Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#100
Expected Predictive Rating+8.3#76
Pace68.6#196
Improvement+1.4#78

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#60
First Shot+6.1#30
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#266
Layup/Dunks+2.3#99
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#258
Freethrows+3.7#18
Improvement+1.3#69

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#169
First Shot-0.1#168
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#169
Layups/Dunks-4.3#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
Freethrows+1.2#124
Improvement+0.1#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 8.8% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.3% 8.0% 2.6%
Average Seed 9.9 9.9 10.4
.500 or above 50.9% 54.3% 28.3%
.500 or above in Conference 28.0% 29.4% 19.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 9.0% 13.3%
First Four2.3% 2.5% 1.0%
First Round6.7% 7.3% 2.4%
Second Round2.4% 2.7% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lipscomb (Home) - 87.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 8
Quad 25 - 57 - 13
Quad 35 - 311 - 16
Quad 45 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 290   Canisius W 77-67 91%     1 - 0 -0.1 -5.9 +5.2
  Nov 13, 2021 63   Central Florida L 89-95 51%     1 - 1 -1.5 +13.4 -14.6
  Nov 16, 2021 183   @ Florida Atlantic W 68-66 60%     2 - 1 +4.2 -4.3 +8.6
  Nov 21, 2021 301   Florida A&M W 86-59 92%     3 - 1 +16.2 +11.7 +4.8
  Nov 25, 2021 98   Dayton L 60-76 48%     3 - 2 -10.8 -8.5 -2.7
  Nov 26, 2021 106   North Texas W 69-63 52%     4 - 2 +10.3 +9.0 +2.1
  Nov 28, 2021 10   Alabama L 64-96 13%     4 - 3 -15.0 -2.0 -12.7
  Dec 01, 2021 92   @ Penn St. W 63-58 35%     5 - 3 +13.7 +2.4 +11.9
  Dec 04, 2021 56   Clemson W 80-75 48%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +10.3 +12.8 -2.3
  Dec 08, 2021 239   Lipscomb W 82-70 87%    
  Dec 12, 2021 235   Fordham W 73-64 79%    
  Dec 20, 2021 275   Stetson W 79-65 90%    
  Dec 29, 2021 74   North Carolina St. W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 01, 2022 51   Wake Forest L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 05, 2022 59   Syracuse L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 08, 2022 8   @ Duke L 67-83 8%    
  Jan 11, 2022 38   @ Florida St. L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 18, 2022 24   North Carolina L 76-82 30%    
  Jan 22, 2022 38   Florida St. L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 26, 2022 36   @ Virginia Tech L 64-74 19%    
  Jan 29, 2022 99   @ Georgia Tech L 70-73 37%    
  Feb 02, 2022 84   Notre Dame W 74-72 55%    
  Feb 05, 2022 44   @ Virginia L 58-66 23%    
  Feb 09, 2022 99   Georgia Tech W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 12, 2022 51   @ Wake Forest L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 16, 2022 37   @ Louisville L 66-76 20%    
  Feb 19, 2022 44   Virginia L 61-63 43%    
  Feb 22, 2022 179   @ Pittsburgh W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 26, 2022 36   Virginia Tech L 67-71 38%    
  Mar 02, 2022 113   @ Boston College L 68-70 43%    
  Mar 05, 2022 59   @ Syracuse L 74-80 29%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 2.9 0.7 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.6 1.6 0.1 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.6 3.3 0.4 7.8 8th
9th 0.2 2.7 4.7 1.2 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 5.0 2.6 0.1 9.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.8 4.3 0.6 0.0 10.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 4.3 4.9 1.3 0.0 11.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.7 4.8 2.0 0.1 11.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.2 3.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.3 14th
15th 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.1 4.9 15th
Total 0.2 0.9 3.0 5.8 9.1 12.1 14.0 14.0 12.8 10.3 7.5 4.8 2.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 83.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-4 50.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 19.4% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 5.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.3% 100.0% 11.3% 88.7% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.7% 95.7% 6.0% 89.7% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 95.4%
14-6 1.4% 81.0% 5.6% 75.4% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 79.9%
13-7 2.9% 64.4% 4.8% 59.6% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 62.6%
12-8 4.8% 38.6% 2.1% 36.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.0 37.3%
11-9 7.5% 17.8% 1.5% 16.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 6.2 16.6%
10-10 10.3% 5.5% 0.8% 4.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.7 4.7%
9-11 12.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.7 0.5%
8-12 14.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 0.0%
7-13 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 13.9
6-14 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
5-15 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.1
4-16 5.8% 5.8
3-17 3.0% 3.0
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20
Total 100% 8.0% 0.7% 7.3% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.0 7.3%