Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.5 #132
Expected Predictive Rating -2.7 #212
Pace 75.6 #39
Improvement +0.4 #159

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #112 B C D+ B- A
Defense #194 C B- C F C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #103 1.28 #70 +4.1 #55
2 Pt. Jumpers 10% #347 0.72 #219 -4.2 #348
Three Pointers 49% #43 1.00 #201 +3.6 #65
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #86 +3.5 #88
Freethrows 19.3 #90 72% #206 13.9 #102
Second Chance 30.5% #186 1.07 #153 0.33 #154
Turnovers 18.1% #269
Total Offense +2.2 #112

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #130 1.17 #193 -1.4 #229
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #106 0.74 #153 -0.8 #234
Three Pointers 37% #292 1.04 #226 +1.6 #120
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #193 -0.5 #194
Freethrows 22.5 #352 74% #271 16.8 #13
Second Chance 27.5% #78 1.06 #209 0.29 #113
Turnovers 16.2% #202
Total Defense -0.7 #194

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.2% #21 -0.3% #143
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.6% #128 1.2% #209
Possession Length 15.6 #43 17.3 #193
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 #33 0.23 #324
Improvement +2.6 #46 -2.2 #309

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.4 13.4
.500 or above 25.4% 36.5% 14.1%
.500 or above in Conference 23.5% 34.5% 12.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 3.3% 13.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 50.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 52 - 10
Quad 34 - 56 - 15
Quad 48 - 214 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 355 Niagara W 83 - 63 94% +17  1 - 0 +3 +0 A+ D- F +3 B+ B A+
 Fri, Nov 7 285 Sacred Heart W 92 - 80 86% +7  2 - 0 +2 +7 F A- A+ -6 B- B- F
 Tue, Nov 11 202 Queens W 87 - 81 OT 75% +9  3 - 0 +1 -10 D F F +9 A A+ B
 Sat, Nov 15 34 @Villanova L 77 - 87 8% -6  3 - 1 +7 +12 A+ D F -5 A+ F A-
 Wed, Nov 19 336 Loyola Maryland W 92 - 78 92% +12  4 - 1 -0 +5 B- A+ F -6 D- B- F
 Sat, Nov 22 236 Northeastern L 86 - 93 71% -3  4 - 2 -11 -6 B- F F -4 F A- A+
 Tue, Dec 2 138 William & Mary L 79 - 83 62% -8  4 - 3 -6 -0 D- A+ F -5 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 274 Stony Brook W 84 - 75 85% +8  5 - 3 -0 +9 A+ F C -9 C D F
 Wed, Dec 10 78 @Boise St. L 64 - 86 20% -12  5 - 4 -12 -3 D- C+ C -9 D+ D- F
 Sat, Dec 13 85 @Nevada L 75 - 78 22% -5  5 - 5 +7 +8 C- B+ D -2 B+ D C-
 Mon, Dec 22 337 Canisius W 103 - 59 92% +22  6 - 5 +30 +21 A+ C+ C +7 D+ B A+
 Tue, Dec 30 149 @Davidson W 89 - 83 2OT 42% -3  7 - 5 1 - 0 +10 +10 C A- B+ -1 A+ A- F
 Sat, Jan 3 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 80 - 93 28% -7  7 - 6 1 - 1 -5 +8 A+ F C- -14 C F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 175 @Saint Joseph's L 90 - 97 OT 48% +0  7 - 7 1 - 2 -5 +9 A- C+ F -13 F B- D
 Tue, Jan 13 70 Dayton L 65 - 71 37% -5  7 - 8 1 - 3 -1 +3 C- F A+ -4 D+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 183 @Fordham W 74 - 73 50%
 Tue, Jan 20 32 Saint Louis L 79 - 89 18%
 Sat, Jan 24 259 @Loyola Chicago W 81 - 77 65%
 Wed, Jan 28 127 St. Bonaventure W 81 - 78 60%
 Sun, Feb 1 123 Rhode Island W 76 - 74 58%
 Wed, Feb 4 86 @George Mason L 73 - 81 22%
 Sat, Feb 7 60 George Washington L 83 - 88 33%
 Sat, Feb 14 127 @St. Bonaventure L 78 - 81 38%
 Wed, Feb 18 208 La Salle W 79 - 72 75%
 Sat, Feb 21 70 @Dayton L 71 - 81 18%
 Wed, Feb 25 149 Davidson W 76 - 72 64%
 Sat, Feb 28 32 @Saint Louis L 76 - 92 7%
 Wed, Mar 4 123 @Rhode Island L 73 - 77 36%
 Sat, Mar 7 116 Richmond W 81 - 80 55%
Totals 13 - 16 7 - 11 +2 +2 B C D+ -1 C B- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.3 0.2 4.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.9 3.4 0.5 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 5.4 5.0 0.8 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.3 4.5 7.1 1.6 0.0 13.6 8th
9th 0.0 2.5 7.9 2.8 0.2 13.3 9th
10th 0.8 6.7 4.5 0.4 12.4 10th
11th 0.3 4.2 6.0 0.9 0.0 11.4 11th
12th 0.1 2.5 5.5 1.7 0.0 9.9 12th
13th 0.1 1.3 3.7 1.7 0.1 6.9 13th
14th 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.0 0.1 3.3 14th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.9 7.5 12.4 17.3 18.7 16.9 12.4 6.7 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 42.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 1.9% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.3% 9.6% 9.6% 11.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 1.1% 2.7% 2.7% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
11-7 3.0% 1.8% 1.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 3.0
10-8 6.7% 1.6% 1.6% 12.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.6
9-9 12.4% 0.7% 0.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
8-10 16.9% 0.4% 0.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.8
7-11 18.7% 0.2% 0.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.7
6-12 17.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 17.3
5-13 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.3
4-14 7.5% 7.5
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 12.7 99.6 0.0%