Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.1 283
Expected Predictive Rating -7.0 277
Pace 69.5 152
Improvement +5.2 21

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 317 F C- C C+ F+
Defense C- 210 C- C- C C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 27% 361 D- 50% 345 -8.6 363
2 Pt. Jumpers 43% 114 D- 32% 334 +1.3 109
Three Pointers 44% 114 D- 29% 341 -1.5 238
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.7 344 F+ -7.1 358
1st FG Attempt F 0.84 361
Second Chance D+ 27.2% 275 C+ 1.05 146 C- 0.28 241
Turnovers C 16.8% 173
Freethrows C- 0.30 213 A- 79% 11 C+ 0.23 132
Total Offense D -5.9 317

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 37% 334 D+ 13.1% 297
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 40% 24 B 3.0% 53
Three Pointers C+ 86% 158 B- 0.5% 73
Total C 55% 191 B- 4.6% 73

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 124 C 59% 197 +1.6 234
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 247 C+ 36% 113 -1.2 100
Three Pointers 41% 178 C- 35% 221 +0.5 206
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 252 C +0.4 196
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 212
Second Chance D 33.6% 304 C+ 0.98 111 C- 0.33 232
Turnovers C 16.5% 195
Freethrows C+ 0.29 147 C+ 72% 141 C+ 0.21 140
Total Defense C- -1.2 210

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 222 C- 10.1% 204
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 260 D- 1.8% 335
Three Pointers D- 90% 338 D 0.3% 312
Total D+ 60% 280 D+ 4.6% 262

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 244 16.5 43
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 345 0.17 189
Improvement +4.4 #14 +0.8 #141

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 303 284 261
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 10 - 8
Conference Finish 11 8 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 48% 77% 25%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: James Madison (Home) - 45.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 103 - 12
Quad 47 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 244 @Eastern Michigan L 49 - 71 29% -8  12% 0 - 1 F -23 F -24 F D- F C -0 A F C+
 Fri, Nov 7 46 @Cincinnati L 64 - 74 3% -6  14% 0 - 2 C+ +4 D+ -4 C- B D- A +9 A- C+ A
 Mon, Nov 10 272 Presbyterian L 61 - 63 59% +5  80% 0 - 3 D- -11 D- -8 F+ C- C- D+ -4 C- F B+
 Mon, Nov 17 63 @Arizona St. L 62 - 75 5% +1  51% 0 - 4 C -1 F+ -10 D F+ F A +9 C- A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 21 206 @South Dakota St. L 58 - 105 24% -28  0% 0 - 5 F -47 F -19 F F D+ F -27 F B- D
 Tue, Nov 25 187 Samford L 63 - 78 31% -7  4% 0 - 6 F+ -17 F -15 F B- D+ C- -2 C- F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 157 New Mexico St. L 58 - 77 25% -9  25% 0 - 7 F -19 F -22 F F D B +4 C+ B D
 Tue, Dec 2 175 @Mercer L 67 - 78 20% -5  20% 0 - 8 D -9 F -10 D F D C+ +1 B+ D+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 165 @Kennesaw St. L 69 - 92 18% -16  0% 0 - 9 F -20 F -18 F B B- B- +2 F C A+
 Sat, Dec 13 200 Jacksonville St. W 77 - 73 43% +5  88% 1 - 9 C -1 B- +5 D B- A+ D -6 B F F
 Thu, Dec 18 262 @Georgia Southern L 67 - 90 34% -8  15% 1 - 10 0 - 1 F -26 F+ -8 D+ F D F -18 C+ F F
 Sat, Dec 20 174 @Appalachian St. W 70 - 63 19% +4  78% 2 - 10 1 - 1 B +9 C -0 A- F F A +10 C+ A+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 173 @Marshall L 80 - 84 19% -2  31% 2 - 11 1 - 2 C- -2 C- -2 D B- C- C+ +1 C F B
 Sat, Jan 3 238 @Coastal Carolina W 89 - 71 29% -1  29% 3 - 11 2 - 2 A- +17 A+ +23 A+ A B- D+ -5 B- F B
 Thu, Jan 8 174 Appalachian St. L 50 - 52 38% +2  70% 3 - 12 2 - 3 D+ -6 F -19 F C+ B A+ +13 A+ C A-
 Sat, Jan 10 173 Marshall W 81 - 73 38% -3  21% 4 - 12 3 - 3 C+ +4 D+ -3 F A+ D A- +7 A- D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 353 @Louisiana Monroe W 77 - 57 65% +9  80% 5 - 12 4 - 3 B +9 C- -1 C F B A +11 A- B+ C-
 Thu, Jan 22 245 Southern Miss W 69 - 62 52% +2  61% 6 - 12 5 - 3 C -0 F -10 F A+ D A +9 B+ A D-
 Sat, Jan 24 140 Arkansas St. W 82 - 81 31% -3  27% 7 - 12 6 - 3 C -1 B+ +9 A F A F+ -10 F B- C+
 Thu, Jan 29 303 @Louisiana L 72 - 82 43% -10  3% 7 - 13 6 - 4 F+ -15 C +1 F C- A+ F -17 F F C
 Sat, Jan 31 188 @South Alabama L 67 - 69 22% -4  8% 7 - 14 6 - 5 C -1 B- +4 D+ B- C+ D -5 F+ C F
 Wed, Feb 4 146 Troy L 63 - 74 32% -4  11% 7 - 15 6 - 6 D- -13 D- -8 F C B+ D- -6 D- B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 319 Northern Illinois L 74 - 75 72% +1  46% 7 - 16 D- -14 D- -7 D- F A D- -7 F A- F+
 Thu, Feb 12 210 @James Madison L 79 - 81 OT 24% -2  25% 7 - 17 6 - 7 C- -2 C- -2 C D+ D C -0 D C+ B+
 Sat, Feb 14 239 @Old Dominion L 55 - 78 29% -12  0% 7 - 18 6 - 8 F -24 F -16 F B- B F -10 F F B
 Thu, Feb 19 262 Georgia Southern W 66 - 64 56% +4  85% 8 - 18 7 - 8 D+ -7 F -14 F D+ A A- +7 B+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 210 James Madison L 71 - 72 45%
 Tue, Feb 24 238 Coastal Carolina W 70 - 69 51%
 Fri, Feb 27 239 Old Dominion W 74 - 73 50%
Totals 9 - 20 8 - 10 -7 D -6 A+ F+ F+ C- -1 D- A- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- D- D- F+ 27% 43% 44% F+ F D+ C+ C- C C- A- C+ C- C C+ C- C 41% 18% 41% D+ C- D C+ C- C C+ C+ C+
1.00 50% 32% 29% -7 -2 0.84 27% 1.0 .28 17% .30 79% .23 1.10 59% 36% 35% 0 0 1.04 34% 1.0 .33 17% .29 72% .21
Nov
3		 Eastern Michigan F F F+ D+ F 36% 26% 38% D F C F D- F F F+ F C A+ C A A+ 49% 30% 21% D+ A F C- F C+ B+ A+ A
0.72 22% 31% 32% -16 -1 0.68 30% 0.7 .20 25% .23 67% .16 1.04 42% 38% 27% -10 0 0.81 47% 1.0 .47 19% .20 55% .11
Nov
7		 Cincinnati D+ C- C+ F+ C+ 20% 44% 36% F C- C A+ B D- B+ A+ A+ A F C A+ A 35% 15% 50% D+ A- C- B C+ A F B F
0.85 50% 41% 28% -4 -4 0.86 24% 1.4 .32 23% .31 89% .27 0.98 72% 38% 19% -6 0 0.90 34% 0.9 .32 21% .44 65% .29
Nov
10		 Presbyterian D- B- C F D- 37% 23% 40% D F+ A- F C- C- A- B A- D+ C- A+ F+ C- 44% 23% 33% D C- D+ F F B+ F F F
1.02 63% 40% 24% -4 0 0.93 38% 0.8 .29 17% .36 72% .26 1.05 59% 22% 38% -1 0 1.00 35% 1.4 .50 23% .41 79% .33
Nov
17		 Arizona St. F+ D F B+ C- 21% 34% 45% F D D- F+ F+ F C A- B- A F F A+ D- 31% 40% 29% A+ C- B A+ A+ D+ A- B A-
0.87 50% 25% 38% -3 -3 0.89 25% 0.9 .22 25% .30 81% .24 1.06 71% 55% 25% +7 -3 1.09 29% 0.4 .11 14% .29 72% .21
Nov
21		 South Dakota St. F B+ D- F F 24% 12% 63% C F F D F D+ A+ F A F F F F F 42% 9% 49% F+ F D- A+ B- D F F F
0.81 67% 33% 19% -12 0 0.78 11% 1.0 .11 17% .45 67% .30 1.47 77% 80% 50% +24 +2 1.53 33% 0.8 .26 14% .36 77% .28
Nov
25		 Samford F F F F F 27% 14% 59% B+ F B+ D+ B- D+ A+ A+ A+ C- D- A+ B C 42% 12% 47% F C- F F F A+ F C F
0.90 29% 29% 17% -25 0 0.53 33% 1.1 .35 14% .45 89% .40 1.11 67% 20% 30% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.3 .41 20% .61 68% .41
Nov
26		 New Mexico St. F C+ F F F 27% 22% 51% C- F D F F D F C- F B B+ A F C+ 38% 29% 33% C C+ F A+ B D A- C+ A-
0.78 60% 8% 25% -13 -1 0.75 26% 0.7 .19 18% .20 75% .15 1.04 50% 29% 42% -2 -1 0.97 39% 0.7 .26 12% .21 71% .15
Dec
2		 Mercer F D+ A D- C- 28% 30% 42% F D F F F D C F C- C+ D+ B+ A+ A- 33% 20% 47% C B+ D+ D+ D+ C- F D+ F
0.94 53% 50% 32% +1 -2 1.00 24% 0.7 .16 20% .26 67% .17 1.10 63% 30% 26% -6 0 0.90 35% 1.1 .38 15% .50 77% .38
Dec
6		 Kennesaw St. F F F F F 38% 16% 46% C F D A+ B B- B+ C+ B+ B- D C- F F 44% 15% 41% C- F A F C A+ F A D
0.82 29% 11% 15% -28 +1 0.46 25% 1.4 .36 14% .46 76% .35 1.09 63% 38% 45% +9 +1 1.22 27% 1.2 .33 23% .44 62% .28
Dec
13		 Jacksonville St. B- F A- C+ C- 21% 26% 53% F D C A- B- A+ A+ A A+ D A A+ D+ A- 54% 10% 37% D- B D+ F F F B- A+ A
1.17 33% 45% 35% -3 -2 0.93 28% 1.2 .34 11% .54 84% .46 1.11 43% 20% 37% -8 +3 0.90 32% 1.3 .41 6% .32 50% .16
Dec
18		 Georgia Southern F+ A F C- C- 29% 15% 56% D D+ D- F F D F D F F A+ A+ F B- 40% 2% 58% F+ C+ F C+ F F F F F
1.00 71% 14% 33% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .22 21% .26 71% .19 1.34 32% 0% 39% -7 +2 0.94 44% 1.1 .47 10% .58 89% .52
Dec
20		 Appalachian St. C A+ F+ B A 30% 28% 41% F+ A- D F F F A B+ A+ A D+ A+ C- B- 42% 16% 42% D+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D F B+ D-
1.04 79% 31% 37% +6 -2 1.11 26% 0.5 .13 21% .37 75% .28 0.93 62% 0% 33% -5 +1 0.94 19% 0.4 .08 13% .41 58% .24
Dec
31		 Marshall C- B+ B- F+ C- 23% 38% 40% F D C- A B- C- B- A+ A C+ F A+ B+ C+ 33% 16% 51% F+ C B F F B F A+ D-
1.07 67% 40% 29% -1 -3 0.94 32% 1.2 .38 17% .37 87% .32 1.12 76% 25% 31% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.8 .48 20% .37 64% .23
Jan
3		 Coastal Carolina A+ B D A+ A+ 10% 38% 52% F A+ C- A+ A B- D- A+ B D+ C+ A+ B- B 28% 19% 53% D- B- F F F B F+ F F
1.37 60% 35% 56% +16 -4 1.25 27% 1.6 .43 11% .24 100% .24 1.09 54% 22% 32% -6 -1 0.89 40% 1.3 .50 19% .32 82% .26
Jan
8		 Appalachian St. F F D- F F 30% 44% 26% F F F A+ C+ B D F D- A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 13% 47% D A+ F A+ C A- A+ B- A
0.81 33% 32% 15% -17 -4 0.60 20% 1.5 .30 11% .24 62% .15 0.84 50% 0% 24% -15 +1 0.73 40% 0.8 .31 19% .20 60% .12
Jan
10		 Marshall D+ F C F F 31% 26% 43% D+ F B+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ A- C+ A- B+ A 34% 20% 46% D A- F+ B D+ A+ F A+ D-
1.10 46% 36% 22% -12 -1 0.76 41% 1.4 .56 19% .66 85% .55 0.99 59% 30% 30% -4 0 0.94 38% 1.0 .38 23% .39 59% .23
Jan
17		 Louisiana Monroe C- C- F A C+ 18% 16% 65% F+ C F B+ F B F C F+ A A+ C+ B A- 31% 26% 43% B A- C- A+ B+ C- A+ C+ A+
1.15 60% 33% 42% +7 -1 1.15 21% 1.3 .26 13% .17 70% .12 0.85 35% 36% 30% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.6 .16 16% .18 70% .13
Jan
22		 Southern Miss F F F F F 30% 21% 49% D F B A+ A+ D A+ B A+ A D+ A- A+ B+ 31% 33% 37% B- B+ A+ F A D- B+ A- A-
0.96 38% 22% 24% -17 -1 0.67 33% 1.7 .56 19% .50 72% .36 0.86 63% 29% 21% -9 -2 0.81 15% 1.3 .21 15% .31 68% .21
Jan
24		 Arkansas St. B+ F A+ A+ A+ 20% 26% 54% F+ A F F F A B A+ A+ F+ C F D+ F+ 51% 6% 43% F F D A- B- C+ D+ F F
1.22 40% 62% 44% +11 -2 1.20 13% 0.5 .07 10% .37 91% .33 1.20 58% 100% 35% +5 +3 1.17 41% 0.8 .34 21% .36 89% .32
Jan
29		 Louisiana C F D+ F F 33% 28% 40% F F C+ D C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F D D- F F 23% 45% 32% A F F D+ F C F F F
1.11 43% 33% 24% -12 -1 0.74 34% 0.9 .32 9% .60 94% .56 1.27 60% 45% 57% +15 -4 1.23 41% 0.9 .38 17% .39 81% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 South Alabama B- C- F C+ C- 10% 17% 73% F+ D+ A- D B- C+ A- F B D F F A+ F 51% 19% 30% D+ F+ F A+ C F D+ A+ B-
1.12 60% 25% 34% -2 -1 0.96 40% 1.0 .40 17% .30 67% .20 1.15 71% 56% 21% +4 +1 1.13 30% 0.9 .27 8% .34 53% .18
Feb
4		 Troy D- F+ C- F F 31% 35% 33% F F D B+ C B+ A- D+ B D- F A+ B D 51% 4% 45% F D- F A+ B+ F+ A A- A
0.99 47% 41% 25% -7 -2 0.83 27% 1.2 .32 14% .35 68% .24 1.16 69% 0% 30% +2 +3 1.12 40% 0.6 .25 13% .21 67% .14
Feb
7		 Northern Illinois D- A+ F F D 38% 27% 35% F+ D- D F F A A+ C+ A+ D- A+ F F F 45% 12% 43% D+ F A+ C- A- F+ D F+ D-
1.03 78% 23% 24% -2 -1 0.96 27% 0.7 .19 13% .53 73% .38 1.05 41% 50% 48% +3 +2 1.10 18% 0.8 .15 18% .38 73% .27
Feb
12		 James Madison C- F B A+ C+ 39% 26% 35% D C D- B- D+ D C D C- C C+ F+ F+ D 45% 13% 42% D- D D+ A- C+ B+ D C D
1.07 43% 43% 42% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.1 .26 15% .35 68% .24 1.09 56% 43% 39% +3 +2 1.11 31% 0.9 .28 20% .34 70% .24
Feb
14		 Old Dominion F F F F F 23% 44% 33% F F C+ C+ B- B D+ A C+ F F F+ F F 37% 30% 33% C+ F F F F B C- A+ B-
0.85 33% 17% 18% -23 -4 0.48 33% 1.1 .35 12% .32 83% .27 1.21 71% 43% 40% +9 -1 1.17 41% 1.4 .56 19% .30 63% .19
Feb
19		 Georgia Southern F F F F+ F 32% 30% 38% F F D C+ D+ A D A+ B A- A A+ B A- 38% 7% 55% D+ B+ B A B+ F A B+ A+
0.96 39% 29% 29% -12 -2 0.75 31% 1.1 .33 13% .32 95% .30 0.93 43% 25% 29% -11 +2 0.84 24% 0.9 .21 9% .24 67% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.4 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 2.5 2.5 5th
6th 1.1 5.8 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 16.7 4.0 20.7 7th
8th 5.9 17.1 23.0 8th
9th 19.5 0.7 20.2 9th
10th 3.7 10.6 0.0 14.3 10th
11th 7.1 1.1 8.2 11th
12th 3.4 0.0 3.4 12th
13th 0.4 0.4 13th
14th 14th
Total 14.5 37.1 35.7 12.7 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 12.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.6
9-9 35.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 35.6
8-10 37.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 37.0
7-11 14.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.5
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%
Lose Out 13.4%