Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +0.5 148
Results Rating -0.1 160
Consistency 0.15 168
Pace 68.5 182
Improvement -2.6 286

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 221 C+ C- C- D D
Defense C+ 107 B C C- C+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 326 C+ 61% 104 -2.3 267
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 167 C+ 39% 120 +2.0 78
Three Pointers 42% 157 C+ 35% 120 +1.5 131
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -0.9 302 B- +2.1 104
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 139
Second Chance D+ 27.0% 277 C 1.04 164 C- 0.28 252
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 187
Other Turnovers D 8.4% 310
Turnovers C- 17.9% 259
Freethrows D 0.27 285 D 69% 294 D 0.19 313
Total Offense C- -1.9 221

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 43% 269 B 8.5% 50
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 205 B- 3.6% 74
Three Pointers C- 82% 227 B- 0.5% 89
Total D+ 51% 269 B+ 3.9% 24

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 165 B+ 51% 29 -2.4 96
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 33 C+ 37% 119 +1.9 323
Three Pointers 34% 343 C+ 33% 110 -4.1 28
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 62 B -3.8 41
1st FG Attempt B 0.93 40
Second Chance C- 31.3% 231 C 1.03 167 C 0.32 216
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.3% 271
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 111
Turnovers C- 16.1% 220
Freethrows C+ 0.29 132 D+ 74% 282 C+ 0.21 149
Total Defense C+ +2.5 107

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 182 B+ 15.8% 40
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 25% 175 D 2.4% 317
Three Pointers C+ 83% 146 C- 0.7% 191
Total C+ 52% 113 B- 7.1% 71

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 174 17.4 189
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 134 0.13 54
Consistency 0.13 233 0.11 94
Improvement +1.0 133 -3.7 334

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 164 151 136
Results Rating Rank 185 163 138
Conference Record 6 - 12 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 9 8 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 13.0
.500 or above 26% 48% 2%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Seattle (Home) - 52.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 37 - 48 - 13
Quad 47 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 178 Eastern Washington W 70 - 62 68% +1  55% 1 - 0 C+ +4 F -10 F+ A- D A+ +14 A- A+ C
 Sat, Nov 8 330 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94 - 72 90% +9  89% 2 - 0 B +8 A- +10 A+ F A+ C- -2 C- D+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 246 @UTEP W 71 - 58 59% +3  63% 3 - 0 B +11 B- +4 A A+ F A- +8 A- B+ F+
 Fri, Nov 14 151 Troy W 74 - 63 62% +3  78% 4 - 0 B +8 D+ -3 A- F C+ A +11 B B A+
 Mon, Nov 17 142 @UC Santa Barbara W 78 - 74 OT 36% -3  27% 5 - 0 B +8 C- -2 C D- D A +10 A+ C- F
 Mon, Nov 24 120 Florida Atlantic L 65 - 76 41% -7  2% 5 - 1 D -8 D+ -3 C- D- C+ D -6 D C- B+
 Tue, Nov 25 210 Ohio W 70 - 58 62% +4  51% 6 - 1 B +9 F+ -9 F+ C- F A+ +18 A+ B A+
 Fri, Nov 28 219 Stony Brook L 68 - 71 75% -6  26% 6 - 2 D -9 F+ -8 D B F C -1 C+ C- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 25 Saint Louis L 70 - 91 13% -12  3% 6 - 3 D -8 D -5 C+ C D C -1 B F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 132 UC San Diego L 57 - 67 57% -3  25% 6 - 4 D- -11 F -18 C F F B+ +7 B- D+ A+
 Fri, Dec 19 342 North Alabama W 91 - 57 92% +22  99% 7 - 4 A +19 B+ +9 B+ A+ B- A +10 A+ A F
 Tue, Dec 23 348 Morgan St. W 83 - 56 93% +16  99% 8 - 4 B +11 C- -1 A- C- F+ A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Sun, Dec 28 37 St. Mary's L 73 - 78 16% -1  24% 8 - 5 0 - 1 B- +6 A+ +17 A A+ A+ F -12 D+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 118 Pacific W 80 - 71 52% -1  34% 9 - 5 1 - 1 B +9 B +6 A+ F+ C+ B- +3 A+ C- D+
 Fri, Jan 2 127 @Washington St. L 76 - 78 31% +1  49% 9 - 6 1 - 2 C+ +4 C +1 C- D+ B+ B- +2 D+ A+ C-
 Sun, Jan 4 11 @Gonzaga L 47 - 82 3% -15  19% 9 - 7 1 - 3 D- -13 F -16 F D B B- +3 C+ C+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 128 San Francisco W 84 - 82 2OT 54% +1  45% 10 - 7 2 - 3 C +1 D+ -4 C D- A- B +5 A+ D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 43 @Santa Clara L 72 - 103 9% -17  0% 10 - 8 2 - 4 F+ -16 D -4 D- C+ C F+ -9 C+ F+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 155 @Oregon St. L 70 - 76 40% -1  39% 10 - 9 2 - 5 C- -3 D+ -4 F A F C+ +1 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 224 Portland L 58 - 71 75% -11  5% 10 - 10 2 - 6 F -20 F -19 F D F C -0 C+ B+ D-
 Wed, Jan 21 125 @Seattle L 59 - 69 31% -12  7% 10 - 11 2 - 7 C- -4 D -6 A- F F C+ +2 A- C- F
 Wed, Jan 28 155 Oregon St. L 69 - 72 63% -0  42% 10 - 12 2 - 8 D+ -6 D+ -4 B- D+ C+ C- -3 F+ D- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 43 Santa Clara L 73 - 104 20% -17  0% 10 - 13 2 - 9 F -22 D- -7 C- D F F -12 D F C
 Wed, Feb 4 128 @San Francisco W 84 - 75 32% +9  99% 11 - 13 3 - 9 B+ +14 A- +11 A D D+ B- +3 A+ B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 233 San Diego W 83 - 63 76% +17  99% 12 - 13 4 - 9 B+ +13 A +12 A- D+ A+ B- +3 A- C+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 118 @Pacific L 59 - 65 30% -2  50% 12 - 14 4 - 10 C +0 D -6 C+ D- F B+ +5 C+ B- F+
 Sat, Feb 14 280 @Pepperdine L 89 - 90 66% +2  67% 12 - 15 4 - 11 C- -5 A- +10 B B+ A+ F -15 F D+ D-
 Sat, Feb 21 233 @San Diego W 77 - 65 56% +7  94% 13 - 15 5 - 11 B +11 A- +10 A+ F C+ B- +3 B- C- D+
 Wed, Feb 25 127 Washington St. W 67 - 66 53% -5  5% 14 - 15 6 - 11 C +1 F+ -9 F+ C- A+ A +10 A- D- A+
 Sat, Feb 28 125 Seattle W 67 - 66 53%
Totals 15 - 15 7 - 11 +1 C- -2 C+ B- D C+ +2 C+ D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ C+ C+ B- 33% 39% 42% D C+ D+ C C- C- D D D C+ B+ C+ C+ B 39% 27% 34% B B C- C C C- C+ D+ C+
1.06 61% 39% 35% +2 -1 1.04 27% 1.0 .28 18% .27 69% .19 1.05 51% 37% 33% -4 -1 0.93 31% 1.0 .32 16% .29 74% .20
Nov
5		 Eastern Washington F D C+ F+ F+ 36% 19% 45% D+ F+ D- A+ A- D B F D+ A+ C B- A+ B+ 40% 36% 23% A A- A+ A+ A+ C F A- F
0.99 53% 44% 29% -4 0 0.94 26% 1.8 .47 18% .37 62% .23 0.88 58% 35% 27% -3 -2 0.91 18% 0.5 .09 18% .44 68% .30
Nov
8		 Arkansas Pine Bluff A- A+ F A+ A+ 23% 11% 66% D+ A+ D F F A+ B+ F D C- D C B C- 40% 30% 30% B- C- F B D+ C A+ F B
1.33 83% 0% 49% +16 0 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 8% .43 57% .25 1.02 62% 38% 31% 0 -1 1.00 33% 0.8 .28 18% .19 100% .19
Nov
11		 UTEP B- A D- A+ A+ 30% 20% 50% C A C+ A+ A+ F F A F A- A+ A- F B+ 22% 43% 35% A+ A- B A B+ F+ B+ F+ B-
1.13 69% 33% 45% +11 -1 1.23 36% 1.4 .52 30% .11 80% .09 0.92 27% 27% 44% -6 -4 0.82 23% 0.8 .18 13% .22 75% .16
Nov
14		 Troy D+ A- A+ B A+ 33% 33% 35% F A- F C- F C+ F F F A A+ F C B+ 40% 10% 50% C B B B- B A+ F F+ F
1.07 67% 56% 37% +10 -2 1.18 19% 1.0 .19 16% .19 45% .09 0.91 41% 50% 33% -6 +2 0.93 30% 0.9 .27 29% .41 80% .32
Nov
17		 UC Santa Barbara C- F D+ A+ C 37% 21% 42% C- C B- F D- D A+ F C A B A+ A+ A+ 39% 24% 37% B- A+ B+ F C- F A- A- A
1.06 47% 36% 45% +3 0 1.08 31% 0.7 .21 19% .48 52% .25 1.00 54% 27% 26% -9 0 0.84 27% 1.3 .33 8% .25 71% .18
Nov
24		 Florida Atlantic D+ D+ F A C- 43% 22% 35% D+ C- C+ F D- C+ F B- F+ D C- F D- F+ 30% 22% 48% B+ D F A+ C- B+ B- F D+
1.01 52% 18% 41% -3 0 0.96 29% 0.6 .18 15% .22 75% .16 1.18 60% 55% 38% +7 -1 1.14 45% 0.8 .36 20% .27 86% .23
Nov
25		 Ohio F+ C- A+ F F+ 38% 19% 42% C- F+ B- F+ C- F C- D+ C- A+ A+ A B A+ 37% 20% 43% D+ A+ C- A B A+ F A+ F
0.97 55% 50% 23% -6 0 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 22% .30 71% .21 0.81 29% 33% 30% -14 0 0.74 29% 0.8 .22 24% .53 59% .31
Nov
28		 Stony Brook F+ B+ F F+ D- 38% 13% 50% B D B+ C B F A A A+ C A+ F B C+ 38% 21% 40% C+ C+ B F C- D- F F F
1.00 67% 17% 29% -3 +1 0.98 39% 0.9 .35 22% .38 80% .30 1.04 33% 80% 32% -2 0 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 15% .38 82% .31
Dec
2		 Saint Louis D C+ A- F C 40% 20% 40% B- C+ C- B+ C D D- D+ D- C D+ F B+ B+ 52% 4% 45% D B F D+ F A+ B F+ C+
0.91 55% 45% 23% -7 0 0.89 23% 1.0 .23 18% .27 71% .19 1.18 66% 50% 32% +3 +3 1.14 49% 1.1 .54 23% .25 80% .20
Dec
16		 UC San Diego F D A+ D+ C+ 24% 20% 57% D C F+ F F F F F F B+ D A+ A+ B 57% 16% 27% D B- F A D+ A+ F A+ B-
0.80 50% 50% 31% -2 -1 0.96 21% 0.5 .11 25% .19 40% .08 0.95 64% 25% 23% -3 +2 1.00 37% 0.8 .31 23% .35 47% .16
Dec
19		 North Alabama B+ D A+ A+ B+ 40% 9% 51% B- B+ B- A+ A+ B- C F D A A+ C- A+ A+ 43% 31% 25% A A+ C+ A+ A F F B- F+
1.32 55% 60% 43% +7 +2 1.20 38% 1.6 .59 13% .28 65% .18 0.83 32% 38% 23% -16 -1 0.69 30% 0.7 .21 12% .41 64% .26
Dec
23		 Morgan St. C- B- A+ B+ A- 44% 9% 47% C+ A- C+ D- C- F+ A- F C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 49% 19% A+ A+ F D F A+ C- A+ B-
1.19 65% 75% 38% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.1 .41 19% .49 61% .30 0.80 33% 22% 22% -19 -4 0.55 43% 1.0 .41 24% .36 63% .23
Dec
28		 St. Mary's A+ D- A+ A A+ 28% 34% 38% F A A- A+ A+ A+ B- F C- F B- C- F D 40% 29% 31% B+ D+ C F F F D+ A+ B-
1.23 46% 56% 39% +6 -3 1.09 32% 1.4 .46 10% .26 64% .17 1.31 56% 38% 50% +7 -1 1.13 38% 1.5 .55 10% .36 68% .24
Dec
30		 Pacific B D- A+ A+ A+ 20% 33% 47% D- A+ D F F+ C+ A- C B+ B- A+ C+ F A+ 52% 22% 26% D A+ D- B- C- D+ F C- F
1.15 50% 59% 42% +11 -3 1.18 21% 0.7 .14 14% .39 70% .27 1.02 29% 40% 42% -12 +1 0.80 39% 0.9 .37 19% .46 77% .35
Jan
2		 Washington St. C D- C C+ D+ 44% 19% 37% B C- F+ A D+ B+ B D C+ B- C+ F F D- 35% 25% 39% A- D+ A+ A+ A+ C- B+ F C
1.09 50% 40% 35% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .24 11% .32 70% .23 1.12 61% 54% 45% +12 -1 1.24 19% 0.6 .11 17% .22 92% .21
Jan
4		 Gonzaga F C+ F D+ D- 13% 52% 36% F F C- F D B F F F B- F D+ A C 31% 38% 31% A C+ B D C+ D A+ A+ A+
0.68 57% 21% 30% -11 -6 0.68 22% 0.6 .13 19% .12 43% .05 1.19 83% 45% 28% +8 -3 1.12 32% 1.3 .41 12% .16 40% .07
Jan
8		 San Francisco D+ D+ C+ C C- 47% 22% 31% B- C F A D- A- F A+ F B A A+ A- A+ 37% 23% 40% B A+ C- D D+ C+ D F F+
1.05 53% 40% 33% -2 0 0.99 15% 1.3 .21 10% .12 100% .12 1.02 45% 21% 29% -11 0 0.78 33% 1.2 .40 16% .37 80% .30
Jan
10		 Santa Clara D A F+ F D 31% 28% 41% F D- F+ A+ C+ C C F D+ F+ A F F C+ 37% 19% 43% B- C+ D- D F+ F D- D+ D-
0.94 71% 27% 23% -6 -1 0.87 22% 1.5 .33 21% .33 65% .21 1.34 48% 54% 41% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.2 .51 9% .30 76% .23
Jan
14		 Oregon St. D+ B- F F F 39% 28% 33% D- F C+ A+ A F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D- A+ A+ 36% 19% 45% C A+ D- F F F F F F
1.00 61% 8% 27% -11 -1 0.78 32% 1.5 .47 21% .45 96% .43 1.08 35% 44% 24% -14 0 0.74 31% 1.5 .46 13% .51 94% .47
Jan
17		 Portland F D- F F F 21% 31% 48% F F F+ B+ D F B- B B C A B- F C 38% 30% 32% A C+ B- A B+ D- D C- D
0.83 50% 13% 26% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.2 .29 22% .33 78% .26 1.02 47% 33% 44% -1 -1 0.98 26% 1.0 .26 17% .35 75% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
21		 Seattle D A+ D B- A 36% 20% 44% C A- F F F F B- F C- C+ D+ A A+ A 44% 22% 33% C+ A- B F C- F B- F D+
0.86 69% 33% 35% +4 0 1.09 18% 0.0 .00 29% .33 63% .20 1.00 63% 25% 22% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.1 .24 10% .27 82% .23
Jan
28		 Oregon St. D+ A A+ D- A- 25% 35% 40% F B- F+ B+ D+ C+ F F F C- C+ F D- F 33% 27% 40% A- F+ F+ C D- A+ A C- A-
1.05 69% 50% 29% +4 -3 1.04 24% 1.1 .26 14% .19 64% .12 1.09 53% 58% 39% +7 -1 1.13 32% 1.2 .39 24% .28 79% .22
Jan
31		 Santa Clara D- A- A F C- 45% 21% 33% C- C- D C- D F A+ B+ A+ F C- D- F D 36% 14% 50% C- D F C- F C F F F
0.94 68% 44% 14% -4 0 0.95 26% 1.0 .26 28% .63 77% .49 1.34 62% 50% 41% +9 +1 1.21 46% 1.2 .54 15% .34 82% .27
Feb
4		 San Francisco A- B+ D- A+ A+ 38% 25% 37% C- A C+ F D D+ A B- A B- B A+ B A+ 34% 23% 43% B A+ B+ B B+ F+ F F F
1.22 65% 31% 47% +8 -1 1.17 29% 0.8 .24 15% .36 76% .27 1.09 53% 0% 32% -12 -1 0.77 28% 1.0 .28 12% .69 88% .61
Feb
7		 San Diego A A+ A+ F A 39% 22% 39% D+ A- C+ F+ D+ A+ B- B B B- A- F A B+ 27% 37% 35% A+ A- A- F+ C+ F B C+ B-
1.32 79% 73% 26% +11 0 1.24 36% 0.9 .32 11% .37 76% .29 1.00 50% 47% 28% -2 -3 0.92 24% 1.1 .26 13% .20 73% .15
Feb
11		 Pacific D A- A+ F B 12% 43% 45% F C+ F A D- F F A+ D- B+ F+ B- A+ C+ 49% 27% 24% C C+ C B B- F+ A A- A
0.94 67% 52% 27% +3 -5 0.98 14% 1.3 .17 19% .22 82% .18 1.03 67% 38% 25% +1 0 1.04 34% 0.9 .31 16% .19 70% .13
Feb
14		 Pepperdine A- C- A- A+ B+ 40% 23% 37% D- B D+ A+ B+ A+ B F+ C+ F D+ C- F F 44% 25% 31% C- F C- D+ D+ D- F B F
1.25 57% 46% 43% +6 0 1.14 29% 1.5 .44 10% .31 65% .20 1.26 61% 38% 56% +12 0 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 15% .42 72% .30
Feb
21		 San Diego A- B+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 33% 37% F A+ F F F C+ A- A A B- B B F+ B- 41% 26% 33% C B- C C- C- D+ C- B+ C
1.24 69% 57% 50% +19 -2 1.35 14% 0.7 .10 18% .41 81% .33 1.05 53% 33% 40% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 16% .25 69% .17
Feb
25		 Washington St. F+ D- C+ F F+ 37% 31% 31% D F+ C D+ C- A+ C- A C+ A B+ B- F B+ 37% 29% 35% A A- C F D- A+ A+ F A+
0.99 50% 41% 24% -7 -2 0.85 28% 1.0 .28 9% .27 82% .23 0.97 56% 36% 41% +2 -1 1.04 30% 1.3 .37 25% .12 83% .10



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 9.2 9.2 6th
7th 29.6 29.6 7th
8th 13.7 13.7 8th
9th 47.5 47.5 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 47.5 52.5 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 52.5% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 52.5
6-12 47.5% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 47.5
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.2%
Lose Out 28.8%