Army
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#331
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#277
Pace69.0#197
Improvement+1.4#94

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#319
First Shot-3.7#286
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#292
Layup/Dunks-5.9#344
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#33
Freethrows+0.3#151
Improvement-0.2#189

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#327
First Shot-4.7#331
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#205
Layups/Dunks-2.9#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#190
Freethrows-1.9#304
Improvement+1.6#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.7% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 11.6% 20.5% 7.1%
.500 or above in Conference 28.1% 43.6% 20.1%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.5% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 25.0% 12.9% 31.3%
First Four2.1% 3.0% 1.7%
First Round1.2% 1.9% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Away) - 33.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 411 - 1112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 135 @St. Thomas L 76-83 9%     0 - 1 -2.3 +6.3 -8.7
  Tue, Nov 11 4 Duke L 59-114 1%     0 - 2 -36.1 -9.6 -21.5
  Sat, Nov 15 192 Harvard L 52-75 31%     0 - 3 -28.1 -17.6 -12.8
  Tue, Nov 18 159 @Cornell L 73-86 11%     0 - 4 -9.9 -11.3 +2.8
  Fri, Nov 21 157 @Marist L 65-76 11%     0 - 5 -7.8 +1.6 -9.9
  Tue, Nov 25 302 East Texas A&M L 67-84 41%     0 - 6 -25.0 -7.1 -18.1
  Wed, Nov 26 357 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-73 55%     1 - 6 -3.5 +5.2 -8.3
  Sat, Nov 29 313 Manhattan W 81-78 OT 56%     2 - 6 -8.8 -4.9 -4.1
  Tue, Dec 2 77 George Washington L 70-84 9%     2 - 7 -9.8 -1.0 -9.3
  Fri, Dec 12 292 @Maryland Baltimore Co. W 63-60 27%     3 - 7 -1.1 -8.9 +8.1
  Tue, Dec 23 363 Binghamton W 95-85 OT 79%     4 - 7 -8.9 +1.9 -11.9
  Wed, Dec 31 315 @Lehigh L 70-74 34%    
  Sat, Jan 3 181 Colgate L 70-76 29%    
  Wed, Jan 7 329 Loyola Maryland W 77-74 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 288 @Boston University L 69-76 27%    
  Wed, Jan 14 326 @Holy Cross L 70-73 37%    
  Sun, Jan 18 268 American L 74-75 45%    
  Wed, Jan 21 308 @Bucknell L 69-74 33%    
  Sat, Jan 24 203 @Navy L 65-76 17%    
  Wed, Jan 28 315 Lehigh W 73-71 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 326 Holy Cross W 73-70 59%    
  Wed, Feb 4 181 @Colgate L 67-79 14%    
  Sat, Feb 7 321 Lafayette W 73-71 58%    
  Wed, Feb 11 288 Boston University L 72-73 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 268 @American L 71-78 24%    
  Wed, Feb 18 329 @Loyola Maryland L 74-77 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 203 Navy L 68-73 34%    
  Wed, Feb 25 308 Bucknell W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Feb 28 321 @Lafayette L 70-74 36%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.4 3rd
4th 0.5 3.1 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.9 1.3 0.1 9.9 5th
6th 0.2 3.0 6.0 1.9 0.2 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.7 3.0 0.2 0.0 13.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 6.6 3.9 0.4 14.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 6.4 4.2 0.6 0.0 15.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.5 4.3 4.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 16.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.6 5.2 8.7 12.3 14.5 14.5 13.1 10.6 7.6 4.9 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 94.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 93.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 65.1% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 45.9% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 15.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 13.6% 13.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 11.8% 11.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5
13-5 1.3% 12.2% 12.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2
12-6 2.8% 10.9% 10.9% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.5
11-7 4.9% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 4.5
10-8 7.6% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 7.1
9-9 10.6% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.5 10.2
8-10 13.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 12.9
7-11 14.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 14.3
6-12 14.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.4
5-13 12.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.2
4-14 8.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.7
3-15 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.2
2-16 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.4 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%