Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.0 #268
Expected Predictive Rating -4.0 #228
Pace 69.8 #159
Improvement -1.6 #263

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #306 F D- A- F F
Defense #201 C+ C+ F C A+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #349 0.99 #340 -7.5 #355
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #48 0.72 #216 +2.0 #79
Three Pointers 42% #167 0.95 #256 -0.9 #224
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #336 -6.4 #341
Freethrows 13.4 #339 72% #217 9.6 #338
Second Chance 24.4% #329 0.98 #258 0.24 #329
Turnovers 13.8% #34
Total Offense -5.0 #306

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #321 1.07 #71 +4.9 #39
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% #9 0.83 #289 -4.3 #363
Three Pointers 38% #273 1.02 #193 +1.7 #119
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #113 +2.3 #107
Freethrows 17.7 #204 73% #205 12.9 #161
Second Chance 27.3% #71 1.10 #263 0.30 #135
Turnovers 12.8% #349
Total Defense -1.1 #201

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -3.2% #338 -3.2% #15
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.7% #312 -0.8% #165
Possession Length 18.1 #257 16.1 #24
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #330 0.14 #58
Improvement +2.2 #62 -3.8 #345

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.2% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.1
.500 or above 24.2% 42.2% 19.1%
.500 or above in Conference 22.8% 42.3% 17.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 0.8% 3.1%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Away) - 22.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 34 - 64 - 8
Quad 410 - 914 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 250 @Western Michigan L 71 - 76 35% +1  0 - 1 -7 -10 F D F +3 C+ A+ B-
 Tue, Nov 11 143 Winthrop W 72 - 66 35% +7  1 - 1 +4 -5 B- C+ F +9 A A+ F
 Fri, Nov 14 203 @Jacksonville St. L 67 - 74 26% -7  1 - 2 -6 -2 F A A -5 B F F
 Fri, Nov 21 357 @Western Illinois W 84 - 64 71% +13  2 - 2 +8 +4 D D C +3 A F F
 Sat, Nov 22 319 North Dakota W 75 - 58 63% +10  3 - 2 +8 -8 D+ F A+ +14 A+ B- D
 Sun, Nov 23 91 @Illinois St. L 42 - 94 8% -30  3 - 3 -43 -28 F F A -12 F B+ F
 Sun, Nov 30 300 Alabama A&M W 67 - 60 69% +6  4 - 3 -4 -10 F F C +6 B A+ D
 Wed, Dec 3 299 @South Carolina Upstate L 78 - 85 OT 46% +7  4 - 4 -12 -5 D- F B -6 C A- F
 Sat, Dec 6 143 @Winthrop W 88 - 84 17% -1  5 - 4 +8 +16 B- D+ A+ -8 A- F D
 Sat, Dec 13 90 @Grand Canyon L 61 - 82 8% -19  5 - 5 -12 -2 D F A+ -10 B+ F F
 Thu, Dec 18 223 @Appalachian St. L 49 - 67 29% -4  5 - 6 0 - 1 -18 -19 F F C -1 F A+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 244 @Old Dominion W 76 - 74 34% +1  6 - 6 1 - 1 +0 -0 F F A+ +0 C- C- B-
 Mon, Dec 22 175 @Saint Joseph's W 68 - 62 22% +2  7 - 6 +8 -3 D- C- C +11 A A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 1 230 Georgia Southern L 81 - 82 OT 52% -3  7 - 7 1 - 2 -8 -4 F C A -4 B D D+
 Sat, Jan 3 290 Georgia St. L 71 - 89 66% +1  7 - 8 1 - 3 -28 +1 F A+ D+ -31 F F F
 Thu, Jan 8 244 Old Dominion L 66 - 70 57% -7  7 - 9 1 - 4 -12 -9 F F C+ -3 C D- B-
 Sat, Jan 10 223 Appalachian St. W 67 - 62 51% -5  8 - 9 2 - 4 -1 +7 A+ D- B -7 A D F
 Wed, Jan 14 171 @Marshall L 70 - 78 22%
 Sat, Jan 17 230 @Georgia Southern L 76 - 81 31%
 Thu, Jan 22 261 Texas St. W 72 - 69 60%
 Sat, Jan 24 210 Southern Miss L 71 - 72 50%
 Thu, Jan 29 190 @South Alabama L 64 - 71 25%
 Sat, Jan 31 354 @Louisiana Monroe W 78 - 74 66%
 Wed, Feb 4 133 Arkansas St. L 76 - 81 34%
 Sat, Feb 7 168 Massachusetts L 75 - 77 42%
 Thu, Feb 12 315 @Louisiana W 67 - 66 51%
 Wed, Feb 18 213 James Madison L 71 - 72 50%
 Sat, Feb 21 171 Marshall L 73 - 75 42%
 Tue, Feb 24 290 @Georgia St. L 71 - 73 44%
 Fri, Feb 27 213 @James Madison L 68 - 74 29%
Totals 13 - 17 7 - 11 -6 -5 F D- A- -1 C+ C+ F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 0.7 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.7 2.3 0.1 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 4.6 0.9 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 5.3 3.4 0.1 9.3 8th
9th 0.2 3.8 6.6 0.9 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.1 2.6 8.2 3.3 0.1 14.3 10th
11th 0.1 2.1 8.0 5.8 0.5 16.5 11th
12th 0.1 1.9 7.0 6.2 1.3 0.0 16.5 12th
13th 0.2 1.6 4.3 3.8 1.1 0.0 11.0 13th
14th 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 14th
Total 0.4 2.3 6.5 13.0 18.1 19.7 17.3 12.1 6.7 3.0 0.8 0.2 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 22.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.2% 27.5% 27.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.8% 7.9% 7.9% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-7 3.0% 4.5% 4.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.9
10-8 6.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.6
9-9 12.1% 0.7% 0.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 12.0
8-10 17.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 17.2
7-11 19.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 19.7
6-12 18.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 18.1
5-13 13.0% 13.0
4-14 6.5% 6.5
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.1 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%