High Point
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +5.8 89
Expected Predictive Rating +4.8 96
Pace 72.9 68
Improvement -1.6 247

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 59 C+ B- B+ B+ B
Defense C 169 D+ C- A C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 71 B 63% 73 +4.6 37
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 309 C- 36% 249 -3.2 329
Three Pointers 44% 125 C- 33% 230 +0.6 157
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.2 37 C+ +0.9 136
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 114
Second Chance C+ 31.5% 153 B+ 1.16 38 B- 0.37 72
Turnovers B+ 13.8% 26
Freethrows B+ 0.36 38 B- 75% 78 B+ 0.27 28
Total Offense B +5.8 59

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 165 D+ 61% 272 +1.7 238
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 294 C- 40% 244 -1.1 100
Three Pointers 44% 88 C 34% 199 +1.8 279
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 266 D+ +1.8 250
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 259
Second Chance C- 31.6% 225 C- 1.08 260 C- 0.34 253
Turnovers A 21.8% 11
Freethrows C- 0.32 226 C 72% 156 C- 0.23 222
Total Defense C +0.0 169

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.8 42 17.8 266
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 14 0.17 177
Improvement -2.8 #321 +1.3 #116

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 55% 56% 51%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.5 12.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 82% 84% 68%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round55% 56% 51%
Second Round6% 6% 4%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Home) - 87.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 35 - 35 - 4
Quad 421 - 126 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 174 Furman W 97 - 71 74% +17  89% 1 - 0 A+ +25 A+ +18 A+ B- A+ B+ +6 C- C+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 312 Jacksonville W 85 - 64 94% +11  80% 2 - 0 B +9 B +6 F+ C- A+ B- +3 B- C B
 Fri, Nov 14 125 @UAB L 74 - 91 51% -3  21% 2 - 1 D- -11 D -5 D D+ D D+ -5 F A- B
 Mon, Nov 17 346 Canisius W 93 - 50 97% +25  97% 3 - 1 A+ +27 A+ +18 A+ A- A+ A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 117 Illinois-Chicago W 90 - 80 61% +6  96% 4 - 1 B+ +13 A+ +14 A- C A C- -2 D+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 22 274 Incarnate Word W 91 - 80 87% +5  61% 5 - 1 C+ +4 A+ +16 C+ A+ A- F -11 C+ F C
 Sat, Nov 29 261 Western Carolina W 93 - 73 90% +7  62% 6 - 1 B+ +11 B +6 A+ F F+ B +5 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 128 Southern Illinois L 84 - 86 74% +3  60% 6 - 2 C- -3 B+ +8 B- B- A- F -11 C F C
 Fri, Dec 5 307 NJIT W 89 - 72 94% +12  97% 7 - 2 B- +5 B +5 D+ A A- C -1 F+ C- A+
 Sun, Dec 14 173 Appalachian St. L 78 - 86 OT 74% -2  30% 7 - 3 D -9 C- -1 C- F A- D- -7 F A- C
 Fri, Dec 19 221 La Salle W 84 - 72 87% +8  96% 8 - 3 B- +6 A +12 A- B+ A D -6 D+ C+ C
 Mon, Dec 22 351 Bryant W 93 - 47 97% +27  94% 9 - 3 A+ +30 A+ +19 A+ A+ F A+ +15 B- C A+
 Wed, Dec 31 217 @UNC Asheville W 87 - 69 72% +11  96% 10 - 3 1 - 0 A +18 A+ +16 A+ A C- B- +3 B+ D- F
 Sat, Jan 3 267 Longwood W 80 - 67 91% +7  90% 11 - 3 2 - 0 C+ +4 B +6 C A- B+ C- -2 D- D B+
 Wed, Jan 7 364 Gardner-Webb W 104 - 49 99% +38  99% 12 - 3 3 - 0 A+ +33 B- +5 D A- A- A+ +22 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 255 @Charleston Southern W 84 - 82 OT 78% -2  27% 13 - 3 4 - 0 C -0 D+ -4 D+ D+ C+ B- +3 C+ B- F+
 Wed, Jan 14 129 @Winthrop L 75 - 92 53% -15  3% 13 - 4 4 - 1 D- -12 C +0 C- F B F -12 F F D
 Sat, Jan 17 305 South Carolina Upstate W 89 - 69 94% +7  96% 14 - 4 5 - 1 B +9 A +13 C A+ A+ D+ -4 B F A-
 Fri, Jan 23 228 @Radford W 93 - 83 74% +1  55% 15 - 4 6 - 1 B +9 A +12 A D A+ C- -3 F B- A+
 Thu, Jan 29 275 Presbyterian W 84 - 81 92% +2  66% 16 - 4 7 - 1 D+ -7 B +6 F+ B+ A+ F -13 F F B-
 Sat, Jan 31 267 @Longwood W 71 - 59 80% +6  77% 17 - 4 8 - 1 B +9 C+ +3 D+ D A+ A- +7 B- C A+
 Wed, Feb 4 255 Charleston Southern W 80 - 55 90% +11  89% 18 - 4 9 - 1 A- +17 C +0 C+ B- C+ A+ +16 C- B+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 228 Radford W 86 - 77 88% +3  85% 19 - 4 10 - 1 C+ +2 D+ -4 F+ D C+ B+ +5 B+ F+ A+
 Thu, Feb 12 305 @South Carolina Upstate W 95 - 70 85% +15  96% 20 - 4 11 - 1 A +20 A +13 D A+ A B+ +5 F C+ A+
 Sat, Feb 14 364 @Gardner-Webb W 112 - 87 97% +15  98% 21 - 4 12 - 1 B +9 A+ +17 A- A- F F -10 F A+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 217 UNC Asheville W 82 - 70 87%
 Sat, Feb 21 129 Winthrop W 86 - 79 74%
 Thu, Feb 26 275 @Presbyterian W 79 - 70 81%
Totals 23 - 5 14 - 2 +6 B +6 B C+ B C +0 C- B- B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B C- C- C+ 43% 27% 44% B C+ C+ B+ B- B+ B+ B- B+ C D+ C- C D+ 39% 17% 44% D+ D+ C- C- C- A C- C C-
1.17 63% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.06 32% 1.2 .37 14% .36 75% .27 1.09 61% 40% 34% +2 +1 1.07 32% 1.1 .34 22% .32 72% .26
Nov
3		 Furman A+ A+ C+ A- A+ 43% 28% 30% C- A+ D A+ B- A+ D+ F F+ B+ D- D- B+ C- 40% 17% 44% C+ C- F A+ C+ A+ F F+ F
1.33 81% 41% 39% +13 -1 1.26 26% 1.3 .34 8% .22 53% .12 0.97 68% 50% 29% +3 +1 1.08 44% 0.6 .26 30% .37 74% .27
Nov
11		 Jacksonville B D F C F 48% 13% 38% B F+ D B+ C- A+ A A A+ B- B A+ B- B+ 32% 8% 60% F+ B- D B+ C B C- B- C
1.23 56% 14% 35% -4 +2 0.98 25% 1.1 .28 4% .46 77% .35 0.93 50% 0% 30% -9 +1 0.86 32% 0.9 .29 20% .29 69% .20
Nov
14		 UAB D A D F D- 42% 18% 40% B- D C+ F+ D+ D A+ D A+ D+ D F C+ F 48% 27% 25% C F A- B+ A- B F F+ F
0.95 70% 30% 18% -6 +1 0.91 28% 0.7 .20 19% .49 71% .35 1.16 64% 50% 31% +5 0 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 14% .52 77% .40
Nov
17		 Canisius A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 37% 11% 53% B A+ D- A+ A- A+ F A F A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 25% 38% C A+ F C- F A+ F B+ F
1.40 81% 67% 37% +14 +1 1.32 26% 1.7 .44 9% .17 80% .13 0.75 33% 30% 20% -19 -1 0.63 39% 0.9 .37 32% .55 64% .35
Nov
20		 Illinois-Chicago A+ C+ F A A- 39% 11% 50% B A- C- C+ C A A+ A- A+ C- F C+ A+ D 33% 23% 44% B- D+ F D F A+ F C+ F
1.23 59% 20% 41% +3 +1 1.11 34% 1.0 .34 16% .61 81% .49 1.10 81% 36% 24% +1 -1 1.02 48% 1.1 .55 25% .44 71% .31
Nov
22		 Incarnate Word A+ B+ A F+ C 56% 8% 35% A- C+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F B- F+ B+ B- 32% 22% 46% C C+ F+ F F C F F F
1.39 67% 50% 29% +3 +3 1.15 54% 1.5 .82 12% .54 84% .45 1.22 50% 45% 30% -3 -1 0.94 38% 1.4 .54 15% .40 77% .31
Nov
29		 Western Carolina B A A+ A+ A+ 34% 21% 45% C- A+ C F F F+ B- D- C B F F C- F 31% 24% 45% B+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ D A C
1.25 72% 64% 46% +18 0 1.38 29% 0.6 .18 19% .35 71% .25 0.98 75% 58% 35% +11 -1 1.22 30% 0.1 .03 26% .33 61% .20
Dec
3		 Southern Illinois B+ D- F A+ C+ 42% 15% 42% B B- C+ B- B- A- A B+ A+ F C+ A+ F C 45% 24% 31% D C D F F C A D B+
1.13 50% 25% 41% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.1 .33 15% .38 75% .29 1.16 58% 29% 39% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.8 .58 16% .23 71% .16
Dec
5		 NJIT B C- F D- D- 49% 9% 42% A D+ C A+ A A- C B- C+ C C+ F D F+ 22% 8% 69% F+ F+ B F C- A+ C+ D- C
1.21 57% 0% 29% -7 +2 0.93 34% 1.4 .49 11% .35 74% .26 0.98 55% 50% 35% +2 0 1.06 22% 1.1 .25 26% .29 75% .22
Dec
14		 Appalachian St. C- C F D 37% 0% 63% A C- B- F F A- A+ F B D- A+ F F F 36% 13% 51% D+ F A C A- C F F F
1.03 55% 27% -8 +3 0.92 33% 0.5 .16 11% .40 56% .22 1.14 42% 57% 48% +8 +1 1.19 21% 1.0 .21 16% .41 73% .30
Dec
19		 La Salle A D+ F A+ A- 36% 11% 53% B A- D+ A+ B+ A A+ A A+ D C B- D D+ 48% 26% 26% C- D+ B C- C+ C F F F
1.28 53% 20% 48% +7 +1 1.19 26% 1.6 .42 12% .48 75% .36 1.10 55% 36% 36% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.0 .30 18% .60 81% .48
Dec
22		 Bryant A+ B A+ A- A 54% 5% 41% A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ D A+ A+ A- F A+ B+ 54% 5% 41% F B- C C C A+ D A+ C+
1.45 64% 100% 41% +11 +3 1.29 58% 1.5 .88 20% .63 69% .43 0.73 45% 100% 20% -12 +3 0.84 28% 1.0 .28 34% .31 62% .19
Dec
31		 UNC Asheville A+ A+ F A+ A+ 40% 19% 42% C- A+ F A+ A C- A+ B+ A+ B- F A+ A+ A- 32% 38% 30% C B+ B+ F D- F F A D+
1.30 82% 25% 50% +17 0 1.37 19% 2.3 .43 16% .47 73% .34 1.03 81% 26% 20% -3 -3 0.90 24% 1.5 .36 12% .41 63% .25
Jan
3		 Longwood B A+ F F C- 51% 8% 41% A- C D- A+ A- B+ B A- A- C- D- A- C- D- 44% 16% 40% F+ D- C- F+ D B+ A A- A
1.21 77% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.12 22% 1.7 .37 15% .39 77% .30 1.01 65% 29% 33% +1 +1 1.07 33% 1.1 .36 23% .23 67% .16
Jan
7		 Gardner-Webb B- D+ A+ F D- 48% 12% 40% B+ D B- A A- A- A B A A+ A+ F A+ A+ 36% 13% 52% C A+ B+ F C- A+ A+ A+ A+
1.31 59% 71% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.3 .50 11% .37 77% .28 0.62 40% 43% 17% -19 +1 0.66 18% 1.3 .23 30% .11 33% .04
Jan
10		 Charleston Southern D+ B- F C- D 49% 25% 25% B- D+ C+ F D+ C+ A+ F A B- A+ F F+ C+ 46% 10% 44% D C+ A+ F B- F+ B- A- B
1.04 59% 13% 33% -6 0 0.90 31% 0.8 .25 11% .56 60% .33 1.01 41% 67% 39% -1 +2 1.03 19% 1.1 .21 15% .22 60% .13
Jan
14		 Winthrop C A F+ F D+ 35% 12% 53% B- C- C+ F F B A+ D+ A+ F D- B- D+ F+ 44% 6% 50% F+ F C F F D F A F
1.06 71% 33% 27% -2 +1 1.00 32% 0.5 .15 14% .46 71% .33 1.31 64% 33% 36% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.5 .52 13% .54 67% .36
Jan
17		 South Carolina Upstate A C A+ F+ C- 47% 15% 38% B- C B- A+ A+ A+ B- C B- D+ A A+ C- B+ 38% 16% 46% D B F D+ F A- C F+ D+
1.31 58% 50% 29% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 7% .33 71% .24 1.02 42% 25% 35% -8 +1 0.88 40% 1.0 .40 22% .30 75% .23
Jan
23		 Radford A A- F A+ A 37% 8% 55% B- A F A D A+ A+ B A+ C- D- C- F F 43% 9% 47% F+ F D A B- A+ B- C B-
1.26 68% 25% 43% +10 +2 1.25 21% 1.3 .28 10% .50 76% .38 1.13 65% 40% 40% +8 +2 1.21 32% 0.8 .26 24% .32 72% .23
Jan
29		 Presbyterian B C- A F F 53% 11% 36% B+ F+ B B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F D- C F F 39% 36% 25% A- F D- F F B- F F F
1.22 55% 50% 20% -8 +2 0.91 36% 1.1 .40 6% .43 79% .34 1.18 65% 38% 55% +10 -2 1.18 37% 1.2 .44 22% .45 79% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Longwood C+ B- F D- D- 50% 7% 43% A- D+ F A+ D A+ B A+ A A- D+ A+ B- B- 34% 23% 43% C+ B- D B C A+ A+ D A
1.12 65% 0% 30% -1 +3 1.04 17% 1.2 .21 13% .38 81% .31 0.93 63% 18% 30% -6 -1 0.89 36% 0.8 .30 29% .20 78% .16
Feb
4		 Charleston Southern C B- F F C- 58% 15% 27% A+ C+ B C+ B- C+ D B+ C- A+ F B- B C- 29% 7% 63% C C- F+ A+ B+ A+ A F B-
1.14 59% 25% 27% -4 +2 0.98 33% 1.1 .36 11% .32 75% .24 0.78 75% 33% 31% +2 +1 1.07 35% 0.6 .19 41% .17 86% .14
Feb
7		 Radford D+ C F F F 59% 4% 37% A+ F+ B- F D C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ D F A+ A- 37% 8% 55% D- B+ D F+ F+ A+ F A D-
1.08 59% 0% 22% -8 +4 0.94 35% 0.8 .30 18% .57 84% .47 0.97 63% 50% 21% -7 +2 0.90 33% 1.2 .38 24% .46 64% .30
Feb
12		 South Carolina Upstate A D D+ F+ F+ 47% 5% 48% A D B- A+ A+ A A- B A B+ F+ A+ D+ F+ 45% 11% 45% F F F A C+ A+ F C- F
1.27 52% 33% 29% -7 +3 0.93 34% 1.8 .61 11% .37 76% .28 0.93 65% 25% 35% +3 +2 1.11 36% 0.7 .25 36% .62 70% .44
Feb
14		 Gardner-Webb A+ A+ A+ B+ A 33% 10% 57% C+ A- A+ D A- F A+ A+ A+ F D F F F 56% 11% 33% F F A+ A+ A+ F F A- D-
1.43 79% 67% 39% +14 +1 1.33 52% 0.9 .48 20% .47 90% .42 1.11 60% 67% 50% +12 +2 1.31 0% 0.0 .00 13% .38 62% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1.6 27.6 52.7 82.0 1st
2nd 0.8 7.8 9.4 18.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.8 9.5 37.0 52.7 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 52.7    52.7
14-2 74.6% 27.6    11.5 16.1
13-3 17.1% 1.6    0.3 1.4
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 82.0% 82.0 64.5 17.5



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 52.7% 57.9% 57.9% 12.3 1.6 18.7 9.8 0.4 22.2
14-2 37.0% 53.2% 53.2% 12.7 0.1 6.4 11.5 1.6 0.0 17.3
13-3 9.5% 48.0% 48.0% 12.9 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.5 4.9
12-4 0.8% 41.3% 41.3% 12.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 55.1% 55.1% 0.0% 12.5 44.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 30.5% 100.0% 12.3 5.3 61.3 32.2 1.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 10.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 7.2%