Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -14.1 353
Expected Predictive Rating -20.4 362
Pace 74.7 40
Improvement +3.8 49

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 326 D D C- C C-
Defense F+ 357 F+ F D+ B+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 236 D- 50% 344 -4.1 321
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 137 C- 37% 211 +0.2 167
Three Pointers 42% 159 D+ 32% 259 -0.7 207
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 230 D -4.3 317
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 315
Second Chance D- 24.0% 337 C- 0.99 234 D 0.24 326
Turnovers C- 17.3% 207
Freethrows C 0.31 171 C 72% 199 C 0.22 168
Total Offense D -6.3 326

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 43% 270 D- 14.8% 341
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 232 C+ 4.4% 139
Three Pointers D+ 81% 258 D+ 1.3% 287
Total D+ 52% 267 D 6.9% 307

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 148 D- 65% 341 +3.6 301
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 345 F 46% 354 -1.1 104
Three Pointers 46% 48 D 37% 299 +4.3 342
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 323 F+ +5.7 355
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.16 357
Second Chance F+ 36.8% 353 D- 1.15 327 F 0.42 358
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 250
Freethrows B+ 0.25 33 B 70% 54 B+ 0.17 28
Total Defense F+ -7.8 357

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 60% 353 D+ 8.2% 293
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 306 C 5.4% 134
Three Pointers D+ 88% 295 C- 0.6% 232
Total F+ 66% 352 D+ 4.3% 286

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 146 16.0 15
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 294 0.21 313
Improvement +2.5 #78 +1.3 #112

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 357 352 345
Conference Record 1 - 17 1 - 17 2 - 16
Conference Finish 14 14 14
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Arkansas St. (Home) - 12.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 30 - 80 - 13
Quad 42 - 142 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 319 @Northern Illinois L 82 - 102 25% -10  19% 0 - 1 F -27 C +1 C+ C- C F -26 F F B-
 Fri, Nov 7 73 @Mississippi L 65 - 86 2% -17  0% 0 - 2 D -10 F+ -8 C- F D C -0 D D- A
 Thu, Nov 13 294 @Houston Christian L 61 - 72 18% +3  60% 0 - 3 F+ -16 F -17 F F F+ C+ +2 C- C D-
 Mon, Nov 17 207 Lamar L 66 - 79 21% -9  0% 0 - 4 F -19 F -14 F+ C- D- D -5 C- C+ F+
 Sat, Nov 22 286 Morehead St. L 80 - 83 25% -0  35% 0 - 5 D -10 D+ -2 D F+ C+ D- -8 F+ F+ D
 Sun, Nov 23 131 @East Tennessee St. L 55 - 97 5% -20  0% 0 - 6 F -37 F -17 F D+ C F -20 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 66 - 52 88% +4  82% 1 - 6 D- -13 F -15 F+ F D+ B- +3 A C F
 Sun, Dec 7 98 @Stephen F. Austin L 76 - 96 3% -11  0% 1 - 7 D- -12 C+ +3 F A- A F -14 F D+ D
 Sat, Dec 13 40 @Miami (FL) L 79 - 104 1% -12  0% 1 - 8 D -9 A- +10 A- C+ A F -19 F D F
 Wed, Dec 17 188 South Alabama L 92 - 96 2OT 19% +7  72% 1 - 9 0 - 1 D -9 D+ -4 B A F D+ -4 D- F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 303 Louisiana L 62 - 76 39% -12  0% 1 - 10 0 - 2 F -25 F -11 F C F+ F -15 F A- F
 Sun, Dec 28 92 @Kansas St. L 85 - 94 3% -6  27% 1 - 11 C +0 B- +4 A F C C- -3 D B+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 245 Southern Miss L 73 - 87 26% -11  0% 1 - 12 0 - 3 F -21 F -11 F D+ B- F -10 F C A-
 Sat, Jan 3 225 Texas St. L 79 - 84 23% -3  12% 1 - 13 0 - 4 D- -12 C- -2 A F C- F+ -9 C- F C-
 Thu, Jan 8 303 @Louisiana L 79 - 85 20% -3  21% 1 - 14 0 - 5 D -11 C +1 B F+ B- F -12 F F A-
 Sat, Jan 10 245 @Southern Miss L 60 - 70 12% +0  48% 1 - 15 0 - 6 D- -11 F -12 F D- F+ C+ +1 B D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 283 Georgia St. L 57 - 77 35% -9  8% 1 - 16 0 - 7 F -30 F -18 F F C F -13 F C+ D-
 Thu, Jan 22 173 @Marshall L 60 - 115 7% -28  2% 1 - 17 0 - 8 F -53 F -20 F D- C+ F -29 F F C
 Fri, Jan 23 174 @Appalachian St. L 43 - 59 7% -8  15% 1 - 18 0 - 9 D- -14 F -29 F F F+ A+ +15 B A+ C
 Fri, Jan 30 262 Georgia Southern L 76 - 79 30% -2  18% 1 - 19 0 - 10 D- -12 F+ -9 D+ D- D C- -2 C+ D B+
 Sun, Feb 1 238 Coastal Carolina L 79 - 83 26% -5  0% 1 - 20 0 - 11 D -11 B +7 A- C- B F -18 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 239 @Old Dominion W 85 - 79 12% +6  97% 2 - 20 1 - 11 C+ +5 B- +5 C F+ D- C -1 B F+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 313 Ball St. L 68 - 73 43% -8  0% 2 - 21 F+ -17 F -10 F C+ C+ D- -7 D F A-
 Wed, Feb 11 140 @Arkansas St. L 70 - 103 5% -15  0% 2 - 22 1 - 12 F -29 D- -7 D- D+ D+ F -20 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 225 @Texas St. L 84 - 95 11% -6  2% 2 - 23 1 - 13 D- -12 A+ +17 A A C+ F -30 F F F
 Wed, Feb 18 146 Troy L 76 - 77 13% -0  40% 2 - 24 1 - 14 C- -3 C- -2 F+ D A+ C- -2 C- C D
 Sat, Feb 21 140 Arkansas St. L 77 - 89 13%
 Wed, Feb 25 188 @South Alabama L 67 - 82 7%
 Fri, Feb 27 146 @Troy L 68 - 86 4%
Totals 2 - 27 1 - 17 -14 D -6 D+ D C- F+ -8 D+ C C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C- D+ D 37% 41% 42% C- D D- C- D C- C C C F+ D- F D F+ 40% 15% 46% D F+ F+ D- F D+ B+ B B+
1.00 50% 37% 32% -4 0 0.93 24% 1.0 .24 17% .31 72% .22 1.20 65% 46% 37% +6 +1 1.16 37% 1.1 .42 16% .25 70% .22
Nov
3		 Northern Illinois C D A+ A B- 40% 20% 40% D+ C+ F A+ C- C B- C+ B- F C+ F D F+ 51% 4% 45% F F F F F B- F F F
1.09 55% 50% 40% +5 0 1.12 19% 1.7 .32 17% .36 73% .26 1.36 52% 100% 36% +1 +3 1.10 61% 1.6 1.00 24% .46 73% .33
Nov
7		 Mississippi F+ F B- C C 22% 28% 50% D C- F F+ F D D+ F D- C B- B+ F D+ 26% 26% 47% D D C+ F D- A A B+ A
0.88 42% 40% 33% -4 -2 0.91 20% 0.9 .18 20% .29 59% .17 1.16 60% 33% 44% +7 -2 1.12 29% 1.4 .39 18% .21 69% .15
Nov
13		 Houston Christian F F+ C D F 43% 15% 42% C F F D+ F F+ F A+ F C+ C+ B- C+ C 45% 11% 45% F C- C+ C- C D- A+ F A-
0.87 52% 38% 32% -4 +1 0.96 12% 1.0 .12 21% .13 86% .11 1.03 56% 33% 32% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 14% .17 80% .13
Nov
17		 Lamar F D F C F 43% 22% 35% C F+ C- C- C- D- B+ F D+ D D F A+ C- 28% 33% 38% C C- C B- C+ F+ D+ B- C-
0.92 52% 18% 35% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.0 .29 19% .45 54% .24 1.10 59% 50% 26% 0 -2 0.97 33% 0.9 .31 13% .25 69% .17
Nov
22		 Morehead St. D+ F A+ D+ D- 38% 14% 48% C D D+ F F+ C+ D- B+ D+ D- D- B- F F 36% 30% 34% B- F+ F D+ F+ D F A F
1.13 45% 63% 32% -3 +1 0.98 34% 0.7 .23 14% .28 76% .21 1.17 65% 36% 44% +7 -1 1.13 42% 0.9 .39 16% .48 66% .32
Nov
23		 East Tennessee St. F D F F F 31% 20% 49% D F F A- D+ C D- B D F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F F F F D+ A+ D A+
0.79 53% 20% 21% -15 -1 0.71 21% 1.1 .23 19% .25 79% .20 1.40 76% 50% 43% +15 +1 1.34 39% 1.4 .54 14% .17 80% .14
Dec
3		 Mississippi Valley F A+ F F+ F+ 36% 17% 48% C- F+ F F F D+ A+ F+ A B- B- B+ A+ A+ 27% 43% 29% B- A D+ B C F B C+ B
1.02 80% 0% 30% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.0 .24 18% .55 69% .38 0.80 50% 32% 13% -14 -4 0.67 26% 0.8 .21 15% .24 69% .16
Dec
7		 Stephen F. Austin C+ D F F F 46% 18% 37% B- F C+ A+ A- A A A- A+ F F A+ F F 38% 24% 38% D+ F C D- D+ D B- B+ B
1.04 50% 30% 19% -13 +1 0.77 30% 1.4 .42 12% .38 79% .30 1.32 91% 21% 45% +15 0 1.31 32% 1.1 .35 11% .20 62% .12
Dec
13		 Miami (FL) A- D F A+ A- 29% 18% 54% C+ A- C- A- C+ A C- F D F F+ F F F 59% 3% 38% F F F B- D F A- A+ A+
1.11 50% 20% 47% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.2 .28 14% .23 57% .13 1.47 71% 50% 45% +14 +4 1.38 47% 1.0 .47 11% .27 53% .14
Dec
17		 South Alabama D+ A- F A B+ 12% 15% 73% F+ B D A+ A F A+ A A+ D+ F F A+ F+ 38% 16% 46% C D- B F F A+ B F C-
1.05 71% 22% 40% +5 -1 1.10 28% 1.8 .50 27% .33 81% .27 1.10 78% 50% 25% +3 +1 1.10 20% 2.1 .43 19% .27 79% .21
Dec
20		 Louisiana F F F A F 36% 28% 36% F F F A+ C F+ A+ B+ A+ F F C- F F 30% 30% 40% D F A- A A- F F A+ C-
0.97 36% 27% 43% -6 -1 0.87 23% 1.4 .33 22% .67 79% .52 1.19 67% 40% 50% +13 -2 1.24 21% 0.7 .14 9% .31 56% .17
Dec
28		 Kansas St. B- A- B- A+ A+ 33% 33% 33% F+ A F F F C A+ C A+ C- F B- B+ D+ 40% 10% 50% D+ D F+ A+ B+ C F D+ F
1.07 65% 41% 41% +7 -2 1.12 20% 0.9 .17 19% .53 71% .37 1.19 83% 33% 31% +7 +1 1.19 39% 0.7 .29 16% .36 75% .27
Jan
1		 Southern Miss F F B- D F 39% 21% 39% C- F F A+ D+ B- C D- D+ F F F D- F 49% 13% 38% F F D- B+ C A- A+ F A-
0.95 45% 42% 32% -5 0 0.91 14% 1.7 .24 16% .34 64% .22 1.13 69% 71% 35% +10 +2 1.26 36% 0.9 .32 22% .25 87% .22
Jan
3		 Texas St. C- A- F A+ A+ 37% 19% 44% D+ A F F F C- D- D F+ F+ C- D A+ C- 49% 31% 20% C- C- F F F C- A A+ A+
1.08 68% 20% 52% +12 0 1.27 14% 0.5 .07 19% .27 69% .19 1.15 59% 44% 25% -1 -1 1.00 43% 1.3 .54 18% .20 67% .13
Jan
8		 Louisiana C C- F+ A+ B 58% 15% 27% B B F A+ F+ B- C- C C- F D F C F 28% 22% 50% F F F F F A- D A+ B-
1.11 57% 29% 54% +6 +2 1.19 15% 1.5 .23 17% .37 73% .27 1.19 60% 67% 33% +6 -1 1.13 49% 1.1 .51 21% .27 53% .14
Jan
10		 Southern Miss F F F C+ F 42% 6% 52% A- F B- F D- F+ D- C D C+ C- A+ A- B 35% 27% 37% C- B A F D+ F D A C
0.88 40% 0% 36% -8 +2 0.90 31% 0.6 .18 21% .30 69% .20 1.03 61% 21% 26% -8 -1 0.84 23% 1.6 .36 13% .41 67% .27
Jan
17		 Georgia St. F F C- D F 31% 26% 43% F+ F F+ F F C F C- F F D C+ F F 18% 16% 65% D F A- F C+ D- A+ A A+
0.85 35% 36% 30% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.6 .16 16% .18 70% .13 1.15 60% 33% 42% +7 -1 1.15 21% 1.3 .26 13% .17 70% .12
Jan
22		 Marshall F F A+ F F 35% 19% 46% C+ F F B- D- C+ A+ C+ A+ F C A+ F F 26% 7% 67% F F F F F C A+ D- A
0.81 28% 50% 17% -20 0 0.62 24% 1.0 .24 16% .47 72% .34 1.55 63% 25% 51% +18 +1 1.39 54% 1.3 .71 18% .15 78% .11
Jan
23		 Appalachian St. F F F F F 47% 9% 43% A F F F F F+ C+ C C+ A+ D F A+ A- 39% 5% 56% F B D A+ A+ C A+ F A
0.62 20% 20% 22% -28 +2 0.51 20% 0.5 .10 17% .30 71% .21 0.85 64% 67% 19% -9 +2 0.88 34% 0.1 .04 16% .15 78% .12
Jan
30		 Georgia Southern F+ B- D- D+ C- 43% 18% 39% C- D+ D- C- D- D A+ A- A+ C- D+ F A+ C 35% 23% 42% A C+ C+ F D B+ F D F
1.03 62% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 20% .46 81% .37 1.07 59% 55% 20% -5 -1 0.92 26% 1.3 .35 19% .57 76% .43
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Coastal Carolina B D- A+ B A- 30% 21% 48% B A- C+ D C- B D C+ D F F F+ F F 29% 22% 49% D F F F+ F C- A+ B+ A+
1.18 47% 67% 37% +5 -1 1.11 30% 0.9 .27 10% .25 73% .18 1.24 67% 45% 48% +14 -1 1.29 37% 1.1 .40 15% .16 67% .11
Feb
4		 Old Dominion B- B+ A+ F C+ 40% 27% 33% D C A+ F F+ D- A+ B A+ C D+ A- A+ B+ 38% 20% 42% D- B F+ D F+ D F A F
1.16 68% 54% 19% +1 -1 1.02 47% 0.4 .21 18% .60 78% .46 1.08 62% 27% 26% -6 0 0.91 31% 1.2 .36 14% .46 66% .30
Feb
7		 Ball St. F B D- F F 29% 31% 40% F F D- A+ C+ C+ A+ B+ A+ D- B+ F C- D- 45% 24% 31% C+ D F F F A- D F D-
0.98 67% 31% 12% -13 -2 0.71 28% 1.3 .38 17% .63 83% .52 1.05 45% 50% 33% -3 0 0.96 37% 1.1 .42 20% .33 78% .25
Feb
11		 Arkansas St. D- F D B- D- 29% 23% 48% D+ D- D C- D+ D+ A F B- F D- F F F 47% 5% 48% F F F D F F A- A+ A+
0.95 40% 33% 36% -5 -1 0.90 23% 1.0 .23 16% .42 62% .26 1.39 67% 67% 39% +9 +3 1.26 51% 1.1 .56 15% .25 50% .13
Feb
14		 Texas St. A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 13% 39% B- A A B+ A C+ B- F C- F D F F F 55% 25% 21% F F F F F F A B A
1.31 50% 67% 56% +13 +2 1.30 38% 1.1 .41 17% .36 63% .23 1.48 62% 77% 45% +15 +1 1.34 57% 1.5 .87 11% .19 73% .14
Feb
18		 Troy C- F+ A+ F F 41% 20% 39% C+ F+ D- C+ D A+ A- B A- C- C F B C 42% 6% 52% D C- B D- C D F A F
1.08 48% 73% 18% -7 0 0.89 24% 1.1 .27 6% .35 74% .26 1.09 57% 67% 31% -1 +2 1.04 29% 1.1 .32 14% .43 65% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 77.4 20.8 1.8 0.1 100.0 14th
Total 77.4 20.8 1.8 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 20.8% 20.8
1-17 77.4% 77.4
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 77.4%