Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -8.5 305
Expected Predictive Rating -8.4 302
Pace 67.5 216
Improvement +1.3 140

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 309 C F+ D+ D+ D+
Defense D+ 273 C- C- C- C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 307 C- 56% 232 -3.3 297
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 103 C 39% 145 +1.8 83
Three Pointers 41% 172 C+ 35% 127 +0.8 148
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 293 C +0.1 165
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 196
Second Chance F 21.3% 355 D+ 0.95 298 F+ 0.20 357
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 277
Freethrows D 0.27 302 C 72% 202 D+ 0.19 288
Total Offense D -5.2 309

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 165 D- 14.1% 329
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 17% 289 C+ 4.4% 133
Three Pointers C+ 87% 124 C- 1.1% 235
Total C 55% 195 D+ 6.3% 262

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 53 C+ 56% 130 +2.3 258
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 78 D- 44% 342 +2.5 342
Three Pointers 33% 359 D+ 36% 278 -3.2 55
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 161 C- +1.6 251
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 232
Second Chance D 34.4% 322 C+ 0.99 112 C- 0.34 252
Turnovers C- 16.1% 227
Freethrows C- 0.32 219 D+ 74% 271 C- 0.23 237
Total Defense D+ -3.3 273

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 161 D+ 8.6% 270
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 35 D+ 3.2% 288
Three Pointers B- 81% 100 D- -0.1% 360
Total B 49% 58 D+ 4.5% 270

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 243 16.7 81
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 130 0.21 296
Improvement +0.9 #138 +0.4 #161

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 320 304 278
Conference Record 8 - 10 9 - 9 11 - 7
Conference Finish 5 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 6% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1% 2% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 88% 100% 77%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four4% 6% 3%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 49.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 411 - 1012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 6 @Houston L 57 - 75 0% -15  0% 0 - 1 B- +7 D -5 C- D C+ A+ +12 A C A+
 Sun, Nov 9 55 @West Virginia L 47 - 69 3% -18  0% 0 - 2 D -9 F -15 D+ F F B +4 C+ C- A-
 Fri, Nov 14 109 @Rutgers L 72 - 84 8% -4  19% 0 - 3 D+ -5 C- -1 C- D- A D+ -5 D- D- C-
 Tue, Nov 18 355 St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 62 80% +9  93% 1 - 3 C -1 F -10 D+ D+ D A +9 A- F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 197 Columbia L 67 - 82 37% -9  0% 1 - 4 F -20 F -11 C- D- C F -10 D F C+
 Tue, Nov 25 184 @Marist L 55 - 78 17% -13  14% 1 - 5 F -21 F -13 F C- A+ F+ -9 F C+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 144 UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 72 19% +1  48% 1 - 6 C -1 C- -2 D+ C D C+ +0 A+ C F+
 Sat, Nov 29 225 Texas St. W 78 - 74 OT 31% -1  32% 2 - 6 C +0 C+ +2 A F C- C -1 C D+ C+
 Tue, Dec 2 359 @Binghamton L 71 - 80 OT 67% -1  30% 2 - 7 F -22 F -12 F D- D- F+ -10 F A- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 214 LIU Brooklyn L 82 - 87 40% -7  1% 2 - 8 D -11 C+ +2 C A+ F F -13 C- F D+
 Sun, Dec 21 189 @Monmouth L 62 - 76 18% -7  1% 2 - 9 D- -13 F+ -9 B+ F F D -5 F A- B+
 Wed, Dec 31 336 Army L 78 - 85 OT 72% -3  8% 2 - 10 0 - 1 F -22 F -13 D F+ B+ F+ -8 D+ F B+
 Sat, Jan 3 330 @Bucknell L 65 - 72 49% +3  62% 2 - 11 0 - 2 F+ -15 F -16 F C F C+ +1 A F F+
 Wed, Jan 7 326 Holy Cross W 66 - 58 69% +5  86% 3 - 11 1 - 2 D+ -6 F -10 C F F B+ +5 B B+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 237 @Colgate W 78 - 77 24% +2  64% 4 - 11 2 - 2 C -0 B +7 B+ D A D- -7 D+ C C-
 Wed, Jan 14 256 @Boston University W 93 - 91 OT 28% +6  88% 5 - 11 3 - 2 C -0 B- +4 C- F+ A D+ -4 D A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 155 Navy L 79 - 82 2OT 30% +0  45% 5 - 12 3 - 3 D+ -6 D+ -3 D+ F A+ C- -3 B- F B
 Mon, Jan 19 317 Loyola Maryland W 88 - 81 65% -2  30% 6 - 12 4 - 3 D+ -6 B+ +8 A- D- C+ F -13 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 322 Lafayette W 64 - 59 68% +7  81% 7 - 12 5 - 3 D -8 F -12 F+ C- F B +4 A- C D-
 Wed, Jan 28 336 @Army L 64 - 67 50% -3  10% 7 - 13 5 - 4 D- -12 F -14 F F D- B- +2 C- C+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 237 Colgate W 77 - 76 OT 45% +1  53% 8 - 13 6 - 4 D+ -6 D -4 A+ D F C- -2 B- F B+
 Wed, Feb 4 317 @Loyola Maryland L 84 - 89 2OT 43% -4  25% 8 - 14 6 - 5 D- -12 D- -6 C- F D D+ -5 D- B- F+
 Sat, Feb 7 326 @Holy Cross L 67 - 76 47% +0  52% 8 - 15 6 - 6 F+ -17 D- -7 D+ F B+ F -10 F+ B+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 251 American W 90 - 82 48% +11  92% 9 - 15 7 - 6 C +0 B +6 A+ D- D+ D- -7 C+ F F
 Sat, Feb 14 322 @Lafayette W 78 - 69 45% +0  35% 10 - 15 8 - 6 C+ +2 B +7 A F B D+ -4 F A- B+
 Wed, Feb 18 155 @Navy L 49 - 72 14% -11  1% 10 - 16 8 - 7 F -20 F -18 F F D+ D+ -4 D A D-
 Sun, Feb 22 256 Boston University L 71 - 72 50%
 Wed, Feb 25 251 @American L 68 - 75 27%
 Sat, Feb 28 330 Bucknell W 73 - 67 70%
Totals 11 - 18 9 - 9 -9 D -5 D+ C D+ D+ -3 C+ C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- C C+ C 34% 44% 41% D+ C F D+ F+ D+ D C D+ D+ C+ D- D+ C- 44% 24% 33% C C- D C+ C- C- C- D+ C-
1.01 56% 39% 35% 0 -1 1.01 21% 0.9 .20 18% .27 72% .19 1.13 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 34% 1.0 .34 16% .32 74% .20
Nov
3		 Houston D F B- C- C+ 27% 43% 30% F C- D+ D- D C+ A+ D+ A- A+ A+ F A- A 22% 43% 35% A+ A D B C A+ F D+ F
0.84 42% 37% 31% -6 -4 0.82 24% 0.8 .19 22% .43 65% .28 1.10 36% 52% 29% -1 -4 0.92 42% 0.9 .39 19% .36 80% .29
Nov
9		 West Virginia F A F C C 20% 33% 47% F D+ F F F F C- C C- B A+ F F+ C 36% 21% 43% B+ C+ B- F C- A- F B F
0.73 67% 20% 33% -5 -3 0.87 9% 0.0 .00 25% .23 73% .16 1.07 40% 56% 39% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.3 .39 20% .48 64% .31
Nov
14		 Rutgers C- C- B C- C 29% 27% 44% D C- F A- D- A C+ D- C- D+ D+ F A+ D- 45% 31% 24% D D- F B- D- C- F B- F+
1.03 56% 40% 33% 0 -2 0.98 18% 1.1 .21 13% .26 69% .18 1.20 59% 60% 25% +4 -1 1.08 42% 1.1 .45 14% .45 70% .32
Nov
18		 St. Francis (PA) F C- A+ C- D 43% 16% 41% C D+ C- D D+ D A F+ B A A+ F C+ A 43% 27% 31% C- A- C- F F A+ B- C B-
1.08 62% 50% 35% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 20% .45 65% .29 0.85 33% 46% 33% -9 0 0.84 28% 1.3 .36 25% .24 69% .16
Nov
21		 Columbia F C+ A- D C+ 23% 33% 44% F C- F C+ D- C B F D F F A+ D D 49% 14% 37% D+ D F F F C+ F A D+
0.98 58% 47% 30% +1 -3 0.98 20% 1.0 .20 13% .35 52% .18 1.20 71% 14% 39% +6 +2 1.16 50% 1.2 .60 22% .36 63% .22
Nov
25		 Marist F F+ C F F 38% 30% 32% D+ F F A+ C- A+ D- F F+ F+ C- F D- F 33% 25% 42% C F D A C+ F D B- D+
0.81 50% 38% 6% -17 -1 0.66 20% 1.4 .27 13% .31 61% .19 1.15 59% 54% 36% +6 -1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 13% .29 76% .22
Nov
28		 UC Santa Barbara C- C+ F A- D+ 20% 20% 61% D- D+ D- A+ C D A A+ A+ C+ A C- A+ A+ 54% 22% 24% D A+ F A C F+ F F F
1.09 63% 13% 40% +1 -1 1.02 21% 1.3 .29 19% .44 91% .40 1.12 48% 40% 18% -11 +1 0.83 41% 0.8 .32 14% .58 88% .51
Nov
29		 Texas St. C+ D- A- A+ A+ 40% 17% 43% C- A D- F F C- F F F C B+ D- C- D 33% 54% 13% A+ C F A- D+ C+ F C- F
1.11 52% 44% 57% +14 +1 1.30 23% 0.3 .06 18% .21 58% .12 1.05 50% 46% 33% +2 -5 0.96 44% 0.8 .33 20% .41 78% .32
Dec
2		 Binghamton F F+ B F F 36% 16% 48% C- F D D- D- D- F D- F F+ F D F F 47% 33% 21% B F B+ A+ A- C- F A+ F
0.99 50% 44% 30% -5 0 0.93 28% 0.9 .26 15% .20 67% .13 1.12 80% 43% 44% +15 -1 1.30 15% 0.5 .07 20% .57 67% .38
Dec
6		 LIU Brooklyn C+ B C+ F+ C 45% 11% 45% B C B+ A+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ F B- D+ F D+ 50% 27% 23% C C- F D F D+ D- D- F+
1.12 62% 40% 29% -2 +2 1.02 41% 1.3 .53 26% .50 74% .37 1.19 54% 43% 42% +2 0 1.06 53% 1.1 .55 19% .34 70% .24
Dec
21		 Monmouth F+ C+ A+ B A- 32% 17% 51% C- B+ C- F F F F F F D C F+ F F 40% 35% 25% B F D+ A+ A- B+ A+ A+ A+
0.92 60% 63% 38% +7 0 1.17 31% 0.6 .17 30% .08 50% .04 1.13 57% 44% 62% +12 -2 1.23 34% 0.6 .22 21% .19 60% .11
Dec
31		 Army F A+ F F D 43% 23% 33% C- D F A+ F+ B+ C- F F+ F+ F A+ A- D+ 49% 11% 40% D D+ F F F B+ F C F
1.01 77% 21% 25% 0 0 1.02 11% 2.3 .25 12% .34 61% .21 1.10 68% 0% 28% -3 +2 1.00 39% 1.2 .47 21% .60 70% .42
Jan
3		 Bucknell F F+ A+ F F+ 33% 33% 33% F+ F F A+ C F A- A A+ C+ A+ A C- A+ 39% 22% 39% B- A F+ F F F+ C- F F
0.89 50% 57% 21% -3 -2 0.93 15% 2.3 .35 29% .40 81% .33 0.98 29% 25% 33% -15 0 0.72 31% 1.3 .40 16% .29 94% .28
Jan
7		 Holy Cross F C C- A+ C+ 38% 32% 30% F C F+ F+ F F F A+ D B+ D- A+ A+ B 42% 33% 25% C B B+ B+ B+ D A B+ A
1.04 61% 40% 43% +6 -1 1.11 21% 1.0 .21 19% .17 89% .16 0.91 64% 29% 23% -5 -1 0.90 16% 0.8 .13 14% .18 70% .13
Jan
10		 Colgate B F+ F A+ B+ 45% 20% 35% C+ B+ B+ F D A A+ B+ A+ D- A F F D+ 45% 27% 29% D+ D+ F A+ C C- F D F
1.20 50% 20% 59% +6 0 1.14 37% 0.6 .24 11% .45 77% .34 1.18 45% 62% 43% +4 0 1.10 36% 0.8 .27 15% .38 76% .29
Jan
14		 Boston University B- F+ A- A+ C 35% 27% 38% D C- F A+ F+ A B A+ A D+ C F D- D+ 58% 16% 26% F D A A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.21 48% 50% 43% +5 -1 1.10 9% 2.3 .21 8% .32 87% .28 1.18 58% 67% 40% +7 +2 1.19 18% 0.7 .12 14% .39 81% .32
Jan
17		 Navy D+ A A F C 22% 35% 43% F D+ F C+ F A+ C- A- C C- A+ F F B 49% 19% 32% F+ B- F C+ F B C B C+
1.03 71% 48% 21% -2 -3 0.92 15% 1.0 .15 10% .23 81% .19 1.06 31% 50% 47% -5 +1 0.94 45% 1.0 .45 21% .33 70% .23
Jan
19		 Loyola Maryland B+ A A+ B A 38% 25% 37% D+ A- F A+ D- C+ B A+ A+ F F+ A+ F F 35% 10% 56% C- F C- B C+ F C A B-
1.29 75% 54% 37% +12 -1 1.25 17% 1.8 .30 13% .34 95% .32 1.19 67% 20% 41% +7 +1 1.19 29% 0.9 .26 12% .27 63% .17
Jan
24		 Lafayette F F F A+ F 48% 20% 33% B F+ D+ C+ C- F D+ A+ B B B- D+ A+ A 43% 16% 41% C- A- D B- C D- D- B+ C-
0.98 45% 11% 47% -5 +1 0.93 29% 1.1 .32 24% .26 92% .24 0.90 52% 38% 20% -11 +1 0.82 29% 0.8 .24 14% .34 63% .21
Jan
28		 Army F F D- A F 40% 26% 34% D+ F F+ F F D- D F F+ B- C- A+ D- D 35% 20% 44% A- C- C+ C+ C+ C A+ A A+
0.95 45% 31% 41% -3 -1 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 18% .31 65% .20 0.99 58% 18% 38% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.9 .25 18% .14 63% .09
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Colgate D F+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 15% 48% B- A+ F A+ D F F+ B+ D- C- C F A+ B 46% 30% 24% C- B- F F F B+ F F F
1.08 50% 43% 52% +11 +1 1.25 18% 1.4 .25 25% .24 77% .19 1.07 57% 67% 8% -1 -1 0.98 34% 1.4 .48 20% .35 85% .30
Feb
4		 Loyola Maryland D- A- C- C- C 30% 25% 46% D C- F+ F F D C+ F D- D+ C- C+ F F 33% 28% 39% A+ D- F+ A+ B- F+ C F D
1.05 72% 40% 32% +3 -1 1.07 24% 0.9 .21 16% .31 52% .16 1.11 60% 35% 42% +4 -1 1.08 33% 0.7 .23 14% .26 83% .22
Feb
7		 Holy Cross D- A+ F F D+ 46% 19% 35% C+ D+ F F+ F B+ F F F F C D F D- 48% 27% 25% D- F+ C+ A+ B+ F F F F
1.03 84% 30% 16% +1 +1 1.06 12% 1.0 .12 11% .17 60% .10 1.17 57% 46% 42% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.7 .13 8% .38 83% .32
Feb
11		 American B C+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 23% 43% D+ A+ F A+ D- D+ B+ D+ B D- B A+ D+ B- 42% 10% 47% D C+ D+ F F F D- C D-
1.21 63% 64% 55% +21 -1 1.43 18% 1.3 .23 20% .44 69% .30 1.11 52% 17% 36% -3 +2 0.98 28% 1.3 .36 12% .32 76% .25
Feb
14		 Lafayette B A B+ A+ A+ 35% 38% 27% F A D- F F B D- D D- D+ F F+ A- F 46% 15% 39% D+ F C+ A+ A- B+ F D- F
1.21 72% 45% 50% +14 -3 1.25 25% 0.6 .14 12% .23 69% .16 1.07 71% 43% 28% +3 +1 1.11 24% 0.6 .14 20% .37 74% .27
Feb
18		 Navy F C- F F F 35% 33% 33% D+ F D F F D+ D- B+ D D+ B- F F+ D 45% 20% 35% D- D D- A+ A D- A F B
0.76 59% 25% 19% -11 -2 0.76 26% 0.4 .10 19% .19 80% .15 1.12 52% 50% 39% +2 +1 1.08 34% 0.6 .20 16% .24 85% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.9 3.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.5 24.2 7.3 32.0 3rd
4th 18.2 12.8 31.0 4th
5th 8.5 21.0 29.5 5th
6th 2.9 0.5 3.5 6th
7th 0.2 0.2 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 11.6 40.2 37.9 10.3 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 10.3% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8 9.5
10-8 37.9% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 2.1 35.8
9-9 40.2% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 1.4 38.7
8-10 11.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 11.4
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 16.0 95.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 16.0 1.2 98.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.3%
Lose Out 6.8%