Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#253
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#202
Pace74.6#67
Improvement-0.9#251

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#298
First Shot-5.1#321
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#150
Layup/Dunks-5.9#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#38
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#137
Freethrows-3.6#345
Improvement-1.2#294

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#173
First Shot+0.4#157
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#239
Layups/Dunks+5.1#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#359
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#86
Freethrows-3.1#334
Improvement+0.3#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.5% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.7 14.9
.500 or above 40.7% 48.1% 24.3%
.500 or above in Conference 54.0% 57.8% 45.5%
Conference Champion 3.8% 4.6% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 2.8% 5.1%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round3.0% 3.5% 1.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Home) - 69.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 63 - 9
Quad 411 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 243 @Western Michigan L 71-76 37%     0 - 1 -6.7 -7.7 +1.4
  Tue, Nov 11 105 Winthrop W 72-66 27%     1 - 1 +7.3 -2.5 +9.7
  Fri, Nov 14 222 @Jacksonville St. L 67-74 34%     1 - 2 -7.7 +0.5 -8.5
  Fri, Nov 21 353 @Western Illinois W 84-64 67%     2 - 2 +10.5 +2.4 +7.1
  Sat, Nov 22 319 North Dakota W 75-58 63%     3 - 2 +8.5 -5.3 +12.8
  Sun, Nov 23 102 @Illinois St. L 42-94 12%     3 - 3 -44.3 -30.0 -11.2
  Sun, Nov 30 293 Alabama A&M W 75-70 69%    
  Wed, Dec 3 316 @South Carolina Upstate W 77-76 50%    
  Sat, Dec 6 105 @Winthrop L 72-84 13%    
  Sat, Dec 13 98 @Grand Canyon L 67-80 11%    
  Thu, Dec 18 279 @Appalachian St. L 67-69 44%    
  Sat, Dec 20 216 @Old Dominion L 72-77 34%    
  Mon, Dec 22 175 @Saint Joseph's L 72-79 27%    
  Thu, Jan 1 246 Georgia Southern W 79-76 59%    
  Sat, Jan 3 337 Georgia St. W 77-68 78%    
  Thu, Jan 8 216 Old Dominion W 75-74 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 279 Appalachian St. W 70-66 65%    
  Wed, Jan 14 183 @Marshall L 75-81 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 246 @Georgia Southern L 76-79 38%    
  Thu, Jan 22 203 Texas St. W 70-69 52%    
  Sat, Jan 24 237 Southern Miss W 75-73 58%    
  Thu, Jan 29 180 @South Alabama L 65-72 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 361 @Louisiana Monroe W 80-74 71%    
  Wed, Feb 4 172 Arkansas St. L 79-80 47%    
  Thu, Feb 12 304 @Louisiana L 69-70 49%    
  Wed, Feb 18 147 James Madison L 74-76 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 183 Marshall L 77-78 48%    
  Tue, Feb 24 337 @Georgia St. W 74-71 59%    
  Fri, Feb 27 147 @James Madison L 71-79 24%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 3.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.9 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.8 4.6 1.1 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.2 2.2 0.1 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.5 3.2 0.4 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.4 3.3 4.3 0.8 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.2 1.7 0.1 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.9 2.2 0.2 8.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.9 2.1 0.5 7.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.7 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.0 6.4 9.0 11.1 12.6 12.8 12.5 10.5 7.7 5.3 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 92.4% 0.4    0.4 0.1
15-3 73.8% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 39.7% 1.2    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 14.5% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 29.4% 29.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 38.6% 38.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.5% 23.1% 23.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-4 3.1% 19.4% 19.4% 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.5
13-5 5.3% 12.7% 12.7% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 4.6
12-6 7.7% 7.1% 7.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 7.2
11-7 10.5% 2.8% 2.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.2
10-8 12.5% 1.7% 1.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.3
9-9 12.8% 0.9% 0.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.6
8-10 12.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.6
7-11 11.1% 11.1
6-12 9.0% 9.0
5-13 6.4% 6.4
4-14 4.0% 4.0
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.5 97.0 0.0%