Gardner-Webb
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#221
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#169
Pace72.5#85
Improvement-3.1#342

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#229
First Shot+0.4#167
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#315
Layup/Dunks+3.8#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#250
Freethrows+0.1#175
Improvement-2.5#342

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#205
First Shot-0.9#204
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#192
Layups/Dunks-3.8#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#163
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#102
Freethrows+0.2#181
Improvement-0.5#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 9.4% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 48.8% 55.4% 31.7%
.500 or above in Conference 57.9% 60.8% 50.6%
Conference Champion 9.4% 10.4% 6.5%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 5.6% 9.2%
First Four1.5% 1.3% 1.9%
First Round8.0% 8.8% 6.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 72.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 84 - 12
Quad 411 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 4   @ Tennessee L 64-80 2%     0 - 1 +7.2 +5.8 +0.9
  Nov 08, 2024 281   @ NC Central W 88-82 51%     1 - 1 +2.6 +8.5 -6.1
  Nov 11, 2024 36   @ Pittsburgh L 64-83 5%     1 - 2 -3.7 -5.3 +2.4
  Nov 15, 2024 173   Elon W 80-79 52%     2 - 2 -2.8 +9.4 -12.2
  Nov 19, 2024 205   @ Charlotte L 54-60 34%     2 - 3 -5.0 -13.8 +8.2
  Nov 26, 2024 227   SE Louisiana W 73-69 51%     3 - 3 +0.4 -1.2 +1.5
  Nov 27, 2024 288   Bethune-Cookman W 79-64 63%     4 - 3 +8.4 +0.5 +6.9
  Nov 29, 2024 132   @ Belmont L 74-83 23%     4 - 4 -4.5 -3.6 -0.3
  Dec 04, 2024 142   @ Wofford L 64-88 24%     4 - 5 -20.0 -5.7 -15.7
  Dec 07, 2024 281   NC Central W 76-70 72%    
  Dec 14, 2024 290   Queens W 80-74 73%    
  Dec 17, 2024 235   @ Georgia Southern L 77-79 42%    
  Dec 21, 2024 159   @ East Carolina L 66-72 28%    
  Jan 02, 2025 276   @ Charleston Southern W 74-73 50%    
  Jan 04, 2025 248   Presbyterian W 74-70 66%    
  Jan 08, 2025 179   Winthrop W 77-76 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 141   @ High Point L 72-79 25%    
  Jan 15, 2025 189   @ Radford L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 18, 2025 343   South Carolina Upstate W 85-74 85%    
  Jan 22, 2025 193   UNC Asheville W 75-74 54%    
  Jan 29, 2025 202   Longwood W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 01, 2025 179   @ Winthrop L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 05, 2025 193   @ UNC Asheville L 72-77 33%    
  Feb 08, 2025 276   Charleston Southern W 76-70 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 343   @ South Carolina Upstate W 82-77 68%    
  Feb 19, 2025 202   @ Longwood L 71-75 35%    
  Feb 22, 2025 141   High Point L 75-76 45%    
  Feb 26, 2025 189   Radford W 71-70 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 248   @ Presbyterian L 71-73 44%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 9.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.0 4.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 5.0 5.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 12.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.9 6.6 1.6 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.7 6.9 1.8 0.1 14.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.0 6.7 2.4 0.1 13.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.8 5.4 2.1 0.1 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.2 3.2 1.4 0.1 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 3.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 5.0 8.0 11.3 14.3 15.1 14.4 11.6 8.2 5.0 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
14-2 98.7% 1.0    1.0 0.1
13-3 89.1% 2.1    1.7 0.5 0.0
12-4 63.2% 3.2    1.6 1.3 0.2 0.0
11-5 26.7% 2.2    0.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.9% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.4% 9.4 5.1 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 32.2% 32.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.0% 35.4% 35.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7
13-3 2.4% 26.7% 26.7% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.8
12-4 5.0% 23.7% 23.7% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 3.8
11-5 8.2% 17.3% 17.3% 14.7 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 6.8
10-6 11.6% 12.0% 12.0% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 10.2
9-7 14.4% 8.3% 8.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 13.2
8-8 15.1% 7.1% 7.1% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 14.0
7-9 14.3% 4.9% 4.9% 15.9 0.1 0.6 13.6
6-10 11.3% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 10.9
5-11 8.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.9
4-12 5.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.9
3-13 2.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-14 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.3 2.8 91.3 0.0%