Gardner-Webb
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.5#362
Expected Predictive Rating-16.9#351
Pace76.5#34
Improvement-0.6#216

Offense
Total Offense-8.3#353
First Shot-6.4#345
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#302
Layup/Dunks-1.4#236
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#331
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#203
Freethrows-1.5#276
Improvement-0.6#222

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#350
First Shot-6.5#352
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#247
Layups/Dunks-5.3#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#71
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#351
Freethrows+3.2#26
Improvement+0.1#176
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 1.6% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 85.3% 66.0% 85.7%
First Four0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Away) - 2.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 30 - 60 - 13
Quad 42 - 112 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 96 @Minnesota L 60-87 2%     0 - 1 -18.2 -9.8 -7.6
  Fri, Nov 7 40 @Clemson L 59-97 1%     0 - 2 -22.8 -5.9 -16.8
  Sat, Nov 15 166 @Elon L 84-95 6%     0 - 3 -8.5 +2.3 -10.0
  Tue, Nov 18 115 @DePaul L 62-93 3%     0 - 4 -24.7 -12.9 -8.2
  Sat, Nov 22 104 @Richmond L 67-102 3%     0 - 5 -27.5 -6.1 -19.1
  Wed, Nov 26 203 Navy L 51-84 12%     0 - 6 -35.7 -19.1 -18.3
  Fri, Nov 28 266 SE Louisiana L 68-76 18%     0 - 7 -13.7 -6.8 -6.7
  Sat, Nov 29 120 @UNC Wilmington L 62-88 3%     0 - 8 -20.2 -8.6 -11.9
  Wed, Dec 3 211 @Queens L 74-107 8%     0 - 9 -33.3 -7.5 -24.3
  Sat, Dec 6 213 Georgia Southern L 84-88 19%     0 - 10 -10.4 +0.6 -10.6
  Mon, Dec 15 220 Wofford L 57-83 20%     0 - 11 -32.8 -18.8 -14.3
  Sun, Dec 21 14 @Tennessee L 52-94 0.4%    0 - 12 -21.4 -9.8 -11.6
  Sat, Jan 3 125 @Winthrop L 72-93 2%    
  Wed, Jan 7 101 @High Point L 70-94 1%    
  Wed, Jan 14 261 Radford L 80-87 26%    
  Sat, Jan 17 286 Presbyterian L 67-73 29%    
  Wed, Jan 21 298 @Longwood L 73-84 16%    
  Sat, Jan 24 264 South Carolina Upstate L 73-80 26%    
  Thu, Jan 29 232 @UNC Asheville L 68-82 10%    
  Wed, Feb 4 298 Longwood L 76-81 32%    
  Sat, Feb 7 286 @Presbyterian L 64-76 14%    
  Thu, Feb 12 125 Winthrop L 75-90 9%    
  Sat, Feb 14 101 @High Point L 70-94 2%    
  Thu, Feb 19 261 @Radford L 77-90 12%    
  Thu, Feb 26 232 UNC Asheville L 71-79 23%    
  Sat, Feb 28 264 @South Carolina Upstate L 70-83 12%    
Projected Record 2 - 24 2 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.9 5.8 1.2 0.0 17.3 8th
9th 13.0 24.7 22.3 11.1 2.5 0.1 73.7 9th
Total 13.0 25.1 25.2 18.5 10.8 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.2% 0.2
7-9 0.5% 0.5
6-10 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
5-11 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
4-12 10.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.8
3-13 18.5% 18.5
2-14 25.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 25.2
1-15 25.1% 25.1
0-16 13.0% 13.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.9%