Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +6.1 92
Expected Predictive Rating +5.6 90
Pace 78.6 10
Improvement -4.7 343

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 96 B B- C D B-
Defense B- 98 B D- B C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 85 B 64% 61 +4.5 34
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 246 D 34% 312 -2.2 287
Three Pointers 41% 171 B+ 38% 30 +2.7 90
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 83 B +4.0 60
1st FG Attempt B 1.12 49
Second Chance B- 33.2% 97 B- 1.09 79 B- 0.36 75
Turnovers C 16.5% 162
Freethrows D 0.26 312 C 72% 182 D 0.19 296
Total Offense B- +3.3 96

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B+ 60% 28 B- 9.3% 84
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 256 C 5.5% 219
Three Pointers C 84% 198 C- 1.1% 240
Total B 63% 44 C+ 5.3% 145

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 188 B- 54% 74 -1.8 116
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 130 C+ 37% 134 +0.1 191
Three Pointers 40% 223 B 31% 67 -2.3 85
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 136 B -3.5 53
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 57
Second Chance D+ 33.0% 287 F+ 1.18 348 D- 0.39 339
Turnovers B 19.0% 59
Freethrows C+ 0.29 145 C+ 71% 112 C+ 0.21 131
Total Defense B- +2.8 98

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 263 B- 13.5% 79
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 40% 344 C 5.0% 160
Three Pointers D+ 86% 257 D+ 0.5% 245
Total D+ 60% 287 C+ 6.5% 111

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.1 18 17.5 234
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.28 8 0.16 134
Improvement -4.6 #348 -0.1 #203

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 105 91 74
Conference Record 2 - 16 3 - 15 5 - 13
Conference Finish 16 15 13
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 2% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 65% 33% 67%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Texas Tech (Away) - 7.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 12
Quad 25 - 56 - 18
Quad 31 - 17 - 19
Quad 45 - 012 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 300 UNC Greensboro W 93 - 64 93% +7  55% 1 - 0 A +18 D+ -3 B B+ F A+ +17 A C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 287 Bellarmine W 98 - 71 93% +11  93% 2 - 0 A- +17 A- +9 A+ A+ F A- +7 A+ F B
 Thu, Nov 13 71 California W 99 - 96 54% +14  91% 3 - 0 B +8 A+ +15 A+ A+ F D- -7 F F A+
 Mon, Nov 17 77 Tulsa W 84 - 83 56% +3  75% 4 - 0 B- +6 C +1 D+ A+ B B +4 A+ B- D-
 Thu, Nov 20 69 Mississippi St. W 98 - 77 42% +8  85% 5 - 0 A+ +29 A+ +21 A+ C- A- A- +7 B A- A-
 Fri, Nov 21 13 Nebraska L 85 - 86 12% -4  20% 5 - 1 A +18 A+ +15 A A+ A- B- +3 D+ D B
 Tue, Nov 25 37 @Indiana L 69 - 86 16% -13  0% 5 - 2 C -0 D -5 A- F F B+ +6 C D+ A+
 Mon, Dec 1 166 Bowling Green L 66 - 82 81% -9  0% 5 - 3 F -19 D+ -3 F+ B+ A+ F -18 D F F
 Sat, Dec 6 56 Seton Hall L 67 - 78 46% -8  2% 5 - 4 C- -4 D- -7 C- D B+ B +4 A D C-
 Mon, Dec 8 365 Mississippi Valley W 108 - 49 99% +32  96% 6 - 4 A+ +32 A +13 A+ B+ D+ A+ +14 A B A-
 Sat, Dec 13 60 @Creighton W 83 - 76 28% +8  92% 7 - 4 A +19 A+ +16 B A- A B +4 A- C F+
 Sat, Dec 20 291 South Dakota W 106 - 76 93% +22  98% 8 - 4 A +20 A+ +17 A+ A C C+ +1 B D D+
 Sun, Dec 28 353 Louisiana Monroe W 94 - 85 97% +6  68% 9 - 4 D -8 C- -2 C+ F C- D- -7 F B+ B-
 Sat, Jan 3 21 BYU L 73 - 83 22% -6  9% 9 - 5 0 - 1 C+ +4 D -6 C+ F+ B- A +11 A+ D A+
 Wed, Jan 7 3 @Arizona L 76 - 101 4% -14  0% 9 - 6 0 - 2 C+ +2 B- +4 D B A+ B- +2 A F F
 Sat, Jan 10 63 @Arizona St. L 84 - 87 29% -0  40% 9 - 7 0 - 3 B +9 B +6 D+ A- A- B- +3 A+ F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 52 Central Florida L 73 - 82 44% -7  4% 9 - 8 0 - 4 C -1 D -5 D+ C B- B +5 C B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 17 62 @Oklahoma St. L 83 - 84 28% -2  23% 9 - 9 0 - 5 B +11 A- +11 A A+ F C +0 A+ F F
 Tue, Jan 20 102 Utah W 81 - 78 65% +2  62% 10 - 9 1 - 5 B- +5 B +6 A+ F+ C+ C -1 C D- D
 Sat, Jan 24 15 Kansas L 62 - 86 18% -5  9% 10 - 10 1 - 6 D -8 C +1 C B B+ F -11 B F C+
 Tue, Jan 27 55 @West Virginia L 54 - 59 25% -0  51% 10 - 11 1 - 7 B- +8 D -4 C F B A+ +12 A+ D- A
 Sun, Feb 1 7 Iowa St. L 61 - 95 12% -23  1% 10 - 12 1 - 8 F+ -15 D -5 C+ D+ B+ F+ -9 F B- B
 Sat, Feb 7 50 @TCU L 82 - 84 23% +8  99% 10 - 13 1 - 9 B+ +12 A +14 A+ A A- C- -2 C F B+
 Wed, Feb 11 46 Cincinnati L 62 - 91 41% -21  0% 10 - 14 1 - 10 F -21 D -5 D+ A- D- F -16 F F B
 Sat, Feb 14 6 @Houston L 64 - 78 5% -8  27% 10 - 15 1 - 11 B+ +11 D+ -4 D- B C+ A+ +16 A+ C A+
 Tue, Feb 17 47 Baylor W 90 - 74 41% +10  98% 11 - 15 2 - 11 A+ +24 B- +4 A+ B+ F A+ +18 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Feb 21 18 @Texas Tech L 72 - 87 7%
 Wed, Feb 25 72 @Colorado L 80 - 85 32%
 Sat, Feb 28 50 TCU L 77 - 79 43%
 Tue, Mar 3 55 West Virginia L 70 - 71 47%
 Sat, Mar 7 15 @Kansas L 70 - 86 7%
Totals 12 - 19 3 - 15 +6 B- +3 F B B- B- +3 B+ C D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B D B+ B 42% 32% 41% B- B B- B- B- C D C D B- B- C+ B B 38% 22% 40% C+ B D+ F+ D- B C+ C+ C+
1.13 64% 34% 38% +4 +1 1.12 33% 1.1 .36 17% .26 72% .19 1.05 54% 37% 31% -3 0 0.95 33% 1.2 .39 19% .29 71% .19
Nov
4		 UNC Greensboro D+ C- B+ A+ B 41% 19% 40% B- B B- A- B+ F B F D+ A+ B+ A+ A A+ 47% 20% 33% F+ A B- C C+ A+ B A+ A
1.16 58% 45% 48% +10 0 1.22 34% 1.3 .44 20% .31 55% .17 0.80 50% 18% 28% -11 +1 0.82 24% 1.0 .24 23% .32 60% .19
Nov
8		 Bellarmine A- A- F A+ A+ 43% 9% 48% A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ A- D+ A+ A+ A+ 54% 10% 37% F+ A+ F F F B C A+ B
1.38 74% 0% 57% +20 +2 1.45 50% 1.5 .77 25% .43 78% .34 1.00 64% 20% 16% -8 +3 0.90 31% 1.4 .42 18% .29 65% .19
Nov
13		 California A+ A+ D A+ A+ 62% 5% 33% A+ A+ C- A+ A+ F B+ C+ B D- C C- F F 33% 19% 48% D+ F D- F F A+ A+ C- A+
1.26 71% 33% 50% +15 +4 1.40 26% 2.0 .52 22% .34 67% .23 1.23 61% 40% 54% +16 0 1.33 32% 1.4 .46 22% .23 79% .18
Nov
17		 Tulsa C A- F F D 43% 21% 36% C+ D+ B+ A+ A+ B B+ A+ A+ B B- F A+ A+ 44% 5% 51% D+ A+ C- A B- D- F A F+
1.11 68% 25% 24% -4 0 0.95 33% 1.4 .47 13% .32 90% .29 1.10 54% 100% 21% -8 +2 0.91 33% 1.1 .36 12% .44 72% .32
Nov
20		 Mississippi St. A+ A+ F A+ A+ 31% 27% 42% C+ A+ B+ F C- A- F A+ D- A- C+ D B+ B+ 33% 21% 46% C B A- B+ A- A- F F F
1.31 84% 24% 50% +14 -1 1.27 32% 0.8 .24 11% .16 91% .15 1.03 59% 45% 29% -2 0 0.98 26% 0.9 .23 19% .38 78% .29
Nov
21		 Nebraska A+ A+ B- C- A 18% 25% 57% C A C+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ B- F F A+ D+ 38% 7% 55% D+ D+ C+ F D B D- A+ C+
1.13 89% 38% 31% +3 -2 1.04 27% 1.4 .39 17% .35 86% .30 1.14 90% 75% 27% +9 +2 1.24 26% 1.4 .35 16% .32 60% .19
Nov
25		 Indiana D C D A+ A 34% 30% 36% C- A- C- F F F D A+ C B+ F B- C+ 42% 0% 58% F+ C F+ B D+ A+ F B- F
0.91 53% 33% 44% +3 -2 1.04 25% 0.5 .13 25% .26 87% .23 1.13 75% 32% +5 +3 1.19 35% 1.0 .35 22% .49 76% .37
Dec
1		 Bowling Green D+ D F F F 49% 14% 37% B F+ B+ C+ B+ A+ B+ F D+ F A+ F F D 40% 10% 50% C D F F F F D+ C- D+
1.03 52% 14% 26% -11 +2 0.84 35% 1.1 .38 9% .38 55% .21 1.28 37% 60% 46% +3 +1 1.10 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 74% .25
Dec
6		 Seton Hall D- A F F D+ 37% 12% 51% B- C- A F D B+ A+ F C B B- A+ A+ A+ 49% 19% 32% D A C F D C- C D- D+
0.86 63% 17% 23% -9 +1 0.86 40% 0.5 .21 21% .57 43% .24 1.01 54% 18% 22% -12 +1 0.81 35% 1.2 .42 15% .34 77% .26
Dec
8		 Mississippi Valley A B- A A+ A+ 42% 7% 51% B+ A+ C+ A- B+ D+ F A- F A+ A+ A+ B A+ 27% 46% 27% B A D A+ B A- C F D
1.42 65% 50% 54% +19 +2 1.44 40% 1.4 .57 18% .26 81% .21 0.64 36% 25% 29% -14 -4 0.65 27% 0.6 .16 25% .28 81% .23
Dec
13		 Creighton A+ D+ F A+ B- 43% 15% 43% A B A C+ A- A B A+ A B B+ A+ F+ A 30% 19% 52% B- A- C C+ C F+ C+ F D
1.25 52% 13% 43% 0 +1 1.04 38% 1.1 .41 11% .25 87% .22 1.14 56% 10% 39% -2 0 0.98 29% 1.0 .29 11% .25 93% .23
Dec
20		 South Dakota A+ A A A+ A+ 60% 3% 36% A A+ A- B- A C D+ C D+ C+ B- A+ F B 49% 23% 28% C- B C+ F D D+ B+ A+ A+
1.40 71% 50% 48% +16 +4 1.41 41% 1.3 .52 16% .25 75% .19 1.01 54% 0% 44% -7 0 0.89 27% 1.3 .33 16% .31 55% .17
Dec
28		 Louisiana Monroe C- A+ F D C+ 40% 10% 50% B- C+ B- F F C- A+ B+ A+ D- F D+ F F 33% 33% 33% A F B B+ B+ B- F C+ F
1.19 83% 33% 31% +7 +1 1.19 39% 0.7 .29 16% .36 75% .27 1.07 65% 41% 41% +7 -2 1.12 20% 0.9 .17 19% .53 71% .37
Jan
3		 BYU D B C+ F D+ 57% 14% 29% A+ C+ C F F+ B- B+ B+ B+ A A+ D+ D+ A+ 33% 31% 37% B+ A+ D+ D+ D A+ F A F+
0.94 64% 38% 12% -7 +2 0.93 26% 0.6 .17 15% .29 74% .21 1.07 41% 44% 37% -2 -2 0.94 40% 1.3 .50 24% .46 67% .31
Jan
7		 Arizona B- D- D+ F D- 31% 23% 46% B+ D C A+ B A+ C+ A+ A- B- D C+ A+ A 46% 32% 23% B- A D+ F F F F D+ F
0.92 45% 33% 23% -12 -1 0.75 23% 1.1 .25 12% .26 84% .22 1.23 69% 39% 23% +2 -1 1.04 43% 1.3 .54 10% .53 77% .40
Jan
10		 Arizona St. B F F A- D 38% 17% 45% B- D+ B- A A- A- B D+ C+ B- C F A+ A+ 38% 25% 37% B A+ F D- F A- F C+ F
1.10 41% 20% 38% -7 0 0.90 35% 1.3 .43 17% .33 71% .24 1.14 60% 54% 11% -8 -1 0.85 50% 1.3 .67 20% .52 75% .39
Jan
14		 Central Florida D A+ D+ F D 40% 13% 47% B+ D+ C- B C B- D- F F B A- F F D 36% 38% 25% A+ C A+ F B+ D+ C+ A+ A-
0.98 75% 38% 18% -5 +1 0.95 22% 1.1 .25 16% .24 60% .14 1.10 50% 48% 50% +7 -2 1.11 21% 1.7 .36 13% .28 61% .17
Jan
17		 Oklahoma St. A- B A+ B+ A+ 32% 16% 52% C- A A A- A+ F F F F C A+ B- B- A+ 53% 11% 37% D+ A+ F+ F F F D+ F F+
1.17 61% 56% 38% +7 0 1.16 38% 1.2 .47 23% .09 40% .04 1.18 43% 33% 33% -9 +2 0.89 38% 1.4 .55 10% .38 83% .31
Jan
20		 Utah B F A+ A+ A+ 31% 37% 31% F A+ D- F+ F+ C+ F C+ F C A F D- C 42% 22% 36% B- C C F D- D A+ A+ A+
1.17 41% 60% 59% +15 -3 1.26 23% 0.9 .19 14% .17 70% .12 1.13 48% 58% 40% +3 0 1.09 31% 1.2 .38 13% .17 60% .10
Jan
24		 Kansas C C- F B+ B- 16% 35% 49% F C B+ C B B+ B- A- B F F F+ A+ C 28% 43% 30% A+ B F F F C+ F F+ F
0.95 50% 17% 36% -7 -4 0.80 33% 0.8 .28 12% .25 71% .18 1.32 85% 45% 21% +5 -4 1.04 44% 1.8 .78 15% .44 83% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 West Virginia D F D B+ C- 44% 14% 42% A- C D F F B F A+ F A+ C- A A+ A+ 32% 21% 47% A- A+ B- F D- A A+ C+ A+
0.88 41% 29% 38% -6 +1 0.92 20% 0.6 .11 16% .08 100% .08 0.96 60% 30% 23% -9 -1 0.83 29% 1.5 .44 21% .19 67% .12
Feb
1		 Iowa St. D D+ B- C- B- 25% 34% 42% D- C+ D C- D+ B+ F D F F+ D- C- F F 34% 20% 46% B F C B B- B C- F D
0.86 54% 39% 32% -2 -3 0.92 22% 1.0 .22 20% .10 67% .07 1.33 71% 40% 57% +20 0 1.42 38% 1.0 .38 17% .34 75% .25
Feb
7		 TCU A A+ C- A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% F+ A+ C A+ A A- F F+ F C- B- F C+ C+ 47% 12% 42% F+ C F C- F B+ F A+ F
1.15 80% 38% 42% +11 -2 1.20 26% 1.5 .39 17% .13 63% .08 1.18 55% 60% 33% +1 +2 1.07 50% 1.1 .56 18% .62 61% .38
Feb
11		 Cincinnati D B- D+ F C- 31% 27% 41% D+ D+ A- B A- D- F C- F F B+ A- F F 34% 20% 46% C F F F F B C F D
0.88 56% 36% 24% -7 -1 0.84 31% 1.2 .37 23% .17 67% .11 1.29 53% 30% 52% +9 0 1.20 42% 1.5 .65 18% .28 81% .23
Feb
14		 Houston D+ D F F F+ 38% 17% 45% B+ D- C A+ B C+ A+ D A- A+ B+ B- A A+ 30% 36% 34% B- A+ A F C A+ F C+ F
0.85 50% 13% 24% -14 0 0.74 27% 1.2 .32 22% .43 64% .27 1.03 56% 37% 28% -4 -3 0.89 32% 1.3 .39 20% .50 77% .38
Feb
17		 Baylor B- B A A A 51% 22% 27% A+ A+ F A+ B+ F C+ A B A+ C+ A- A+ A+ 40% 26% 34% D- A+ D+ C C- A+ C- B- C
1.11 64% 50% 40% +8 +1 1.20 18% 2.0 .36 22% .27 82% .22 0.91 61% 33% 10% -13 -1 0.76 41% 1.1 .45 23% .34 71% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 1.4 0.6 0.0 2.0 12th
13th 1.0 4.6 0.2 5.8 13th
14th 0.2 8.6 3.7 0.0 12.5 14th
15th 3.5 21.8 18.3 0.8 44.4 15th
16th 15.7 16.8 2.1 0.0 34.6 16th
Total 19.2 38.8 29.9 10.5 1.4 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12 1.4% 1.4
5-13 10.5% 10.5
4-14 29.9% 29.9
3-15 38.8% 38.8
2-16 19.2% 19.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 19.2%