Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -7.2 287
Results Rating -8.2 296
Consistency 0.11 16
Pace 68.5 180
Improvement -0.8 225

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 169 D+ B- C- D D-
Defense D- 347 F+ C- D+ D C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 24% 365 D+ 55% 271 -9.5 365
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 193 C 38% 182 +0.9 134
Three Pointers 53% 7 C 34% 196 +6.1 24
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.3 331 C- -1.2 217
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 258
Second Chance C+ 31.7% 148 B- 1.11 79 B- 0.35 93
Opponents' Steals C- 10.1% 250
Other Turnovers C+ 7.1% 160
Turnovers C- 17.2% 207
Freethrows D 0.26 316 C- 71% 220 D 0.19 307
Total Offense C -0.3 169

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 173 C 10.8% 164
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 27% 141 D+ 6.5% 280
Three Pointers D- 77% 324 B- 0.5% 95
Total C+ 57% 148 B 4.3% 48

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 206 D- 64% 328 +1.9 237
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 138 F 48% 364 +2.6 345
Three Pointers 41% 189 D- 37% 319 +2.0 278
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 134 F +6.5 361
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.15 352
Second Chance D+ 33.0% 291 C+ 1.00 134 C- 0.33 235
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.2% 204
Other Turnovers D 6.3% 307
Turnovers D+ 15.5% 257
Freethrows D+ 0.34 292 D+ 74% 267 D 0.25 297
Total Defense D- -6.9 347

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 280 C- 10.1% 205
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 152 C 5.3% 143
Three Pointers D 88% 303 D 0.1% 341
Total C- 58% 225 C- 5.0% 219

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 310 16.1 22
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 210 0.24 352
Consistency 0.11 66 0.10 40
Improvement +0.9 137 -1.8 282

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 302 286 268
Results Rating Rank 316 294 268
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 7 6 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four3% 4% 2%
First Round2% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Lipscomb (Home) - 42.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 49 - 810 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 10 140 Western Kentucky L 79 - 87 30% +0  47% 0 - 1 D -10 C- -2 A F C- D- -8 F A+ F
 Wed, Nov 12 16 @Vanderbilt L 62 - 92 1% -19  2% 0 - 2 D -8 D- -6 D- C- C C -1 F+ A+ C+
 Tue, Nov 18 159 @Kent St. L 78 - 93 17% -16  0% 0 - 3 D- -12 F+ -8 F+ B- F C- -2 D- C- C+
 Sat, Nov 22 181 Mercer L 83 - 95 39% -11  1% 0 - 4 F+ -16 C+ +2 D B B F -18 F F B+
 Mon, Nov 24 191 @Northern Kentucky L 71 - 82 22% -4  8% 0 - 5 D -10 D+ -4 D- C+ C D -6 C- F D+
 Sat, Nov 29 229 Wofford L 77 - 83 49% -8  5% 0 - 6 D- -13 D- -6 F A+ B- D -6 C C F
 Wed, Dec 3 98 @Illinois St. L 78 - 89 9% -9  0% 0 - 7 C- -3 B +7 C+ A- D+ F+ -9 F F C
 Wed, Dec 10 317 @Eastern Illinois W 68 - 59 49% +5  80% 1 - 7 C+ +2 C +1 D+ C B- B- +2 C+ C- C+
 Sat, Dec 13 87 Miami (OH) L 69 - 79 16% -9  3% 1 - 8 D+ -7 D+ -4 D B- F+ D+ -3 C- F+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 194 @Jacksonville St. W 62 - 59 22% +5  87% 2 - 8 C+ +4 D -5 F+ A F A +10 A A D+
 Sun, Dec 21 93 @Wichita St. L 57 - 88 7% -22  2% 2 - 9 F -22 F -10 F+ D B+ F -13 F+ F F+
 Thu, Jan 1 199 @Queens L 89 - 91 23% -1  36% 2 - 10 0 - 1 C -1 B+ +9 B- C- A+ F -10 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 3 312 @West Georgia L 76 - 88 45% +1  54% 2 - 11 0 - 2 F -18 C- -2 D B+ B- F -16 F F D-
 Thu, Jan 8 342 North Alabama W 88 - 80 78% +3  81% 3 - 11 1 - 2 D+ -7 A- +10 D+ A+ A+ F -17 F C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 173 Central Arkansas W 79 - 75 OT 38% +1  52% 4 - 11 2 - 2 C +0 C +0 B- C C+ C -0 F+ A+ B
 Thu, Jan 15 167 @Austin Peay L 72 - 74 18% -1  35% 4 - 12 2 - 3 C +1 B +7 A+ D F D- -6 C- F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 292 Bellarmine W 89 - 69 64% +11  86% 5 - 12 3 - 3 B +9 A- +10 C A+ F+ C+ +1 A C D+
 Thu, Jan 22 333 @North Florida L 85 - 87 55% -2  16% 5 - 13 3 - 4 D -10 C -0 C- B+ F+ F -10 F F D+
 Sat, Jan 24 305 @Jacksonville L 76 - 81 OT 44% +3  79% 5 - 14 3 - 5 D -11 C- -1 D+ A+ F F -10 F F B+
 Wed, Jan 28 167 Austin Peay L 82 - 90 36% -10  1% 5 - 15 3 - 6 D- -11 C +1 F C+ A+ F -12 F D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 173 @Central Arkansas L 81 - 90 19% -8  1% 5 - 16 3 - 7 D+ -7 C -0 C+ F C- D -6 F+ C+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 257 Florida Gulf Coast W 76 - 74 55% -6  22% 6 - 16 4 - 7 D+ -6 D+ -4 D A- D C- -2 F+ A A
 Sat, Feb 7 328 Stetson W 100 - 88 73% +0  51% 7 - 16 5 - 7 C -2 A+ +15 B- A A F -17 F F D-
 Wed, Feb 11 197 @Lipscomb L 61 - 75 22% -8  18% 7 - 17 5 - 8 D- -13 F+ -9 D D D D -5 D C+ C
 Sun, Feb 15 342 @North Alabama L 78 - 84 OT 58% +1  49% 7 - 18 5 - 9 F+ -15 D- -7 F F A- D- -8 F C- B-
 Wed, Feb 18 312 West Georgia W 81 - 80 OT 68% +3  69% 8 - 18 6 - 9 D -11 F -10 F C+ C- C -1 F B- C
 Sat, Feb 21 292 @Bellarmine W 95 - 92 41% +6  76% 9 - 18 7 - 9 C- -2 A+ +19 A+ D+ B+ F -21 F F B-
 Wed, Feb 25 199 Queens L 79 - 96 43% -0  61% 9 - 19 7 - 10 F -22 D -5 F+ A- C- F -17 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 197 Lipscomb L 78 - 80 43%
Totals 9 - 20 7 - 11 -7 C +0 F C- D- D- -7 C C- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C C C- 24% 37% 53% D- D+ C+ B- B- C- D C- D D- D- F D- F 38% 22% 41% C+ F+ D+ C+ C- D+ D+ D+ D
1.08 55% 38% 34% -1 -1 0.97 32% 1.1 .35 17% .26 71% .19 1.19 64% 48% 37% +7 0 1.15 33% 1.0 .33 15% .34 74% .19
Nov
10		 Western Kentucky C- A+ A+ D+ A+ 10% 42% 48% F A D F F C- F D- F D- F F A F 42% 27% 32% B F B A+ A+ F F+ A+ C-
1.05 100% 64% 32% +13 -5 1.19 24% 0.5 .12 19% .33 65% .21 1.15 68% 50% 26% +4 -1 1.08 28% 0.5 .14 4% .39 64% .25
Nov
12		 Vanderbilt D- C+ C+ F D 13% 30% 57% F D- D+ C+ C- C C- C C- C F D+ F F 39% 20% 41% C+ F+ D- A+ A+ C+ A A+ A+
0.85 57% 38% 23% -10 -3 0.76 23% 1.0 .23 19% .32 74% .24 1.26 78% 42% 42% +13 0 1.29 38% 0.6 .22 14% .25 63% .16
Nov
18		 Kent St. F+ D+ B+ F F+ 23% 13% 64% C- F+ C+ B- B- F B+ F C C- D- B- C+ D 48% 12% 40% F D- C+ D- C- C+ F B F
0.96 54% 43% 28% -6 0 0.89 33% 1.1 .35 23% .38 63% .24 1.14 64% 33% 33% +2 +2 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 20% .56 70% .40
Nov
22		 Mercer C+ F C+ A+ C 19% 42% 39% F D A- C- B B C- B C F F D+ F F 30% 30% 40% A F F B- F B+ B- D C
1.16 27% 42% 45% +2 -4 0.98 41% 0.9 .39 15% .25 80% .20 1.33 73% 40% 65% +24 -2 1.46 47% 0.9 .43 20% .31 78% .24
Nov
24		 Northern Kentucky D+ B A F D 16% 24% 59% F D- C B C+ C C- F+ D D F A B- D 27% 22% 51% A C- C+ F F D+ D- F F
1.00 63% 50% 28% -2 -2 0.94 32% 1.3 .41 20% .33 63% .21 1.15 79% 27% 31% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.7 .47 15% .35 86% .30
Nov
29		 Wofford D- D+ F F F 28% 20% 52% F+ F B A+ A+ B- D B D+ D D+ C- B C- 29% 20% 51% A- C D+ B- C F F D F
1.07 53% 17% 29% -10 -1 0.82 36% 1.4 .51 14% .26 81% .21 1.15 60% 40% 31% -2 -1 0.98 30% 0.9 .28 8% .49 75% .36
Dec
3		 Illinois St. B C- D+ A- B 18% 30% 52% F+ C+ C+ A+ A- D+ A D A- F+ B F F F 41% 16% 43% D- F C- F F C D- F F
1.10 56% 33% 38% +2 -3 1.00 28% 1.3 .36 18% .40 65% .26 1.25 57% 63% 45% +11 +1 1.25 29% 1.6 .46 17% .34 80% .27
Dec
10		 Eastern Illinois C B- A+ F D+ 23% 13% 64% D+ D+ C C C B- F A+ D+ B- C- A+ B- C+ 39% 33% 28% C C+ B- D- C- C+ C F D+
1.08 64% 67% 27% -2 0 0.98 35% 1.1 .38 17% .25 92% .23 0.94 56% 20% 31% -8 -1 0.83 24% 1.1 .27 19% .27 86% .24
Dec
13		 Miami (OH) D+ F+ D B C- 13% 31% 56% F D A+ F B- F+ A+ B- A+ D+ D+ D- D C- 38% 20% 43% C+ C- C+ F F+ D+ A+ A+ A+
1.02 50% 33% 37% 0 -3 0.96 43% 0.7 .30 21% .41 77% .32 1.17 67% 45% 38% +7 0 1.16 23% 1.6 .35 13% .15 33% .05
Dec
17		 Jacksonville St. D F D B- F 31% 13% 56% C F+ A C+ A F F A+ F A A- F A+ A 48% 14% 38% C A C- A+ A D+ F F F
0.98 29% 33% 36% -8 0 0.87 39% 1.1 .42 27% .22 90% .19 0.93 45% 50% 25% -10 +1 0.86 31% 0.5 .17 16% .47 76% .36
Dec
21		 Wichita St. F A+ F F F+ 20% 34% 46% D- F+ F A+ D B+ F F F F D+ B C- D 54% 5% 41% F F+ C+ F F F+ A A+ A+
0.85 82% 16% 27% -8 -3 0.80 15% 1.3 .20 13% .12 57% .07 1.31 60% 33% 35% +1 +3 1.11 38% 1.4 .54 10% .23 57% .13
Jan
1		 Queens B+ D+ C+ A+ B- 38% 9% 53% B B- F A+ C- A+ D+ C- D+ F F A+ A+ C 53% 8% 40% F C- D F F F F D+ F
1.27 55% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 23% 1.5 .34 7% .32 71% .23 1.30 75% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.11 32% 1.5 .48 9% .49 77% .38
Jan
3		 West Georgia C- C- A+ D D 33% 9% 58% C D C- A+ B+ B- F F F F D+ F A+ F 50% 30% 20% F F F C- F D- F F F
1.09 58% 60% 30% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.3 .39 13% .17 50% .08 1.26 59% 63% 18% +3 0 1.07 41% 1.1 .44 13% .36 77% .28
Jan
8		 North Alabama A- F+ A- C+ C- 28% 16% 56% D D+ A- A+ A+ A+ A A A+ F F F F F 26% 32% 43% A+ F A F C- F F A+ D
1.34 50% 50% 36% +1 0 1.04 43% 1.4 .60 9% .38 83% .32 1.21 67% 53% 40% +11 -2 1.19 23% 1.4 .33 14% .44 56% .25
Jan
10		 Central Arkansas C C+ F A B 15% 11% 75% D B- C B- C C+ F F F C B- F D F 34% 15% 51% C F+ D- A+ A+ B C+ D C
1.12 63% 17% 41% +7 0 1.15 28% 1.2 .33 18% .12 57% .07 1.06 56% 75% 37% +7 0 1.17 32% 0.3 .11 18% .26 73% .19
Jan
15		 Austin Peay B A+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 28% 47% F A+ B- F D F F F F D- C+ C C C 46% 17% 38% D C- F C+ F C- C- D+ D+
1.15 91% 58% 50% +25 -2 1.49 35% 0.5 .17 27% .20 56% .11 1.18 55% 38% 33% -2 +1 1.00 42% 1.1 .47 16% .32 76% .25
Jan
17		 Bellarmine A- A+ F A+ C+ 22% 13% 64% C- C A A+ A+ F+ A B- A C+ D+ A+ A A 40% 12% 49% C+ A F+ A+ C D+ F C F
1.40 80% 0% 45% +10 0 1.22 44% 1.8 .81 19% .41 76% .31 1.09 65% 20% 29% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.9 .24 14% .53 79% .42
Jan
22		 North Florida C D- C- B+ D+ 43% 9% 48% B C- C- A+ B+ F+ D+ F F F D- F D+ F 45% 12% 43% D- F F C+ F D+ D- C+ D
1.20 52% 40% 38% +1 +2 1.07 35% 1.5 .53 15% .25 47% .12 1.22 65% 67% 36% +8 +2 1.22 38% 1.1 .41 17% .29 76% .22
Jan
24		 Jacksonville C- D A- B- D+ 40% 24% 36% D D+ A A A+ F A+ B- A+ F C+ F C- F 30% 43% 27% A+ F F D- F B+ F D- F
1.11 56% 45% 38% +3 0 1.07 40% 1.2 .47 22% .52 71% .37 1.18 54% 63% 33% +9 -4 1.14 39% 1.2 .46 20% .55 77% .42
Jan
28		 Austin Peay C B- F F+ F 25% 31% 44% F F A+ F+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F D F F 37% 29% 34% A F A- F D+ A+ F F F
1.11 64% 24% 29% -6 -2 0.85 43% 0.6 .27 12% .42 89% .37 1.22 67% 42% 50% +12 -1 1.24 23% 1.6 .36 23% .67 92% .61
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Central Arkansas C F+ F A C 31% 4% 65% B C+ D+ F F C- A+ C+ A+ D C F D+ F+ 37% 15% 47% C- F+ A- F+ C+ F F A+ C
1.07 50% 0% 41% +3 +2 1.12 24% 0.8 .19 20% .43 73% .31 1.19 59% 67% 36% +6 +1 1.15 21% 1.2 .26 8% .37 50% .19
Feb
5		 Florida Gulf Coast D+ A+ F D- D+ 16% 22% 61% F D B- A+ A- D A B+ A+ C- F D- C+ F 21% 25% 54% B- F+ C A+ A A B- D- C+
1.09 88% 27% 30% -1 -2 0.96 33% 1.3 .44 19% .44 80% .35 1.06 91% 46% 32% +7 -2 1.13 29% 0.7 .21 21% .24 77% .18
Feb
7		 Stetson A+ B A+ D+ B- 35% 15% 51% C B- B- A+ A A A+ A+ A+ F A F F F 39% 18% 43% D F F F F D- D- F F
1.42 68% 75% 32% +8 +1 1.18 37% 1.5 .53 10% .41 85% .35 1.25 47% 56% 48% +8 0 1.18 32% 1.2 .38 16% .34 85% .29
Feb
11		 Lipscomb F+ F A+ D+ D 33% 24% 43% C- D B- F D D F F F D C F D+ D 33% 8% 59% C D F A+ C+ C C- F D-
0.93 47% 50% 32% -2 -1 0.96 34% 0.7 .24 20% .19 50% .10 1.15 59% 50% 37% +4 +1 1.12 34% 0.7 .23 17% .24 92% .22
Feb
15		 North Alabama D- D A+ F F 43% 5% 52% B+ F D- F F A- A+ F C+ D- D+ F D F 45% 14% 40% D F F A+ C- B- F C F
1.05 54% 100% 22% -8 +2 0.90 29% 0.7 .20 11% .39 58% .23 1.13 58% 50% 35% +2 +1 1.10 42% 0.8 .33 20% .77 67% .52
Feb
18		 West Georgia F B- F F F 30% 30% 40% F F C B- C+ C- D+ D- D C D- F B+ F 23% 40% 37% A F B- B- B- C F A+ C
1.02 63% 26% 28% -6 -2 0.87 30% 1.1 .33 15% .31 67% .21 1.00 62% 57% 29% +5 -4 1.05 27% 1.0 .27 16% .36 50% .18
Feb
21		 Bellarmine A+ F D- A+ A+ 13% 13% 74% D+ A+ F+ B+ D+ B+ A+ B+ A+ F F F F F 47% 4% 49% F+ F D- F F B- D+ F F+
1.49 50% 33% 54% +21 -1 1.43 28% 1.3 .36 13% .43 79% .34 1.44 86% 50% 50% +25 +3 1.58 25% 1.5 .38 17% .32 88% .28
Feb
25		 Queens D C- B- D+ D+ 15% 40% 45% F F+ C- A+ A- C- A+ C- A+ F F D+ F F 23% 40% 38% A+ F B A+ A+ F F D F
1.12 57% 42% 33% +1 -4 0.96 32% 1.4 .46 16% .47 71% .34 1.36 73% 42% 56% +17 -4 1.29 25% 0.5 .13 10% .60 79% .47



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 17.8 17.8 5th
6th 16.4 24.8 41.1 6th
7th 41.1 41.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 57.5 42.5 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 42.5% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 1.5 41.0
7-11 57.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 1.0 56.4
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 16.0 97.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.5% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.1%
Lose Out 27.5%