North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +15.1 31
INCC Stats Results Rating +16.8 22
Consistency 0.14 79
Pace 69.5 146
Improvement -4.4 327

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 34 B+ B A- C+ B-
Defense B 36 B+ A D A+ A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 126 B+ 66% 30 +4.4 41
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 280 B 42% 65 -0.6 218
Three Pointers 42% 151 B 37% 52 +2.7 91
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 103 B+ +5.7 26
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.15 25
Second Chance B- 33.5% 90 B 1.11 66 B 0.37 61
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.5% 21
Other Turnovers A- 5.4% 14
Turnovers A- 12.9% 14
Freethrows B 0.34 56 D 69% 309 C+ 0.23 126
Total Offense A- +8.6 34

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 58% 37 B- 9.1% 76
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 69 B 3.3% 59
Three Pointers B- 87% 122 B+ 0.2% 28
Total B+ 64% 40 B 4.3% 44


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 309 A 49% 15 -6.0 23
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 13 B 35% 51 +2.1 329
Three Pointers 37% 283 C 34% 169 -1.9 101
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.4 19 B+ -4.4 33
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.90 27
Second Chance A- 24.2% 18 A 0.83 6 A 0.20 5
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.3% 273
Other Turnovers D+ 6.4% 296
Turnovers D 14.7% 303
Freethrows A 0.20 2 B- 70% 71 A+ 0.14 2
Total Defense B +6.5 36

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A 36% 8 C+ 12.5% 108
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 150 C 4.6% 187
Three Pointers B 78% 37 C- 0.6% 220
Total B+ 46% 24 C 5.7% 161

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 32 19.1 357
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 56 0.10 15
Consistency 0.10 21 0.11 85
Improvement -2.0 295 -2.4 301



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 3 169 Central Arkansas W 94 - 54 95% +24  98% 1 - 0 A+ +37 B+ +10 B A+ A- A+ +24 A+ C A+
Fri, Nov 7 21 Kansas W 87 - 74 52% +2  42% 2 - 0 A+ +28 A+ +21 A+ D+ C A +7 C B- A+
Tue, Nov 11 259 Radford W 89 - 74 98% +11  85% 3 - 0 B- +6 D -4 D- C+ A A +8 A+ A- F+
Fri, Nov 14 348 NC Central W 97 - 53 99% +20  99% 4 - 0 A+ +26 A+ +11 C+ A+ A- A+ +15 A+ A+ F
Tue, Nov 18 164 Navy W 73 - 61 94% +10  99% 5 - 0 B +9 D+ -2 B D- C- A +11 A+ A+ F
Tue, Nov 25 132 St. Bonaventure W 85 - 70 88% +8  89% 6 - 0 A- +17 B+ +7 B+ A D+ A +10 A A- F
Thu, Nov 27 10 Michigan St. L 58 - 74 30% -4  21% 6 - 1 C+ +5 B- +2 C- C+ A- D+ +0 C B- C
Tue, Dec 2 26 Kentucky W 67 - 64 35% -2  21% 7 - 1 A +22 B+ +7 D+ A+ D+ A+ +15 A+ A+ C-
Sun, Dec 7 68 Georgetown W 81 - 61 80% +7  83% 8 - 1 A+ +26 B- +7 A D+ A A+ +18 A+ A+ F
Sat, Dec 13 303 SC Upstate W 80 - 62 99% +8  86% 9 - 1 B- +6 A- +9 B+ C A+ C+ -2 B- C F
Tue, Dec 16 172 East Tennessee St. W 77 - 58 95% +10  78% 10 - 1 A- +16 A +11 B+ A A+ A +7 A+ B- F
Sat, Dec 20 25 Ohio St. W 71 - 70 44% +4  80% 11 - 1 A- +18 B +7 B- A- A+ A +10 A+ A+ F
Mon, Dec 22 234 East Carolina W 99 - 51 97% +24  96% 12 - 1 A+ +40 A+ +13 A+ B+ C+ A+ +24 A+ A+ A
Tue, Dec 30 66 Florida St. W 79 - 66 79% +7  86% 13 - 1 1 - 0 A +19 C+ +5 C- B+ A+ A+ +14 A+ C+ C-
Sat, Jan 3 45 SMU L 83 - 97 48% -5  10% 13 - 2 1 - 1 C +2 A+ +13 A+ D- A- F -11 F A+ F
Sat, Jan 10 71 Wake Forest W 87 - 84 81% +8  97% 14 - 2 2 - 1 B +9 A +11 A A+ C- D+ -2 D- B- A-
Wed, Jan 14 61 Stanford L 90 - 95 59% +5  95% 14 - 3 2 - 2 B- +8 A+ +16 A+ A A- F -8 F A+ F+
Sat, Jan 17 78 California L 78 - 84 64% -11  0% 14 - 4 2 - 3 B- +5 B +8 A- C B- D+ -3 B- F A-
Wed, Jan 21 91 Notre Dame W 91 - 69 87% +14  97% 15 - 4 3 - 3 A+ +25 A+ +17 A+ A+ A- A- +8 A+ B+ F
Sat, Jan 24 18 Virginia W 85 - 80 27% -4  18% 16 - 4 4 - 3 A+ +26 A+ +22 A+ C- A+ B +4 A C- B-
Sat, Jan 31 143 Georgia Tech W 91 - 75 85% +12  96% 17 - 4 5 - 3 A +20 A+ +17 C+ A A+ B +3 B C D+
Mon, Feb 2 84 Syracuse W 87 - 77 85% +14  95% 18 - 4 6 - 3 B+ +14 A +10 A+ C B+ B +4 C A+ D+
Sat, Feb 7 3 Duke W 71 - 68 23% -6  0% 19 - 4 7 - 3 A+ +26 A +13 A+ D+ A+ A +13 A+ C- D-
Tue, Feb 10 32 Miami (FL) L 66 - 75 39% -4  0% 19 - 5 7 - 4 B +9 C- -1 D+ C B+ A +10 B+ A+ F
Sat, Feb 14 93 Pittsburgh W 79 - 65 87% +13  97% 20 - 5 8 - 4 A- +17 A- +10 A F+ A+ A +8 D+ A+ B
Tue, Feb 17 39 North Carolina St. L 58 - 82 43% -13  1% 20 - 6 8 - 5 D+ -7 D -7 F C+ B- D+ -2 A- F F
Sat, Feb 21 84 Syracuse W 77 - 64 68% +4  74% 21 - 6 9 - 5 A +23 A- +8 A+ F A- A+ +15 A+ A C-
Mon, Feb 23 20 Louisville W 77 - 74 50% +3  60% 22 - 6 10 - 5 A- +18 A- +12 A+ A+ A A- +6 A+ B- C-
Sat, Feb 28 57 Virginia Tech W 89 - 82 77% +3  76% 23 - 6 11 - 5 B+ +14 A+ +18 A+ A- C- D+ -3 D A+ D
Tue, Mar 3 41 Clemson W 67 - 63 67% +1  65% 24 - 6 12 - 5 B+ +15 C+ +3 B D- A A+ +12 B+ A+ B-
Sat, Mar 7 3 Duke L 61 - 76 11% -10  5% 24 - 7 12 - 6 B+ +14 C+ +4 A+ D+ D- B+ +8 A- A+ D-
Thu, Mar 12 41 Clemson L 79 - 80 56% -6  19% 24 - 8 B+ +13 A +13 A- A+ A C -1 D+ A+ D-
Thu, Mar 19 49 VCU L 78 - 82 OT 61% +7  77% 24 - 9 B- +8 C- +1 C- C A+ A- +7 C+ A+ D+
Totals 24 - 9 12 - 6 +15 A- +9 C B+ B- B +6 B D C+


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B+ B B B+ 40% 29% 42% B- B+ B- B B A- B D C+ B A B C B+ 34% 29% 37% A- B+ A- A A D A B- A+
1.21 66% 42% 37% +6 +1 1.15 33% 1.1 .37 13% .34 69% .23 1.01 49% 35% 34% -4 -1 0.90 24% 0.8 .20 15% .20 70% .24
Nov
3		 C. Arkansas B+ A+ F C- B 48% 12% 40% B B A- A+ A+ A- A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ 24% 29% 47% A+ A+ B F+ C A+ A+ B A+
1.25 80% 0% 33% +6 +2 1.17 38% 1.5 .56 16% .35 82% .28 0.72 38% 13% 31% -14 -2 0.69 23% 1.2 .28 23% .15 67% .10
Nov
7		 Kansas A+ A+ A+ B A+ 42% 16% 42% A- A+ A+ F D+ C B+ D B A C- B+ F D+ 22% 34% 44% A+ C A+ F B- A+ B A+ A
1.23 74% 67% 35% +12 +1 1.27 44% 0.4 .17 16% .29 65% .18 1.05 64% 29% 45% +6 -3 1.08 23% 1.4 .33 20% .27 67% .18
Nov
11		 Radford D B- F D+ D- 37% 17% 46% C- D- B+ D- C+ A A+ F A+ A B- A+ A+ A+ 28% 25% 47% A A+ C+ A+ A- F+ F A+ C-
1.09 63% 11% 33% -3 0 0.96 38% 0.9 .36 13% .70 63% .44 0.91 53% 27% 25% -11 -1 0.78 27% 0.7 .20 13% .44 61% .27
Nov
14		 NC Central A+ A B- C+ C+ 33% 15% 52% C- C+ B A+ A+ A- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 31% 28% 41% B+ A+ B- A+ A+ F D+ B C
1.38 75% 43% 36% +8 0 1.19 43% 1.5 .64 14% .58 74% .43 0.76 24% 20% 32% -17 -1 0.65 26% 0.5 .13 13% .33 70% .23
Nov
18		 Navy D+ F A+ A+ C 53% 6% 40% A+ B D F D- C- A+ C+ A+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ 42% 28% 30% C+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F A F B
1.04 44% 67% 42% -1 +3 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .39 77% .30 0.87 40% 18% 33% -14 -1 0.73 27% 0.6 .16 9% .25 81% .20
Nov
25		 St. Bon B+ C+ D A+ A- 43% 20% 37% C+ B+ B A+ A D+ A+ B- A+ A A+ B F A 43% 28% 28% C A A+ C A- F A+ A+ A+
1.19 60% 33% 47% +7 +1 1.17 33% 1.3 .43 18% .46 78% .36 0.98 42% 35% 41% -5 -1 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 13% .13 63% .08
Nov
27		 Mich St. B- A F F D 43% 11% 46% A+ C- A+ F C+ A- A C A- D+ A+ F F C- 45% 37% 18% A- C C B B- C A+ C- A+
0.96 65% 20% 19% -9 +2 0.87 32% 0.5 .16 13% .32 71% .23 1.22 48% 53% 56% +7 -2 1.12 40% 1.0 .40 16% .18 78% .14
Dec
2		 Kentucky B+ D B+ F D+ 31% 36% 33% D D+ A+ A+ A+ D+ C F D A+ F B+ A+ A+ 45% 28% 28% B- A+ A A+ A+ C- F+ D F
1.05 50% 44% 20% -7 -2 0.82 48% 1.1 .52 19% .29 60% .17 1.00 76% 31% 8% -5 0 0.91 28% 0.6 .17 14% .40 77% .31
Dec
7		 Georgetown B- B- A+ C A+ 22% 28% 50% D A F+ A- D+ A A- F+ B- A+ A A+ A+ A+ 37% 32% 31% A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C A+
1.14 58% 67% 33% +8 -2 1.13 22% 1.1 .25 13% .34 67% .22 0.86 48% 20% 21% -16 -2 0.68 22% 0.9 .20 6% .18 75% .13
Dec
13		 SC Upstate A- C D+ A+ B+ 46% 12% 42% B B+ F+ A+ C A+ A F B- C+ A- B D- C- 19% 39% 42% A+ B- B- D+ C F A+ B- A+
1.25 57% 33% 43% +4 +2 1.14 23% 1.6 .37 9% .38 64% .24 0.97 45% 32% 38% -3 -4 0.89 27% 1.0 .27 11% .05 67% .04
Dec
16		 ETSU A A+ D+ C- B+ 39% 7% 55% B+ B+ C- A+ A A+ A+ F A- A B A+ B+ A+ 28% 26% 46% A+ A+ A+ F B- F B- B+ B
1.27 76% 33% 33% +6 +2 1.18 29% 1.4 .42 12% .43 65% .28 0.95 54% 25% 29% -8 -1 0.83 18% 1.5 .26 12% .30 69% .20
Dec
20		 Ohio St. B C+ C D+ C+ 36% 15% 49% A B- B A A- A+ F+ F F A A+ F A+ A 24% 45% 31% A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F B F C
1.10 58% 38% 31% -2 +1 0.98 32% 1.2 .37 11% .23 54% .12 1.08 50% 55% 27% +2 -4 0.98 33% 0.5 .18 9% .32 84% .27
Dec
22		 E. Carolina A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 41% 16% 43% B+ A+ A D B+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 39% 33% 28% B A+ D A+ A+ A A- A- A-
1.30 62% 50% 50% +14 +1 1.31 41% 1.1 .43 16% .47 63% .30 0.67 45% 16% 13% -21 -2 0.56 38% 0.4 .15 22% .29 65% .19
Dec
30		 FL St. C+ B+ C F D+ 37% 15% 48% B+ C- A- B- B+ A+ B+ C B A+ A+ D+ A A+ 26% 13% 61% B+ A+ B+ D C+ C- A A+ A+
1.14 65% 38% 27% -3 +1 0.98 39% 0.9 .37 11% .32 70% .23 0.95 36% 43% 27% -11 0 0.80 28% 1.3 .35 13% .23 57% .13
Jan
3		 SMU A+ A- B A+ A+ 29% 20% 51% C+ A+ C- F D- A- B+ D+ B F F F F F 35% 16% 49% D F A+ C+ A+ F B- B+ B
1.20 67% 40% 46% +12 -1 1.25 28% 0.7 .19 14% .32 68% .22 1.40 79% 56% 52% +23 0 1.49 22% 1.0 .22 10% .26 69% .18
Jan
10		 Wake Forest A A+ F C- A 40% 11% 49% B+ A A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F A+ D+ C- F D- F+ 29% 15% 56% C+ D- C+ B B- A- A+ B+ A+
1.22 78% 20% 32% +4 +1 1.13 43% 1.6 .70 20% .52 67% .35 1.18 63% 63% 39% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 18% .19 73% .14
Jan
14		 Stanford A+ B A+ C+ A+ 42% 28% 30% C- A+ C A+ A A- A+ F A F C F F F 38% 11% 51% B- F A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ A C
1.23 62% 64% 33% +9 -1 1.18 28% 1.6 .45 15% .52 63% .32 1.30 57% 67% 57% +20 +1 1.45 7% 0.0 .00 11% .35 65% .23
Jan
17		 California B A+ F+ C+ A 31% 20% 49% D+ A- C C C B- A+ D- A+ D+ A+ C+ F C 25% 31% 43% A B- B- F F A- B+ B- B+
1.11 73% 30% 33% +3 -1 1.06 28% 1.0 .28 16% .47 61% .29 1.19 46% 38% 45% +4 -2 1.06 25% 2.3 .56 18% .28 75% .21
Jan
21		 Notre Dame A+ A- A+ A- A+ 34% 8% 58% A A+ A- A+ A+ A- A D- B+ A- A+ C+ C+ A+ 22% 37% 41% A+ A+ C- A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+
1.32 67% 50% 39% +8 +1 1.21 32% 1.7 .55 12% .38 70% .26 1.00 38% 36% 33% -5 -3 0.85 35% 0.7 .25 7% .20 54% .11
Jan
24		 Virginia A+ B+ B A+ A+ 27% 35% 38% D- A+ D+ C+ C- A+ A F B B F+ A+ A+ A 37% 20% 43% B+ A D- B- C- B- D- B D+
1.25 60% 42% 48% +10 -3 1.16 22% 0.9 .19 6% .34 68% .23 1.18 68% 30% 27% -2 0 0.98 44% 1.1 .47 16% .35 70% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 GA Tech A+ A D+ F C+ 37% 23% 40% C+ C+ B- A+ A A+ F A+ F+ B A- B+ F C+ 44% 40% 16% A B A- F C D+ C+ F D+
1.27 67% 33% 27% -2 0 0.97 33% 1.4 .47 3% .17 92% .16 1.04 50% 30% 63% 0 -2 0.98 26% 1.3 .35 17% .28 82% .23
Feb
2		 Syracuse A B D A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% D- A+ B+ F C B+ A+ C- A+ B F D- C- D 28% 41% 31% A+ C B+ A+ A+ D+ B- C- C+
1.20 61% 29% 53% +8 -1 1.15 38% 0.9 .34 15% .57 71% .41 1.06 73% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 28% 0.5 .15 14% .30 68% .21
Feb
7		 Duke A B A+ A A+ 23% 43% 34% F A+ F A D+ A+ B+ A A- A A A+ B A+ 49% 21% 30% A- A+ A+ F C- D- A+ F A+
1.11 58% 48% 39% +7 -4 1.08 13% 1.0 .13 11% .25 79% .19 1.07 50% 27% 31% -7 +1 0.89 31% 1.7 .53 13% .11 83% .09
Feb
10		 Miami FL C- C- F+ D+ D+ 32% 25% 44% C D+ C C C B+ F A D- A D- A- B+ B 44% 37% 19% A+ B+ A A+ A+ F D A C+
0.95 56% 29% 32% -4 -1 0.91 24% 1.0 .24 16% .17 80% .14 1.08 70% 32% 30% +2 -2 1.02 32% 0.8 .24 12% .37 61% .23
Feb
14		 Pitt A- A+ C- A- A 38% 20% 42% C A D- F F+ A+ C+ B+ B A C+ C+ F D+ 49% 16% 35% D D+ A+ A A+ B A+ F A+
1.21 71% 36% 39% +8 0 1.18 19% 0.7 .13 6% .28 82% .23 0.99 58% 38% 41% +4 +1 1.12 22% 0.8 .19 18% .15 75% .11
Feb
17		 NC St. D B- F F F 33% 9% 59% B- F A+ F C+ B- A+ B- A D+ A+ F F A- 49% 18% 33% C A- D F F F A- A A
0.90 60% 0% 19% -16 +1 0.72 40% 0.7 .28 19% .40 71% .29 1.28 41% 50% 44% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.4 .49 6% .27 69% .18
Feb
21		 Syracuse A- A+ C C A+ 44% 25% 31% C- A+ D F F A- A+ F A- A+ B- C A+ A+ 40% 29% 31% A- A+ A A A C- B+ D+ B
1.13 81% 33% 33% +9 0 1.19 26% 0.8 .21 15% .48 54% .26 0.94 57% 40% 19% -7 -1 0.87 24% 0.9 .21 15% .28 69% .19
Feb
23		 Louisville A- A+ A D A+ 42% 18% 40% A A+ C- A+ A+ A B+ F D A- A A+ C- A+ 33% 13% 55% B+ A+ D A+ B- C- A+ B A+
1.16 71% 44% 30% +4 +1 1.12 22% 1.9 .41 14% .33 47% .16 1.11 50% 29% 37% -2 +1 1.00 39% 0.8 .32 15% .19 73% .14
Feb
28		 VA Tech A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 19% 37% B A+ A C A- C- A+ B A+ D+ C- F F F+ 33% 31% 36% A D A+ A+ A+ D A+ F A-
1.29 74% 50% 44% +15 +1 1.33 41% 1.0 .41 19% .53 77% .41 1.18 63% 50% 43% +10 -2 1.19 21% 0.3 .07 13% .18 100% .18
Mar
3		 Clemson C+ F F A+ B 35% 20% 45% B- B C F D- A C- C- C- A+ C- B- D+ C+ 29% 36% 35% A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A- A+
1.02 39% 20% 48% -1 0 1.00 24% 0.6 .13 14% .27 73% .19 0.96 63% 40% 37% +3 -3 1.04 20% 0.3 .06 15% .11 67% .07
Mar
7		 Duke C+ A+ F A A+ 33% 20% 47% B- A+ D C D+ D- F A+ F B+ A- A D+ A 46% 6% 48% C- A- C- A+ A+ D- A A+ A+
0.94 69% 20% 39% +3 0 1.08 17% 0.8 .14 22% .08 100% .08 1.17 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.06 43% 0.8 .33 12% .26 53% .14
Mar
12		 Clemson A F+ A+ C+ B+ 37% 9% 54% A A- B+ A+ A+ A C+ F D- C A+ F F D- 31% 33% 37% A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ D- D+ C- D+
1.14 45% 80% 34% -1 +1 1.04 30% 1.5 .43 14% .29 59% .17 1.16 44% 59% 47% +10 -2 1.17 10% 0.7 .07 10% .37 74% .27
Mar
19		 VCU C- D B+ F+ C- 40% 18% 42% C C- D+ A- C A+ C+ F C- A- B+ D+ F+ C+ 46% 14% 40% C C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ A+
1.02 50% 45% 28% -6 0 0.92 26% 1.1 .28 10% .29 60% .18 1.07 52% 44% 40% +2 +1 1.08 18% 0.7 .13 13% .24 69% .17