IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Gardner-Webb
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.8	#318
Expected Predictive Rating	-2.4	#296

Pace	71.9	#86
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.2	#322

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.6	#301

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.1%	3.2%	1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.2	14.7	15.4

.500 or above	3.6%	14.7%	3.5%
.500 or above in Conference	8.9%	20.2%	8.8%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.5%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	34.1%	17.0%	34.2%

First Four	0.6%	0.9%	0.6%
First Round	0.8%	2.3%	0.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 8
Quad 3	1 - 7	2 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 6	7 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	72	@ Minnesota	L	60-87	5%	0 - 1			-16.4	-9.2	-6.5
Nov 07, 2025	41	@ Clemson	L	56-80	1%
Nov 15, 2025	230	@ Elon	L	66-74	23%
Nov 18, 2025	80	@ DePaul	L	63-81	5%
Nov 22, 2025	129	@ Richmond	L	61-75	11%
Nov 26, 2025	169	Navy	L	68-76	24%
Nov 28, 2025	259	SE Louisiana	L	69-73	37%
Nov 29, 2025	119	@ UNC Wilmington	L	64-78	10%
Dec 03, 2025	245	@ Queens	L	71-78	26%
Dec 06, 2025	243	Georgia Southern	L	75-76	45%
Dec 15, 2025	231	Wofford	L	68-70	44%
Dec 21, 2025	17	@ Tennessee	L	53-81	1%
Jan 03, 2026	153	@ Winthrop	L	73-85	16%
Jan 07, 2026	88	@ High Point	L	64-82	6%
Jan 14, 2026	160	Radford	L	67-72	32%
Jan 17, 2026	308	Presbyterian	W	70-68	56%
Jan 21, 2026	212	@ Longwood	L	70-79	22%
Jan 24, 2026	330	South Carolina Upstate	W	81-77	63%
Jan 29, 2026	179	@ UNC Asheville	L	69-79	19%
Feb 04, 2026	212	Longwood	L	73-76	39%
Feb 07, 2026	308	@ Presbyterian	L	67-71	37%
Feb 12, 2026	153	Winthrop	L	76-82	31%
Feb 14, 2026	88	@ High Point	L	64-82	7%
Feb 19, 2026	160	@ Radford	L	64-75	17%
Feb 26, 2026	179	UNC Asheville	L	72-76	36%
Feb 28, 2026	330	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	78-80	43%
Projected Record						7 - 19	4 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.2	1st
2nd									0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.8	2nd
3rd								0.1	0.5	1.1	0.7	0.1							2.4	3rd
4th							0.1	1.2	2.2	1.2	0.2								4.9	4th
5th					0.0	0.5	2.6	4.1	1.6	0.2	0.0								9.0	5th
6th				0.1	1.4	5.0	5.8	2.2	0.2	0.0									14.7	6th
7th			0.4	2.9	7.5	7.5	2.4	0.2											20.9	7th
8th	0.1	1.3	5.4	9.2	7.1	2.0	0.2	0.0											25.3	8th
9th	2.7	6.8	7.4	4.0	0.9	0.1													21.8	9th

Total	2.8	8.1	13.2	16.2	16.9	15.1	11.1	7.8	4.6	2.6	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0						Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	80.0%	0.0		0.0
12-4	45.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
11-5	17.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	1.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0
9-7	0.2%	0.0						0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
12-4	0.1%		20.8%	20.8%		13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
11-5	0.4%		16.5%	16.5%		13.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4
10-6	1.2%		8.5%	8.5%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		1.1
9-7	2.6%		4.0%	4.0%		18.3															0.0	0.1	0.1	2.5
8-8	4.6%		3.8%	3.8%		17.9															0.0	0.1	0.1	4.4
7-9	7.8%		2.3%	2.3%		15.9																0.0	0.2	7.6
6-10	11.1%		1.8%	1.8%		16.7															0.0	0.0	0.2	10.9
5-11	15.1%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	15.0
4-12	16.9%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	16.9
3-13	16.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	16.1
2-14	13.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.1
1-15	8.1%																							8.1
0-16	2.8%																							2.8

Total	100%		1.1%	1.1%	0.0%	16.2													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.8	98.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%