Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +15.9 #23
Expected Predictive Rating +17.5 #21
Pace 84.8 #2
Improvement -1.3 #254

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #26 B A A A B+
Defense #25 A B- B B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #101 1.34 #28 +5.4 #28
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #320 0.89 #39 -1.8 #270
Three Pointers 45% #102 0.93 #279 +0.3 #165
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #73 +3.9 #75
Freethrows 20.3 #44 78% #32 15.9 #21
Second Chance 37.1% #28 1.17 #44 0.44 #25
Turnovers 13.3% #22
Total Offense +9.0 #26

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #100 0.96 #13 +2.4 #101
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #157 0.70 #108 +0.3 #170
Three Pointers 37% #278 0.92 #62 +3.7 #53
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #27 +6.3 #27
Freethrows 15.5 #90 66% #10 10.2 #325
Second Chance 31.7% #226 0.92 #43 0.29 #114
Turnovers 19.0% #60
Total Defense +6.9 #25

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.3% #47 0.3% #193
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.2% #102 -12.7% #14
Possession Length 14.0 #4 17.4 #209
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.37 #1 0.16 #144
Improvement -1.1 #250 -0.1 #192

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 2.7% 3.1% 0.8%
Top 4 Seed 23.3% 25.6% 11.8%
Top 6 Seed 56.8% 60.2% 39.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 94.0% 95.1% 88.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 93.5% 94.6% 88.0%
Average Seed 6.1 5.9 6.9
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 99.8%
.500 or above in Conference 85.6% 88.7% 69.9%
Conference Champion 9.7% 10.9% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 1.4%
First Four3.1% 2.6% 5.9%
First Round92.6% 93.8% 86.1%
Second Round67.6% 69.5% 57.7%
Sweet Sixteen29.1% 30.6% 21.5%
Elite Eight10.8% 11.4% 7.7%
Final Four4.1% 4.4% 2.6%
Championship Game1.4% 1.5% 1.0%
National Champion0.5% 0.5% 0.3%

Next Game: Mississippi (Home) - 83.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 37 - 8
Quad 26 - 113 - 9
Quad 33 - 016 - 9
Quad 48 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 294 Bellarmine W 104 - 59 98% +18  1 - 0 +34 +12 C+ D A+ +18 A+ A- A+
 Wed, Nov 5 324 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94 - 29 99% +27  2 - 0 +52 +12 F A+ A- +36 A+ B A+
 Sun, Nov 9 304 Morehead St. W 120 - 81 99% +21  3 - 0 +28 +27 A+ A+ A -4 A+ F C+
 Fri, Nov 14 111 Georgia Tech W 92 - 87 91% +3  4 - 0 +6 +7 C A+ D+ -1 B- C C
 Mon, Nov 17 322 Florida A&M W 87 - 57 99% +20  5 - 0 +17 +1 F A+ C +13 C+ B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 92 Xavier W 78 - 77 82% +4  6 - 0 +7 +6 C- A- A- +1 A+ D- C-
 Sun, Nov 23 33 Clemson L 94 - 97 OT 57% +0  6 - 1 +11 +15 A+ C+ C+ -3 C+ F B-
 Sat, Nov 29 314 Tennessee Tech W 123 - 81 99% +23  7 - 1 +30 +21 A+ C- A+ +1 B+ B- F
 Tue, Dec 2 117 @Florida St. W 107 - 73 83% +19  8 - 1 +40 +24 A+ A+ A +12 A- A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 56 Cincinnati W 84 - 65 72% +1  9 - 1 +29 +14 C+ A+ B- +13 A+ B B+
 Thu, Dec 18 291 Western Carolina W 112 - 82 98% +16  10 - 1 +20 +20 A+ C B -4 F D+ B-
 Mon, Dec 22 320 West Georgia W 103 - 74 99% +20  11 - 1 +17 +7 D A+ B +5 A+ B- A+
 Mon, Dec 29 219 LIU Brooklyn W 89 - 74 97% +1  12 - 1 +9 +7 C B C +1 A- B- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 27 Auburn W 104 - 100 OT 64% +1  13 - 1 1 - 0 +16 +18 A+ C+ A+ -3 B+ A- B
 Tue, Jan 6 12 @Florida L 77 - 92 25% -6  13 - 2 1 - 1 +8 +8 C A- A+ +1 B- B+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 69 @South Carolina W 75 - 70 68% -1  14 - 2 2 - 1 +16 +9 A- F A- +7 A A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 14 65 Mississippi W 85 - 75 84%
 Sat, Jan 17 26 Arkansas W 93 - 89 62%
 Tue, Jan 20 53 @Missouri W 87 - 84 60%
 Sat, Jan 24 41 @Texas W 88 - 87 53%
 Tue, Jan 27 20 Tennessee W 81 - 79 60%
 Sat, Jan 31 40 Texas A&M W 92 - 86 72%
 Sat, Feb 7 44 @LSU W 85 - 84 54%
 Wed, Feb 11 12 Florida L 85 - 86 46%
 Sat, Feb 14 54 @Oklahoma W 87 - 84 60%
 Tue, Feb 17 25 @Kentucky L 82 - 85 40%
 Sat, Feb 21 41 Texas W 91 - 84 73%
 Wed, Feb 25 9 @Vanderbilt L 84 - 91 24%
 Sat, Feb 28 69 South Carolina W 85 - 74 84%
 Tue, Mar 3 14 Alabama W 97 - 96 53%
 Sat, Mar 7 66 @Mississippi St. W 85 - 81 66%
Totals 23 - 8 11 - 7 +16 +9 B A A +7 A B- B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.5 2.6 1.0 0.1 9.7 1st
2nd 0.4 3.2 5.7 3.5 0.7 0.1 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.9 7.0 3.8 0.5 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 6.7 4.7 0.6 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.2 4.5 5.7 0.9 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 6.0 1.8 0.1 9.5 6th
7th 0.3 3.9 3.3 0.2 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 3.9 0.7 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.3 2.8 1.6 0.1 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 2.3 0.2 3.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.7 0.0 2.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.1 1.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 14th
15th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 4.2 7.7 11.6 16.0 17.6 16.4 12.0 7.5 3.3 1.0 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 95.2% 1.0    0.8 0.1
15-3 79.6% 2.6    1.7 0.8 0.1
14-4 46.6% 3.5    1.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
13-5 16.7% 2.0    0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.4    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.7% 9.7 4.4 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 31.0% 69.0% 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.0% 100.0% 24.0% 76.0% 2.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 3.3% 100.0% 16.6% 83.4% 3.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-4 7.5% 100.0% 15.9% 84.1% 3.6 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.0 1.1 0.2 100.0%
13-5 12.0% 100.0% 12.8% 87.2% 4.4 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.3 3.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 16.4% 100.0% 10.4% 89.5% 5.1 0.0 1.0 3.3 6.1 4.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 17.6% 99.6% 5.9% 93.7% 6.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.3 5.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 99.6%
10-8 16.0% 98.7% 3.8% 95.0% 7.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.5 5.3 3.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.2 98.7%
9-9 11.6% 95.1% 2.5% 92.7% 8.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 3.2 2.7 1.3 0.2 0.6 95.0%
8-10 7.7% 83.6% 1.8% 81.8% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.1 1.1 0.0 1.3 83.3%
7-11 4.2% 58.3% 0.6% 57.7% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 0.0 1.7 58.1%
6-12 1.8% 20.2% 20.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.4 20.2%
5-13 0.6% 2.6% 2.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.6%
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 94.0% 7.4% 86.6% 6.1 6.0 93.5%