Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.9#58
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#69
Pace78.4#18
Improvement-1.0#254

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#52
First Shot+4.9#64
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#81
Layup/Dunks+4.7#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#60
Freethrows-1.2#259
Improvement+0.0#173

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#99
First Shot+2.9#88
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#213
Layups/Dunks-0.8#216
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#43
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#160
Freethrows+1.1#110
Improvement-1.0#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.2% 1.2% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.2% 22.3% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.1% 22.2% 6.3%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 8.9
.500 or above 55.7% 55.9% 26.9%
.500 or above in Conference 24.1% 24.2% 14.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.5% 9.4% 17.7%
First Four6.0% 6.1% 1.1%
First Round18.9% 19.0% 5.7%
Second Round8.1% 8.1% 3.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Home) - 99.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 11
Quad 25 - 39 - 14
Quad 33 - 111 - 16
Quad 45 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 294 UNC Greensboro W 93-64 95%     1 - 0 +18.9 +2.6 +12.7
  Sat, Nov 8 267 Bellarmine W 98-71 94%     2 - 0 +18.2 +15.8 +1.9
  Thu, Nov 13 65 California W 99-96 64%     3 - 0 +8.3 +18.3 -10.4
  Mon, Nov 17 92 Tulsa W 84-83 71%     4 - 0 +4.1 +3.6 +0.4
  Thu, Nov 20 80 Mississippi St. W 98-77 58%     5 - 0 +27.9 +21.9 +4.6
  Fri, Nov 21 25 Nebraska L 85-86 28%     5 - 1 +14.1 +12.8 +1.4
  Tue, Nov 25 29 @Indiana L 69-86 20%     5 - 2 +0.6 -0.1 +2.1
  Mon, Dec 1 117 Bowling Green L 66-82 80%     5 - 3 -15.8 +1.8 -19.0
  Sat, Dec 6 54 Seton Hall L 67-78 59%     5 - 4 -4.5 -5.8 +2.4
  Mon, Dec 8 365 Mississippi Valley W 108-49 99.6%    6 - 4 +32.9 +16.0 +12.1
  Sat, Dec 13 36 @Creighton W 83-76 24%     7 - 4 +23.2 +22.2 +1.4
  Sat, Dec 20 291 South Dakota W 106-76 95%     8 - 4 +20.2 +18.3 -0.3
  Sun, Dec 28 359 Louisiana Monroe W 96-69 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 11 BYU L 79-87 24%    
  Wed, Jan 7 2 @Arizona L 75-92 5%    
  Sat, Jan 10 71 @Arizona St. L 82-84 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 49 Central Florida W 87-85 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 55 @Oklahoma St. L 87-90 38%    
  Tue, Jan 20 111 Utah W 88-80 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 17 Kansas L 75-80 30%    
  Tue, Jan 27 62 @West Virginia L 73-76 41%    
  Sun, Feb 1 3 Iowa St. L 77-87 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 53 @TCU L 75-79 36%    
  Wed, Feb 11 67 Cincinnati W 80-76 64%    
  Sat, Feb 14 8 @Houston L 68-82 10%    
  Tue, Feb 17 27 Baylor L 85-88 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 24 @Texas Tech L 77-86 20%    
  Wed, Feb 25 73 @Colorado L 83-85 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 53 TCU W 78-76 58%    
  Tue, Mar 3 62 West Virginia W 76-73 63%    
  Sat, Mar 7 17 @Kansas L 72-83 15%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 1.5 0.6 0.0 3.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 2.7 1.2 0.1 5.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.6 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.5 3.8 3.9 0.7 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.2 2.6 5.6 1.6 0.1 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.3 5.9 3.0 0.1 10.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 4.4 5.0 0.6 0.0 10.4 11th
12th 0.1 2.5 6.2 1.7 0.0 10.5 12th
13th 0.0 1.3 5.4 3.1 0.2 0.0 10.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.0 0.5 0.0 9.0 14th
15th 0.1 0.6 2.6 3.2 0.9 0.0 7.5 15th
16th 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.7 0.7 0.1 4.6 16th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.2 5.1 9.0 13.1 15.8 15.8 14.2 10.8 6.8 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 66.7% 0.0    0.0
15-3 27.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 17.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 100.0% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.7% 99.5% 3.6% 95.9% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
12-6 1.8% 98.9% 1.3% 97.6% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 98.9%
11-7 3.7% 93.3% 1.1% 92.2% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.3 93.2%
10-8 6.8% 83.6% 0.4% 83.2% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 1.9 1.5 0.4 1.1 83.5%
9-9 10.8% 60.2% 0.1% 60.1% 10.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 2.1 0.0 4.3 60.2%
8-10 14.2% 22.3% 0.2% 22.1% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 0.2 11.0 22.1%
7-11 15.8% 3.7% 0.1% 3.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 15.2 3.5%
6-12 15.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.8 0.1%
5-13 13.1% 13.1
4-14 9.0% 9.0
3-15 5.1% 5.1
2-16 2.2% 2.2
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 22.2% 0.2% 22.0% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.9 4.5 5.0 5.3 0.3 0.0 77.8 22.1%