Louisiana
Sun Belt
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#262
Expected Predictive Rating-14.7#350
Pace70.4#145
Improvement-0.6#217

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#181
First Shot+0.0#176
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#200
Layup/Dunks+3.3#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#189
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#159
Freethrows-3.2#333
Improvement+1.2#88

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#335
First Shot-3.7#298
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#299
Layups/Dunks+0.2#164
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#30
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#244
Freethrows-4.7#355
Improvement-1.8#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 2.0% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 4.8% 10.6% 3.0%
.500 or above in Conference 30.5% 39.9% 27.5%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.5% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 8.2% 14.0%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
First Round1.1% 1.8% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Home) - 24.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 102 - 14
Quad 47 - 79 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 110   Kent St. L 66-70 27%     0 - 1 -3.4 -0.4 -3.2
  Nov 13, 2024 6   @ Houston L 45-91 1%     0 - 2 -24.6 -17.5 -5.9
  Nov 19, 2024 168   Rice L 61-83 42%     0 - 3 -25.7 -6.7 -20.8
  Nov 22, 2024 70   Liberty L 69-89 10%     0 - 4 -12.0 +7.1 -20.7
  Nov 23, 2024 151   George Washington L 74-83 27%     0 - 5 -8.4 -3.1 -4.8
  Nov 25, 2024 124   UAB L 86-98 22%     0 - 6 -9.8 +9.9 -19.5
  Nov 30, 2024 223   Nicholls St. L 75-76 52%     0 - 7 -7.4 +5.8 -13.3
  Dec 08, 2024 103   Louisiana Tech L 70-77 24%    
  Dec 11, 2024 227   SE Louisiana W 73-72 53%    
  Dec 14, 2024 280   Lamar W 78-74 63%    
  Dec 18, 2024 163   Appalachian St. L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 22, 2024 95   McNeese St. L 70-78 22%    
  Jan 02, 2025 272   @ Coastal Carolina L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 04, 2025 230   @ Georgia St. L 74-79 32%    
  Jan 09, 2025 317   Old Dominion W 81-75 71%    
  Jan 11, 2025 332   Louisiana Monroe W 77-70 74%    
  Jan 16, 2025 130   @ Arkansas St. L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 18, 2025 332   @ Louisiana Monroe W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 22, 2025 138   Texas St. L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 250   Southern Miss W 79-77 57%    
  Jan 30, 2025 138   @ Texas St. L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 01, 2025 206   South Alabama L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 05, 2025 235   @ Georgia Southern L 78-83 33%    
  Feb 12, 2025 125   Troy L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 15, 2025 195   Marshall L 78-79 46%    
  Feb 20, 2025 125   @ Troy L 71-82 17%    
  Feb 22, 2025 250   @ Southern Miss L 76-80 36%    
  Feb 26, 2025 130   Arkansas St. L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 28, 2025 206   @ South Alabama L 68-75 28%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.0 0.5 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 4.2 1.0 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.9 2.8 0.1 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.3 4.2 0.5 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.6 1.4 0.0 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.6 2.5 0.1 11.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.1 2.9 0.4 0.0 11.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.4 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.1 13th
14th 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.0 14th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.0 8.8 11.5 13.3 14.2 13.3 10.9 8.0 5.6 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 85.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 70.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 44.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 12.5% 12.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 16.5% 16.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.7% 12.9% 12.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.7% 10.1% 10.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.6
12-6 3.1% 8.3% 8.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.9
11-7 5.6% 3.5% 3.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 5.4
10-8 8.0% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.8
9-9 10.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.8
8-10 13.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.2
7-11 14.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.2
6-12 13.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.3
5-13 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.4
4-14 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.8
3-15 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.0
2-16 2.5% 2.5
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 98.7 0.0%