Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#114
Expected Predictive Rating+8.4#70
Pace67.7#241
Improvement-0.2#194

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#190
First Shot+0.5#160
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#267
Layup/Dunks+0.0#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#39
Freethrows-3.3#335
Improvement-1.0#278

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#65
First Shot+2.2#100
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#68
Layups/Dunks+5.3#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#261
Freethrows-0.1#194
Improvement+0.8#104
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.4% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.2 11.2 11.7
.500 or above 90.6% 92.7% 78.2%
.500 or above in Conference 63.6% 65.4% 53.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.3% 2.6%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round1.1% 1.2% 0.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Home) - 85.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 37 - 49 - 11
Quad 410 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 240 Eastern Washington W 70-62 85%     1 - 0 +0.4 -8.7 +9.0
  Sat, Nov 8 363 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94-72 97%     2 - 0 +3.4 +11.2 -8.0
  Tue, Nov 11 234 @UTEP W 71-58 67%     3 - 0 +11.8 +8.4 +4.8
  Fri, Nov 14 131 Troy W 74-63 66%     4 - 0 +10.0 +2.2 +7.9
  Mon, Nov 17 141 @UC Santa Barbara W 78-74 OT 47%     5 - 0 +8.0 +0.6 +7.2
  Mon, Nov 24 111 Florida Atlantic L 65-76 49%     5 - 1 -7.5 -3.0 -5.4
  Tue, Nov 25 207 Ohio W 70-58 73%     6 - 1 +9.0 -7.1 +15.7
  Fri, Nov 28 251 Stony Brook W 73-62 85%    
  Tue, Dec 2 50 Saint Louis L 71-75 35%    
  Tue, Dec 16 96 UC San Diego W 72-71 53%    
  Fri, Dec 19 242 North Alabama W 75-64 85%    
  Tue, Dec 23 360 Morgan St. W 83-63 97%    
  Sun, Dec 28 30 St. Mary's L 62-69 25%    
  Tue, Dec 30 144 Pacific W 72-66 70%    
  Fri, Jan 2 157 @Washington St. W 75-74 52%    
  Sun, Jan 4 6 @Gonzaga L 63-82 4%    
  Thu, Jan 8 77 San Francisco L 70-71 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 59 @Santa Clara L 66-75 20%    
  Wed, Jan 14 169 @Oregon St. W 67-66 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 274 Portland W 77-65 87%    
  Wed, Jan 21 116 @Seattle L 67-70 40%    
  Wed, Jan 28 169 Oregon St. W 70-63 75%    
  Sat, Jan 31 59 Santa Clara L 69-72 39%    
  Tue, Feb 3 77 @San Francisco L 67-74 26%    
  Sat, Feb 7 247 San Diego W 79-68 83%    
  Wed, Feb 11 144 @Pacific L 68-69 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 264 @Pepperdine W 72-66 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 247 @San Diego W 76-71 67%    
  Wed, Feb 25 157 Washington St. W 78-71 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 116 Seattle W 70-67 61%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.5 2.2 4.7 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.0 6.2 4.0 0.9 0.0 15.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.5 7.5 3.6 0.5 0.0 16.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.5 6.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 15.2 6th
7th 0.4 3.2 5.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.6 2.1 0.2 9.3 8th
9th 0.2 1.3 3.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.7 0.8 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.8 6.6 9.9 13.2 14.3 15.4 12.4 9.8 6.4 3.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 92.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 44.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-3 17.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
14-4 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 25.9% 7.4% 18.5% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 20.0%
16-2 0.5% 27.2% 17.9% 9.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 11.3%
15-3 1.3% 11.5% 5.5% 6.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1 6.4%
14-4 3.3% 10.1% 7.1% 3.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.9 3.2%
13-5 6.4% 3.9% 3.3% 0.6% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.2 0.6%
12-6 9.8% 1.2% 1.2% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.7
11-7 12.4% 0.9% 0.9% 11.3 0.1 0.0 12.3
10-8 15.4% 0.6% 0.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.3
9-9 14.3% 0.3% 0.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 14.3
8-10 13.2% 0.2% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 13.2
7-11 9.9% 9.9
6-12 6.6% 6.6
5-13 3.8% 3.8
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.3% 1.0% 0.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 98.7 0.3%