New Mexico
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#101
Expected Predictive Rating+6.6#86
Pace79.7#15
Improvement-2.0#329

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#126
First Shot+2.0#119
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#207
Layup/Dunks+2.3#98
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#294
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#146
Freethrows+0.5#142
Improvement+1.1#74

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#86
First Shot+2.7#90
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#150
Layups/Dunks+6.0#28
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#314
Freethrows+0.3#165
Improvement-3.1#355
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 8.1% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 1.9% 0.6%
Average Seed 11.2 11.0 11.5
.500 or above 73.3% 83.9% 64.8%
.500 or above in Conference 62.8% 69.0% 57.9%
Conference Champion 4.5% 5.9% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.9% 1.8%
First Four0.8% 1.2% 0.4%
First Round5.7% 7.5% 4.2%
Second Round1.3% 2.1% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Home) - 44.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 23 - 54 - 10
Quad 36 - 310 - 13
Quad 48 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 308 East Texas A&M W 76-54 92%     1 - 0 +11.0 -7.1 +16.1
  Sat, Nov 8 184 Texas Arlington W 74-56 81%     2 - 0 +13.3 -1.6 +14.4
  Tue, Nov 11 257 UC Riverside W 82-68 88%     3 - 0 +5.8 +9.5 -3.0
  Sat, Nov 15 108 @New Mexico St. L 68-76 42%     3 - 1 -1.1 +4.5 -6.2
  Thu, Nov 20 43 Nebraska L 72-84 25%     3 - 2 -0.1 -6.5 +8.0
  Fri, Nov 21 84 Mississippi St. W 80-78 42%     4 - 2 +8.8 +7.0 +1.8
  Wed, Nov 26 266 Alabama St. W 93-87 89%     5 - 2 -2.6 +11.3 -14.2
  Sat, Dec 6 59 Santa Clara L 77-79 44%    
  Wed, Dec 10 53 @Virginia Commonwealth L 74-82 21%    
  Sun, Dec 14 164 Florida Gulf Coast W 84-76 79%    
  Sat, Dec 20 187 San Jose St. W 79-69 81%    
  Tue, Dec 30 61 @Boise St. L 69-77 24%    
  Sat, Jan 3 117 Wyoming W 81-76 66%    
  Tue, Jan 6 87 @Colorado St. L 74-79 34%    
  Sat, Jan 10 323 @Air Force W 77-67 83%    
  Tue, Jan 13 98 Grand Canyon W 79-76 59%    
  Sat, Jan 17 57 @San Diego St. L 74-82 24%    
  Wed, Jan 21 153 Fresno St. W 83-75 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 122 Nevada W 80-75 67%    
  Tue, Jan 27 129 @UNLV L 84-85 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 187 @San Jose St. W 76-72 62%    
  Wed, Feb 4 35 Utah St. L 77-82 32%    
  Sat, Feb 7 61 Boise St. L 72-74 44%    
  Wed, Feb 11 98 @Grand Canyon L 76-79 38%    
  Tue, Feb 17 323 Air Force W 80-64 93%    
  Sat, Feb 21 153 @Fresno St. W 80-78 56%    
  Tue, Feb 24 122 @Nevada L 77-78 46%    
  Sat, Feb 28 57 San Diego St. L 77-79 44%    
  Wed, Mar 4 87 Colorado St. W 77-76 55%    
  Sat, Mar 7 35 @Utah St. L 74-85 17%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.9 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.3 4.2 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.4 2.4 5.2 3.3 0.6 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.7 3.6 0.6 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.6 3.5 0.6 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 5.3 3.7 0.8 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.0 3.5 0.7 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.2 2.9 0.7 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.2 1.9 0.6 0.0 6.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.6 4.3 6.9 9.7 12.0 13.2 12.8 12.0 9.6 6.9 4.5 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 98.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1
17-3 82.1% 1.0    0.7 0.2 0.0
16-4 56.9% 1.3    0.7 0.6 0.0
15-5 27.5% 1.2    0.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
14-6 6.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.3 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.4% 68.3% 32.5% 35.8% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 53.1%
17-3 1.2% 49.1% 26.4% 22.7% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 30.9%
16-4 2.4% 28.5% 15.7% 12.8% 10.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.7 15.2%
15-5 4.5% 17.6% 13.6% 4.0% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 3.7 4.7%
14-6 6.9% 13.8% 12.0% 1.7% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.9 2.0%
13-7 9.6% 9.4% 8.7% 0.7% 11.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 8.7 0.7%
12-8 12.0% 5.8% 5.8% 11.5 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.3
11-9 12.8% 4.0% 3.9% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 12.3 0.1%
10-10 13.2% 1.9% 1.9% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 12.9
9-11 12.0% 1.6% 1.6% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.8
8-12 9.7% 1.2% 1.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
7-13 6.9% 0.2% 0.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 6.9
6-14 4.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 4.3
5-15 2.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.6
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.0% 4.9% 1.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 3.0 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 94.0 1.2%