North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank vs Preseason
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +13.1 38 45%
INCC Stats Results Rating +0.0 2 99%
Consistency
Pace 69.5 145
Improvement - -

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense B+ 47 B B- A- C+ B-
Defense A- 27 A- A D A A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 124 B+ 61% 49 +3.5 58
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 281 C 36% 175 -1.2 248
Three Pointers 42% 153 B- 34% 93 +1.7 116
Selection / Accuracy B- +0.6 103 B +3.5 65
1st FG Attempt B 1.05 57
Second Chance C+ 31.3% 112 B- 1.10 67 B- 0.34 74
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.5% 20
Other Turnovers B+ 6.6% 31
Turnovers A- 14.1% 17
Freethrows B 0.34 57 D- 63% 340 C+ 0.22 150
Total Offense B+ +6.7 47

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 63% 28 B- 9.1% 75
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 39% 46 B 3.3% 62
Three Pointers B 94% 59 B+ 0.2% 26
Total B+ 70% 19 B 4.3% 47


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 309 A 46% 13 -5.8 21
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 13 B- 33% 78 +2.2 331
Three Pointers 37% 281 C 33% 185 -1.7 99
Selection / Accuracy A- -1.4 20 B+ -4.2 28
1st FG Attempt A- 0.87 23
Second Chance A- 23.4% 14 A 0.82 6 A 0.19 4
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.3% 274
Other Turnovers D 6.9% 313
Turnovers D 15.2% 314
Freethrows A 0.20 2 B 66% 60 A 0.13 3
Total Defense A- +6.4 27

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 38% 10 C+ 12.4% 107
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 25% 136 C 4.5% 189
Three Pointers B 81% 43 C- 0.6% 219
Total B+ 49% 27 C 5.7% 160

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.7 33 19.1 357
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 55 0.10 16
Consistency 0 0

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Chances Bubble - In (73%)
Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Overall Record 15 - 18 21 - 13 27 - 8
Predictive Rating Rank 73 35 9
Results Rating Rank 81 33 5
Conference Record 6 - 12 10 - 8 14 - 4
Conference Finish 15 7 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 9 2
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round Elite 8

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1% 1% 1%
#1 Seed 4% 4% 3%
Top 2 Seed 8% 8% 5%
Top 4 Seed 20% 20% 13%
Top 6 Seed 33% 34% 24%
Opening Round Bye 77% 77% 72%
NCAA Tourney Bid 75% 76% 64%
At-Large Status Bubble - In Bubble - In Bubble - In
At-Large Bid 73% 74% 61%
Average Seed 6.9 6.9 7.4
.500 or above 88% 89% 76%
.500 or above in Conf 72% 73% 68%
Conference Champion 8% 8% 5%
Last Place in Conference 2% 2% 3%
Opening Round17% 17% 18%
First Round66% 67% 54%
Second Round42% 43% 34%
Sweet Sixteen21% 21% 16%
Elite Eight10% 10% 6%
Final Four5% 5% 2%
Championship Game2% 2% 1%
National Champion1% 1% 1%
Next Game: Western Carolina (Home) - 95% chance of victory

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large
Chance
Avg Seed At-Large
Selection Chances
Indiv. Cumul.
35 - 0 35 - 0 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
34 - 1 34 - 1 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
33 - 2 33 - 2 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
32 - 3 32 - 3 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
31 - 4 31 - 4 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
30 - 5 30 - 5 1% 100% 100% 1 Lock
29 - 6 29 - 6 1% 99% 100% 1 Lock
28 - 7 28 - 7 2% 98% 100% 2 Lock
27 - 8 27 - 8 4% 95% 100% 3 Lock
26 - 8 26 - 8 5% 91% 100% 3 Lock
25 - 9 25 - 9 6% 86% 100% 4 Lock
24 - 10 24 - 10 8% 80% 100% 5 Lock
23 - 11 23 - 11 9% 72% 100% 7 Lock
22 - 12 22 - 12 10% 63% 99% 8 Likely In
21 - 13 21 - 13 10% 53% 97% 9 Likely In
20 - 14 20 - 14 10% 42% 88% 10 Likely In
19 - 15 19 - 15 9% 33% 70% 11 Bubble - In
18 - 16 18 - 16 7% 24% 42% 11 Bubble - Out
17 - 16 17 - 16 6% 17% 11% 11 Likely Out
16 - 17 16 - 17 4% 12% 0% 12 Negligible
15 - 18 15 - 18 3% 8% Negligible
14 - 19 14 - 19 2% 5% Negligible
13 - 20 13 - 20 1% 3% Negligible
12 - 20 12 - 20 1% 2% Negligible
11 - 21 11 - 21 0% 1% Negligible
10 - 22 10 - 22 0% 0% Negligible
9 - 23 9 - 23 0% 0% Negligible
8 - 24 8 - 24 0% 0% Negligible
7 - 25 7 - 25 0% 0% Negligible

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 9
Quad 26 - 312 - 12
Quad 34 - 117 - 13
Quad 44 - 021 - 13


Stat Type Preseason Current
Predictive Rank 38 38
Results Rank 2
Projected Overall Record 21 - 13 21 - 13
Projected Conference Record 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Champion 7% 8%
Conference Finish 6 7
NCAA Tournament Seed 9 8
Opening Round Bye 78% 77%
At-Large Tourney Chance 73% 73%
At Large Status Bubble Bubble



Game Schedule and Ratings

Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 2 189 Western Carolina W 82 - 64 95%
Fri, Nov 6 264 Wofford W 84 - 62 97%
Tue, Nov 10 114 Wyoming W 78 - 65 87%
Fri, Nov 13 39 Georgia W 80 - 77 63%
Fri, Nov 20 240 Marshall W 85 - 64 96%
Mon, Nov 23 190 Monmouth W 80 - 62 94%
Fri, Nov 27 49 West Virginia W 68 - 66 53%
Tue, Dec 1 20 Arkansas L 76 - 77 53%
Sun, Dec 6 93 Butler W 79 - 69 81%
Sat, Dec 12 68 Georgetown W 71 - 70 55%
Tue, Dec 15 51 North Carolina St. W 77 - 75 57%
Sat, Dec 19 21 Kentucky L 73 - 76 45%
Mon, Dec 21 330 The Citadel W 82 - 56 98%
Wed, Dec 30 84 California W 77 - 68 79% ✓
Sat, Jan 2 107 Boston College W 74 - 68 69% ✓
Tue, Jan 5 11 Louisville L 71 - 79 28% ✓
Sat, Jan 9 51 North Carolina St. W 79 - 74 67% ✓
Wed, Jan 13 62 Florida St. W 76 - 75 51% ✓
Sat, Jan 16 69 Stanford W 75 - 67 72% ✓
Tue, Jan 19 14 Virginia L 70 - 71 50% ✓
Sat, Jan 23 65 Syracuse W 72 - 71 52% ✓
Tue, Jan 26 58 SMU W 77 - 71 71% ✓
Sat, Jan 30 3 Illinois L 68 - 76 35%
Tue, Feb 2 72 Notre Dame W 71 - 69 54% ✓
Sat, Feb 6 109 Georgia Tech W 83 - 71 83% ✓
Mon, Feb 8 11 Louisville L 74 - 76 51% ✓
Sat, Feb 13 1 Duke L 64 - 78 23% ✓
Sat, Feb 20 83 Wake Forest W 74 - 71 57% ✓
Mon, Feb 22 18 Miami (FL) L 73 - 74 58% ✓
Sat, Feb 27 50 Virginia Tech L 72 - 73 44% ✓
Tue, Mar 2 76 Pittsburgh W 69 - 67 53% ✓
Sat, Mar 6 1 Duke L 67 - 75 45% ✓
Totals 21 - 13 10 - 8 +13 B+ +7 C B B- A- +6 B- D- C+
Stat History After Each Game

Date Opponent Result Stats Rank Projected Record Chances Predicted At-Large Status
Predictive Results Overall Conf Opening Bye Conf
Champ
NCAA
Seed
Conf
Finish
Preseason 38 21 - 13 10 - 8 78% 7% 9 6 Bubble - In 73%
Selection Sunday 0% 0% Negligible 0%






NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance Tourney
Bid
Auto At-Large Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Indiv. Cumul.
35 - 0 35 - 0 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
34 - 1 34 - 1 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
33 - 2 33 - 2 0% 100% 100% 75% 100% 1 Lock 0
32 - 3 32 - 3 0% 100% 100% 79% 100% 1 Lock 0
31 - 4 31 - 4 0% 100% 100% 70% 100% 1 Lock 0
30 - 5 30 - 5 1% 100% 100% 57% 100% 1 Lock 1
29 - 6 29 - 6 1% 99% 100% 51% 100% 1 Lock 1
28 - 7 28 - 7 2% 98% 100% 40% 100% 2 Lock 1 1 0
27 - 8 27 - 8 4% 95% 100% 34% 100% 3 Lock 1 1 1 1
26 - 8 26 - 8 5% 91% 100% 21% 100% 3 Lock 1 1 1 1
25 - 9 25 - 9 6% 86% 100% 14% 100% 4 Lock 1 1 2 2 1
24 - 10 24 - 10 8% 80% 100% 9% 100% 5 Lock 1 1 2 2 1 1
23 - 11 23 - 11 9% 72% 100% 5% 100% 7 Lock 1 2 2 2 2 1
22 - 12 22 - 12 10% 63% 99% 3% 99% 8 Likely In 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 0
21 - 13 21 - 13 10% 53% 97% 1% 97% 9 Likely In 0 1 2 2 2 2 0
20 - 14 20 - 14 10% 42% 88% 0% 88% 10 Likely In 1 1 2 3 1
19 - 15 19 - 15 9% 33% 70% 0% 70% 11 Bubble - In 0 1 3 1 3
18 - 16 18 - 16 7% 24% 42% 0% 42% 11 Bubble - Out 0 2 1 4
17 - 16 17 - 16 6% 17% 11% 11% 11 Likely Out 0 0 5
16 - 17 16 - 17 4% 12% 0% 0% 12 Negligible 0 0 4
15 - 18 15 - 18 3% 8% Negligible 3
14 - 19 14 - 19 2% 5% Negligible 2
13 - 20 13 - 20 1% 3% Negligible 1
12 - 20 12 - 20 1% 2% Negligible 1
11 - 21 11 - 21 0% 1% Negligible 0
10 - 22 10 - 22 0% 0% Negligible 0
9 - 23 9 - 23 0% 0% Negligible 0
8 - 24 8 - 24 0% 0% Negligible 0
7 - 25 7 - 25 0% 0% Negligible 0
Total 100% 75% 7% 73% 7 Bubble - In 4 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 11 2 25


At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Avg Conf Record Wins Chance At-Large Opening Bye Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
Average Rating Rank Average Quad Records
Indiv. Cumul. Predictive Results NET Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
35 - 0 35 - 0 18 - 0 0% 100% Auto Bid 1 1 1 11 - 0 13 - 0 7 - 0 4 - 0
34 - 1 34 - 1 17 - 1 0% 100% Auto Bid 2 1 1 13 - 1 13 - 0 5 - 0 3 - 0
33 - 2 33 - 2 17 - 1 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 4 1 1 14 - 1 9 - 1 6 - 0 5 - 0
32 - 3 32 - 3 16 - 2 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 4 1 1 13 - 2 10 - 1 5 - 0 5 - 0
31 - 4 31 - 4 16 - 2 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 5 2 2 12 - 3 9 - 1 5 - 0 5 - 0
30 - 5 30 - 5 15 - 3 1% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 7 2 3 11 - 4 9 - 1 5 - 0 5 - 0
29 - 6 29 - 6 14 - 4 1% 99% 100% 100% 1 Lock 9 3 4 11 - 4 9 - 1 5 - 0 4 - 0
28 - 7 28 - 7 14 - 4 2% 98% 100% 100% 2 Lock 11 4 6 10 - 5 8 - 1 5 - 0 4 - 0
27 - 8 27 - 8 13 - 5 4% 95% 100% 100% 3 Lock 14 7 9 9 - 6 8 - 2 5 - 0 4 - 0
26 - 8 26 - 8 13 - 5 5% 91% 100% 100% 3 Lock 16 10 12 9 - 6 8 - 2 5 - 0 5 - 0
25 - 9 25 - 9 12 - 6 6% 86% 100% 100% 4 Lock 20 13 16 8 - 7 8 - 2 5 - 0 4 - 0
24 - 10 24 - 10 12 - 6 8% 80% 100% 100% 5 Lock 24 18 20 7 - 7 7 - 2 5 - 1 4 - 0
23 - 11 23 - 11 11 - 7 9% 72% 100% 98% 7 Lock 28 23 25 7 - 8 7 - 3 5 - 1 4 - 0
22 - 12 22 - 12 11 - 7 10% 63% 99% 88% 8 Likely In 32 28 30 6 - 8 7 - 3 5 - 1 4 - 0
21 - 13 21 - 13 10 - 8 10% 53% 97% 67% 9 Likely In 37 35 36 6 - 9 6 - 3 4 - 1 4 - 0
20 - 14 20 - 14 9 - 9 10% 42% 88% 42% 10 Likely In 42 41 41 5 - 9 6 - 4 4 - 1 4 - 0
19 - 15 19 - 15 9 - 9 9% 33% 70% 21% 11 Bubble - In 47 48 47 5 - 10 6 - 4 4 - 1 4 - 0
18 - 16 18 - 16 8 - 10 7% 24% 42% 12% 11 Bubble - Out 51 55 53 4 - 10 5 - 4 4 - 1 4 - 0
17 - 16 17 - 16 8 - 10 6% 17% 11% 2% 11 Likely Out 56 62 59 4 - 11 5 - 4 4 - 1 4 - 0
16 - 17 16 - 17 7 - 11 4% 12% 0% 0% 12 Negligible 61 69 65 3 - 11 5 - 5 4 - 1 4 - 0
15 - 18 15 - 18 6 - 12 3% 8% Negligible 66 76 71 3 - 11 4 - 5 4 - 1 4 - 0
14 - 19 14 - 19 6 - 12 2% 5% Negligible 72 84 77 3 - 12 4 - 5 3 - 1 4 - 0
13 - 20 13 - 20 5 - 13 1% 3% Negligible 77 92 83 2 - 12 3 - 6 3 - 2 4 - 0
12 - 20 12 - 20 5 - 13 1% 2% Negligible 81 101 90 2 - 13 3 - 6 3 - 2 4 - 0
11 - 21 11 - 21 4 - 14 0% 1% Negligible 88 110 97 2 - 13 3 - 6 3 - 2 4 - 1
10 - 22 10 - 22 3 - 15 0% 0% Negligible 95 123 107 1 - 13 2 - 6 3 - 2 4 - 1
9 - 23 9 - 23 3 - 15 0% 0% Negligible 99 135 114 1 - 13 2 - 7 2 - 2 4 - 1
8 - 24 8 - 24 2 - 16 0% 0% Negligible 107 152 125 1 - 14 2 - 6 2 - 3 4 - 1
7 - 25 7 - 25 2 - 17 0% 0% Negligible 125 178 147 0 - 14 2 - 8 2 - 2 4 - 2
Total 10 - 8 100% 73% 74% 7 Bubble - In 38 37 37 6 - 9 6 - 3 4 - 1 4 - 0


Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

Wins Chance Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
Indiv. Cumul. 0 1 2 3+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th Total
18-0 0% 100% 100% 100% 0 0
17-1 0% 100% 98% 98% 0 0 0
16-2 1% 100% 98% 87% 12% 1 0 1
15-3 2% 99% 84% 56% 24% 3% 0% 2 0 0 2
14-4 5% 96% 50% 17% 23% 8% 1% 3 2 0 0 5
13-5 9% 91% 15% 2% 5% 5% 3% 1 4 3 1 0 9
12-6 12% 82% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0 2 5 4 2 0 0 12
11-7 14% 70% 0% 0% 0 0 1 4 5 3 1 0 0 14
10-8 15% 57% 0 0 2 4 5 3 1 0 0 15
9-9 14% 41% 0 1 2 4 4 2 1 0 14
8-10 11% 28% 0 0 2 3 3 2 0 0 11
7-11 8% 17% 0 0 1 2 2 1 0 0 0 8
6-12 5% 9% 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 5
5-13 3% 4% 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 3
4-14 1% 2% 0 0 0 0 0 1
3-15 0% 1% 0 0 0 0
2-16 0% 0% 0 0 0
1-17 0% 0% 0 0
0-18 0%
Total 100% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 100


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B+ C B- B 40% 29% 42% B- B C+ B- B- A- B D- C+ A- A B- C B+ 34% 29% 37% A- A- A- A A D A B A
1.18 61% 36% 34% +3 +1 1.05 31% 1.1 .34 14% .34 63% .22 0.99 46% 33% 33% -4 -1 0.87 23% 0.8 .19 15% .20 66% .23
Nov
2
W. Carolina 1.18 63% 41% 38% +8 40% 17% 43% +1 1.13 28% 1.1 .32 12% .35 64% .22 0.92 39% 36% 30% -7 33% 29% 37% -1 0.80 28% 0.8 .23 15% .19 64% .12
13-20 4-9 8-22 9 rb 10 pt 9 to 16-24 7-18 6-16 6-20 10 rb 9 pt 11 to 8-13
Nov
6
Wofford 1.21 60% 39% 38% +6 48% 14% 38% +2 1.12 32% 1.2 .39 13% .35 68% .24 0.90 40% 29% 30% -9 36% 23% 40% 0 0.79 20% 1.3 .15 14% .22 61% .13
15-25 3-7 7-19 9 rb 12 pt 9 to 17-25 8-20 4-13 7-22 8 rb 6 pt 9 to 9-15
Nov
10
Wyoming 1.15 63% 36% 33% +4 45% 15% 40% +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 14% .41 63% .26 0.96 44% 34% 32% -6 39% 22% 39% 0 0.86 28% 0.9 .23 15% .21 69% .14
13-22 3-7 6-19 9 rb 10 pt 9 to 18-28 9-20 4-11 6-20 10 rb 8 pt 10 to 10-14
Nov
13
Georgia 1.09 58% 38% 34% +2 41% 19% 41% +1 1.03 33% 1.0 .32 16% .29 62% .18 1.04 53% 32% 33% -1 37% 20% 43% 0 0.95 29% 1.0 .26 13% .22 68% .15
13-22 4-10 7-22 11 rb 11 pt 12 to 13-21 11-21 4-11 8-25 11 rb 10 pt 10 to 11-17
Nov
20
Marshall 1.19 64% 33% 36% +5 37% 20% 43% 0 1.07 36% 1.0 .38 14% .39 65% .25 0.90 45% 31% 32% -5 26% 33% 41% -2 0.84 22% 1.5 .20 16% .14 57% .08
12-19 3-10 8-21 11 rb 12 pt 10 to 19-29 7-14 6-18 7-23 8 rb 8 pt 12 to 6-10
Nov
23
Monmouth 1.17 63% 39% 37% +6 43% 15% 42% +1 1.12 34% 1.1 .37 16% .32 66% .21 0.90 41% 34% 32% -6 31% 35% 34% -2 0.81 23% 1.2 .19 16% .18 69% .13
13-21 3-7 7-20 10 rb 11 pt 11 to 14-22 7-16 6-18 6-18 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 8-12
Nov
27
W. Virginia 1.05 58% 29% 34% +1 39% 20% 42% 0 0.99 28% 1.0 .28 16% .29 64% .19 1.03 51% 36% 33% -1 36% 23% 41% 0 0.94 26% 0.9 .25 14% .22 64% .14
10-18 3-9 7-20 8 rb 9 pt 10 to 12-18 9-18 4-11 7-21 8 rb 8 pt 9 to 9-14
Dec
1
Arkansas 1.05 59% 34% 29% -1 42% 19% 39% 0 0.96 28% 1.3 .36 15% .28 59% .17 1.06 58% 29% 35% 0 40% 29% 31% -1 0.95 26% 1.4 .29 11% .21 66% .14
13-23 4-10 6-21 10 rb 13 pt 11 to 12-21 14-24 5-17 6-18 9 rb 11 pt 8 to 10-16
Dec
6
Butler 1.13 64% 36% 35% +5 41% 20% 39% 0 1.08 30% 1.0 .31 14% .26 62% .16 0.98 48% 30% 31% -6 40% 23% 36% 0 0.86 27% 1.0 .24 14% .26 64% .17
14-22 4-11 7-21 9 rb 10 pt 10 to 11-18 10-22 4-13 6-19 10 rb 9 pt 10 to 12-18
Dec
12
Georgetown 1.05 53% 35% 33% -1 35% 23% 42% 0 0.95 30% 1.0 .31 15% .31 61% .19 1.03 47% 37% 33% -2 33% 31% 36% -2 0.90 28% 1.0 .27 13% .22 72% .16
9-17 4-11 7-21 10 rb 10 pt 10 to 13-21 8-18 6-16 6-19 10 rb 9 pt 9 to 11-15
Dec
15
NC St. 1.09 59% 34% 35% +3 38% 13% 48% +1 1.05 28% 1.0 .29 17% .34 62% .21 1.07 51% 30% 38% 0 36% 23% 41% 0 0.97 24% 1.2 .25 11% .22 71% .16
11-19 2-7 8-24 9 rb 9 pt 12 to 14-23 10-21 4-13 9-23 8 rb 9 pt 8 to 11-16
Dec
19
Kentucky 1.05 57% 36% 31% 0 32% 25% 43% -1 0.95 27% 0.9 .25 14% .33 64% .21 1.08 58% 33% 35% +2 34% 28% 38% -1 0.98 29% 0.8 .30 13% .24 69% .16
9-16 5-12 7-22 9 rb 9 pt 10 to 15-23 11-18 5-15 7-20 10 rb 10 pt 9 to 12-17
Dec
21
The Citadel 1.25 69% 40% 39% +11 44% 11% 46% +2 1.22 35% 1.2 .40 12% .32 60% .19 0.85 38% 31% 30% -9 29% 26% 45% -1 0.78 20% 1.2 .14 16% .16 54% .08
15-21 2-5 9-22 10 rb 11 pt 8 to 13-22 6-15 4-13 7-23 7 rb 5 pt 10 to 5-10
Dec
30
California 1.11 59% 37% 32% +1 40% 16% 44% +1 1.01 30% 1.1 .33 14% .34 60% .20 0.97 47% 33% 36% -1 29% 31% 40% -2 0.91 20% 1.5 .15 13% .22 72% .16
12-20 3-8 7-22 10 rb 11 pt 9 to 14-24 7-16 6-17 8-22 7 rb 5 pt 9 to 11-15
Jan
2
Boston Col 1.10 59% 33% 32% +1 40% 20% 40% 0 1.00 29% 0.9 .27 12% .33 60% .20 1.00 48% 40% 32% -2 29% 32% 40% -2 0.90 26% 0.9 .22 13% .18 62% .11
12-20 3-10 7-20 9 rb 9 pt 8 to 14-23 7-15 7-17 7-21 9 rb 8 pt 9 to 8-13
Jan
5
Louisville 0.99 57% 28% 30% -3 33% 25% 42% -1 0.90 25% 1.1 .26 15% .31 60% .19 1.10 58% 36% 38% +5 35% 16% 49% 0 1.08 28% 0.9 .24 14% .21 73% .15
10-17 4-13 7-22 9 rb 9 pt 11 to 13-22 11-19 3-9 10-27 9 rb 8 pt 10 to 11-14
Jan
9
NC St. 1.11 60% 37% 35% +4 38% 13% 48% +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .31 17% .34 63% .22 1.05 50% 29% 37% -1 36% 23% 41% 0 0.94 23% 1.3 .24 11% .22 70% .16
11-19 2-7 8-24 9 rb 10 pt 12 to 15-23 10-20 4-13 8-23 8 rb 9 pt 8 to 11-16
Jan
13
FL St. 1.05 58% 34% 34% +1 33% 19% 48% 0 1.00 31% 0.9 .29 17% .31 59% .18 1.04 51% 33% 33% -2 34% 20% 46% 0 0.94 25% 1.0 .26 12% .20 66% .13
10-17 3-10 8-24 11 rb 10 pt 13 to 13-22 10-19 4-12 9-27 9 rb 10 pt 9 to 10-15
Jan
16
Stanford 1.10 59% 37% 32% +2 42% 22% 36% 0 1.00 29% 1.2 .34 16% .37 69% .26 0.98 45% 27% 35% -4 40% 19% 41% 0 0.90 27% 1.0 .21 14% .22 65% .14
12-20 4-11 5-17 9 rb 10 pt 11 to 17-25 10-21 3-10 8-22 10 rb 8 pt 9 to 10-15
Jan
19
Virginia 1.04 51% 36% 33% -1 36% 25% 39% -1 0.93 27% 0.9 .25 14% .31 67% .20 1.06 48% 35% 35% -1 35% 21% 44% 0 0.95 32% 0.7 .31 14% .19 66% .13
9-18 4-12 6-20 9 rb 8 pt 9 to 14-21 9-18 4-11 8-23 11 rb 10 pt 9 to 9-13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
23
Syracuse 1.05 54% 25% 31% -3 43% 19% 38% +1 0.92 32% 1.2 .38 16% .32 62% .20 1.03 54% 36% 36% +1 38% 28% 35% -1 0.98 25% 1.5 .22 14% .22 59% .13
12-21 2-9 6-19 11 rb 13 pt 11 to 14-22 11-20 5-15 7-18 8 rb 7 pt 10 to 9-15
Jan
26
SMU 1.10 60% 33% 34% +3 33% 20% 47% 0 1.02 31% 1.1 .32 15% .30 62% .19 1.01 50% 37% 36% 0 34% 33% 34% -2 0.94 29% 1.1 .24 14% .17 61% .11
10-17 3-10 8-24 10 rb 11 pt 11 to 13-21 9-19 7-18 7-19 10 rb 8 pt 10 to 7-12
Jan
30
Illinois 1.02 55% 33% 30% -2 28% 27% 45% -1 0.90 25% 1.0 .24 11% .20 56% .11 1.14 55% 34% 34% +1 32% 21% 48% 0 0.98 35% 0.7 .38 11% .21 75% .16
8-15 5-15 7-24 9 rb 9 pt 7 to 8-14 9-17 4-11 9-26 12 rb 13 pt 7 to 11-15
Feb
2
Notre Dame 1.06 59% 33% 31% -1 32% 18% 50% 0 0.96 24% 1.0 .25 13% .34 63% .21 1.03 55% 35% 36% +2 29% 30% 41% -2 0.97 27% 0.8 .21 14% .22 64% .14
9-16 3-9 8-25 8 rb 8 pt 9 to 14-23 8-15 5-16 8-21 9 rb 7 pt 10 to 9-14
Feb
6
GA Tech 1.14 60% 35% 34% +3 35% 19% 46% 0 1.02 31% 1.2 .37 13% .33 65% .21 0.97 50% 33% 36% -1 36% 33% 31% -2 0.92 26% 1.3 .24 16% .20 67% .13
11-19 4-10 8-24 11 rb 13 pt 9 to 16-24 10-20 6-18 6-17 9 rb 8 pt 12 to 9-14
Feb
8
Louisville 1.04 59% 31% 32% -1 33% 25% 42% -1 0.94 26% 1.1 .28 15% .31 63% .19 1.06 56% 32% 36% +3 35% 16% 49% 0 1.03 27% 1.0 .22 15% .21 69% .14
10-17 4-13 7-22 9 rb 10 pt 11 to 14-22 11-19 3-9 10-27 9 rb 7 pt 11 to 10-14
Feb
13
Duke 0.95 54% 30% 30% -4 32% 22% 46% 0 0.89 23% 0.9 .20 16% .24 59% .14 1.16 59% 37% 35% +4 41% 17% 42% +1 1.06 35% 0.6 .40 14% .25 70% .17
9-16 3-11 7-23 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 9-15 12-21 3-8 8-22 11 rb 12 pt 9 to 12-17
Feb
20
Wake Forest 1.06 59% 32% 31% -1 37% 14% 49% +1 0.97 30% 1.0 .32 16% .33 63% .21 1.01 48% 36% 33% -2 33% 25% 42% -1 0.92 25% 1.3 .25 13% .22 72% .16
11-18 2-7 7-24 10 rb 11 pt 11 to 15-23 9-18 5-14 8-23 9 rb 9 pt 9 to 11-15
Feb
22
Miami FL 1.06 60% 33% 36% +3 36% 21% 42% 0 1.03 25% 1.1 .28 16% .29 62% .18 1.07 56% 35% 35% +1 45% 28% 28% -1 0.98 32% 0.8 .31 14% .23 64% .15
11-18 4-11 8-21 8 rb 9 pt 11 to 12-19 13-24 5-15 5-15 10 rb 10 pt 10 to 10-16
Feb
27
VA Tech 1.05 60% 34% 29% -1 41% 21% 39% 0 0.97 30% 1.1 .32 16% .28 61% .17 1.06 56% 33% 38% +2 33% 29% 37% -1 0.99 27% 1.1 .26 13% .21 73% .15
12-20 4-10 6-20 10 rb 10 pt 11 to 12-19 10-18 5-16 8-20 9 rb 9 pt 9 to 10-14
Mar
2
Pitt 1.06 59% 33% 34% +2 41% 17% 42% +1 1.02 26% 1.0 .25 15% .30 64% .19 1.03 51% 35% 34% 0 34% 25% 41% -1 0.95 30% 0.7 .26 15% .18 61% .11
12-20 3-8 7-20 8 rb 8 pt 10 to 12-19 9-17 4-13 7-21 10 rb 8 pt 10 to 7-12
Mar
6
Duke 0.99 57% 33% 31% -1 32% 22% 46% 0 0.94 24% 0.9 .22 15% .24 62% .15 1.11 57% 34% 34% +1 41% 17% 42% +1 1.01 34% 0.7 .37 14% .25 67% .16
9-16 4-11 7-23 8 rb 7 pt 10 to 10-16 12-21 3-8 7-22 11 rb 12 pt 10 to 11-17