Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -4.3 240
Results Rating -6.4 267
Consistency 0.13 60
Pace 71.7 97
Improvement +2.3 95

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 233 C- C- C+ C- D
Defense C- 239 C C D D C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 274 C 59% 155 -1.6 238
2 Pt. Jumpers 52% 40 D 34% 302 +1.6 93
Three Pointers 37% 268 C 34% 189 -2.2 258
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.1 318 C- -1.0 209
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 247
Second Chance D 25.0% 326 B 1.12 57 C- 0.28 253
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 224
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 59
Turnovers C+ 16.0% 129
Freethrows C- 0.29 236 C+ 74% 149 C- 0.21 205
Total Offense C- -2.2 233

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 280 F+ 15.1% 346
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 193 C 5.3% 204
Three Pointers B 90% 48 D- 1.6% 329
Total C- 52% 253 D- 7.4% 336

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 56 D 63% 318 +5.1 338
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 113 B- 36% 98 +0.1 199
Three Pointers 34% 341 B 31% 50 -5.0 14
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 188 C +0.1 179
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 182
Second Chance C- 31.1% 220 C+ 1.01 149 C 0.32 196
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.1% 279
Other Turnovers D 6.4% 298
Turnovers D 14.5% 312
Freethrows D 0.35 300 C- 73% 245 D 0.25 305
Total Defense C- -2.1 239

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 221 C- 9.7% 223
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 304 B- 6.7% 72
Three Pointers D+ 86% 258 D- 0.1% 345
Total C 55% 180 C 5.7% 166

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 147 16.6 63
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 217 0.22 330
Consistency 0.10 21 0.10 37
Improvement +1.8 96 +0.5 156

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 243 239 235
Results Rating Rank 269 264 260
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 33 - 83 - 14
Quad 47 - 610 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 87 @Miami (OH) L 72 - 87 10% +3  63% 0 - 1 D+ -6 D -5 B D- F C+ +0 C- A C+
 Tue, Nov 11 304 Norfolk St. W 60 - 57 76% +1  58% 1 - 1 D -9 F+ -9 F F+ B C+ +1 A F+ C+
 Sat, Nov 15 78 @George Washington L 73 - 96 9% -11  15% 1 - 2 D- -13 D+ -4 D- C+ F+ D- -8 B- D F
 Tue, Nov 18 86 @Xavier L 69 - 99 10% -20  1% 1 - 3 F -20 D- -7 D- C D F -12 D+ F C
 Fri, Nov 21 348 Morgan St. W 88 - 56 87% +18  98% 2 - 3 A- +16 B+ +8 C D A A +9 B B- D
 Sun, Nov 23 215 @Drexel L 71 - 75 34% -1  37% 2 - 4 C- -4 C+ +3 C+ D+ B- D- -7 D+ F D
 Tue, Nov 25 32 @Villanova L 75 - 89 3% -6  16% 2 - 5 C+ +3 A +12 B B+ A+ F+ -9 D- D F+
 Sun, Nov 30 139 @William & Mary L 75 - 88 20% -7  7% 2 - 6 D -9 D- -7 D F D+ C+ +0 D+ A- D+
 Sat, Dec 6 130 @Richmond L 77 - 86 19% -4  8% 2 - 7 C- -4 D+ -3 D- F+ A+ C -1 B F+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 109 @George Mason L 61 - 73 15% -10  0% 2 - 8 D+ -5 F -13 F+ B- F A- +7 A- B+ C-
 Wed, Dec 17 202 James Madison W 77 - 68 54% +6  82% 3 - 8 1 - 0 C+ +4 C +1 C- F A- B- +3 C A- C+
 Sat, Dec 20 228 Coastal Carolina L 74 - 76 59% -1  24% 3 - 9 1 - 1 D -9 D -5 C+ C F D+ -3 B- A F
 Sun, Dec 28 102 @Maryland L 58 - 73 14% -18  0% 3 - 10 D+ -7 F -12 F D+ D B +4 C A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 170 Appalachian St. L 73 - 81 48% -13  0% 3 - 11 1 - 2 D- -12 C +1 A- F+ B F -14 D F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 261 Georgia Southern L 86 - 93 66% -13  0% 3 - 12 1 - 3 F+ -16 D- -7 F D+ A+ D- -8 D- D+ D+
 Thu, Jan 8 228 @Coastal Carolina W 70 - 66 36% +7  99% 4 - 12 2 - 3 C+ +3 C- -2 C B F B+ +5 B+ B- C-
 Sat, Jan 10 202 @James Madison L 69 - 70 32% +9  88% 4 - 13 2 - 4 C -0 D- -6 F D- B+ B+ +6 D+ A- A+
 Thu, Jan 15 261 @Georgia Southern L 84 - 87 43% +2  57% 4 - 14 2 - 5 D+ -6 B- +4 B+ D B+ F -10 F C C
 Sat, Jan 17 170 @Appalachian St. W 75 - 73 27% +10  98% 5 - 14 3 - 5 C+ +4 B+ +8 A+ C- D+ D+ -4 C- F+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 151 Troy L 77 - 83 2OT 43% +1  65% 5 - 15 3 - 6 D -9 F -11 D- F B B- +3 A+ D C-
 Wed, Jan 28 145 @Arkansas St. W 75 - 71 21% +5  96% 6 - 15 4 - 6 B- +8 C- -1 D+ D+ B A +9 B- A C+
 Sat, Jan 31 234 @Texas St. L 64 - 81 37% -12  0% 6 - 16 4 - 7 F -18 F+ -9 F C- D F+ -9 D- B F
 Wed, Feb 4 353 Louisiana Monroe L 79 - 85 89% -6  0% 6 - 17 4 - 8 F -24 F -10 F D B F -13 D- B- C+
 Sat, Feb 7 210 Ohio W 78 - 72 55% -0  57% 7 - 17 C +0 B- +5 D B- A+ D+ -5 D C F+
 Wed, Feb 11 186 Marshall L 79 - 81 52% +7  86% 7 - 18 4 - 9 D+ -7 D+ -3 C+ C- A- D+ -4 F A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 14 296 Georgia St. W 78 - 55 74% +12  98% 8 - 18 5 - 9 B+ +12 B +6 B+ A+ D A- +8 A+ D- F+
 Mon, Feb 16 301 Louisiana W 83 - 72 75% +2  74% 9 - 18 6 - 9 C -0 B+ +8 A- F A+ D- -8 B- D- F
 Sat, Feb 21 226 @Southern Miss L 81 - 86 36% +3  58% 9 - 19 6 - 10 D+ -6 D+ -3 D- A- F C- -2 F C+ A+
 Tue, Feb 24 186 @Marshall L 88 - 97 29% -7  2% 9 - 20 6 - 11 D+ -8 B +7 C- A A+ F -15 F C- F
 Fri, Feb 27 296 @Georgia St. W 81 - 73 53% +1  49% 10 - 20 7 - 11 C+ +3 C +1 C B+ D+ C+ +1 B- D- F
Totals 10 - 20 7 - 11 -4 C- -2 D- C- D C- -2 C C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C D C C- 35% 52% 37% D C- D B C- C+ C- C+ C- C- D B- B C 43% 22% 34% C C C- C+ C D D C- D
1.05 59% 34% 34% -1 -1 0.98 25% 1.1 .28 16% .29 74% .21 1.12 63% 36% 31% 0 0 1.03 31% 1.0 .32 15% .35 73% .21
Nov
3		 Miami (OH) D D+ C A+ B+ 33% 27% 41% D+ B F B D- F C A- B- C+ F+ B A- C+ 55% 6% 39% F C- C- A+ A C+ F F+ F
0.96 56% 38% 45% +6 -1 1.12 17% 1.0 .17 25% .29 81% .23 1.16 71% 33% 30% +5 +3 1.18 25% 0.6 .16 16% .43 81% .35
Nov
11		 Norfolk St. F+ A+ C- F F 35% 19% 47% D F D+ F F+ B C B- C+ C+ A D A+ A+ 42% 27% 31% C- A F B- F+ C+ A- F C
1.01 80% 38% 15% -6 0 0.91 30% 0.8 .23 15% .38 74% .28 0.96 42% 42% 21% -12 -1 0.78 42% 0.9 .39 20% .27 85% .23
Nov
15		 George Washington D+ F F A+ D- 35% 24% 41% D+ D- A F C+ F+ A+ D+ A- D- D+ F A+ B 51% 10% 39% C- B- B- F D F F C+ F
0.99 35% 25% 45% -4 -1 0.92 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 68% .26 1.31 65% 60% 25% +1 +2 1.08 34% 1.3 .45 8% .58 72% .41
Nov
18		 Xavier D- B+ F F D- 37% 31% 31% D D- C- B+ C D C+ D+ C F C- C+ D- C- 29% 15% 56% D- D+ F F F C F B- F
0.93 65% 29% 24% -5 -2 0.89 24% 1.0 .24 19% .30 67% .20 1.33 63% 38% 39% +5 0 1.13 50% 1.2 .61 12% .37 71% .26
Nov
21		 Morgan St. B+ B- D+ A B- 28% 22% 50% F C C F D A B- B- B A C B+ A+ A 52% 20% 28% F B D+ A B- D C- A+ A-
1.32 64% 36% 40% +6 -1 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 11% .45 74% .34 0.84 54% 30% 14% -12 +1 0.80 32% 0.6 .20 17% .36 55% .20
Nov
23		 Drexel C+ F C- A+ B 40% 36% 25% D- C+ C+ F+ D+ B- D+ F F D- B- B+ F D+ 46% 22% 33% D+ D+ D- F F D F F F
1.08 43% 37% 54% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.9 .29 14% .28 56% .16 1.14 52% 30% 47% +2 0 1.07 34% 1.1 .37 17% .38 76% .29
Nov
25		 Villanova A F F A+ B 28% 24% 48% C- B F+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B- A+ F+ F D- C+ F+ 35% 18% 47% C+ D- A- F D F+ F C- F
1.13 46% 27% 45% +2 -1 1.04 22% 1.7 .38 15% .39 73% .28 1.34 89% 44% 33% +12 0 1.25 29% 1.4 .42 11% .44 73% .32
Nov
30		 William & Mary D- B- C F D- 36% 13% 51% C+ D F A+ F D+ F A+ C- C+ F F A+ D 43% 16% 41% B- D+ C- A+ A- D+ F F F
0.95 64% 38% 26% -4 +1 0.95 14% 1.4 .19 20% .21 92% .19 1.11 73% 63% 24% +4 +1 1.12 27% 0.8 .20 15% .45 83% .37
Dec
6		 Richmond D+ B+ D- F D- 30% 27% 43% C D- D+ F F+ A+ C A+ B C D+ A+ B+ A- 49% 28% 23% F+ B D+ F F+ F F A+ C-
1.02 67% 31% 23% -6 -1 0.87 28% 0.8 .23 9% .29 80% .23 1.14 64% 25% 31% -2 0 0.98 28% 1.3 .36 9% .41 64% .26
Dec
13		 George Mason F F+ D- C D- 36% 34% 30% D- F+ F+ A+ B- F C+ A- B- A- C+ A+ A- A+ 54% 18% 28% F A- A C- B+ C- F C- F
0.86 50% 29% 33% -6 -2 0.86 18% 1.7 .30 22% .25 79% .20 1.03 59% 11% 29% -6 +1 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 15% .52 74% .38
Dec
17		 James Madison C D+ F C+ C- 33% 16% 51% C C- F+ F F A- A+ A+ A+ B- F F+ A+ C 40% 15% 45% C- C A B- A- C+ D+ D+ D+
1.15 53% 29% 35% -2 0 0.98 22% 0.8 .16 9% .54 82% .44 1.01 79% 43% 19% -1 +1 1.02 22% 1.0 .22 18% .33 72% .24
Dec
20		 Coastal Carolina D C- D+ A B- 33% 37% 29% D C+ F A+ C F C+ A- B D+ D C A+ B- 42% 31% 27% D+ B- A- A+ A F F F F
1.01 53% 37% 40% 0 -3 0.98 16% 1.8 .29 18% .32 79% .25 1.04 60% 39% 19% -5 -1 0.90 20% 0.6 .13 7% .35 88% .31
Dec
28		 Maryland F B- F F F 29% 37% 33% F F C+ F D+ D B+ F C+ B B+ A+ F C 33% 20% 47% B- C A+ D+ A+ F A- F B-
0.85 60% 26% 24% -9 -3 0.78 28% 0.8 .23 19% .35 63% .22 1.07 50% 18% 42% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.1 .24 12% .28 82% .23
Dec
31		 Appalachian St. C A+ F A+ A 33% 21% 46% D+ A- D F F+ B A+ F B F F B+ A D 46% 22% 33% C D F F F C+ F B- F
1.10 71% 18% 42% +5 0 1.12 25% 0.7 .18 12% .38 59% .22 1.22 71% 30% 27% +1 0 1.04 42% 1.5 .65 17% .51 61% .31
Jan
3		 Georgia Southern D- D- F F F 38% 28% 34% F F F+ B D+ A+ D+ B C D- D C- C F+ 46% 21% 32% B- D- D- C+ D+ D+ F F+ F
1.06 52% 28% 27% -9 -1 0.83 27% 1.2 .31 11% .35 80% .28 1.15 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 32% 1.1 .34 14% .43 80% .34
Jan
8		 Coastal Carolina C- F+ B C+ C- 40% 29% 31% B- C B+ C- B F F+ F F B+ C+ A+ D A- 33% 25% 42% D+ B+ A F B- C- D- D- F+
1.02 45% 44% 35% -3 -1 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 17% .23 38% .09 0.96 53% 8% 36% -8 -1 0.85 18% 1.1 .21 15% .31 78% .24
Jan
10		 James Madison D- F C C+ F+ 33% 30% 37% F+ F F B- D- B+ D+ D+ D+ B+ F B A+ D 52% 23% 25% C- D+ C+ A+ A- A+ F F F
1.00 33% 38% 35% -8 -2 0.83 21% 1.1 .23 10% .32 70% .23 1.01 78% 30% 18% +3 +1 1.09 28% 0.8 .21 23% .47 80% .38
Jan
15		 Georgia Southern B- D C- A+ A- 40% 15% 45% C- B+ C- D- D B+ F F F F C F F F 44% 12% 44% D+ F D- A C C F B+ F
1.18 55% 38% 48% +8 +1 1.20 33% 0.9 .31 15% .25 67% .17 1.22 55% 50% 45% +7 +2 1.20 32% 0.9 .29 15% .47 68% .32
Jan
17		 Appalachian St. B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 27% 49% F+ A+ F A+ C- D+ A+ F A D+ D A+ A+ C+ 53% 10% 37% F C- B F F+ F F B- F+
1.16 64% 50% 45% +13 -2 1.24 18% 1.4 .25 15% .42 61% .26 1.12 65% 20% 22% -4 +2 0.98 27% 1.5 .41 11% .43 60% .26
Jan
21		 Troy F B C- F D- 39% 31% 30% D- D- F F+ F B A C+ A- B- A+ F A+ A+ 43% 18% 39% B A+ A- F D C- F F F
0.94 63% 42% 17% -5 -1 0.90 17% 0.9 .14 15% .36 72% .26 1.02 38% 60% 18% -14 +1 0.75 29% 1.3 .38 16% .50 85% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Arkansas St. C- C- C+ D+ C- 32% 31% 37% F+ D+ F A+ D+ B F A F+ A F A+ B- B- 32% 19% 49% B B- A+ B+ A C+ B A+ A-
1.04 58% 39% 32% -1 -2 0.97 14% 1.8 .25 12% .22 79% .17 0.98 71% 10% 31% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.9 .26 21% .30 65% .19
Jan
31		 Texas St. F+ C+ F F F 41% 14% 45% C+ F B- D- C- D A- A+ A+ F+ D+ B- F F+ 39% 33% 27% B- D- C A B F F D F
0.93 60% 14% 23% -10 +1 0.84 33% 0.8 .27 20% .40 82% .33 1.17 60% 35% 43% +3 -2 1.06 32% 0.7 .24 12% .41 80% .33
Feb
4		 Louisiana Monroe F C F F F 38% 20% 42% D+ F D C D B A+ D- A+ F F F A+ F+ 40% 27% 33% B- D- F A+ B- C+ F F+ F
1.08 62% 27% 26% -6 0 0.91 31% 1.2 .36 14% .46 66% .30 1.16 68% 54% 19% +1 -1 1.02 47% 0.4 .21 18% .60 78% .46
Feb
7		 Ohio B- A+ F A+ C 34% 45% 21% F D C- A- B- A+ C- A+ B+ D+ F C+ B- D- 30% 24% 46% B- D C+ C- C F+ B+ B B+
1.20 78% 17% 45% +1 -4 0.96 32% 1.2 .38 9% .31 89% .27 1.11 80% 42% 30% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.0 .26 12% .26 67% .18
Feb
11		 Marshall D+ B+ A C- B 32% 36% 32% F+ C+ F A+ C- A- F F F D+ F+ B- F F 38% 25% 36% D+ F A+ A+ A+ D- D+ A C
1.12 67% 45% 33% +5 -2 1.07 21% 1.6 .32 13% .21 62% .13 1.15 71% 36% 50% +13 -1 1.27 14% 0.5 .07 14% .28 65% .18
Feb
14		 Georgia St. B A B- A A 37% 30% 33% F+ B+ B+ A+ A+ D C F D+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 44% 33% A+ A+ F+ C- D- F+ D+ D- D
1.21 71% 43% 40% +9 -1 1.17 41% 1.4 .56 19% .30 63% .19 0.85 33% 17% 18% -23 -4 0.48 33% 1.1 .35 12% .32 83% .27
Feb
16		 Louisiana B+ A+ C+ A- A 51% 28% 21% D A- F C- F A+ A- A A+ D- D B+ D- C- 20% 55% 25% A+ B- F C D- F F D+ F
1.25 75% 38% 40% +11 0 1.23 16% 1.0 .16 12% .44 81% .36 1.08 60% 32% 38% -1 -6 0.88 36% 0.9 .31 12% .43 72% .31
Feb
21		 Southern Miss D+ F C- A D 38% 26% 36% D D- C- A+ A- F A A A+ C- D A F F 55% 22% 22% F F F A+ C+ A+ F A F
1.00 40% 36% 42% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.6 .41 23% .44 78% .34 1.06 63% 27% 55% +7 +1 1.18 47% 0.6 .30 32% .55 67% .36
Feb
24		 Marshall B B- C+ F C- 47% 28% 26% C+ C- B- A+ A A+ D A+ B- F F F A- F 28% 32% 40% B+ F B- D- C- F A+ F A-
1.22 63% 38% 27% -1 0 1.00 38% 1.2 .46 11% .31 90% .28 1.34 88% 79% 29% +19 -2 1.35 29% 1.3 .36 10% .15 80% .12
Feb
27		 Georgia St. C A+ C+ F B- 38% 36% 26% F C F A+ B+ D+ A+ B+ A+ C+ B- F A+ B- 27% 37% 37% B+ B- D+ D- D- F F A+ F
1.10 72% 41% 25% +3 -2 1.04 21% 2.0 .41 18% .49 77% .38 0.99 50% 47% 16% -9 -3 0.79 30% 1.2 .35 8% .50 65% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%