IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Vanderbilt
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+13.5	#31
Expected Predictive Rating	+5.5	#59

Pace	72.9	#71
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+8.5	#23

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.0	#46

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
#1 Seed	2.0%	2.7%	0.5%
Top 2 Seed	5.5%	7.4%	1.9%
Top 4 Seed	17.3%	21.8%	8.8%
Top 6 Seed	31.4%	37.8%	19.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid	60.8%	68.2%	46.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	59.1%	66.5%	45.4%
Average Seed	6.3	6.1	7.0

.500 or above	80.8%	87.6%	67.8%
.500 or above in Conference	50.9%	56.4%	40.4%
Conference Champion	4.4%	5.6%	2.1%
Last Place in Conference	6.5%	4.9%	9.6%

First Four	5.3%	5.2%	5.7%
First Round	58.1%	65.7%	43.7%
Second Round	40.6%	46.9%	28.5%
Sweet Sixteen	17.9%	21.7%	10.8%
Elite Eight	7.8%	9.8%	4.1%
Final Four	3.1%	3.9%	1.6%
Championship Game	1.3%	1.6%	0.6%
National Champion	0.5%	0.6%	0.3%

Next Game: Central Florida (Away) - 65.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 6	2 - 6
Quad 1b	3 - 3	6 - 10
Quad 2	5 - 2	11 - 12
Quad 3	2 - 0	13 - 12
Quad 4	6 - 0	19 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	244	Lipscomb	W	105-61	96%	1 - 0			+36.6	+22.1	+11.6
Nov 08, 2025	83	@ Central Florida	W	83-79	66%
Nov 12, 2025	173	Eastern Kentucky	W	86-68	95%
Nov 15, 2025	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	99-61	100.0%
Nov 20, 2025	296	Texas Southern	W	88-64	99%
Nov 26, 2025	157	Western Kentucky	W	87-73	89%
Dec 03, 2025	47	SMU	W	81-76	67%
Dec 13, 2025	360	Central Arkansas	W	89-58	99.7%
Dec 17, 2025	55	@ Memphis	W	79-78	53%
Dec 21, 2025	67	@ Wake Forest	W	76-74	58%
Dec 29, 2025	362	New Haven	W	90-59	99.7%
Jan 03, 2026	77	@ South Carolina	W	74-71	61%
Jan 06, 2026	19	Alabama	W	86-85	52%
Jan 10, 2026	56	LSU	W	80-73	72%
Jan 14, 2026	38	@ Texas	L	75-77	41%
Jan 17, 2026	6	Florida	L	78-81	40%
Jan 20, 2026	15	@ Arkansas	L	76-82	29%
Jan 24, 2026	32	@ Mississippi St.	L	75-78	41%
Jan 27, 2026	7	Kentucky	L	79-81	43%
Jan 31, 2026	30	@ Mississippi	L	74-77	39%
Feb 07, 2026	48	Oklahoma	W	80-75	67%
Feb 10, 2026	35	@ Auburn	L	77-79	41%
Feb 14, 2026	40	Texas A&M	W	76-72	63%
Feb 18, 2026	37	@ Missouri	L	78-80	42%
Feb 21, 2026	17	Tennessee	W	70-69	51%
Feb 25, 2026	39	Georgia	W	78-74	63%
Feb 28, 2026	7	@ Kentucky	L	76-84	25%
Mar 04, 2026	30	Mississippi	W	77-74	59%
Mar 07, 2026	17	@ Tennessee	L	67-73	31%
Projected Record						18 - 11	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	1.3	0.8	0.3	0.1		4.4	1st
2nd												0.1	0.9	2.0	1.7	0.6	0.1				5.3	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.9	2.7	2.0	0.5	0.0					6.2	3rd
4th											0.5	2.5	2.6	0.7	0.0						6.3	4th
5th										0.1	2.2	3.4	0.9	0.1							6.6	5th
6th									0.0	1.2	4.0	1.8	0.1								7.2	6th
7th								0.0	0.4	3.6	3.0	0.3	0.0								7.3	7th
8th								0.1	2.0	4.2	1.0	0.0									7.4	8th
9th							0.0	0.8	4.0	2.1	0.1										7.0	9th
10th							0.3	2.7	3.7	0.5											7.2	10th
11th						0.1	1.6	4.2	1.3	0.1											7.3	11th
12th					0.0	0.8	3.2	2.4	0.2												6.6	12th
13th				0.0	0.5	2.5	3.0	0.6	0.0												6.6	13th
14th			0.1	0.4	1.8	2.7	1.0	0.1													6.1	14th
15th		0.0	0.5	1.3	1.9	1.0	0.1														4.9	15th
16th	0.1	0.7	1.1	1.0	0.5	0.1															3.5	16th

Total	0.1	0.7	1.6	2.7	4.8	7.2	9.3	10.9	11.6	11.8	10.9	8.9	7.4	5.3	3.6	1.9	0.8	0.3	0.1			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	89.3%	0.8		0.6	0.2	0.0
15-3	67.9%	1.3		0.7	0.4	0.1
14-4	37.6%	1.3		0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0
13-5	11.6%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.2%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.4%	4.4		2.3	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%							0.1	0.0
17-1	0.3%		100.0%	37.3%	62.7%	1.3		0.2	0.1																	100.0%
16-2	0.8%		100.0%	27.4%	72.6%	1.9		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
15-3	1.9%		100.0%	24.8%	75.2%	2.0		0.6	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0														100.0%
14-4	3.6%		100.0%	18.7%	81.3%	2.7		0.5	1.0	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.1													100.0%
13-5	5.3%		99.9%	13.0%	86.9%	3.6		0.2	0.8	1.6	1.4	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0								0.0		99.9%
12-6	7.4%		99.9%	9.4%	90.5%	4.5		0.1	0.4	1.4	2.1	1.8	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.9%
11-7	8.9%		99.1%	6.2%	92.9%	5.6		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	2.2	2.1	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.1		99.0%
10-8	10.9%		96.5%	2.7%	93.8%	6.8		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	2.3	2.6	2.0	1.0	0.4	0.0						0.4		96.4%
9-9	11.8%		88.0%	1.4%	86.6%	8.0				0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	2.1	2.7	2.0	1.3	0.5	0.0					1.4		87.9%
8-10	11.6%		64.9%	0.8%	64.1%	9.1					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.3	1.6	2.1	1.4	0.1					4.1		64.6%
7-11	10.9%		31.3%	0.4%	30.8%	10.1							0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	1.2	1.3	0.1					7.5		31.0%
6-12	9.3%		8.0%	0.3%	7.7%	10.6								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.1					8.6		7.7%
5-13	7.2%		1.0%	0.1%	0.9%	10.7									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					7.1		0.9%
4-14	4.8%																							4.8
3-15	2.7%																							2.7
2-16	1.6%																							1.6
1-17	0.7%																							0.7
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		60.8%	4.1%	56.7%	6.3		2.0	3.6	5.6	6.2	6.9	7.3	7.6	7.2	5.4	5.2	3.7	0.2					39.2		59.1%