Albany
America East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#297
Expected Predictive Rating-12.0#322
Pace69.9#166
Improvement-0.2#195

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#332
First Shot-1.9#234
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#353
Layup/Dunks-3.4#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#207
Freethrows+0.1#178
Improvement+0.1#166

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#212
First Shot-1.1#215
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#180
Layups/Dunks-1.1#229
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#88
Freethrows-0.7#227
Improvement-0.3#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 4.0% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 9.3% 21.8% 8.5%
.500 or above in Conference 33.0% 43.8% 32.3%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.6% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 8.8% 3.8% 9.2%
First Four1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
First Round1.5% 3.6% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 6.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 82 - 12
Quad 49 - 911 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 169   Towson L 56-77 34%     0 - 1 -24.1 -17.4 -7.3
  Nov 13, 2021 243   @ La Salle L 64-67 28%     0 - 2 -4.1 -10.1 +6.1
  Nov 17, 2021 135   Harvard L 53-60 27%     0 - 3 -7.9 -14.1 +5.5
  Nov 20, 2021 161   @ Eastern Kentucky L 64-77 16%     0 - 4 -9.6 -11.5 +2.4
  Nov 22, 2021 12   @ Kentucky L 61-86 2%     0 - 5 -6.4 -6.3 +1.1
  Nov 24, 2021 346   Eastern Illinois W 64-62 73%     1 - 5 -11.8 -9.9 -1.8
  Dec 01, 2021 91   @ Kansas St. L 56-72 6%    
  Dec 07, 2021 124   @ Yale L 62-75 12%    
  Dec 11, 2021 335   Columbia W 73-66 76%    
  Dec 13, 2021 125   @ Boston College L 59-72 12%    
  Dec 18, 2021 185   Niagara L 61-67 28%    
  Dec 21, 2021 313   @ Lehigh L 67-69 44%    
  Dec 29, 2021 292   Bucknell W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 02, 2022 104   @ Vermont L 56-71 10%    
  Jan 06, 2022 322   Binghamton W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 08, 2022 195   @ New Hampshire L 60-69 22%    
  Jan 12, 2022 207   Umass Lowell L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 15, 2022 256   NJIT W 65-64 52%    
  Jan 19, 2022 210   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 22, 2022 219   Stony Brook L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 26, 2022 207   @ Umass Lowell L 65-73 23%    
  Jan 29, 2022 256   @ NJIT L 62-67 32%    
  Feb 02, 2022 210   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 05, 2022 265   @ Hartford L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 09, 2022 352   Maine W 67-56 84%    
  Feb 12, 2022 104   Vermont L 59-68 23%    
  Feb 16, 2022 322   @ Binghamton L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 19, 2022 195   New Hampshire L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 23, 2022 352   @ Maine W 64-59 68%    
  Feb 26, 2022 219   @ Stony Brook L 64-72 25%    
  Mar 01, 2022 265   Hartford W 69-68 55%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.6 1.8 0.4 0.1 6.3 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 3.5 2.3 0.4 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.1 2.9 0.5 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 6.0 3.6 0.5 0.0 13.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.9 6.8 4.0 0.7 0.0 16.2 7th
8th 0.3 1.7 5.4 7.4 3.8 0.6 0.0 19.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.7 5.1 4.7 1.9 0.4 0.0 15.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.0 4.4 7.9 11.1 13.7 13.9 13.1 11.3 8.4 6.1 3.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-3 71.0% 0.2    0.2 0.1
14-4 44.0% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 19.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
12-6 4.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 22.6% 22.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.9% 13.2% 13.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8
13-5 1.9% 15.0% 15.0% 15.8 0.1 0.2 1.6
12-6 3.9% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.7
11-7 6.1% 5.1% 5.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 5.8
10-8 8.4% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.3 8.1
9-9 11.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.0
8-10 13.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.9
7-11 13.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.7
6-12 13.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.6
5-13 11.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.1
4-14 7.9% 7.9
3-15 4.4% 4.4
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.9 97.8 0.0%