Lehigh
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#251
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#272
Pace69.6#167
Improvement+3.4#17

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#173
First Shot+3.8#76
After Offensive Rebound-3.8#346
Layup/Dunks-2.6#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#142
Freethrows-0.2#194
Improvement+2.0#43

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#322
First Shot+0.4#161
After Offensive Rebounds-5.3#363
Layups/Dunks+0.9#144
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#41
Freethrows+0.1#186
Improvement+1.4#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.9% 18.8% 12.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.1 15.6
.500 or above 42.9% 72.3% 41.6%
.500 or above in Conference 68.1% 84.3% 67.4%
Conference Champion 16.7% 26.9% 16.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 2.5% 6.6%
First Four6.0% 3.7% 6.1%
First Round10.2% 17.2% 9.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 4.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 413 - 814 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 66   @ Northwestern L 46-90 7%     0 - 1 -32.0 -17.6 -16.0
  Nov 06, 2024 98   @ Georgetown L 77-85 11%     0 - 2 +0.4 +5.3 -4.6
  Nov 12, 2024 192   @ Columbia L 75-76 27%     0 - 3 +0.6 +8.7 -8.2
  Nov 15, 2024 18   @ UCLA L 45-85 3%     0 - 4 -22.4 -13.1 -12.2
  Nov 26, 2024 339   @ St. Francis (PA) L 78-88 61%     0 - 5 -17.7 +2.4 -20.3
  Nov 30, 2024 242   Marist W 74-69 59%     1 - 5 -2.3 +6.6 -8.5
  Dec 04, 2024 287   Monmouth W 90-63 67%     2 - 5 +17.5 +13.1 +4.7
  Dec 07, 2024 46   @ Dayton L 66-84 4%    
  Dec 21, 2024 342   @ LIU Brooklyn W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 02, 2025 260   Bucknell W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 05, 2025 335   @ Loyola Maryland W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 08, 2025 246   @ Colgate L 71-74 37%    
  Jan 11, 2025 282   Army W 75-71 66%    
  Jan 15, 2025 268   @ Boston University L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 335   Loyola Maryland W 76-68 77%    
  Jan 22, 2025 236   @ American L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 231   Lafayette W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 29, 2025 305   Navy W 78-73 69%    
  Feb 01, 2025 326   @ Holy Cross W 75-74 55%    
  Feb 03, 2025 246   Colgate W 74-71 59%    
  Feb 08, 2025 236   American W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 12, 2025 305   @ Navy L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 326   Holy Cross W 78-71 74%    
  Feb 17, 2025 260   @ Bucknell L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 231   @ Lafayette L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 26, 2025 268   Boston University W 73-69 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 282   @ Army L 72-74 45%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.6 4.4 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 16.7 1st
2nd 0.6 3.5 5.6 3.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 14.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.8 2.6 0.5 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.0 6.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 5.0 3.0 0.3 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.6 3.1 0.4 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.7 5.9 8.3 10.5 12.6 13.2 12.5 10.8 8.4 5.5 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
16-2 99.2% 1.4    1.4 0.0
15-3 95.6% 3.1    2.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 79.9% 4.4    3.1 1.2 0.1
13-5 54.0% 4.6    2.2 1.8 0.5 0.0
12-6 21.5% 2.3    0.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-7 3.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.7% 16.7 10.6 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 69.0% 69.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 49.4% 49.4% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.4% 37.9% 37.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9
15-3 3.2% 35.9% 35.9% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 2.1
14-4 5.5% 30.0% 30.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 3.8
13-5 8.4% 22.9% 22.9% 15.6 0.1 0.6 1.3 6.5
12-6 10.8% 19.6% 19.6% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.7 8.7
11-7 12.5% 14.1% 14.1% 15.9 0.1 1.7 10.7
10-8 13.2% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 0.0 1.4 11.8
9-9 12.6% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1 11.5
8-10 10.5% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.5 10.0
7-11 8.3% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.2 8.0
6-12 5.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 5.8
5-13 3.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.7
4-14 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-15 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.9% 12.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.8 9.0 87.1 0.0%