Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#91
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#160
Pace65.6#270
Improvement+2.6#27

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#160
First Shot+3.6#77
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#334
Layup/Dunks+7.9#14
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#321
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#236
Freethrows+0.7#134
Improvement+0.3#142

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#48
First Shot+0.8#147
After Offensive Rebounds+4.7#3
Layups/Dunks+1.8#111
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#226
Freethrows+0.1#184
Improvement+2.3#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 9.7% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.6% 9.0% 2.2%
Average Seed 9.0 9.0 9.7
.500 or above 29.6% 30.9% 9.3%
.500 or above in Conference 12.2% 12.6% 6.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 36.2% 35.2% 52.2%
First Four1.5% 1.5% 0.7%
First Round8.5% 8.9% 2.1%
Second Round4.1% 4.3% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 94.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 13
Quad 23 - 46 - 17
Quad 31 - 17 - 18
Quad 47 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 305   Florida A&M W 67-57 93%     1 - 0 -1.0 -6.9 +6.1
  Nov 17, 2021 331   Nebraska Omaha W 79-64 96%     2 - 0 +1.0 -0.9 +1.9
  Nov 22, 2021 25   Arkansas L 64-72 23%     2 - 1 +5.5 -5.0 +10.8
  Nov 23, 2021 30   Illinois L 64-72 27%     2 - 2 +4.3 -1.5 +5.5
  Nov 28, 2021 329   North Dakota W 84-42 96%     3 - 2 +28.1 +1.6 +26.2
  Dec 01, 2021 297   Albany W 72-56 94%    
  Dec 05, 2021 53   @ Wichita St. L 60-66 30%    
  Dec 08, 2021 71   Marquette W 72-70 57%    
  Dec 12, 2021 300   Green Bay W 74-57 94%    
  Dec 19, 2021 105   @ Nebraska L 69-70 46%    
  Dec 21, 2021 327   McNeese St. W 79-60 96%    
  Dec 29, 2021 315   Morgan St. W 78-60 95%    
  Jan 01, 2022 35   @ Oklahoma L 60-69 21%    
  Jan 04, 2022 11   Texas L 58-65 27%    
  Jan 08, 2022 48   @ West Virginia L 63-70 28%    
  Jan 12, 2022 90   TCU W 66-63 60%    
  Jan 15, 2022 18   Texas Tech L 62-68 30%    
  Jan 18, 2022 11   @ Texas L 55-68 13%    
  Jan 22, 2022 9   Kansas L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 25, 2022 3   @ Baylor L 59-75 8%    
  Jan 29, 2022 77   @ Mississippi L 60-64 37%    
  Feb 02, 2022 33   Oklahoma St. L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 05, 2022 90   @ TCU L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 09, 2022 3   Baylor L 62-72 20%    
  Feb 12, 2022 58   @ Iowa St. L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 14, 2022 48   West Virginia L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 19, 2022 33   @ Oklahoma St. L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 22, 2022 9   @ Kansas L 64-78 11%    
  Feb 26, 2022 58   Iowa St. W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 28, 2022 18   @ Texas Tech L 59-71 15%    
  Mar 05, 2022 35   Oklahoma L 63-66 40%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.4 1.1 0.1 5.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.2 5.3 2.2 0.2 13.1 7th
8th 0.3 1.8 6.4 6.7 2.4 0.2 17.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.3 7.7 6.8 2.2 0.3 22.1 9th
10th 1.1 4.1 6.9 7.8 4.6 1.0 0.1 25.7 10th
Total 1.1 4.2 7.8 12.4 14.1 15.4 13.7 11.3 7.8 5.5 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 52.4% 0.1    0.1 0.1
13-5 28.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 4.8% 95.2% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.3% 100.0% 12.5% 87.5% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 0.8% 96.4% 6.0% 90.5% 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.2%
11-7 1.8% 90.7% 3.3% 87.4% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 90.3%
10-8 3.5% 68.2% 2.6% 65.6% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.1 67.3%
9-9 5.5% 41.5% 2.6% 38.9% 9.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.2 40.0%
8-10 7.8% 14.4% 1.4% 13.0% 10.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 6.7 13.2%
7-11 11.3% 2.9% 1.5% 1.4% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 1.4%
6-12 13.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.6 0.1%
5-13 15.4% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 15.4
4-14 14.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 14.1
3-15 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
2-16 7.8% 7.8
1-17 4.2% 4.2
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 9.3% 0.8% 8.5% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 90.7 8.6%