Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.8 #244
Expected Predictive Rating -8.8 #303
Pace 72.1 #97
Improvement -0.5 #216

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #256 D D+ C C D-
Defense #228 C C- D D D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #290 1.07 #280 -3.8 #306
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #64 0.64 #316 +0.8 #137
Three Pointers 39% #225 1.05 #135 -0.4 #195
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #277 -3.4 #275
Freethrows 16.8 #223 75% #109 12.6 #178
Second Chance 26.0% #309 1.04 #181 0.27 #277
Turnovers 16.1% #148
Total Offense -3.1 #256

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #17 1.28 #312 -7.3 #360
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #200 0.69 #88 +0.9 #134
Three Pointers 34% #345 0.86 #26 +6.3 #10
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #181 -0.2 #182
Freethrows 19.2 #274 74% #246 14.2 #73
Second Chance 31.1% #198 1.10 #264 0.34 #243
Turnovers 14.6% #303
Total Defense -1.7 #228

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.2% #311 1.4% #290
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.6% #242 -1.1% #163
Possession Length 16.9 #144 16.9 #123
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #183 0.21 #304
Improvement -1.9 #292 +1.4 #103

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.4% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 1.0% 2.3% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 29.7% 47.1% 20.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.4% 1.8%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
First Round0.8% 1.2% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Away) - 35.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 32 - 62 - 14
Quad 48 - 610 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 84 @Miami (OH) L 72 - 87 9% +3  0 - 1 -5 -2 B C F -2 C- A+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 289 Norfolk St. W 60 - 57 70% +1  1 - 1 -7 -5 F F B- -2 A F B+
 Sat, Nov 15 60 @George Washington L 73 - 96 7% -11  1 - 2 -11 -1 D C F -9 B D+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 92 @Xavier L 69 - 99 10% -20  1 - 3 -21 -3 F C C- -16 D- F C+
 Fri, Nov 21 363 Morgan St. W 88 - 56 91% +18  2 - 3 +13 +10 D+ F A+ +5 B C+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 238 @Drexel L 71 - 75 37% -1  2 - 4 -5 +4 C D+ B- -10 D+ F D-
 Tue, Nov 25 34 @Villanova L 75 - 89 3% -6  2 - 5 +3 +13 B A- A+ -11 D- D F
 Sun, Nov 30 138 @William & Mary L 75 - 88 20% -7  2 - 6 -9 -3 D+ F C- -4 D+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 116 @Richmond L 77 - 86 16% -4  2 - 7 -3 +0 F F A+ -3 A- F F
 Sat, Dec 13 86 @George Mason L 61 - 73 10% -10  2 - 8 -2 -10 F B F +7 A+ A- C+
 Wed, Dec 17 213 James Madison W 77 - 68 54% +6  3 - 8 1 - 0 +3 +3 D+ F A +0 C B+ C+
 Sat, Dec 20 268 Coastal Carolina L 74 - 76 66% -1  3 - 9 1 - 1 -11 -5 C C F -6 C A+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 112 @Maryland L 58 - 73 14% -18  3 - 10 -8 -8 F D+ D+ -0 D+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 223 Appalachian St. L 73 - 81 56% -13  3 - 11 1 - 2 -14 +3 A F B -18 F F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 230 Georgia Southern L 86 - 93 57% -12  3 - 12 1 - 3 -14 -4 F D- A+ -9 F D+ D+
 Thu, Jan 8 268 @Coastal Carolina W 70 - 66 43% +7  4 - 12 2 - 3 +1 -1 C- B- F +2 B B- C
 Sat, Jan 10 213 @James Madison L 69 - 70 32% +9  4 - 13 2 - 4 -1 -4 F D B+ +4 D- A- A+
 Thu, Jan 15 230 @Georgia Southern L 79 - 83 35%
 Sat, Jan 17 223 @Appalachian St. L 66 - 70 34%
 Wed, Jan 21 125 Troy L 73 - 77 36%
 Sat, Jan 24 315 Louisiana W 72 - 65 76%
 Wed, Jan 28 133 @Arkansas St. L 77 - 86 19%
 Sat, Jan 31 261 @Texas St. L 72 - 74 42%
 Wed, Feb 4 354 Louisiana Monroe W 85 - 73 86%
 Sat, Feb 7 178 Ohio L 78 - 79 48%
 Wed, Feb 11 171 Marshall L 76 - 77 47%
 Sat, Feb 14 290 Georgia St. W 77 - 71 70%
 Sat, Feb 21 210 @Southern Miss L 71 - 76 32%
 Tue, Feb 24 171 @Marshall L 73 - 80 26%
 Fri, Feb 27 290 @Georgia St. L 74 - 75 48%
Totals 10 - 20 8 - 10 -5 -3 D D+ C -2 C C- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 1.7 0.3 3.0 4th
5th 0.6 3.1 0.9 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.1 3.1 3.2 0.2 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.7 6.2 1.4 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 6.2 4.3 0.2 11.3 8th
9th 0.2 4.3 8.1 1.1 13.7 9th
10th 0.1 2.5 8.6 3.6 0.1 14.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 6.9 5.6 0.5 14.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 5.2 5.4 1.1 0.0 12.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.7 0.8 0.0 6.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.5 9.6 15.8 20.3 20.2 15.3 8.9 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 29.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.3% 30.9% 30.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
12-6 1.3% 9.4% 9.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2
11-7 3.9% 4.2% 4.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.7
10-8 8.9% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 8.7
9-9 15.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 15.1
8-10 20.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 20.1
7-11 20.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 20.3
6-12 15.8% 15.8
5-13 9.6% 9.6
4-14 3.5% 3.5
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.7 99.1 0.0%