High Point
Big South
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#285
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#275
Pace65.5#273
Improvement+0.7#118

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#318
First Shot-5.9#328
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#146
Layup/Dunks-4.2#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#306
Freethrows+0.8#127
Improvement-0.9#278

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#223
First Shot+0.3#162
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#284
Layups/Dunks-5.7#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#2
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#45
Freethrows-2.7#311
Improvement+1.6#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 6.0% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 24.1% 43.9% 18.6%
.500 or above in Conference 48.5% 62.5% 44.7%
Conference Champion 3.7% 6.4% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.1% 3.2% 6.9%
First Four1.8% 2.0% 1.7%
First Round2.8% 4.8% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Furman (Home) - 21.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 410 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 44   @ Northwestern L 60-95 4%     0 - 1 -22.0 -4.0 -19.7
  Nov 16, 2021 64   @ Notre Dame L 61-70 6%     0 - 2 +1.4 -7.5 +8.8
  Nov 20, 2021 312   Howard W 73-63 67%     1 - 2 -1.5 -13.4 +11.1
  Nov 21, 2021 140   Georgia St. L 66-74 OT 29%     1 - 3 -9.2 -15.3 +6.9
  Nov 30, 2021 101   Furman L 65-73 21%    
  Dec 04, 2021 268   @ Elon L 66-70 35%    
  Dec 10, 2021 354   South Carolina St. W 76-65 84%    
  Dec 18, 2021 282   UNC Wilmington W 65-62 60%    
  Dec 21, 2021 222   Florida Atlantic L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 29, 2021 22   @ Michigan St. L 54-78 2%    
  Dec 31, 2021 12   @ Kentucky L 55-80 1%    
  Jan 05, 2022 146   Winthrop L 70-75 31%    
  Jan 08, 2022 209   @ Longwood L 58-66 25%    
  Jan 12, 2022 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 15, 2022 279   N.C. A&T W 68-65 59%    
  Jan 19, 2022 348   @ Charleston Southern W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 22, 2022 338   @ Hampton W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 26, 2022 247   Radford W 63-62 52%    
  Jan 29, 2022 182   @ Campbell L 55-64 22%    
  Feb 02, 2022 187   Gardner-Webb L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 05, 2022 271   UNC Asheville W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 09, 2022 283   @ Presbyterian L 60-63 38%    
  Feb 12, 2022 182   Campbell L 58-61 41%    
  Feb 16, 2022 209   Longwood L 61-63 44%    
  Feb 19, 2022 247   @ Radford L 60-65 32%    
  Feb 23, 2022 279   @ N.C. A&T L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 26, 2022 338   Hampton W 71-62 77%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.1 1.0 0.1 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.7 0.8 0.1 6.9 3rd
4th 0.4 2.9 4.0 1.3 0.1 8.7 4th
5th 0.3 3.1 5.2 1.6 0.1 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 5.9 2.6 0.1 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.7 5.9 3.8 0.3 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.8 4.4 0.8 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 4.6 4.2 0.8 0.0 11.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 3.6 3.3 0.8 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 2.5 2.2 0.6 0.1 6.3 11th
12th 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.1 12th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.4 7.4 10.1 12.9 13.8 14.0 11.8 8.8 6.5 4.0 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 92.6% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0
13-3 56.9% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-4 24.5% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
11-5 5.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 31.8% 31.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 0.8% 9.9% 9.9% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-3 2.4% 18.4% 18.4% 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.0
12-4 4.0% 12.9% 12.9% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 3.5
11-5 6.5% 8.3% 8.3% 15.8 0.1 0.4 6.0
10-6 8.8% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7 8.1
9-7 11.8% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.6 11.2
8-8 14.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 13.7
7-9 13.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.6
6-10 12.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.8
5-11 10.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.0
4-12 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.4
3-13 4.4% 4.4
2-14 2.0% 2.0
1-15 0.8% 0.8
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.8 96.3 0.0%