.1% 5.1
5-15 8.7% 8.7
4-16 14.6% 14.6
3-17 19.2% 19.2
2-18 21.2% 21.2
1-19 17.4% 17.4
0-20 9.1% 9.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.2%