IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
High Point
Big South
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+4.0	#109
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.1	#227
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.4	#66

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.4	#180

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.4%	0.6%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	36.7%	41.0%	30.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.9	12.5	13.2

.500 or above	95.9%	98.3%	92.4%
.500 or above in Conference	95.3%	97.1%	92.6%
Conference Champion	50.9%	56.5%	42.5%
Last Place in Conference	0.2%	0.2%	0.4%

First Four	0.6%	0.6%	0.7%
First Round	36.9%	41.0%	30.6%
Second Round	5.3%	6.6%	3.2%
Sweet Sixteen	1.1%	1.4%	0.6%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Furman (Neutral) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	1 - 1	1 - 1
Quad 3	5 - 3	6 - 5
Quad 4	16 - 2	22 - 7

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	142	Furman	W	73-70	60%
Nov 11, 2025	245	Jacksonville	W	76-64	86%
Nov 14, 2025	103	@ UAB	L	74-78	36%
Nov 17, 2025	352	Canisius	W	81-61	96%
Nov 20, 2025	153	Illinois-Chicago	W	76-72	63%
Nov 29, 2025	262	Western Carolina	W	81-69	87%
Dec 03, 2025	138	Southern Illinois	W	75-70	68%
Dec 05, 2025	357	NJIT	W	79-58	97%
Dec 14, 2025	204	Appalachian St.	W	68-61	71%
Dec 19, 2025	187	La Salle	W	78-69	78%
Dec 22, 2025	248	Bryant	W	84-72	84%
Dec 31, 2025	198	@ UNC Asheville	W	76-73	60%
Jan 03, 2026	202	Longwood	W	79-70	79%
Jan 07, 2026	307	Gardner-Webb	W	81-66	90%
Jan 10, 2026	313	@ Charleston Southern	W	76-66	79%
Jan 14, 2026	164	@ Winthrop	W	80-78	56%
Jan 17, 2026	332	South Carolina Upstate	W	87-70	93%
Jan 24, 2026	148	@ Radford	W	69-68	52%
Jan 29, 2026	263	Presbyterian	W	75-63	85%
Jan 31, 2026	202	@ Longwood	W	76-73	61%
Feb 04, 2026	313	Charleston Southern	W	79-63	91%
Feb 07, 2026	148	Radford	W	71-65	71%
Feb 12, 2026	332	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	84-73	82%
Feb 14, 2026	307	Gardner-Webb	W	81-66	90%
Feb 19, 2026	198	UNC Asheville	W	79-70	78%
Feb 21, 2026	164	Winthrop	W	83-75	74%
Feb 26, 2026	263	@ Presbyterian	W	72-66	70%
Projected Record						20 - 7	12 - 4

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.3	1.7	6.2	12.0	13.9	11.4	5.4		50.9	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	2.4	6.8	7.9	4.2	0.9				22.5	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.4	2.2	4.8	4.0	1.2	0.1					12.6	3rd
4th							0.0	0.3	1.8	2.5	1.9	0.4							6.9	4th
5th						0.0	0.3	1.2	1.5	0.9	0.1								3.9	5th
6th					0.0	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.3	0.0									2.0	6th
7th				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0										0.8	7th
8th			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0												0.3	8th
9th		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														0.1	9th

Total		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	1.3	2.5	3.9	5.9	9.4	12.9	15.3	16.3	14.8	11.4	5.4			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	5.4		5.4
15-1	100.0%	11.4		11.1	0.4
14-2	93.9%	13.9		11.6	2.3	0.0
13-3	73.6%	12.0		7.7	3.9	0.4	0.0
12-4	40.8%	6.2		2.6	2.7	0.8	0.1
11-5	13.2%	1.7		0.4	0.7	0.5	0.1
10-6	2.7%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	50.9%	50.9		38.8	10.1	1.8	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	5.4%		70.9%	69.2%	1.7%	10.3			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.3	1.7	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.6		5.5%
15-1	11.4%		59.6%	59.5%	0.1%	11.9										0.0	0.1	2.2	3.1	1.3	0.1	0.0		4.6		0.3%
14-2	14.8%		49.9%	49.9%		12.4											0.0	0.8	3.5	2.2	0.8	0.1	0.0	7.4
13-3	16.3%		43.9%	43.9%		13.0												0.1	2.1	2.9	1.7	0.3	0.0	9.1
12-4	15.3%		32.5%	32.5%		13.6												0.0	0.6	1.8	1.9	0.6	0.1	10.3
11-5	12.9%		27.6%	27.6%		14.4												0.0	0.1	0.8	1.5	0.9	0.3	9.4
10-6	9.4%		17.0%	17.0%		15.6													0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.3	7.8
9-7	5.9%		13.7%	13.7%		16.8													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	5.1
8-8	3.9%		8.3%	8.3%		17.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	3.6
7-9	2.5%		6.4%	6.4%		17.6																0.1	0.1	2.4
6-10	1.3%		6.0%	6.0%		20.4																	0.1	1.2
5-11	0.5%		1.5%	1.5%		31.0																0.0	0.0	0.5
4-12	0.3%																							0.3
3-13	0.1%																							0.1
2-14	0.0%																							0.0
1-15	0.0%																							0.0
0-16

Total	100%		36.7%	36.6%	0.1%	12.9			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.3	0.4	4.9	10.2	9.4	6.9	3.0	1.4	63.3		0.2%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	1.0%	100.0%	7.8		0.7	2.9	7.2	11.6	14.6	12.4	6.6	11.6	8.9	21.3	2.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.2%	22.0%	10.7									3.1	3.1	12.7	3.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.2%	19.1%	10.8										3.8	15.3