High Point
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +5.9 94
Results Rating +5.5 94
Consistency 0.17 257
Pace 73.2 56
Improvement -1.5 248

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 59 C+ B- B+ B+ B+
Defense C 163 C- D+ A C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 84 B- 62% 87 +3.9 49
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 309 D+ 35% 284 -3.5 336
Three Pointers 45% 99 C- 33% 221 +1.3 137
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.2 34 C +0.6 145
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 113
Second Chance C+ 31.7% 140 B+ 1.16 36 B- 0.37 65
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.7% 32
Other Turnovers B 6.1% 51
Turnovers B+ 13.8% 26
Freethrows B+ 0.36 34 B 76% 72 B+ 0.27 24
Total Offense B +5.7 59

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 45% 251 C- 12.0% 245
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 13% 341 C 5.2% 200
Three Pointers B 89% 61 D 1.5% 318
Total C 56% 167 D+ 6.4% 277


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 135 C- 60% 221 +1.6 230
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 319 C- 39% 213 -1.5 62
Three Pointers 44% 96 C 34% 158 +1.1 242
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 296 C +0.4 202
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 213
Second Chance D+ 32.1% 259 C- 1.07 243 D+ 0.34 262
Turnovers from Steals A+ 14.4% 3
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 226
Turnovers A 21.4% 10
Freethrows C 0.31 205 C 72% 179 C 0.23 211
Total Defense C +0.2 163

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 261 B- 14.1% 65
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 244 D+ 3.1% 287
Three Pointers D 88% 302 B 1.7% 51
Total D+ 60% 291 B- 6.9% 79

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.9 41 17.8 266
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 11 0.18 202
Consistency 0.10 40 0.14 274
Improvement -3.1 325 +1.6 103

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 101 94 83
Results Rating Rank 106 90 84
Conference Record 15 - 1 15 - 1 15 - 1
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 13 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 62% 66% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.5 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round62% 66% 0%
Second Round7% 7% 0%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 34 - 34 - 4
Quad 423 - 026 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 183 Furman W 97 - 71 77% +17  89% 1 - 0 A+ +24 A+ +18 A+ B- A+ B+ +6 C- C+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 293 Jacksonville W 85 - 64 93% +11  80% 2 - 0 B +10 B +6 F+ C A+ B +4 B C+ B+
 Fri, Nov 14 122 @UAB L 74 - 91 50% -3  21% 2 - 1 D -11 D -5 D D+ D D+ -5 F B+ B
 Mon, Nov 17 340 Canisius W 93 - 50 96% +25  97% 3 - 1 A+ +28 A+ +18 A+ A A+ A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 114 Illinois-Chicago W 90 - 80 60% +6  96% 4 - 1 B+ +13 A +14 A- C A C -1 C- F A+
 Sat, Nov 22 266 Incarnate Word W 91 - 80 86% +5  61% 5 - 1 B- +5 A+ +17 C+ A+ A- F -11 C+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 230 Western Carolina W 93 - 73 88% +7  62% 6 - 1 B+ +13 B +6 A+ F+ F+ B+ +6 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 120 Southern Illinois L 84 - 86 72% +3  60% 6 - 2 C- -2 B+ +9 B- B- A F -11 C F C
 Fri, Dec 5 323 NJIT W 89 - 72 95% +12  97% 7 - 2 C+ +4 B- +5 D A A- C- -2 F C- A+
 Sun, Dec 14 172 Appalachian St. L 78 - 86 OT 74% -2  30% 7 - 3 D -9 C- -2 D+ F+ A- D -6 F A- C
 Fri, Dec 19 209 La Salle W 84 - 72 86% +8  96% 8 - 3 B- +6 A +13 A B+ A D- -6 D+ C+ C
 Mon, Dec 22 351 Bryant W 93 - 47 97% +27  94% 9 - 3 A+ +29 A+ +19 A+ A+ F A+ +15 B- C- A+
 Wed, Dec 31 247 @UNC Asheville W 87 - 69 77% +11  96% 10 - 3 1 - 0 A- +16 A+ +15 A+ A C- B- +2 B+ D- F
 Sat, Jan 3 254 Longwood W 80 - 67 90% +7  90% 11 - 3 2 - 0 C+ +5 B +6 C A- B+ C -1 D- D B+
 Wed, Jan 7 362 Gardner-Webb W 104 - 49 99% +38  99% 12 - 3 3 - 0 A+ +34 B +6 D+ A- A- A+ +21 A+ C A+
 Sat, Jan 10 251 @Charleston Southern W 84 - 82 OT 78% -2  27% 13 - 3 4 - 0 C -0 D+ -4 D+ D+ C+ B- +3 C+ B- F+
 Wed, Jan 14 144 @Winthrop L 75 - 92 57% -15  3% 13 - 4 4 - 1 D- -13 C +0 C- F B F -13 F F D
 Sat, Jan 17 302 South Carolina Upstate W 89 - 69 94% +7  96% 14 - 4 5 - 1 B +9 A +14 C A+ A+ D+ -4 B- F A-
 Fri, Jan 23 245 @Radford W 93 - 83 76% +1  55% 15 - 4 6 - 1 B +8 A +12 A D A+ D+ -4 F C+ A+
 Thu, Jan 29 271 Presbyterian W 84 - 81 91% +2  66% 16 - 4 7 - 1 D+ -6 B +6 F+ B+ A+ F -12 F F B
 Sat, Jan 31 254 @Longwood W 71 - 59 78% +6  77% 17 - 4 8 - 1 B +10 C+ +3 D D A+ A- +8 B C A+
 Wed, Feb 4 251 Charleston Southern W 80 - 55 90% +11  89% 18 - 4 9 - 1 A- +17 C +0 C+ B- C+ A+ +17 C B+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 245 Radford W 86 - 77 89% +3  85% 19 - 4 10 - 1 C +1 D+ -4 F+ D+ C B +4 B F+ A+
 Thu, Feb 12 302 @South Carolina Upstate W 95 - 70 85% +15  96% 20 - 4 11 - 1 A +20 A +14 D A+ A B +5 F C+ A+
 Sat, Feb 14 362 @Gardner-Webb W 112 - 87 96% +15  98% 21 - 4 12 - 1 B +10 A+ +18 A B+ F F -10 F A+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 247 UNC Asheville W 74 - 48 89% +13  94% 22 - 4 13 - 1 A +18 C +2 D B- A- A+ +19 A+ B A+
 Sat, Feb 21 144 Winthrop W 89 - 87 77% +8  95% 23 - 4 14 - 1 C +0 B +7 B+ B C- D- -7 B F D+
 Thu, Feb 26 271 @Presbyterian W 79 - 73 80% +7  90% 24 - 4 15 - 1 C+ +3 B- +5 D A- A- C- -2 A- F+ D-
Totals 24 - 4 15 - 1 +6 B +6 A+ C B+ C +0 C- B B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B- D+ C- C 42% 26% 45% B+ C+ C+ B+ B- B+ B+ B B+ C C- C- C C 40% 16% 44% D C- D+ C- D+ A C C C
1.17 62% 35% 33% +1 +1 1.06 32% 1.2 .37 14% .36 76% .27 1.08 60% 39% 34% 0 +1 1.04 32% 1.1 .34 21% .31 72% .26
Nov
3		 Furman A+ A+ C+ A- A+ 43% 28% 30% D+ A+ D A+ B- A+ D+ F F+ B+ D- F+ B+ D+ 40% 17% 44% B- C- F A+ C+ A+ F F+ F
1.33 81% 41% 39% +13 -1 1.26 26% 1.3 .34 8% .22 53% .12 0.97 68% 50% 29% +3 +1 1.08 44% 0.6 .26 30% .37 74% .27
Nov
11		 Jacksonville B D F C F 48% 13% 38% B F+ D A- C A+ A A A+ B B A+ B- B+ 32% 8% 60% F+ B D+ B+ C+ B+ C B- C
1.23 56% 14% 35% -4 +2 0.98 25% 1.1 .28 4% .46 77% .35 0.93 50% 0% 30% -9 +1 0.86 32% 0.9 .29 20% .29 69% .20
Nov
14		 UAB D A D- F D- 42% 18% 40% B- D C+ F D+ D A+ D+ A+ D+ D F C+ F 48% 27% 25% C F B+ B B+ B F F+ F
0.95 70% 30% 18% -6 +1 0.91 28% 0.7 .20 19% .49 71% .35 1.16 64% 50% 31% +5 0 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 14% .52 77% .40
Nov
17		 Canisius A+ A+ A+ B A+ 37% 11% 53% B A+ D A+ A A+ F A F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 38% 25% 38% C A+ F C F A+ F A F
1.40 81% 67% 37% +14 +1 1.32 26% 1.7 .44 9% .17 80% .13 0.75 33% 30% 20% -19 -1 0.63 39% 0.9 .37 32% .55 64% .35
Nov
20		 Illinois-Chicago A C+ F A A- 39% 11% 50% B A- C C+ C A A+ A- A+ C F C+ A+ D+ 33% 23% 44% B C- F D- F A+ F C+ F
1.23 59% 20% 41% +3 +1 1.11 34% 1.0 .34 16% .61 81% .49 1.10 81% 36% 24% +1 -1 1.02 48% 1.1 .55 25% .44 71% .31
Nov
22		 Incarnate Word A+ B A F+ C 56% 8% 35% A C+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F B F+ B+ B- 32% 22% 46% C C+ F F F C- F F+ F
1.39 67% 50% 29% +3 +3 1.15 54% 1.5 .82 12% .54 84% .45 1.22 50% 45% 30% -3 -1 0.94 38% 1.4 .54 15% .40 77% .31
Nov
29		 Western Carolina B A A+ A+ A+ 34% 21% 45% C- A+ C+ F F+ F+ B D C+ B+ F F C- F 31% 24% 45% B F B A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ C+
1.25 72% 64% 46% +18 0 1.38 29% 0.6 .18 19% .35 71% .25 0.98 75% 58% 35% +11 -1 1.22 30% 0.1 .03 26% .33 61% .20
Dec
3		 Southern Illinois B+ D- F A+ B- 42% 15% 42% B B- C+ B- B- A A+ B+ A+ F C+ A+ F C 45% 24% 31% D C D F F C A- D+ B+
1.13 50% 25% 41% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.1 .33 15% .38 75% .29 1.16 58% 29% 39% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.8 .58 16% .23 71% .16
Dec
5		 NJIT B- C- F D- F+ 49% 9% 42% A- D C A+ A A- C B- C+ C- C F D F+ 22% 8% 69% F+ F B F C- A+ C+ D- C
1.21 57% 0% 29% -7 +2 0.93 34% 1.4 .49 11% .35 74% .26 0.98 55% 50% 35% +2 0 1.06 22% 1.1 .25 26% .29 75% .22
Dec
14		 Appalachian St. C- C- F D- 37% 0% 63% A+ D+ B- F F+ A- A+ F B D A+ F F F 36% 13% 51% D+ F A+ C+ A- C F F F
1.03 55% 27% -8 +3 0.92 33% 0.5 .16 11% .40 56% .22 1.14 42% 57% 48% +8 +1 1.19 21% 1.0 .21 16% .41 73% .30
Dec
19		 La Salle A D+ F A+ A 36% 11% 53% B A D+ A+ B+ A A+ A A+ D- C C+ D D+ 48% 26% 26% C- D+ B D+ C+ C F F F
1.28 53% 20% 48% +7 +1 1.19 26% 1.6 .42 12% .48 75% .36 1.10 55% 36% 36% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.0 .30 18% .60 81% .48
Dec
22		 Bryant A+ B A+ A A 54% 5% 41% A A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ D- A+ A+ A- F A+ A- 54% 5% 41% F B- C C- C- A+ D A+ C+
1.45 64% 100% 41% +10 +3 1.29 58% 1.5 .88 20% .63 69% .43 0.73 45% 100% 20% -12 +3 0.84 28% 1.0 .28 34% .31 62% .19
Dec
31		 UNC Asheville A+ A+ F A+ A+ 40% 19% 42% C- A+ F A+ A C- A+ B+ A+ B- F A+ A+ B+ 32% 38% 30% C B+ A- F D- F F A- D
1.30 82% 25% 50% +17 0 1.37 19% 2.3 .43 16% .47 73% .34 1.03 81% 26% 20% -3 -3 0.90 24% 1.5 .36 12% .41 63% .25
Jan
3		 Longwood B A+ F F D+ 51% 8% 41% A- C D- A+ A- B+ B+ A A C D- A- C- D 44% 16% 40% F D- C F+ D B+ A A A+
1.21 77% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.12 22% 1.7 .37 15% .39 77% .30 1.01 65% 29% 33% +1 +1 1.07 33% 1.1 .36 23% .23 67% .16
Jan
7		 Gardner-Webb B D+ A+ F D 48% 12% 40% B D+ B A- A- A- A B A A+ A+ F A+ A+ 36% 13% 52% C A+ B F C A+ A+ A+ A+
1.31 59% 71% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.3 .50 11% .37 77% .28 0.62 40% 43% 17% -19 +1 0.66 18% 1.3 .23 30% .11 33% .04
Jan
10		 Charleston Southern D+ B- F C- D 49% 25% 25% B- D+ C+ F D+ C+ A+ F A+ B- A+ F F+ B- 46% 10% 44% D C+ A+ F B- F+ B A- B+
1.04 59% 13% 33% -6 0 0.90 31% 0.8 .25 11% .56 60% .33 1.01 41% 67% 39% -1 +2 1.03 19% 1.1 .21 15% .22 60% .13
Jan
14		 Winthrop C A F+ F C- 35% 12% 53% B- C- B- F F B A+ D+ A+ F F+ B- D+ F 44% 6% 50% F+ F C F F D F A F
1.06 71% 33% 27% -2 +1 1.00 32% 0.5 .15 14% .46 71% .33 1.31 64% 33% 36% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.5 .52 13% .54 67% .36
Jan
17		 South Carolina Upstate A C A+ F C- 47% 15% 38% B- C B A+ A+ A+ B C+ B D+ A A+ C- B 38% 16% 46% D+ B- F D+ F A- C- D- D
1.31 58% 50% 29% -2 +1 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 7% .33 71% .24 1.02 42% 25% 35% -8 +1 0.88 40% 1.0 .40 22% .30 75% .23
Jan
23		 Radford A A- F A+ A 37% 8% 55% B- A F A+ D A+ A+ B A+ D+ F+ C- F F 43% 9% 47% F F D A C+ A+ B- C B-
1.26 68% 25% 43% +10 +2 1.25 21% 1.3 .28 10% .50 76% .38 1.13 65% 40% 40% +8 +2 1.21 32% 0.8 .26 24% .32 72% .23
Jan
29		 Presbyterian B C- A F F 53% 11% 36% B+ F+ B B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F D- C F F 39% 36% 25% A F D- F+ F B F F F
1.22 55% 50% 20% -8 +2 0.91 36% 1.1 .40 6% .43 79% .34 1.18 65% 38% 55% +10 -2 1.18 37% 1.2 .44 22% .45 79% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Longwood C+ C+ F D- F+ 50% 7% 43% A- D F A+ D A+ B A+ A A- D+ A+ B B 34% 23% 43% C+ B D B+ C A+ A+ D A+
1.12 65% 0% 30% -2 +3 1.04 17% 1.2 .21 13% .38 81% .31 0.93 63% 18% 30% -6 -1 0.89 36% 0.8 .30 29% .20 78% .16
Feb
4		 Charleston Southern C B- F F C- 58% 15% 27% A+ C+ B- B- B- C+ D B C- A+ F B B+ C 29% 7% 63% C C F+ A+ B+ A+ A F B-
1.14 59% 25% 27% -4 +2 0.98 33% 1.1 .36 11% .32 75% .24 0.78 75% 33% 31% +2 +1 1.07 35% 0.6 .19 41% .17 86% .14
Feb
7		 Radford D+ C F F F 59% 4% 37% A+ F+ B- F D+ C A+ A+ A+ B D- F A+ A- 37% 8% 55% F+ B D F+ F+ A+ F A D-
1.08 59% 0% 22% -8 +4 0.94 35% 0.8 .30 18% .57 84% .47 0.97 63% 50% 21% -8 +2 0.90 33% 1.2 .38 24% .46 64% .30
Feb
12		 South Carolina Upstate A D D+ F F+ 47% 5% 48% A- D B- A+ A+ A A B+ A B F+ A+ D+ F 45% 11% 45% F F F A+ C+ A+ F C F
1.27 52% 33% 29% -7 +3 0.93 34% 1.8 .61 11% .37 76% .28 0.93 65% 25% 35% +2 +2 1.11 36% 0.7 .25 36% .62 70% .44
Feb
14		 Gardner-Webb A+ A+ A+ B+ A 33% 10% 57% C+ A A+ F+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ F D+ F F F 56% 11% 33% F F A+ A+ A+ F F A- F+
1.43 79% 67% 39% +14 +1 1.33 52% 0.9 .48 20% .47 90% .42 1.11 60% 67% 50% +12 +2 1.31 0% 0.0 .00 13% .38 62% .24
Feb
19		 UNC Asheville C C- A+ F F+ 53% 2% 45% A+ D A D- B- A- C A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 26% 43% F+ A+ F+ A+ B A+ B+ A+ A
1.15 56% 100% 26% -5 +3 0.98 42% 0.8 .33 12% .32 78% .25 0.75 43% 25% 25% -14 -1 0.72 36% 0.7 .24 25% .27 54% .14
Feb
21		 Winthrop B A- F B- B 38% 2% 60% A B+ C- A B C- A+ A- A+ D- B F A+ A 57% 2% 41% F B F F F D+ B+ C- B
1.20 67% 0% 36% +4 +2 1.15 28% 1.3 .38 18% .49 80% .39 1.18 48% 100% 25% -10 +4 0.90 42% 1.2 .51 14% .31 75% .23
Feb
26		 Presbyterian B- F F A+ D- 43% 16% 41% C+ D C- A+ A- A- A F B C- A+ C- B- A+ 63% 13% 25% F A- D- D- F+ D- F F F
1.16 41% 25% 43% -4 +1 0.96 28% 1.5 .41 12% .38 61% .23 1.07 40% 40% 30% -13 +3 0.83 36% 1.2 .42 16% .54 87% .47



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 62.1% 62.1% 12.5 1.1 29.8 28.9 2.2 0.0 37.9
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 62.1% 62.1% 0.0% 12.5 37.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 62.1% 100.0% 12.5 1.8 48.0 46.6 3.6 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 18.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 12.9%
Lose Out 6.6%