Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#200
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#190
Pace70.8#159
Improvement-0.7#240

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#251
First Shot-0.2#182
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#334
Layup/Dunks+6.4#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#347
Freethrows+1.3#110
Improvement+0.8#96

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#152
First Shot+1.6#118
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#265
Layups/Dunks-3.1#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#2
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#54
Freethrows-3.1#332
Improvement-1.5#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 9.1% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.3 14.1
.500 or above 43.3% 71.1% 41.9%
.500 or above in Conference 48.0% 65.4% 47.1%
Conference Champion 3.6% 6.3% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 3.0% 8.0%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round4.7% 8.8% 4.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 4.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 76 - 10
Quad 48 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 227 Boston University L 75-76 OT 67%     0 - 1 -8.0 -9.5 +1.5
  Fri, Nov 7 182 @Colgate W 68-65 35%     1 - 1 +4.5 -2.0 +6.5
  Tue, Nov 11 179 @Harvard W 77-60 35%     2 - 1 +18.6 +8.5 +10.9
  Sat, Nov 15 171 Vermont L 74-85 57%     2 - 2 -15.2 -3.7 -11.5
  Thu, Nov 20 238 @Princeton L 57-70 47%     2 - 3 -14.6 -13.4 -1.7
  Sat, Nov 22 126 Duquesne W 93-86 32%     3 - 3 +9.5 +5.4 +2.9
  Fri, Nov 28 37 @Wake Forest L 65-83 5%    
  Wed, Dec 3 330 @Holy Cross W 73-69 66%    
  Sun, Dec 7 244 Central Connecticut St. W 70-65 69%    
  Sat, Dec 20 64 @Syracuse L 66-80 10%    
  Mon, Dec 29 190 @Elon L 73-77 37%    
  Wed, Dec 31 313 @N.C. A&T W 75-72 60%    
  Sat, Jan 3 219 @Campbell L 74-76 43%    
  Thu, Jan 8 113 UNC Wilmington L 68-71 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 128 Towson L 66-68 44%    
  Thu, Jan 15 190 Elon W 76-74 59%    
  Sat, Jan 17 262 @Drexel W 68-67 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 201 @Monmouth L 69-72 41%    
  Thu, Jan 22 251 Stony Brook W 72-66 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 151 College of Charleston W 72-71 53%    
  Thu, Feb 5 162 @Hofstra L 68-73 34%    
  Sat, Feb 7 251 @Stony Brook L 69-70 48%    
  Thu, Feb 12 130 William & Mary L 79-80 45%    
  Thu, Feb 19 262 Drexel W 71-65 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 162 Hofstra W 71-70 54%    
  Thu, Feb 26 130 @William & Mary L 76-83 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 235 @Hampton L 69-70 46%    
  Tue, Mar 3 201 Monmouth W 72-69 61%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.9 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.3 3.0 3.8 1.2 0.1 8.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 4.9 1.9 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.2 2.8 0.3 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.5 3.8 0.5 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.1 1.2 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.7 1.9 0.1 9.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 4.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 3.3 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.6 2.3 0.6 0.0 6.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 4.1 13th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 5.0 7.6 10.5 11.7 13.3 12.7 11.8 9.3 6.5 4.2 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 81.8% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 52.8% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.0% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
12-6 5.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 44.1% 44.1% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.9% 26.3% 26.3% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.2% 19.8% 19.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.8
13-5 4.2% 16.0% 16.0% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 3.5
12-6 6.5% 14.3% 14.3% 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 5.5
11-7 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 8.4
10-8 11.8% 5.2% 5.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 11.2
9-9 12.7% 3.0% 3.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.3
8-10 13.3% 1.8% 1.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.1
7-11 11.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.7 0.1 0.1 11.5
6-12 10.5% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.4
5-13 7.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.6
4-14 5.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.0
3-15 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-16 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.5 95.2 0.0%