Arkansas
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +18.0 19
Results Rating +18.7 17
Consistency 0.17 282
Pace 75.5 25
Improvement +1.7 122

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 5 A A A B- C+
Defense B 47 B+ C- C+ B+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 34 A 70% 6 +8.7 5
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 155 C 39% 155 +0.2 167
Three Pointers 35% 307 A- 39% 16 -0.7 207
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 129 A +7.6 9
1st FG Attempt A 1.18 14
Second Chance B 35.0% 54 A+ 1.29 2 A 0.45 8
Opponents' Steals A+ 5.7% 1
Other Turnovers B 6.0% 43
Turnovers A 11.7% 1
Freethrows C+ 0.32 119 B- 75% 95 B- 0.24 100
Total Offense A +13.0 5

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 54% 89 A+ 4.9% 3
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 57 A- 1.6% 12
Three Pointers C 83% 204 B+ 0.2% 31
Total C+ 59% 116 A+ 2.6% 1


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 177 B- 55% 95 -1.2 128
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 91 C+ 36% 109 +0.6 234
Three Pointers 38% 264 A 28% 4 -4.8 15
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 114 B+ -5.0 27
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.91 34
Second Chance B- 28.1% 95 F+ 1.20 359 C- 0.34 247
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.8% 78
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 229
Turnovers C+ 17.8% 114
Freethrows B 0.25 34 A- 69% 18 B+ 0.17 25
Total Defense B +5.0 47

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 227 A- 17.2% 27
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 105 B 7.9% 43
Three Pointers B 79% 55 B+ 1.8% 41
Total B- 52% 109 A 9.2% 13

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 14.8 9 18.5 325
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.33 2 0.13 52
Consistency 0.13 224 0.13 209
Improvement +3.0 51 -1.3 251

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 22 18 12
Results Rating Rank 23 18 7
Conference Record 11 - 7 12 - 6 13 - 5
Conference Finish 4 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed 7 5 3
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Final 4

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 1% 0%
Top 2 Seed 3% 4% 0%
Top 4 Seed 38% 45% 23%
Top 6 Seed 95% 98% 88%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 4.7 4.5 5.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round87% 89% 83%
Sweet Sixteen45% 47% 39%
Elite Eight15% 16% 13%
Final Four6% 6% 5%
Championship Game2% 2% 2%
National Champion1% 1% 0%
Next Game: Texas (Home) - 70.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b6 - 27 - 9
Quad 27 - 014 - 10
Quad 33 - 018 - 10
Quad 46 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 280 Southern W 109 - 77 99% +21  96% 1 - 0 A +22 A +14 B- B- A+ B +4 B F+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 10 @Michigan St. L 66 - 69 32% -2  25% 1 - 1 A +20 B- +5 C A+ F+ A+ +14 A+ C- A-
 Tue, Nov 11 170 Central Arkansas W 93 - 56 97% +16  98% 2 - 1 A+ +33 A- +10 B+ C- A+ A+ +21 A+ C- F
 Fri, Nov 14 193 Samford W 79 - 75 97% +8  97% 3 - 1 C -1 D+ -3 C F+ C+ C+ +2 B- C D-
 Tue, Nov 18 143 Winthrop W 84 - 83 96% +1  50% 4 - 1 C -1 B- +5 C A+ A- D -6 D+ F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 346 Jackson St. W 115 - 61 99% +30  90% 5 - 1 A+ +38 A+ +22 A+ A- A+ A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 27 2 Duke L 71 - 80 21% -1  45% 5 - 2 A- +17 A- +9 A- A- B A- +8 A+ F B-
 Wed, Dec 3 15 Louisville W 89 - 80 60% +10  99% 6 - 2 A+ +25 A +13 D+ A+ A A +11 A+ A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 6 133 Fresno St. W 82 - 58 95% +15  95% 7 - 2 A +23 B- +4 A- D+ A+ A+ +17 A+ B A+
 Sat, Dec 13 11 Texas Tech W 93 - 86 44% -2  17% 8 - 2 A+ +27 A+ +30 A+ A+ A+ D+ -3 B- F+ F
 Tue, Dec 16 206 Queens W 108 - 80 97% +20  90% 9 - 2 A +23 A +12 A A+ D- A- +8 A F+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 6 Houston L 85 - 94 34% -10  3% 9 - 3 B+ +13 A+ +17 A+ A+ A+ D+ -3 D F C+
 Mon, Dec 29 204 James Madison W 103 - 74 97% +17  89% 10 - 3 A+ +24 A+ +24 A+ A+ A C -1 C- D B+
 Sat, Jan 3 16 Tennessee W 86 - 75 60% +1  51% 11 - 3 1 - 0 A+ +26 A +14 B- A+ C- A+ +12 B+ A- B-
 Wed, Jan 7 74 @Mississippi W 94 - 87 75% +7  94% 12 - 3 2 - 0 A +18 A+ +21 A+ A- B+ D+ -3 F A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 40 @Auburn L 73 - 95 56% -15  5% 12 - 4 2 - 1 D+ -6 C -0 C D+ A- D+ -5 F+ F C
 Wed, Jan 14 94 South Carolina W 108 - 74 91% +18  95% 13 - 4 3 - 1 A+ +37 A+ +30 A+ A+ A+ B+ +5 B C- A+
 Sat, Jan 17 29 @Georgia L 76 - 90 50% -10  0% 13 - 5 3 - 2 C+ +4 D -6 D- A+ D A+ +12 B C- A+
 Tue, Jan 20 17 Vanderbilt W 93 - 68 61% +15  96% 14 - 5 4 - 2 A+ +40 A+ +27 A+ A+ A+ A+ +14 A+ F B-
 Sat, Jan 24 58 LSU W 85 - 81 85% -1  27% 15 - 5 5 - 2 B +11 A +12 A+ C A- C -1 A+ F D+
 Tue, Jan 27 46 @Oklahoma W 83 - 79 62% -2  29% 16 - 5 6 - 2 A +19 A +12 B+ A- A+ B+ +7 B+ C- A-
 Sat, Jan 31 23 Kentucky L 77 - 85 67% -5  10% 16 - 6 6 - 3 B- +5 A +12 A+ C A+ D- -7 D- B F
 Sat, Feb 7 89 @Mississippi St. W 88 - 68 79% +12  88% 17 - 6 7 - 3 A+ +29 A+ +17 A+ B- A A+ +12 A- A- C+
 Tue, Feb 10 58 @LSU W 91 - 62 69% +18  99% 18 - 6 8 - 3 A+ +42 A +14 A B B A+ +26 A+ A+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 40 Auburn W 88 - 75 77% +8  85% 19 - 6 9 - 3 A+ +23 A+ +18 A+ A A+ B+ +6 A+ B- F+
 Wed, Feb 18 13 @Alabama L 115 - 117 2OT 35% +4  60% 19 - 7 9 - 4 A +20 A+ +23 A+ A A+ C- -3 F+ B- C+
 Sat, Feb 21 44 Missouri W 94 - 86 80% +2  64% 20 - 7 10 - 4 A- +17 A+ +23 A A+ A+ D -6 D A D-
 Wed, Feb 25 34 Texas A&M W 99 - 84 75% +7  82% 21 - 7 11 - 4 A+ +26 A+ +19 B A+ A+ B+ +6 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 28 3 @Florida L 77 - 111 17% -18  13% 21 - 8 11 - 5 D+ -6 B +6 D+ A+ A+ D- -7 D- F C-
 Wed, Mar 4 27 Texas W 89 - 83 70%
 Sat, Mar 7 44 @Missouri W 85 - 82 60%
Totals 22 - 9 12 - 6 +18 A +13 C- A C+ B +5 A- B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A A C A- A 44% 39% 35% C+ A B A+ A A C+ B- B- B B- C+ A B+ 39% 23% 38% C+ B+ B- F+ C- C+ B A- B+
1.27 70% 39% 39% +8 0 1.18 35% 1.3 .45 12% .32 75% .24 1.01 55% 36% 28% -5 0 0.91 28% 1.2 .34 18% .25 69% .22
Nov
3		 Southern A A+ D+ D B- 40% 23% 37% C- B- B- C B- A+ B A+ A B B- A+ F B- 26% 33% 41% A- B C+ F F+ D+ D+ A+ A-
1.34 79% 36% 32% +7 0 1.15 36% 1.1 .41 11% .40 86% .35 0.95 53% 11% 42% -5 -2 0.86 28% 1.4 .40 15% .35 46% .16
Nov
8		 Michigan St. B- A F F C 30% 17% 52% B- C A+ B+ A+ F+ A+ D- A+ A+ C- A- A+ A+ 48% 28% 24% C- A+ F B+ C- A- F A- F
0.97 64% 25% 25% -7 0 0.87 33% 0.9 .31 21% .42 65% .28 1.01 64% 31% 0% -12 0 0.78 49% 0.9 .46 21% .48 69% .33
Nov
11		 Central Arkansas A- A+ D B+ A- 29% 16% 55% D+ B+ D+ B C- A+ B+ A A A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ 21% 12% 67% B- A+ A F C- F D- B D+
1.25 81% 33% 39% +10 0 1.21 24% 1.3 .30 11% .33 82% .27 0.75 58% 29% 8% -27 0 0.47 20% 1.6 .31 11% .32 67% .21
Nov
14		 Samford D+ D+ B A- C+ 31% 41% 28% F+ C C- F F+ C+ A- B- A- C+ B B- C+ B- 39% 20% 41% D+ B- C C- C D- A+ F A+
1.10 53% 45% 40% +4 -3 1.04 24% 0.8 .19 12% .35 77% .27 1.04 54% 33% 32% -4 0 0.95 24% 1.1 .26 11% .16 90% .14
Nov
18		 Winthrop B- A+ F B- B- 37% 31% 33% F+ C D A+ A+ A- B- A+ A D D- A+ F D- 31% 19% 51% A- D+ A+ F F C- A+ A A+
1.18 79% 19% 35% +2 -1 1.04 24% 2.0 .48 13% .35 91% .32 1.17 61% 0% 43% +1 0 1.03 24% 2.3 .53 14% .10 67% .07
Nov
21		 Jackson St. A+ A+ F A+ A+ 54% 15% 31% B A+ C A+ A- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 25% 33% 42% B+ A+ D+ F F A+ A- B A
1.51 79% 25% 53% +18 +2 1.43 38% 1.3 .50 8% .51 78% .40 0.80 31% 35% 23% -15 -3 0.67 29% 1.6 .46 26% .20 73% .14
Nov
27		 Duke A- B+ C- C+ A 28% 22% 50% C+ A- B+ A A- B C- A+ C+ A- A F A+ A+ 42% 19% 40% A A+ C+ F F B- C- A- C+
1.01 60% 33% 33% -1 -1 0.98 29% 1.0 .29 17% .19 82% .15 1.14 50% 56% 26% -5 0 0.94 39% 2.1 .81 17% .36 67% .24
Dec
3		 Louisville A F B- F D+ 37% 33% 30% C- D+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A- A+ A C- D- A+ A+ 42% 7% 51% C- A+ B+ A+ A+ F+ B C B
1.18 45% 39% 25% -9 -2 0.81 43% 1.5 .64 13% .53 77% .41 1.06 64% 50% 23% -5 +2 0.97 30% 0.8 .23 12% .27 78% .21
Dec
6		 Fresno St. B- A D A A 26% 26% 48% D- A- D+ D+ D+ A+ C+ F C- A+ A- B A+ A+ 42% 12% 46% F+ A+ C A- B A+ B+ C- B+
1.12 73% 33% 39% +7 -2 1.12 26% 1.0 .26 11% .26 65% .17 0.79 50% 33% 17% -16 +1 0.73 29% 0.8 .24 23% .23 77% .18
Dec
13		 Texas Tech A+ C+ C A+ A+ 52% 16% 32% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ D+ C A+ D+ A- 47% 9% 45% F B- C F F+ F A+ A+ A+
1.40 58% 38% 50% +7 +2 1.20 46% 1.3 .57 11% .44 65% .29 1.29 63% 20% 38% +4 +2 1.14 37% 1.3 .47 11% .17 30% .05
Dec
16		 Queens A B A A+ A 47% 7% 45% A- A C+ A+ A+ D- A- A A A- D+ F A+ A- 31% 30% 39% A+ A F B F+ A+ C A- C+
1.36 65% 50% 44% +11 +2 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 18% .41 81% .34 1.00 65% 50% 19% -3 -2 0.93 41% 1.0 .41 21% .32 70% .22
Dec
20		 Houston A+ B+ B- A A+ 40% 23% 38% B- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ D+ D+ A- F D+ 33% 23% 44% F+ D A F F C+ F B- F
1.16 63% 36% 39% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.3 .43 16% .57 60% .34 1.28 68% 31% 44% +8 -1 1.18 31% 1.6 .50 12% .39 76% .30
Dec
29		 James Madison A+ A+ D A+ A+ 34% 17% 49% C A+ A A+ A+ A A+ F A C D+ F+ C D+ 27% 14% 59% B- C- D C- D B+ D D D-
1.47 72% 33% 50% +16 0 1.34 40% 1.4 .57 9% .49 65% .31 1.06 62% 43% 34% +2 0 1.06 32% 1.1 .35 20% .34 74% .25
Jan
3		 Tennessee A A F C+ B 29% 31% 40% D- B- A+ A- A+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C F A 56% 20% 24% D B+ A+ F A- B- D+ A+ A-
1.15 67% 25% 33% -2 -2 0.94 35% 1.1 .38 19% .54 88% .48 1.00 46% 40% 42% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.3 .40 19% .38 52% .20
Jan
7		 Mississippi A+ A+ A A A+ 20% 35% 45% F A+ A+ D+ A- B+ A+ B A+ D+ F F C- F 21% 36% 43% B F B+ A+ A+ C+ D+ D- D-
1.30 80% 47% 41% +12 -3 1.20 42% 1.0 .42 15% .49 73% .36 1.21 91% 53% 35% +13 -3 1.21 26% 0.8 .19 14% .34 81% .27
Jan
10		 Auburn C C F A- C 35% 27% 38% D+ C D- B D+ A- A- D+ B+ D+ D- A+ F F+ 53% 11% 36% F+ F+ A+ F F C C+ B+ B-
1.02 56% 29% 40% 0 -1 1.00 22% 1.1 .25 15% .35 71% .25 1.33 68% 17% 47% +10 +2 1.26 31% 2.0 .62 14% .39 71% .28
Jan
14		 South Carolina A+ A+ A+ A A+ 52% 17% 31% A- A+ A A A+ A+ D+ A+ C+ B+ D+ D+ A B 33% 17% 50% C B F+ A- C- A+ A C+ A
1.48 73% 55% 40% +13 +1 1.31 38% 1.2 .44 5% .25 82% .20 1.02 65% 44% 27% -2 0 0.98 35% 0.9 .32 22% .25 79% .19
Jan
17		 Georgia D D F F F+ 51% 18% 31% B+ D- B+ A+ A+ D C- A+ B- A+ B F C+ B+ 43% 10% 47% C- B A+ F C- A+ A F B
0.91 48% 27% 26% -10 +1 0.84 38% 1.3 .48 22% .25 81% .20 1.08 56% 50% 33% 0 +2 1.05 25% 1.7 .42 20% .24 88% .21
Jan
20		 Vanderbilt A+ A+ C A+ A+ 46% 25% 30% B- A+ A A+ A+ A+ F A F A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 25% 51% A+ A+ A+ F F B- C B+ C+
1.38 81% 36% 41% +13 0 1.28 36% 1.2 .43 10% .20 83% .17 1.01 67% 15% 19% -15 -2 0.69 24% 2.2 .53 15% .33 74% .24
Jan
24		 LSU A A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 24% 38% C A+ D+ B C A- C F F C C+ D A+ A- 33% 40% 27% A+ A+ D- F F D+ F+ F F
1.24 79% 67% 42% +19 0 1.40 26% 1.0 .26 12% .30 39% .12 1.18 59% 43% 21% -3 -3 0.90 39% 1.5 .61 13% .42 88% .37
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Oklahoma A A+ A+ F B 50% 21% 29% A- B+ F+ A+ A- A+ F+ A+ D B+ A F B- A 46% 11% 43% F B+ B F+ C- A- A+ F B+
1.20 76% 50% 12% +2 +1 1.07 23% 1.9 .43 9% .21 85% .17 1.15 46% 67% 33% -3 +2 1.00 31% 1.5 .46 17% .21 92% .19
Jan
31		 Kentucky A A A+ F A+ 51% 25% 24% B+ A+ C+ C- C A+ A+ F A- D- F C+ F F 43% 30% 28% A- D- C A- B F F A+ F
1.15 65% 54% 25% +5 0 1.12 26% 0.8 .21 6% .41 62% .25 1.27 75% 36% 46% +12 -1 1.23 37% 1.0 .37 10% .50 63% .32
Feb
7		 Mississippi St. A+ A B+ A A+ 41% 26% 33% B A+ B C B- A F+ F F A+ C+ F A+ A 49% 25% 25% D+ A- A B- A- C+ B+ B B+
1.25 68% 44% 40% +8 -1 1.18 31% 1.0 .31 10% .19 67% .13 0.97 59% 50% 14% -4 0 0.95 25% 1.0 .25 16% .24 64% .15
Feb
10		 LSU A A D+ F A- 64% 16% 20% A+ A D+ A+ B B A- A- A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 50% 15% 35% D- A+ F A+ A+ A F A+ C-
1.22 69% 33% 27% +4 +2 1.15 27% 1.3 .33 13% .37 75% .28 0.83 46% 25% 11% -20 +2 0.65 43% 0.6 .27 19% .45 63% .28
Feb
14		 Auburn A+ A+ F B- A+ 50% 15% 35% A A+ C- A+ A A+ D+ F D- B+ A+ C B A+ 38% 32% 30% A+ A+ C+ B- B- F+ A- C A-
1.32 81% 25% 37% +11 +2 1.28 27% 1.6 .42 7% .24 67% .16 1.12 45% 41% 31% -5 -2 0.89 38% 1.0 .38 10% .33 75% .25
Feb
18		 Alabama A+ C+ B A+ A+ 36% 36% 27% D A+ B A+ A A+ D+ A+ B- C- F F D+ F 42% 13% 45% C+ F+ C- A- B- C+ F D+ F
1.31 56% 41% 50% +7 -2 1.11 33% 1.3 .41 8% .24 84% .20 1.34 76% 63% 37% +13 +1 1.30 36% 1.0 .36 14% .45 79% .36
Feb
21		 Missouri A+ A+ F A+ A 47% 22% 31% A- A A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D D+ F D+ D+ 52% 10% 38% F+ D A+ C A D- C- D- D
1.37 71% 18% 44% +6 0 1.16 37% 1.4 .50 7% .39 88% .35 1.26 65% 60% 37% +8 +2 1.22 26% 1.1 .30 15% .39 74% .29
Feb
25		 Texas A&M A+ A+ D+ F A- 36% 36% 27% F+ B A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ F F D F+ 41% 18% 41% A- D- A+ A+ A+ A+ D- B+ D+
1.28 80% 35% 27% +4 -2 1.05 37% 1.4 .51 12% .48 88% .42 1.09 71% 56% 38% +11 +1 1.25 21% 0.7 .14 21% .38 70% .26
Feb
28		 Florida B D+ F F D- 54% 29% 17% B+ D+ A- A+ A+ A+ A- F C D- D- D F F 42% 24% 35% A D- D- F F C- F D- F
0.95 47% 22% 27% -12 0 0.78 29% 1.2 .35 11% .33 54% .18 1.37 70% 46% 42% +11 0 1.24 48% 1.4 .67 15% .47 78% .36



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 4.7 24.6 29.3 2nd
3rd 3.0 39.9 18.4 61.3 3rd
4th 5.8 5.8 4th
5th 3.2 3.2 5th
6th 0.4 0.4 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 12.5 44.6 43.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 43.0% 100.0% 12.6% 87.4% 4.2 0.4 2.5 7.3 13.8 14.9 3.8 0.2 100.0%
12-6 44.6% 99.9% 10.5% 89.5% 4.9 0.0 0.3 2.9 10.1 18.7 10.6 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 12.5% 99.9% 4.6% 95.3% 5.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.7 4.6 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 99.9%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 10.6% 89.3% 4.7 0.0 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.4% 100.0% 2.7 6.4 35.5 44.4 13.1 0.6 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.5% 100.0% 3.9 0.3 5.0 28.1 44.3 20.9 1.5 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 13.3% 100.0% 4.5 0.7 10.8 36.2 43.7 8.4 0.1
Lose Out 4.5% 99.8% 6.4 0.1 0.6 15.1 38.1 33.3 10.2 2.4