Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -1.8 187
Results Rating -2.1 197
Consistency 0.16 210
Pace 67.8 199
Improvement +3.7 52

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 242 C- C C- C D+
Defense C 149 C- C B C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 233 D+ 54% 272 -2.4 270
2 Pt. Jumpers 47% 79 C- 37% 198 +1.9 82
Three Pointers 37% 258 C+ 35% 150 -1.6 236
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 293 C- -1.2 222
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 240
Second Chance C+ 31.2% 160 C- 1.01 210 C 0.31 165
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 204
Other Turnovers D+ 8.0% 268
Turnovers C- 17.6% 237
Freethrows C- 0.30 207 C+ 74% 130 C 0.22 180
Total Offense C- -2.5 242

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 55% 75 D 13.6% 321
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 60 C+ 4.7% 167
Three Pointers C 83% 211 C 0.9% 204
Total C+ 59% 112 D+ 6.6% 287

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 122 C 58% 170 +1.3 218
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 259 C+ 37% 121 -1.2 87
Three Pointers 41% 182 D+ 36% 260 +1.1 238
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 264 C +0.6 205
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 215
Second Chance C- 32.0% 252 C+ 0.98 114 C 0.31 195
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.4% 106
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 58
Turnovers B 18.8% 64
Freethrows C+ 0.28 123 C 73% 198 C+ 0.21 127
Total Defense C +0.7 149

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 136 C 11.3% 157
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 47 B 7.9% 47
Three Pointers C 84% 177 A 2.6% 11
Total C+ 54% 155 B- 7.1% 65

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 179 17.5 215
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 106 0.18 221
Consistency 0.11 81 0.11 107
Improvement +1.4 109 +2.2 72

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 212 187 163
Results Rating Rank 238 193 165
Conference Record 9 - 9 10 - 8 11 - 7
Conference Finish 6 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 7% 5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 69% 84% 38%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round6% 7% 5%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Elon (Home) - 66.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 36 - 56 - 9
Quad 410 - 616 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 212 @La Salle L 60 - 73 43% -3  14% 0 - 1 D- -13 F+ -10 D- C+ F D+ -4 D+ C+ C
 Thu, Nov 13 54 @Seton Hall L 58 - 70 9% -2  39% 0 - 2 C +1 D+ -3 F A+ F B- +3 B- A+ F+
 Tue, Nov 18 74 @Syracuse L 73 - 78 12% -5  13% 0 - 3 B- +6 C +2 C+ D B B +4 B- C B-
 Sun, Nov 23 161 Robert Morris W 71 - 70 OT 56% -1  42% 1 - 3 C- -2 D -6 F A- C B- +3 B C+ C
 Fri, Nov 28 313 Ball St. W 80 - 73 76% +4  72% 2 - 3 C- -2 B +7 C+ B+ A F+ -9 F B D+
 Sat, Nov 29 293 Le Moyne L 79 - 83 72% -1  27% 2 - 4 D- -12 C+ +3 F A+ B+ F -15 F D- C
 Sun, Nov 30 323 @Lafayette W 88 - 74 70% +13  92% 3 - 4 B- +7 B+ +9 A+ F D+ C- -3 D+ C C+
 Wed, Dec 3 252 Princeton W 63 - 58 73% +3  80% 4 - 4 C- -3 F -14 F+ F C A+ +11 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 143 @Georgia Tech L 67 - 79 29% -2  18% 4 - 5 D+ -8 D -6 F+ C+ A+ C- -2 D+ B+ B+
 Sun, Dec 14 245 @Fairfield L 65 - 73 50% -0  52% 4 - 6 D -10 D -6 D D- C- D+ -5 F+ D D+
 Wed, Dec 17 211 Quinnipiac L 75 - 85 65% -15  0% 4 - 7 F+ -16 D+ -3 C- F C- F -12 F C- D+
 Sun, Dec 21 295 Lehigh W 76 - 62 81% +7  95% 5 - 7 C+ +3 C- -1 A F F B +5 F B- A+
 Wed, Dec 31 196 Campbell L 65 - 68 63% +2  72% 5 - 8 0 - 1 D -8 F+ -9 F C- A+ C+ +0 A F A
 Sat, Jan 3 174 @Towson W 62 - 48 36% +7  85% 6 - 8 1 - 1 A- +16 D+ -3 C- C+ F A+ +20 A A+ C+
 Thu, Jan 8 139 William & Mary W 81 - 70 49% +3  69% 7 - 8 2 - 1 B +9 C+ +2 C A- A- A- +7 B F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 104 @Hofstra L 64 - 67 OT 20% +1  38% 7 - 9 2 - 2 C+ +4 F+ -10 F D D A+ +14 A+ A- C+
 Thu, Jan 15 215 Drexel L 51 - 73 66% -14  1% 7 - 10 2 - 3 F -28 F -15 F C- F F -16 F F B
 Mon, Jan 19 288 Northeastern W 81 - 68 80% +1  44% 8 - 10 3 - 3 C+ +2 D+ -3 D B+ A B+ +6 C- A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 22 267 @Hampton L 63 - 65 55% -3  16% 8 - 11 3 - 4 D+ -5 D- -7 D+ B F C+ +2 B- F+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 196 @Campbell W 88 - 73 40% +5  80% 9 - 11 4 - 4 A- +16 A- +9 A A+ F B+ +6 B A F
 Thu, Jan 29 275 N.C. A&T W 83 - 81 OT 77% -2  22% 10 - 11 5 - 4 D+ -7 D+ -3 F C B D+ -5 B- F B+
 Sat, Jan 31 104 Hofstra L 57 - 73 38% -10  0% 10 - 12 5 - 5 F+ -15 F -14 D- F A+ C- -2 F+ F A+
 Thu, Feb 5 219 @Stony Brook W 76 - 75 44% +8  98% 11 - 12 6 - 5 C +1 C- -1 D+ F+ B C+ +2 D D+ A+
 Thu, Feb 12 215 @Drexel W 93 - 73 43% +16  91% 12 - 12 7 - 5 A +20 A+ +18 A A- B- C+ +1 F+ A B-
 Sun, Feb 15 174 Towson W 72 - 71 59% -3  18% 13 - 12 8 - 5 C- -3 C+ +3 B- D A D -6 F F A+
 Thu, Feb 19 107 @UNC Wilmington L 69 - 79 20% +0  40% 13 - 13 8 - 6 C- -3 D -5 C F F B- +2 B+ B+ D-
 Sat, Feb 21 147 @College of Charleston L 63 - 74 30% -4  13% 13 - 14 8 - 7 D+ -7 D- -7 C+ F+ F C -1 B- D F
 Thu, Feb 26 219 Stony Brook W 82 - 69 67% +12  98% 14 - 14 9 - 7 B- +7 B +7 A- A+ D C+ +0 C+ D- B-
 Sat, Feb 28 225 Elon W 77 - 72 67%
 Tue, Mar 3 288 @Northeastern W 78 - 75 60%
Totals 15 - 15 10 - 8 -2 C- -3 B C- D+ C +1 C+ C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ C- C+ C- 37% 47% 37% D+ C- C+ C- C C- C- C+ C C C C+ D+ C 41% 18% 41% D+ C- C- C+ C B C+ C C+
1.05 54% 37% 35% -1 -1 0.98 31% 1.0 .31 18% .30 74% .22 1.08 58% 37% 36% +1 +1 1.04 32% 1.0 .31 19% .28 73% .22
Nov
8		 La Salle F+ C- A+ F F 43% 12% 45% B D- B- C- C+ F A D+ B+ D+ B- A+ F C- 54% 20% 26% F D+ F A+ C+ C F D F
0.91 56% 60% 21% -7 +1 0.90 32% 1.1 .35 24% .34 65% .22 1.10 52% 11% 50% -2 +1 1.00 45% 0.7 .30 18% .52 75% .39
Nov
13		 Seton Hall D+ F A- F F 51% 19% 30% B F C A+ A+ F A+ A A+ B- A+ F D- B+ 51% 12% 37% F B- C- A+ A+ F+ F F+ F
0.87 26% 43% 27% -18 +1 0.68 30% 1.7 .50 30% .58 78% .45 1.05 38% 50% 37% -7 +2 0.92 37% 0.6 .21 12% .46 78% .36
Nov
18		 Syracuse C F D B+ C 37% 14% 49% B- C+ D+ D- D B A+ A A+ B C A+ F+ B+ 53% 12% 35% F B- A- F C B- F A F
1.03 39% 29% 38% -6 +1 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 17% .43 80% .34 1.10 61% 0% 40% 0 +2 1.07 26% 1.2 .32 17% .56 58% .32
Nov
23		 Robert Morris D F C+ D- F+ 30% 33% 37% F F B+ B+ A- C A+ C+ A+ B- C F A+ B- 29% 36% 36% A+ B F A C+ C A+ A+ A+
1.03 43% 40% 29% -7 -2 0.85 36% 1.1 .39 16% .54 77% .42 1.02 56% 55% 20% -2 -3 0.93 42% 0.9 .37 17% .14 25% .04
Nov
28		 Ball St. B D- C+ A+ B- 39% 27% 35% D+ C+ B- B+ B+ A B+ F C+ F+ D- C- F F 33% 20% 47% B- F C+ A B D+ A+ B A+
1.20 53% 38% 47% +5 -1 1.10 38% 1.2 .44 14% .33 68% .23 1.10 61% 36% 42% +7 0 1.15 24% 0.7 .16 15% .11 67% .07
Nov
29		 Le Moyne C+ D C F F 38% 28% 34% D- F B+ A+ A+ B+ B+ B B+ F F F D F 40% 9% 51% D- F C- F D- C F F F
1.16 50% 33% 22% -10 -1 0.79 38% 1.7 .63 12% .36 77% .28 1.21 71% 50% 36% +8 +2 1.21 25% 1.3 .32 20% .51 79% .40
Nov
30		 Lafayette B+ A B+ A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% D- A+ F+ F F D+ A+ D+ A+ C- D+ B- F+ F+ 29% 31% 40% A+ D+ B D C C+ F F F
1.25 72% 44% 57% +17 -2 1.33 23% 0.8 .18 16% .52 71% .37 1.05 60% 31% 38% +1 -2 1.00 22% 1.0 .22 17% .38 77% .29
Dec
3		 Princeton F C+ F F F+ 43% 31% 27% D- F+ F D+ F C B- A+ A A+ D A+ B C+ 48% 4% 48% F C- A A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+
0.94 62% 27% 23% -6 -1 0.88 18% 1.0 .18 13% .33 84% .28 0.86 61% 0% 30% -3 +3 1.02 20% 0.5 .10 28% .19 67% .12
Dec
6		 Georgia Tech D F D- C- F+ 38% 28% 34% C- F+ B D+ C+ A+ D- D- F+ C- C F D D+ 48% 24% 28% D+ D+ C- A+ B+ B+ F F F
0.95 39% 29% 33% -10 -1 0.80 33% 1.0 .33 8% .23 67% .15 1.12 59% 45% 38% +4 0 1.11 33% 0.9 .30 21% .47 81% .38
Dec
14		 Fairfield D C- F+ F+ D- 56% 13% 31% B D D+ F+ D- C- F A- F D+ B B- F F+ 51% 21% 28% D- F+ F B- D D+ A+ A+ A+
1.03 57% 29% 29% -4 +2 0.98 27% 0.9 .24 16% .09 80% .07 1.15 48% 36% 53% +3 +1 1.09 42% 0.9 .37 14% .09 20% .02
Dec
17		 Quinnipiac D+ A- F F D+ 57% 18% 24% B+ C- B- F F C- A A+ A+ F F A D F 44% 22% 35% D+ F D C+ C- D+ C B- C
1.04 68% 11% 25% -3 +2 1.00 36% 0.5 .19 18% .37 86% .32 1.18 75% 25% 37% +6 0 1.15 35% 1.0 .35 15% .30 67% .20
Dec
21		 Lehigh C- C B- A+ A+ 40% 35% 25% F+ A C F F F F F F B C- F D F 32% 17% 51% D F F A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+
1.13 57% 44% 62% +12 -2 1.23 34% 0.6 .22 21% .19 60% .11 0.92 60% 63% 38% +7 0 1.17 31% 0.6 .17 30% .08 50% .04
Dec
31		 Campbell F+ D F F F 47% 26% 28% C F D+ C+ C- A+ A+ F A C+ A+ A+ C A+ 58% 7% 35% F A D F F A F C- F
1.00 55% 25% 23% -10 0 0.83 28% 1.2 .33 11% .45 65% .29 1.05 40% 0% 33% -14 +3 0.81 38% 1.2 .46 23% .60 73% .44
Jan
3		 Towson D+ F A+ D- C+ 28% 38% 35% F C- C+ C+ C+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 17% 48% F A C+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A+
0.98 45% 53% 29% -1 -3 0.95 29% 1.0 .29 24% .39 84% .33 0.76 39% 22% 28% -14 0 0.75 34% 0.4 .13 17% .11 83% .10
Jan
8		 William & Mary C+ B+ F A- C+ 34% 23% 43% D C C+ A+ A- A- C F+ D+ A- C D A B- 40% 24% 36% A B F C F+ A+ A- A+ A+
1.12 67% 17% 39% +1 -1 1.04 32% 1.3 .43 15% .28 65% .18 0.97 60% 42% 28% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.2 .38 24% .27 47% .13
Jan
10		 Hofstra F+ F F D+ F 29% 29% 42% D F F A D D A A- A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ 27% 27% 46% B- A+ C- A+ A- C+ F F F
0.90 40% 20% 32% -12 -2 0.75 20% 1.3 .24 17% .39 78% .30 0.94 31% 31% 23% -17 -2 0.65 35% 0.8 .26 17% .56 88% .49
Jan
15		 Drexel F B F F F 40% 33% 28% D F A F C- F A C+ A F A F F F 27% 20% 54% B- F F D- F B F+ A+ C+
0.86 63% 23% 18% -10 -1 0.80 42% 0.7 .31 23% .39 78% .31 1.23 45% 50% 55% +15 -1 1.32 42% 1.0 .42 22% .34 50% .17
Jan
19		 Northeastern D+ F+ B- B- D 36% 19% 46% D+ D B- B+ B+ A F F F B+ F F A+ C- 47% 15% 38% D C- F A+ A+ A+ C+ D+ C
1.13 52% 45% 37% +1 0 1.05 34% 1.1 .39 13% .19 58% .11 0.95 72% 50% 20% 0 +1 1.06 35% 0.2 .05 25% .26 71% .19
Jan
22		 Hampton D- B- F B C- 33% 26% 41% D- D+ B C+ B F F F F C+ A+ A+ F B- 35% 28% 37% C B- B F F+ C F D- F
0.98 67% 25% 37% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 25% .25 42% .10 1.01 40% 17% 44% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.3 .38 19% .42 77% .32
Jan
24		 Campbell A- A D+ A+ A+ 46% 26% 28% C- A A- A A+ F A+ F A B+ B A+ B+ B+ 47% 9% 44% D B A+ B A F D+ B- C-
1.22 71% 33% 54% +13 0 1.28 39% 1.4 .54 24% .45 64% .29 1.01 50% 20% 29% -9 +2 0.89 24% 0.9 .21 11% .41 69% .28
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 N.C. A&T D+ D A- F F 44% 26% 30% C- F C+ D+ C B A- A+ A+ D+ C+ C A+ B+ 51% 27% 22% F+ B- F F F B+ D F F
1.12 52% 47% 24% -5 0 0.91 29% 1.0 .29 11% .38 84% .32 1.09 56% 38% 18% -6 0 0.90 41% 1.8 .72 22% .39 87% .34
Jan
31		 Hofstra F F+ A F D+ 25% 45% 30% F D- F F+ F A+ F C+ F C- C- F F F 23% 27% 50% B+ F+ F+ F F A+ A- D B+
0.88 46% 46% 19% -6 -4 0.81 19% 0.9 .16 9% .19 73% .14 1.12 60% 50% 41% +9 -2 1.16 40% 1.6 .64 29% .22 80% .17
Feb
5		 Stony Brook C- C+ F B- D+ 35% 23% 42% D+ D+ C- F F+ B A B+ A+ C+ F+ A+ F+ D 34% 10% 56% D D D C D+ A+ D F F
1.06 61% 25% 36% 0 -1 1.00 30% 0.6 .19 14% .37 78% .29 1.05 65% 0% 39% +3 +1 1.10 31% 0.9 .29 24% .29 88% .26
Feb
12		 Drexel A+ F+ A+ A+ A 41% 20% 39% B- A A- B- A- B- A A A+ C+ F A+ C+ D 53% 10% 37% F F+ A+ A A B- F+ F F
1.30 48% 60% 45% +6 0 1.16 39% 1.1 .44 14% .39 83% .32 1.02 69% 20% 33% +4 +2 1.14 20% 0.7 .13 21% .34 79% .26
Feb
15		 Towson C+ F D- A+ B 28% 24% 48% D B- A+ F D A B- F C D D D+ F F 30% 32% 39% B- F D- F F A+ F A+ B
1.11 36% 33% 46% +1 -1 1.02 43% 0.5 .20 11% .31 61% .19 1.09 62% 43% 41% +7 -2 1.11 40% 1.3 .53 25% .37 44% .16
Feb
19		 UNC Wilmington D A+ F+ C- B 22% 43% 35% F C B F F F A+ A+ A+ B- A- A+ F+ A 45% 20% 35% F B+ A+ F+ B+ D- F F F
0.96 90% 30% 31% +2 -4 0.98 30% 0.5 .15 25% .41 86% .35 1.10 48% 0% 39% -9 +1 0.84 24% 1.2 .30 11% .55 80% .44
Feb
21		 College of Charleston D- D A C B- 25% 33% 41% F+ C+ F D F+ F F+ A D C C+ B A+ B+ 53% 20% 27% F B- B+ F D F D+ A- C+
0.94 54% 47% 33% +2 -3 1.00 21% 0.9 .18 19% .17 78% .13 1.10 59% 30% 21% -6 +1 0.92 24% 1.6 .38 12% .37 68% .25
Feb
26		 Stony Brook B C- A+ B+ A 27% 23% 50% D A- C A+ A+ D F C F C+ C+ F A C+ 31% 15% 54% C C+ C+ F D- B- A+ B+ A+
1.21 57% 67% 38% +10 -1 1.19 32% 1.5 .48 18% .20 73% .14 1.02 53% 75% 28% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.2 .32 19% .11 67% .07



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 12.2 12.2 3rd
4th 35.4 28.4 63.8 4th
5th 2.5 10.2 12.6 5th
6th 6.7 6.7 6th
7th 4.7 4.7 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 13.8 45.5 40.7 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 40.7% 7.9% 7.9% 14.3 0.3 1.7 1.2 0.0 37.4
10-8 45.5% 5.9% 5.9% 15.0 0.3 2.0 0.4 42.8
9-9 13.8% 2.2% 2.2% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 13.5
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 14.6 93.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.2% 100.0% 14.3 9.0 53.7 37.0 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 14.2%
Lose Out 6.6%