Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.7 #130
Expected Predictive Rating +1.8 #136
Pace 67.8 #221
Improvement -1.2 #250

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #201 C C- C F D+
Defense #89 A- C C B- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #296 1.17 #168 -2.4 #268
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #141 0.78 #140 +1.0 #118
Three Pointers 43% #137 1.06 #124 +2.3 #103
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #153 +1.0 #155
Freethrows 13.4 #338 64% #357 8.6 #355
Second Chance 28.4% #245 1.06 #174 0.30 #227
Turnovers 17.0% #202
Total Offense -1.3 #201

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #172 0.97 #17 +3.3 #76
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #39 0.72 #134 -1.9 #311
Three Pointers 34% #338 0.97 #126 +4.0 #42
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #34 +5.5 #34
Freethrows 15.4 #89 74% #243 11.4 #257
Second Chance 31.0% #193 1.03 #168 0.32 #177
Turnovers 16.6% #187
Total Defense +3.0 #89

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #261 -1.4% #69
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.0% #137 -9.5% #36
Possession Length 17.7 #210 16.6 #68
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #210 0.12 #41
Improvement +1.6 #90 -2.7 #323

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.1 12.4
.500 or above 81.2% 90.6% 71.1%
.500 or above in Conference 53.7% 67.9% 38.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.3% 1.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 51.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 37 - 58 - 12
Quad 49 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 255 Eastern Washington W 70 - 62 83% +1  1 - 0 -0 -10 F A- D+ +9 A- A+ B-
 Sat, Nov 8 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94 - 72 91% +9  2 - 0 +9 +13 A+ F A+ -5 D+ C+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 257 @UTEP W 71 - 58 66% +3  3 - 0 +11 +6 A+ A+ F +6 A- A+ F
 Fri, Nov 14 125 Troy W 74 - 63 60% +3  4 - 0 +10 +1 A F B- +9 A- B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 17 181 @UC Santa Barbara W 78 - 74 OT 51% -3  5 - 0 +5 -1 C F D- +6 A+ D+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 102 Florida Atlantic L 65 - 76 37% -7  5 - 1 -6 -0 D+ D B- -7 D C+ B+
 Tue, Nov 25 178 Ohio W 70 - 58 62% +4  6 - 1 +11 -6 D- F F +16 A+ B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 274 Stony Brook L 68 - 71 85% -6  6 - 2 -12 -6 D- B+ F -6 C C- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 32 Saint Louis L 70 - 91 19% -12  6 - 3 -10 -4 C C F -4 A F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 109 UC San Diego L 57 - 67 52% -3  6 - 4 -9 -17 C F F +8 B+ C A+
 Fri, Dec 19 279 North Alabama W 91 - 57 85% +22  7 - 4 +24 +15 A+ A+ C+ +10 A+ B- F
 Tue, Dec 23 363 Morgan St. W 83 - 56 96% +16  8 - 4 +8 +1 B- D+ F +7 A+ F A+
 Sun, Dec 28 42 St. Mary's L 73 - 78 24% -1  8 - 5 0 - 1 +4 +17 A A+ A+ -14 C- F F
 Tue, Dec 30 144 Pacific W 80 - 71 64% -1  9 - 5 1 - 1 +7 +6 A+ F B- +1 A+ D+ D+
 Fri, Jan 2 136 @Washington St. L 76 - 78 40% +1  9 - 6 1 - 2 +2 +6 C C- A -3 F A+ C-
 Sun, Jan 4 10 @Gonzaga L 47 - 82 3% -15  9 - 7 1 - 3 -12 -15 F D- C+ +3 B C D
 Thu, Jan 8 103 San Francisco W 84 - 82 2OT 49% +1  10 - 7 2 - 3 +4 +2 C+ D- A+ +2 A+ D- C
 Sat, Jan 10 55 @Santa Clara L 72 - 103 15% -17  10 - 8 2 - 4 -18 -2 D- C C- -13 C D- F
 Wed, Jan 14 189 @Oregon St. W 69 - 68 52%
 Sat, Jan 17 233 Portland W 77 - 68 79%
 Wed, Jan 21 121 @Seattle L 66 - 70 36%
 Wed, Jan 28 189 Oregon St. W 72 - 66 73%
 Sat, Jan 31 55 Santa Clara L 72 - 77 32%
 Tue, Feb 3 103 @San Francisco L 66 - 72 28%
 Sat, Feb 7 222 San Diego W 78 - 70 77%
 Wed, Feb 11 144 @Pacific L 69 - 71 42%
 Sat, Feb 14 286 @Pepperdine W 71 - 65 70%
 Sat, Feb 21 222 @San Diego W 75 - 73 57%
 Wed, Feb 25 136 Washington St. W 73 - 70 62%
 Sat, Feb 28 121 Seattle W 69 - 67 58%
Totals 17 - 13 9 - 9 +2 -1 C C- C +3 A- C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.3 0.9 0.1 5.9 3rd
4th 0.2 3.5 9.8 7.4 2.3 0.3 23.4 4th
5th 0.0 2.4 9.7 5.9 0.7 0.0 18.7 5th
6th 1.1 8.2 6.1 0.8 16.2 6th
7th 0.2 4.7 6.9 1.0 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.9 6.0 1.5 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.0 2.1 0.1 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.9 2.0 0.2 4.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.5 8.2 14.0 19.3 20.2 17.0 10.2 4.7 1.3 0.2 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.2% 0.2
13-5 1.3% 2.7% 2.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 1.3
12-6 4.7% 1.1% 1.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7
11-7 10.2% 0.6% 0.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 10.1
10-8 17.0% 0.4% 0.4% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 17.0
9-9 20.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 20.2
8-10 19.3% 0.1% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 19.3
7-11 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 14.0
6-12 8.2% 8.2
5-13 3.5% 3.5
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 12.2 99.7 0.0%