Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#216
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#258
Pace67.3#249
Improvement+0.4#141

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#172
First Shot-0.7#194
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#156
Layup/Dunks-3.7#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#83
Freethrows-0.6#211
Improvement+1.3#63

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#277
First Shot+0.0#163
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#335
Layups/Dunks-4.2#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#55
Freethrows-1.6#272
Improvement-0.8#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 8.0% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 26.4% 44.9% 21.5%
.500 or above in Conference 65.3% 74.3% 62.9%
Conference Champion 6.4% 9.6% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.8% 2.1%
First Four0.6% 0.2% 0.7%
First Round5.2% 7.9% 4.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Away) - 20.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 33 - 63 - 13
Quad 410 - 513 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 121 @Miami (OH) L 72-87 19%     0 - 1 -9.2 -3.4 -4.8
  Tue, Nov 11 233 Norfolk St. W 60-57 64%     1 - 1 -4.2 -2.7 -1.0
  Sat, Nov 15 62 @George Washington L 73-96 8%     1 - 2 -11.2 -1.2 -8.9
  Tue, Nov 18 85 @Xavier L 69-99 11%     1 - 3 -20.3 -2.6 -15.9
  Fri, Nov 21 360 Morgan St. W 88-56 89%     2 - 3 +15.0 +10.6 +6.0
  Sun, Nov 23 262 @Drexel L 71-75 46%     2 - 4 -6.5 +2.5 -9.2
  Tue, Nov 25 41 @Villanova L 75-89 5%     2 - 5 +1.0 +12.5 -12.3
  Sun, Nov 30 130 @William & Mary L 76-85 21%    
  Sat, Dec 6 115 @Richmond L 69-79 18%    
  Sat, Dec 13 74 @George Mason L 63-77 9%    
  Wed, Dec 17 147 James Madison L 74-75 48%    
  Sat, Dec 20 253 Coastal Carolina W 77-72 66%    
  Sun, Dec 28 93 @Maryland L 68-80 13%    
  Wed, Dec 31 279 Appalachian St. W 71-65 71%    
  Sat, Jan 3 246 Georgia Southern W 79-75 65%    
  Thu, Jan 8 253 @Coastal Carolina L 74-75 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 147 @James Madison L 71-78 27%    
  Thu, Jan 15 246 @Georgia Southern L 76-78 43%    
  Sat, Jan 17 279 @Appalachian St. L 68-69 49%    
  Wed, Jan 21 131 Troy L 72-74 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 304 Louisiana W 73-66 74%    
  Wed, Jan 28 172 @Arkansas St. L 76-81 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 203 @Texas St. L 67-71 37%    
  Wed, Feb 4 361 Louisiana Monroe W 84-70 89%    
  Wed, Feb 11 183 Marshall W 78-77 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 337 Georgia St. W 78-68 81%    
  Sat, Feb 21 237 @Southern Miss L 73-75 42%    
  Tue, Feb 24 183 @Marshall L 75-80 34%    
  Fri, Feb 27 337 @Georgia St. W 75-71 64%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.1 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.5 2.2 0.5 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 4.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.2 4.1 0.6 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 5.4 1.2 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.3 2.1 0.1 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.2 3.6 0.4 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.2 0.9 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.7 1.8 0.1 7.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 2.9 1.6 0.2 5.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.8 6.6 9.2 12.1 13.3 13.6 12.5 10.0 7.5 4.8 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 95.7% 1.0    0.9 0.1 0.0
15-3 76.2% 1.7    1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0
14-4 44.2% 2.1    0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 15.4% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.3 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 38.5% 38.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
16-2 1.1% 40.1% 40.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.2% 25.8% 25.8% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6
14-4 4.8% 23.5% 23.5% 14.7 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.1 3.7
13-5 7.5% 14.5% 14.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 6.4
12-6 10.0% 9.9% 9.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 9.0
11-7 12.5% 5.3% 5.3% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 11.9
10-8 13.6% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.1 0.2 13.3
9-9 13.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.1
8-10 12.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.0
7-11 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
6-12 6.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.6
5-13 3.8% 3.8
4-14 1.8% 1.8
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.3 1.6 94.5 0.0%