Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#176
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#211
Pace70.0#175
Improvement+7.3#1

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#237
First Shot-1.7#218
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#220
Layup/Dunks-1.0#223
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#364
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.3#9
Freethrows-4.1#353
Improvement+2.4#20

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#131
First Shot+0.4#152
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#146
Layups/Dunks-3.4#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#47
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#140
Freethrows+1.1#117
Improvement+4.8#3
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.5% 21.5% 15.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 71.4% 82.8% 61.7%
.500 or above in Conference 87.6% 91.0% 84.8%
Conference Champion 24.8% 30.2% 20.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.5% 0.9%
First Four1.7% 1.1% 2.1%
First Round17.8% 21.1% 15.0%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Away) - 46.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 414 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 19 @Vanderbilt L 61-105 4%     0 - 1 -25.0 -8.7 -13.5
  Sun, Nov 9 206 @Mercer L 77-92 45%     0 - 2 -15.0 +3.9 -19.2
  Tue, Nov 11 218 @UNC Asheville L 64-69 47%     0 - 3 -5.6 -5.1 -0.9
  Wed, Nov 19 94 @Belmont L 68-75 17%     0 - 4 +1.6 -6.1 +8.4
  Sat, Nov 22 278 Western Carolina W 83-62 78%     1 - 4 +11.6 +1.8 +8.6
  Wed, Nov 26 183 @Marshall W 90-67 40%     2 - 4 +24.3 +9.1 +12.9
  Sat, Nov 29 211 @Southeast Missouri St. L 72-73 46%    
  Wed, Dec 3 322 Tennessee Tech W 75-65 83%    
  Sun, Dec 7 293 Alabama A&M W 75-66 79%    
  Tue, Dec 16 2 @Duke L 59-86 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 65 @Cincinnati L 65-78 12%    
  Thu, Jan 1 269 Jacksonville W 72-65 75%    
  Sat, Jan 3 341 North Florida W 85-72 88%    
  Thu, Jan 8 344 @Stetson W 76-69 74%    
  Sat, Jan 10 164 @Florida Gulf Coast L 73-77 37%    
  Thu, Jan 15 294 Bellarmine W 78-69 80%    
  Sat, Jan 17 165 Austin Peay W 71-69 59%    
  Thu, Jan 22 344 Stetson W 79-66 88%    
  Sat, Jan 24 164 Florida Gulf Coast W 76-74 59%    
  Thu, Jan 29 269 @Jacksonville W 69-68 55%    
  Sat, Jan 31 341 @North Florida W 82-75 72%    
  Thu, Feb 5 165 @Austin Peay L 68-72 38%    
  Sat, Feb 7 317 Central Arkansas W 76-66 81%    
  Wed, Feb 11 258 Eastern Kentucky W 78-71 74%    
  Sat, Feb 14 210 @Queens L 76-77 46%    
  Thu, Feb 19 294 @Bellarmine W 75-72 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 242 North Alabama W 74-68 71%    
  Wed, Feb 25 311 @West Georgia W 73-69 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 258 @Eastern Kentucky W 75-74 53%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 3.5 6.5 7.1 4.5 1.9 0.5 24.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 4.5 6.9 4.7 1.4 0.1 18.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.1 6.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.2 2.2 0.4 11.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 4.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.5 1.9 0.3 5.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.3 5.8 8.8 10.7 12.9 14.0 13.9 11.8 8.5 4.7 1.9 0.5 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 100.0% 1.9    1.9 0.0
16-2 96.9% 4.5    4.1 0.5 0.0
15-3 82.9% 7.1    5.1 1.9 0.2
14-4 55.1% 6.5    3.1 2.7 0.7 0.0
13-5 24.9% 3.5    0.9 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.8% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 24.8% 24.8 15.6 7.0 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 53.9% 53.9% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
17-1 1.9% 44.6% 44.6% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.1
16-2 4.7% 39.0% 39.0% 13.7 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.9
15-3 8.5% 33.8% 33.8% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.9 0.1 5.6
14-4 11.8% 28.2% 28.2% 14.6 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.6 0.2 8.5
13-5 13.9% 22.0% 22.0% 14.8 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.5 10.8
12-6 14.0% 18.3% 18.3% 15.1 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.7 11.4
11-7 12.9% 12.7% 12.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 11.2
10-8 10.7% 11.6% 11.6% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.5
9-9 8.8% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.1 0.5 8.2
8-10 5.8% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.3 5.6
7-11 3.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 3.3
6-12 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
5-13 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.5% 18.5% 0.0% 14.7 0.1 0.2 1.9 5.5 6.9 4.0 81.5 0.0%