St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#119
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#56
Pace65.1#297
Improvement-1.5#303

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#137
First Shot-1.0#199
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#82
Layup/Dunks+0.3#160
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#250
Freethrows-2.2#310
Improvement-2.5#349

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#104
First Shot+2.4#97
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#201
Layups/Dunks+4.2#54
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#275
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#181
Freethrows-0.7#233
Improvement+1.0#90
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.5% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.4 11.2 11.6
.500 or above 86.7% 94.0% 82.3%
.500 or above in Conference 58.3% 64.8% 54.5%
Conference Champion 2.9% 4.3% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.4% 2.9%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round3.0% 4.1% 2.4%
Second Round0.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Atlantic (Away) - 37.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 37 - 49 - 11
Quad 410 - 119 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 112 Bradley W 69-63 49%     1 - 0 +9.3 +1.8 +7.9
  Sat, Nov 8 348 Canisius W 89-70 94%     2 - 0 +4.4 +17.8 -11.6
  Wed, Nov 12 177 Siena W 75-66 76%     3 - 0 +4.6 +6.1 -0.7
  Sat, Nov 15 189 Youngstown St. W 84-80 77%     4 - 0 -0.8 +9.7 -10.6
  Thu, Nov 20 185 Robert Morris W 75-61 77%     5 - 0 +9.3 +1.1 +8.5
  Tue, Nov 25 26 North Carolina L 70-85 15%     5 - 1 -0.9 +2.6 -3.1
  Thu, Nov 27 259 East Carolina W 67-58 79%     6 - 1 +3.7 -7.2 +10.8
  Sun, Nov 30 111 @Florida Atlantic L 71-74 37%    
  Sat, Dec 6 228 @Buffalo W 74-70 65%    
  Wed, Dec 10 182 Colgate W 74-66 76%    
  Sat, Dec 13 207 Ohio W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Dec 20 336 Le Moyne W 82-65 94%    
  Wed, Dec 31 53 @Virginia Commonwealth L 66-76 18%    
  Wed, Jan 7 115 Richmond W 72-69 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 212 Fordham W 70-61 80%    
  Wed, Jan 14 175 @Saint Joseph's W 73-72 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 214 @La Salle W 71-68 62%    
  Tue, Jan 20 265 Loyola Chicago W 74-62 85%    
  Fri, Jan 23 50 Saint Louis L 72-76 35%    
  Wed, Jan 28 126 @Duquesne L 75-77 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 74 George Mason L 66-68 43%    
  Tue, Feb 3 78 @Dayton L 64-72 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 212 @Fordham W 67-64 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 126 Duquesne W 78-74 62%    
  Wed, Feb 18 175 Saint Joseph's W 76-69 74%    
  Sat, Feb 21 115 @Richmond L 69-72 39%    
  Wed, Feb 25 106 Rhode Island W 72-70 56%    
  Sat, Feb 28 74 @George Mason L 63-71 25%    
  Wed, Mar 4 62 @George Washington L 72-81 22%    
  Sat, Mar 7 135 Davidson W 70-66 64%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 2.8 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.7 3.3 0.7 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.8 1.1 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.4 2.0 0.1 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 5.9 3.1 0.3 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 4.9 4.2 0.6 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.3 0.9 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.1 1.2 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.3 1.7 3.3 1.2 0.1 6.6 11th
12th 0.2 1.2 2.2 0.9 0.1 4.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 5.2 8.0 11.0 13.1 14.4 13.7 11.8 8.2 5.4 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 91.5% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 67.4% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 36.5% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.1% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 55.6% 22.2% 33.3% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 42.9%
16-2 0.5% 34.5% 14.8% 19.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 23.1%
15-3 1.2% 29.6% 18.6% 11.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.9 13.5%
14-4 3.0% 19.9% 15.2% 4.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1 2.4 5.6%
13-5 5.4% 8.8% 8.2% 0.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.9 0.7%
12-6 8.2% 5.7% 5.5% 0.2% 11.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 7.7 0.2%
11-7 11.8% 4.3% 4.2% 0.1% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 11.3 0.1%
10-8 13.7% 2.2% 2.2% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.4
9-9 14.4% 1.4% 1.4% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 14.2
8-10 13.1% 0.8% 0.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0
7-11 11.0% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.9
6-12 8.0% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 7.9
5-13 5.2% 5.2
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.3% 2.8% 0.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 96.7 0.5%