South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +8.0 #69
Expected Predictive Rating +4.6 #99
Pace 64.3 #308
Improvement +3.3 #40

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #80 B C B+ B+ C
Defense #78 B B+ D B- B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #316 1.31 #41 -0.4 #197
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #234 0.99 #10 +1.0 #126
Three Pointers 49% #38 0.99 #220 +3.4 #72
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #70 +3.9 #71
Freethrows 18.6 #122 81% #5 15.0 #54
Second Chance 28.6% #240 1.18 #38 0.34 #138
Turnovers 14.4% #57
Total Offense +4.4 #80

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #140 1.10 #98 +0.3 #165
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #16 0.74 #158 -2.9 #350
Three Pointers 31% #361 0.92 #63 +6.5 #9
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #62 +3.9 #62
Freethrows 15.8 #106 71% #100 11.1 #279
Second Chance 28.7% #109 0.91 #42 0.26 #50
Turnovers 14.8% #295
Total Defense +3.7 #78

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.0% #192 -1.8% #54
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.8% #67 -5.9% #74
Possession Length 18.7 #313 17.5 #211
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #253 0.20 #285
Improvement +1.5 #95 +1.8 #79

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 11.6% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.6% 11.4% 3.3%
Average Seed 9.8 9.6 9.8
.500 or above 32.0% 55.3% 27.4%
.500 or above in Conference 7.6% 18.4% 5.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.0% 15.2% 35.3%
First Four1.7% 3.6% 1.3%
First Round3.8% 9.6% 2.6%
Second Round1.5% 4.0% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Away) - 16.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 12
Quad 22 - 55 - 17
Quad 31 - 06 - 17
Quad 49 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 302 N.C. A&T W 91 - 72 95% +14  1 - 0 +8 +6 B+ A+ F +0 D+ A+ F
 Sun, Nov 9 210 Southern Miss W 83 - 79 OT 90% +2  2 - 0 -2 +3 A- F F -5 C D+ F
 Wed, Nov 12 292 Presbyterian W 81 - 61 95% +18  3 - 0 +9 +10 C- D+ A+ +1 B+ B- F
 Tue, Nov 18 254 Radford W 87 - 58 93% +15  4 - 0 +21 +7 B+ A+ C +13 A+ A A-
 Fri, Nov 21 58 Butler L 72 - 79 45% -7  4 - 1 +2 +5 D C A+ -2 A+ F D
 Sun, Nov 23 63 Northwestern L 77 - 79 47% -3  4 - 2 +7 +14 B A+ A+ -8 F A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 28 217 Charleston Southern W 74 - 62 90% +4  5 - 2 +6 -1 C- C+ A+ +7 A+ A D-
 Tue, Dec 2 64 Virginia Tech L 83 - 86 OT 59% -4  5 - 3 +3 +5 A- F A+ -2 C D D-
 Sat, Dec 6 345 Stetson W 82 - 51 97% +15  6 - 3 +16 +10 A+ A+ F +10 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 358 The Citadel W 71 - 55 98% +5  7 - 3 -2 -9 F D+ C- +8 A A+ F
 Tue, Dec 16 33 @Clemson L 61 - 68 20% -6  7 - 4 +10 +2 D- C+ F +8 A+ B- D
 Mon, Dec 22 361 South Carolina St. W 95 - 70 98% +12  8 - 4 +7 +14 A- A+ F -7 F B F
 Tue, Dec 30 309 Albany W 96 - 67 96% +16  9 - 4 +17 +25 A+ B- C -5 A+ F A
 Sat, Jan 3 9 Vanderbilt L 71 - 83 19% -10  9 - 5 0 - 1 +5 +11 B C A+ -7 D+ B+ D
 Tue, Jan 6 44 @LSU W 78 - 68 25% +16  10 - 5 1 - 1 +25 +19 A+ F A+ +7 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 23 Georgia L 70 - 75 32% +1  10 - 6 1 - 2 +8 +4 B F A+ +4 C+ A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 14 26 @Arkansas L 73 - 83 16%
 Sat, Jan 17 27 @Auburn L 70 - 80 17%
 Tue, Jan 20 54 Oklahoma W 74 - 73 53%
 Sat, Jan 24 40 @Texas A&M L 73 - 81 23%
 Wed, Jan 28 12 Florida L 69 - 78 20%
 Sat, Jan 31 44 LSU L 73 - 74 47%
 Tue, Feb 3 41 @Texas L 72 - 79 26%
 Sat, Feb 7 53 Missouri W 74 - 73 53%
 Sat, Feb 14 14 @Alabama L 76 - 89 11%
 Tue, Feb 17 12 @Florida L 66 - 81 9%
 Sat, Feb 21 66 Mississippi St. W 74 - 71 59%
 Tue, Feb 24 25 Kentucky L 70 - 75 34%
 Sat, Feb 28 23 @Georgia L 74 - 85 16%
 Tue, Mar 3 20 Tennessee L 67 - 72 31%
 Sat, Mar 7 65 @Mississippi L 68 - 71 38%
Totals 15 - 16 6 - 12 +8 +4 B C B+ +4 B B+ D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 2.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 1.6 0.1 3.4 8th
9th 0.8 2.7 0.6 0.0 4.1 9th
10th 0.3 3.1 2.8 0.2 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 1.7 5.1 1.0 7.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 5.5 3.7 0.2 10.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 4.1 6.8 1.1 0.0 12.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 3.1 7.9 3.4 0.2 14.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 2.6 7.5 5.6 0.6 16.6 15th
16th 1.0 4.2 7.2 5.5 1.2 0.0 19.0 16th
Total 1.0 4.4 10.0 16.4 19.6 18.4 14.1 8.6 4.6 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 92.3% 3.8% 88.5% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.0%
11-7 0.7% 84.6% 84.6% 8.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 84.6%
10-8 2.0% 65.7% 1.8% 63.9% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.7 65.1%
9-9 4.6% 37.5% 0.5% 37.0% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 2.9 37.2%
8-10 8.6% 8.0% 0.1% 7.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 7.9 7.9%
7-11 14.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.0 0.7%
6-12 18.4% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 18.3
5-13 19.6% 19.6
4-14 16.4% 16.4
3-15 10.0% 10.0
2-16 4.4% 4.4
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18
Total 100% 4.7% 0.1% 4.6% 9.8 95.3 4.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%