Kansas
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +16.9 #18
Expected Predictive Rating +16.4 #27
Pace 69.6 #169
Improvement +0.8 #144

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #32 B+ A- A- C+ C
Defense #13 A+ A+ D A+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #141 1.38 #11 +5.1 #36
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #154 0.71 #244 +0.0 #184
Three Pointers 39% #231 1.10 #76 +0.4 #160
1st FG Attempt 1.13 #49 +5.5 #49
Freethrows 18.0 #148 75% #106 13.5 #127
Second Chance 33.5% #107 1.23 #21 0.41 #37
Turnovers 13.7% #30
Total Offense +8.1 #32

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #313 1.00 #25 +5.7 #26
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #129 0.61 #19 +1.0 #117
Three Pointers 45% #74 0.77 #2 +3.5 #57
1st FG Attempt 0.81 #3 +10.2 #3
Freethrows 12.8 #19 68% #26 8.7 #356
Second Chance 26.7% #57 0.78 #3 0.21 #7
Turnovers 14.6% #302
Total Defense +8.8 #13

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.1% #201 -1.1% #85
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 10.9% #36 -19.1% #3
Possession Length 16.2 #83 18.4 #326
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #70 0.11 #21
Improvement +2.6 #43 -1.8 #297

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 3.6% 4.5% 1.3%
Top 4 Seed 29.6% 34.4% 17.0%
Top 6 Seed 68.5% 74.2% 53.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 96.7% 98.3% 92.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.6% 98.2% 92.4%
Average Seed 5.7 5.4 6.4
.500 or above 99.4% 99.8% 98.2%
.500 or above in Conference 83.2% 88.7% 68.8%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.4% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four2.8% 1.9% 5.2%
First Round95.6% 97.6% 90.5%
Second Round74.2% 77.6% 65.4%
Sweet Sixteen36.1% 38.8% 28.8%
Elite Eight14.4% 15.7% 10.9%
Final Four5.8% 6.4% 4.2%
Championship Game2.3% 2.6% 1.7%
National Champion0.9% 1.0% 0.6%

Next Game: Baylor (Home) - 72.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 85 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 38 - 10
Quad 27 - 114 - 11
Quad 33 - 018 - 12
Quad 44 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 243 Green Bay W 94 - 51 98% +23  1 - 0 +35 +23 A+ D A+ +16 A+ A+ F
 Fri, Nov 7 29 @North Carolina L 74 - 87 47% -2  1 - 1 +5 +9 A+ A+ F -4 F A+ B
 Tue, Nov 11 182 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 77 - 46 97% +19  2 - 1 +26 +3 A+ C+ F +22 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Nov 15 221 Princeton W 76 - 57 97% +6  3 - 1 +13 +1 C+ D F +11 A+ C+ C
 Tue, Nov 18 7 Duke L 66 - 78 35% -3  3 - 2 +9 +7 C A+ A+ +1 A+ B- F
 Mon, Nov 24 71 Notre Dame W 71 - 61 80% +6  4 - 2 +18 +8 B+ A C +11 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 61 Syracuse W 71 - 60 77% +7  5 - 2 +20 +8 B A+ F +13 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 20 Tennessee W 81 - 76 52% -3  6 - 2 +21 +18 B B+ A+ +3 A A+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 4 Connecticut L 56 - 61 45% +2  6 - 3 +13 -0 C D- A- +13 A+ C A
 Sun, Dec 7 53 Missouri W 80 - 60 82% +8  7 - 3 +27 +14 C A+ A+ +15 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Dec 13 24 @North Carolina St. W 77 - 76 OT 43% +1  8 - 3 +20 +7 C+ D A+ +12 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 16 166 Towson W 73 - 49 96% +14  9 - 3 +20 +7 C- A+ C+ +16 A+ B C
 Mon, Dec 22 149 Davidson W 90 - 61 95% +20  10 - 3 +27 +13 A+ A+ F +12 A+ B+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 50 @Central Florida L 75 - 81 63% -2  10 - 4 0 - 1 +8 +8 D+ A- C+ -0 A+ A- F
 Tue, Jan 6 45 TCU W 104 - 100 OT 78% -4  11 - 4 1 - 1 +13 +18 A+ A- A+ -6 D C- A-
 Sat, Jan 10 59 @West Virginia L 75 - 86 67% -1  11 - 5 1 - 2 +1 +13 B- B- A+ -12 D- D+ D+
 Tue, Jan 13 6 Iowa St. W 84 - 63 46% +15  12 - 5 2 - 2 +39 +28 A+ B- A+ +13 A+ A+ A
 Fri, Jan 16 37 Baylor W 80 - 74 73%
 Tue, Jan 20 73 @Colorado W 81 - 75 73%
 Sat, Jan 24 74 @Kansas St. W 83 - 77 72%
 Sat, Jan 31 11 BYU W 78 - 77 50%
 Mon, Feb 2 21 @Texas Tech L 74 - 76 41%
 Sat, Feb 7 113 Utah W 85 - 69 93%
 Mon, Feb 9 2 Arizona L 76 - 80 34%
 Sat, Feb 14 6 @Iowa St. L 70 - 77 26%
 Wed, Feb 18 62 @Oklahoma St. W 84 - 79 67%
 Sat, Feb 21 56 Cincinnati W 76 - 66 83%
 Mon, Feb 23 5 Houston L 67 - 68 46%
 Sat, Feb 28 2 @Arizona L 73 - 83 17%
 Tue, Mar 3 82 @Arizona St. W 81 - 74 75%
 Sat, Mar 7 74 Kansas St. W 86 - 74 87%
Totals 20 - 11 10 - 8 +17 +8 B+ A- A- +9 A+ A+ D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.9 1.1 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.7 2.9 0.2 13.0 4th
5th 0.3 4.2 10.1 5.7 0.6 20.9 5th
6th 0.1 3.0 9.3 5.8 0.7 0.0 19.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 6.5 5.4 0.8 0.0 14.1 7th
8th 0.3 3.4 4.1 0.8 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 3.3 1.0 0.0 5.3 9th
10th 0.2 1.9 1.3 0.1 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.2 1.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 0.3 1.0 12th
13th 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 4.6 9.8 15.0 19.9 19.9 15.2 8.7 3.4 1.0 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 93.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 61.3% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 12.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 1.0% 100.0% 19.1% 80.9% 2.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 100.0%
14-4 3.4% 100.0% 13.9% 86.1% 2.8 0.3 0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 8.7% 100.0% 9.3% 90.7% 3.5 0.2 0.9 3.2 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 15.2% 100.0% 7.1% 92.8% 4.2 0.0 0.4 2.8 6.0 4.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 19.9% 100.0% 3.6% 96.4% 5.0 0.1 1.2 4.6 7.6 5.1 1.2 0.1 100.0%
10-8 19.9% 99.9% 3.2% 96.7% 5.8 0.0 0.3 1.7 5.3 7.5 3.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.9%
9-9 15.0% 99.6% 2.3% 97.2% 6.8 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.2 5.0 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.6%
8-10 9.8% 95.8% 1.4% 94.4% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.4 2.5 2.1 0.6 0.4 95.8%
7-11 4.6% 78.8% 0.5% 78.3% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.6 0.0 1.0 78.7%
6-12 1.7% 33.7% 33.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.1 33.7%
5-13 0.6% 4.5% 4.5% 11.0 0.0 0.5 4.5%
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 96.7% 4.4% 92.3% 5.7 3.3 96.6%