Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#260
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#247
Pace73.9#76
Improvement+1.6#53

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#269
First Shot+2.1#119
After Offensive Rebound-5.1#358
Layup/Dunks+6.9#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#295
Freethrows-0.2#202
Improvement+0.0#181

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#251
First Shot-1.3#221
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#250
Layups/Dunks+6.2#22
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#341
Freethrows-2.9#318
Improvement+1.6#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.2% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 17.2% 19.2% 6.0%
.500 or above in Conference 28.1% 30.1% 17.2%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.2% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 23.1% 21.5% 32.5%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
First Round1.7% 1.8% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern St. (Home) - 84.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 48 - 511 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 10   @ LSU L 39-101 2%     0 - 1 -42.8 -26.9 -12.1
  Nov 12, 2021 21   @ Auburn L 65-93 3%     0 - 2 -11.0 -4.8 -4.2
  Nov 22, 2021 343   Northwestern St. W 96-66 77%     1 - 2 +16.7 +2.1 +10.4
  Nov 24, 2021 108   @ Louisiana Tech L 74-96 12%     1 - 3 -14.9 -1.8 -11.7
  Nov 28, 2021 100   @ SMU L 67-74 11%     1 - 4 +0.9 -3.4 +4.4
  Dec 04, 2021 343   Northwestern St. W 82-71 85%    
  Dec 14, 2021 158   @ Stephen F. Austin L 69-78 20%    
  Dec 18, 2021 246   Southern Miss W 71-69 58%    
  Dec 20, 2021 320   @ Lamar W 75-74 53%    
  Dec 30, 2021 227   @ Coastal Carolina L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 01, 2022 172   @ Appalachian St. L 64-72 23%    
  Jan 06, 2022 288   Arkansas Little Rock W 75-71 66%    
  Jan 08, 2022 231   Arkansas St. W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 13, 2022 152   @ Texas St. L 63-72 20%    
  Jan 15, 2022 237   @ Texas Arlington L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 20, 2022 242   Troy W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 22, 2022 157   South Alabama L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 27, 2022 180   Georgia Southern L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 29, 2022 140   Georgia St. L 75-79 35%    
  Feb 03, 2022 231   @ Arkansas St. L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 05, 2022 288   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 10, 2022 237   Texas Arlington W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 12, 2022 152   Texas St. L 66-69 38%    
  Feb 17, 2022 183   Louisiana L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 19, 2022 183   @ Louisiana L 73-80 26%    
  Feb 24, 2022 140   @ Georgia St. L 72-82 19%    
  Feb 25, 2022 180   @ Georgia Southern L 65-73 25%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.2 0.2 4.0 3rd
4th 0.5 2.5 1.9 0.4 5.3 4th
5th 0.3 2.6 2.8 0.6 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 3.9 1.0 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 4.6 2.1 0.2 8.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.7 3.7 0.4 10.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.4 5.2 1.0 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.6 5.4 1.4 0.1 12.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.8 4.6 5.0 1.9 0.1 0.0 13.7 11th
12th 0.4 1.6 3.6 4.8 3.5 1.2 0.2 15.2 12th
Total 0.4 1.6 3.9 6.7 9.2 12.0 13.1 13.2 11.8 9.6 7.3 5.1 3.1 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 92.5% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 63.7% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 35.9% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1
12-6 11.0% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 22.5% 22.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3
14-4 0.9% 13.2% 13.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-5 1.7% 14.4% 14.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
12-6 3.1% 7.4% 7.4% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.9
11-7 5.1% 7.3% 7.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 4.7
10-8 7.3% 4.0% 4.0% 15.6 0.1 0.2 7.0
9-9 9.6% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.3
8-10 11.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.7
7-11 13.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.1
6-12 13.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.0
5-13 12.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 11.9
4-14 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
3-15 6.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.7
2-16 3.9% 3.9
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 98.0 0.0%