Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#283
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#258
Pace59.9#363
Improvement+0.1#181

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#283
First Shot-6.9#347
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#38
Layup/Dunks-3.2#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#188
Freethrows-3.1#330
Improvement-1.2#291

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#252
First Shot-1.4#220
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#271
Layups/Dunks+0.1#165
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#26
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#225
Freethrows-2.9#330
Improvement+1.3#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.2% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 16.8% 28.7% 10.5%
.500 or above in Conference 37.0% 45.5% 32.5%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.2% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 4.3% 6.8%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round1.3% 2.1% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 34.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 82 - 10
Quad 49 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 319 @Central Michigan L 66-82 47%     0 - 1 -21.9 -5.4 -17.7
  Sun, Nov 9 348 NC Central W 76-54 80%     1 - 1 +6.5 +4.4 +4.0
  Tue, Nov 11 29 @Ohio St. L 53-75 2%     1 - 2 -5.0 -5.6 -2.4
  Sun, Nov 16 267 @Dartmouth W 85-77 35%     2 - 2 +5.3 +8.7 -3.6
  Fri, Nov 21 198 Charlotte W 65-63 45%     3 - 2 -3.4 +3.6 -6.5
  Mon, Nov 24 180 Elon L 53-88 42%     3 - 3 -39.6 -18.1 -26.7
  Wed, Nov 26 191 @Mercer L 67-75 23%     3 - 4 -6.9 +2.0 -9.9
  Sun, Nov 30 196 @UNC Asheville L 55-67 24%     3 - 5 -11.4 -13.8 +1.4
  Thu, Dec 11 259 @East Carolina L 65-69 34%    
  Sun, Dec 14 97 High Point L 67-79 13%    
  Thu, Dec 18 239 Coastal Carolina W 68-67 52%    
  Sat, Dec 20 338 Georgia St. W 70-62 76%    
  Wed, Dec 31 222 @Old Dominion L 65-71 28%    
  Sat, Jan 3 153 @Marshall L 64-74 18%    
  Thu, Jan 8 338 @Georgia St. W 67-65 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 239 @Coastal Carolina L 65-70 31%    
  Thu, Jan 15 179 James Madison L 67-69 42%    
  Sat, Jan 17 222 Old Dominion L 68-69 50%    
  Thu, Jan 22 320 Louisiana W 65-60 69%    
  Sat, Jan 24 358 Louisiana Monroe W 74-63 84%    
  Thu, Jan 29 219 @Southern Miss L 65-71 29%    
  Sat, Jan 31 147 @Troy L 62-72 18%    
  Wed, Feb 4 171 South Alabama L 63-66 40%    
  Wed, Feb 11 234 @Georgia Southern L 68-74 30%    
  Sat, Feb 14 179 @James Madison L 64-72 23%    
  Thu, Feb 19 153 Marshall L 67-71 36%    
  Sat, Feb 21 234 Georgia Southern W 71-70 52%    
  Fri, Feb 27 238 @Texas St. L 62-67 31%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.6 1.2 0.1 4.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 3.6 0.7 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.8 2.0 0.1 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.6 3.8 0.4 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.3 1.2 0.0 10.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.0 2.5 0.1 12.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.8 3.0 0.4 12.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 7.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.5 3.6 6.4 9.9 12.8 14.0 14.4 12.7 9.7 6.7 4.1 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 74.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 49.2% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 28.6% 28.6% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 19.6% 19.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.1% 19.8% 19.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.2% 14.5% 14.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.9
12-6 4.1% 7.2% 7.2% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.8
11-7 6.7% 2.9% 2.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.5
10-8 9.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 9.5
9-9 12.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.6
8-10 14.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.3
7-11 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.0
6-12 12.8% 12.8
5-13 9.9% 9.9
4-14 6.4% 6.4
3-15 3.6% 3.6
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 98.6 0.0%