Albany
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -9.6 316
Expected Predictive Rating -10.8 327
Pace 65.4 266
Improvement +2.3 99

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 274 C- C- D- F+ C+
Defense D 326 C- F D C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 146 C 57% 196 +0.4 162
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 191 C+ 40% 94 +0.0 177
Three Pointers 41% 183 D+ 31% 286 -1.7 244
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 165 C- -1.5 226
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 211
Second Chance C+ 31.4% 154 D 0.93 309 C- 0.29 221
Turnovers D- 19.7% 331
Freethrows F+ 0.24 346 F+ 66% 347 F+ 0.16 357
Total Offense D+ -3.9 274

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 44% 258 C- 11.6% 214
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 27% 143 C- 5.7% 231
Three Pointers C+ 85% 172 F 2.0% 351
Total C- 53% 235 D+ 6.5% 281

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 116 C 59% 200 +1.8 237
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 250 C+ 37% 122 -1.1 103
Three Pointers 41% 188 D+ 36% 272 +1.1 241
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 259 C- +1.2 230
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 239
Second Chance D- 35.5% 340 F 1.22 359 F 0.43 360
Turnovers D 14.6% 312
Freethrows C- 0.31 213 D- 76% 345 C- 0.24 250
Total Defense D -5.7 326

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 254 C 11.1% 171
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 139 B 7.8% 49
Three Pointers F+ 92% 358 A 2.5% 15
Total D+ 61% 293 B- 7.0% 75

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.0 334 16.8 103
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 162 0.18 203
Improvement +1.9 #96 +0.3 #167

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 333 316 294
Conference Record 6 - 10 8 - 8 9 - 7
Conference Finish 6 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 9% 6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 66% 94% 59%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four6% 9% 6%
First Round3% 4% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 21.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 48 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 87 @Marquette L 53 - 80 5% -13  3% 0 - 1 F+ -18 F -22 F B F A- +7 B- A- A-
 Sat, Nov 8 182 @Massachusetts L 62 - 83 15% -7  15% 0 - 2 F -19 F -17 F C+ F C -1 A+ F D+
 Fri, Nov 14 113 @Rhode Island L 61 - 80 8% -6  28% 0 - 3 D- -13 D -6 F A+ D- D- -8 A- F F
 Fri, Nov 21 192 @Siena L 63 - 73 16% -8  0% 0 - 4 D -9 D+ -3 A F D+ D- -8 D+ F B-
 Fri, Nov 28 237 Colgate L 67 - 69 30% +2  67% 0 - 5 D+ -6 D -5 B F+ F+ C -1 D B- D
 Sat, Nov 29 158 Fordham L 68 - 88 18% -11  0% 0 - 6 F -20 C- -2 D- B B+ F -19 F F B+
 Sat, Dec 6 197 @Columbia L 65 - 93 16% -9  18% 0 - 7 F -27 F -10 D- F C F -18 D- F F+
 Wed, Dec 10 81 Yale L 82 - 93 7% -6  26% 0 - 8 C- -4 C+ +2 A F A D -5 C+ B- D+
 Sat, Dec 13 118 @Florida Atlantic L 79 - 105 8% -20  0% 0 - 9 F -20 D+ -3 B F+ D+ F -13 F B- D+
 Wed, Dec 17 216 @Stony Brook W 71 - 55 19% +8  85% 1 - 9 A- +16 C +1 A+ F D- A+ +16 A+ A+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 148 Cornell L 75 - 83 25% +0  42% 1 - 10 D -11 C+ +3 B+ C C F -15 C- F F
 Tue, Dec 30 94 @South Carolina L 67 - 96 6% -16  0% 1 - 11 F -20 C+ +3 F A+ F F -26 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 3 310 @Umass Lowell L 71 - 83 36% -10  4% 1 - 12 0 - 1 F -18 D -4 D- B- F+ F -14 C F F
 Sat, Jan 10 354 Bryant W 71 - 46 77% +13  98% 2 - 12 1 - 1 B- +8 B- +4 A F C- A +10 A+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 359 Binghamton W 69 - 53 81% +5  80% 3 - 12 2 - 1 C- -3 F+ -8 C D+ F A- +7 A- C+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 229 Vermont W 75 - 68 39% +3  61% 4 - 12 3 - 1 C +0 D+ -2 C+ F C B- +3 C+ C- B+
 Thu, Jan 22 346 @Maine L 49 - 52 50% +4  79% 4 - 13 3 - 2 D- -13 F -15 F D D- C+ +2 B+ B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 344 @New Hampshire L 72 - 80 50% -3  33% 4 - 14 3 - 3 F+ -18 C -0 B+ C+ F F -18 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 29 315 NJIT L 68 - 77 61% -5  9% 4 - 15 3 - 4 F -21 F+ -10 F+ C- C- F -12 D F F
 Sat, Jan 31 232 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65 - 68 40% +3  70% 4 - 16 3 - 5 D -10 D- -7 D- A- F D+ -3 F+ A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 5 354 @Bryant W 65 - 63 57% -5  1% 5 - 16 4 - 5 D -9 D -5 B+ F D- D+ -4 F D A+
 Sat, Feb 7 310 Umass Lowell L 79 - 89 59% -5  18% 5 - 17 4 - 6 F -22 C- -2 D+ B- B+ F -20 F F D-
 Sat, Feb 14 359 @Binghamton W 77 - 74 63% +5  96% 6 - 17 5 - 6 D -10 D+ -3 C- D+ F D- -7 D+ D F
 Thu, Feb 19 315 @NJIT W 81 - 63 38% +1  44% 7 - 17 6 - 6 B+ +12 A+ +18 A+ A+ C- D+ -4 B- F F
 Sat, Feb 21 232 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68 - 77 21%
 Thu, Feb 26 346 Maine W 69 - 63 72%
 Sat, Feb 28 344 New Hampshire W 74 - 68 71%
 Tue, Mar 3 229 @Vermont L 67 - 76 21%
Totals 9 - 19 8 - 8 -10 D+ -4 F+ C- C+ D -6 D+ F+ F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C+ D+ C- 40% 37% 41% C+ C- C+ D C- D- F+ F+ F+ D C C+ D+ C- 41% 18% 41% D+ C- D- F F D C- D- C-
1.03 57% 40% 31% -1 0 0.99 31% 0.9 .29 20% .24 66% .16 1.17 59% 37% 36% +1 0 1.06 35% 1.2 .43 15% .31 76% .18
Nov
3		 Marquette F F F F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ C B F C D C- A- C+ F A+ B- 49% 6% 45% C- B- F A+ A- A- F C F
0.69 44% 0% 18% -23 0 0.56 39% 0.9 .37 30% .26 71% .19 1.04 57% 100% 24% -4 +3 1.00 38% 0.6 .23 18% .62 69% .43
Nov
8		 Massachusetts F C- F F F 40% 10% 50% B F D+ A C+ F B- D+ C+ C B- D+ A+ A+ 44% 14% 42% F+ A+ F F F D+ F D F
0.84 58% 20% 21% -12 +1 0.81 24% 1.3 .30 26% .42 70% .29 1.12 55% 43% 19% -10 +1 0.84 42% 1.8 .76 18% .49 70% .34
Nov
14		 Rhode Island D F A+ F F 37% 15% 48% C F A+ A A+ D- F+ F+ F D- B+ B+ A- A 51% 12% 37% F+ A- F F F F F F F
0.92 41% 57% 14% -18 +1 0.67 44% 1.2 .54 24% .28 64% .18 1.21 52% 33% 28% -7 +2 0.92 43% 1.3 .54 14% .49 89% .44
Nov
21		 Siena D+ B- A- A+ A+ 46% 32% 22% C- A F F F D+ A F C D- C- C C- C- 54% 26% 20% F D+ F D- F B- F F F
1.04 63% 46% 56% +12 -1 1.24 20% 0.6 .12 18% .36 56% .20 1.21 60% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 38% 1.1 .42 18% .40 90% .36
Nov
28		 Colgate D C- A- A+ B 43% 21% 36% C+ B D F F+ F+ F F F C D B F+ D 31% 21% 48% C- D C B B- D A+ A+ A+
1.04 57% 45% 42% +5 0 1.13 26% 0.8 .19 19% .06 33% .02 1.07 63% 36% 40% +5 -1 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 14% .16 33% .05
Nov
29		 Fordham C- F A+ F D- 34% 25% 41% C+ D- A+ F B B+ D A C- F F F D F 43% 20% 37% D+ F F F F B+ F B F
1.01 42% 50% 26% -7 -1 0.86 40% 0.8 .33 13% .22 77% .17 1.30 70% 56% 35% +9 +1 1.22 42% 2.0 .85 21% .39 67% .26
Dec
6		 Columbia F A+ A+ F D 29% 31% 41% F D- C- F F C A+ F+ A F F F B- F 35% 25% 40% A D- F F F F+ D- F F
0.94 71% 60% 10% -4 -2 0.90 28% 0.3 .07 13% .45 67% .30 1.35 72% 54% 33% +8 -1 1.17 52% 1.5 .76 17% .33 84% .28
Dec
10		 Yale C+ C B- A+ A 37% 24% 39% C- A F B+ F A C+ F F D D+ A+ C- B 60% 10% 31% F C+ F+ A+ B- D+ F C F
1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11 1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41
Dec
13		 Florida Atlantic D+ C A B+ A- 40% 23% 37% D B F C F+ D+ C F D F D F F F 37% 13% 50% D+ F B- C B- D+ C A+ B-
0.97 57% 46% 38% +4 0 1.09 16% 1.0 .16 18% .30 60% .18 1.29 64% 75% 47% +16 +1 1.37 30% 1.1 .33 16% .31 62% .19
Dec
17		 Stony Brook C A+ F A A+ 43% 9% 48% A- A+ C- F F D- B F F A+ A A A+ A+ 42% 18% 40% C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F B- B- B-
1.09 75% 25% 41% +11 +2 1.28 30% 0.4 .12 18% .34 44% .15 0.84 42% 30% 26% -13 +1 0.77 17% 0.4 .07 11% .22 69% .15
Dec
21		 Cornell C+ D+ B+ A+ B+ 47% 22% 31% C- B+ A- F C C F C F F A+ A+ F D 20% 18% 62% A+ C- F F F F B- B- B-
1.24 57% 45% 53% +10 0 1.22 38% 0.9 .34 15% .14 71% .10 1.37 44% 25% 50% +10 -1 1.20 45% 1.4 .65 13% .27 71% .19
Dec
30		 South Carolina C+ C+ F+ F F 46% 35% 19% D+ F A+ A+ A+ F F A+ D- F F C- F F 31% 15% 54% C F F F F C- C+ F D+
1.05 59% 29% 0% -12 -1 0.75 47% 1.5 .72 23% .16 88% .14 1.50 87% 43% 50% +23 0 1.48 38% 1.4 .52 14% .31 94% .29
Jan
3		 Umass Lowell D D+ F F+ F 54% 15% 31% B D- C B+ B- F+ D F F+ F C B- B- C+ 53% 22% 25% D C F F F F C+ F+ C-
1.06 55% 25% 29% -6 +2 0.94 31% 1.3 .40 16% .23 62% .14 1.24 56% 36% 31% -3 +1 0.98 50% 1.3 .64 13% .29 71% .21
Jan
10		 Bryant B- A A+ B- A 55% 9% 36% B+ A A- F F C- C F+ D+ A A+ D A+ A+ 23% 12% 65% B A+ F+ D F+ F F+ A+ C-
1.25 71% 50% 38% +10 +3 1.27 43% 0.4 .18 14% .31 67% .20 0.81 10% 40% 21% -23 0 0.56 33% 1.1 .36 16% .33 63% .21
Jan
15		 Binghamton F+ F+ A A+ C+ 38% 25% 38% D- C A- F D+ F F A+ F+ A- A+ B- B A 43% 22% 35% C- A- D A C+ D- A- C+ B+
1.09 50% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 40% 0.8 .30 21% .20 90% .18 0.84 38% 36% 29% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.6 .15 17% .31 75% .23
Jan
19		 Vermont D+ C- D+ A- C+ 38% 18% 44% B- C+ F+ F F C A C+ A B- C- A+ C- B- 41% 14% 45% D C+ B- F C- B+ C C C
1.10 58% 33% 41% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 13% .40 75% .30 1.00 62% 14% 35% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.1 .24 19% .27 73% .20
Jan
22		 Maine F C C+ F F 40% 11% 49% B F C- D D D- F F F C+ D- A+ A+ A- 47% 21% 33% D B+ B C+ B- F D F F+
0.86 61% 40% 14% -13 +1 0.78 35% 0.9 .32 21% .18 63% .11 0.92 65% 0% 21% -11 +1 0.81 16% 1.0 .16 12% .36 72% .26
Jan
24		 New Hampshire C A B+ C A- 49% 22% 29% C+ B+ A F C+ F A+ B- A+ F D+ C+ F F 25% 6% 69% C F D+ F F D+ D- F F
1.11 70% 44% 33% +7 +1 1.17 42% 0.8 .33 25% .47 78% .37 1.23 58% 33% 39% +5 +1 1.15 28% 1.8 .48 17% .31 88% .28
Jan
29		 NJIT F+ D- F+ F F 44% 13% 43% B F+ D B C- C- F F F F B- F A D 37% 25% 37% C- D F F F F B F C-
1.01 50% 29% 26% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.2 .34 15% .24 64% .16 1.14 53% 62% 26% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.3 .44 13% .27 81% .22
Jan
31		 Maryland Baltimore Co. D- C F D- D- 39% 14% 47% C+ D- B+ B+ A- F F+ F F D+ B+ F F D 54% 12% 34% F F+ B- A+ A+ D+ F F+ F
1.03 58% 29% 30% -4 +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .41 21% .16 50% .08 1.07 50% 60% 43% +3 +2 1.12 19% 0.0 .00 14% .50 81% .41
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Bryant D B+ F A+ B+ 52% 12% 36% B B+ F F F D- F F F D+ C+ F F F 43% 5% 52% F F C F+ D A+ A+ D A+
1.08 65% 17% 44% +7 +2 1.20 26% 0.3 .06 17% .10 60% .06 1.04 53% 50% 43% +6 +2 1.18 28% 1.1 .32 28% .12 80% .09
Feb
7		 Umass Lowell C- D- A+ D D 49% 20% 31% C D+ D- A+ B- B+ A+ F A- F F A F F 46% 28% 26% B- F F F F D- F F F
1.14 52% 50% 31% -2 +1 1.00 25% 1.6 .41 10% .42 62% .26 1.28 67% 31% 50% +8 0 1.17 38% 1.6 .62 17% .54 71% .38
Feb
14		 Binghamton D+ C- D- B+ C- 42% 13% 44% C+ C- C F+ D+ F A+ B+ A+ D- C+ C D- D 32% 28% 40% B+ D+ B F D F F D F
1.12 58% 33% 40% +3 +1 1.11 32% 0.9 .29 19% .54 77% .41 1.08 53% 38% 37% 0 -1 1.00 16% 1.4 .22 16% .50 79% .40
Feb
19		 NJIT A+ D+ D+ A+ A+ 50% 20% 30% C+ A+ A+ C A+ C- C A- B- D+ C A- A+ B+ 50% 20% 30% F B- F D+ F F C A B-
1.36 55% 33% 62% +9 +1 1.23 50% 1.1 .53 15% .36 78% .28 1.06 56% 30% 20% -9 +1 0.86 39% 1.0 .39 12% .30 63% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.4 1.6 2.0 3rd
4th 0.8 13.2 13.6 0.9 28.5 4th
5th 0.7 21.6 31.3 5.2 58.7 5th
6th 3.8 5.4 9.2 6th
7th 1.5 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 6.0 27.8 44.5 19.1 2.6 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 2.6% 14.0% 14.0% 16.0 0.4 2.3
9-7 19.1% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 1.6 17.5
8-8 44.5% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 2.8 41.6
7-9 27.8% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 1.3 26.5
6-10 6.0% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.3 5.7
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 16.0 93.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%
Lose Out 4.1%