San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#77
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#84
Pace69.2#202
Improvement+0.1#163

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#81
First Shot+2.9#90
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#117
Layup/Dunks-3.2#287
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.5#7
Freethrows-0.4#195
Improvement-0.1#195

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#78
First Shot+9.3#8
After Offensive Rebounds-5.6#362
Layups/Dunks+4.1#56
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#138
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#171
Freethrows+4.0#10
Improvement+0.2#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 10.2% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.6% 5.7% 2.2%
Average Seed 10.3 10.2 10.5
.500 or above 93.7% 96.5% 87.9%
.500 or above in Conference 84.1% 86.4% 79.6%
Conference Champion 3.5% 4.0% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
First Four2.5% 3.0% 1.3%
First Round7.4% 8.6% 5.0%
Second Round2.8% 3.3% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Neutral) - 67.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 23 - 44 - 9
Quad 37 - 211 - 11
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 70 @Memphis L 70-76 37%     0 - 1 +4.9 -0.1 +5.3
  Wed, Nov 12 156 Portland St. W 80-70 84%     1 - 1 +6.7 +8.8 -1.8
  Sat, Nov 15 112 Bradley W 75-64 75%     2 - 1 +11.3 +4.5 +7.1
  Tue, Nov 18 285 Northwestern St. W 84-64 94%     3 - 1 +10.3 +15.6 -2.8
  Sat, Nov 22 103 Minnesota W 77-65 62%     4 - 1 +16.5 +15.2 +2.6
  Thu, Nov 27 72 Colorado L 69-79 49%     4 - 2 -2.2 -1.3 -1.2
  Fri, Nov 28 122 Nevada W 76-71 67%    
  Wed, Dec 3 242 North Alabama W 80-65 92%    
  Sun, Dec 7 84 Mississippi St. W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Dec 13 50 @Saint Louis L 74-80 30%    
  Wed, Dec 17 265 Loyola Chicago W 79-63 93%    
  Sun, Dec 21 360 Morgan St. W 89-64 99%    
  Sun, Dec 28 116 @Seattle W 72-71 56%    
  Tue, Dec 30 169 @Oregon St. W 73-67 70%    
  Fri, Jan 2 247 San Diego W 85-70 92%    
  Sun, Jan 4 274 Portland W 83-66 93%    
  Thu, Jan 8 114 @Loyola Marymount W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 264 @Pepperdine W 78-68 82%    
  Tue, Jan 13 30 St. Mary's L 68-71 40%    
  Sun, Jan 18 157 Washington St. W 84-73 83%    
  Sat, Jan 24 6 @Gonzaga L 69-84 9%    
  Wed, Jan 28 59 @Santa Clara L 72-77 34%    
  Sat, Jan 31 144 Pacific W 77-67 81%    
  Tue, Feb 3 114 Loyola Marymount W 74-67 74%    
  Sat, Feb 7 30 @St. Mary's L 65-74 22%    
  Thu, Feb 12 169 Oregon St. W 76-64 84%    
  Sun, Feb 15 247 @San Diego W 82-73 79%    
  Wed, Feb 18 6 Gonzaga L 72-81 21%    
  Sat, Feb 21 59 Santa Clara W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Feb 28 144 @Pacific W 74-70 64%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.6 4.8 2.6 0.4 12.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.3 7.4 7.6 2.6 0.2 21.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.5 8.4 5.9 1.5 0.0 21.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.1 6.8 4.2 0.6 0.0 16.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 3.3 1.7 0.1 7.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.9 0.9 0.1 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.1 4.7 7.5 11.7 14.3 16.3 15.0 12.7 7.9 4.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.0
16-2 75.2% 1.3    0.7 0.6 0.0
15-3 31.5% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3
14-4 6.0% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.5 1.4 0.5 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 82.7% 29.1% 53.6% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 75.6%
16-2 1.7% 63.9% 21.8% 42.1% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 53.8%
15-3 4.1% 47.7% 16.4% 31.3% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.0 2.2 37.4%
14-4 7.9% 26.4% 12.3% 14.2% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.1 5.8 16.2%
13-5 12.7% 11.8% 6.4% 5.3% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.2 11.2 5.7%
12-6 15.0% 6.0% 4.5% 1.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 14.1 1.6%
11-7 16.3% 2.8% 2.2% 0.6% 11.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 15.8 0.6%
10-8 14.3% 1.5% 1.3% 0.2% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.1 0.2%
9-9 11.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.1% 11.6 0.1 0.1 11.6 0.1%
8-10 7.5% 0.3% 0.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5
7-11 4.7% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 4.6
6-12 2.1% 2.1
5-13 1.1% 1.1
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.7% 4.3% 4.4% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.0 4.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 91.3 4.6%