Old Dominion
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#234
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#255
Pace60.5#343
Improvement-0.1#181

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#257
First Shot-2.7#263
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#172
Layup/Dunks-0.1#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#339
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement+0.8#96

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#201
First Shot+1.6#121
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#312
Layups/Dunks+2.7#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#318
Freethrows+0.2#177
Improvement-0.9#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.6% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.3 14.9
.500 or above 12.7% 23.2% 8.3%
.500 or above in Conference 27.0% 35.6% 23.5%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 13.8% 9.0% 15.8%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.9% 1.5% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 29.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 51 - 6
Quad 34 - 104 - 16
Quad 47 - 411 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 164   @ James Madison L 53-58 26%     0 - 1 -1.8 -16.9 +15.1
  Nov 15, 2021 250   Manhattan W 79-58 66%     1 - 1 +13.2 +14.8 +1.0
  Nov 18, 2021 175   Indiana St. L 36-77 38%     1 - 2 -41.4 -35.9 -7.2
  Nov 19, 2021 178   East Carolina L 60-73 39%     1 - 3 -13.6 -5.3 -10.3
  Nov 21, 2021 192   Penn L 63-71 42%     1 - 4 -9.4 -3.2 -7.1
  Nov 26, 2021 209   Longwood W 62-61 56%     2 - 4 -4.1 -1.5 -2.5
  Nov 30, 2021 178   @ East Carolina L 63-69 29%    
  Dec 04, 2021 115   @ George Mason L 60-70 18%    
  Dec 07, 2021 333   @ William & Mary W 67-62 68%    
  Dec 11, 2021 81   Virginia Commonwealth L 54-61 26%    
  Dec 19, 2021 80   @ Richmond L 61-74 11%    
  Dec 22, 2021 202   College of Charleston W 73-72 55%    
  Dec 30, 2021 225   @ Florida International L 60-64 37%    
  Jan 01, 2022 222   @ Florida Atlantic L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 08, 2022 198   @ Charlotte L 59-64 34%    
  Jan 13, 2022 299   Texas San Antonio W 72-65 74%    
  Jan 15, 2022 160   UTEP L 61-62 47%    
  Jan 20, 2022 170   @ Rice L 67-73 28%    
  Jan 22, 2022 107   @ North Texas L 52-63 17%    
  Jan 29, 2022 198   Charlotte W 62-61 54%    
  Feb 03, 2022 114   Marshall L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 05, 2022 126   Western Kentucky L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 10, 2022 181   @ Middle Tennessee L 61-66 31%    
  Feb 13, 2022 52   UAB L 60-69 21%    
  Feb 17, 2022 114   @ Marshall L 68-78 19%    
  Feb 19, 2022 126   @ Western Kentucky L 62-71 21%    
  Feb 24, 2022 222   Florida Atlantic W 68-66 58%    
  Feb 26, 2022 225   Florida International W 63-61 58%    
  Mar 02, 2022 108   @ Louisiana Tech L 62-73 18%    
  Mar 05, 2022 181   Middle Tennessee W 64-63 52%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 1.9 0.7 0.1 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.4 1.4 0.2 4.8 5th
6th 0.5 2.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 6.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 4.2 1.0 0.1 7.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.4 1.9 0.2 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.8 3.8 0.3 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.0 4.7 0.9 0.1 10.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.9 1.9 0.1 11.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.4 2.7 0.3 0.0 12.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.9 4.4 2.8 0.4 0.0 11.7 13th
14th 0.3 1.1 2.3 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 7.8 14th
Total 0.3 1.2 3.4 6.2 9.4 12.6 14.2 13.4 12.3 10.1 7.3 4.5 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 65.2% 0.2    0.1 0.0
14-4 40.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 21.7% 21.7% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 10.9% 10.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.5% 8.8% 8.8% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3
12-6 2.8% 4.9% 4.9% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.7
11-7 4.5% 4.9% 4.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.3
10-8 7.3% 1.2% 1.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
9-9 10.1% 0.7% 0.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0
8-10 12.3% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.2
7-11 13.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.3
6-12 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
4-14 9.4% 9.4
3-15 6.2% 6.2
2-16 3.4% 3.4
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 99.1 0.0%