Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#329
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#290
Pace69.2#159
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#292
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#347
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 11.1% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.2 15.2 15.7
.500 or above 11.2% 46.7% 11.1%
.500 or above in Conference 30.3% 66.7% 30.2%
Conference Champion 2.7% 4.4% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 23.3% 6.7% 23.3%
First Four2.0% 2.2% 2.0%
First Round2.4% 11.1% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: BYU (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 48 - 1010 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 68   @ Providence L 79-89 4%     0 - 1 +1.0 +2.6 -0.7
  Nov 08, 2025 12   @ BYU L 59-90 0.2%   
  Nov 10, 2025 82   @ Utah L 65-84 4%    
  Nov 16, 2025 228   Hampton L 71-77 29%    
  Nov 18, 2025 175   @ Brown L 63-75 15%    
  Nov 21, 2025 235   @ Sacred Heart L 73-82 23%    
  Nov 24, 2025 185   Siena L 69-74 33%    
  Dec 03, 2025 237   Northeastern L 71-74 41%    
  Dec 06, 2025 170   @ Fordham L 70-82 15%    
  Dec 16, 2025 223   Dartmouth L 73-76 39%    
  Dec 20, 2025 162   @ Harvard L 64-76 14%    
  Dec 31, 2025 273   Bucknell L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 03, 2026 169   Navy L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 07, 2026 294   @ Lehigh L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 10, 2026 292   @ American L 69-75 32%    
  Jan 14, 2026 343   Army W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 17, 2026 291   @ Lafayette L 68-74 32%    
  Jan 21, 2026 169   @ Navy L 66-78 16%    
  Jan 24, 2026 292   American W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 28, 2026 201   @ Colgate L 68-78 19%    
  Jan 31, 2026 343   @ Army L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 02, 2026 254   Boston University L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 07, 2026 294   Lehigh W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 11, 2026 201   Colgate L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 15, 2026 309   @ Loyola Maryland L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 18, 2026 291   Lafayette W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 22, 2026 273   @ Bucknell L 69-76 29%    
  Feb 25, 2026 254   @ Boston University L 63-71 26%    
  Feb 28, 2026 309   Loyola Maryland W 71-70 54%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 2.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 4.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.0 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.8 2.9 0.3 12.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.2 5.7 2.9 0.4 14.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.2 5.2 5.4 2.2 0.3 15.8 9th
10th 0.5 2.0 3.7 4.7 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 15.7 10th
Total 0.5 2.1 4.3 7.0 9.6 11.4 11.7 12.0 11.1 9.6 7.1 5.6 3.6 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 84.4% 0.5    0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 63.7% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 30.1% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 9.8% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.2% 24.4% 24.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.6% 28.7% 28.7% 16.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.3% 20.3% 20.3% 17.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
13-5 2.3% 17.5% 17.5% 17.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.9
12-6 3.6% 10.3% 10.3% 18.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.3
11-7 5.6% 10.5% 10.5% 18.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 5.0
10-8 7.1% 5.0% 5.0% 17.3 0.0 0.4 6.8
9-9 9.6% 4.5% 4.5% 16.3 0.0 0.4 9.1
8-10 11.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 10.9
7-11 12.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.9
6-12 11.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.7
5-13 11.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 11.4
4-14 9.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.6
3-15 7.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.0
2-16 4.3% 4.3
1-17 2.1% 2.1
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 17.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.6 96.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%