Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -5.4 258
Results Rating -7.9 290
Consistency 0.15 181
Pace 60.4 355
Improvement +3.9 44

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 124 B D+ D+ D+ C+
Defense D- 348 D- C F C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 279 C 59% 146 -1.5 236
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 299 B- 41% 69 -1.1 239
Three Pointers 48% 39 A- 39% 19 +7.2 17
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 146 B +4.1 59
1st FG Attempt B 1.11 58
Second Chance D 26.2% 299 C 1.02 188 D+ 0.27 276
Opponents' Steals D- 11.2% 321
Other Turnovers C+ 6.9% 135
Turnovers D+ 18.1% 274
Freethrows D+ 0.28 257 C- 71% 216 D+ 0.20 257
Total Offense C+ +1.6 124

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 167 D+ 13.1% 304
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 32% 80 D 7.8% 325
Three Pointers D+ 80% 276 D+ 1.3% 282
Total B- 59% 105 D+ 6.5% 282

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 142 C+ 57% 139 +0.2 193
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 182 F 48% 362 +1.9 321
Three Pointers 40% 218 F 40% 364 +3.1 319
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.1 190 D- +4.9 345
1st FG Attempt D- 1.12 332
Second Chance C 30.6% 190 C- 1.05 213 C 0.32 213
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.6% 349
Other Turnovers D- 5.8% 347
Turnovers F 12.4% 359
Freethrows B- 0.28 107 C- 73% 254 C+ 0.21 122
Total Defense D- -7.0 348

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 59 C 10.8% 177
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 51 F+ 0.8% 357
Three Pointers C+ 82% 134 C- 0.7% 199
Total B- 51% 83 C- 4.8% 241

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.3 345 17.4 200
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 358 0.15 101
Consistency 0.17 364 0.13 261
Improvement +0.9 141 +3.0 43

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 273 257 235
Results Rating Rank 309 285 260
Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9 10 - 8
Conference Finish 5 5 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 10% 8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4% 10% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four8% 8% 8%
First Round5% 6% 5%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: American (Away) - 37.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 413 - 1014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 288 @Northeastern W 76 - 75 OT 47% -2  31% 1 - 0 C- -4 D- -8 D- C- F B +4 A- C+ C
 Fri, Nov 7 65 @Northwestern L 52 - 76 6% -18  0% 1 - 1 D- -12 F -10 C+ F F D -6 F+ B+ F+
 Wed, Nov 12 277 Brown W 90 - 77 66% +14  99% 2 - 1 C+ +3 A+ +22 A+ A+ D F -18 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 15 172 Merrimack L 79 - 91 44% -10  1% 2 - 2 F+ -16 A- +10 A+ C- B+ F -27 F F B-
 Tue, Nov 18 188 @Columbia L 49 - 54 27% -12  0% 2 - 3 C- -4 F -18 F F+ A A+ +13 B A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 22 149 Harvard W 75 - 74 29% -2  16% 3 - 3 C +2 B+ +8 A+ C F D- -7 F D C-
 Tue, Nov 25 117 @Penn St. L 87 - 96 14% -12  3% 3 - 4 C- -3 A+ +21 A+ B- A F -25 F F F
 Sat, Nov 29 191 @Northern Kentucky L 65 - 74 27% +2  73% 3 - 5 D+ -8 C- -1 B+ D+ F F+ -8 A F C
 Sat, Dec 6 346 @New Hampshire L 82 - 88 OT 67% +6  61% 3 - 6 F+ -16 D+ -3 D- B+ D F -13 F C- F
 Wed, Dec 10 340 Maine L 59 - 69 82% -7  0% 3 - 7 F -25 F -12 F B- F F -14 F A- B
 Sat, Dec 13 256 @Dartmouth L 64 - 77 37% -9  4% 3 - 8 F+ -15 D- -8 D- D D- F+ -8 F+ B+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 306 Umass Lowell W 88 - 76 73% +9  97% 4 - 8 C +0 A +13 A+ A+ F+ F -12 F D D-
 Wed, Dec 31 146 @Navy L 77 - 82 19% -5  7% 4 - 9 0 - 1 C -1 B+ +9 B+ D- A+ F -10 F B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 251 American L 62 - 64 60% -5  19% 4 - 10 0 - 2 D -10 D -5 F B- A D -5 D- A D-
 Wed, Jan 7 323 @Lafayette W 83 - 67 58% +10  97% 5 - 10 1 - 2 B +9 A- +10 A D+ C+ C -1 C- A F
 Sat, Jan 10 341 Army W 100 - 91 82% +8  88% 6 - 10 2 - 2 D+ -6 A+ +19 A+ D+ D+ F -24 F F+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 295 Lehigh L 91 - 93 OT 71% -6  6% 6 - 11 2 - 3 D- -13 C+ +2 A- F B- F -15 D C F
 Sat, Jan 17 319 @Loyola Maryland L 57 - 74 57% -1  50% 6 - 12 2 - 4 F -24 F -23 F F F C -1 B- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 323 Lafayette W 77 - 73 OT 78% -2  27% 7 - 12 3 - 4 D -9 D -6 B- D- F D+ -4 C- A F
 Sat, Jan 24 250 @Colgate L 79 - 80 OT 37% +3  80% 7 - 13 3 - 5 C- -3 C- -1 A- F D- C- -2 D F B+
 Wed, Jan 28 146 Navy L 50 - 58 37% +2  64% 7 - 14 3 - 6 D -10 F -12 D C- F C -1 F+ A C+
 Sat, Jan 31 334 @Bucknell L 97 - 103 2OT 62% -3  22% 7 - 15 3 - 7 F+ -15 A- +11 D+ B- A+ F -25 F F F
 Mon, Feb 2 327 @Holy Cross W 72 - 64 58% +3  85% 8 - 15 4 - 7 C +0 B +7 A+ F B- D -5 C+ F F
 Sat, Feb 7 319 Loyola Maryland W 78 - 69 77% +6  85% 9 - 15 5 - 7 C- -4 D -4 B C- F C+ +0 D- A+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 341 @Army W 85 - 68 64% +10  92% 10 - 15 6 - 7 B- +8 A+ +15 A+ F C D+ -5 B F F
 Sat, Feb 14 334 Bucknell W 82 - 69 81% +10  93% 11 - 15 7 - 7 C -2 B +7 A- C- D D- -8 F B+ F
 Mon, Feb 16 250 Colgate W 85 - 58 60% +14  99% 12 - 15 8 - 7 A +19 A+ +24 A A+ B C+ +1 A+ F F
 Sun, Feb 22 295 @Lehigh L 67 - 70 48% +3  72% 12 - 16 8 - 8 D+ -8 C+ +3 B+ F+ B F -11 F B D+
 Wed, Feb 25 327 Holy Cross W 78 - 63 78% +8  97% 13 - 16 9 - 8 C +1 C+ +3 B+ B- C- C -1 C- A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 28 251 @American L 71 - 74 37%
Totals 13 - 17 9 - 9 -5 C+ +2 F B C+ D- -7 A- C- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C B- A- B 35% 27% 48% C+ B D C D+ D+ D+ C- D+ D- C+ F F D- 40% 20% 40% C- D- C C- C F B- C- C+
1.11 59% 41% 39% +4 0 1.11 26% 1.0 .27 18% .28 71% .20 1.19 57% 48% 40% +5 0 1.12 31% 1.0 .32 12% .28 73% .21
Nov
3		 Northeastern D- B+ A+ F D- 38% 14% 48% C D- C D+ C- F C D+ C- B B+ C A+ A 54% 15% 31% F+ A- D A C+ C F C- F
1.02 68% 57% 25% 0 +1 1.04 31% 0.9 .29 21% .34 70% .24 1.01 52% 38% 24% -8 +2 0.89 30% 0.9 .27 17% .42 69% .29
Nov
7		 Northwestern F D F A+ B- 30% 30% 40% D- C+ B+ F F F F C F D F F+ C- F 35% 33% 33% A F+ D A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ A+
0.86 50% 14% 47% -1 -2 0.96 38% 0.1 .05 23% .15 71% .11 1.26 78% 47% 35% +10 -2 1.19 33% 0.9 .30 8% .24 54% .13
Nov
12		 Brown A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 36% 13% 51% B- A+ A A+ A+ D B A+ A+ F F A+ C- F 31% 19% 50% B D- C- F F F F F F
1.41 75% 33% 48% +16 +1 1.36 41% 1.8 .73 20% .37 89% .33 1.20 73% 22% 33% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.6 .45 14% .42 83% .35
Nov
15		 Merrimack A- A B A+ A+ 27% 20% 53% D+ A+ F A+ C- B+ C+ F D+ F D+ A+ F F 33% 13% 53% B- F F C F B- B+ F C+
1.23 67% 44% 42% +10 -1 1.20 25% 1.6 .41 16% .35 63% .22 1.41 60% 17% 67% +24 +1 1.51 35% 1.0 .35 17% .30 88% .26
Nov
18		 Columbia F F F F F 59% 8% 33% A+ F D F F+ A C- D- D+ A+ A F B- A- 51% 7% 42% F B A A+ A+ C+ A F B+
0.82 47% 0% 12% -21 +3 0.67 25% 0.7 .18 8% .29 69% .20 0.91 45% 67% 33% -5 +3 0.98 27% 0.7 .18 22% .19 78% .15
Nov
22		 Harvard B+ A A+ A+ A+ 38% 16% 47% C A+ F A+ C F F F F D- F B D F 40% 18% 42% C- F A+ F D C- A B- A
1.17 71% 71% 52% +23 +1 1.49 18% 1.7 .29 23% .16 50% .08 1.16 80% 33% 38% +11 0 1.24 17% 1.8 .30 17% .17 78% .13
Nov
25		 Penn St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 13% 65% C- A+ D A+ B- A C+ F+ C F C- F F F 48% 16% 36% D F D F F F F B+ F
1.37 82% 67% 45% +20 0 1.42 25% 1.7 .42 14% .24 69% .16 1.51 62% 71% 44% +12 +1 1.30 33% 1.4 .47 5% .66 70% .46
Nov
29		 Northern Kentucky C- A+ D+ B+ A 37% 29% 34% F+ B+ D C+ D+ F A- B A F+ B- A+ A A 29% 20% 51% A- A F F F C F F F
1.04 79% 36% 38% +9 -1 1.18 29% 1.2 .33 26% .41 74% .30 1.19 54% 22% 26% -10 -1 0.80 50% 1.4 .69 18% .47 83% .39
Dec
6		 New Hampshire D+ F F A+ F+ 44% 13% 44% B D- D- A+ B+ D A+ F C- F D+ F D+ F 60% 5% 35% F F F B+ C- F F A+ D-
1.07 38% 29% 42% -5 +1 0.95 23% 1.7 .40 17% .42 56% .24 1.15 59% 67% 35% +2 +4 1.14 33% 0.8 .25 13% .43 52% .22
Dec
10		 Maine F F A+ F F 27% 4% 69% B F B+ C- B- F B- F C- F D+ F F F 43% 29% 29% B- F F+ A+ A- B C+ F D-
0.95 42% 50% 23% -16 +1 0.73 44% 1.0 .44 24% .34 63% .21 1.11 61% 50% 58% +15 -1 1.31 24% 0.4 .10 22% .31 80% .25
Dec
13		 Dartmouth D- F+ D D F+ 35% 12% 53% C+ D- B+ F D D- B- F C- F+ C B+ F F 29% 15% 56% C F+ D+ A+ B+ F F C F
0.97 50% 33% 30% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.7 .23 15% .31 59% .18 1.17 57% 29% 44% +7 0 1.17 26% 0.8 .19 14% .46 73% .34
Dec
21		 Umass Lowell A A+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 20% 33% C A+ C- A+ A+ F+ A+ D A- F D+ F D- F 47% 19% 34% D+ F B- F D D- F A+ C
1.35 76% 67% 47% +21 +1 1.44 30% 1.8 .55 17% .37 70% .26 1.16 59% 67% 38% +8 +1 1.19 30% 1.3 .37 17% .39 52% .20
Dec
31		 Navy B+ C A+ C- A 27% 34% 39% F+ B+ F A+ D- A+ D- A D+ F D D- F F 30% 20% 50% C F C+ A+ B+ F F C F
1.14 60% 58% 32% +6 -3 1.09 13% 1.5 .19 12% .20 83% .17 1.22 62% 44% 45% +11 -1 1.23 29% 0.8 .24 13% .51 73% .38
Jan
3		 American D C- F C- F 27% 18% 55% D+ F D+ A+ B- A D C- D D A F F F 39% 20% 41% B- D- A+ A A D- B- F C
1.05 58% 0% 33% -7 0 0.86 29% 1.3 .37 14% .33 71% .24 1.09 44% 67% 42% +5 0 1.13 14% 0.8 .11 14% .24 83% .20
Jan
7		 Lafayette A- D A+ A+ A+ 38% 29% 33% D+ A C- D D+ C+ C- C C- C D F A+ C- 52% 16% 32% D C- A A A F C+ A+ A-
1.26 55% 53% 53% +13 -1 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 14% .26 73% .19 1.02 62% 56% 17% -3 +2 0.98 18% 0.7 .13 8% .26 50% .13
Jan
10		 Army A+ B A+ A+ A+ 44% 8% 48% A- A+ F A+ D+ D+ C+ A B F B F F F 31% 16% 53% B+ F C- F F+ F C F D
1.46 67% 50% 65% +27 +2 1.60 22% 1.5 .33 16% .36 81% .30 1.33 50% 44% 45% +7 0 1.17 31% 1.2 .36 10% .24 87% .21
Jan
14		 Lehigh C+ C A+ A- B+ 58% 16% 26% A A- F F F B- A A A+ F A- F F D- 35% 27% 38% C+ D A+ F C F D- F F
1.18 58% 67% 40% +7 +2 1.19 18% 0.7 .12 14% .39 81% .32 1.21 48% 50% 43% +5 -1 1.10 9% 2.3 .21 8% .32 87% .28
Jan
17		 Loyola Maryland F F F F F 33% 14% 53% C+ F F F F F C+ A+ A- C C+ F+ A+ B 42% 13% 45% C- B- C+ F F F F+ A D+
0.81 44% 29% 23% -15 0 0.73 22% 0.8 .17 23% .31 88% .28 1.05 55% 43% 25% -7 +1 0.91 26% 1.9 .49 11% .34 62% .21
Jan
21		 Lafayette D C+ A+ C+ C 44% 8% 48% A B- F C+ D- F C F D D+ C A C C- 44% 13% 44% D+ C- C- A+ A F A+ F A+
1.08 61% 50% 36% +4 +2 1.13 22% 1.1 .25 20% .28 63% .17 1.02 56% 25% 33% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.5 .12 11% .14 78% .11
Jan
24		 Colgate C- A- A+ F A- 46% 15% 40% B A- F F F D- A+ B- A+ C- A D+ F D- 41% 30% 30% C+ D F C- F B+ A- A+ A
1.09 68% 86% 26% +7 +1 1.19 18% 0.6 .11 18% .45 74% .33 1.10 45% 44% 56% +6 -1 1.13 36% 1.0 .36 19% .20 58% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Navy F F C+ D F+ 44% 13% 44% A D B+ F C- F D F D- C C+ F C F 44% 22% 33% D F+ B A+ A C+ A+ F A+
0.89 47% 40% 29% -8 +1 0.90 36% 0.8 .27 25% .21 67% .14 1.03 55% 70% 33% +5 0 1.13 27% 0.7 .19 20% .04 100% .04
Jan
31		 Bucknell A- B- F D+ D 37% 17% 46% B- D+ D+ A+ B- A+ A A A+ F A F F F 39% 24% 37% B F D+ F F F F F F
1.26 64% 30% 33% 0 0 1.03 30% 1.3 .40 9% .42 83% .34 1.34 43% 62% 55% +11 0 1.24 28% 1.3 .38 10% .48 85% .41
Feb
2		 Holy Cross B A+ F+ A+ A+ 29% 36% 36% F A+ F F+ F B- A+ F B D A+ D- F B- 38% 29% 33% C- C+ D- F F F A+ C+ A+
1.24 75% 33% 60% +17 -3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 12% .43 55% .23 1.10 35% 47% 41% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.2 .31 5% .15 75% .11
Feb
7		 Loyola Maryland D F A+ A+ B 30% 9% 62% B B B F C- F B+ B A- C+ F A A+ D- 37% 7% 56% D D- A+ A+ A+ F A- A+ A
1.12 50% 75% 41% +8 +1 1.19 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 78% .27 0.99 86% 25% 25% +2 +2 1.09 12% 0.0 .00 11% .19 58% .11
Feb
11		 Army A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 19% 40% C A+ F F F C A+ C- A+ D+ A+ F B B+ 27% 6% 67% C B B- F F F D D D
1.36 82% 75% 47% +25 0 1.52 15% 0.7 .10 14% .49 73% .36 1.09 23% 100% 30% -9 +1 0.86 27% 1.5 .41 11% .29 75% .22
Feb
14		 Bucknell B C- F A+ A 28% 16% 56% C A- A+ F C- D A+ A+ A+ D- C+ F D+ F 45% 11% 43% F+ F A D B+ F A+ A+ A+
1.26 58% 29% 50% +12 0 1.26 48% 0.7 .33 20% .44 91% .40 1.06 54% 50% 35% 0 +2 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 12% .17 60% .10
Feb
16		 Colgate A+ F+ F A+ A 33% 14% 53% C A A- A+ A+ B F F F C+ A+ B F A+ 34% 30% 36% B A+ D- F F F A- F B-
1.48 50% 14% 54% +10 0 1.22 39% 1.8 .71 12% .16 63% .10 1.01 19% 36% 41% -10 -1 0.79 31% 1.2 .36 10% .20 90% .18
Feb
22		 Lehigh C+ B B- B+ B+ 45% 18% 37% B- B+ F+ D- F+ B F A- F F C+ D- F F 44% 20% 36% F+ F F A+ B D+ C F D-
1.14 64% 44% 39% +6 +1 1.16 26% 0.9 .22 14% .10 80% .08 1.19 55% 44% 50% +8 +1 1.20 31% 0.5 .15 17% .27 92% .25
Feb
25		 Holy Cross C+ A+ A+ D- B+ 42% 17% 42% C+ B+ F+ A+ B- C- B- A B+ C A+ F C- D+ 25% 31% 44% B C- C A+ A+ F+ B+ C+ B+
1.23 75% 63% 30% +9 +1 1.21 22% 1.8 .39 14% .29 81% .24 0.99 15% 75% 35% +1 -2 1.00 20% 0.3 .06 13% .22 75% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 9.3 9.3 3rd
4th 27.7 27.7 4th
5th 63.0 63.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 63.0 37.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 37.0% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.1 3.6 33.4
9-9 63.0% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.0 5.2 57.7
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 16.0 91.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.7% 100.0% 16.0 2.0 98.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 13.1%
Lose Out 33.5%