Preseason Rankings
Bradley
Missouri Valley
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#107
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.1#266
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#119
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#102
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.3% 19.9% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.1% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.6 11.4 12.2
.500 or above 83.4% 90.7% 73.8%
.500 or above in Conference 77.4% 83.2% 69.9%
Conference Champion 20.5% 25.6% 14.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.4% 3.5%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round16.1% 19.6% 11.5%
Second Round3.4% 4.7% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Neutral) - 56.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 37 - 59 - 9
Quad 410 - 119 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 120   St. Bonaventure W 66-64 57%    
  Nov 08, 2025 299   Central Michigan W 75-60 91%    
  Nov 12, 2025 323   Tennessee Martin W 76-59 94%    
  Nov 15, 2025 75   @ San Francisco L 66-72 30%    
  Nov 19, 2025 295   Umass Lowell W 79-64 90%    
  Nov 24, 2025 171   Princeton W 70-65 68%    
  Dec 02, 2025 124   Washington St. W 75-70 67%    
  Dec 06, 2025 316   Northern Illinois W 79-63 92%    
  Dec 18, 2025 170   @ Indiana St. W 77-75 58%    
  Dec 21, 2025 141   Southern Illinois W 72-66 70%    
  Dec 29, 2025 241   Evansville W 72-60 84%    
  Jan 01, 2026 112   @ Belmont L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 04, 2026 127   @ Murray St. L 65-66 47%    
  Jan 07, 2026 114   Drake W 61-57 63%    
  Jan 10, 2026 110   Northern Iowa W 68-65 61%    
  Jan 13, 2026 241   @ Evansville W 69-63 69%    
  Jan 17, 2026 109   @ Illinois St. L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 21, 2026 170   Indiana St. W 80-72 76%    
  Jan 24, 2026 154   Illinois-Chicago W 74-67 73%    
  Jan 31, 2026 114   @ Drake L 58-60 43%    
  Feb 03, 2026 261   Valparaiso W 76-63 85%    
  Feb 06, 2026 110   @ Northern Iowa L 65-68 42%    
  Feb 09, 2026 112   Belmont W 75-71 62%    
  Feb 15, 2026 141   @ Southern Illinois W 70-69 50%    
  Feb 18, 2026 261   @ Valparaiso W 73-66 70%    
  Feb 21, 2026 109   Illinois St. W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 24, 2026 154   @ Illinois-Chicago W 71-70 53%    
  Mar 01, 2026 127   Murray St. W 68-63 66%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.8 5.1 4.6 3.3 1.5 0.5 20.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.0 4.4 2.2 0.7 0.0 15.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.2 5.2 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.1 2.0 0.3 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.9 1.3 0.2 7.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.2 0.9 0.1 5.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.1 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 2.7 4.1 5.6 6.9 9.0 9.6 10.4 11.2 10.2 9.1 7.4 5.3 3.3 1.5 0.5 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
19-1 100.0% 1.5    1.5 0.0
18-2 98.9% 3.3    3.0 0.3 0.0
17-3 86.3% 4.6    3.7 0.8 0.0
16-4 69.3% 5.1    3.2 1.7 0.2 0.0
15-5 41.2% 3.8    1.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-6 14.6% 1.5    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 20.5% 20.5 14.1 5.1 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.5% 78.0% 59.6% 18.5% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 45.7%
19-1 1.5% 71.6% 58.1% 13.5% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4 32.3%
18-2 3.3% 52.1% 46.4% 5.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 1.6 10.6%
17-3 5.3% 41.1% 40.0% 1.1% 11.2 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.6 0.0 3.1 1.8%
16-4 7.4% 32.0% 31.7% 0.3% 11.6 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.0 0.4%
15-5 9.1% 25.7% 25.7% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.8 0.1%
14-6 10.2% 19.1% 19.1% 12.1 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.5 0.0 8.2
13-7 11.2% 15.5% 15.5% 12.4 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 9.4
12-8 10.4% 10.0% 10.0% 12.8 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 9.4
11-9 9.6% 7.4% 7.4% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 8.9
10-10 9.0% 4.7% 4.7% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.5
9-11 6.9% 2.6% 2.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.7
8-12 5.6% 1.5% 1.5% 17.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5
7-13 4.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
6-14 2.7% 1.4% 1.4% 17.6 0.0 0.0 2.6
5-15 1.8% 1.8
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.3% 15.7% 0.6% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 5.0 5.7 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 83.7 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 4.6 9.1 9.1 6.0 27.3 21.2 9.1 6.0 9.1 3.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 66.8% 7.5 11.1 22.6 10.9 22.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 50.4% 8.9 0.8 33.1 16.5