UC Irvine
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#133
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#220
Pace73.0#102
Improvement+0.9#106

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#309
First Shot-5.3#325
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#153
Layup/Dunks-2.4#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#339
Freethrows+2.3#60
Improvement-1.3#297

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#22
First Shot+7.2#19
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#215
Layups/Dunks+0.3#163
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#39
Freethrows+1.7#87
Improvement+2.1#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.3% 17.6% 12.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.1 13.6
.500 or above 76.2% 85.4% 65.8%
.500 or above in Conference 87.8% 91.1% 84.2%
Conference Champion 17.9% 21.2% 14.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.3% 1.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round15.2% 17.6% 12.6%
Second Round1.5% 1.9% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Jose St. (Away) - 53.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 36 - 77 - 11
Quad 411 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 136 California Baptist L 61-69 63%     0 - 1 -9.4 -11.9 +2.7
  Sat, Nov 15 229 Weber St. W 79-70 80%     1 - 1 +2.0 -6.2 +7.3
  Wed, Nov 19 89 @Utah Valley L 72-79 25%     1 - 2 +2.0 +4.4 -2.4
  Sat, Nov 22 90 Northern Iowa L 69-70 OT 46%     1 - 3 +1.9 -1.2 +3.2
  Tue, Nov 25 108 New Mexico St. L 45-57 42%     1 - 4 -8.1 -24.3 +16.1
  Wed, Nov 26 150 South Dakota St. W 64-52 58%     2 - 4 +11.9 -10.7 +22.0
  Sun, Nov 30 187 @San Jose St. W 67-66 53%    
  Thu, Dec 4 257 UC Riverside W 73-63 83%    
  Sat, Dec 6 220 Cal St. Northridge W 79-70 80%    
  Fri, Dec 19 94 Belmont L 70-71 47%    
  Sun, Dec 21 155 North Dakota St. W 70-68 58%    
  Thu, Jan 1 271 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 72-67 67%    
  Sat, Jan 3 324 @Cal St. Fullerton W 81-73 76%    
  Thu, Jan 8 298 Long Beach St. W 75-63 86%    
  Sun, Jan 11 110 @Hawaii L 66-71 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 178 @UC Davis W 67-66 51%    
  Thu, Jan 22 257 @UC Riverside W 70-66 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 96 @UC San Diego L 67-74 28%    
  Thu, Jan 29 110 Hawaii W 69-68 54%    
  Thu, Feb 5 271 Cal St. Bakersfield W 75-64 83%    
  Sat, Feb 7 141 @UC Santa Barbara L 68-70 42%    
  Thu, Feb 12 245 @Cal Poly W 79-75 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 324 Cal St. Fullerton W 84-70 88%    
  Thu, Feb 19 298 @Long Beach St. W 72-66 72%    
  Sat, Feb 21 96 UC San Diego L 70-71 49%    
  Thu, Feb 26 220 @Cal St. Northridge W 76-73 59%    
  Sat, Feb 28 141 UC Santa Barbara W 71-67 63%    
  Thu, Mar 5 245 Cal Poly W 82-72 80%    
  Sat, Mar 7 178 UC Davis W 70-64 71%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.2 4.8 4.8 2.8 1.0 0.2 17.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.9 6.6 3.8 1.3 0.1 20.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.8 6.6 5.5 2.0 0.4 0.0 19.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.7 5.9 3.6 1.0 0.0 15.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 3.3 4.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.0 1.2 0.1 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.8 0.7 0.1 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.1 5.4 8.0 10.0 12.2 13.3 13.3 11.8 9.0 6.1 2.9 1.0 0.2 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
18-2 95.9% 2.8    2.5 0.3
17-3 79.0% 4.8    3.6 1.2 0.1
16-4 53.3% 4.8    2.7 1.8 0.3 0.0
15-5 26.6% 3.2    1.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
14-6 6.6% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
13-7 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 17.9% 17.9 11.5 5.1 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 52.1% 52.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
19-1 1.0% 46.3% 46.3% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
18-2 2.9% 44.5% 44.5% 12.3 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.6
17-3 6.1% 36.3% 36.3% 12.8 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.9
16-4 9.0% 31.7% 31.7% 13.0 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 6.1
15-5 11.8% 24.4% 24.4% 13.4 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.9
14-6 13.3% 17.2% 17.2% 13.8 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.0 11.0
13-7 13.3% 10.4% 10.4% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 11.9
12-8 12.2% 8.1% 8.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 11.2
11-9 10.0% 4.0% 4.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.6
10-10 8.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.7
9-11 5.4% 1.7% 1.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 5.3
8-12 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.1
7-13 1.9% 1.9
6-14 1.0% 1.0
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 15.3% 15.3% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.6 4.3 1.8 0.3 84.7 0.0%