Army
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.6 336
Expected Predictive Rating -9.7 316
Pace 67.3 220
Improvement -0.5 201

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 302 D D+ C- D- B
Defense D- 340 D D D D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 290 D 53% 305 -3.9 318
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 348 F 27% 363 -5.1 362
Three Pointers 55% 3 D+ 32% 271 +5.3 32
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 52 D- -4.6 325
1st FG Attempt D 0.95 296
Second Chance C- 29.1% 220 D+ 0.95 295 D+ 0.28 255
Turnovers C- 17.8% 248
Freethrows D- 0.25 336 C- 71% 233 D- 0.18 331
Total Offense D -5.0 302

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 41% 296 D- 14.4% 340
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 131 D- 8.7% 340
Three Pointers C+ 86% 156 D 1.5% 315
Total B- 60% 85 D 6.8% 296

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 146 D- 64% 335 +3.3 289
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 201 C+ 37% 142 -0.5 154
Three Pointers 41% 197 D 37% 294 +1.4 252
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 209 D +3.9 323
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 314
Second Chance C- 31.5% 224 D- 1.17 347 D 0.37 313
Turnovers D 14.5% 318
Freethrows D 0.35 310 D+ 74% 269 D 0.26 317
Total Defense D- -6.6 340

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 139 F+ 4.1% 359
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 213 D 1.9% 328
Three Pointers D+ 87% 263 D 0.1% 343
Total C 56% 186 F 2.0% 364

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 263 16.8 100
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 323 0.20 283
Improvement -0.6 #220 +0.1 #183

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 347 335 321
Conference Record 5 - 13 6 - 12 7 - 11
Conference Finish 10 8 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 27% 9% 32%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Navy (Home) - 20.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 410 - 1111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 121 @St. Thomas L 76 - 83 6% -11  1% 0 - 1 C -1 C+ +3 B- D- B- D+ -4 B+ F F
 Tue, Nov 11 2 Duke L 59 - 114 1% -23  0% 0 - 2 F -34 F -11 D C D F -18 F+ D- D
 Sat, Nov 15 164 Harvard L 52 - 75 21% -9  0% 0 - 3 F -26 F -19 F D+ F F -10 F B- C
 Tue, Nov 18 148 @Cornell L 73 - 86 9% -6  9% 0 - 4 D -10 F -15 F F B- A- +7 C B+ C+
 Fri, Nov 21 184 @Marist L 65 - 76 11% -4  21% 0 - 5 D -9 C- -1 B- F C+ F+ -8 D+ F F
 Tue, Nov 25 304 East Texas A&M L 67 - 84 37% -10  22% 0 - 6 F -25 F+ -8 D- F+ D+ F -17 F D C-
 Wed, Nov 26 329 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81 - 73 37% +2  66% 1 - 6 C -0 B +6 D+ C+ A- D -6 A- F F
 Sat, Nov 29 321 Manhattan W 81 - 78 OT 56% +3  79% 2 - 6 D -10 F+ -8 C F F C- -2 B F D
 Tue, Dec 2 80 George Washington L 70 - 84 8% -5  13% 2 - 7 D -10 D+ -4 B+ F B- D- -7 A- F C-
 Fri, Dec 12 232 @Maryland Baltimore Co. W 63 - 60 16% +5  82% 3 - 7 C+ +2 F+ -9 F D- D A+ +11 B- B+ D-
 Tue, Dec 23 359 Binghamton W 95 - 85 OT 76% +4  90% 4 - 7 D -9 C +0 B+ C- D- F -10 F+ B F
 Wed, Dec 31 305 @Lehigh W 85 - 78 OT 28% +3  81% 5 - 7 1 - 0 C +1 C -0 D+ A F C+ +1 C D F
 Sat, Jan 3 237 Colgate L 69 - 76 34% -3  10% 5 - 8 1 - 1 D- -14 C- -1 C- A- B F -15 D- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 317 Loyola Maryland L 76 - 84 OT 54% -3  16% 5 - 9 1 - 2 F -21 F+ -9 F D+ A F -11 C+ F D
 Sat, Jan 10 256 @Boston University L 91 - 100 19% -8  7% 5 - 10 1 - 3 D- -11 A +12 B- B- B F -24 F D- D
 Wed, Jan 14 326 @Holy Cross L 75 - 82 35% -7  2% 5 - 11 1 - 4 F+ -15 C- -2 D+ D- C F -13 F A F
 Sun, Jan 18 251 American L 67 - 78 36% -7  0% 5 - 12 1 - 5 F -19 D -4 C- D B F -16 F+ F A
 Wed, Jan 21 330 @Bucknell W 87 - 84 OT 37% +2  52% 6 - 12 2 - 5 D+ -5 A- +9 B D+ C F -15 F C F
 Sat, Jan 24 155 @Navy L 56 - 84 9% -12  2% 6 - 13 2 - 6 F -25 F+ -9 C F D- F -19 F F B
 Wed, Jan 28 305 Lehigh W 67 - 64 50% +3  78% 7 - 13 3 - 6 D -9 F -11 D+ D- D+ B- +2 B- C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 326 Holy Cross W 69 - 68 58% +1  55% 8 - 13 4 - 6 D- -13 F -11 F A+ F C -1 A- F+ D-
 Wed, Feb 4 237 @Colgate L 55 - 69 17% -8  31% 8 - 14 4 - 7 F+ -15 F -17 F F+ F C+ +0 C- D+ A
 Sat, Feb 7 322 Lafayette L 60 - 63 57% -4  13% 8 - 15 4 - 8 F+ -16 F -18 F D- F B- +2 C+ C- B
 Wed, Feb 11 256 Boston University L 68 - 85 38% -10  6% 8 - 16 4 - 9 F -25 D- -8 F B+ C+ F -20 F A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 251 @American L 63 - 75 18% -6  24% 8 - 17 4 - 10 D- -14 F+ -9 F+ B- F D -6 F A+ C
 Wed, Feb 18 317 @Loyola Maryland W 87 - 77 32% +10  93% 9 - 17 5 - 10 C+ +3 B+ +9 D A A D -5 D+ F D-
 Sat, Feb 21 155 Navy L 65 - 74 21%
 Wed, Feb 25 330 Bucknell W 74 - 71 60%
 Sat, Feb 28 322 @Lafayette L 70 - 74 34%
Totals 10 - 19 6 - 12 -12 D -5 F D- B D- -7 D+ C- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D F D+ D- 35% 19% 55% B D C- D+ D+ C- D- C- D- D- D- C+ D D 40% 20% 41% C- D C- D- D D D D+ D
1.02 53% 27% 32% -5 +1 0.95 29% 0.9 .28 18% .25 71% .18 1.18 64% 37% 37% +4 0 1.10 31% 1.2 .37 15% .35 74% .19
Nov
8		 St. Thomas C+ C- A+ C C+ 41% 9% 50% B B- C F D- B- D+ B C- D+ F C+ A+ A 53% 6% 42% F+ B+ F F F F F D+ F
1.11 59% 60% 33% +2 +2 1.09 31% 0.8 .25 16% .24 79% .19 1.21 75% 33% 18% -1 +3 1.06 29% 1.4 .40 10% .40 72% .29
Nov
11		 Duke F A+ F F D- 17% 10% 73% B D C C+ C D F B- F+ F F A+ F+ F 36% 5% 59% C+ F+ D D D- D F F F
0.77 70% 17% 23% -12 0 0.78 22% 0.8 .18 22% .12 71% .08 1.48 90% 0% 40% +15 +2 1.36 43% 1.3 .57 13% .43 83% .36
Nov
15		 Harvard F C+ A+ F F 38% 13% 49% C+ F C+ F D+ F C- F D- F F D- F F 35% 26% 40% A- F C B+ B- C F C- F
0.82 59% 50% 18% -10 +1 0.84 32% 0.8 .26 25% .25 58% .15 1.18 73% 45% 41% +11 -1 1.23 26% 0.9 .22 19% .43 82% .35
Nov
18		 Cornell F C C F F 43% 9% 48% B+ F F C- F B- C+ A B A- C+ A+ F C+ 49% 9% 42% D C A+ D B+ C+ F A+ D
0.93 60% 40% 18% -11 +2 0.84 20% 1.1 .22 13% .35 79% .28 1.10 58% 20% 45% +5 +2 1.17 22% 1.3 .28 19% .44 57% .25
Nov
21		 Marist C- A C D- C+ 30% 17% 53% B- B- B F F C+ D+ A C+ F+ D D- A D+ 40% 24% 36% D D+ F B- F F B F C
0.98 71% 38% 28% -1 0 1.00 34% 0.3 .11 18% .33 78% .26 1.14 64% 46% 25% -1 0 1.00 39% 1.1 .42 14% .21 92% .19
Nov
25		 East Texas A&M F+ C- F F+ F+ 42% 2% 56% A- D- D+ F F+ D+ B C B F F A F F 32% 8% 60% D F B F D C- F F F
0.97 55% 0% 30% -6 +3 0.96 28% 0.8 .23 19% .36 70% .25 1.22 75% 25% 40% +10 +1 1.24 20% 1.3 .27 17% .39 82% .32
Nov
26		 Fairleigh Dickinson B B F C+ D 38% 10% 52% B D+ C- B+ C+ A- A+ C A+ D D+ D- A+ A- 29% 17% 54% C A- D+ F F F F C+ F
1.21 67% 0% 36% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 12% .56 73% .41 1.09 60% 44% 18% -11 0 0.79 33% 1.5 .50 9% .41 68% .28
Nov
29		 Manhattan F+ F F A+ D+ 45% 9% 47% A- C F+ D F F F A+ F C- D A+ A B 34% 22% 44% C B B+ F F D B- F C
1.10 50% 0% 48% +3 +2 1.12 29% 1.0 .29 20% .10 100% .10 1.05 60% 23% 27% -7 0 0.86 23% 1.8 .40 14% .27 88% .23
Dec
2		 George Washington D+ D F A+ B+ 25% 8% 68% B- B+ F C- F B- F D F D- C- A+ B A- 28% 9% 63% A- A- C+ F F C- F F F
1.04 54% 25% 42% +6 +1 1.15 15% 1.0 .15 16% .11 67% .07 1.24 62% 25% 31% -3 +1 0.98 35% 1.6 .58 16% .57 84% .48
Dec
12		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F+ F F B- F 55% 4% 40% A+ F D+ F D- D A+ A+ A+ A+ D- B+ A- B- 28% 25% 47% B B- B- A+ B+ D- C A+ A+
0.95 38% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.87 26% 0.8 .21 15% .36 80% .29 0.91 67% 31% 28% -4 -1 0.92 20% 0.8 .15 12% .28 38% .10
Dec
23		 Binghamton C D- A+ A+ B+ 41% 10% 49% B- B+ F+ A+ C- D- A+ F A- F F D- A+ D- 53% 15% 32% F F+ A F B F B+ C- B
1.21 52% 60% 48% +10 +2 1.25 25% 1.3 .33 15% .45 63% .29 1.08 71% 44% 21% +2 +2 1.08 11% 1.0 .11 11% .32 77% .25
Dec
31		 Lehigh C A F F D- 49% 11% 40% A D+ B A A F A+ D A+ C+ F A+ A+ C 43% 23% 33% D C A+ F D F F+ A+ C-
1.10 68% 0% 28% -3 +2 1.00 39% 1.2 .47 21% .60 70% .42 1.01 77% 21% 25% 0 0 1.02 11% 2.3 .25 12% .34 61% .21
Jan
3		 Colgate C- F F B D 40% 9% 51% A- C- B B+ A- B B+ F D+ F C C F D- 33% 20% 47% D+ D- F+ B- D+ F D+ F F
1.13 47% 25% 38% -3 +2 1.00 35% 1.2 .41 13% .38 55% .21 1.24 56% 40% 43% +7 0 1.14 33% 0.9 .30 11% .30 88% .26
Jan
7		 Loyola Maryland F+ C+ F F F 28% 15% 57% C F D C+ D+ A F F F F C+ A B+ B- 47% 8% 45% F+ C+ F D+ F D F C+ F
1.04 65% 22% 26% -7 0 0.88 28% 1.2 .34 10% .21 50% .11 1.15 56% 25% 29% -5 +2 0.96 40% 1.1 .42 15% .37 70% .26
Jan
10		 Boston University A D- C+ A+ B- 31% 16% 53% C B- C B B- B D A+ C F F+ F F F 44% 8% 48% F F B+ F D- D F F F
1.33 50% 44% 45% +7 0 1.17 31% 1.2 .36 10% .24 87% .21 1.46 67% 50% 65% +27 +2 1.60 22% 1.5 .33 16% .36 81% .30
Jan
14		 Holy Cross C- D+ A+ D- D- 48% 5% 47% A D+ B+ F D- C F C F+ F B C F F 30% 28% 42% C+ F A A+ A F C- F D-
1.11 57% 67% 30% -2 +3 1.03 35% 0.7 .25 13% .19 73% .14 1.21 50% 40% 59% +14 -2 1.26 13% 0.5 .07 12% .28 88% .25
Jan
18		 American D C A D- D 51% 8% 41% A C- B- F D B F A+ F F D+ D F+ F 30% 16% 53% B F+ F F F A F C F
1.06 60% 50% 30% 0 +3 1.06 35% 0.8 .26 16% .17 89% .15 1.24 62% 43% 39% +6 0 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 22% .43 76% .33
Jan
21		 Bucknell A- B- F A B- 37% 8% 56% A- B B- F D+ C B A+ A+ F F D+ D- F 44% 15% 41% D F D- A C F F D+ F
1.24 63% 25% 41% +7 +2 1.19 38% 0.8 .31 17% .36 90% .33 1.20 67% 38% 36% +5 +1 1.15 30% 0.9 .27 13% .38 78% .30
Jan
24		 Navy F+ C+ B+ C- C 17% 20% 63% C- C F+ F F D- C- F D- F D+ F F F 24% 33% 43% A+ F F F F B F+ C- F+
0.89 63% 44% 31% -1 -1 0.98 22% 0.5 .11 21% .24 58% .14 1.33 60% 50% 56% +18 -3 1.33 43% 1.4 .61 21% .40 75% .30
Jan
28		 Lehigh F C F B D 35% 20% 44% C D+ D- D+ D- D+ F F F B- A A- F B 40% 26% 34% C- B- D+ A- C+ C- D A C
0.99 58% 18% 38% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.9 .25 18% .14 63% .09 0.95 45% 31% 41% -3 -1 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 18% .31 65% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Holy Cross F F A D+ F 33% 4% 63% B+ F A A+ A+ F B- F F C A+ C+ F A 41% 25% 33% D A- D- F+ F+ D- D- F F
1.02 31% 50% 32% -10 +2 0.86 40% 1.5 .58 22% .30 38% .11 1.00 29% 38% 41% -8 0 0.84 26% 1.1 .28 13% .32 84% .27
Feb
4		 Colgate F F+ F D- F 22% 18% 60% D F D F F+ F B- D- C C+ F C C+ D+ 35% 33% 33% B C- F A D+ A F C- F
0.86 50% 25% 30% -8 -1 0.84 25% 0.8 .19 20% .35 67% .23 1.07 69% 40% 33% +4 -2 1.07 41% 0.8 .31 22% .38 74% .28
Feb
7		 Lafayette F D+ F F F 43% 7% 50% A F B F D- F F B F B- B- C+ B C+ 45% 19% 36% C C+ F B+ C- B F A- F
0.89 57% 25% 22% -10 +2 0.85 36% 0.7 .26 19% .17 78% .13 0.94 52% 33% 29% -6 +1 0.91 33% 0.8 .25 19% .48 62% .29
Feb
11		 Boston University D- F A+ F+ F 27% 6% 67% B F D+ A+ B+ C+ C B- C+ F F F F F 40% 19% 40% C F A+ A+ A+ F+ F D+ F
1.09 23% 100% 30% -9 +1 0.86 27% 1.5 .41 11% .29 75% .22 1.36 82% 75% 47% +25 0 1.52 15% 0.7 .10 14% .49 73% .36
Feb
14		 American F+ F F B+ F 41% 9% 50% B+ F+ C+ B B- F D+ D- D D F F D F 39% 20% 41% B- F B+ A+ A+ C F C F
0.96 42% 0% 39% -6 +2 0.93 33% 1.1 .36 23% .35 67% .24 1.14 72% 67% 37% +13 0 1.28 20% 0.4 .08 17% .38 76% .29
Feb
18		 Loyola Maryland B+ A C- F D- 38% 19% 43% C D C+ A+ A A C+ A+ B+ D F A+ A C 49% 6% 45% F D+ C+ F F D- F F F
1.26 75% 40% 22% -1 0 1.00 34% 1.5 .51 10% .31 84% .26 1.12 68% 0% 26% -3 +3 1.02 25% 1.6 .41 14% .39 78% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.8 0.8 5th
6th 6.9 3.2 10.2 6th
7th 1.3 15.9 0.8 18.0 7th
8th 29.7 4.1 33.8 8th
9th 14.6 15.1 0.0 29.7 9th
10th 7.4 0.2 7.6 10th
Total 22.0 46.3 26.9 4.8 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 4.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 4.7
7-11 26.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.3 26.6
6-12 46.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.2 46.0
5-13 22.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 21.9
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 99.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 12.7%