St. Mary's
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +13.9 37
Results Rating +15.6 29
Consistency 0.13 62
Pace 64.4 288
Improvement +0.0 186

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 53 B- A- C+ B+ C
Defense A- 27 A- A- D+ B+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 105 C+ 59% 134 +2.2 100
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 150 D+ 35% 272 -0.5 210
Three Pointers 38% 242 A- 39% 11 +1.6 126
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.2 174 B- +3.0 86
1st FG Attempt B- 1.09 81
Second Chance A- 38.1% 15 B- 1.11 70 A- 0.42 22
Opponents' Steals B- 8.3% 73
Other Turnovers D+ 8.0% 269
Turnovers C+ 16.2% 145
Freethrows C+ 0.32 123 A 81% 1 B+ 0.26 37
Total Offense B +6.4 53

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 55% 77 B 8.8% 62
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 52 C+ 4.5% 152
Three Pointers B 90% 55 C 0.9% 200
Total B 63% 43 B- 4.9% 102

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 158 B+ 50% 24 -2.5 92
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 61 B 34% 56 +0.6 237
Three Pointers 36% 316 A- 29% 26 -5.0 12
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.4 96 A- -6.4 13
1st FG Attempt A- 0.88 18
Second Chance A 23.6% 11 B 0.93 45 A- 0.22 11
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.5% 260
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 240
Turnovers D+ 15.3% 266
Freethrows B+ 0.24 22 C 73% 206 B+ 0.17 29
Total Defense A- +7.6 27

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 115 C+ 13.0% 92
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 33% 311 C- 4.3% 205
Three Pointers C 84% 188 B- 1.3% 80
Total C+ 53% 128 B- 6.7% 94

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 239 17.8 265
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 192 0.17 194
Consistency 0.12 139 0.12 185
Improvement -0.4 207 +0.4 158

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 41 35 28
Results Rating Rank 38 30 22
Conference Record 15 - 3 15 - 3 16 - 2
Conference Finish 2 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 9 6
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 6% 10% 3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 94% 97% 91%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 92% 95% 90%
Average Seed 8.8 8.3 9.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 41% 100% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four8% 3% 12%
First Round90% 95% 86%
Second Round45% 50% 40%
Sweet Sixteen9% 10% 8%
Elite Eight3% 3% 2%
Final Four1% 1% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Gonzaga (Home) - 40.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 4
Quad 27 - 19 - 5
Quad 311 - 020 - 5
Quad 47 - 027 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 115 St. Thomas W 84 - 58 90% +11  86% 1 - 0 A+ +26 A +13 A C C A+ +15 B A+ C+
 Fri, Nov 7 282 Chattanooga W 87 - 66 98% +12  90% 2 - 0 B +11 A- +9 A+ D- F B- +2 C A- A-
 Tue, Nov 11 210 Ohio W 90 - 60 96% +15  84% 3 - 0 A+ +24 A +12 B- A+ B+ A+ +13 A+ D- A-
 Fri, Nov 14 141 North Texas W 80 - 49 92% +23  95% 4 - 0 A+ +29 A- +11 D+ A+ C- A+ +20 A+ A+ F
 Wed, Nov 19 145 Arkansas St. W 85 - 72 92% +7  96% 5 - 0 B +11 B+ +9 B+ A+ F+ B- +2 B+ B F
 Wed, Nov 26 93 Wichita St. W 70 - 65 78% +3  71% 6 - 0 B +11 C -0 F B A- A+ +11 A- A+ A-
 Thu, Nov 27 56 Virginia Tech W 77 - 66 65% +8  98% 7 - 0 A +21 B+ +9 A A F A+ +12 A+ A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 28 16 Vanderbilt L 71 - 96 32% -13  0% 7 - 1 D+ -6 C +1 B+ C D- D- -6 C+ F+ D-
 Sun, Dec 7 110 @Davidson W 70 - 61 76% +1  43% 8 - 1 A- +16 B- +5 C+ B- C+ A+ +11 A A+ D-
 Sun, Dec 14 68 Boise St. L 67 - 68 69% -6  2% 8 - 2 B- +8 D+ -4 F C+ C+ A+ +11 C+ A+ A+
 Fri, Dec 19 120 Florida Atlantic W 88 - 75 90% +10  94% 9 - 2 B+ +13 B +6 C+ B+ C- B+ +6 A+ D C+
 Mon, Dec 22 95 Northern Iowa W 63 - 58 85% -2  19% 10 - 2 B- +8 C +1 F A+ C A- +7 B+ B+ D+
 Sun, Dec 28 148 @Loyola Marymount W 78 - 73 84% +1  56% 11 - 2 1 - 0 B +9 A+ +21 A A+ A+ F -11 D+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 280 @Pepperdine W 72 - 45 94% +12  98% 12 - 2 2 - 0 A+ +23 B- +4 B- C C- A+ +23 A+ B+ B+
 Fri, Jan 2 224 Portland W 78 - 57 96% +14  95% 13 - 2 3 - 0 B+ +14 B+ +8 A C B- A +9 A+ A F
 Sun, Jan 4 125 Seattle W 93 - 76 90% +0  34% 14 - 2 4 - 0 A- +17 A+ +32 A+ A+ A+ F -13 D- B F
 Sat, Jan 10 127 Washington St. W 88 - 82 90% +9  93% 15 - 2 5 - 0 B- +6 B+ +9 A F+ F D+ -4 D- B- C
 Tue, Jan 13 128 @San Francisco W 82 - 68 79% +9  88% 16 - 2 6 - 0 A +19 A +12 A- A D+ A- +8 B- B+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 43 @Santa Clara L 54 - 62 45% -7  0% 16 - 3 6 - 1 B- +7 F -14 F C+ B- A+ +21 A+ A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 21 155 Oregon St. W 81 - 51 93% +14  97% 17 - 3 7 - 1 A+ +27 A +13 B- A+ A- A+ +17 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 224 @Portland W 75 - 69 91% +4  87% 18 - 3 8 - 1 B- +5 B +6 B+ F+ D+ C +0 B B- F
 Sat, Jan 31 11 @Gonzaga L 65 - 73 21% -3  18% 18 - 4 8 - 2 B+ +14 C+ +3 C- D A A+ +11 A+ C- C+
 Wed, Feb 4 233 San Diego W 87 - 60 96% +19  95% 19 - 4 9 - 2 A +20 A+ +15 A- A+ B+ A- +7 C A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 128 San Francisco W 79 - 54 91% +15  95% 20 - 4 10 - 2 A+ +24 B+ +9 A C+ A+ A+ +18 A+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 280 Pepperdine W 88 - 60 98% +16  94% 21 - 4 11 - 2 A +18 B- +5 A A- F A+ +12 A+ B D+
 Sat, Feb 14 118 @Pacific W 72 - 61 77% +2  48% 22 - 4 12 - 2 A- +17 B+ +8 D- A+ A+ A +10 A C- A-
 Wed, Feb 18 125 @Seattle W 72 - 70 78% +5  76% 23 - 4 13 - 2 B- +8 C+ +3 C- A+ C B +4 C+ A- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 127 @Washington St. W 83 - 67 79% +4  58% 24 - 4 14 - 2 A +22 A+ +17 A+ C+ D+ B+ +6 B- A+ D
 Wed, Feb 25 43 Santa Clara W 86 - 67 68% +7  76% 25 - 4 15 - 2 A+ +28 A+ +19 C- A+ C+ A +10 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 28 11 Gonzaga L 73 - 75 41%
Totals 25 - 5 15 - 3 +14 B +6 B+ B- C A- +8 A- A B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B C+ D+ A- B- 41% 40% 38% C B- A- B- A- C+ C+ A B+ A- B+ B A- A- 39% 25% 36% B- A- A B A- D+ B+ C B+
1.18 59% 35% 39% +3 0 1.09 38% 1.1 .42 16% .32 81% .26 0.98 50% 34% 29% -6 0 0.88 24% 0.9 .22 15% .24 73% .23
Nov
3		 St. Thomas A A+ D+ A A+ 33% 19% 48% D A A- F C C A B A A+ C- F A+ A- 51% 8% 41% D- B A- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+
1.29 81% 33% 39% +11 0 1.23 37% 0.9 .33 17% .35 79% .28 0.89 65% 75% 24% 0 +3 1.08 14% 0.0 .00 15% .18 30% .05
Nov
7		 Chattanooga A- C A+ A+ A+ 40% 23% 37% D+ A+ D+ D- D- F A+ A+ A+ B- D D+ B C- 29% 29% 42% A- C C+ A+ A- A- F D F
1.29 59% 60% 50% +14 0 1.30 29% 1.0 .29 21% .54 93% .51 0.98 64% 43% 30% +1 -2 1.00 19% 0.7 .13 19% .35 79% .28
Nov
11		 Ohio A C- F+ A+ B- 42% 19% 38% C B- A- A+ A+ B+ B+ B A- A+ C+ B- A+ A+ 34% 28% 38% B A+ C- F D- A- A+ F A+
1.30 55% 30% 45% +3 0 1.10 42% 1.5 .65 13% .36 77% .28 0.86 56% 40% 15% -11 -1 0.77 29% 1.2 .34 20% .13 86% .11
Nov
14		 North Texas A- F F A- D- 47% 13% 40% A D+ A+ B+ A+ C- B A+ A A+ A+ A+ C A+ 47% 17% 36% C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F B+
1.20 43% 17% 39% -7 +2 0.91 54% 1.2 .62 22% .41 81% .33 0.73 16% 22% 32% -24 +1 0.57 21% 0.7 .15 12% .24 86% .20
Nov
19		 Arkansas St. B+ C F A+ B 51% 19% 30% B+ B+ A+ B A+ F+ A+ B+ A+ B- A- B- A- A 47% 10% 43% F+ B+ C A- B F A+ F A-
1.23 59% 13% 54% +5 +1 1.14 41% 1.2 .47 19% .59 76% .45 1.04 48% 33% 28% -9 +2 0.88 37% 0.9 .33 15% .22 85% .19
Nov
26		 Wichita St. C D+ B- F F 43% 29% 29% B- F B- B+ B A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A- B- A 48% 26% 26% C A- A+ B+ A+ A- C- F D-
1.02 52% 43% 7% -13 -1 0.76 31% 1.1 .33 13% .44 85% .37 0.95 46% 31% 31% -9 0 0.84 26% 0.9 .23 19% .34 79% .27
Nov
27		 Virginia Tech B+ B A+ C- A 49% 16% 36% A- A A B A F A+ A A+ A+ C B A+ A+ 25% 31% 44% A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ D+ D+ F F+
1.14 64% 57% 31% +4 +1 1.13 41% 1.1 .44 22% .36 79% .28 0.97 62% 31% 26% -6 -2 0.85 39% 0.5 .20 13% .34 85% .29
Nov
28		 Vanderbilt C C+ A C- B+ 35% 24% 41% C B+ D- A C D- C+ A+ A D- F A+ F C 41% 30% 29% A C+ C+ F F+ D- C D C-
0.98 56% 45% 32% 0 -1 1.00 21% 1.2 .24 22% .35 90% .32 1.32 83% 12% 44% +6 -1 1.13 31% 1.5 .49 10% .34 82% .27
Dec
7		 Davidson B- B- C D+ B- 46% 33% 22% C- C+ A+ F B- C+ C+ C- C+ A+ C- C+ A+ A 29% 29% 42% A A A A+ A+ D- C+ A+ B+
1.09 62% 40% 30% +1 -1 1.02 46% 0.8 .35 17% .32 65% .21 0.95 60% 40% 27% -3 -2 0.92 23% 0.6 .13 14% .27 53% .15
Dec
14		 Boise St. D+ F+ D- F F 40% 26% 34% C+ F B+ F C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C F B- C 36% 26% 38% A C+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A F A-
0.98 47% 33% 25% -10 0 0.81 28% 0.9 .25 15% .41 83% .34 0.99 59% 50% 33% +3 -1 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 22% .26 86% .22
Dec
19		 Florida Atlantic B A+ F F C+ 46% 12% 42% B C+ A+ D B+ C- A+ A A+ B+ A+ F B- A+ 46% 17% 37% D A+ A F D C+ F A- D-
1.15 71% 17% 27% -1 +2 1.04 42% 0.9 .36 17% .52 79% .41 0.98 33% 56% 32% -10 +1 0.85 25% 1.6 .40 18% .40 64% .26
Dec
22		 Northern Iowa C F F F F 40% 21% 40% C F A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ A- A- D B- A- 42% 21% 37% B- B+ A+ F B+ D+ A+ D- A+
1.02 41% 11% 18% -22 0 0.58 41% 1.2 .49 18% .53 93% .49 0.94 50% 45% 32% -3 0 0.96 10% 1.7 .17 13% .07 75% .06
Dec
28		 Loyola Marymount A+ C C+ A+ A+ 40% 29% 31% C- A B+ A+ A+ A+ A- D- B F A F D- D 28% 34% 38% A D+ D- F F F C+ B+ B-
1.31 56% 38% 50% +7 -1 1.13 38% 1.5 .55 10% .36 68% .24 1.23 46% 56% 39% +6 -3 1.09 32% 1.4 .46 10% .26 64% .17
Dec
30		 Pepperdine B- A- B+ D B 47% 19% 34% C- B- D A C C- F+ A+ C+ A+ B- B- A+ A+ 35% 19% 46% C- A+ A- B- B+ B+ A+ C+ A+
1.17 68% 44% 31% +5 +1 1.13 28% 1.3 .36 16% .19 100% .19 0.73 53% 33% 18% -14 0 0.75 22% 0.9 .19 21% .08 75% .06
Jan
2		 Portland B+ A+ F A+ A+ 31% 18% 51% C- A C- C+ C B- A B- A A A- F A+ A+ 46% 25% 29% C+ A+ D A+ A F B- F C-
1.22 71% 25% 43% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 16% .39 76% .30 0.89 50% 46% 7% -14 0 0.75 33% 0.7 .23 14% .27 87% .24
Jan
4		 Seattle A+ A+ F A+ A+ 58% 13% 29% A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ A F B F F D- 47% 14% 40% D D- A- C B F A+ C- A+
1.44 70% 29% 47% +11 +2 1.29 59% 1.2 .72 14% .34 84% .29 1.18 52% 50% 43% +4 +1 1.14 19% 0.9 .17 8% .12 71% .08
Jan
10		 Washington St. B+ D+ D+ A+ A+ 33% 15% 52% B- A C+ F F+ F A- A+ A+ D+ F+ F C- D 43% 12% 45% D- D- B+ C- B- C D- C D
1.24 53% 38% 48% +9 0 1.21 29% 0.6 .18 20% .35 100% .35 1.16 71% 67% 36% +11 +1 1.27 25% 1.0 .25 18% .33 74% .24
Jan
13		 San Francisco A D+ C+ A+ A 40% 32% 28% D A- C+ A+ A D+ A+ A+ A+ A- C B- D+ C+ 31% 28% 41% A B- A+ F B+ D A+ A+ A+
1.23 53% 40% 54% +7 -1 1.13 29% 1.5 .43 15% .44 88% .39 1.02 59% 33% 36% 0 -1 1.00 18% 1.6 .29 14% .23 38% .09
Jan
17		 Santa Clara F F C- F F 38% 19% 43% C- F C C+ C+ B- A F B- A+ B A A+ A+ 42% 31% 27% A A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F C- F
0.80 39% 33% 15% -20 0 0.62 30% 1.1 .33 19% .40 64% .26 0.92 55% 33% 23% -7 -1 0.85 21% 0.9 .18 15% .35 75% .26
Jan
21		 Oregon St. A C+ D C B- 48% 13% 39% B B- A- A A+ A- A C+ A A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 40% 26% 33% B- A+ A- A+ A+ D- F C- F
1.29 59% 33% 33% -1 +2 1.04 39% 1.2 .48 11% .41 74% .30 0.81 35% 45% 14% -17 -1 0.67 21% 0.5 .10 14% .50 78% .39
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Portland B D B- A+ B+ 46% 17% 37% B- B+ C+ F F+ D+ B A+ A+ C B+ A+ F+ B 43% 24% 33% B- B A F B- F C F D-
1.15 52% 38% 47% +5 +1 1.13 34% 0.7 .24 18% .34 89% .30 1.06 52% 25% 38% -4 0 0.94 21% 1.4 .30 14% .30 88% .27
Jan
31		 Gonzaga C+ A F D C 26% 38% 36% D- C- D+ D- D A A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ C- A 29% 42% 29% A+ A+ A F C- C+ F+ A D+
0.96 67% 22% 29% -6 -3 0.83 20% 0.7 .14 16% .44 92% .40 1.07 71% 25% 36% -1 -3 0.94 29% 1.5 .45 15% .36 62% .22
Feb
4		 San Diego A+ D+ A A+ A 45% 21% 34% C A- A- A A+ B+ B- A B+ A- D+ A+ F C 33% 27% 40% B C B- A+ A+ C- C- A+ A
1.36 57% 50% 50% +10 0 1.23 42% 1.3 .55 16% .37 80% .30 0.94 63% 23% 42% +2 -1 1.04 26% 0.5 .13 17% .25 38% .09
Feb
7		 San Francisco B+ D+ C+ A+ A- 52% 19% 30% A- A A- F+ C+ A+ F C+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 29% 17% 54% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ F B+ F D+
1.23 54% 40% 50% +5 +1 1.15 34% 0.9 .31 8% .14 75% .10 0.84 40% 22% 25% -15 0 0.71 15% 0.7 .10 9% .27 94% .26
Feb
11		 Pepperdine B- F A+ A+ A+ 32% 20% 48% D- A A+ F+ A- F A+ F B+ A+ A- A+ A- A+ 38% 20% 42% D+ A+ B- B B D+ A A+ A+
1.23 44% 50% 54% +12 0 1.26 49% 0.9 .46 21% .39 59% .23 0.84 48% 8% 28% -14 0 0.75 26% 0.8 .22 17% .20 58% .12
Feb
14		 Pacific B+ A+ F D- D- 31% 25% 44% C+ D- A- A+ A+ A+ F A+ D+ A A A+ F A+ 50% 20% 30% D A A F C- A- B+ F+ B-
1.13 71% 7% 29% -7 -1 0.85 33% 1.4 .45 6% .24 86% .20 0.96 43% 22% 43% -6 +1 0.91 27% 1.3 .36 24% .23 82% .19
Feb
18		 Seattle C+ C- D+ D C 47% 31% 22% D+ C- C- A+ A+ C A+ A- A+ B D+ D A- C 42% 24% 34% B C+ A+ B- A- C- F+ C+ D-
0.99 52% 36% 30% -5 -1 0.91 29% 1.7 .48 21% .47 78% .36 0.96 62% 42% 29% 0 0 1.02 16% 0.8 .13 17% .36 68% .25
Feb
21		 Washington St. A+ A- A A+ A+ 36% 32% 32% D A+ A+ F C+ D+ D- C+ D- B+ C+ A+ D B+ 52% 10% 38% F B- B A+ A+ D B D+ B-
1.32 67% 50% 56% +18 -2 1.34 45% 0.7 .31 16% .23 75% .17 1.06 60% 20% 39% +2 +2 1.10 26% 0.4 .12 16% .25 77% .19
Feb
25		 Santa Clara A+ B F D C- 41% 18% 41% C C- A+ A+ A+ C+ D- A- D+ A A+ B- B- A+ 37% 22% 41% B A+ A+ F A+ D- C+ F C-
1.31 65% 11% 30% -5 0 0.94 58% 1.4 .83 20% .27 79% .21 1.02 45% 42% 32% -5 0 0.91 17% 1.5 .25 12% .23 85% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 40.7 40.7 1st
2nd 59.3 59.3 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 59.3 40.7 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 40.7    40.7
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 40.7% 40.7 40.7



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 40.7% 96.5% 34.9% 61.7% 8.3 0.0 0.5 3.5 7.0 9.7 10.5 6.7 1.3 1.4 94.7%
15-3 59.3% 91.4% 13.9% 77.5% 9.2 0.1 1.4 4.1 8.5 14.7 17.1 8.2 0.0 5.1 90.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 93.5% 22.5% 71.1% 8.8 6.5 91.6%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.2% 100.0% 7.4 0.1 3.2 19.6 30.6 27.5 14.9 3.9 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 22.3% 95.2% 8.8 0.0 0.3 3.1 10.4 22.1 31.7 22.9 4.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.2% 92.3% 9.0 0.2 1.4 7.2 21.1 30.5 24.7 7.2
Lose Out 7.2% 81.3% 10.0 0.1 0.4 3.2 17.2 33.0 27.3 0.2