Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.9 #191
Expected Predictive Rating +0.8 #153
Pace 74.0 #57
Improvement +2.9 #47

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #153 D+ B- D+ A+ A-
Defense #243 C- D- C C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #15 1.07 #283 +2.8 #95
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #300 0.76 #162 -2.1 #285
Three Pointers 38% #237 0.92 #290 -3.1 #290
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #244 -2.5 #243
Freethrows 23.1 #5 71% #235 16.4 #11
Second Chance 35.4% #60 1.03 #199 0.37 #84
Turnovers 18.2% #274
Total Offense +0.2 #153

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #37 1.24 #279 -5.4 #342
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #79 0.74 #147 -1.2 #270
Three Pointers 31% #360 1.04 #216 +4.5 #29
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #250 -2.0 #249
Freethrows 15.9 #115 73% #199 11.6 #244
Second Chance 30.6% #172 1.26 #350 0.38 #316
Turnovers 16.9% #158
Total Defense -2.1 #243

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.8% #28 0.0% #169
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.4% #292 3.9% #256
Possession Length 16.8 #130 16.5 #54
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #76 0.19 #254
Improvement +3.1 #29 -0.2 #200

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 6.6% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.1 14.6
.500 or above 38.7% 60.1% 32.0%
.500 or above in Conference 70.7% 87.1% 65.6%
Conference Champion 2.3% 6.0% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round4.4% 6.5% 3.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Away) - 23.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 9
Quad 34 - 65 - 14
Quad 410 - 214 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 39 @Wisconsin L 64 - 96 6% -8  0 - 1 -16 -3 D A+ F -13 C- F C
 Thu, Nov 6 59 @West Virginia L 65 - 73 10% -6  0 - 2 +4 +1 D B C +3 A+ D C+
 Sun, Nov 9 250 Western Michigan W 91 - 82 73% +6  1 - 2 +1 +1 B- C F -1 C+ A- C
 Wed, Nov 19 197 @Weber St. L 85 - 91 40% -5  1 - 3 -5 +7 F A+ F -12 F D C+
 Fri, Nov 21 154 Texas Arlington W 71 - 67 42% -4  2 - 3 +4 -2 D+ A+ F +6 A C+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 57 @Wake Forest L 51 - 99 10% -26  2 - 4 -36 -17 F D B+ -18 F F F
 Tue, Dec 2 99 @Penn St. L 76 - 87 17% -5  2 - 5 -3 +2 C A+ F -5 F A+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 303 Ball St. W 69 - 64 81% -1  3 - 5 -6 -9 F F C+ +3 B+ D+ A-
 Wed, Dec 17 10 @Gonzaga L 70 - 98 2% -14  3 - 6 -5 -3 C+ C- F +3 D+ C A+
 Sun, Dec 21 76 @Minnesota L 50 - 78 13% -18  3 - 7 -17 -10 D- D- F -12 F F B-
 Tue, Dec 23 243 Green Bay W 102 - 79 71% +9  4 - 7 +15 +29 A+ A+ B- -12 F F A
 Mon, Dec 29 110 @Hofstra L 72 - 86 20% -12  4 - 8 0 - 1 -7 +7 F A+ A+ -15 D- F A
 Wed, Dec 31 185 @Monmouth W 68 - 65 37% -2  5 - 8 1 - 1 +4 +3 F A+ F +1 A C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 236 Northeastern W 97 - 82 69% +8  6 - 8 2 - 1 +8 +15 A+ D- A+ -8 D- D D
 Thu, Jan 8 242 Hampton W 86 - 72 71% +13  7 - 8 3 - 1 +6 +6 C F D+ -1 D+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 169 @Elon L 82 - 83 35% +6  7 - 9 3 - 2 +1 +10 B+ D- A -8 D+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 118 @UNC Wilmington L 71 - 79 24%
 Thu, Jan 22 155 @College of Charleston L 76 - 81 31%
 Sat, Jan 24 185 Monmouth W 76 - 73 60%
 Thu, Jan 29 274 Stony Brook W 76 - 68 76%
 Sat, Jan 31 138 @William & Mary L 80 - 86 28%
 Thu, Feb 5 238 Drexel W 74 - 68 70%
 Sat, Feb 7 302 @N.C. A&T W 81 - 78 62%
 Sat, Feb 14 155 College of Charleston W 79 - 78 53%
 Thu, Feb 19 138 William & Mary L 83 - 84 50%
 Sat, Feb 21 118 UNC Wilmington L 74 - 76 44%
 Thu, Feb 26 238 @Drexel L 71 - 72 48%
 Sat, Feb 28 166 @Towson L 70 - 74 34%
 Tue, Mar 3 302 N.C. A&T W 84 - 75 80%
Totals 14 - 15 10 - 8 -2 +0 D+ B- D+ -2 C- D- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 5.0 5.4 1.5 0.1 12.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.7 7.1 1.7 0.1 14.3 4th
5th 0.2 3.4 8.2 2.9 0.1 14.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 7.3 4.2 0.3 13.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 5.3 5.7 0.8 12.4 7th
8th 0.2 2.7 5.3 1.3 0.0 9.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 3.6 1.6 0.1 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.0 1.8 0.2 4.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 4.4 9.0 14.1 18.4 18.7 15.9 10.1 5.2 1.9 0.4 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 83.3% 0.1    0.1
15-3 73.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 45.7% 0.9    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.8% 0.8    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1
12-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 19.3% 19.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.9% 17.8% 17.8% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.5
13-5 5.2% 13.3% 13.3% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 4.5
12-6 10.1% 8.9% 8.9% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 9.2
11-7 15.9% 6.3% 6.3% 14.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 14.9
10-8 18.7% 4.0% 4.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.0 18.0
9-9 18.4% 2.3% 2.3% 15.2 0.3 0.1 18.0
8-10 14.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.9
7-11 9.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.9
6-12 4.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.3
5-13 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 14.4 95.5 0.0%