Albany
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#237
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#205
Pace76.8#28
Improvement+1.1#111

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#212
First Shot-2.5#247
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#118
Layup/Dunks-1.5#237
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#205
Freethrows+0.2#171
Improvement+2.5#26

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#261
First Shot-4.7#321
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#50
Layups/Dunks-6.8#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#142
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#66
Freethrows-1.9#291
Improvement-1.3#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 11.6% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 63.4% 76.2% 52.7%
.500 or above in Conference 69.5% 75.2% 64.6%
Conference Champion 11.0% 13.8% 8.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 2.1% 3.9%
First Four1.7% 1.4% 2.0%
First Round8.8% 10.9% 7.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 45.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 53 - 7
Quad 414 - 716 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 282   @ Army L 59-67 47%     0 - 1 -11.4 -13.2 +1.5
  Nov 13, 2024 319   @ Dartmouth W 87-73 57%     1 - 1 +8.1 +10.5 -2.7
  Nov 16, 2024 302   Siena W 70-60 73%     2 - 1 -0.3 -3.1 +3.3
  Nov 23, 2024 292   UMKC W 67-65 60%     3 - 1 -4.8 -0.7 -3.9
  Nov 24, 2024 236   American L 77-81 50%     3 - 2 -8.1 +0.0 -7.9
  Nov 30, 2024 98   @ Georgetown L 68-100 13%     3 - 3 -23.6 -6.6 -14.2
  Dec 04, 2024 192   Columbia W 88-73 51%     4 - 3 +10.6 +5.9 +4.0
  Dec 07, 2024 268   @ Boston University L 72-73 46%    
  Dec 10, 2024 96   @ Syracuse L 76-89 12%    
  Dec 14, 2024 167   Drexel L 73-74 49%    
  Dec 18, 2024 269   @ Sacred Heart L 79-80 46%    
  Dec 21, 2024 201   @ Fordham L 74-79 32%    
  Dec 29, 2024 327   Stony Brook W 80-72 78%    
  Jan 04, 2025 154   Umass Lowell L 81-82 45%    
  Jan 09, 2025 350   @ New Hampshire W 78-72 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 211   @ Maine L 69-74 34%    
  Jan 16, 2025 176   Bryant L 84-85 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 322   @ Binghamton W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 23, 2025 296   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 88-82 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 347   NJIT W 79-68 84%    
  Feb 01, 2025 322   Binghamton W 78-70 76%    
  Feb 06, 2025 176   @ Bryant L 81-87 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 183   Vermont W 69-68 50%    
  Feb 13, 2025 154   @ Umass Lowell L 78-85 26%    
  Feb 20, 2025 211   Maine W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 22, 2025 350   New Hampshire W 81-69 86%    
  Feb 27, 2025 296   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 85-86 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 347   @ NJIT W 76-71 68%    
  Mar 04, 2025 183   @ Vermont L 66-72 30%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.5 3.5 1.7 0.5 0.1 11.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.9 3.7 0.8 0.1 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.7 7.3 3.7 0.5 0.0 15.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.5 7.7 3.6 0.4 17.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 16.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.5 5.2 1.8 0.1 12.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 2.9 2.9 0.9 0.1 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 5.5 8.6 11.8 14.3 15.0 14.3 11.4 7.7 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 95.3% 1.7    1.5 0.2
13-3 81.3% 3.5    2.3 1.1 0.1
12-4 45.9% 3.5    1.2 1.7 0.6 0.0
11-5 12.5% 1.4    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.0% 11.0 5.9 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 46.3% 46.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.5% 43.9% 43.9% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.8% 27.6% 27.6% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
13-3 4.3% 26.4% 26.4% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 3.2
12-4 7.7% 22.5% 22.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.2 5.9
11-5 11.4% 16.0% 16.0% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 9.6
10-6 14.3% 10.9% 10.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 12.7
9-7 15.0% 7.0% 7.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 13.9
8-8 14.3% 5.4% 5.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 13.6
7-9 11.8% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 11.4
6-10 8.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.2 8.4
5-11 5.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.4
4-12 2.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-13 1.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 15.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.5 3.7 90.3 0.0%