Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -9.8 #322
Expected Predictive Rating -13.9 #341
Pace 68.1 #221
Improvement -2.1 #291

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #337 D+ C- D- D- D-
Defense #274 C- D D- C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #336 1.13 #216 -4.9 #325
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #79 0.81 #112 +2.8 #56
Three Pointers 43% #142 0.95 #260 -0.3 #193
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #246 -2.4 #245
Freethrows 16.0 #253 72% #203 11.5 #241
Second Chance 23.0% #345 1.03 #209 0.24 #329
Turnovers 19.1% #317
Total Offense -6.8 #337

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #85 1.13 #133 -1.4 #230
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #39 0.87 #321 -3.8 #356
Three Pointers 32% #361 1.06 #255 +4.0 #49
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #222 -1.2 #222
Freethrows 19.8 #305 73% #206 14.5 #65
Second Chance 35.6% #331 1.09 #245 0.39 #319
Turnovers 16.8% #178
Total Defense -3.1 #274

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.5% #324 -0.9% #94
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.2% #212 3.3% #246
Possession Length 17.6 #212 16.9 #121
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #97 0.19 #255
Improvement -2.2 #312 +0.1 #178

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 4.6% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.6% 5.0% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 22.7% 43.1% 18.6%
Conference Champion 0.6% 2.2% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 22.9% 10.8% 25.3%
First Four2.6% 3.9% 2.3%
First Round1.5% 2.8% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Away) - 16.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 49 - 129 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 11 @Houston L 57-75 1%     -14.9   0 - 1 +4.4 -2.4 +6.3
  Sun, Nov 9 67 @West Virginia L 47-69 3%     -17.7   0 - 2 -10.4 -15.0 +2.7
  Fri, Nov 14 129 @Rutgers L 72-84 9%     -4.2   0 - 3 -7.1 +1.6 -8.7
  Tue, Nov 18 363 St. Francis (PA) W 79-62 83%     9.4   1 - 3 -2.8 -6.4 +2.9
  Fri, Nov 21 137 Columbia L 67-82 22%     -8.7   1 - 4 -16.7 -5.3 -11.6
  Tue, Nov 25 136 @Marist L 55-78 10%     -13.2   1 - 5 -18.6 -8.1 -11.3
  Fri, Nov 28 172 UC Santa Barbara L 70-72 20%     0.9   1 - 6 -2.9 +1.1 -4.1
  Sat, Nov 29 267 Texas St. W 78-74 OT 35%     -0.6   2 - 6 -2.0 +2.4 -4.4
  Tue, Dec 2 362 @Binghamton L 71-80 OT 64%     -0.8   2 - 7 -22.5 -11.2 -11.1
  Sat, Dec 6 191 LIU Brooklyn L 82-87 32%     -6.7   2 - 8 -10.0 +2.0 -11.8
  Sun, Dec 21 213 @Monmouth L 62-76 18%     -7.2   2 - 9 -14.0 -7.2 -7.4
  Wed, Dec 31 332 Army L 78-85 OT 64%     -2.7   2 - 10 0 - 1 -20.6 -9.1 -10.9
  Sat, Jan 3 316 @Bucknell L 65-72 36%     8.0   2 - 11 0 - 2 -13.3 -10.9 -2.1
  Wed, Jan 7 326 Holy Cross W 66-58 63%     4.8   3 - 11 1 - 2 -5.1 -6.2 +1.9
  Sat, Jan 10 201 @Colgate L 66-76 17%    
  Wed, Jan 14 257 @Boston University L 67-74 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 193 Navy L 67-72 33%    
  Mon, Jan 19 337 Loyola Maryland W 75-71 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 321 Lafayette W 72-69 61%    
  Wed, Jan 28 332 @Army L 70-72 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 201 Colgate L 69-73 34%    
  Wed, Feb 4 337 @Loyola Maryland L 72-74 44%    
  Sat, Feb 7 326 @Holy Cross L 67-70 41%    
  Wed, Feb 11 238 American L 70-72 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 321 @Lafayette L 69-72 39%    
  Wed, Feb 18 193 @Navy L 64-75 16%    
  Sat, Feb 21 257 Boston University L 70-71 46%    
  Wed, Feb 25 238 @American L 67-75 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 316 Bucknell W 69-67 59%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.1 0.9 0.1 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.2 1.4 0.1 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.3 6.5 1.8 0.1 0.0 14.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 4.9 7.6 2.5 0.1 15.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.8 7.6 3.1 0.2 0.0 15.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.6 6.6 3.2 0.3 14.5 9th
10th 0.3 1.4 3.7 4.8 2.5 0.4 0.0 13.1 10th
Total 0.3 1.4 4.4 9.0 13.5 16.8 17.1 14.8 10.7 6.4 3.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 70.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 34.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 9.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 26.9% 26.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
13-5 0.6% 17.5% 17.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
12-6 1.5% 12.8% 12.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.3
11-7 3.4% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.3 3.1
10-8 6.4% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.4 6.0
9-9 10.7% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.6 10.1
8-10 14.8% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.5 14.3
7-11 17.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 16.8
6-12 16.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 16.6
5-13 13.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.4
4-14 9.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.9
3-15 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.7 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%