Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#321
Expected Predictive Rating-15.9#349
Pace62.6#342
Improvement+0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense-8.8#358
First Shot-6.6#345
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#321
Layup/Dunks-4.7#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#240
Freethrows-3.5#343
Improvement-2.6#347

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#196
First Shot-1.1#219
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#177
Layups/Dunks-0.7#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#8
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#142
Freethrows-4.3#357
Improvement+2.7#28
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 15.9
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 10.3% 15.1% 4.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 17.1% 7.4% 28.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Away) - 54.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 101 - 14
Quad 46 - 107 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 307 @Ball St. L 64-75 34%     0 - 1 -16.3 -4.1 -13.1
  Fri, Nov 7 272 SE Louisiana W 58-52 47%     1 - 1 -2.9 -5.0 +3.3
  Tue, Nov 11 199 Tulane L 62-66 34%     1 - 2 -9.4 -9.6 -0.2
  Fri, Nov 14 71 @McNeese St. L 62-88 4%     1 - 3 -15.1 -2.1 -14.3
  Tue, Nov 18 89 @Stanford L 66-93 5%     1 - 4 -17.9 -3.8 -13.6
  Fri, Nov 21 77 @Santa Clara L 43-80 4%     1 - 5 -26.6 -23.0 -5.5
  Mon, Nov 24 198 @UC Davis L 56-77 17%     1 - 6 -20.4 -11.1 -10.8
  Fri, Nov 28 318 Jackson St. L 45-51 60%     1 - 7 -18.4 -26.2 +7.0
  Wed, Dec 3 239 @Lamar L 55-65 23%     1 - 8 -11.7 -7.6 -5.5
  Sat, Dec 6 109 UNC Wilmington L 63-70 16%     1 - 9 -6.2 -5.1 -1.8
  Sat, Dec 13 188 @Louisiana Tech L 44-65 16%     1 - 10 -19.9 -17.3 -6.1
  Thu, Dec 18 203 @Southern Miss L 54-62 18%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -7.8 -16.5 +8.4
  Sat, Dec 20 355 @Louisiana Monroe W 68-67 54%    
  Sun, Dec 28 247 Norfolk St. L 61-63 44%    
  Wed, Dec 31 185 South Alabama L 61-66 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 203 Southern Miss L 64-68 37%    
  Thu, Jan 8 355 Louisiana Monroe W 71-64 74%    
  Sat, Jan 10 143 Troy L 62-70 24%    
  Wed, Jan 14 257 @Texas St. L 60-67 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 185 @South Alabama L 58-69 16%    
  Thu, Jan 22 207 @Appalachian St. L 55-65 19%    
  Sat, Jan 24 209 @Old Dominion L 62-72 19%    
  Thu, Jan 29 344 Georgia St. W 68-63 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 219 Georgia Southern L 69-72 39%    
  Wed, Feb 4 195 @James Madison L 61-71 17%    
  Thu, Feb 12 259 Coastal Carolina L 65-66 46%    
  Thu, Feb 19 138 Arkansas St. L 67-75 24%    
  Sat, Feb 21 257 Texas St. L 63-64 46%    
  Tue, Feb 24 143 @Troy L 59-73 11%    
  Fri, Feb 27 138 @Arkansas St. L 64-78 10%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.1 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 2.1 0.6 0.0 3.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.8 1.7 0.1 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.3 3.7 0.5 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.6 1.8 0.0 11.8 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 4.8 7.9 3.5 0.3 17.6 11th
12th 0.2 1.8 6.6 8.8 4.2 0.6 0.0 22.2 12th
13th 0.2 1.9 5.6 6.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 16.7 13th
14th 0.3 1.8 3.3 2.9 1.0 0.1 9.4 14th
Total 0.3 1.9 5.3 10.3 14.8 16.9 16.8 13.7 9.7 5.5 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 69.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 23.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 7.0% 7.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.5% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
10-8 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.0
9-9 5.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.5
8-10 9.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.6
7-11 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.6
6-12 16.8% 16.8
5-13 16.9% 16.9
4-14 14.8% 14.8
3-15 10.3% 10.3
2-16 5.3% 5.3
1-17 1.9% 1.9
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%