Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#127
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#126
Pace67.8#231
Improvement+0.7#118

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#92
First Shot+2.8#96
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#153
Layup/Dunks+0.6#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#113
Freethrows+0.1#172
Improvement-0.6#234

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#189
First Shot-3.0#274
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#53
Layups/Dunks+0.2#165
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#208
Freethrows-1.0#237
Improvement+1.3#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 8.4% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.3 12.7
.500 or above 68.1% 79.2% 56.1%
.500 or above in Conference 66.9% 72.7% 60.8%
Conference Champion 8.1% 10.1% 5.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 2.0% 3.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round7.0% 8.4% 5.6%
Second Round1.0% 1.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Away) - 51.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 38 - 510 - 12
Quad 47 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 133 Boston College W 83-78 OT 64%     1 - 0 +3.9 +2.1 +1.2
  Sat, Nov 8 177 College of Charleston W 94-77 65%     2 - 0 +15.7 +23.2 -6.8
  Sun, Nov 9 96 @Liberty L 68-88 30%     2 - 1 -11.9 -0.5 -12.0
  Thu, Nov 20 142 Pacific W 82-59 67%     3 - 1 +21.0 +15.5 +7.3
  Mon, Nov 24 141 Loyola Marymount W 76-65 56%     4 - 1 +12.2 +12.6 +0.5
  Tue, Nov 25 66 George Mason L 65-74 28%     4 - 2 -0.5 +7.4 -9.5
  Sun, Nov 30 111 St. Bonaventure L 65-70 57%     4 - 3 -4.2 -1.7 -2.9
  Sun, Dec 7 166 @Florida Gulf Coast W 78-77 52%    
  Sat, Dec 13 325 Albany W 82-67 92%    
  Fri, Dec 19 44 @St. Mary's L 65-77 13%    
  Wed, Dec 31 270 Texas San Antonio W 81-69 86%    
  Sun, Jan 4 169 @Tulane W 77-76 52%    
  Wed, Jan 7 113 @UAB L 74-78 37%    
  Sun, Jan 11 74 Memphis L 75-77 43%    
  Thu, Jan 15 98 Wichita St. W 74-73 52%    
  Sun, Jan 18 154 @Temple L 78-79 49%    
  Wed, Jan 21 169 Tulane W 80-73 72%    
  Sun, Jan 25 86 @South Florida L 77-84 28%    
  Thu, Jan 29 74 @Memphis L 72-80 25%    
  Sun, Feb 1 249 East Carolina W 79-69 82%    
  Wed, Feb 4 93 Tulsa W 75-74 50%    
  Wed, Feb 11 216 @Rice W 73-70 61%    
  Sun, Feb 15 86 South Florida L 80-81 48%    
  Wed, Feb 18 270 @Texas San Antonio W 78-72 69%    
  Sun, Feb 22 148 @North Texas L 68-69 47%    
  Wed, Feb 25 154 Temple W 81-75 69%    
  Sun, Mar 1 189 Charlotte W 75-67 75%    
  Sat, Mar 7 98 @Wichita St. L 71-76 32%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.5 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 8.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.5 3.3 4.8 1.9 0.3 10.7 3rd
4th 0.3 2.8 5.6 2.2 0.1 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 6.0 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.8 3.9 0.6 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.8 4.6 0.8 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.5 1.4 0.1 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.5 2.0 0.1 7.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.1 0.3 0.0 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.8 6.0 8.8 11.7 13.2 14.1 12.9 10.6 7.6 4.6 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 96.7% 1.1    1.0 0.1 0.0
15-3 84.4% 2.1    1.6 0.5 0.0
14-4 54.8% 2.5    1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0
13-5 22.1% 1.7    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 4.4 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 42.2% 38.6% 3.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 5.9%
16-2 1.1% 32.4% 31.2% 1.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.7%
15-3 2.4% 25.3% 25.1% 0.3% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.8 0.4%
14-4 4.6% 21.4% 21.4% 12.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.7
13-5 7.6% 16.4% 16.4% 0.0% 12.1 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 6.4 0.1%
12-6 10.6% 11.8% 11.8% 12.4 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 9.3
11-7 12.9% 8.0% 8.0% 12.7 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 11.9
10-8 14.1% 4.7% 4.7% 13.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 13.4
9-9 13.2% 2.7% 2.7% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 12.8
8-10 11.7% 2.0% 2.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.4
7-11 8.8% 1.5% 1.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.6
6-12 6.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 5.9
5-13 3.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-14 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.1% 7.0% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.2 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 92.9 0.1%