Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#330
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#312
Pace71.8#115
Improvement+1.4#95

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#341
First Shot-7.1#355
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#177
Layup/Dunks-7.5#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#140
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#191
Freethrows+0.0#186
Improvement+2.1#48

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#279
First Shot-3.3#290
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#171
Layups/Dunks-2.5#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#235
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement-0.7#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.8
.500 or above 0.1% 0.8% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 10.3% 26.3% 8.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.8% 5.0% 16.0%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Away) - 11.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 102 - 13
Quad 45 - 87 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 216 @Eastern Michigan L 49-71 18%     0 - 1 -22.5 -21.7 -1.3
  Fri, Nov 7 67 @Cincinnati L 64-74 3%     0 - 2 +1.2 -2.5 +4.4
  Mon, Nov 10 286 Presbyterian L 61-63 48%     0 - 3 -11.6 -4.6 -7.4
  Mon, Nov 17 71 @Arizona St. L 62-75 4%     0 - 4 -2.2 -8.2 +6.2
  Fri, Nov 21 172 @South Dakota St. L 58-105 13%     0 - 5 -44.8 -15.4 -28.3
  Tue, Nov 25 227 Samford L 63-78 28%     0 - 6 -19.0 -12.8 -6.3
  Wed, Nov 26 127 New Mexico St. L 58-77 13%     0 - 7 -16.8 -16.8 +1.0
  Tue, Dec 2 174 @Mercer L 67-78 13%     0 - 8 -9.1 -6.5 -2.4
  Sat, Dec 6 152 @Kennesaw St. L 69-92 11%     0 - 9 -19.5 -14.2 -1.5
  Sat, Dec 13 236 Jacksonville St. W 77-73 40%     1 - 9 -3.5 +6.9 -10.2
  Thu, Dec 18 213 @Georgia Southern L 67-90 18%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -23.4 -5.2 -19.1
  Sat, Dec 20 228 @Appalachian St. W 70-63 20%     2 - 10 1 - 1 +5.9 +1.4 +4.8
  Wed, Dec 31 161 @Marshall L 68-81 11%    
  Sat, Jan 3 230 @Coastal Carolina L 67-76 20%    
  Thu, Jan 8 228 Appalachian St. L 64-67 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 161 Marshall L 71-78 26%    
  Sat, Jan 17 359 @Louisiana Monroe W 76-74 57%    
  Thu, Jan 22 207 Southern Miss L 71-75 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 136 Arkansas St. L 75-84 20%    
  Thu, Jan 29 314 @Louisiana L 63-67 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 190 @South Alabama L 64-75 15%    
  Wed, Feb 4 139 Troy L 68-77 21%    
  Thu, Feb 12 198 @James Madison L 68-79 16%    
  Sat, Feb 14 217 @Old Dominion L 69-79 19%    
  Thu, Feb 19 213 Georgia Southern L 76-80 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 198 James Madison L 71-76 34%    
  Tue, Feb 24 230 Coastal Carolina L 70-73 39%    
  Fri, Feb 27 217 Old Dominion L 72-76 37%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 0.9 0.1 2.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 2.1 0.3 3.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.9 1.4 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.8 3.2 0.4 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.1 1.5 0.0 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.7 3.7 0.2 13.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 4.1 8.4 6.0 0.9 0.0 20.1 12th
13th 0.2 2.5 7.8 10.3 6.2 1.3 0.0 28.4 13th
14th 1.2 2.5 2.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.4 14th
Total 1.4 5.0 10.9 15.8 17.6 16.8 13.1 9.1 5.5 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0
14-4 46.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 10.0% 10.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.5% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
10-8 2.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.8
9-9 5.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.5
8-10 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.1
7-11 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 16.8% 16.8
5-13 17.6% 17.6
4-14 15.8% 15.8
3-15 10.9% 10.9
2-16 5.0% 5.0
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%