Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +3.4 #116
Expected Predictive Rating +2.6 #128
Pace 68.0 #223
Improvement +1.6 #92

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #137 C B- D+ B- D+
Defense #106 C D- C+ A+ A

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #303 1.30 #55 -0.6 #200
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #136 0.61 #323 -1.0 #234
Three Pointers 44% #119 1.05 #134 +2.6 #103
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #153 +0.9 #155
Freethrows 18.9 #101 73% #150 13.9 #101
Second Chance 27.1% #276 1.01 #221 0.27 #270
Turnovers 15.7% #119
Total Offense +1.2 #137

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #334 1.12 #133 +4.7 #44
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #30 0.78 #209 -2.8 #340
Three Pointers 42% #168 1.05 #230 -1.1 #227
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #147 +0.9 #144
Freethrows 20.9 #325 72% #150 15.0 #322
Second Chance 31.6% #222 0.95 #83 0.30 #149
Turnovers 21.2% #15
Total Defense +2.2 #106

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.2% #264 -2.7% #25
Shot Type Make % Effect 3.3% #127 1.1% #202
Possession Length 16.8 #137 17.3 #208
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #150 0.15 #116
Improvement +2.2 #42 -0.6 #222

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 10.6% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.3 12.6
.500 or above 89.3% 96.7% 85.6%
.500 or above in Conference 83.2% 93.3% 78.2%
Conference Champion 6.8% 12.6% 4.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.3% 10.6% 7.2%
Second Round0.9% 1.2% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Murray St. (Away) - 32.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 62 - 7
Quad 37 - 49 - 11
Quad 410 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 115 St. Bonaventure L 63-69 50%     -4.5   0 - 1 -2.5 -5.6 +2.7
  Sat, Nov 8 332 Central Michigan W 85-54 94%     14.1   1 - 1 +17.3 +7.1 +10.8
  Wed, Nov 12 233 Tennessee Martin L 67-78 84%     9.2   1 - 2 -18.2 -11.0 -6.7
  Sat, Nov 15 97 @San Francisco L 64-75 30%     -2.4   1 - 3 -2.3 -2.7 +0.1
  Wed, Nov 19 304 Umass Lowell W 87-77 91%     -0.1   2 - 3 -1.4 +11.0 -11.9
  Mon, Nov 24 237 Princeton W 88-64 78%     7.6   3 - 3 +19.4 +15.6 +3.9
  Tue, Nov 25 92 UC San Diego L 77-87 40%     -3.2   3 - 4 -4.0 +7.4 -11.3
  Wed, Nov 26 105 Liberty W 74-64 45%     9.6   4 - 4 +14.7 +8.0 +7.6
  Tue, Dec 2 149 Washington St. W 64-60 71%     -3.4   5 - 4 +1.6 -8.0 +9.7
  Sat, Dec 6 330 Northern Illinois W 84-55 93%     13.6   6 - 4 +15.5 +0.7 +13.7
  Thu, Dec 18 188 @Indiana St. W 108-99 3OT 58%     0.8   7 - 4 1 - 0 +10.2 +8.5 -0.6
  Sun, Dec 21 130 Southern Illinois W 73-69 67%     3.9   8 - 4 2 - 0 +2.9 -0.7 +3.5
  Mon, Dec 29 257 Evansville W 76-68 86%     -1.8   9 - 4 3 - 0 -0.3 +2.9 -3.1
  Thu, Jan 1 77 @Belmont L 78-88 25%     -3.5   9 - 5 3 - 1 +0.6 +9.4 -8.8
  Sun, Jan 4 101 @Murray St. L 77-82 33%    
  Wed, Jan 7 148 Drake W 73-67 70%    
  Sat, Jan 10 96 Northern Iowa W 64-63 52%    
  Tue, Jan 13 257 @Evansville W 73-67 70%    
  Sat, Jan 17 68 @Illinois St. L 67-75 24%    
  Wed, Jan 21 188 Indiana St. W 78-70 78%    
  Sat, Jan 24 199 Illinois-Chicago W 77-68 80%    
  Sat, Jan 31 148 @Drake L 70-71 49%    
  Tue, Feb 3 206 Valparaiso W 74-65 81%    
  Fri, Feb 6 96 @Northern Iowa L 60-66 30%    
  Mon, Feb 9 77 Belmont L 76-77 45%    
  Sun, Feb 15 130 @Southern Illinois L 73-75 44%    
  Wed, Feb 18 206 @Valparaiso W 71-68 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 68 Illinois St. L 70-72 44%    
  Tue, Feb 24 199 @Illinois-Chicago W 74-71 59%    
  Sun, Mar 1 101 Murray St. W 80-79 54%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 2.2 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.3 4.0 1.2 0.2 11.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.4 6.7 4.9 1.0 0.0 15.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.1 8.3 5.6 1.1 0.0 19.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 5.0 8.2 5.0 1.0 0.0 20.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 4.2 5.5 2.9 0.4 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.6 1.3 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 4.6 8.5 12.4 15.7 16.4 15.0 11.0 7.2 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 84.4% 1.2    0.9 0.3
16-4 66.0% 2.5    1.3 1.0 0.2
15-5 30.2% 2.2    0.7 0.9 0.6 0.1
14-6 5.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 3.1 2.4 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.3% 21.4% 21.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.4% 24.8% 24.8% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.1
16-4 3.7% 22.3% 22.3% 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 2.9
15-5 7.2% 18.7% 18.7% 12.1 0.1 1.0 0.3 5.9
14-6 11.0% 14.2% 14.2% 12.3 0.1 0.9 0.5 0.0 9.5
13-7 15.0% 10.0% 10.0% 12.5 0.8 0.6 0.1 13.5
12-8 16.4% 7.1% 7.1% 12.8 0.4 0.7 0.1 15.2
11-9 15.7% 4.7% 4.7% 13.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 15.0
10-10 12.4% 3.5% 3.5% 13.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 12.0
9-11 8.5% 2.0% 2.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.3
8-12 4.6% 2.4% 2.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.5
7-13 2.4% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 2.4
6-14 1.0% 1.0
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.5 4.1 3.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 91.7 0.0%