Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#140
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#125
Pace73.6#80
Improvement-3.4#354

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#95
First Shot+3.5#79
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#201
Layup/Dunks-4.3#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#85
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#59
Freethrows+1.9#65
Improvement-3.4#354

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#219
First Shot-2.5#260
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#98
Layups/Dunks+4.0#49
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#132
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.5#356
Freethrows+2.2#60
Improvement+0.0#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.6% 20.3% 13.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 82.5% 84.7% 62.9%
.500 or above in Conference 84.7% 85.7% 75.9%
Conference Champion 27.1% 28.1% 18.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.4% 3.1%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.9%
First Round19.4% 20.2% 12.7%
Second Round2.2% 2.4% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Home) - 89.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 56 - 9
Quad 412 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 149   Northeastern W 83-64 64%     1 - 0 +17.2 +19.5 -0.9
  Nov 16, 2021 80   @ Richmond L 78-94 23%     1 - 1 -6.4 +2.7 -8.2
  Nov 20, 2021 333   William & Mary W 77-59 89%     2 - 1 +6.5 -5.8 +11.0
  Nov 21, 2021 285   @ High Point W 74-66 OT 71%     3 - 1 +4.2 -5.0 +8.5
  Nov 27, 2021 73   @ Rhode Island L 59-94 22%     3 - 2 -25.1 -10.0 -14.3
  Dec 01, 2021 319   Tennessee St. W 86-72 90%    
  Dec 04, 2021 196   @ Mercer W 75-74 52%    
  Dec 14, 2021 38   @ Mississippi St. L 66-78 14%    
  Dec 21, 2021 88   @ Georgia Tech L 70-77 25%    
  Dec 30, 2021 231   @ Arkansas St. W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 01, 2022 288   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 06, 2022 237   Texas Arlington W 78-70 78%    
  Jan 08, 2022 152   Texas St. W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 13, 2022 157   @ South Alabama L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 15, 2022 242   @ Troy W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 20, 2022 172   Appalachian St. W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 22, 2022 227   Coastal Carolina W 81-73 75%    
  Jan 27, 2022 183   @ Louisiana L 79-80 50%    
  Jan 29, 2022 260   @ Louisiana Monroe W 79-75 65%    
  Feb 03, 2022 242   Troy W 77-68 78%    
  Feb 05, 2022 157   South Alabama W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 10, 2022 227   @ Coastal Carolina W 78-76 55%    
  Feb 12, 2022 172   @ Appalachian St. L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 17, 2022 180   Georgia Southern W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 19, 2022 180   @ Georgia Southern L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 24, 2022 260   Louisiana Monroe W 82-72 81%    
  Feb 26, 2022 183   Louisiana W 82-76 69%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.5 4.4 7.2 6.7 4.7 2.0 0.5 27.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 5.2 6.4 3.2 0.7 0.1 17.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.1 1.8 0.3 13.3 3rd
4th 0.4 3.9 4.5 1.5 0.2 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.4 4.4 1.3 0.1 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.8 1.8 0.2 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.0 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.5 4.3 5.9 8.9 11.5 12.8 13.3 12.8 10.7 7.5 4.8 2.0 0.5 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 100.0% 2.0    2.0 0.0
16-2 98.7% 4.7    4.4 0.3
15-3 90.2% 6.7    5.3 1.4 0.1
14-4 67.3% 7.2    4.1 2.7 0.4 0.0
13-5 34.5% 4.4    1.4 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 11.3% 1.5    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 27.1% 27.1 17.8 7.1 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 66.0% 61.7% 4.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 11.1%
17-1 2.0% 57.8% 57.3% 0.5% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.8 1.2%
16-2 4.8% 42.2% 42.2% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 2.8
15-3 7.5% 37.9% 37.9% 13.3 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.3 4.6
14-4 10.7% 28.5% 28.4% 0.1% 13.7 0.2 1.0 1.3 0.5 0.0 7.6 0.1%
13-5 12.8% 27.4% 27.4% 14.1 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.0 0.1 9.3
12-6 13.3% 19.7% 19.7% 14.5 0.2 1.0 1.3 0.1 10.7
11-7 12.8% 15.7% 15.7% 14.8 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.2 10.8
10-8 11.5% 10.1% 10.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 10.4
9-9 8.9% 5.9% 5.9% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 8.3
8-10 5.9% 3.9% 3.9% 15.8 0.1 0.2 5.6
7-11 4.3% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 4.2
6-12 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 2.5
5-13 1.5% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-14 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 19.6% 19.5% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7 4.3 6.4 5.3 1.4 80.4 0.0%