Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -2.2 197
Results Rating -2.1 198
Consistency 0.16 218
Pace 73.4 54
Improvement -3.6 313

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 216 C+ D C D- B+
Defense C 184 C- C C+ B- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 123 C+ 60% 129 +1.8 109
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 330 F+ 30% 358 -4.2 350
Three Pointers 47% 51 C+ 35% 148 +3.7 65
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.2 35 C +0.1 170
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 135
Second Chance D- 24.3% 331 C- 1.01 207 D 0.25 319
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 177
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 192
Turnovers C 16.8% 186
Freethrows F 0.23 359 B 76% 62 D- 0.17 341
Total Offense C- -1.8 216

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 50% 145 C+ 10.0% 122
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 197 F 10.6% 358
Three Pointers B+ 92% 23 C 1.0% 216
Total B+ 64% 39 C 5.8% 214

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 248 D 62% 303 +0.5 202
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 90 C 38% 188 +1.0 275
Three Pointers 40% 204 C 34% 182 -0.4 160
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 94 C- +1.5 244
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 214
Second Chance C 30.6% 196 C+ 1.00 130 C 0.31 163
Turnovers from Steals C 9.4% 189
Other Turnovers B- 7.9% 94
Turnovers C+ 17.3% 144
Freethrows B- 0.28 103 B 70% 56 B- 0.20 81
Total Defense C -0.4 184

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 124 D+ 8.2% 291
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 16% 30 C 5.0% 165
Three Pointers B+ 77% 27 C 0.9% 161
Total B 49% 56 D+ 4.5% 265

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 75 17.3 181
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 88 0.18 197
Consistency 0.10 48 0.13 263
Improvement -1.2 252 -2.3 300

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 216 196 172
Results Rating Rank 227 198 143
Conference Record 11 - 7 12 - 6 12 - 6
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15% 16% 14%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round15% 16% 14%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Eastern Kentucky (Away) - 57.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 33 - 43 - 9
Quad 414 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 16 @Vanderbilt L 61 - 105 2% -29  0% 0 - 1 F -22 F+ -9 F C+ F F -11 F A+ F
 Sun, Nov 9 181 @Mercer L 77 - 92 35% -8  1% 0 - 2 D- -13 C+ +2 C- B- B- F -15 F F F
 Tue, Nov 11 232 @UNC Asheville L 64 - 69 45% -4  9% 0 - 3 D+ -6 D -6 F C C C -0 F+ F+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 62 @Belmont L 68 - 75 10% -7  4% 0 - 4 B- +5 F -11 F A- F A+ +17 A+ D+ A+
 Sat, Nov 22 244 Western Carolina W 83 - 62 70% +12  77% 1 - 4 B+ +13 D+ -4 C C+ C+ A+ +16 B+ B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 186 @Marshall W 90 - 67 37% +17  94% 2 - 4 A+ +24 C+ +3 A+ F D- A+ +19 A+ C- A
 Sat, Nov 29 231 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88 - 77 45% +4  76% 3 - 4 B +10 B- +4 A- D D B +5 B+ B+ A-
 Wed, Dec 3 311 Tennessee Tech W 83 - 80 82% +1  52% 4 - 4 D -9 D+ -3 C- F+ C D -6 F C D-
 Sun, Dec 7 309 Alabama A&M W 92 - 58 82% +13  95% 5 - 4 A +22 A+ +17 A+ B- A+ A- +7 A C+ B-
 Tue, Dec 16 2 @Duke L 73 - 97 1% -5  33% 5 - 5 C+ +5 C +1 B F C+ A- +7 B+ F A+
 Mon, Dec 29 42 @Cincinnati L 62 - 89 6% -16  12% 5 - 6 D- -12 D+ -4 C C+ C+ D- -7 C F F
 Thu, Jan 1 305 Jacksonville W 76 - 57 81% +9  93% 6 - 6 1 - 0 B- +7 B+ +9 A- F A+ C+ +2 C D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 333 North Florida W 82 - 74 87% +2  50% 7 - 6 2 - 0 D+ -6 D -6 F D A- C -1 C+ B C
 Thu, Jan 8 328 @Stetson L 83 - 91 70% -11  2% 7 - 7 2 - 1 F+ -16 D -5 C+ F F+ F -10 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 257 @Florida Gulf Coast W 84 - 77 51% +1  62% 8 - 7 3 - 1 C+ +5 B- +5 B C F+ C -1 D C+ D+
 Thu, Jan 15 292 Bellarmine W 81 - 71 79% +14  97% 9 - 7 4 - 1 C -1 D+ -3 D+ C+ D- B- +3 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 167 Austin Peay W 82 - 78 55% +2  70% 10 - 7 5 - 1 C +1 C +0 B F+ B C+ +0 C+ C- B
 Thu, Jan 22 328 Stetson W 79 - 74 OT 86% +5  81% 11 - 7 6 - 1 D -9 F -15 F+ F B B+ +6 C+ A- A-
 Fri, Jan 23 257 Florida Gulf Coast W 86 - 71 72% +5  68% 12 - 7 7 - 1 B- +7 A+ +15 A+ A C D- -7 B F D-
 Thu, Jan 29 305 @Jacksonville L 65 - 70 63% -8  0% 12 - 8 7 - 2 D -11 D+ -3 D- B+ B+ F+ -9 F C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 333 @North Florida W 100 - 94 73% -2  38% 13 - 8 8 - 2 C- -2 A +12 A+ F A- F -15 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 167 @Austin Peay L 76 - 87 32% -4  32% 13 - 9 8 - 3 D -8 C +0 C+ C- B- F+ -8 F A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 173 Central Arkansas L 78 - 86 57% -9  0% 13 - 10 8 - 4 D- -12 D+ -3 B D+ D+ F+ -9 C- F+ C
 Wed, Feb 11 287 Eastern Kentucky W 75 - 61 78% +8  77% 14 - 10 9 - 4 C+ +4 D+ -4 C- F+ D+ A- +8 C A B
 Sat, Feb 14 199 @Queens L 81 - 87 39% -11  5% 14 - 11 9 - 5 D+ -5 F+ -8 D+ D F B- +3 F B A+
 Wed, Feb 18 292 @Bellarmine W 75 - 72 60% +1  57% 15 - 11 10 - 5 C- -2 D+ -3 B F D+ C+ +2 B D+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 342 North Alabama W 73 - 51 88% +4  53% 16 - 11 11 - 5 B- +7 C- -2 A+ F D- A +11 A+ B C-
 Wed, Feb 25 312 @West Georgia L 77 - 84 64% -6  10% 16 - 12 11 - 6 D- -13 C- -2 C F+ B- F -11 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 287 @Eastern Kentucky W 80 - 78 57%
Totals 17 - 12 12 - 6 -2 C- -2 F C B+ C +0 C+ B D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ F+ C+ C 41% 23% 47% B+ C+ D- C- D C F B D- C D C C C- 37% 23% 40% B- C- C C+ C C+ B- B B-
1.06 60% 30% 35% 0 +1 1.05 24% 1.0 .25 17% .23 76% .17 1.09 62% 38% 34% +2 0 1.04 31% 1.0 .31 17% .28 70% .16
Nov
3		 Vanderbilt F+ F F F F 34% 18% 48% B- F D+ A- C+ F B+ A+ A+ F F A+ F F 35% 20% 45% B- F A+ A+ A+ F A A A+
0.82 41% 11% 25% -17 0 0.68 24% 1.1 .26 24% .39 95% .37 1.40 76% 25% 63% +23 0 1.48 24% 0.5 .12 8% .25 71% .17
Nov
9		 Mercer C+ C F C+ D+ 42% 9% 49% A- C- C B B- B- F A+ F F F A+ F F 43% 22% 34% D+ F D F F F A+ B A+
1.12 57% 20% 37% 0 +2 1.05 33% 1.1 .36 16% .12 86% .10 1.34 76% 23% 45% +10 0 1.22 37% 1.4 .50 12% .21 69% .15
Nov
11		 UNC Asheville D D+ A F F 42% 12% 46% B- F A- F C C D B+ C- C D F D F 26% 37% 37% C+ F+ C- F F+ A+ F A- F
0.99 55% 50% 21% -9 +1 0.87 39% 0.8 .29 15% .27 73% .20 1.07 64% 50% 38% +8 -3 1.12 31% 1.2 .38 23% .48 63% .30
Nov
19		 Belmont F F B F F 27% 8% 64% B F B B+ A- F F A+ D- A+ C+ B+ A A+ 33% 7% 60% C A+ D B- D+ A+ F D+ F
0.87 31% 40% 24% -17 +1 0.69 36% 1.2 .42 24% .17 90% .15 0.96 60% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.98 31% 1.2 .37 28% .52 72% .38
Nov
22		 Western Carolina D+ B F B C- 35% 10% 55% B C D+ A- C+ C+ F F F A+ F F A+ B+ 25% 22% 53% B+ B+ A+ F B+ A+ B- A+ B+
1.11 64% 17% 38% +3 +1 1.11 25% 1.2 .30 15% .09 50% .05 0.83 77% 55% 15% -7 -1 0.86 15% 1.8 .26 24% .27 60% .16
Nov
26		 Marshall C+ A- D+ A+ A+ 37% 17% 46% B- A+ F D- F D- A- F C+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 35% 22% 43% D A+ C+ D- C- A F D F
1.16 68% 33% 50% +14 0 1.31 18% 0.8 .15 19% .41 65% .27 0.86 53% 25% 17% -15 0 0.70 29% 1.3 .37 22% .36 77% .28
Nov
29		 Southeast Missouri St. B- B- F+ A+ B+ 43% 11% 45% B A- F A D D C D+ C B B- D- A+ B+ 43% 26% 30% B B+ D A+ B+ A- F F F
1.10 61% 33% 42% +6 +2 1.17 18% 1.3 .24 20% .40 73% .30 0.96 52% 43% 19% -8 0 0.85 32% 0.8 .26 21% .47 77% .36
Dec
3		 Tennessee Tech D+ C F C- D+ 36% 7% 57% B+ C- D F F+ C B- F+ C D A+ F F F 30% 32% 39% A F B- D+ C D- C+ A- B-
1.12 60% 25% 34% 0 +2 1.05 26% 1.0 .26 15% .32 70% .22 1.08 41% 50% 45% +5 -2 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 16% .27 71% .19
Dec
7		 Alabama A&M A+ A A+ B- A 53% 5% 42% A A+ F A+ B- A+ F F F A- A A B- A 40% 32% 28% B- A F A+ C+ B- D- B- D
1.40 73% 67% 38% +12 +3 1.32 21% 1.7 .36 6% .21 62% .13 0.88 42% 27% 31% -11 -1 0.77 33% 0.7 .23 18% .39 71% .28
Dec
16		 Duke C C F C+ B- 50% 14% 36% A+ B F F F C+ A+ A+ A+ A- C F A- A 50% 6% 44% D+ B+ F D+ F A+ C- D D+
0.89 52% 25% 33% -5 +2 0.95 8% 0.0 .00 19% .30 90% .27 1.18 63% 67% 29% +1 +3 1.09 53% 1.3 .68 27% .36 77% .28
Dec
29		 Cincinnati D+ D A F+ D 38% 4% 58% A+ C F+ A+ C+ C+ D F F+ D- C- A+ D C+ 40% 15% 45% D- C D F F F A+ B- A+
0.86 47% 50% 28% -9 +2 0.88 16% 1.8 .30 19% .22 54% .12 1.23 63% 22% 37% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.4 .49 11% .14 67% .09
Jan
1		 Jacksonville B+ A+ F A+ A 40% 16% 44% C A- F F F A+ F A+ F C+ D- A- B- C- 27% 24% 49% A- C F B+ D+ A+ C+ B+ B-
1.29 75% 25% 45% +12 +1 1.28 21% 0.7 .14 7% .20 91% .18 0.97 64% 30% 30% -3 -1 0.93 38% 0.9 .34 25% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 North Florida D F F C F 26% 18% 56% D- F C- D- D A- B+ D+ B C A+ D+ D+ C+ 23% 12% 65% B- C+ D- A+ B C A+ F A+
1.16 47% 20% 34% -6 0 0.89 35% 1.1 .37 8% .34 68% .23 1.05 43% 43% 36% -1 0 1.00 30% 0.8 .23 18% .07 100% .07
Jan
8		 Stetson D B- A+ D- C 50% 12% 38% A- C+ F A F F+ A+ D+ A F F F D+ F 34% 13% 53% D- F A+ A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.08 65% 67% 30% +5 +2 1.15 17% 1.4 .23 18% .38 71% .27 1.19 78% 57% 36% +11 +1 1.25 13% 0.5 .06 14% .44 79% .35
Jan
10		 Florida Gulf Coast B- F+ F A+ B- 39% 12% 49% B- B D A C F+ C A+ B+ C C- F A- D- 35% 38% 27% A- D B D+ C+ D+ D- A+ C-
1.17 50% 17% 48% +5 +1 1.14 25% 1.3 .32 20% .37 86% .31 1.08 61% 55% 29% +5 -3 1.08 26% 1.1 .29 15% .31 63% .20
Jan
15		 Bellarmine D+ C+ A D+ D- 39% 9% 52% B+ D+ A- D- C+ D- A+ F B- B- A+ F A+ A+ 32% 21% 47% A A+ F A+ D+ F F A+ F
1.22 65% 50% 35% +4 +2 1.14 43% 1.0 .43 18% .42 61% .26 1.07 41% 55% 20% -12 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .27 9% .50 67% .33
Jan
17		 Austin Peay C B- A+ D- C+ 62% 7% 31% A+ B D F F+ B F+ A+ B- C+ A- D C- C 33% 33% 34% A+ C+ B- F+ C- B B C- B
1.10 65% 50% 29% +3 +3 1.15 26% 0.5 .13 16% .24 100% .24 1.04 47% 42% 35% -2 -2 0.95 26% 1.3 .34 19% .26 75% .20
Jan
22		 Stetson F C F D F 41% 19% 41% C F+ F F F B C- A- C+ B+ C B+ C C+ 36% 28% 36% B- C+ D A+ A- A- B F C-
0.98 62% 25% 31% -3 0 0.97 18% 0.5 .09 12% .27 79% .21 0.92 57% 31% 33% -3 -1 0.95 29% 0.5 .16 22% .24 87% .21
Jan
23		 Florida Gulf Coast A+ D+ F A+ A+ 19% 15% 66% D A+ B+ A A C D- A+ C D- F A+ D+ B- 17% 28% 54% A- B C F F D- F A D-
1.36 56% 0% 55% +14 -1 1.30 37% 1.3 .48 16% .30 88% .26 1.13 75% 15% 36% -2 -2 0.93 31% 1.6 .50 14% .37 65% .24
Jan
29		 Jacksonville D+ C- C+ F F 58% 10% 32% A D- F A+ B+ B+ F C F F+ F+ D+ D F 43% 21% 36% C- F C D+ C- F C+ F D+
1.08 59% 40% 25% -4 +3 1.00 19% 2.0 .38 12% .19 70% .13 1.16 65% 40% 35% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.1 .32 12% .28 80% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 North Florida A A- F+ A+ A+ 59% 5% 36% A+ A+ F A+ F A- F A- D- F D+ A+ F F 33% 5% 62% D- F F C- F C- D+ F F
1.37 69% 33% 45% +13 +4 1.34 18% 1.6 .29 8% .19 77% .15 1.29 61% 0% 44% +8 +2 1.22 37% 1.2 .43 18% .27 94% .25
Feb
4		 Austin Peay C A F F C- 51% 9% 40% A C+ F A C- B- F A+ F F+ F B- F F 36% 36% 27% A+ F A+ A- A+ D+ B+ A A-
1.06 71% 20% 27% +1 +2 1.09 22% 1.0 .22 17% .17 90% .15 1.21 85% 35% 60% +19 -2 1.36 8% 1.0 .08 15% .25 67% .16
Feb
7		 Central Arkansas D+ A- D+ A- B+ 22% 13% 65% D B C D- D+ D+ A+ D A- F+ F C+ B- F+ 25% 40% 36% A+ C- F C F+ C F D+ F+
1.07 70% 33% 40% +8 0 1.17 29% 1.0 .29 21% .38 68% .26 1.18 92% 33% 32% +5 -3 1.06 36% 1.1 .38 17% .35 71% .25
Feb
11		 Eastern Kentucky D+ C- B+ B- D+ 33% 8% 59% B+ C- C+ F F+ D+ F A+ D A- A- F B- C+ 33% 24% 43% D+ C D+ A+ A B A- A+ A+
1.15 59% 50% 37% +4 +1 1.12 34% 0.7 .23 17% .24 92% .22 0.93 47% 50% 32% -2 -1 0.96 34% 0.7 .24 20% .19 50% .10
Feb
14		 Queens F+ C+ A F D- 54% 7% 39% A D+ C+ F D F F+ F+ F B- F A F F 43% 14% 43% D+ F A+ F B A+ F A D+
1.03 61% 50% 27% -1 +3 1.05 35% 0.8 .30 19% .28 67% .19 1.11 81% 29% 43% +14 +1 1.33 19% 1.4 .26 23% .40 67% .26
Feb
18		 Bellarmine D+ A F A+ B- 24% 6% 69% B- B F F F D+ F A+ F C+ D A+ B B 44% 15% 41% C+ B F+ B+ D+ F A+ A+ A+
1.17 75% 0% 44% +12 +1 1.29 17% 0.8 .14 17% .19 90% .17 1.13 67% 25% 32% +1 +1 1.06 26% 1.0 .26 11% .19 64% .12
Feb
21		 North Alabama C- A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 13% 52% C- A+ F F F D- F F F A C+ C A+ A+ 41% 33% 25% A+ A+ D A+ B C- A+ A A+
1.17 88% 67% 42% +20 +1 1.43 17% 0.5 .09 18% .17 56% .10 0.82 52% 35% 0% -16 -1 0.67 34% 0.8 .27 18% .19 60% .12
Feb
25		 West Georgia C- C+ A+ F C- 61% 5% 33% A C C- F F+ B- D D- D- F F F D F 50% 20% 30% F F A+ A A+ F C- A+ A-
1.09 63% 67% 26% +1 +4 1.11 30% 0.6 .19 13% .29 67% .19 1.19 75% 55% 35% +12 +1 1.29 18% 0.8 .15 10% .28 44% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 42.5 57.5 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 42.5 57.5 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 57.5% 16.4% 16.4% 14.6 0.0 0.2 3.3 5.5 0.4 48.1
11-7 42.5% 14.2% 14.2% 15.2 0.0 0.6 3.5 1.9 36.5
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.5% 15.5% 0.0% 14.9 84.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.4% 100.0% 14.6 0.1 2.0 35.4 58.3 4.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 8.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 18.4%
Lose Out 16.0%