Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#288
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#296
Pace60.4#360
Improvement-5.4#362

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#162
First Shot+0.7#155
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#211
Layup/Dunks-5.1#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#16
Freethrows-1.5#278
Improvement-3.5#360

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#353
First Shot-7.2#357
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#193
Layups/Dunks-2.2#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#198
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#322
Freethrows-1.0#247
Improvement-1.8#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.5% 8.3% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 23.5% 29.4% 12.9%
.500 or above in Conference 58.0% 61.6% 51.3%
Conference Champion 7.1% 8.3% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 6.4% 9.8%
First Four5.3% 5.5% 4.8%
First Round4.8% 5.6% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 64.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 412 - 1114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 209 @Northeastern W 76-75 OT 26%     1 - 0 +0.8 +0.8 +0.0
  Fri, Nov 7 58 @Northwestern L 52-76 5%     1 - 1 -11.7 -8.4 -7.2
  Wed, Nov 12 218 Brown W 90-77 48%     2 - 1 +6.6 +26.3 -18.5
  Sat, Nov 15 271 Merrimack L 79-91 57%     2 - 2 -20.8 +9.9 -31.7
  Tue, Nov 18 137 @Columbia L 49-54 14%     2 - 3 -0.4 -12.9 +11.6
  Sat, Nov 22 200 Harvard W 75-74 34%     3 - 3 -1.6 +8.3 -9.8
  Tue, Nov 25 103 @Penn St. L 87-96 10%     3 - 4 -1.8 +23.7 -26.4
  Sat, Nov 29 193 @Northern Kentucky L 65-74 23%     3 - 5 -8.1 +0.9 -10.1
  Sat, Dec 6 335 @New Hampshire L 82-88 OT 53%     3 - 6 -13.7 +0.2 -13.4
  Wed, Dec 10 336 Maine L 59-69 74%     3 - 7 -23.8 -8.8 -16.2
  Sat, Dec 13 245 @Dartmouth L 64-77 31%     3 - 8 -14.8 -4.8 -10.8
  Sun, Dec 21 302 Umass Lowell W 75-71 64%    
  Wed, Dec 31 204 @Navy L 66-73 25%    
  Sat, Jan 3 249 American W 73-72 53%    
  Wed, Jan 7 319 @Lafayette L 70-71 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 332 Army W 75-68 73%    
  Wed, Jan 14 309 Lehigh W 73-69 66%    
  Sat, Jan 17 339 @Loyola Maryland W 74-73 54%    
  Wed, Jan 21 319 Lafayette W 73-68 69%    
  Sat, Jan 24 180 @Colgate L 67-76 21%    
  Wed, Jan 28 204 Navy L 69-70 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 304 @Bucknell L 69-71 43%    
  Mon, Feb 2 289 @Holy Cross L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Feb 7 339 Loyola Maryland W 77-70 74%    
  Wed, Feb 11 332 @Army W 72-71 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 304 Bucknell W 72-68 64%    
  Mon, Feb 16 180 Colgate L 70-73 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 309 @Lehigh L 70-72 44%    
  Wed, Feb 25 289 Holy Cross W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Feb 28 249 @American L 70-75 32%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 7.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.2 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.7 2.7 0.5 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.9 6.4 2.7 0.4 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.3 3.2 6.5 2.9 0.3 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.0 3.1 0.3 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.2 3.1 0.3 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 3.9 3.0 0.4 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 5.0 8.1 11.3 13.1 14.2 13.7 11.4 8.3 5.4 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 99.3% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 86.6% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
14-4 68.9% 2.0    1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 38.7% 2.1    0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0
12-6 12.2% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 3.8 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 17.0% 17.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 35.6% 35.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.3% 24.1% 24.1% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.0
14-4 3.0% 22.4% 22.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.3
13-5 5.4% 16.8% 16.8% 15.9 0.1 0.8 4.5
12-6 8.3% 14.3% 14.3% 16.0 0.1 1.1 7.1
11-7 11.4% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2 10.2
10-8 13.7% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2 12.5
9-9 14.2% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.9 13.4
8-10 13.1% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 12.6
7-11 11.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 11.0
6-12 8.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 8.0
5-13 5.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.0
4-14 2.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 6.7 92.5 0.0%