Army
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#282
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#240
Pace65.2#287
Improvement-1.1#247

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#263
First Shot-1.0#204
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#303
Layup/Dunks-1.6#244
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#270
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#61
Freethrows-2.0#289
Improvement+0.1#175

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#278
First Shot-1.3#214
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#301
Layups/Dunks-2.3#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#212
Freethrows+1.0#124
Improvement-1.2#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 11.3% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 46.8% 63.4% 37.9%
.500 or above in Conference 54.9% 64.0% 50.1%
Conference Champion 10.5% 14.0% 8.6%
Last Place in Conference 11.4% 7.3% 13.5%
First Four4.4% 4.9% 4.2%
First Round6.5% 8.8% 5.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Home) - 34.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 41 - 5
Quad 414 - 1015 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 237   Albany W 67-59 53%     1 - 0 +0.9 -7.4 +8.6
  Nov 08, 2024 2   @ Duke L 58-100 1%     1 - 1 -18.4 -3.5 -14.3
  Nov 15, 2024 242   @ Marist L 88-91 OT 31%     1 - 2 -4.3 +16.4 -20.7
  Nov 20, 2024 341   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-70 78%     2 - 2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4
  Nov 22, 2024 313   @ Manhattan L 79-80 45%     2 - 3 -6.1 +0.8 -6.9
  Dec 03, 2024 334   @ Le Moyne W 103-100 3OT 53%     3 - 3 -4.0 -1.3 -3.6
  Dec 08, 2024 149   Cornell L 74-78 35%    
  Dec 13, 2024 151   @ George Washington L 68-78 18%    
  Dec 22, 2024 322   Binghamton W 71-65 70%    
  Dec 29, 2024 249   Texas San Antonio W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 02, 2025 246   @ Colgate L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 05, 2025 268   @ Boston University L 65-68 38%    
  Jan 08, 2025 335   Loyola Maryland W 70-63 73%    
  Jan 11, 2025 251   @ Lehigh L 71-75 34%    
  Jan 15, 2025 231   Lafayette W 66-65 51%    
  Jan 18, 2025 268   Boston University W 68-65 59%    
  Jan 22, 2025 326   @ Holy Cross L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 26, 2025 305   Navy W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 29, 2025 246   Colgate W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 01, 2025 236   @ American L 63-68 32%    
  Feb 05, 2025 326   Holy Cross W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 08, 2025 260   Bucknell W 68-66 58%    
  Feb 12, 2025 335   @ Loyola Maryland W 67-66 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 305   @ Navy L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 19, 2025 236   American W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 23, 2025 260   @ Bucknell L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 25, 2025 231   @ Lafayette L 62-68 31%    
  Mar 01, 2025 251   Lehigh W 74-72 55%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.0 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 10.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.2 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.3 4.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.0 5.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.8 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.2 3.2 0.3 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.9 3.6 0.5 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.1 3.6 0.7 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.5 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.8 6.5 8.8 10.9 11.8 13.0 12.1 10.1 8.3 5.5 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 99.7% 0.7    0.7 0.0
15-3 93.7% 1.6    1.5 0.1
14-4 78.4% 2.5    1.8 0.6 0.1
13-5 55.1% 3.0    1.5 1.2 0.3 0.0
12-6 23.4% 1.9    0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.5% 10.5 6.2 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 45.8% 45.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 43.9% 43.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 29.7% 29.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.7% 32.0% 32.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.2
14-4 3.2% 27.8% 27.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 2.3
13-5 5.5% 22.4% 22.4% 15.6 0.0 0.5 0.7 4.3
12-6 8.3% 17.4% 17.4% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.2 6.9
11-7 10.1% 13.0% 13.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 8.8
10-8 12.1% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 0.0 1.1 11.0
9-9 13.0% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8 12.2
8-10 11.8% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 11.4
7-11 10.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 10.7
6-12 8.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.7
5-13 6.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.4
4-14 3.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-15 2.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 6.5 91.3 0.0%