San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +5.0 #103
Expected Predictive Rating +3.7 #111
Pace 65.3 #286
Improvement -1.7 #272

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #116 C B B- C+ C
Defense #92 B B F C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #291 1.16 #178 -2.3 #265
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #268 0.82 #91 -1.0 #227
Three Pointers 49% #35 1.02 #179 +4.2 #49
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #158 +0.9 #157
Freethrows 19.1 #101 70% #273 13.3 #139
Second Chance 33.0% #121 1.18 #40 0.39 #65
Turnovers 15.4% #108
Total Offense +2.1 #116

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #203 1.10 #102 +1.2 #132
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #72 0.71 #121 -1.0 #257
Three Pointers 37% #282 0.94 #88 +3.4 #59
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #69 +3.6 #69
Freethrows 16.5 #141 70% #86 11.6 #241
Second Chance 26.9% #64 1.02 #151 0.28 #74
Turnovers 13.5% #334
Total Defense +2.9 #92

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.5% #157 -1.0% #93
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.2% #161 -6.1% #72
Possession Length 18.4 #280 17.7 #252
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #343 0.14 #68
Improvement -2.3 #313 +0.5 #152

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.4 11.4 11.6
.500 or above 82.8% 88.8% 66.5%
.500 or above in Conference 68.7% 77.1% 45.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round1.1% 1.2% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 73.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 5
Quad 23 - 54 - 10
Quad 36 - 39 - 13
Quad 48 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 83 @Memphis L 70 - 76 32% -9  0 - 1 +4 +1 B+ C+ D+ +3 B+ F C
 Wed, Nov 12 145 Portland St. W 80 - 70 75% +12  1 - 1 +8 +10 A+ B- B -2 A+ F C
 Sat, Nov 15 114 Bradley W 75 - 64 66% +2  2 - 1 +12 +4 A+ F F +8 A+ A- C
 Tue, Nov 18 276 Northwestern St. W 84 - 64 91% +15  3 - 1 +10 +16 A+ C A -3 A- C- D+
 Sat, Nov 22 76 Minnesota W 77 - 65 40% +6  4 - 1 +20 +17 A+ A+ B- +4 D B+ B+
 Thu, Nov 27 73 Colorado L 69 - 79 39% -1  4 - 2 -2 -1 B C+ F -2 B- B- F
 Fri, Nov 28 85 Nevada L 65 - 81 43% -5  4 - 3 -9 -0 D A+ F -10 F A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 279 North Alabama L 63 - 65 91% +4  4 - 4 -12 -10 F C- C -2 A- F B
 Sun, Dec 7 66 Mississippi St. W 65 - 62 37% +5  5 - 4 +11 +5 D- A+ A+ +7 A+ A F
 Sat, Dec 13 32 @Saint Louis L 75 - 85 13% -1  5 - 5 +7 +10 B+ B- A- -3 B A F
 Wed, Dec 17 259 Loyola Chicago W 85 - 71 84% +12  6 - 5 +8 +21 A+ C A+ -11 A- F F
 Sun, Dec 21 363 Morgan St. W 94 - 64 98% +13  7 - 5 +11 +14 D- A+ B- -3 D D+ D
 Sun, Dec 28 121 @Seattle W 67 - 59 48% +4  8 - 5 1 - 0 +13 +0 F A+ A+ +13 A+ B F
 Tue, Dec 30 189 @Oregon St. L 62 - 70 64% -3  8 - 6 1 - 1 -7 -4 F C C -4 F A+ D
 Fri, Jan 2 222 San Diego W 74 - 64 85% +4  9 - 6 2 - 1 +4 -3 F C+ A+ +7 C+ A+ F
 Sun, Jan 4 233 Portland W 73 - 68 87% -4  10 - 6 3 - 1 -2 -1 F A- B -1 D A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 8 130 @Loyola Marymount L 82 - 84 2OT 51% -1  10 - 7 3 - 2 +3 +3 F A+ C+ -0 B- A F
 Sat, Jan 10 286 @Pepperdine W 80 - 60 80% +12  11 - 7 4 - 2 +16 +12 A- C+ C +5 A+ B- F
 Tue, Jan 13 42 St. Mary's L 68 - 82 34% -9  11 - 8 4 - 3 -5 +2 B+ B- B- -8 C- C C-
 Sun, Jan 18 136 Washington St. W 76 - 69 73%
 Sat, Jan 24 10 @Gonzaga L 67 - 85 4%
 Wed, Jan 28 55 @Santa Clara L 71 - 79 23%
 Sat, Jan 31 144 Pacific W 74 - 67 74%
 Tue, Feb 3 130 Loyola Marymount W 72 - 66 72%
 Sat, Feb 7 42 @St. Mary's L 65 - 75 17%
 Thu, Feb 12 189 Oregon St. W 74 - 64 82%
 Sun, Feb 15 222 @San Diego W 76 - 71 69%
 Wed, Feb 18 10 Gonzaga L 70 - 82 13%
 Sat, Feb 21 55 Santa Clara L 74 - 76 43%
 Sat, Feb 28 144 @Pacific W 71 - 70 53%
Totals 16 - 14 9 - 9 +5 +2 C B B- +3 B B F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.5 3.3 0.9 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.2 4.8 13.6 9.7 1.8 0.1 30.1 4th
5th 0.0 3.0 12.0 8.0 1.1 0.0 24.1 5th
6th 1.0 7.7 6.7 0.8 0.0 16.2 6th
7th 0.1 3.6 5.9 0.9 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.9 4.0 1.0 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.2 1.6 1.1 0.0 2.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.6 3.2 9.7 17.9 24.4 23.2 14.3 5.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 11.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 22.2% 7.4% 14.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 16.0%
13-5 1.3% 6.0% 5.6% 0.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.4%
12-6 5.3% 3.4% 3.0% 0.4% 11.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 5.1 0.4%
11-7 14.3% 2.1% 2.1% 11.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.9
10-8 23.2% 1.1% 1.1% 11.5 0.1 0.1 22.9
9-9 24.4% 0.7% 0.7% 11.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 24.3
8-10 17.9% 0.3% 0.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.8
7-11 9.7% 0.2% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 9.7
6-12 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 3.2
5-13 0.6% 0.6
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.1% 11.4 98.9 0.1%