Vanderbilt
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +18.3 17
Results Rating +17.8 20
Consistency 0.17 291
Pace 72.3 80
Improvement -5.5 347

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 15 A- B A- B C+
Defense B+ 29 A- B B D B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 205 A 68% 11 +3.5 60
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 296 B- 42% 66 -0.6 210
Three Pointers 45% 98 B 37% 79 +3.7 60
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 136 A- +6.1 24
1st FG Attempt A- 1.15 27
Second Chance C+ 32.6% 106 A- 1.19 20 B 0.39 45
Opponents' Steals A 6.3% 3
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 106
Turnovers A- 13.0% 14
Freethrows B- 0.33 102 A- 79% 10 B 0.26 44
Total Offense A +11.0 15

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 53% 96 A 5.3% 4
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 14% 326 C+ 4.8% 172
Three Pointers B- 88% 92 A -0.1% 1
Total B- 59% 98 A 2.8% 3


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 278 B 52% 45 -4.0 58
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 42 B 35% 66 +1.1 279
Three Pointers 39% 235 B+ 30% 28 -3.3 48
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.8 51 A- -5.3 25
1st FG Attempt A- 0.90 27
Second Chance B 26.1% 43 B- 0.96 69 B 0.25 38
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.2% 24
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 210
Turnovers B 19.2% 46
Freethrows D+ 0.34 284 D 75% 304 D 0.25 296
Total Defense B+ +7.3 29

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 40% 35 A 18.5% 15
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 14% 8 A- 9.6% 17
Three Pointers A 74% 11 C+ 1.2% 96
Total A- 44% 12 A 9.5% 10

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 31 18.2 304
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 49 0.10 12
Consistency 0.13 232 0.13 250
Improvement -2.7 308 -2.8 315

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 22 18 11
Results Rating Rank 29 20 14
Conference Record 9 - 9 10 - 8 11 - 7
Conference Finish 9 6 4
NCAA Tourney Seed 7 5 3
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Final 4

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 2% 2% 0%
Top 4 Seed 28% 33% 11%
Top 6 Seed 92% 96% 81%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 5.0 4.9 5.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round85% 87% 79%
Sweet Sixteen43% 45% 35%
Elite Eight15% 16% 12%
Final Four6% 6% 4%
Championship Game2% 2% 1%
National Champion1% 1% 0%
Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 76.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 28 - 8
Quad 27 - 116 - 9
Quad 33 - 019 - 9
Quad 46 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 194 Lipscomb W 105 - 61 97% +29  97% 1 - 0 A+ +39 A+ +21 A+ F A+ A+ +15 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Nov 8 49 @Central Florida W 105 - 93 64% +12  92% 2 - 0 A+ +26 A+ +28 A+ A+ A+ C- -2 D C C+
 Wed, Nov 12 288 Eastern Kentucky W 92 - 62 99% +19  97% 3 - 0 A +20 B- +4 A- F+ B- A+ +14 A+ A B
 Sat, Nov 15 331 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 104 - 75 99% +14  100% 4 - 0 B+ +14 A +14 D+ A+ A+ C- -2 C B C-
 Thu, Nov 20 301 Texas Southern W 109 - 74 99% +24  95% 5 - 0 A+ +24 A+ +22 A A+ A- C +0 F A+ C+
 Wed, Nov 26 129 Western Kentucky W 83 - 78 93% +6  81% 6 - 0 B- +7 C- -1 B- D D- A- +7 C- A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 27 50 Virginia Commonwealth W 89 - 74 74% +10  93% 7 - 0 A+ +26 A +12 A+ C- F A+ +14 A+ B B
 Fri, Nov 28 31 St. Mary's W 96 - 71 64% +13  99% 8 - 0 A+ +40 A+ +26 A+ A+ A+ A+ +13 B A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 38 SMU W 88 - 69 77% +9  93% 9 - 0 A+ +29 A+ +17 A+ C A+ A+ +13 A+ F+ A
 Sat, Dec 13 170 Central Arkansas W 83 - 72 97% +15  100% 10 - 0 B- +7 C- -0 F A+ B A- +7 A C C
 Wed, Dec 17 118 @Memphis W 77 - 70 OT 87% +3  76% 11 - 0 B+ +13 D- -7 F+ D D- A+ +18 A A+ A
 Sun, Dec 21 68 @Wake Forest W 98 - 67 75% +19  99% 12 - 0 A+ +42 A+ +23 A+ D+ B+ A+ +18 A+ A A+
 Mon, Dec 29 326 New Haven W 96 - 53 99% +24  99% 13 - 0 A+ +29 A+ +19 A+ A- B+ A+ +11 A- A- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 95 @South Carolina W 83 - 71 81% +10  92% 14 - 0 1 - 0 A +21 A+ +19 A+ B- A B- +3 B+ B+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 14 Alabama W 96 - 90 59% +5  83% 15 - 0 2 - 0 A +22 B+ +9 B- A- A A+ +12 A+ D- B+
 Sat, Jan 10 58 LSU W 84 - 73 86% +11  96% 16 - 0 3 - 0 A +18 B+ +8 B D A+ A +10 B+ A+ A
 Wed, Jan 14 27 @Texas L 64 - 80 50% -6  7% 16 - 1 3 - 1 C+ +2 D+ -4 C- F C B +5 F+ B+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 4 Florida L 94 - 98 35% -2  25% 16 - 2 3 - 2 A +18 A+ +27 A+ B+ A+ F+ -8 B- F D
 Tue, Jan 20 19 @Arkansas L 68 - 93 39% -15  0% 16 - 3 3 - 3 C- -4 C+ +2 F A+ B+ D- -7 D- C+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 91 @Mississippi St. W 88 - 56 80% +20  97% 17 - 3 4 - 3 A+ +41 A +12 A+ B B A+ +27 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 27 23 Kentucky W 80 - 55 68% +18  99% 18 - 3 5 - 3 A+ +38 A- +11 B B+ A A+ +27 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 74 Mississippi W 71 - 68 89% +7  98% 19 - 3 6 - 3 B- +8 B- +4 B- B- B- B +4 B+ B A
 Sat, Feb 7 46 Oklahoma L 91 - 92 81% -13  0% 19 - 4 6 - 4 B- +8 A- +11 C A+ D+ C- -3 C- F+ A
 Tue, Feb 10 40 @Auburn W 84 - 76 57% +7  96% 20 - 4 7 - 4 A+ +24 A+ +20 B- A+ A+ B +5 A+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 14 34 Texas A&M W 82 - 69 76% +5  77% 21 - 4 8 - 4 A+ +24 A- +11 C A+ A+ A+ +13 A+ A+ C+
 Wed, Feb 18 44 @Missouri L 80 - 81 62% -6  18% 21 - 5 8 - 5 B+ +14 A- +10 B+ B- B B +4 C+ A B
 Sat, Feb 21 16 Tennessee L 65 - 69 61% +1  59% 21 - 6 8 - 6 B +11 B- +5 B+ C- B B+ +6 A A+ D-
 Wed, Feb 25 29 Georgia W 88 - 80 72% +7  94% 22 - 6 9 - 6 A +20 A+ +20 A+ B A+ C+ +0 B+ B- D+
 Sat, Feb 28 23 @Kentucky L 77 - 91 46% -14  1% 22 - 7 9 - 7 B- +5 A +13 A+ C B- F+ -8 F C- B-
 Tue, Mar 3 74 @Mississippi W 80 - 73 76%
 Sat, Mar 7 16 @Tennessee L 73 - 76 39%
Totals 23 - 8 10 - 8 +18 A +11 F A- C+ B+ +7 B A- B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A A B- B A- 38% 28% 45% C+ A- C+ A- B A- B- A- B B+ B B B+ A- 35% 26% 39% B A- B B- B B D+ D D
1.24 68% 42% 37% +6 0 1.15 33% 1.2 .39 13% .33 79% .26 0.98 52% 35% 30% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.0 .25 19% .34 75% .25
Nov
3		 Lipscomb A+ A+ F A+ A+ 35% 20% 45% C+ A+ D- F F A+ D+ C D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 18% 48% B+ A+ C+ D C- A+ F F F
1.40 76% 25% 63% +23 0 1.48 24% 0.5 .12 8% .25 71% .17 0.82 41% 11% 25% -17 0 0.68 24% 1.1 .26 24% .39 95% .37
Nov
8		 Central Florida A+ A+ A+ B A+ 32% 12% 56% B A+ B A+ A+ A+ D A+ C+ C- C- A F D- 41% 27% 31% B- D A F C C+ F D+ F
1.42 74% 71% 36% +11 +1 1.25 30% 1.9 .57 8% .25 88% .22 1.25 62% 29% 56% +9 -1 1.20 29% 1.5 .43 16% .45 79% .35
Nov
12		 Eastern Kentucky B- A+ C- A A- 39% 20% 41% C+ A- B F F+ B- F F F A+ C- C A+ A+ 13% 30% 57% A A+ A+ B A B F+ D+ F+
1.26 78% 42% 42% +13 0 1.29 38% 0.6 .22 14% .25 63% .16 0.85 57% 38% 23% -10 -3 0.76 23% 1.0 .23 19% .32 74% .24
Nov
15		 Arkansas Pine Bluff A B C- D- D+ 34% 14% 52% C D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ C- A+ C- F C 31% 25% 43% C+ C B+ C+ B C- F C+ F
1.40 65% 38% 30% -1 +1 1.02 49% 1.5 .72 9% .49 76% .37 1.01 38% 38% 41% -2 -1 0.96 21% 0.9 .18 17% .42 73% .31
Nov
20		 Texas Southern A+ A+ A+ C+ A 35% 10% 55% C+ A A+ B- A+ A- D A- C C F+ D F F 20% 50% 30% A+ F B+ A+ A+ C+ F B+ F
1.46 77% 67% 35% +11 +1 1.26 49% 1.2 .57 12% .34 77% .26 0.99 67% 43% 50% +12 -5 1.15 21% 0.3 .06 19% .48 66% .31
Nov
26		 Western Kentucky C- A- F B+ B- 37% 20% 43% C+ B- F+ B- D D- A+ C A+ A- D+ A+ D+ C- 38% 18% 44% C C- C A+ A+ A+ F B- F
1.03 67% 20% 38% +2 0 1.06 20% 1.0 .20 21% .58 70% .41 0.97 58% 11% 36% -3 0 0.96 32% 0.6 .18 21% .52 73% .38
Nov
27		 Virginia Commonwealth A B- A+ A+ A+ 43% 18% 39% C+ A+ B F+ C- F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 35% 10% 55% C A+ A+ F B B F D+ F
1.18 58% 50% 53% +13 +1 1.30 33% 0.8 .27 23% .57 73% .41 0.98 44% 60% 21% -13 +1 0.78 21% 1.6 .33 17% .56 77% .43
Nov
28		 St. Mary's A+ A+ F A+ A+ 41% 30% 29% D+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A A A+ A+ C+ F B+ B 35% 24% 41% B B A+ D+ A+ A+ D F F+
1.32 83% 12% 44% +6 -1 1.13 31% 1.5 .49 10% .34 82% .27 0.98 56% 45% 32% 0 -1 1.00 21% 1.2 .24 22% .35 90% .32
Dec
3		 SMU A+ A+ A+ F A+ 45% 17% 38% A- A+ F+ A+ C A+ F+ A+ D A+ D- A A+ A+ 33% 41% 25% A+ A+ D F+ F+ A F C F
1.30 81% 60% 27% +10 +1 1.24 21% 1.3 .29 7% .19 83% .16 1.02 71% 33% 15% -5 -3 0.86 40% 1.2 .48 19% .42 74% .31
Dec
13		 Central Arkansas C- D+ A+ F F 31% 6% 63% B- F B A+ A+ B A A A+ A- C A B+ A- 22% 22% 56% A A B F+ C C F C F
1.10 56% 67% 24% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.6 .54 17% .35 82% .29 0.96 58% 25% 30% -6 -1 0.87 23% 1.2 .28 16% .43 70% .30
Dec
17		 Memphis D- D- B F F 29% 24% 47% D+ F+ C+ F D D- A+ B+ A+ A+ B B- A+ A 37% 29% 35% B- A A+ A+ A+ A F D- F
0.90 50% 42% 22% -10 -1 0.80 35% 0.7 .23 23% .61 78% .47 0.82 53% 33% 22% -9 -1 0.81 27% 0.6 .17 23% .40 77% .30
Dec
21		 Wake Forest A+ A+ F A+ A+ 37% 8% 56% B+ A+ D- B+ D+ B+ D C+ D+ A+ A- C- A+ A+ 36% 20% 43% C+ A+ D A+ A A+ F C- F
1.34 84% 25% 52% +23 +2 1.52 22% 1.2 .26 16% .26 75% .20 0.92 50% 44% 21% -10 0 0.82 36% 0.8 .28 23% .57 78% .45
Dec
29		 New Haven A+ A+ F A+ A+ 56% 7% 37% A A+ A+ C- A- B+ F+ A+ D+ A+ C B A+ A 48% 24% 28% D+ A- A- A- A- C+ A+ C A+
1.40 75% 25% 43% +13 +3 1.35 39% 1.1 .43 13% .20 92% .18 0.77 58% 31% 13% -11 0 0.81 14% 0.8 .11 19% .13 71% .09
Jan
3		 South Carolina A+ B- A A+ A+ 38% 23% 40% C A+ C B+ B- A B A+ A B- B F A+ A- 38% 15% 47% D+ B+ A+ F B+ F B B- B
1.28 61% 45% 47% +11 0 1.23 29% 1.1 .32 11% .31 83% .26 1.09 55% 63% 24% -5 +1 0.94 15% 1.6 .24 6% .29 78% .23
Jan
7		 Alabama B+ B- D C B 36% 30% 34% C- B- D- A+ A- A A+ B A+ A+ B D+ A+ A+ 26% 16% 57% A A+ D+ D D- B+ F C+ F
1.16 58% 31% 33% -2 -1 0.94 21% 1.8 .36 10% .67 70% .47 1.09 56% 50% 17% -13 0 0.75 38% 1.3 .48 16% .54 76% .41
Jan
10		 LSU B+ A- A+ F B 38% 15% 47% B B B- F D A+ A+ A+ A+ A A F C+ B+ 46% 19% 35% C- B+ B+ A+ A+ A B+ A A-
1.18 65% 75% 24% +1 +1 1.06 32% 0.6 .19 10% .45 79% .36 1.02 50% 50% 33% -2 +1 1.00 29% 0.9 .26 20% .30 71% .21
Jan
14		 Texas D+ F D- A+ C 27% 33% 40% D- C- C F F C D- C+ D B C F F F 38% 24% 38% B F+ F+ A+ B+ A+ D+ F F
0.97 43% 29% 43% -2 -2 0.94 24% 0.4 .10 15% .27 73% .20 1.21 63% 60% 44% +12 0 1.26 44% 0.9 .40 23% .43 86% .37
Jan
17		 Florida A+ B- A+ B A+ 30% 34% 36% D A+ D+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F+ A- F C C 37% 23% 40% A+ B- B F F D F F F
1.29 56% 57% 36% +7 -2 1.11 18% 1.3 .24 5% .32 91% .29 1.35 53% 67% 33% +4 0 1.10 39% 1.7 .67 14% .48 83% .40
Jan
20		 Arkansas C+ A- F F F 24% 25% 51% D- F D A+ A+ B+ A B+ A D- F B- F+ F+ 46% 25% 30% C+ D- C- B C+ D+ A+ F A
1.01 67% 15% 19% -15 -2 0.69 24% 2.2 .53 15% .33 74% .24 1.38 81% 36% 41% +13 0 1.28 36% 1.2 .43 10% .20 83% .17
Jan
24		 Mississippi St. A A+ A- F A 40% 22% 38% A- A+ F A+ B B F A+ D- A+ A C+ A+ A+ 26% 25% 49% B A+ A+ A- A+ A+ C- B- C
1.19 79% 46% 26% +6 0 1.13 17% 2.0 .33 12% .17 91% .15 0.76 50% 38% 19% -13 -1 0.74 23% 0.9 .20 23% .30 65% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Kentucky A- F B+ A- C+ 38% 14% 48% A B A C+ B+ A A+ A A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 31% 33% 37% A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ C A+ B+
1.14 42% 43% 38% -3 +1 0.98 35% 0.8 .30 13% .41 80% .33 0.79 53% 19% 22% -14 -2 0.69 30% 0.9 .28 21% .35 58% .20
Jan
31		 Mississippi B- A+ C+ F C+ 30% 11% 60% A- B- B+ D+ B- B- A C+ A- B F B B B- 21% 48% 31% A+ B+ D A+ B A F D- F
1.11 79% 40% 25% -2 +1 1.00 35% 1.0 .35 17% .40 71% .28 1.06 78% 35% 31% +1 -5 0.95 34% 0.8 .28 17% .47 80% .38
Feb
7		 Oklahoma A- C- D- B+ C+ 28% 28% 45% D+ C B+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C- D- F B+ D+ 44% 23% 33% C C- C+ F F+ A F B- F
1.23 54% 31% 38% 0 -2 0.98 38% 1.9 .72 18% .51 84% .42 1.24 67% 55% 31% +6 0 1.15 33% 1.6 .53 19% .48 72% .35
Feb
10		 Auburn A+ B- F A- B- 40% 14% 47% B+ B- A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ F A+ 51% 14% 35% D A+ F D- F D+ F D+ F
1.31 59% 17% 40% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.4 .50 11% .53 87% .46 1.19 44% 0% 41% -9 +2 0.88 51% 1.2 .60 12% .48 78% .37
Feb
14		 Texas A&M A- C D C C 30% 19% 51% C C B A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ 47% 9% 45% C- A+ D+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+
1.18 57% 33% 33% -2 0 0.98 34% 1.3 .43 13% .48 79% .38 0.99 59% 0% 31% -5 +2 0.97 36% 0.5 .18 16% .17 50% .09
Feb
18		 Missouri A- F A+ A+ B+ 37% 20% 43% B B+ A D- B- B B- B B B A- A+ F C+ 43% 18% 39% C+ C+ B+ A- A B F F F
1.14 40% 55% 43% +3 0 1.07 40% 0.8 .30 16% .31 78% .24 1.16 53% 13% 53% +4 +1 1.11 32% 1.0 .32 20% .57 78% .45
Feb
21		 Tennessee B- F B+ A+ A- 33% 25% 42% C- B+ C D- C- B B+ C B B+ A- A D+ A+ 55% 21% 23% D+ A A A A+ D- D+ C- D+
1.03 44% 42% 40% 0 -1 1.00 24% 0.8 .18 16% .34 67% .23 1.09 50% 30% 36% -5 +1 0.94 39% 0.9 .33 14% .39 71% .28
Feb
25		 Georgia A+ A+ C F A+ 40% 16% 44% B- A+ C+ B B A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ B A D- B+ 34% 21% 45% A B+ A+ F B- D+ F C F
1.33 85% 38% 27% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.0 .34 8% .39 88% .34 1.21 56% 30% 38% 0 0 1.02 24% 1.5 .36 12% .50 76% .38
Feb
28		 Kentucky A A+ A+ F A+ 21% 30% 49% D- A+ D A C B- F A+ D+ F+ F C F F 33% 24% 43% A- F A+ F C- B- F F F
1.13 91% 69% 27% +11 -2 1.19 21% 1.0 .21 16% .19 91% .18 1.34 87% 36% 50% +19 -1 1.39 27% 1.7 .45 16% .44 80% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 1.7 1.7 3rd
4th 0.1 21.3 21.4 4th
5th 3.1 6.7 9.8 5th
6th 17.5 0.4 18.0 6th
7th 0.5 25.6 26.1 7th
8th 3.6 8.0 11.6 8th
9th 7.8 0.7 8.4 9th
10th 3.0 3.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 14.8 55.0 30.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 30.2% 100.0% 8.0% 92.0% 4.2 0.2 1.6 5.2 10.1 10.7 2.4 0.1 100.0%
10-8 55.0% 99.9% 4.4% 95.5% 5.2 0.1 1.9 7.9 23.8 17.9 3.2 0.2 0.0 99.9%
9-9 14.8% 99.7% 3.3% 96.4% 6.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.7 3.4 0.6 0.0 0.1 99.7%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.9% 5.4% 94.6% 5.0 0.1 99.9%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.4% 100.0% 2.4 8.8 47.1 36.4 7.4 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.8% 100.0% 3.5 0.4 8.5 41.4 40.5 9.0 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.3% 100.0% 4.1 0.1 1.2 20.4 45.2 30.2 2.9
Lose Out 5.7% 99.5% 6.5 0.2 9.9 41.8 38.2 8.6 0.8