Tulane
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.0 #158
Expected Predictive Rating +3.9 #108
Pace 66.3 #255
Improvement +4.9 #12

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #154 C- D- B+ A C-
Defense #171 C- D+ C+ B- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #277 1.22 #107 -1.1 #222
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #159 0.69 #257 -0.3 #190
Three Pointers 44% #129 0.92 #296 -0.8 #212
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #232 -2.1 #233
Freethrows 20.4 #41 79% #26 16.0 #16
Second Chance 21.7% #356 1.13 #87 0.24 #318
Turnovers 14.0% #44
Total Offense +0.2 #154

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #298 1.09 #93 +3.8 #66
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #149 0.83 #300 -1.1 #267
Three Pointers 45% #79 1.10 #294 -3.8 #319
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #217 -1.1 #216
Freethrows 16.6 #147 67% #22 11.2 #271
Second Chance 33.8% #293 1.06 #218 0.36 #277
Turnovers 17.4% #125
Total Defense -0.2 #171

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.8% #238 -0.8% #100
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.4% #227 3.0% #242
Possession Length 17.2 #167 18.5 #334
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #249 0.17 #157
Improvement -1.0 #244 +6.0 #2

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.9% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.7 13.2
.500 or above 77.6% 88.5% 67.7%
.500 or above in Conference 55.5% 70.4% 42.0%
Conference Champion 3.8% 6.4% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.2% 2.9% 1.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Home) - 47.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 37 - 68 - 13
Quad 410 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 240 Samford W 85 - 72 77% +6  1 - 0 +5 +13 A+ F C -7 D+ F A
 Sat, Nov 8 261 Texas St. W 79 - 71 80% -6  2 - 0 -1 +7 C F B -7 C- F D-
 Tue, Nov 11 315 @Louisiana W 66 - 62 73% +3  3 - 0 -2 -1 F C C+ -0 B- F F
 Fri, Nov 14 245 New Orleans L 63 - 85 77% -11  3 - 1 -30 -13 F F A+ -18 F F B
 Fri, Nov 21 28 Utah St. L 75 - 96 9% -6  3 - 2 -6 +9 A+ D- A -16 F B+ D+
 Sun, Nov 23 151 Boston College W 93 - 90 OT 49% +1  4 - 2 +3 +14 B+ A+ A+ -11 C- D F
 Fri, Nov 28 205 Nicholls St. W 82 - 72 71% +7  5 - 2 +4 +7 B+ F A+ -3 F A- C
 Tue, Dec 2 269 Grambling St. W 65 - 63 81% +0  6 - 2 -7 -3 F F A+ -4 B- F A-
 Sat, Dec 6 67 Akron L 71 - 88 30% -8  6 - 3 -12 -4 F F A+ -8 C- C- A+
 Sat, Dec 13 109 UC San Diego L 67 - 93 35% -16  6 - 4 -22 -11 F F D- -8 D C+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 234 Louisiana Tech W 61 - 53 75% +6  7 - 4 +1 -0 F C+ A+ +3 A+ B- A+
 Sat, Dec 20 145 Portland St. W 63 - 61 58% +3  8 - 4 -0 -4 F F F +4 A+ F B-
 Wed, Dec 31 262 @East Carolina W 79 - 70 61% +1  9 - 4 1 - 0 +6 +12 B- A- D+ -6 D+ B- F
 Sun, Jan 4 102 Florida Atlantic W 69 - 66 42% -1  10 - 4 2 - 0 +5 -3 F B B- +8 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 332 @Texas San Antonio W 85 - 52 77% +19  11 - 4 3 - 0 +25 +13 A- C B- +13 B+ B- A+
 Wed, Jan 14 115 UAB L 74 - 75 47%
 Sun, Jan 18 137 North Texas W 66 - 64 57%
 Wed, Jan 21 102 @Florida Atlantic L 71 - 79 22%
 Sun, Jan 25 170 @Charlotte L 70 - 72 42%
 Wed, Jan 28 75 South Florida L 75 - 80 33%
 Sun, Feb 1 83 @Memphis L 67 - 77 18%
 Sun, Feb 8 105 Wichita St. L 70 - 72 44%
 Wed, Feb 11 140 Temple W 75 - 73 58%
 Sun, Feb 15 115 @UAB L 71 - 78 27%
 Wed, Feb 18 137 @North Texas L 63 - 67 35%
 Sun, Feb 22 247 Rice W 75 - 67 77%
 Wed, Feb 25 93 Tulsa L 74 - 77 40%
 Sun, Mar 1 75 @South Florida L 72 - 83 16%
 Thu, Mar 5 140 @Temple L 72 - 76 35%
 Sun, Mar 8 83 Memphis L 70 - 74 38%
Totals 17 - 13 9 - 9 +0 +0 C- D- B+ +0 C- D+ C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.5 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 4.8 0.9 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 5.7 2.5 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.2 3.7 5.3 0.3 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.8 6.9 1.7 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 6.1 4.8 0.1 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.8 6.6 1.2 0.0 13.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 4.7 6.4 2.0 0.1 14.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.4 3.2 1.2 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.2 1.4 4.0 8.8 13.4 16.7 17.3 14.9 11.0 6.7 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 96.7% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 82.3% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 41.7% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1
12-6 7.5% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 13.6% 13.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 15.4% 15.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.6% 12.0% 12.0% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4
13-5 3.4% 6.4% 6.4% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.2
12-6 6.7% 8.5% 8.5% 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 6.1
11-7 11.0% 3.5% 3.5% 12.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.7
10-8 14.9% 2.1% 2.1% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 14.6
9-9 17.3% 1.1% 1.1% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 17.1
8-10 16.7% 1.0% 1.0% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 16.5
7-11 13.4% 0.3% 0.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 13.4
6-12 8.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 8.8
5-13 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 1.4% 1.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 12.8 97.8 0.0%