South Alabama
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#180
Expected Predictive Rating+7.3#79
Pace60.6#358
Improvement+0.1#162

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#188
First Shot-1.4#212
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#144
Layup/Dunks+6.1#22
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#330
Freethrows-2.3#315
Improvement+1.1#76

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#184
First Shot-0.1#167
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#227
Layups/Dunks+5.2#37
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-12.7#365
Freethrows+3.9#13
Improvement-1.0#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 13.3% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.0
.500 or above 85.0% 92.3% 78.3%
.500 or above in Conference 79.5% 84.2% 75.2%
Conference Champion 13.4% 16.4% 10.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.4% 1.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round11.0% 13.3% 8.8%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Away) - 48.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 65 - 8
Quad 413 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 173 @Toledo W 76-74 37%     1 - 0 +3.8 +7.6 -3.6
  Thu, Nov 6 338 Alcorn St. W 76-70 87%     2 - 0 -7.8 -4.9 -3.0
  Thu, Nov 13 305 Central Michigan W 66-64 73%     3 - 0 -5.9 -2.0 -3.6
  Sat, Nov 15 364 Coppin St. W 72-62 92%     4 - 0 -7.0 -2.6 -3.9
  Wed, Nov 19 222 @Jacksonville St. W 71-65 47%     5 - 0 +5.3 +5.3 +0.3
  Fri, Nov 21 107 @UAB L 72-80 20%     5 - 1 -0.7 +9.3 -10.8
  Sun, Nov 30 231 @Texas San Antonio L 69-70 48%    
  Tue, Dec 2 108 New Mexico St. L 62-67 31%    
  Fri, Dec 5 137 @East Tennessee St. L 63-69 29%    
  Sun, Dec 14 123 North Texas L 62-63 44%    
  Wed, Dec 17 361 @Louisiana Monroe W 76-66 81%    
  Sat, Dec 20 203 @Texas St. L 63-65 43%    
  Wed, Dec 31 304 @Louisiana W 66-63 61%    
  Sat, Jan 3 131 @Troy L 65-71 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 246 Georgia Southern W 74-68 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 172 Arkansas St. W 74-71 59%    
  Sat, Jan 17 304 Louisiana W 69-60 80%    
  Thu, Jan 22 147 @James Madison L 67-72 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 183 @Marshall L 70-73 40%    
  Thu, Jan 29 253 Coastal Carolina W 72-65 72%    
  Sat, Jan 31 337 Georgia St. W 73-61 87%    
  Wed, Feb 4 279 @Appalachian St. W 64-62 57%    
  Thu, Feb 12 237 @Southern Miss L 68-69 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 172 @Arkansas St. L 71-74 39%    
  Thu, Feb 19 203 Texas St. W 66-62 64%    
  Sat, Feb 21 131 Troy L 68-69 48%    
  Wed, Feb 25 361 Louisiana Monroe W 79-63 92%    
  Fri, Feb 27 237 Southern Miss W 72-66 70%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.8 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.1 13.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.9 3.2 1.0 0.1 12.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 5.9 3.3 0.6 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 5.5 3.7 0.6 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.3 4.4 0.8 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 5.1 1.3 0.1 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 4.6 2.3 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.2 2.9 0.3 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.8 2.7 0.8 0.0 5.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.1 0.1 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.1 3.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.4 5.8 8.6 11.5 13.6 14.1 13.6 10.9 7.6 5.1 2.2 0.9 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.8 0.0
16-2 95.8% 2.1    1.9 0.3
15-3 80.1% 4.1    2.9 1.1 0.1
14-4 50.1% 3.8    1.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
13-5 19.1% 2.1    0.3 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.4% 13.4 7.6 3.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 54.1% 54.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.9% 41.5% 41.5% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.2% 42.9% 42.9% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3
15-3 5.1% 36.3% 36.3% 13.4 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 3.2
14-4 7.6% 28.3% 28.3% 13.7 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.5
13-5 10.9% 21.9% 21.9% 14.0 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.6 0.0 8.5
12-6 13.6% 11.7% 11.7% 14.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 12.0
11-7 14.1% 6.7% 6.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 13.1
10-8 13.6% 2.9% 2.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 13.2
9-9 11.5% 1.6% 1.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.3
8-10 8.6% 0.9% 0.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
7-11 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 5.8
6-12 3.4% 3.4
5-13 1.6% 1.6
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 13.8 0.1 0.6 3.2 4.6 2.3 0.2 89.0 0.0%