Army
Patriot League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#223
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#164
Pace71.1#128
Improvement-1.2#275

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#263
First Shot+0.0#176
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#320
Layup/Dunks-0.8#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#193
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
Freethrows+0.8#126
Improvement-1.1#290

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#168
First Shot+1.6#118
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#271
Layups/Dunks-0.7#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#178
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#129
Freethrows+0.8#147
Improvement-0.1#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 7.1% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 67.8% 73.0% 48.2%
.500 or above in Conference 71.7% 74.2% 62.2%
Conference Champion 6.4% 7.1% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.9% 3.6%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round6.2% 6.7% 4.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Home) - 79.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 43 - 8
Quad 414 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 4   @ Duke L 56-82 2%     0 - 1 -4.5 -12.8 +11.0
  Nov 13, 2021 265   Hartford W 86-79 61%     1 - 1 +1.4 +6.1 -4.9
  Nov 17, 2021 229   Merrimack W 74-51 63%     2 - 1 +16.8 +0.4 +15.8
  Nov 20, 2021 243   @ La Salle L 58-61 44%     2 - 2 -4.1 -11.2 +7.0
  Nov 27, 2021 252   Marist W 65-61 69%     3 - 2 -3.8 -5.2 +1.7
  Nov 30, 2021 306   Siena W 71-63 79%    
  Dec 04, 2021 258   @ Air Force L 62-63 49%    
  Dec 10, 2021 256   @ NJIT L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 19, 2021 281   @ LIU Brooklyn W 74-73 53%    
  Dec 22, 2021 99   @ South Carolina L 68-79 16%    
  Jan 01, 2022 286   Loyola Maryland W 72-65 74%    
  Jan 04, 2022 292   @ Bucknell W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 07, 2022 313   Lehigh W 74-65 78%    
  Jan 10, 2022 113   @ Colgate L 70-79 21%    
  Jan 13, 2022 141   Boston University L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 16, 2022 276   @ Lafayette W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 19, 2022 321   American W 75-66 80%    
  Jan 22, 2022 102   @ Navy L 61-71 18%    
  Jan 26, 2022 313   @ Lehigh W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 29, 2022 276   Lafayette W 74-68 72%    
  Feb 02, 2022 286   @ Loyola Maryland W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 05, 2022 342   Holy Cross W 77-64 88%    
  Feb 09, 2022 141   @ Boston University L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 12, 2022 102   Navy L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 16, 2022 113   Colgate L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 19, 2022 321   @ American W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 23, 2022 292   Bucknell W 78-71 74%    
  Feb 26, 2022 342   @ Holy Cross W 74-67 74%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 6.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.2 3.3 1.0 0.1 11.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 4.6 6.4 3.7 0.8 0.0 17.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.5 7.4 7.7 3.0 0.5 22.8 4th
5th 0.6 3.7 6.9 3.8 1.0 0.1 16.1 5th
6th 0.6 3.1 4.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.2 1.5 0.2 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.0 0.9 0.1 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.7 5.2 7.8 10.3 13.2 13.4 13.8 11.7 9.2 5.7 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 95.8% 1.1    0.9 0.2
15-3 67.5% 2.1    1.3 0.8 0.1
14-4 28.4% 1.6    0.6 0.7 0.3
13-5 10.0% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.4 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 42.1% 42.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.2% 29.7% 29.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8
15-3 3.2% 22.7% 22.7% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.5
14-4 5.7% 16.4% 16.4% 14.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 4.8
13-5 9.2% 13.2% 13.2% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 8.0
12-6 11.7% 9.2% 9.2% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 10.6
11-7 13.8% 5.3% 5.3% 15.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 13.0
10-8 13.4% 4.4% 4.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 12.8
9-9 13.2% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 12.8
8-10 10.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 10.1
7-11 7.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.7
6-12 5.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.1
5-13 2.7% 2.7
4-14 1.4% 1.4
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.5 2.1 93.4 0.0%