Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.9#108
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#131
Pace67.9#227
Improvement+2.4#55

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#143
First Shot+2.6#97
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#298
Layup/Dunks-1.3#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#95
Freethrows+2.0#70
Improvement+1.4#83

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#82
First Shot+1.8#115
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#78
Layups/Dunks+5.7#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#167
Freethrows-1.9#308
Improvement+1.1#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.9% 10.4% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.3 12.7
.500 or above 90.5% 92.4% 77.4%
.500 or above in Conference 85.5% 88.1% 67.0%
Conference Champion 11.4% 12.5% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 1.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round9.9% 10.3% 7.0%
Second Round1.3% 1.4% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Evansville (Home) - 87.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 53 - 7
Quad 37 - 49 - 11
Quad 410 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 116 St. Bonaventure L 63-69 53%     0 - 1 -2.7 -4.8 +1.7
  Sat, Nov 8 323 Central Michigan W 85-54 93%     1 - 1 +18.2 +6.9 +12.0
  Wed, Nov 12 214 Tennessee Martin L 67-78 84%     1 - 2 -17.5 -11.1 -5.9
  Sat, Nov 15 95 @San Francisco L 64-75 32%     1 - 3 -2.2 -3.5 +1.0
  Wed, Nov 19 304 Umass Lowell W 87-77 91%     2 - 3 -1.0 +11.2 -11.8
  Mon, Nov 24 248 Princeton W 88-64 80%     3 - 3 +19.0 +15.3 +3.9
  Tue, Nov 25 83 UC San Diego L 77-87 39%     3 - 4 -3.1 +7.2 -10.3
  Wed, Nov 26 102 Liberty W 74-64 46%     4 - 4 +14.9 +9.1 +6.7
  Tue, Dec 2 149 Washington St. W 64-60 72%     5 - 4 +1.8 -9.0 +10.9
  Sat, Dec 6 328 Northern Illinois W 84-55 93%     6 - 4 +16.1 +0.8 +14.2
  Thu, Dec 18 201 @Indiana St. W 108-99 3OT 63%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +9.5 +8.8 -1.7
  Sun, Dec 21 130 Southern Illinois W 73-69 68%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +3.0 -0.9 +3.8
  Mon, Dec 29 252 Evansville W 75-63 87%    
  Thu, Jan 1 69 @Belmont L 72-79 25%    
  Sun, Jan 4 100 @Murray St. L 77-81 34%    
  Wed, Jan 7 143 Drake W 73-67 70%    
  Sat, Jan 10 93 Northern Iowa W 63-62 54%    
  Tue, Jan 13 252 @Evansville W 72-66 71%    
  Sat, Jan 17 82 @Illinois St. L 68-74 29%    
  Wed, Jan 21 201 Indiana St. W 78-69 81%    
  Sat, Jan 24 200 Illinois-Chicago W 77-68 81%    
  Sat, Jan 31 143 @Drake L 69-70 49%    
  Tue, Feb 3 219 Valparaiso W 75-64 84%    
  Fri, Feb 6 93 @Northern Iowa L 60-65 32%    
  Mon, Feb 9 69 Belmont L 75-76 46%    
  Sun, Feb 15 130 @Southern Illinois L 72-73 46%    
  Wed, Feb 18 219 @Valparaiso W 72-67 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 82 Illinois St. W 72-71 50%    
  Tue, Feb 24 200 @Illinois-Chicago W 74-71 62%    
  Sun, Mar 1 100 Murray St. W 80-78 56%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 3.7 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 11.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.0 4.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.8 5.4 1.5 0.1 17.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.2 7.4 5.3 1.2 0.1 17.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.6 6.9 4.4 0.9 0.0 16.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.4 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 4.2 7.2 10.0 13.4 15.3 15.2 12.6 9.0 5.8 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 98.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
17-3 90.1% 2.6    2.0 0.6 0.0
16-4 64.9% 3.7    2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0
15-5 29.1% 2.6    0.8 1.2 0.5 0.1
14-6 8.1% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 11.4% 11.4 6.3 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 34.1% 31.8% 2.3% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 3.3%
18-2 1.0% 30.2% 29.8% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.5%
17-3 2.9% 27.2% 27.1% 0.1% 11.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 2.1 0.2%
16-4 5.8% 20.4% 20.4% 11.9 0.3 0.8 0.1 4.6
15-5 9.0% 18.0% 18.0% 12.1 0.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 7.4
14-6 12.6% 13.6% 13.6% 12.3 0.1 1.0 0.6 0.0 10.9
13-7 15.2% 10.6% 10.6% 12.5 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.1 13.6
12-8 15.3% 8.1% 8.1% 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 14.1
11-9 13.4% 5.7% 5.7% 13.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.6
10-10 10.0% 3.3% 3.3% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.6
9-11 7.2% 2.1% 2.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.0
8-12 4.2% 1.4% 1.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1
7-13 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 2.0
6-14 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 5.0 3.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 90.1 0.0%