Albany
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#310
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#323
Pace68.4#215
Improvement+3.9#16

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#261
First Shot-3.3#266
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#183
Layup/Dunks+0.4#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#195
Freethrows-4.3#357
Improvement+3.6#6

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#335
First Shot-2.1#241
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#349
Layups/Dunks-1.2#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#222
Freethrows-1.1#268
Improvement+0.4#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 14.6% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 5.9% 20.4% 5.2%
.500 or above in Conference 65.9% 79.4% 65.2%
Conference Champion 8.7% 15.3% 8.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 1.9% 5.4%
First Four8.4% 11.3% 8.3%
First Round4.9% 8.9% 4.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 4.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 49 - 810 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 105 @Marquette L 53-80 8%     0 - 1 -19.6 -19.6 +2.2
  Sat, Nov 8 164 @Massachusetts L 62-83 15%     0 - 2 -18.4 -10.8 -6.5
  Fri, Nov 14 119 @Rhode Island L 61-80 9%     0 - 3 -12.9 -4.6 -9.5
  Fri, Nov 21 179 @Siena L 63-73 17%     0 - 4 -8.4 +2.4 -12.3
  Fri, Nov 28 181 Colgate L 67-69 25%     0 - 5 -3.5 -1.4 -2.3
  Sat, Nov 29 193 Fordham L 68-88 26%     0 - 6 -22.1 -1.9 -20.9
  Sat, Dec 6 142 @Columbia L 65-93 12%     0 - 7 -23.8 -4.3 -19.9
  Wed, Dec 10 76 Yale L 82-93 8%     0 - 8 -3.7 +4.6 -7.8
  Sat, Dec 13 114 @Florida Atlantic L 79-105 9%     0 - 9 -19.6 -3.1 -12.8
  Wed, Dec 17 246 @Stony Brook W 71-55 26%     1 - 9 +14.1 +3.1 +12.1
  Sun, Dec 21 159 Cornell L 75-83 29%     1 - 10 -10.9 +7.3 -19.4
  Tue, Dec 30 90 @South Carolina L 63-81 5%    
  Sat, Jan 3 304 @Umass Lowell L 75-79 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 311 Bryant W 72-69 61%    
  Thu, Jan 15 363 Binghamton W 78-68 83%    
  Mon, Jan 19 178 Vermont L 71-75 34%    
  Thu, Jan 22 342 @Maine L 67-68 50%    
  Sat, Jan 24 335 @New Hampshire L 71-72 46%    
  Thu, Jan 29 353 NJIT W 76-68 76%    
  Sat, Jan 31 292 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-73 55%    
  Thu, Feb 5 311 @Bryant L 69-72 40%    
  Sat, Feb 7 304 Umass Lowell W 78-76 58%    
  Sat, Feb 14 363 @Binghamton W 75-71 65%    
  Thu, Feb 19 353 @NJIT W 73-71 56%    
  Sat, Feb 21 292 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71-76 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 342 Maine W 70-64 70%    
  Sat, Feb 28 335 New Hampshire W 74-69 67%    
  Tue, Mar 3 178 @Vermont L 68-78 17%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.7 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 8.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 4.9 6.2 3.4 0.8 0.1 16.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 6.3 6.7 2.3 0.2 17.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.4 6.6 1.5 0.1 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.3 6.1 1.3 0.1 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.0 5.3 1.4 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.9 1.2 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.3 0.9 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 6.2 9.6 13.1 15.6 15.4 13.5 10.2 6.4 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 93.3% 1.2    1.0 0.2
13-3 76.6% 2.5    1.7 0.7 0.0
12-4 42.1% 2.7    1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0
11-5 15.9% 1.6    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.7% 8.7 4.6 3.0 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 40.6% 40.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-2 1.2% 30.4% 30.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9
13-3 3.2% 24.3% 24.3% 15.9 0.0 0.7 2.5
12-4 6.4% 19.4% 19.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2 5.1
11-5 10.2% 14.9% 14.9% 16.0 1.5 8.7
10-6 13.5% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 1.6 11.9
9-7 15.4% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 1.2 14.1
8-8 15.6% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 1.0 14.5
7-9 13.1% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.7 12.5
6-10 9.6% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 9.3
5-11 6.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 6.1
4-12 3.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-13 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.0 90.9 0.0%