Cal Poly
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#228
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#115
Pace82.8#4
Improvement-0.8#232

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#225
First Shot-1.2#209
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#229
Layup/Dunks-0.1#190
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#68
Freethrows-1.7#275
Improvement+0.9#106

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#222
First Shot-1.9#233
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#163
Layups/Dunks+0.7#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#317
Freethrows+1.7#83
Improvement-1.8#319
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.2% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 13.6
.500 or above 25.7% 36.8% 16.3%
.500 or above in Conference 25.9% 37.3% 16.3%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 13.9% 7.9% 18.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Home) - 45.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 34 - 75 - 14
Quad 48 - 414 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 64   @ San Francisco L 78-86 8%     0 - 1 +4.1 +1.4 +3.8
  Nov 07, 2024 109   @ California L 73-91 16%     0 - 2 -11.2 -3.7 -6.1
  Nov 14, 2024 123   Seattle W 75-71 38%     1 - 2 +3.3 -1.4 +4.5
  Nov 17, 2024 239   @ Eastern Washington W 82-78 40%     2 - 2 +2.8 -3.9 +6.3
  Nov 20, 2024 51   @ Arizona St. L 89-93 7%     2 - 3 +8.8 +12.7 -3.4
  Nov 23, 2024 42   @ St. Mary's L 66-80 6%     2 - 4 +0.3 -0.6 +1.2
  Nov 26, 2024 226   Grambling St. W 82-79 61%     3 - 4 -3.6 +7.7 -11.2
  Nov 30, 2024 93   @ Stanford W 97-90 13%     4 - 4 +15.7 +19.0 -4.0
  Dec 05, 2024 204   @ UC Davis L 66-77 32%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -9.9 -11.9 +3.5
  Dec 07, 2024 155   Cal St. Northridge L 83-84 46%    
  Dec 14, 2024 194   @ San Jose St. L 74-79 31%    
  Dec 17, 2024 321   Denver W 85-77 78%    
  Dec 21, 2024 306   @ Nebraska Omaha W 79-78 53%    
  Jan 02, 2025 57   UC Irvine L 71-81 17%    
  Jan 05, 2025 162   @ Hawaii L 72-78 28%    
  Jan 09, 2025 102   @ UC San Diego L 71-82 15%    
  Jan 11, 2025 126   UC Santa Barbara L 78-81 41%    
  Jan 16, 2025 204   UC Davis W 79-78 55%    
  Jan 18, 2025 57   @ UC Irvine L 68-84 7%    
  Jan 25, 2025 304   Long Beach St. W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 30, 2025 244   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 01, 2025 175   @ UC Riverside L 74-80 30%    
  Feb 06, 2025 162   Hawaii L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 13, 2025 307   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 155   @ Cal St. Northridge L 80-87 27%    
  Feb 20, 2025 102   UC San Diego L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 22, 2025 175   UC Riverside W 78-77 50%    
  Feb 27, 2025 126   @ UC Santa Barbara L 75-84 22%    
  Mar 01, 2025 244   Cal St. Bakersfield W 77-73 63%    
  Mar 06, 2025 307   Cal St. Fullerton W 77-70 73%    
  Mar 08, 2025 304   @ Long Beach St. W 75-74 52%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 4.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 2.7 1.9 0.4 0.1 6.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 3.8 2.9 0.7 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.3 3.9 0.8 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.1 4.6 1.0 0.1 14.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.8 6.3 4.8 1.2 0.1 15.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.0 6.2 4.4 0.9 0.1 15.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.3 4.5 2.8 0.7 0.0 12.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.3 2.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.1 11th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.4 6.3 9.2 12.4 13.9 14.0 13.0 10.1 7.1 4.3 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 90.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 55.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 22.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 19.0% 19.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 13.3% 13.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.5% 11.5% 11.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-6 1.3% 11.3% 11.3% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1
13-7 2.3% 6.0% 6.0% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.2
12-8 4.3% 2.8% 2.8% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2
11-9 7.1% 1.2% 1.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
10-10 10.1% 0.8% 0.8% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1
9-11 13.0% 0.5% 0.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
8-12 14.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 13.9
7-13 13.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.9
6-14 12.4% 12.4
5-15 9.2% 9.2
4-16 6.3% 6.3
3-17 3.4% 3.4
2-18 1.5% 1.5
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.2 0.0%