Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#217
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#273
Pace70.7#146
Improvement+1.8#78

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#215
First Shot-0.6#188
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#253
Layup/Dunks-3.0#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#127
Freethrows+0.1#172
Improvement+0.2#159

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#229
First Shot+0.7#149
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#330
Layups/Dunks-7.0#359
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.5#2
Freethrows-2.3#324
Improvement+1.6#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 5.7% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.8 15.4
.500 or above 11.9% 26.2% 9.9%
.500 or above in Conference 60.7% 69.9% 59.4%
Conference Champion 2.8% 4.3% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 0.9%
First Four0.9% 0.4% 0.9%
First Round3.6% 5.6% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 12.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 60 - 8
Quad 33 - 63 - 14
Quad 49 - 512 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 106 @Miami (OH) L 72-87 16%     0 - 1 -7.7 -3.8 -2.9
  Tue, Nov 11 243 Norfolk St. W 60-57 66%     1 - 1 -4.8 -4.0 -0.3
  Sat, Nov 15 77 @George Washington L 73-96 10%     1 - 2 -12.8 -1.0 -10.6
  Tue, Nov 18 97 @Xavier L 69-99 13%     1 - 3 -21.5 -3.1 -16.6
  Fri, Nov 21 360 Morgan St. W 88-56 91%     2 - 3 +13.5 +9.4 +5.7
  Sun, Nov 23 274 @Drexel L 71-75 48%     2 - 4 -7.0 +1.7 -9.0
  Tue, Nov 25 32 @Villanova L 75-89 4%     2 - 5 +3.0 +14.3 -12.1
  Sun, Nov 30 118 @William & Mary L 75-88 18%     2 - 6 -6.9 -3.3 -2.1
  Sat, Dec 6 104 @Richmond L 77-86 15%     2 - 7 -1.5 +2.8 -3.6
  Sat, Dec 13 88 @George Mason L 61-73 12%     2 - 8 -2.7 -8.5 +6.0
  Wed, Dec 17 198 James Madison W 77-68 57%     3 - 8 1 - 0 +3.6 +2.1 +1.9
  Sat, Dec 20 230 Coastal Carolina L 74-76 64%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -9.2 -2.5 -6.6
  Sun, Dec 28 94 @Maryland L 70-82 12%    
  Wed, Dec 31 228 Appalachian St. W 69-65 63%    
  Sat, Jan 3 213 Georgia Southern W 81-78 60%    
  Thu, Jan 8 230 @Coastal Carolina L 72-74 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 198 @James Madison L 73-77 35%    
  Thu, Jan 15 213 @Georgia Southern L 78-81 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 228 @Appalachian St. L 66-68 41%    
  Wed, Jan 21 139 Troy L 73-75 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 314 Louisiana W 71-63 78%    
  Wed, Jan 28 136 @Arkansas St. L 77-85 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 255 @Texas St. L 70-71 45%    
  Wed, Feb 4 359 Louisiana Monroe W 84-70 91%    
  Wed, Feb 11 161 Marshall L 75-76 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 330 Georgia St. W 79-69 81%    
  Sat, Feb 21 207 @Southern Miss L 73-76 38%    
  Tue, Feb 24 161 @Marshall L 73-79 28%    
  Fri, Feb 27 330 @Georgia St. W 76-72 63%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.5 3.7 1.4 0.2 7.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 5.1 2.2 0.2 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 5.3 3.5 0.3 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.2 3.8 5.6 0.9 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.8 6.4 2.2 0.1 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 5.0 4.3 0.3 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.6 1.1 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 4.6 2.3 0.1 8.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 3.1 2.8 0.3 0.0 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 4.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.7 7.2 11.3 15.2 16.4 15.5 12.5 8.4 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 76.8% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 46.4% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.3% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 38.1% 38.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.7% 25.6% 25.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 2.1% 23.2% 23.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.6
13-5 4.8% 18.4% 18.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 3.9
12-6 8.4% 10.6% 10.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 7.5
11-7 12.5% 5.5% 5.5% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 11.8
10-8 15.5% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 15.0
9-9 16.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 16.3
8-10 15.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.1
7-11 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
6-12 7.2% 7.2
5-13 3.7% 3.7
4-14 1.6% 1.6
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 1.6 96.1 0.0%