Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#258
Expected Predictive Rating-14.1#346
Pace70.8#161
Improvement-1.3#286

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#187
First Shot-1.4#211
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#133
Layup/Dunks-9.4#365
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#17
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#23
Freethrows-3.2#332
Improvement-0.8#257

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#328
First Shot-5.8#341
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#112
Layups/Dunks-3.8#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#295
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#174
Freethrows-0.5#217
Improvement-0.6#247
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 7.2% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 19.1% 25.8% 10.8%
.500 or above in Conference 56.1% 61.6% 49.2%
Conference Champion 6.2% 7.6% 4.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 4.0% 7.3%
First Four3.0% 3.1% 2.8%
First Round5.0% 6.0% 3.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 55.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 410 - 812 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 132 Western Kentucky L 79-87 34%     0 - 1 -9.1 +1.0 -9.5
  Wed, Nov 12 19 @Vanderbilt L 62-92 2%     0 - 2 -11.0 -6.2 -3.6
  Tue, Nov 18 124 @Kent St. L 78-93 15%     0 - 3 -9.3 -5.2 -1.9
  Sat, Nov 22 206 Mercer L 83-95 53%     0 - 4 -18.0 +4.0 -21.7
  Mon, Nov 24 198 @Northern Kentucky L 71-82 29%     0 - 5 -10.4 -2.3 -8.0
  Sat, Nov 29 225 Wofford W 79-77 55%    
  Wed, Dec 3 102 @Illinois St. L 68-81 11%    
  Wed, Dec 10 329 @Eastern Illinois W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Dec 13 121 Miami (OH) L 77-82 32%    
  Wed, Dec 17 222 @Jacksonville St. L 67-72 34%    
  Sun, Dec 21 92 @Wichita St. L 69-83 10%    
  Thu, Jan 1 210 @Queens L 78-83 32%    
  Sat, Jan 3 311 @West Georgia L 75-76 49%    
  Thu, Jan 8 242 North Alabama W 76-74 58%    
  Sat, Jan 10 317 Central Arkansas W 78-72 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 165 @Austin Peay L 71-78 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 294 Bellarmine W 80-75 68%    
  Thu, Jan 22 341 @North Florida W 85-82 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 269 @Jacksonville L 71-73 41%    
  Wed, Jan 28 165 Austin Peay L 74-75 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 317 @Central Arkansas W 76-75 50%    
  Thu, Feb 5 164 Florida Gulf Coast L 78-80 44%    
  Sat, Feb 7 344 Stetson W 81-72 79%    
  Wed, Feb 11 176 @Lipscomb L 71-78 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 242 @North Alabama L 73-77 37%    
  Wed, Feb 18 311 West Georgia W 79-73 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 294 @Bellarmine L 77-78 47%    
  Wed, Feb 25 210 Queens W 81-80 52%    
  Sat, Feb 28 176 Lipscomb L 74-75 47%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.5 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.3 3.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.6 1.4 0.2 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.2 1.9 0.1 10.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 5.4 2.6 0.2 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.3 3.1 0.3 10.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.4 3.6 0.6 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.5 0.8 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.7 2.4 0.8 0.0 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.0 0.7 0.0 5.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.8 6.1 8.3 11.0 12.2 12.6 12.2 10.8 8.0 5.9 3.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.3% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 82.8% 1.4    1.1 0.3 0.0
14-4 54.7% 2.1    1.1 0.9 0.1 0.0
13-5 20.9% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.2% 6.2 3.4 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 45.5% 45.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 32.9% 32.9% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.7% 28.8% 28.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.2
14-4 3.8% 19.3% 19.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 3.1
13-5 5.9% 15.1% 15.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 5.0
12-6 8.0% 12.9% 12.9% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.0
11-7 10.8% 8.8% 8.8% 15.9 0.1 0.9 9.8
10-8 12.2% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7 11.5
9-9 12.6% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.1
8-10 12.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 12.0
7-11 11.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.8
6-12 8.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.2
5-13 6.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.1
4-14 3.8% 3.8
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 4.2 93.8 0.0%