Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#227
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#188
Pace60.4#360
Improvement-0.1#182

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#122
First Shot+5.2#48
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#346
Layup/Dunks-0.9#216
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#18
Freethrows-1.5#272
Improvement+1.1#75

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#346
First Shot-5.9#342
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#183
Layups/Dunks-1.7#249
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#233
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#302
Freethrows-0.2#203
Improvement-1.2#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.1% 17.5% 12.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 71.4% 84.9% 64.7%
.500 or above in Conference 78.5% 84.1% 75.7%
Conference Champion 16.5% 20.4% 14.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 1.6% 3.1%
First Four3.3% 2.5% 3.7%
First Round12.3% 16.2% 10.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Away) - 33.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 415 - 818 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 200 @Northeastern W 76-75 OT 33%     1 - 0 +1.6 +0.7 +0.8
  Fri, Nov 7 56 @Northwestern L 52-76 7%     1 - 1 -11.4 -7.8 -7.5
  Wed, Nov 12 254 Brown W 90-77 65%     2 - 1 +4.9 +25.3 -19.1
  Sat, Nov 15 255 Merrimack L 79-91 66%     2 - 2 -20.1 +9.8 -31.0
  Tue, Nov 18 134 @Columbia L 49-54 20%     2 - 3 -0.2 -13.5 +12.4
  Sat, Nov 22 179 Harvard W 75-74 40%     3 - 3 -0.4 +8.1 -8.5
  Tue, Nov 25 100 @Penn St. L 87-96 14%     3 - 4 -1.2 +24.0 -26.1
  Sat, Nov 29 198 @Northern Kentucky L 70-75 33%    
  Sat, Dec 6 354 @New Hampshire W 72-66 70%    
  Wed, Dec 10 321 Maine W 70-62 76%    
  Sat, Dec 13 299 @Dartmouth W 75-74 53%    
  Sun, Dec 21 309 Umass Lowell W 77-70 74%    
  Wed, Dec 31 159 @Navy L 67-74 27%    
  Sat, Jan 3 283 American W 77-71 70%    
  Wed, Jan 7 327 @Lafayette W 72-70 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 346 Army W 78-67 83%    
  Wed, Jan 14 312 Lehigh W 74-67 75%    
  Sat, Jan 17 301 @Loyola Maryland W 70-69 53%    
  Wed, Jan 21 327 Lafayette W 75-67 77%    
  Sat, Jan 24 182 @Colgate L 69-74 31%    
  Wed, Jan 28 159 Navy L 70-71 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 284 @Bucknell L 70-71 49%    
  Mon, Feb 2 330 @Holy Cross W 72-69 59%    
  Sat, Feb 7 301 Loyola Maryland W 73-66 72%    
  Wed, Feb 11 346 @Army W 75-70 65%    
  Sat, Feb 14 284 Bucknell W 74-68 69%    
  Mon, Feb 16 182 Colgate W 72-71 52%    
  Sat, Feb 21 312 @Lehigh W 71-70 53%    
  Wed, Feb 25 330 Holy Cross W 75-66 78%    
  Sat, Feb 28 283 @American L 73-74 49%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.3 4.5 4.2 2.1 0.8 0.2 16.5 1st
2nd 0.3 2.6 5.9 6.0 3.2 0.7 0.1 18.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 3.4 7.0 5.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 17.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.2 4.0 0.8 0.1 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.2 2.9 0.4 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.8 2.3 0.3 7.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.0 0.2 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.4 0.3 4.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 3.6 5.7 8.6 10.9 13.1 14.1 13.2 11.1 7.9 5.0 2.2 0.8 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 96.8% 2.1    1.9 0.2
15-3 85.0% 4.2    3.1 1.0 0.1
14-4 57.1% 4.5    2.7 1.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 29.4% 3.3    1.0 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 9.4% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.5% 16.5 9.9 5.1 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 45.5% 45.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 42.9% 42.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.2% 35.4% 35.4% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.4
15-3 5.0% 32.6% 32.6% 14.6 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 3.4
14-4 7.9% 28.2% 28.2% 15.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.5 5.7
13-5 11.1% 22.3% 22.3% 15.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.2 8.6
12-6 13.2% 18.2% 18.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.4 10.8
11-7 14.1% 11.5% 11.5% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.3 12.5
10-8 13.1% 10.0% 10.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 11.8
9-9 10.9% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7 10.2
8-10 8.6% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.3 8.2
7-11 5.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.6
6-12 3.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 3.5
5-13 2.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
4-14 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-15 0.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 14.1% 14.1% 0.0% 15.3 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.6 7.0 85.9 0.0%