Cal St. Bakersfield
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#251
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#267
Pace67.4#252
Improvement+0.2#152

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#242
First Shot-7.2#353
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#19
Layup/Dunks-1.6#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.0#362
Freethrows+2.6#59
Improvement+1.3#37

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#248
First Shot+0.6#151
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#318
Layups/Dunks-2.5#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#38
Freethrows-0.2#205
Improvement-1.2#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 24.1% 24.6% 7.1%
.500 or above in Conference 35.3% 35.7% 20.5%
Conference Champion 1.9% 1.9% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.8% 10.5% 21.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round2.0% 2.0% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 97.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 13
Quad 410 - 513 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 85 @California L 60-87 10%     0 - 1 -17.5 -11.8 -4.6
  Tue, Nov 11 335 Western Illinois W 74-58 79%     1 - 1 +2.9 -2.3 +5.8
  Fri, Nov 14 44 @Mississippi L 60-82 5%     1 - 2 -7.7 +0.5 -10.8
  Mon, Nov 17 154 @Portland St. L 80-93 24%     1 - 3 -10.3 +4.7 -14.2
  Sat, Nov 22 365 Mississippi Valley W 78-58 97%    
  Tue, Nov 25 69 @Florida St. L 68-84 7%    
  Sun, Nov 30 204 @Fresno St. L 72-77 32%    
  Thu, Dec 4 203 @Cal St. Northridge L 75-80 31%    
  Sat, Dec 6 128 @UC Santa Barbara L 67-77 18%    
  Thu, Dec 11 162 North Dakota St. L 73-74 47%    
  Sat, Dec 13 241 Pepperdine W 74-72 58%    
  Tue, Dec 23 202 Idaho W 72-71 53%    
  Thu, Jan 1 135 UC Irvine L 68-71 39%    
  Sat, Jan 3 192 @UC Davis L 66-72 31%    
  Thu, Jan 8 299 UC Riverside W 73-67 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 282 @Long Beach St. L 70-71 46%    
  Thu, Jan 15 128 UC Santa Barbara L 70-74 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 130 UC San Diego L 69-72 38%    
  Fri, Jan 23 100 @Hawaii L 65-77 14%    
  Thu, Jan 29 205 Cal Poly W 79-78 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 192 UC Davis W 69-68 51%    
  Thu, Feb 5 135 @UC Irvine L 65-74 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 340 @Cal St. Fullerton W 79-76 59%    
  Thu, Feb 12 100 Hawaii L 68-74 29%    
  Thu, Feb 19 299 @UC Riverside L 69-70 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 340 Cal St. Fullerton W 82-73 77%    
  Thu, Feb 26 130 @UC San Diego L 66-75 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 282 Long Beach St. W 73-68 66%    
  Thu, Mar 5 203 Cal St. Northridge W 78-77 53%    
  Sat, Mar 7 205 @Cal Poly L 76-81 33%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.7 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.4 4.3 1.5 0.2 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.3 4.8 1.6 0.1 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.6 4.7 1.4 0.1 14.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.9 5.0 3.6 1.0 0.1 13.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.9 3.6 2.3 0.5 0.1 11.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.8 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.3 5.5 7.8 10.1 11.7 12.5 11.8 10.4 8.7 6.4 4.3 2.7 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 87.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1
16-4 67.6% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 35.6% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 13.1% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 35.1% 35.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 30.6% 30.6% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.7% 26.3% 26.3% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-5 1.5% 21.2% 21.2% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-6 2.7% 11.8% 11.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.4
13-7 4.3% 7.5% 7.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.0
12-8 6.4% 4.5% 4.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.1
11-9 8.7% 2.1% 2.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.6
10-10 10.4% 1.6% 1.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.2
9-11 11.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.7
8-12 12.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.4
7-13 11.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.7
6-14 10.1% 10.1
5-15 7.8% 7.8
4-16 5.5% 5.5
3-17 3.3% 3.3
2-18 1.5% 1.5
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 97.9 0.0%