Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +3.2 113
Results Rating +3.5 112
Consistency 0.17 270
Pace 67.9 197
Improvement +2.1 101

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 120 C C- B+ C+ C-
Defense C+ 134 C C+ B D+ A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 283 C 59% 145 -1.6 240
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 186 D 33% 325 -0.4 203
Three Pointers 42% 150 B- 36% 86 +2.3 101
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 248 C+ +0.7 141
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 165
Second Chance D+ 27.0% 277 C+ 1.06 133 C- 0.29 238
Turnovers from Steals B+ 7.3% 19
Other Turnovers C+ 6.8% 115
Turnovers B+ 14.1% 34
Freethrows C+ 0.32 143 C+ 74% 127 C+ 0.24 121
Total Offense C+ +1.9 120

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 276 B- 9.3% 91
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 193 D 7.5% 317
Three Pointers C- 83% 219 D+ 1.2% 280
Total C- 53% 230 C 5.5% 173

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 329 C 59% 192 -3.5 67
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 28 C 39% 217 +2.8 350
Three Pointers 40% 200 D+ 35% 253 +0.6 214
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.3 22 C- +1.3 231
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 171
Second Chance C 30.2% 175 B- 0.98 109 C+ 0.30 135
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.2% 136
Other Turnovers B+ 8.8% 35
Turnovers B 19.0% 60
Freethrows D+ 0.33 260 C 72% 195 D+ 0.24 257
Total Defense C+ +1.3 134

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 50% 197 D+ 8.6% 270
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 103 A- 9.6% 19
Three Pointers C+ 82% 137 D+ 0.5% 255
Total C+ 53% 135 C 5.6% 170

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 161 17.4 200
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 220 0.15 122
Consistency 0.11 78 0.13 257
Improvement +3.3 44 -1.3 259

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 129 116 103
Results Rating Rank 134 113 88
Conference Record 12 - 8 13 - 7 13 - 7
Conference Finish 4 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 10% 8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.5 12.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round9% 10% 8%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Murray St. (Home) - 62.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 53 - 7
Quad 38 - 511 - 11
Quad 49 - 119 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 143 St. Bonaventure L 63 - 69 59% -4  10% 0 - 1 D+ -5 F -11 C F A- B+ +6 A- B B
 Sat, Nov 8 265 Central Michigan W 85 - 54 87% +14  98% 1 - 1 A +22 B +6 A+ F B A+ +16 A+ A- A-
 Wed, Nov 12 217 Tennessee Martin L 67 - 78 81% -2  27% 1 - 2 F+ -17 F -11 F C+ C D -5 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 128 @San Francisco L 64 - 75 41% -2  24% 1 - 3 D+ -6 F+ -8 F D- C B- +2 F A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 311 Umass Lowell W 87 - 77 91% -0  43% 2 - 3 C- -2 B+ +9 B A D+ F -10 D- A- C-
 Mon, Nov 24 256 Princeton W 88 - 64 78% +8  76% 3 - 3 A +19 A- +10 A+ F C+ A +9 D+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 134 UC San Diego L 77 - 87 56% -3  30% 3 - 4 D -8 B- +5 C A+ F+ F -13 C+ F D-
 Wed, Nov 26 108 Liberty W 74 - 64 47% +10  98% 4 - 4 B+ +14 B- +4 B A+ F A+ +11 B+ B A
 Tue, Dec 2 126 Washington St. W 64 - 60 64% -3  10% 5 - 4 C+ +4 F -13 F C+ A A+ +17 A- A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 319 Northern Illinois W 84 - 55 93% +14  88% 6 - 4 A- +16 C +2 B D B+ A+ +13 A+ D- B+
 Thu, Dec 18 212 @Indiana St. W 108 - 99 3OT 62% +1  44% 7 - 4 1 - 0 B +9 B- +5 D+ C+ A+ B- +2 B A F+
 Sun, Dec 21 124 Southern Illinois W 73 - 69 63% +4  81% 8 - 4 2 - 0 C+ +4 C +1 C B D+ B- +3 B+ C- B-
 Mon, Dec 29 294 Evansville W 76 - 68 90% -2  32% 9 - 4 3 - 0 C- -3 C- -2 D F A+ C -1 B F+ D-
 Thu, Jan 1 68 @Belmont L 78 - 88 21% -3  8% 9 - 5 3 - 1 C +2 B +6 A C F D+ -5 C- F A
 Sun, Jan 4 122 @Murray St. L 66 - 86 40% -14  1% 9 - 6 3 - 2 D- -14 F+ -8 F C- A+ D -6 F B B-
 Wed, Jan 7 194 Drake W 93 - 66 78% +20  94% 10 - 6 4 - 2 A +22 B+ +8 B+ C+ A- A+ +12 B A+ A
 Sat, Jan 10 93 Northern Iowa W 75 - 69 51% +2  63% 11 - 6 5 - 2 B +9 B+ +9 B C A+ C+ +1 B+ B- F
 Tue, Jan 13 294 @Evansville W 94 - 90 OT 78% -3  35% 12 - 6 6 - 2 C -1 A- +10 B- D- A+ F -11 F D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 101 @Illinois St. L 62 - 88 33% -13  5% 12 - 7 6 - 3 F -18 D -5 F D+ D+ F -15 F+ F F
 Wed, Jan 21 212 Indiana St. W 75 - 68 80% -3  6% 13 - 7 7 - 3 C +1 D -5 F C A+ B+ +6 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 107 Illinois-Chicago L 70 - 85 59% -8  22% 13 - 8 7 - 4 D- -14 C +1 B- D A+ F -16 F B D
 Sat, Jan 31 194 @Drake W 87 - 73 58% +8  82% 14 - 8 8 - 4 A- +15 A+ +17 A+ B+ C+ C -1 B D+ D
 Tue, Feb 3 149 Valparaiso W 72 - 65 71% +5  83% 15 - 8 9 - 4 C+ +4 C +2 B F+ C+ B- +3 C F+ B+
 Fri, Feb 6 93 @Northern Iowa L 49 - 61 29% -7  7% 15 - 9 9 - 5 C- -3 F+ -9 D+ F+ F B +4 A- F C+
 Mon, Feb 9 68 Belmont W 95 - 84 OT 41% +2  63% 16 - 9 10 - 5 A- +17 A- +11 A- D- A+ B +5 A+ F A-
 Sun, Feb 15 124 @Southern Illinois W 70 - 60 40% +5  85% 17 - 9 11 - 5 A- +16 C+ +3 C D+ A+ A+ +12 A+ A+ D
 Wed, Feb 18 149 @Valparaiso L 72 - 79 49% -5  2% 17 - 10 11 - 6 C- -4 C+ +3 A- D+ F D- -7 F D D-
 Sat, Feb 21 101 Illinois St. W 74 - 60 55% +9  92% 18 - 10 12 - 6 A- +16 B+ +8 B+ C A+ A +9 C+ A+ A+
 Tue, Feb 24 107 @Illinois-Chicago L 86 - 93 2OT 36% -4  2% 18 - 11 12 - 7 C -0 B +7 B- C A D -6 F B- D
 Sun, Mar 1 122 Murray St. W 83 - 80 62%
Totals 19 - 11 13 - 7 +3 C+ +2 B C+ C- C+ +1 B- C+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C D B- C+ 35% 37% 42% C- C D+ C+ C- B+ C+ C+ C+ C+ C C D+ C- 32% 27% 40% A- C C B- C+ B D+ C D+
1.11 59% 33% 36% +1 0 1.03 27% 1.1 .29 14% .32 74% .24 1.07 59% 39% 35% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 19% .33 72% .23
Nov
3		 St. Bonaventure F A A- F C 33% 25% 41% D C F F F A- D- F F+ B+ A+ D C A- 30% 30% 40% B+ A- D A+ B B D- C D-
0.95 71% 46% 29% +3 -1 1.06 15% 0.0 .00 14% .23 69% .16 1.04 40% 47% 35% -2 -2 0.94 38% 0.7 .28 20% .32 76% .24
Nov
8		 Central Michigan B A+ F A A+ 36% 13% 51% C+ A+ D+ F F B A D+ B+ A+ A+ C- A+ A 23% 55% 21% A+ A+ A B+ A- A- C F D
1.24 82% 17% 42% +12 +1 1.28 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 68% .29 0.79 36% 42% 20% -7 -6 0.77 22% 1.0 .22 22% .28 80% .22
Nov
12		 Tennessee Martin F C+ F F F 42% 18% 40% B F F+ A+ C+ C A+ A+ A+ D D- F F F 39% 9% 52% F F A+ F F A+ D+ C+ C-
0.91 63% 13% 6% -19 +1 0.64 26% 1.3 .33 19% .62 81% .51 1.06 65% 50% 43% +11 +2 1.27 27% 1.6 .42 31% .34 65% .22
Nov
15		 San Francisco F+ F A+ F F 31% 12% 58% B F D D D- C A A+ A+ B- B- F F F 43% 17% 40% D+ F F A+ A+ A+ F C+ F
0.94 38% 50% 23% -14 +1 0.75 21% 1.0 .21 13% .36 86% .31 1.10 56% 57% 53% +14 +1 1.31 45% 0.5 .21 26% .46 70% .32
Nov
19		 Umass Lowell B+ A+ F A+ A 30% 36% 34% F B B+ B A D+ A+ C A+ F F D- C F 21% 47% 32% A+ D- C A+ A- C- F F F
1.29 79% 18% 56% +10 -3 1.17 39% 1.3 .48 15% .45 73% .33 1.14 80% 45% 33% +8 -5 1.09 31% 0.8 .24 19% .48 85% .40
Nov
24		 Princeton A- A+ D+ A+ A+ 30% 15% 55% C- A+ F F F C+ B- C- C+ A D- F A- D+ 28% 18% 54% B- D+ D F F A+ F A+ F+
1.26 81% 38% 45% +16 0 1.34 14% 0.8 .10 13% .33 70% .23 0.92 64% 57% 29% +1 0 1.03 31% 1.2 .38 34% .46 62% .28
Nov
25		 UC San Diego B- F+ B C C 31% 14% 55% C+ C A- A+ A+ F+ C+ B C+ F A- B- F+ C+ 41% 12% 47% C C+ C- F F D- F D- F
1.10 47% 43% 33% -3 0 0.96 37% 1.5 .55 20% .27 73% .20 1.24 50% 33% 39% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.7 .45 13% .51 74% .38
Nov
26		 Liberty B- B+ C- A B+ 35% 28% 37% D B A B+ A+ F B A+ A A+ B F C- A- 43% 9% 48% B- B+ C+ A B A F A+ D
1.15 63% 38% 41% +6 -1 1.11 42% 1.4 .58 23% .28 86% .24 1.00 55% 50% 36% +1 +2 1.09 17% 0.8 .13 19% .40 52% .21
Dec
2		 Washington St. F C+ D+ F F 33% 21% 46% C F D A+ C+ A A- F C A+ D- A+ F B- 23% 41% 36% A+ A- B+ A+ A+ A+ B F C+
0.93 59% 36% 13% -15 0 0.71 23% 1.4 .32 10% .36 59% .21 0.87 70% 22% 50% +5 -4 1.05 25% 0.6 .14 29% .25 83% .21
Dec
6		 Northern Illinois C B+ C B B 41% 15% 44% C B F A+ D B+ D+ A- C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 17% 47% B A+ F C D- B+ F A+ C+
1.16 68% 38% 38% +6 +1 1.17 20% 1.3 .27 14% .30 79% .24 0.76 47% 13% 18% -19 0 0.64 40% 0.8 .33 25% .44 46% .20
Dec
18		 Indiana St. B- C- A- D- C 29% 34% 37% F D+ D A C+ A+ B+ F C+ B- C A+ D+ B- 36% 11% 53% B+ B A- A+ A F+ F C- F
1.14 55% 50% 29% 0 -2 0.97 28% 1.2 .33 8% .31 63% .20 1.05 61% 0% 35% -2 +1 1.00 20% 0.8 .16 15% .53 70% .37
Dec
21		 Southern Illinois C C- F A+ C 43% 27% 29% C- C B- B- B D+ A- A+ A+ B- C F A+ B+ 33% 35% 31% A- B+ C D+ C- B- C- C+ C
1.02 55% 14% 47% -2 -1 0.96 31% 1.1 .34 21% .35 90% .32 0.96 59% 56% 13% -4 -2 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 18% .31 67% .21
Dec
29		 Evansville C- A+ F B- D+ 26% 39% 35% F D D F F A+ B+ A A C B- C- B- C+ 17% 47% 36% A+ B D+ F F+ D- B- C+ B-
1.10 79% 24% 37% +1 -3 0.98 28% 0.6 .18 7% .33 81% .27 0.99 56% 40% 32% -1 -5 0.91 25% 1.3 .33 16% .24 71% .17
Jan
1		 Belmont B D C- A+ A 24% 18% 58% C- A A- F C F B F C D+ C- A+ F C 50% 2% 48% F C- F A- F A F D F
1.12 50% 33% 45% +7 -1 1.14 41% 0.8 .32 23% .32 65% .20 1.26 64% 0% 43% +8 +3 1.25 43% 1.1 .46 23% .56 73% .41
Jan
4		 Murray St. F+ F F A+ F 41% 32% 27% D F D B C- A+ D A C- D F B+ F F 29% 17% 54% B F C+ B+ B B- A F B-
0.96 33% 11% 44% -15 -1 0.69 27% 1.2 .31 6% .25 81% .20 1.25 80% 33% 43% +13 0 1.27 31% 1.0 .31 17% .25 93% .23
Jan
7		 Drake B+ C- A+ B B+ 33% 21% 46% C+ B+ F+ A+ C+ A- A+ C- A A+ A+ A+ F+ B- 24% 22% 55% B B A+ A+ A+ A F A+ F
1.25 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.16 22% 1.4 .31 11% .42 68% .29 0.89 42% 27% 39% -2 -1 0.96 15% 0.5 .08 19% .46 61% .28
Jan
10		 Northern Iowa B+ A B D+ A- 26% 28% 46% F+ B C- B C A+ A+ F A+ C+ B C+ C- B- 24% 33% 43% A+ B+ A- F B- F D A C-
1.12 69% 43% 30% +2 -2 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 7% .45 64% .29 1.03 54% 39% 35% 0 -3 0.96 16% 1.3 .21 7% .29 61% .18
Jan
13		 Evansville A- B- A+ D B- 40% 28% 32% C- B- D+ F D- A+ A B A+ F F+ D- F F 20% 36% 44% A F D+ C- D+ C+ F D+ F
1.24 63% 59% 32% +7 -1 1.13 29% 0.8 .24 8% .37 77% .29 1.18 70% 44% 45% +12 -3 1.20 25% 1.1 .28 20% .51 74% .38
Jan
17		 Illinois St. D F F+ D+ F 43% 30% 28% C+ F B- F D+ D+ A+ B+ A+ F F A F F 37% 26% 37% B- F+ F B F F B+ F+ B-
0.93 40% 29% 31% -12 -1 0.77 29% 0.8 .22 18% .42 74% .31 1.32 75% 29% 45% +10 -1 1.20 41% 1.0 .41 12% .22 77% .17
Jan
21		 Indiana St. D F+ F F F 38% 22% 40% C F D- A C A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ F D C F 40% 18% 42% A D- A+ A+ A+ A+ A- D+ B+
1.05 48% 25% 23% -14 0 0.75 26% 1.2 .31 4% .45 84% .38 0.95 75% 44% 33% +8 0 1.18 11% 0.7 .07 27% .19 70% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Illinois-Chicago C A A F B 34% 19% 47% C- B- F A+ D A+ A C- A- F F D F F 20% 43% 37% A+ F C+ B+ B D B- F C
1.07 69% 44% 27% 0 0 1.02 21% 1.3 .27 14% .39 73% .28 1.30 70% 43% 56% +16 -4 1.27 34% 0.9 .31 15% .29 81% .23
Jan
31		 Drake A+ F F A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% D A+ A C B+ C+ D- C+ D C F F A+ C+ 17% 38% 45% A+ B F A D+ D F F F
1.34 43% 20% 70% +14 -2 1.27 40% 0.9 .37 14% .25 71% .18 1.12 75% 56% 19% 0 -4 0.94 35% 0.9 .32 12% .46 81% .37
Feb
3		 Valparaiso C C A+ C+ A- 33% 29% 38% D- B D F F+ C+ C- C- C- B- D D+ A C 33% 37% 31% B C B F F+ B+ A+ A+ A+
1.10 59% 53% 35% +5 -1 1.10 27% 0.6 .17 17% .30 69% .20 1.00 63% 39% 27% -2 -2 0.94 29% 1.5 .43 18% .19 40% .08
Feb
6		 Northern Iowa F+ F F A D+ 33% 13% 54% B- D+ F D- F+ F B A+ A+ B B D+ A+ A 50% 20% 30% C A- F D F C+ D- D D-
0.82 31% 20% 38% -8 +1 0.87 14% 0.8 .11 27% .30 92% .27 1.02 55% 44% 23% -5 +1 0.93 29% 1.2 .35 15% .30 73% .22
Feb
9		 Belmont A- F+ F A+ A 29% 15% 56% C+ A- F+ C D- A+ A+ C+ A+ B F A+ A A+ 25% 19% 57% A+ A+ F F F A- F D- F
1.23 47% 11% 48% +5 0 1.12 24% 1.0 .24 10% .37 77% .29 1.09 85% 20% 30% 0 -1 1.00 37% 1.4 .53 22% .40 75% .30
Feb
15		 Southern Illinois C+ B+ F D+ C+ 37% 24% 39% C- C F+ B D+ A+ F F F A+ C+ F A+ A 35% 41% 24% A+ A+ A- A+ A+ D D+ F F
1.01 64% 29% 30% -2 0 0.97 21% 1.1 .24 10% .14 56% .08 0.87 58% 50% 0% -7 -3 0.81 24% 0.4 .11 14% .32 84% .27
Feb
18		 Valparaiso C+ D F A+ A 27% 24% 49% D- A- D+ C- D+ F C+ C C+ D- C D- F F 43% 32% 25% D F C+ F D D- F A+ F
1.08 54% 25% 50% +7 -1 1.14 28% 0.9 .24 23% .33 71% .23 1.19 58% 43% 45% +6 -1 1.11 30% 1.3 .40 12% .57 61% .34
Feb
21		 Illinois St. B+ A+ A- F A- 40% 31% 29% C B+ B F C A+ C- C- C- A F A+ D- C 31% 27% 43% B+ C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A F B
1.15 86% 44% 13% +4 -1 1.08 31% 0.8 .25 9% .28 69% .19 0.93 73% 23% 38% +3 -1 1.06 23% 0.0 .00 23% .20 80% .16
Feb
24		 Illinois-Chicago B D- F A- C+ 45% 7% 47% A B- C- B C A B+ F B- D C- D- F F 45% 17% 38% D- F A+ F B- D F B F
1.10 48% 25% 38% -2 +2 1.02 33% 1.1 .35 15% .36 67% .24 1.19 58% 44% 45% +7 +1 1.19 22% 1.6 .34 15% .48 69% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 62.2 62.2 2nd
3rd 13.5 13.5 3rd
4th 24.3 24.3 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 37.8 62.2 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 62.2% 9.7% 9.7% 12.5 0.0 3.3 2.6 0.1 56.1
12-8 37.8% 7.9% 7.9% 12.7 0.0 1.0 1.8 0.2 34.9
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 12.5 91.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.1% 100.0% 12.5 0.7 55.0 42.1 2.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 15.9%
Lose Out 17.9%