Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.1 216
Results Rating -2.5 206
Consistency 0.12 21
Pace 71.9 85
Improvement +2.1 108

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 257 D C+ D A- D-
Defense C 171 C- C+ C+ D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 128 C 59% 153 +1.4 124
2 Pt. Jumpers 63% 7 C- 36% 252 +3.5 34
Three Pointers 28% 363 F 28% 359 -9.1 363
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.3 329 D+ -2.9 283
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 310
Second Chance C+ 31.4% 147 C+ 1.06 131 C+ 0.33 128
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 239
Other Turnovers D- 8.6% 329
Turnovers D 18.5% 304
Freethrows A- 0.36 16 B- 74% 124 A- 0.27 19
Total Offense D+ -3.1 257

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 199 D+ 12.3% 265
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 320 D 7.4% 319
Three Pointers D+ 79% 291 D- 1.5% 324
Total F+ 45% 350 F+ 7.8% 345


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 140 C 58% 182 +0.9 211
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 210 C+ 37% 127 -0.6 137
Three Pointers 40% 194 D+ 36% 290 +1.1 248
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 216 C- +1.0 224
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 222
Second Chance C+ 28.5% 110 C- 1.05 226 C+ 0.30 152
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.0% 140
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 182
Turnovers C+ 17.2% 144
Freethrows D- 0.36 334 B- 71% 81 D- 0.26 329
Total Defense C +0.0 171

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 154 C 11.7% 142
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 17% 27 C+ 5.9% 100
Three Pointers B+ 77% 30 C+ 1.2% 89
Total B- 52% 108 C+ 6.3% 118

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 194 16.5 40
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 108 0.20 288
Consistency 0.10 40 0.11 49
Improvement -0.7 228 +2.9 57



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 212 @Buffalo L 79 - 85 37% +3  66% 0 - 1 D+ -6 B +6 B- B F+ F -12 D- D F+
 Sun, Nov 9 95 @South Carolina L 79 - 83 OT 14% -2  42% 0 - 2 C+ +5 C+ +3 C C+ A- C+ +2 D- A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 13 306 @Grambling St. L 70 - 75 62% -6  9% 0 - 3 D -11 D+ -3 F A+ A- D- -8 F B+ A-
 Sat, Nov 22 338 North Florida W 92 - 83 82% -0  44% 1 - 3 C- -4 B- +4 C+ B D+ D- -8 F A+ A+
 Sun, Nov 23 231 Tennessee Martin W 70 - 60 55% +14  97% 2 - 3 B- +6 A +15 B- A+ A D- -7 F A F
 Wed, Dec 3 253 @Radford W 82 - 75 47% +6  84% 3 - 3 C+ +5 C- -1 F C- C- B +5 A- B- D-
 Sat, Dec 6 32 @Miami (FL) L 64 - 88 4% -5  39% 3 - 4 D+ -6 D- -7 D- A+ F C+ +2 C B+ B+
 Mon, Dec 8 306 Grambling St. W 68 - 60 80% -1  29% 4 - 4 C- -4 D- -7 C- D+ F B- +3 D A A+
 Sat, Dec 13 62 Mississippi L 67 - 71 13% -3  15% 4 - 5 B- +5 C +0 B C D- B +5 B- A- D+
 Thu, Dec 18 302 Louisiana W 62 - 54 79% +2  64% 5 - 5 1 - 0 C- -4 F -16 F F+ A+ A+ +12 A A+ D
 Sat, Dec 20 148 Arkansas St. L 86 - 93 48% -3  26% 5 - 6 1 - 1 D -9 B +7 B- B C F -16 B F F
 Mon, Dec 29 59 @LSU L 62 - 90 8% -14  3% 5 - 7 F+ -15 F+ -10 F F+ B- D -5 C C F
 Thu, Jan 1 353 @Louisiana Monroe W 87 - 73 80% +11  100% 6 - 7 2 - 1 C+ +2 D+ -4 B D- F B +5 C C D+
 Sat, Jan 3 302 @Louisiana W 74 - 67 60% +2  60% 7 - 7 3 - 1 C +1 C -0 B- D F C+ +2 C- F A-
 Thu, Jan 8 235 Texas St. W 80 - 70 OT 67% -0  41% 8 - 7 4 - 1 C+ +2 D -5 D C- D+ B+ +6 B+ C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 353 Louisiana Monroe W 70 - 60 91% -0  49% 9 - 7 5 - 1 D+ -8 F -14 F D B B+ +6 C+ B+ A-
 Wed, Jan 14 149 @Troy L 65 - 91 26% -12  10% 9 - 8 5 - 2 F -22 F+ -9 F+ B- F F -13 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 235 @Texas St. L 67 - 74 44% -3  24% 9 - 9 5 - 3 D -9 F+ -9 F F+ D+ C+ +1 D A- A+
 Thu, Jan 22 305 @Georgia St. L 62 - 69 61% -2  33% 9 - 10 5 - 4 D- -13 F -16 F F C+ B- +3 A F B+
 Sat, Jan 24 240 @Coastal Carolina L 67 - 85 45% -12  0% 9 - 11 5 - 5 F -20 D+ -4 C- D- B- F -16 F C A+
 Thu, Jan 29 191 Appalachian St. L 63 - 70 56% -2  25% 9 - 12 5 - 6 D- -12 F+ -10 F+ D+ F C- -2 C- A+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 211 James Madison W 73 - 65 60% +5  91% 10 - 12 6 - 6 C+ +2 D+ -3 D C- F+ B+ +5 A C- C-
 Wed, Feb 4 205 @Marshall L 77 - 81 35% +2  67% 10 - 13 6 - 7 C- -3 C+ +3 C B- F D- -7 F C- C-
 Sat, Feb 7 161 Kent St. W 66 - 65 49% +0  56% 11 - 13 C- -2 D- -7 F C+ D+ B +5 B+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 12 206 South Alabama L 78 - 84 58% -8  0% 11 - 14 6 - 8 D -11 D -5 C+ A F D -6 F A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 14 149 Troy W 69 - 65 48% -0  48% 12 - 14 7 - 8 C +2 D+ -4 F A B- B+ +5 D+ B+ A+
 Sat, Feb 21 249 Old Dominion W 86 - 81 69% -3  39% 13 - 14 8 - 8 C- -3 D -6 A- C- F C+ +2 B- F A+
 Tue, Feb 24 148 @Arkansas St. L 84 - 89 26% -3  16% 13 - 15 8 - 9 C -1 C +0 C+ A- D+ C -1 A+ F B+
 Fri, Feb 27 206 @South Alabama W 68 - 55 36% +6  71% 14 - 15 9 - 9 B+ +14 C- -1 B D F A+ +16 A+ C F+
 Thu, Mar 5 211 James Madison W 86 - 80 49% +4  68% 15 - 15 C+ +3 B +6 C- B A C- -3 C- C- F+
 Fri, Mar 6 235 Texas St. W 81 - 77 56% +3  80% 16 - 15 C -1 B +6 B- F+ B D -7 D+ F D+
 Sat, Mar 7 191 Appalachian St. W 86 - 73 45% +8  74% 17 - 15 B +11 A +13 D A+ C- C -1 B- C- D+
 Sun, Mar 8 149 Troy L 70 - 78 36% -9  7% 17 - 16 D+ -7 D- -6 F A C C -1 B- C- A
Totals 17 - 16 9 - 9 -3 D+ -3 F D+ D- C +0 F B- A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C- F D+ 40% 63% 28% D- D C+ C+ C+ D A- B- A- C C C+ D+ C- 40% 20% 40% C- C- C+ C- C+ C+ D- B- D-
1.04 59% 36% 28% -3 -1 0.94 31% 1.1 .33 18% .36 74% .27 1.09 58% 37% 36% +1 0 1.05 28% 1.1 .30 17% .36 71% .26
Nov
3		 Buffalo B B- A+ C B- 49% 13% 38% B B- D+ A+ B F+ A+ A+ A+ F B+ F F D- 36% 7% 58% D- D- F A D F+ F B F
1.20 64% 67% 35% +7 +2 1.20 29% 1.3 .38 21% .39 95% .37 1.29 50% 67% 42% +6 +2 1.18 37% 0.9 .34 12% .62 69% .43
Nov
9		 South Carolina C+ A- B- F+ B- 27% 41% 32% F C B D+ C+ A- B+ A- A- C+ A+ F F D- 21% 9% 70% C D- C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ D+ D+
1.05 67% 39% 28% 0 -3 0.95 33% 0.9 .30 12% .32 76% .24 1.11 45% 60% 41% +6 0 1.15 29% 0.5 .14 20% .35 81% .28
Nov
13		 Grambling St. D+ F F F F 57% 14% 29% B+ F A A A+ A- A+ F A D- D F F F 54% 6% 40% F F A C B+ A- C D+ C
1.00 43% 29% 14% -19 +2 0.69 44% 1.2 .54 16% .49 62% .31 1.08 62% 67% 42% +8 +3 1.25 21% 1.0 .21 24% .30 75% .23
Nov
22		 North Florida B- B- A+ F B- 52% 30% 19% D C+ A- D+ B D+ A+ F A- D- F F F F 24% 18% 58% A- F A+ F A+ A+ B+ D+ B+
1.29 64% 63% 20% +7 0 1.15 45% 1.1 .52 14% .42 62% .26 1.16 83% 56% 48% +22 -1 1.44 9% 1.5 .14 25% .19 80% .15
Nov
23		 Tennessee Martin A A D+ B+ B+ 31% 33% 36% D- B- A A A+ A C- F F D- B- F D F 38% 20% 43% C- F B+ A A F F A+ D
1.25 71% 33% 38% +4 -2 1.07 42% 1.2 .48 14% .31 53% .17 1.08 53% 63% 35% +4 0 1.10 30% 0.7 .20 16% .43 55% .23
Dec
3		 Radford C- D D F F 33% 35% 33% F F B F C- C- A+ A+ A+ B A- A+ C+ A 39% 9% 52% F+ A- B C- B- D- F+ F+ F+
1.09 53% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.87 38% 0.9 .32 19% .52 84% .44 1.00 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 15% .42 78% .33
Dec
6		 Miami (FL) D- C+ F+ F F+ 41% 30% 28% C- D- A+ A+ A+ F A+ D+ A C+ D- B+ D C- 45% 24% 31% B C F A+ B+ B+ F+ C- D-
0.87 58% 29% 23% -8 -1 0.85 36% 1.3 .45 27% .35 68% .24 1.19 70% 33% 38% +6 0 1.14 47% 0.8 .37 19% .40 71% .28
Dec
8		 Grambling St. D- A+ B F C- 45% 26% 30% D C- C D D+ F F+ A- D+ B- B A+ F D 49% 22% 29% D D F A+ A A+ F A+ F
0.99 76% 42% 14% 0 0 1.02 34% 0.9 .31 25% .27 79% .21 0.87 50% 0% 58% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.4 .16 31% .52 60% .31
Dec
13		 Mississippi C D A+ F B+ 37% 30% 33% C- B C- B- C D- A- D- B- B D D+ A+ B 35% 30% 35% D B- A+ F A- D+ F A- F
1.00 47% 64% 27% 0 -1 1.00 27% 1.1 .30 21% .38 65% .25 1.06 69% 43% 25% 0 -2 1.00 14% 1.8 .25 12% .44 69% .31
Dec
18		 Louisiana F F D- C- F 26% 31% 43% F F F A+ F+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A- 20% 49% 31% A+ A A+ A+ A+ D C+ F C-
0.91 9% 31% 33% -15 -2 0.67 18% 1.3 .23 12% .65 67% .43 0.80 36% 41% 24% -8 -5 0.76 13% 0.4 .05 15% .22 77% .17
Dec
20		 Arkansas St. B A D+ A+ A- 28% 40% 32% F B- C A B C A+ A+ A+ F B A+ D+ B+ 43% 16% 41% C- B F+ F F F F F F
1.20 71% 35% 44% +7 -3 1.10 28% 1.3 .34 15% .44 93% .41 1.30 52% 13% 35% -6 +1 0.92 43% 1.6 .70 13% .53 82% .43
Dec
29		 LSU F+ C+ F F F 24% 49% 27% F F B- F F+ B- A+ B A+ D F F+ C+ D 20% 35% 44% A+ C B+ F C F D B+ C-
0.88 58% 25% 23% -11 -5 0.71 31% 0.5 .15 14% .48 72% .35 1.28 82% 47% 33% +8 -3 1.11 29% 1.4 .41 9% .39 72% .28
Jan
1		 Louisiana Monroe D+ B+ A+ C B 49% 13% 38% B B C F D- F C A+ B B A- D C+ C+ 39% 21% 39% C- C A+ F C D+ D+ A C+
1.13 69% 71% 35% +10 +2 1.26 36% 0.9 .32 22% .25 87% .22 0.95 45% 42% 32% -5 0 0.91 14% 1.7 .24 16% .34 64% .22
Jan
3		 Louisiana C A+ D F B 49% 22% 29% C- B- B- F D F A+ A+ A+ C+ D C C- D 21% 44% 35% A C- D+ F F A- F+ F+ F+
1.09 80% 33% 25% +6 +1 1.15 35% 0.8 .26 25% .59 83% .49 0.99 60% 38% 35% +1 -4 0.96 29% 1.8 .52 21% .30 75% .22
Jan
8		 Texas St. D A F+ D- D+ 41% 36% 23% F D D+ B- C- D+ B+ B- B+ B+ A- D+ A A 38% 21% 41% D- B+ A- D C+ C- F+ A+ C-
1.04 70% 30% 31% +1 -2 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 19% .39 75% .29 0.91 48% 42% 26% -8 0 0.86 27% 1.0 .27 18% .35 64% .22
Jan
10		 Louisiana Monroe F C F F F 35% 27% 37% F+ F F A+ D B A+ D A+ B+ A+ A+ D B 42% 6% 52% F C+ F A+ B+ A- B- B B-
1.03 61% 21% 26% -8 -1 0.84 23% 1.6 .36 13% .41 67% .27 0.88 40% 0% 36% -8 +2 0.90 31% 0.6 .18 21% .30 69% .20
Jan
14		 Troy F+ C+ A- F F+ 41% 26% 33% D+ F+ B- C+ B- F A D- B F D- A+ F F 52% 7% 41% D- F D+ B+ C+ F B- B B
0.92 58% 50% 13% -7 0 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 26% .34 67% .23 1.29 64% 0% 50% +10 +3 1.28 36% 0.8 .30 11% .27 71% .19
Jan
17		 Texas St. F+ D- A F F 38% 34% 28% F F F B- F+ D+ A A+ A+ C+ A- F F D+ 49% 21% 31% F D A B- A- A+ F D F
0.94 53% 47% 21% -4 -2 0.90 16% 1.0 .16 20% .42 83% .35 1.03 47% 50% 42% +1 +1 1.05 24% 0.8 .20 25% .65 80% .52
Jan
22		 Georgia St. F B- F F F 31% 33% 37% F F F A+ F C+ C+ D C B- A+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 21% 49% F+ A F+ F F B+ F A- F
0.86 63% 29% 21% -9 -2 0.81 15% 1.3 .21 15% .31 68% .21 0.96 38% 22% 24% -17 -1 0.67 33% 1.7 .56 19% .50 72% .36
Jan
24		 Coastal Carolina D+ A- D F C 33% 45% 22% F+ C- F A+ D- B- A F+ B F D F+ F F 33% 24% 42% D F C+ D+ C A+ F+ D F+
0.99 65% 35% 27% -1 -4 0.92 14% 1.4 .20 10% .38 65% .25 1.26 60% 45% 63% +21 -1 1.42 25% 1.0 .25 22% .32 76% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Appalachian St. F+ D+ C- F D- 39% 35% 27% F+ F+ B F D+ F A+ C- A+ C- A+ A- F C- 48% 15% 37% D- C- A A+ A+ D F F F
0.95 53% 35% 23% -7 -2 0.84 36% 0.7 .24 18% .48 69% .33 1.05 41% 29% 47% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.5 .11 14% .50 76% .38
Jan
31		 James Madison D+ B- D- D- C- 37% 39% 24% F D D B C- F+ A+ A+ A+ B+ B- F+ A+ A+ 49% 16% 36% D A B F C- C- F A+ F+
1.09 60% 31% 30% -3 -2 0.90 25% 1.1 .29 16% .61 82% .50 0.97 55% 43% 19% -9 +1 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 16% .47 58% .27
Feb
4		 Marshall C+ A+ F A+ B- 12% 35% 53% F C A D- B- F A+ D+ A+ D- F F D- F 32% 30% 38% B- F C+ D C- C- F B+ F
1.16 100% 13% 43% +4 -4 1.02 46% 0.8 .38 21% .57 70% .40 1.22 80% 50% 39% +13 -2 1.26 29% 1.2 .35 17% .40 68% .27
Feb
7		 Kent St. D- F D+ F F 38% 32% 30% F+ F A- F+ C+ D+ A+ A A+ B A+ F A B+ 34% 16% 50% C B+ B C B- F B+ A+ A+
1.02 44% 33% 29% -9 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 17% .44 79% .35 1.00 41% 63% 28% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 14% .32 44% .14
Feb
12		 South Alabama D C- F A- C 49% 11% 40% A- C+ D+ A+ A F A+ B A+ D F F+ F F 32% 19% 49% B F A+ A A+ C+ F A F
1.04 59% 0% 39% -1 +2 1.04 27% 1.8 .47 28% .52 79% .41 1.12 87% 44% 39% +14 0 1.30 13% 1.0 .13 13% .57 57% .32
Feb
14		 Troy D+ F A+ F F 57% 25% 18% B- F A B- A B- C+ A+ B B+ D- F A C- 54% 4% 41% F D+ D+ A+ B+ A+ C- A+ A-
1.04 38% 54% 0% -16 +1 0.71 42% 1.1 .47 15% .29 81% .23 0.98 64% 50% 26% -1 +3 1.07 37% 0.7 .26 23% .31 56% .18
Feb
21		 Old Dominion D C+ F A+ A- 55% 22% 22% B- A- A+ F C- F A+ F A+ C+ A+ C F B- 38% 26% 36% D+ B- C- F F A+ F D F
1.06 63% 27% 55% +7 +1 1.18 47% 0.6 .30 32% .55 67% .36 1.00 40% 36% 42% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.6 .41 23% .44 78% .34
Feb
24		 Arkansas St. C C- A- B- C 55% 20% 25% B+ C+ A- C+ A- D+ C F F C D+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 22% 35% B- A+ F F F B+ F D- F
1.06 57% 45% 36% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.1 .39 16% .32 52% .17 1.13 62% 9% 18% -13 0 0.76 45% 1.4 .64 23% .76 78% .59
Feb
27		 South Alabama C- D- F+ A+ B 33% 16% 51% C B D- C+ D F A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% F+ A+ B+ F C F+ F B+ D-
1.05 53% 29% 43% +4 0 1.11 24% 1.1 .28 22% .35 78% .28 0.85 39% 0% 18% -23 +2 0.60 18% 1.5 .27 9% .43 60% .26
Mar
5		 James Madison B D+ D+ B C 46% 33% 21% D C- C- A+ B A A+ A+ A+ C- F A+ A+ C- 49% 22% 29% C C- A F C- F+ F+ C+ D-
1.19 54% 35% 36% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .37 8% .51 82% .42 1.11 76% 18% 27% +1 +1 1.06 21% 1.6 .33 14% .37 70% .26
Mar
6		 Texas St. B A- B+ A+ A- 45% 38% 17% F B- D- F F+ B A+ B A+ D D C- C- D- 43% 45% 12% A D+ D- F F D+ F+ F F
1.17 68% 44% 43% +9 -2 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 16% .64 76% .48 1.12 62% 41% 33% +3 -3 1.02 38% 1.1 .41 17% .35 85% .30
Mar
7		 Appalachian St. A B- D- C C 31% 45% 24% F D A+ A+ A+ C- A+ B A+ C F A- A+ C 33% 29% 38% A B- C D+ C- D+ F F F
1.25 60% 32% 33% -2 -4 0.90 45% 1.6 .74 15% .44 73% .32 1.06 75% 29% 22% -4 -1 0.92 31% 1.1 .33 15% .50 76% .38
Mar
8		 Troy D- A F F F 41% 31% 28% D- F A B- A C A- F C+ C F A+ A+ B+ 58% 8% 35% F B- F+ B C- A F F F
0.98 68% 29% 7% -10 -1 0.80 42% 1.1 .47 17% .34 60% .20 1.09 70% 0% 14% -7 +3 0.95 41% 0.8 .34 22% .69 82% .56