Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -8.4 #304
Expected Predictive Rating -9.0 #308
Pace 67.5 #217
Improvement +1.3 #129

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #318 C- D- D+ D+ D+
Defense #265 C- D+ C C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #314 1.09 #267 -4.2 #321
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #95 0.79 #132 +1.8 #83
Three Pointers 42% #156 1.04 #153 +1.0 #140
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #218 -1.4 #218
Freethrows 0.28 #283 72% #185 0.20 #263
Second Chance 21.6% #353 0.99 #222 0.21 #351
Turnovers 18.7% #291
Total Offense -5.6 #318

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #53 1.11 #110 -1.7 #237
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #63 0.89 #344 -3.1 #351
Three Pointers 32% #358 1.08 #265 +3.6 #49
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #217 -1.2 #217
Freethrows 0.32 #224 73% #237 0.23 #239
Second Chance 35.1% #328 1.01 #162 0.35 #288
Turnovers 16.5% #208
Total Defense -2.8 #265

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.7% #297 -0.3% #138
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.0% #191 2.7% #233
Possession Length 17.8 #232 16.8 #99
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #107 0.20 #268
Improvement -0.3 #200 +1.6 #90

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.7% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.0% 3.6% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 64.8% 83.3% 49.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.0% 3.3%
First Four4.4% 4.8% 4.1%
First Round2.6% 3.2% 2.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Away) - 46.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 410 - 1112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 6 @Houston L 57 - 75 1% -15  0 - 1 +7 -2 C- D B+ +9 A C A+
 Sun, Nov 9 55 @West Virginia L 47 - 69 3% -18  0 - 2 -9 -13 C- F F +2 C+ C- A-
 Fri, Nov 14 118 @Rutgers L 72 - 84 10% -4  0 - 3 -6 +1 C- F+ A -7 D- D C-
 Tue, Nov 18 358 St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 62 81% +9  1 - 3 -1 -7 D+ D+ D +5 B+ F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 183 Columbia L 67 - 82 35% -9  1 - 4 -19 -7 C- D C -12 D F C
 Tue, Nov 25 153 @Marist L 55 - 78 14% -13  1 - 5 -20 -9 F C- A+ -11 F+ C+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 134 UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 72 18% +1  1 - 6 -1 +2 D+ C D+ -2 A+ C F
 Sat, Nov 29 256 Texas St. W 78 - 74 OT 38% -1  2 - 6 -1 +4 A+ F C -6 C- D+ C+
 Tue, Dec 2 361 @Binghamton L 71 - 80 OT 69% -1  2 - 7 -22 -10 F D- D- -13 F B+ D+
 Sat, Dec 6 203 LIU Brooklyn L 82 - 87 39% -7  2 - 8 -11 +4 C A+ F -15 C- F D+
 Sun, Dec 21 208 @Monmouth L 62 - 76 21% -7  2 - 9 -14 -6 B+ F F -8 F A- B+
 Wed, Dec 31 339 Army L 78 - 85 OT 72% -3  2 - 10 0 - 1 -21 -10 D+ F B -10 C- F B
 Sat, Jan 3 313 @Bucknell L 65 - 72 41% +3  2 - 11 0 - 2 -13 -13 F C F -0 A+ F F+
 Wed, Jan 7 326 Holy Cross W 66 - 58 68% +5  3 - 11 1 - 2 -5 -7 C F+ F +2 B- B+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 219 @Colgate W 78 - 77 22% +2  4 - 11 2 - 2 +1 +10 B D+ A -9 C- C- C-
 Wed, Jan 14 289 @Boston University W 93 - 91 OT 34% +6  5 - 11 3 - 2 -2 +6 C- F+ A+ -8 D A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 174 Navy L 79 - 82 2OT 33% +0  5 - 12 3 - 3 -7 -0 D+ F A+ -7 C+ F C+
 Mon, Jan 19 316 Loyola Maryland W 88 - 81 65% -2  6 - 12 4 - 3 -5 +10 B+ D- B- -16 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 315 Lafayette W 64 - 59 65% +7  7 - 12 5 - 3 -7 -10 D- D+ F +3 B+ C D
 Wed, Jan 28 339 @Army L 64 - 67 50% -3  7 - 13 5 - 4 -11 -12 F+ F F+ +0 C- C C
 Sat, Jan 31 219 Colgate W 77 - 76 OT 42% +1  8 - 13 6 - 4 -5 -1 A+ D+ F -4 B F B
 Wed, Feb 4 316 @Loyola Maryland L 84 - 89 2OT 42% -4  8 - 14 6 - 5 -11 -4 C- F C- -7 D- B F
 Sat, Feb 7 326 @Holy Cross L 69 - 70 46%
 Wed, Feb 11 253 American L 70 - 71 49%
 Sat, Feb 14 315 @Lafayette L 69 - 71 43%
 Wed, Feb 18 174 @Navy L 62 - 72 17%
 Sat, Feb 21 289 Boston University W 72 - 70 57%
 Wed, Feb 25 253 @American L 67 - 73 28%
 Sat, Feb 28 313 Bucknell W 72 - 68 65%
Totals 11 - 18 9 - 9 -8 -6 C- D- D+ -3 C- D+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.5 2.7 1.8 0.2 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.0 14.7 7.1 1.3 0.0 27.2 3rd
4th 0.0 3.3 16.7 6.9 0.3 27.2 4th
5th 0.2 9.8 6.6 0.2 16.8 5th
6th 2.3 7.5 0.7 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 4.7 1.9 6.7 7th
8th 0.8 2.8 0.1 3.7 8th
9th 0.9 0.3 1.2 9th
10th 0.3 0.3 10th
Total 2.0 10.5 22.7 28.1 23.2 10.1 3.2 0.3 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 40.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.3% 13.3% 13.3% 15.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 3.2% 11.3% 11.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.8
11-7 10.1% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8 9.3
10-8 23.2% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 1.6 21.7
9-9 28.1% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 1.5 26.6
8-10 22.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.5 22.2
7-11 10.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 10.3
6-12 2.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 2.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 16.0 95.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%