Tulane
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#152
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#129
Pace67.0#257
Improvement+0.0#174

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#94
First Shot+4.7#57
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#288
Layup/Dunks-0.9#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#147
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
Freethrows+4.8#11
Improvement+1.0#84

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#279
First Shot-2.7#269
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#222
Layups/Dunks+5.5#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#359
Freethrows+0.6#143
Improvement-1.0#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.3% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.7 13.2
.500 or above 48.1% 52.7% 29.1%
.500 or above in Conference 34.0% 36.4% 24.3%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.2% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.5% 11.1% 18.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.1% 2.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 80.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 36 - 68 - 14
Quad 48 - 316 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 221 Samford W 85-72 74%     1 - 0 +6.3 +13.8 -6.6
  Sat, Nov 8 203 Texas St. W 79-71 71%     2 - 0 +2.3 +9.5 -6.9
  Tue, Nov 11 304 @Louisiana W 66-62 68%     3 - 0 -0.8 -1.9 +1.4
  Fri, Nov 14 205 New Orleans L 63-85 71%     3 - 1 -27.9 -8.4 -20.9
  Fri, Nov 21 35 Utah St. L 75-96 12%     3 - 2 -8.2 +8.3 -16.9
  Sun, Nov 23 127 Boston College W 93-90 OT 41%     4 - 2 +5.2 +14.0 -9.2
  Fri, Nov 28 270 Nicholls St. W 78-69 80%    
  Tue, Dec 2 290 Grambling St. W 78-68 83%    
  Sat, Dec 6 58 Akron L 79-86 27%    
  Sun, Dec 14 96 UC San Diego L 73-79 30%    
  Wed, Dec 17 194 Louisiana Tech W 70-65 68%    
  Sat, Dec 20 156 Portland St. W 77-74 60%    
  Wed, Dec 31 259 @East Carolina W 77-75 58%    
  Sun, Jan 4 111 Florida Atlantic L 77-78 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 231 @Texas San Antonio W 77-76 54%    
  Wed, Jan 14 107 UAB L 78-79 45%    
  Sun, Jan 18 123 North Texas W 69-68 50%    
  Wed, Jan 21 111 @Florida Atlantic L 74-81 27%    
  Sun, Jan 25 196 @Charlotte L 73-74 47%    
  Wed, Jan 28 81 South Florida L 79-83 35%    
  Sun, Feb 1 70 @Memphis L 71-82 17%    
  Sun, Feb 8 92 Wichita St. L 74-77 40%    
  Wed, Feb 11 148 Temple W 81-78 60%    
  Sun, Feb 15 107 @UAB L 75-82 26%    
  Wed, Feb 18 123 @North Texas L 65-71 30%    
  Sun, Feb 22 213 Rice W 75-69 71%    
  Wed, Feb 25 91 Tulsa L 74-77 39%    
  Sun, Mar 1 81 @South Florida L 76-86 19%    
  Thu, Mar 5 148 @Temple L 78-81 39%    
  Sun, Mar 8 70 Memphis L 74-79 33%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.7 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 2.6 0.8 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 3.7 1.6 0.1 6.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.1 0.6 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.3 3.2 5.5 1.3 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.3 2.4 0.1 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.6 3.6 0.5 12.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 11.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 2.2 4.1 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.5 12th
13th 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.9 13th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.9 8.1 10.8 12.5 13.3 13.0 11.0 8.8 6.4 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 87.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 62.3% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1
13-5 24.5% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 10.9% 10.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 13.0% 13.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.0% 16.3% 16.3% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-5 2.2% 15.1% 15.1% 12.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.9
12-6 3.9% 9.3% 9.3% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.6
11-7 6.4% 4.9% 4.9% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.1
10-8 8.8% 3.3% 3.3% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 8.5
9-9 11.0% 1.7% 1.7% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.8
8-10 13.0% 1.4% 1.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.8
7-11 13.3% 0.7% 0.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.2
6-12 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4
5-13 10.8% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 10.8
4-14 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
3-15 4.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.9
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 97.9 0.0%