North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +14.8 30
Results Rating +16.5 22
Consistency 0.14 109
Pace 69.6 141
Improvement -4.4 327

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 32 B+ B A- C+ B-
Defense B+ 38 B+ A D A+ A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 125 B+ 66% 30 +4.4 41
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 280 B 42% 65 -0.6 218
Three Pointers 42% 151 B 37% 55 +2.7 88
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 103 B+ +5.7 27
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.15 28
Second Chance B- 33.4% 88 B 1.11 67 B 0.37 61
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.5% 22
Other Turnovers A- 5.4% 13
Turnovers A- 12.9% 13
Freethrows B 0.34 57 D 69% 313 C+ 0.23 125
Total Offense B+ +8.5 32

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 58% 36 B- 9.1% 77
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 70 B- 3.4% 64
Three Pointers B- 87% 116 B+ 0.2% 23
Total B+ 64% 41 B 4.3% 47


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 308 A 49% 15 -6.0 24
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 13 B 35% 55 +2.2 331
Three Pointers 37% 282 C 34% 167 -1.9 101
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.4 19 B+ -4.4 35
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.91 27
Second Chance A- 24.3% 17 A 0.83 6 A 0.20 5
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.3% 274
Other Turnovers D+ 6.4% 296
Turnovers D 14.7% 300
Freethrows A 0.20 2 B- 70% 61 A+ 0.14 2
Total Defense B+ +6.3 38

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A 36% 8 C+ 12.5% 104
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 145 C 4.5% 192
Three Pointers B+ 78% 37 C- 0.6% 221
Total B+ 46% 25 C 5.8% 159

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 32 19.1 357
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 55 0.10 14
Consistency 0.10 13 0.12 121
Improvement -1.9 289 -2.5 302



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 171 Central Arkansas W 94 - 54 94% +24  98% 1 - 0 A+ +37 A- +10 B A+ A- A+ +24 A+ C A+
 Fri, Nov 7 21 Kansas W 87 - 74 53% +2  42% 2 - 0 A+ +27 A+ +21 A+ D+ C B+ +6 C B- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 253 Radford W 89 - 74 97% +11  85% 3 - 0 B- +7 D+ -4 D- C+ A A- +9 A+ A- F+
 Fri, Nov 14 348 NC Central W 97 - 53 99% +20  99% 4 - 0 A+ +27 A +12 C+ A+ A- A+ +15 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 162 Navy W 73 - 61 94% +10  99% 5 - 0 B +9 D+ -2 B F+ C- A+ +12 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 129 St. Bonaventure W 85 - 70 88% +8  89% 6 - 0 A- +17 B +7 B+ A D+ A +10 A A- F
 Thu, Nov 27 9 Michigan St. L 58 - 74 30% -4  21% 6 - 1 C+ +4 C +2 C- C+ A- C +0 C B C
 Tue, Dec 2 26 @Kentucky W 67 - 64 35% -2  21% 7 - 1 A +22 B +7 D+ A+ D+ A+ +15 A+ A+ C-
 Sun, Dec 7 74 Georgetown W 81 - 61 81% +7  83% 8 - 1 A+ +25 B +7 A D+ A A+ +18 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 304 South Carolina Upstate W 80 - 62 98% +8  86% 9 - 1 B- +6 B+ +9 B+ C A+ C -1 B- C F
 Tue, Dec 16 164 East Tennessee St. W 77 - 58 94% +10  78% 10 - 1 A- +16 A- +12 B+ A A+ A- +7 A+ B- F
 Sat, Dec 20 25 Ohio St. W 71 - 70 45% +4  80% 11 - 1 A- +17 B +7 B- A- A+ A +10 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 232 East Carolina W 99 - 51 97% +24  96% 12 - 1 A+ +41 A +13 A+ B+ C+ A+ +24 A+ A+ A
 Tue, Dec 30 64 Florida St. W 79 - 66 79% +7  86% 13 - 1 1 - 0 A +19 B- +5 C- B+ A+ A+ +14 A+ C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 45 @SMU L 83 - 97 48% -5  10% 13 - 2 1 - 1 C +1 A +13 A+ D- A- F -11 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 71 Wake Forest W 87 - 84 81% +8  97% 14 - 2 2 - 1 B +9 A- +11 A A+ C- C- -2 D- B- A-
 Wed, Jan 14 61 @Stanford L 90 - 95 59% +5  95% 14 - 3 2 - 2 B- +7 A+ +16 A+ A A- F+ -9 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 77 @California L 78 - 84 64% -11  0% 14 - 4 2 - 3 B- +5 B+ +8 A- C B- C- -3 B- F A-
 Wed, Jan 21 92 Notre Dame W 91 - 69 86% +14  97% 15 - 4 3 - 3 A+ +25 A+ +17 A+ A+ A- A- +8 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 18 @Virginia W 85 - 80 28% -4  18% 16 - 4 4 - 3 A+ +26 A+ +22 A+ C- A+ B +4 A C- B-
 Sat, Jan 31 143 @Georgia Tech W 91 - 75 84% +12  96% 17 - 4 5 - 3 A +20 A+ +17 C+ A A+ B- +3 B C D+
 Mon, Feb 2 84 Syracuse W 87 - 77 84% +14  95% 18 - 4 6 - 3 B+ +14 A- +10 A+ C B+ B- +3 C A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 3 Duke W 71 - 68 23% -6  0% 19 - 4 7 - 3 A+ +25 A +14 A+ D+ A+ A+ +12 A+ C- D-
 Tue, Feb 10 32 @Miami (FL) L 66 - 75 39% -4  0% 19 - 5 7 - 4 B +9 C- -1 D+ C A- A +9 B+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 94 Pittsburgh W 79 - 65 87% +13  97% 20 - 5 8 - 4 A- +17 A- +10 A F+ A+ A- +8 D+ A+ B
 Tue, Feb 17 37 @North Carolina St. L 58 - 82 43% -13  1% 20 - 6 8 - 5 D+ -7 D- -7 F C+ B- C- -3 A- F F
 Sat, Feb 21 84 @Syracuse W 77 - 64 68% +4  74% 21 - 6 9 - 5 A +23 B+ +8 A+ F A- A+ +15 A+ A C-
 Mon, Feb 23 20 Louisville W 77 - 74 50% +3  60% 22 - 6 10 - 5 A- +18 A- +12 A+ A+ A B+ +6 A+ B- C-
 Sat, Feb 28 57 Virginia Tech W 89 - 82 77% +3  76% 23 - 6 11 - 5 B+ +14 A+ +17 A+ A- C- D+ -3 D A+ D
 Tue, Mar 3 41 Clemson W 67 - 63 67% +1  65% 24 - 6 12 - 5 B+ +14 C+ +3 B D- A A+ +12 B+ A+ B-
 Sat, Mar 7 3 @Duke L 61 - 76 11% -10  5% 24 - 7 12 - 6 B+ +13 B- +5 A+ D+ D- A- +7 A- A+ D-
 Thu, Mar 12 41 Clemson L 79 - 80 56% -6  19% 24 - 8 B+ +12 A +13 A- A+ A C -1 D+ A+ D-
 Thu, Mar 19 47 Virginia Commonwealth L 78 - 82 OT 60% +7  77% 24 - 9 B- +8 C +1 C- C A+ A- +7 C+ A+ D+
Totals 24 - 9 12 - 6 +15 B+ +8 C- B+ B- B+ +6 B D C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B+ B B B+ 40% 29% 42% B- B+ B- B B A- B D C+ B+ A B C B+ 34% 29% 37% A- B+ A- A A D A B- A+
1.21 66% 42% 37% +6 +1 1.15 33% 1.1 .37 13% .34 69% .23 1.00 49% 35% 34% -4 -1 0.91 24% 0.8 .20 15% .20 70% .24
Nov
3		 Central Arkansas A- A+ F C- B 48% 12% 40% B B A- A+ A+ A- A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ 24% 29% 47% A+ A+ B F+ C A+ A+ B A+
1.25 80% 0% 33% +6 +2 1.17 38% 1.5 .56 16% .35 82% .28 0.72 38% 13% 31% -14 -2 0.69 23% 1.2 .28 23% .15 67% .10
Nov
7		 Kansas A+ A+ A+ B A+ 42% 16% 42% A- A+ A+ F D+ C B+ D B B+ C- B+ F D+ 22% 34% 44% A+ C A+ F B- A+ B A+ A
1.23 74% 67% 35% +12 +1 1.27 44% 0.4 .17 16% .29 65% .18 1.05 64% 29% 45% +6 -3 1.08 23% 1.4 .33 20% .27 67% .18
Nov
11		 Radford D+ B- F D+ D- 37% 17% 46% C- D- B+ D- C+ A A+ F A+ A- B- A+ A+ A+ 28% 25% 47% A A+ C+ A+ A- F+ F A+ C
1.09 63% 11% 33% -3 0 0.96 38% 0.9 .36 13% .70 63% .44 0.91 53% 27% 25% -11 -1 0.78 27% 0.7 .20 13% .44 61% .27
Nov
14		 NC Central A A B- C+ C+ 33% 15% 52% C C+ B A+ A+ A- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 31% 28% 41% B+ A+ B- A+ A+ F D+ B+ C+
1.38 75% 43% 36% +8 0 1.19 43% 1.5 .64 14% .58 74% .43 0.76 24% 20% 32% -17 -1 0.65 26% 0.5 .13 13% .33 70% .23
Nov
18		 Navy D+ F A+ A+ C 53% 6% 40% A+ B D F F+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 42% 28% 30% C+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F A F B+
1.04 44% 67% 42% -1 +3 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .39 77% .30 0.87 40% 18% 33% -14 -1 0.73 27% 0.6 .16 9% .25 81% .20
Nov
25		 St. Bonaventure B C+ D A+ A- 43% 20% 37% C+ B+ B A+ A D+ A+ B- A+ A A+ B F A 43% 28% 28% C A A+ C A- F A+ A+ A+
1.19 60% 33% 47% +7 +1 1.17 33% 1.3 .43 18% .46 78% .36 0.98 42% 35% 41% -5 -1 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 13% .13 63% .08
Nov
27		 Michigan St. C A F F D 43% 11% 46% A+ C- A+ F C+ A- A C- A- C A+ F F C- 45% 37% 18% B+ C C B+ B C A+ C- A+
0.96 65% 20% 19% -9 +2 0.87 32% 0.5 .16 13% .32 71% .23 1.22 48% 53% 56% +7 -2 1.12 40% 1.0 .40 16% .18 78% .14
Dec
2		 Kentucky B D B+ F D+ 31% 36% 33% D D+ A+ A+ A+ D+ C F D A+ F B+ A+ A+ 45% 28% 28% B- A+ A A+ A+ C- D- D F+
1.05 50% 44% 20% -7 -2 0.82 48% 1.1 .52 19% .29 60% .17 1.00 76% 31% 8% -5 0 0.91 28% 0.6 .17 14% .40 77% .31
Dec
7		 Georgetown B B- A+ C A+ 22% 28% 50% D A F+ A- D+ A A- F+ B- A+ A A+ A+ A+ 37% 32% 31% A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C A+
1.14 58% 67% 33% +8 -2 1.13 22% 1.1 .25 13% .34 67% .22 0.86 48% 20% 21% -16 -2 0.68 22% 0.9 .20 6% .18 75% .13
Dec
13		 South Carolina Upstate B+ C D+ A+ B+ 46% 12% 42% B B+ F+ A+ C A+ A F B C A- B D- C- 19% 39% 42% A+ B- C+ D+ C F A+ B- A+
1.25 57% 33% 43% +4 +2 1.14 23% 1.6 .37 9% .38 64% .24 0.97 45% 32% 38% -3 -4 0.89 27% 1.0 .27 11% .05 67% .04
Dec
16		 East Tennessee St. A- A+ C- C- B+ 39% 7% 55% B B+ C- A+ A A+ A+ F A- A- B A+ B+ A+ 28% 26% 46% A+ A+ A+ F B- F B- B+ B
1.27 76% 33% 33% +6 +2 1.18 29% 1.4 .42 12% .43 65% .28 0.95 54% 25% 29% -8 -1 0.83 18% 1.5 .26 12% .30 69% .20
Dec
20		 Ohio St. B C+ C D+ C+ 36% 15% 49% A B- B A A- A+ F+ F F A A+ F A+ A 24% 45% 31% A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F B F C
1.10 58% 38% 31% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.2 .37 11% .23 54% .12 1.08 50% 55% 27% +2 -4 0.98 33% 0.5 .18 9% .32 84% .27
Dec
22		 East Carolina A B- A+ A+ A+ 41% 16% 43% B+ A+ A D B+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 39% 33% 28% B A+ D A+ A+ A A- A- A
1.30 62% 50% 50% +14 +1 1.31 41% 1.1 .43 16% .47 63% .30 0.67 45% 16% 13% -21 -2 0.56 38% 0.4 .15 22% .29 65% .19
Dec
30		 Florida St. B- B+ C F D+ 37% 15% 48% B+ C- A- B- B+ A+ B+ C B A+ A+ D+ A A+ 26% 13% 61% B+ A+ B+ D C+ C- A A+ A+
1.14 65% 38% 27% -3 +1 0.98 39% 0.9 .37 11% .32 70% .23 0.95 36% 43% 27% -11 0 0.80 28% 1.3 .35 13% .23 57% .13
Jan
3		 SMU A A- B A+ A+ 29% 20% 51% C+ A+ C- F D- A- B+ D+ B F F F F F 35% 16% 49% D F A+ C+ A+ F B- B+ B
1.20 67% 40% 46% +12 -1 1.25 28% 0.7 .19 14% .32 68% .22 1.40 79% 56% 52% +23 0 1.49 22% 1.0 .22 10% .26 69% .18
Jan
10		 Wake Forest A- A+ F C- A 40% 11% 49% B+ A A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F A+ C- C- F D- F+ 29% 15% 56% C+ D- C+ B B- A- A+ B+ A+
1.22 78% 20% 32% +4 +1 1.13 43% 1.6 .70 20% .52 67% .35 1.18 63% 63% 39% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 18% .19 73% .14
Jan
14		 Stanford A+ B A+ C A+ 42% 28% 30% C- A+ C A+ A A- A+ F A F+ C F F F 38% 11% 51% B- F A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ A C+
1.23 62% 64% 33% +9 -1 1.18 28% 1.6 .45 15% .52 63% .32 1.30 57% 67% 57% +20 +1 1.45 7% 0.0 .00 11% .35 65% .23
Jan
17		 California B+ A+ F+ C+ A 31% 20% 49% D+ A- C C C B- A+ D- A+ C- A+ C+ F C 25% 31% 43% A B- B- F F A- B+ B- B+
1.11 73% 30% 33% +3 -1 1.06 28% 1.0 .28 16% .47 61% .29 1.19 46% 38% 45% +4 -2 1.06 25% 2.3 .56 18% .28 75% .21
Jan
21		 Notre Dame A+ A- A+ A- A+ 34% 8% 58% A A+ A- A+ A+ A- A D- B A- A+ C+ C+ A+ 22% 37% 41% A+ A+ C- A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+
1.32 67% 50% 39% +8 +1 1.21 32% 1.7 .55 12% .38 70% .26 1.00 38% 36% 33% -5 -3 0.85 35% 0.7 .25 7% .20 54% .11
Jan
24		 Virginia A+ B+ B A+ A+ 27% 35% 38% D- A+ D+ C+ C- A+ A F B B F+ A+ A+ A 37% 20% 43% B+ A D- B- C- B- D- B D+
1.25 60% 42% 48% +10 -3 1.16 22% 0.9 .19 6% .34 68% .23 1.18 68% 30% 27% -2 0 0.98 44% 1.1 .47 16% .35 70% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Georgia Tech A+ A D+ F C+ 37% 23% 40% C+ C+ B- A+ A A+ F A+ F+ B- A- B+ F C+ 44% 40% 16% A B A- F C D+ C+ F C-
1.27 67% 33% 27% -2 0 0.97 33% 1.4 .47 3% .17 92% .16 1.04 50% 30% 63% 0 -2 0.98 26% 1.3 .35 17% .28 82% .23
Feb
2		 Syracuse A- B D A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% D- A+ B+ F C B+ A+ C- A+ B- F D- C- D 28% 41% 31% A+ C B A+ A+ D+ B- C- C+
1.20 61% 29% 53% +8 -1 1.15 38% 0.9 .34 15% .57 71% .41 1.06 73% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 28% 0.5 .15 14% .30 68% .21
Feb
7		 Duke A B A+ A A+ 23% 43% 34% F A+ F A D+ A+ B A A- A+ A A+ B A+ 49% 21% 30% A A+ A+ F C- D- A+ F A+
1.11 58% 48% 39% +7 -4 1.08 13% 1.0 .13 11% .25 79% .19 1.07 50% 27% 31% -7 +1 0.89 31% 1.7 .53 13% .11 83% .09
Feb
10		 Miami (FL) C- C- F+ D+ D+ 32% 25% 44% C D+ C C C A- F A D- A D- A- B+ B 44% 37% 19% A+ B+ A A+ A+ F D A C+
0.95 56% 29% 32% -4 -1 0.91 24% 1.0 .24 16% .17 80% .14 1.08 70% 32% 30% +2 -2 1.02 32% 0.8 .24 12% .37 61% .23
Feb
14		 Pittsburgh A- A+ C- A- A 38% 20% 42% C A D- F F+ A+ C+ B+ B A- C+ C+ F D+ 49% 16% 35% D D+ A+ A A+ B A+ F A+
1.21 71% 36% 39% +8 0 1.18 19% 0.7 .13 6% .28 82% .23 0.99 58% 38% 41% +4 +1 1.12 22% 0.8 .19 18% .15 75% .11
Feb
17		 North Carolina St. D- B- F F F 33% 9% 59% B- F A+ F C+ B- A+ B- A C- A+ F F A- 49% 18% 33% C A- D F F F A- A A
0.90 60% 0% 19% -16 +1 0.72 40% 0.7 .28 19% .40 71% .29 1.28 41% 50% 44% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.4 .49 6% .27 69% .18
Feb
21		 Syracuse B+ A+ C C A+ 44% 25% 31% C- A+ D F F A- A+ F A- A+ B- C A+ A+ 40% 29% 31% A- A+ A A A C- B+ D+ B
1.13 81% 33% 33% +9 0 1.19 26% 0.8 .21 15% .48 54% .26 0.94 57% 40% 19% -7 -1 0.87 24% 0.9 .21 15% .28 69% .19
Feb
23		 Louisville A- A+ A D A+ 42% 18% 40% A A+ C- A+ A+ A B+ F D B+ A A+ C- A+ 33% 13% 55% B+ A+ D- A+ B- C- A+ B A+
1.16 71% 44% 30% +4 +1 1.12 22% 1.9 .41 14% .33 47% .16 1.11 50% 29% 37% -2 +1 1.00 39% 0.8 .32 15% .19 73% .14
Feb
28		 Virginia Tech A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 19% 37% B A+ A C A- C- A+ B A+ D+ C- F F F+ 33% 31% 36% A D A+ A+ A+ D A+ F A-
1.29 74% 50% 44% +15 +1 1.33 41% 1.0 .41 19% .53 77% .41 1.18 63% 50% 43% +10 -2 1.19 21% 0.3 .07 13% .18 100% .18
Mar
3		 Clemson C+ F F A+ B 35% 20% 45% B- B C F D- A C- C- C- A+ C- B- D+ C+ 29% 36% 35% A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A- A+
1.02 39% 20% 48% -1 0 1.00 24% 0.6 .13 14% .27 73% .19 0.96 63% 40% 37% +3 -3 1.04 20% 0.3 .06 15% .11 67% .07
Mar
7		 Duke B- A+ F A A+ 33% 20% 47% B- A+ D C D+ D- F A+ F A- A- A D+ A 46% 6% 48% C- A- C- A+ A+ D- A A+ A+
0.94 69% 20% 39% +3 0 1.08 17% 0.8 .14 22% .08 100% .08 1.17 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.06 43% 0.8 .33 12% .26 53% .14
Mar
12		 Clemson A F+ A+ C+ B+ 37% 9% 54% A A- B+ A+ A+ A C+ F D- C A+ F F D- 31% 33% 37% A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ D- D+ C- D+
1.14 45% 80% 34% -1 +1 1.04 30% 1.5 .43 14% .29 59% .17 1.16 44% 59% 47% +10 -2 1.17 10% 0.7 .07 10% .37 74% .27
Mar
19		 Virginia Commonwealth C D A- F+ C- 40% 18% 42% C C- D+ A- C A+ C+ F C- A- B+ D+ F+ C+ 46% 14% 40% C C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ A+
1.02 50% 45% 28% -6 0 0.92 26% 1.1 .28 10% .29 60% .18 1.07 52% 44% 40% +2 +1 1.08 18% 0.7 .13 13% .24 69% .17