Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#126
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#180
Pace81.1#11
Improvement-1.4#291

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#128
First Shot+2.5#104
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#249
Layup/Dunks+2.9#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#211
Freethrows+0.9#126
Improvement+0.2#165

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#126
First Shot+1.4#127
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#202
Layups/Dunks+0.3#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#10
Freethrows-6.8#362
Improvement-1.5#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 2.9% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.7 12.2
.500 or above 59.3% 68.8% 43.3%
.500 or above in Conference 45.0% 49.9% 36.8%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.8% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 3.6% 6.8%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round2.3% 2.8% 1.5%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Home) - 62.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 53 - 9
Quad 35 - 48 - 13
Quad 48 - 116 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 333 Niagara W 83-63 92%     1 - 0 +6.7 +4.0 +2.4
  Fri, Nov 7 261 Sacred Heart W 92-80 85%     2 - 0 +3.6 +7.0 -4.0
  Tue, Nov 11 210 Queens W 87-81 OT 79%     3 - 0 +0.0 -8.8 +7.6
  Sat, Nov 15 41 @Villanova L 77-87 13%     3 - 1 +5.0 +10.9 -5.9
  Wed, Nov 19 301 Loyola Maryland W 92-78 89%     4 - 1 +3.2 +8.5 -6.1
  Sat, Nov 22 200 Northeastern L 86-93 68%     4 - 2 -9.4 -1.1 -7.2
  Tue, Dec 2 130 William & Mary W 89-86 63%    
  Sat, Dec 6 251 Stony Brook W 81-71 83%    
  Wed, Dec 10 61 @Boise St. L 70-80 19%    
  Sat, Dec 13 122 @Nevada L 77-80 38%    
  Mon, Dec 22 348 Canisius W 83-66 94%    
  Tue, Dec 30 135 @Davidson L 75-77 41%    
  Sat, Jan 3 53 Virginia Commonwealth L 78-83 34%    
  Wed, Jan 7 175 @Saint Joseph's W 82-81 54%    
  Tue, Jan 13 78 Dayton L 75-77 43%    
  Sat, Jan 17 212 @Fordham W 75-72 60%    
  Tue, Jan 20 50 Saint Louis L 81-86 33%    
  Sat, Jan 24 265 @Loyola Chicago W 79-74 67%    
  Wed, Jan 28 119 St. Bonaventure W 77-75 58%    
  Sun, Feb 1 106 Rhode Island W 80-79 54%    
  Wed, Feb 4 74 @George Mason L 71-79 23%    
  Sat, Feb 7 62 George Washington L 85-88 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 119 @St. Bonaventure L 74-78 38%    
  Wed, Feb 18 214 La Salle W 83-74 78%    
  Sat, Feb 21 78 @Dayton L 72-80 24%    
  Wed, Feb 25 135 Davidson W 78-74 62%    
  Sat, Feb 28 50 @Saint Louis L 78-89 17%    
  Wed, Mar 4 106 @Rhode Island L 77-82 34%    
  Sat, Mar 7 115 Richmond W 81-79 58%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 6.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.3 0.7 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.5 4.4 1.2 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 5.1 2.3 0.2 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.1 3.9 0.3 10.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.6 4.4 0.8 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.2 4.8 1.5 0.1 11.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 2.9 4.3 1.6 0.1 9.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.0 1.3 0.1 7.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.7 0.7 0.1 4.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.2 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.8 5.2 7.8 11.2 12.7 13.5 12.9 10.8 8.5 5.9 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 90.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 76.2% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0
14-4 37.1% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 35.0% 5.0% 30.0% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.6%
16-2 0.3% 21.7% 10.9% 10.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 12.2%
15-3 0.9% 20.8% 16.5% 4.2% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7 5.1%
14-4 2.0% 12.8% 12.8% 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.8
13-5 3.8% 9.1% 8.8% 0.3% 11.4 0.2 0.1 3.4 0.3%
12-6 5.9% 7.8% 7.7% 0.1% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 5.4 0.1%
11-7 8.5% 4.9% 4.9% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.0
10-8 10.8% 1.8% 1.8% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.6
9-9 12.9% 1.1% 1.1% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.7
8-10 13.5% 1.5% 1.5% 13.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.3
7-11 12.7% 0.4% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.6
6-12 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 11.2
5-13 7.8% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 7.8
4-14 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.1
3-15 2.8% 2.8
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.4% 2.3% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 97.6 0.1%