North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +14.8 29
Results Rating +16.6 23
Consistency 0.14 113
Pace 69.6 142
Improvement -4.3 323

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 32 B+ B A- C+ B-
Defense B+ 37 B+ A D A+ A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 126 B+ 66% 30 +4.4 41
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 282 B 42% 65 -0.6 219
Three Pointers 42% 150 B 37% 51 +2.8 85
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 104 B+ +5.7 27
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.15 26
Second Chance B- 33.4% 90 B- 1.11 68 B 0.37 62
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.4% 23
Other Turnovers A- 5.4% 14
Turnovers A- 12.8% 13
Freethrows B 0.34 55 D 69% 309 C+ 0.24 122
Total Offense B+ +8.5 32

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 58% 35 B- 9.1% 80
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 71 B 3.4% 60
Three Pointers B- 87% 118 B+ 0.2% 25
Total B+ 64% 40 B 4.3% 45


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 308 A- 49% 15 -5.9 22
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 13 B 35% 53 +2.1 330
Three Pointers 37% 283 C 34% 169 -2.0 100
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.4 19 B+ -4.4 33
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.90 27
Second Chance A- 24.3% 18 A 0.84 5 A 0.20 5
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.3% 269
Other Turnovers D+ 6.4% 295
Turnovers D 14.7% 299
Freethrows A 0.20 2 B 70% 56 A+ 0.14 2
Total Defense B+ +6.3 37

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A 36% 8 C+ 12.5% 104
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 155 C 4.5% 192
Three Pointers B+ 78% 36 C- 0.6% 222
Total B+ 46% 24 C 5.8% 158

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 32 19.1 356
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 55 0.10 15
Consistency 0.10 14 0.12 122
Improvement -1.9 285 -2.4 299



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 170 Central Arkansas W 94 - 54 94% +24  98% 1 - 0 A+ +37 A- +10 B A+ A- A+ +24 A+ C A+
 Fri, Nov 7 21 Kansas W 87 - 74 52% +2  42% 2 - 0 A+ +27 A+ +20 A+ D C A- +7 C B- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 252 Radford W 89 - 74 97% +11  85% 3 - 0 B- +7 D+ -4 D- C+ A A- +9 A+ A- F+
 Fri, Nov 14 348 NC Central W 97 - 53 99% +20  99% 4 - 0 A+ +27 A +12 C+ A+ A- A+ +15 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 158 Navy W 73 - 61 94% +10  99% 5 - 0 B +9 D+ -2 B F+ C- A+ +12 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 127 St. Bonaventure W 85 - 70 88% +8  89% 6 - 0 A- +17 B +7 B+ A D+ A +10 A A- F
 Thu, Nov 27 9 Michigan St. L 58 - 74 32% -4  21% 6 - 1 C+ +4 C +1 C- C+ A- C -0 C B C
 Tue, Dec 2 24 @Kentucky W 67 - 64 35% -2  21% 7 - 1 A +22 B +7 D A+ D+ A+ +15 A+ A+ C-
 Sun, Dec 7 74 Georgetown W 81 - 61 82% +7  83% 8 - 1 A+ +25 B +7 A D+ A A+ +18 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 304 South Carolina Upstate W 80 - 62 98% +8  86% 9 - 1 B- +6 B+ +9 B+ C A+ C -1 B- C F
 Tue, Dec 16 164 East Tennessee St. W 77 - 58 94% +10  78% 10 - 1 A- +16 A +12 B+ A A+ A- +7 A+ B- F
 Sat, Dec 20 25 Ohio St. W 71 - 70 46% +4  80% 11 - 1 A- +17 B +7 B- A- A+ A +10 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 237 East Carolina W 99 - 51 97% +24  96% 12 - 1 A+ +40 A +13 A+ B+ C+ A+ +24 A+ A+ A
 Tue, Dec 30 64 Florida St. W 79 - 66 79% +7  86% 13 - 1 1 - 0 A +19 B- +5 C- B+ A+ A+ +14 A+ C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 45 @SMU L 83 - 97 48% -5  10% 13 - 2 1 - 1 C +1 A +13 A+ D- A- F -11 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 66 Wake Forest W 87 - 84 80% +8  97% 14 - 2 2 - 1 B +9 A- +11 A A+ C- C- -2 D- B- A-
 Wed, Jan 14 61 @Stanford L 90 - 95 59% +5  95% 14 - 3 2 - 2 B- +8 A+ +16 A+ A A- F+ -9 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 73 @California L 78 - 84 63% -11  0% 14 - 4 2 - 3 B- +5 B+ +8 A- C B- C- -3 B- F A-
 Wed, Jan 21 92 Notre Dame W 91 - 69 86% +14  97% 15 - 4 3 - 3 A+ +25 A+ +17 A+ A+ A- A- +8 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 17 @Virginia W 85 - 80 26% -4  18% 16 - 4 4 - 3 A+ +26 A+ +23 A+ C- A+ B +4 A D+ B-
 Sat, Jan 31 140 @Georgia Tech W 91 - 75 84% +12  96% 17 - 4 5 - 3 A +20 A+ +17 C+ A A+ B- +3 B C C-
 Mon, Feb 2 84 Syracuse W 87 - 77 84% +14  95% 18 - 4 6 - 3 B+ +14 A- +10 A+ C A- B- +4 C A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 3 Duke W 71 - 68 24% -6  0% 19 - 4 7 - 3 A+ +25 A +14 A+ D+ A+ A+ +12 A+ D+ D
 Tue, Feb 10 30 @Miami (FL) L 66 - 75 40% -4  0% 19 - 5 7 - 4 B +8 C- -1 D+ C A- A +10 A- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 93 Pittsburgh W 79 - 65 87% +13  97% 20 - 5 8 - 4 A- +17 A- +10 A F+ A+ A- +8 D+ A+ B
 Tue, Feb 17 37 @North Carolina St. L 58 - 82 43% -13  1% 20 - 6 8 - 5 D+ -7 D- -7 F C+ B- C- -3 A- F F
 Sat, Feb 21 84 @Syracuse W 77 - 64 68% +4  74% 21 - 6 9 - 5 A +23 B+ +8 A+ F A- A+ +15 A+ A C-
 Mon, Feb 23 20 Louisville W 77 - 74 50% +3  60% 22 - 6 10 - 5 A- +18 A +12 A+ A+ A B+ +6 A+ B- C-
 Sat, Feb 28 56 Virginia Tech W 89 - 82 77% +3  76% 23 - 6 11 - 5 B+ +14 A+ +17 A+ A- C- C- -3 D A+ D+
 Tue, Mar 3 40 Clemson W 67 - 63 67% +1  65% 24 - 6 12 - 5 B+ +14 C+ +3 B D- A A+ +12 B+ A+ B-
 Sat, Mar 7 3 @Duke L 61 - 76 11% -10  5% 24 - 7 12 - 6 B+ +13 B- +5 A+ D+ D A- +8 A- A+ D-
 Thu, Mar 12 40 Clemson L 79 - 80 56% -6  19% 24 - 8 B+ +12 A +13 A- A+ A C -1 D+ A+ F+
 Thu, Mar 19 46 Virginia Commonwealth L 78 - 82 OT 59% +7  77% 24 - 9 B +8 C +1 C- C A+ A- +8 C+ A+ D+
Totals 24 - 9 12 - 6 +15 B+ +8 A+ B+ B- B+ +6 B D C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B+ B B B+ 40% 29% 42% B- B+ B- B- B A- B D C+ B+ A- B C B+ 34% 29% 37% A- B+ A- A A D A B A+
1.21 66% 42% 37% +6 +1 1.15 33% 1.1 .37 13% .34 69% .24 1.00 49% 35% 34% -4 -1 0.90 24% 0.8 .20 15% .20 70% .24
Nov
3		 Central Arkansas A- A+ F C- B 48% 12% 40% B B A- A+ A+ A- A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ 24% 29% 47% A+ A+ B F+ C A+ A+ B A+
1.25 80% 0% 33% +6 +2 1.17 38% 1.5 .56 16% .35 82% .28 0.72 38% 13% 31% -14 -2 0.69 23% 1.2 .28 23% .15 67% .10
Nov
7		 Kansas A+ A+ A+ B A+ 42% 16% 42% A- A+ A+ F D C B+ D- B- A- C- B+ F D+ 22% 34% 44% A+ C A+ F B- A+ B+ A+ A
1.23 74% 67% 35% +12 +1 1.27 44% 0.4 .17 16% .29 65% .18 1.05 64% 29% 45% +6 -3 1.08 23% 1.4 .33 20% .27 67% .18
Nov
11		 Radford D+ B- F D+ D- 37% 17% 46% C- D- B+ D- C+ A A+ F A+ A- B- A+ A+ A+ 28% 25% 47% A A+ C+ A+ A- F+ F A+ C-
1.09 63% 11% 33% -3 0 0.96 38% 0.9 .36 13% .70 63% .44 0.91 53% 27% 25% -11 -1 0.78 27% 0.7 .20 13% .44 61% .27
Nov
14		 NC Central A A B- C+ C+ 33% 15% 52% C C+ B A+ A+ A- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 31% 28% 41% B+ A+ B- A+ A+ F D+ B+ C
1.38 75% 43% 36% +8 0 1.19 43% 1.5 .64 14% .58 74% .43 0.76 24% 20% 32% -17 -1 0.65 26% 0.5 .13 13% .33 70% .23
Nov
18		 Navy D+ F A+ A+ C 53% 6% 40% A+ B D F F+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 42% 28% 30% C+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F A F B+
1.04 44% 67% 42% -1 +3 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .39 77% .30 0.87 40% 18% 33% -14 -1 0.73 27% 0.6 .16 9% .25 81% .20
Nov
25		 St. Bonaventure B C+ D A+ A- 43% 20% 37% C+ B+ B A+ A D+ A+ B- A+ A A+ B F A 43% 28% 28% C A A+ C A- F A+ A+ A+
1.19 60% 33% 47% +7 +1 1.17 33% 1.3 .43 18% .46 78% .36 0.98 42% 35% 41% -5 -1 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 13% .13 63% .08
Nov
27		 Michigan St. C A F F D 43% 11% 46% A+ C- A+ F C+ A- A- C- B+ C A+ F F C- 45% 37% 18% A- C C B+ B C A+ C- A+
0.96 65% 20% 19% -9 +2 0.87 32% 0.5 .16 13% .32 71% .23 1.22 48% 53% 56% +7 -2 1.12 40% 1.0 .40 16% .18 78% .14
Dec
2		 Kentucky B D+ B+ F D+ 31% 36% 33% D D A+ A+ A+ D+ C F D A+ F B+ A+ A+ 45% 28% 28% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C- D- D F+
1.05 50% 44% 20% -7 -2 0.82 48% 1.1 .52 19% .29 60% .17 1.00 76% 31% 8% -5 0 0.91 28% 0.6 .17 14% .40 77% .31
Dec
7		 Georgetown B B- A+ C A+ 22% 28% 50% D A F+ A- D+ A A- F+ B- A+ A A+ A+ A+ 37% 32% 31% A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C A+
1.14 58% 67% 33% +8 -2 1.13 22% 1.1 .25 13% .34 67% .22 0.86 48% 20% 21% -16 -2 0.68 22% 0.9 .20 6% .18 75% .13
Dec
13		 South Carolina Upstate B+ C D+ A+ B+ 46% 12% 42% B B+ F+ A+ C A+ A F B C A- B D- C- 19% 39% 42% A+ B- C+ D+ C F A+ B- A+
1.25 57% 33% 43% +4 +2 1.14 23% 1.6 .37 9% .38 64% .24 0.97 45% 32% 38% -3 -4 0.89 27% 1.0 .27 11% .05 67% .04
Dec
16		 East Tennessee St. A A+ C- C- B+ 39% 7% 55% B B+ C- A+ A A+ A+ F A- A- B A+ B+ A+ 28% 26% 46% A A+ A+ F B- F B- B+ B
1.27 76% 33% 33% +6 +2 1.18 29% 1.4 .42 12% .43 65% .28 0.95 54% 25% 29% -8 -1 0.83 18% 1.5 .26 12% .30 69% .20
Dec
20		 Ohio St. B C+ C D+ C+ 36% 15% 49% A B- B A A- A+ F+ F F A A+ F A+ A 24% 45% 31% A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F B F C
1.10 58% 38% 31% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.2 .37 11% .23 54% .12 1.08 50% 55% 27% +2 -4 0.98 33% 0.5 .18 9% .32 84% .27
Dec
22		 East Carolina A B- A+ A+ A+ 41% 16% 43% B+ A+ A D B+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 39% 33% 28% B A+ D A+ A+ A A- A- A-
1.30 62% 50% 50% +14 +1 1.31 41% 1.1 .43 16% .47 63% .30 0.67 45% 16% 13% -21 -2 0.56 38% 0.4 .15 22% .29 65% .19
Dec
30		 Florida St. B- B+ C F D+ 37% 15% 48% B+ C- A- B- B+ A+ B+ C B A+ A+ D+ A A+ 26% 13% 61% B+ A+ B+ D C+ C- A A+ A+
1.14 65% 38% 27% -3 +1 0.98 39% 0.9 .37 11% .32 70% .23 0.95 36% 43% 27% -11 0 0.80 28% 1.3 .35 13% .23 57% .13
Jan
3		 SMU A A- B A+ A+ 29% 20% 51% C+ A+ C- F D- A- B+ D+ B F F F F F 35% 16% 49% D F A+ C+ A+ F B- B+ B
1.20 67% 40% 46% +12 -1 1.25 28% 0.7 .19 14% .32 68% .22 1.40 79% 56% 52% +23 0 1.49 22% 1.0 .22 10% .26 69% .18
Jan
10		 Wake Forest A- A+ F C- A 40% 11% 49% B+ A A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F+ A+ C- C- F D- F+ 29% 15% 56% C+ D- C+ B- B- A- A+ B+ A+
1.22 78% 20% 32% +4 +1 1.13 43% 1.6 .70 20% .52 67% .35 1.18 63% 63% 39% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 18% .19 73% .14
Jan
14		 Stanford A+ B A+ C A+ 42% 28% 30% C- A+ C A+ A A- A+ F A F+ C F F F 38% 11% 51% B- F A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ A C+
1.23 62% 64% 33% +9 -1 1.18 28% 1.6 .45 15% .52 63% .32 1.30 57% 67% 57% +20 +1 1.45 7% 0.0 .00 11% .35 65% .23
Jan
17		 California B+ A+ F+ C+ A 31% 20% 49% D+ A- C C C B- A+ D- A+ C- A+ C+ F C 25% 31% 43% A B- B- F F A- B+ B- B+
1.11 73% 30% 33% +3 -1 1.06 28% 1.0 .28 16% .47 61% .29 1.19 46% 38% 45% +4 -2 1.06 25% 2.3 .56 18% .28 75% .21
Jan
21		 Notre Dame A+ A- A+ A A+ 34% 8% 58% A A+ A- A+ A+ A- A D- B+ A- A+ C+ C+ A+ 22% 37% 41% A+ A+ C- A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+
1.32 67% 50% 39% +8 +1 1.21 32% 1.7 .55 12% .38 70% .26 1.00 38% 36% 33% -5 -3 0.85 35% 0.7 .25 7% .20 54% .11
Jan
24		 Virginia A+ B+ B A+ A+ 27% 35% 38% D- A+ D+ C+ C- A+ A F B B F+ A+ A+ A 37% 20% 43% B+ A D- B- D+ B- D B D+
1.25 60% 42% 48% +10 -3 1.16 22% 0.9 .19 6% .34 68% .23 1.18 68% 30% 27% -2 0 0.98 44% 1.1 .47 16% .35 70% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Georgia Tech A+ A D+ F C+ 37% 23% 40% C+ C+ B- A+ A A+ F A+ D- B- A- B+ F C+ 44% 40% 16% A B A- F C C- C+ F C-
1.27 67% 33% 27% -2 0 0.97 33% 1.4 .47 3% .17 92% .16 1.04 50% 30% 63% 0 -2 0.98 26% 1.3 .35 17% .28 82% .23
Feb
2		 Syracuse A- B D A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% D- A+ B+ F C A- A+ C- A+ B- F D- C- D 28% 41% 31% A+ C B A+ A+ D+ B- C- C+
1.20 61% 29% 53% +8 -1 1.15 38% 0.9 .34 15% .57 71% .41 1.06 73% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 28% 0.5 .15 14% .30 68% .21
Feb
7		 Duke A B A+ A A+ 23% 43% 34% F A+ F A D+ A+ B A A- A+ A A+ B A+ 49% 21% 30% A- A+ A+ F D+ D A+ F A+
1.11 58% 48% 39% +7 -4 1.08 13% 1.0 .13 11% .25 79% .19 1.07 50% 27% 31% -7 +1 0.89 31% 1.7 .53 13% .11 83% .09
Feb
10		 Miami (FL) C- C- F+ D+ D+ 32% 25% 44% C- D+ C C- C A- F A+ D A D- A- B+ B 44% 37% 19% A+ A- A A+ A+ F D A+ C+
0.95 56% 29% 32% -4 -1 0.91 24% 1.0 .24 16% .17 80% .14 1.08 70% 32% 30% +2 -2 1.02 32% 0.8 .24 12% .37 61% .23
Feb
14		 Pittsburgh A- A+ C- A- A 38% 20% 42% C A D- F F+ A+ C+ A- B A- C+ C+ F D+ 49% 16% 35% D D+ A+ A A+ B A+ F A+
1.21 71% 36% 39% +8 0 1.18 19% 0.7 .13 6% .28 82% .23 0.99 58% 38% 41% +4 +1 1.12 22% 0.8 .19 18% .15 75% .11
Feb
17		 North Carolina St. D- B- F F F 33% 9% 59% B- F A+ F C+ B- A+ B- A+ C- A+ F F A 49% 18% 33% C- A- D F F F A- A A
0.90 60% 0% 19% -16 +1 0.72 40% 0.7 .28 19% .40 71% .29 1.28 41% 50% 44% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.4 .49 6% .27 69% .18
Feb
21		 Syracuse B+ A+ C C A+ 44% 25% 31% C- A+ D F F A- A+ F A- A+ B- C A+ A+ 40% 29% 31% A- A+ A A A C- B+ D+ B
1.13 81% 33% 33% +9 0 1.19 26% 0.8 .21 15% .48 54% .26 0.94 57% 40% 19% -7 -1 0.87 24% 0.9 .21 15% .28 69% .19
Feb
23		 Louisville A A+ A D A+ 42% 18% 40% A A+ C- A+ A+ A B+ F D B+ A A+ C- A+ 33% 13% 55% B+ A+ D- A B- C- A+ B A+
1.16 71% 44% 30% +4 +1 1.12 22% 1.9 .41 14% .33 47% .16 1.11 50% 29% 37% -2 +1 1.00 39% 0.8 .32 15% .19 73% .14
Feb
28		 Virginia Tech A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 19% 37% B A+ A C A- C- A+ B A+ C- C- F F F+ 33% 31% 36% A D A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ F A-
1.29 74% 50% 44% +15 +1 1.33 41% 1.0 .41 19% .53 77% .41 1.18 63% 50% 43% +10 -2 1.19 21% 0.3 .07 13% .18 100% .18
Mar
3		 Clemson C+ F F A+ B 35% 20% 45% B- B C+ F D- A C- C- C- A+ C- B- D+ C+ 29% 36% 35% A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A- A+
1.02 39% 20% 48% -1 0 1.00 24% 0.6 .13 14% .27 73% .19 0.96 63% 40% 37% +3 -3 1.04 20% 0.3 .06 15% .11 67% .07
Mar
7		 Duke B- A+ F A A+ 33% 20% 47% B- A+ D C D+ D F A+ F A- A- A C- A 46% 6% 48% C- A- C- A+ A+ D- A A+ A+
0.94 69% 20% 39% +3 0 1.08 17% 0.8 .14 22% .08 100% .08 1.17 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.06 43% 0.8 .33 12% .26 53% .14
Mar
12		 Clemson A F+ A+ C+ B 37% 9% 54% A A- A- A+ A+ A C+ F D C A+ F F F+ 31% 33% 37% A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ C- C- D+
1.14 45% 80% 34% -1 +1 1.04 30% 1.5 .43 14% .29 59% .17 1.16 44% 59% 47% +10 -2 1.17 10% 0.7 .07 10% .37 74% .27
Mar
19		 Virginia Commonwealth C D A- F+ C- 40% 18% 42% C C- D+ B+ C A+ C+ F C- A- B+ D+ F+ C+ 46% 14% 40% C- C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ A+
1.02 50% 45% 28% -6 0 0.92 26% 1.1 .28 10% .29 60% .18 1.07 52% 44% 40% +2 +1 1.08 18% 0.7 .13 13% .24 69% .17