Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating -3.2 218
INCC Stats Results Rating -2.7 206
Consistency 0.11 10
Pace 71.8 91
Improvement +2.4 97

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 258 D C+ D+ A- D-
Defense C 172 C- C+ C+ D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 129 C 59% 151 +1.4 121
2 Pt. Jumpers 64% 7 C- 36% 250 +3.5 34
Three Pointers 28% 363 F 28% 359 -9.1 362
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.3 329 D+ -2.8 281
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 309
Second Chance C+ 31.4% 146 C+ 1.06 132 C+ 0.33 126
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 235
Other Turnovers D- 8.6% 329
Turnovers D+ 18.4% 298
Freethrows A- 0.36 18 B- 74% 125 A- 0.27 18
Total Offense D+ -3.2 258

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 196 D+ 12.3% 263
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 321 D 7.4% 321
Three Pointers D+ 79% 290 D 1.5% 320
Total F+ 45% 350 F+ 7.7% 345


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 141 C 58% 180 +0.8 212
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 210 C+ 37% 130 -0.6 137
Three Pointers 40% 195 D+ 36% 285 +1.1 248
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 214 C- +1.0 223
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 219
Second Chance B- 28.4% 106 C- 1.05 226 C+ 0.30 149
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.0% 138
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 181
Turnovers C+ 17.1% 144
Freethrows D- 0.36 336 B- 71% 81 D 0.26 318
Total Defense C +0.0 172

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 150 C 11.7% 144
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 26 C+ 5.9% 104
Three Pointers B+ 77% 28 C+ 1.3% 87
Total B- 52% 108 C+ 6.3% 119

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 190 16.5 42
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 106 0.20 289
Consistency 0.10 13 0.10 35
Improvement -0.6 218 +3.0 46



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 3 210 Buffalo L 79 - 85 37% +3  66% 0 - 1 D+ -6 B +6 B- B F+ F -12 D- D F+
Sun, Nov 9 95 South Carolina L 79 - 83 OT 13% -2  42% 0 - 2 C+ +5 C+ +3 C C+ A- B +2 D- A+ A+
Thu, Nov 13 309 Grambling St. L 70 - 75 62% -6  9% 0 - 3 D -11 D -3 F A+ A- C- -8 F B+ A-
Sat, Nov 22 337 North Florida W 92 - 83 82% -0  44% 1 - 3 C- -4 B- +4 C+ B D+ D- -8 F A+ A+
Sun, Nov 23 232 Tennessee Martin W 70 - 60 55% +14  97% 2 - 3 B- +5 A +15 B- A+ A D+ -7 F A- F
Wed, Dec 3 259 Radford W 82 - 75 48% +6  84% 3 - 3 C+ +4 C- -1 F C- C- B+ +5 A- B- D-
Sat, Dec 6 32 Miami (FL) L 64 - 88 4% -5  39% 3 - 4 D+ -6 D- -7 D- A+ F C+ +2 C B+ B+
Mon, Dec 8 309 Grambling St. W 68 - 60 81% -1  29% 4 - 4 C- -4 F -7 C- D+ F A +3 D A A+
Sat, Dec 13 64 Mississippi L 67 - 71 12% -3  15% 4 - 5 B- +6 C- +1 B C D- B+ +5 B- A- D+
Thu, Dec 18 304 Louisiana W 62 - 54 80% +2  64% 5 - 5 1 - 0 C- -4 F -16 F F+ A+ A+ +12 A A+ D
Sat, Dec 20 155 Arkansas St. L 86 - 93 48% -3  26% 5 - 6 1 - 1 D -10 B +7 B- B C- F -16 B F F
Mon, Dec 29 59 LSU L 62 - 90 7% -14  3% 5 - 7 D- -15 F+ -10 F F+ B- D -5 C C F
Thu, Jan 1 352 Louisiana Monroe W 87 - 73 80% +11  100% 6 - 7 2 - 1 C+ +2 C- -4 B D- F B +5 C+ C C-
Sat, Jan 3 304 Louisiana W 74 - 67 61% +2  60% 7 - 7 3 - 1 C +1 C -0 B- D F C+ +2 C- F A-
Thu, Jan 8 235 Texas St. W 80 - 70 OT 67% -0  41% 8 - 7 4 - 1 C+ +2 D -5 D C- D+ B+ +6 B+ C+ C-
Sat, Jan 10 352 Louisiana Monroe W 70 - 60 91% -0  49% 9 - 7 5 - 1 D+ -8 F -14 F D B B+ +6 C+ B+ A-
Wed, Jan 14 156 Troy L 65 - 91 26% -12  10% 9 - 8 5 - 2 F -23 F+ -9 F+ B- F F -13 F C+ F
Sat, Jan 17 235 Texas St. L 67 - 74 45% -3  24% 9 - 9 5 - 3 D -9 F -9 F F+ D+ C +0 D A- A+
Thu, Jan 22 307 Georgia St. L 62 - 69 61% -2  33% 9 - 10 5 - 4 D- -13 F -16 F F C+ B +3 A F B+
Sat, Jan 24 239 Coastal Carolina L 67 - 85 45% -12  0% 9 - 11 5 - 5 F -20 D -4 C- D- B- F -17 F C- A+
Thu, Jan 29 194 Appalachian St. L 63 - 70 57% -2  25% 9 - 12 5 - 6 D -12 F -10 F+ D+ F C- -2 C- A+ D
Sat, Jan 31 216 James Madison W 73 - 65 61% +5  91% 10 - 12 6 - 6 C+ +2 D -3 D C- F+ B+ +5 A C- C-
Wed, Feb 4 205 Marshall L 77 - 81 36% +2  67% 10 - 13 6 - 7 C- -3 B +3 C B- F F+ -7 F C- C-
Sat, Feb 7 161 Kent St. W 66 - 65 49% +0  56% 11 - 13 C- -2 D- -7 F C+ D+ B+ +5 B+ B- F
Thu, Feb 12 209 South Alabama L 78 - 84 59% -8  0% 11 - 14 6 - 8 D -12 D+ -5 C+ A F D- -6 F A+ C+
Sat, Feb 14 156 Troy W 69 - 65 48% -0  48% 12 - 14 7 - 8 C +1 D+ -4 F A B- A- +5 D+ B+ A+
Sat, Feb 21 253 Old Dominion W 86 - 81 69% -3  39% 13 - 14 8 - 8 C- -3 D -6 A- C- F C+ +1 B- F A+
Tue, Feb 24 155 Arkansas St. L 84 - 89 26% -3  16% 13 - 15 8 - 9 C -2 C +0 C+ A- D+ C -1 A+ F B+
Fri, Feb 27 209 South Alabama W 68 - 55 36% +6  71% 14 - 15 9 - 9 B+ +13 C -1 B D F A+ +16 A+ C F+
Thu, Mar 5 216 James Madison W 86 - 80 50% +4  68% 15 - 15 C+ +3 B- +6 C- B A C- -3 C- C- F+
Fri, Mar 6 235 Texas St. W 81 - 77 56% +3  80% 16 - 15 C -1 B +6 B- F+ B D- -7 D+ F D+
Sat, Mar 7 194 Appalachian St. W 86 - 73 45% +8  74% 17 - 15 B +11 A +13 D A+ C- C- -1 B- C- C-
Sun, Mar 8 156 Troy L 70 - 78 36% -9  7% 17 - 16 D+ -8 D -7 F A C C+ -1 B- C- A
Totals 17 - 16 9 - 9 -3 D+ -3 C D+ D- C +0 F B- A-


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C- F D+ 40% 64% 28% D- D C+ C+ C+ D+ A- B- A- C C C+ D+ C- 40% 20% 40% C- C- B- C- C+ C+ D- B- D
1.04 59% 36% 28% -3 -1 0.94 31% 1.1 .33 18% .36 74% .27 1.09 58% 37% 36% +1 0 1.05 28% 1.1 .30 17% .36 71% .26
Nov
3		 Buffalo B B- A+ C B- 49% 13% 38% B B- D+ A+ B F+ A+ A+ A+ F B+ F F D- 36% 7% 58% D- D- F A D F+ F B F
1.20 64% 67% 35% +7 +2 1.20 29% 1.3 .38 21% .39 95% .37 1.29 50% 67% 42% +6 +2 1.18 37% 0.9 .34 12% .62 69% .43
Nov
9		 S. Carolina C+ A- B- F+ B- 27% 41% 32% F C B D C+ A- B+ A- A- B A+ F F F+ 21% 9% 70% C D- C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ D+ D+
1.05 67% 39% 28% 0 -3 0.95 33% 0.9 .30 12% .32 76% .24 1.11 45% 60% 41% +6 0 1.15 29% 0.5 .14 20% .35 81% .28
Nov
13		 Grambling D F F F F 57% 14% 29% B+ F A A A+ A- A+ F A C- D F F F 54% 6% 40% F F A C B+ A- C D+ C
1.00 43% 29% 14% -18 +2 0.69 44% 1.2 .54 16% .49 62% .31 1.08 62% 67% 42% +8 +3 1.25 21% 1.0 .21 24% .30 75% .23
Nov
22		 N. Florida B- B- A+ F B- 52% 30% 19% D C+ A- D+ B D+ A+ F A- D- F F F F 24% 18% 58% A- F A+ F A+ A+ B+ D+ B+
1.29 64% 63% 20% +7 0 1.15 45% 1.1 .52 14% .42 62% .26 1.16 83% 56% 48% +22 -1 1.44 9% 1.5 .14 25% .19 80% .15
Nov
23		 TN Martin A A D+ B+ B 31% 33% 36% D- B- A- A A+ A C- F F+ D+ B- F D F 38% 20% 43% C- F B A A- F F A+ D-
1.25 71% 33% 38% +4 -2 1.07 42% 1.2 .48 14% .31 53% .17 1.08 53% 63% 35% +4 0 1.10 30% 0.7 .20 16% .43 55% .23
Dec
3		 Radford C- D D F F 33% 35% 33% F F B F C- C- A+ A+ A+ B+ A- A+ C+ A 39% 9% 52% F+ A- B C- B- D- F+ F+ F
1.09 53% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.87 38% 0.9 .32 19% .52 84% .44 1.00 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 15% .42 78% .33
Dec
6		 Miami FL D- C+ F+ F F+ 41% 30% 28% C- D- A+ A+ A+ F A+ D+ A C+ D- B+ D C- 45% 24% 31% B C F A+ B+ B+ F+ C- F+
0.87 58% 29% 23% -8 -1 0.85 36% 1.3 .45 27% .35 68% .24 1.19 70% 33% 38% +6 0 1.14 47% 0.8 .37 19% .40 71% .28
Dec
8		 Grambling F A+ B F C- 45% 26% 30% D C- C D D+ F F+ A- D A B A+ F D 49% 22% 29% D D F A+ A A+ F A+ F
0.99 76% 42% 14% 0 0 1.02 34% 0.9 .31 25% .27 79% .21 0.87 50% 0% 58% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.4 .16 31% .52 60% .31
Dec
13		 Ole Miss C- D A+ F B+ 37% 30% 33% C- B C- B- C D- A- D- B- B+ D D+ A+ B 35% 30% 35% D B- A+ F A- D+ F A- F
1.00 47% 64% 27% 0 -1 1.00 27% 1.1 .30 21% .38 65% .25 1.06 69% 43% 25% 0 -2 1.00 14% 1.8 .25 12% .44 69% .31
Dec
18		 LA Laf F F D- C- F 26% 31% 43% F F F A+ F+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A- 20% 49% 31% A+ A A+ A+ A+ D C+ F C-
0.91 9% 31% 33% -15 -2 0.67 18% 1.3 .23 12% .65 67% .43 0.80 36% 41% 24% -8 -5 0.76 13% 0.4 .05 15% .22 77% .17
Dec
20		 Ark St. B A D+ A+ A- 28% 40% 32% F B- C A B C- A+ A+ A+ F B A+ D+ B+ 43% 16% 41% C- B F+ F F F F F F
1.20 71% 35% 44% +7 -3 1.10 28% 1.3 .34 15% .44 93% .41 1.30 52% 13% 35% -6 +1 0.92 43% 1.6 .70 13% .53 82% .43
Dec
29		 LSU F+ C+ F F F 24% 49% 27% F F B- F F+ B- A+ B A+ D F F+ C+ D 20% 35% 44% A+ C B+ F C F D B+ C-
0.88 58% 25% 23% -11 -5 0.71 31% 0.5 .15 14% .48 72% .35 1.28 82% 47% 33% +8 -3 1.11 29% 1.4 .41 9% .39 72% .28
Jan
1		 LA Monroe C- B+ A+ C B 49% 13% 38% B B C F D- F C A+ B B A- D C+ C+ 39% 21% 39% C- C+ A+ F C C- D+ A C+
1.13 69% 71% 35% +10 +2 1.26 36% 0.9 .32 22% .25 87% .22 0.95 45% 42% 32% -5 0 0.91 14% 1.7 .24 16% .34 64% .22
Jan
3		 LA Laf C A+ D F B 49% 22% 29% C- B- B- F D F A+ A+ A+ C+ D C C- D 21% 44% 35% A C- D+ F F A- F+ F+ F
1.09 80% 33% 25% +6 +1 1.15 35% 0.8 .26 25% .59 83% .49 0.99 60% 38% 35% +1 -4 0.96 29% 1.8 .52 21% .30 75% .22
Jan
8		 Texas St. D A F+ D- D+ 41% 36% 23% F D D+ B- C- D+ B+ B- B+ B+ A- C- A A 38% 21% 41% D- B+ A- D C+ C- F A+ C-
1.04 70% 30% 31% +1 -2 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 19% .39 75% .29 0.91 48% 42% 26% -8 0 0.86 27% 1.0 .27 18% .35 64% .22
Jan
10		 LA Monroe F C F F F 35% 27% 37% F+ F F A+ D B A+ D A+ B+ A+ A+ D B 42% 6% 52% F C+ F+ A+ B+ A- B- B B-
1.03 61% 21% 26% -8 -1 0.84 23% 1.6 .36 13% .41 67% .27 0.88 40% 0% 36% -8 +2 0.90 31% 0.6 .18 21% .30 69% .20
Jan
14		 Troy F+ C+ A- F F+ 41% 26% 33% D+ F+ B- C+ B- F A D- B F D- A+ F F 52% 7% 41% D- F D+ B+ C+ F B- B B
0.92 58% 50% 13% -7 0 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 26% .34 67% .23 1.29 64% 0% 50% +10 +3 1.28 36% 0.8 .30 11% .27 71% .19
Jan
17		 Texas St. F D- A F F 38% 34% 28% F F F B- F+ D+ A A+ A+ C A- F F D+ 49% 21% 31% F D A B- A- A+ F D F
0.94 53% 47% 21% -4 -2 0.90 16% 1.0 .16 20% .42 83% .35 1.03 47% 50% 42% +1 +1 1.05 24% 0.8 .20 25% .65 80% .52
Jan
22		 GA St. F B- F F F 31% 33% 37% F F F A+ F C+ C+ D C B A+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 21% 49% F+ A F F F B+ F A- F
0.86 63% 29% 21% -9 -2 0.81 15% 1.3 .21 15% .31 68% .21 0.96 38% 22% 24% -17 -1 0.67 33% 1.7 .56 19% .50 72% .36
Jan
24		 Coastal Car. D A D F C 33% 45% 22% F+ C- F A+ D- B- A F B F D D- F F 33% 24% 42% D F C+ D+ C- A+ F+ D F+
0.99 65% 35% 27% -1 -3 0.92 14% 1.4 .20 10% .38 65% .25 1.26 60% 45% 63% +21 -1 1.42 25% 1.0 .25 22% .32 76% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 App St. F D+ C- F D- 39% 35% 27% F+ F+ B+ F D+ F A+ C- A+ C- A+ A- F C- 48% 15% 37% D- C- A A+ A+ D F F F
0.95 53% 35% 23% -7 -2 0.84 36% 0.7 .24 18% .48 69% .33 1.05 41% 29% 47% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.5 .11 14% .50 76% .38
Jan
31		 J. Madison D B- D- D C- 37% 39% 24% F D D B C- F+ A+ A+ A+ B+ B- F+ A+ A+ 49% 16% 36% D A B F C- C- F A+ F+
1.09 60% 31% 30% -3 -2 0.90 25% 1.1 .29 16% .61 82% .50 0.97 55% 43% 19% -9 +1 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 16% .47 58% .27
Feb
4		 Marshall B A+ F A+ B- 12% 35% 53% F C A D- B- F A+ D+ A+ F+ F F D- F 32% 30% 38% B- F C+ D C- C- F B+ F
1.16 100% 13% 43% +4 -4 1.02 46% 0.8 .38 21% .57 70% .40 1.22 80% 50% 39% +13 -2 1.26 29% 1.2 .35 17% .40 68% .27
Feb
7		 Kent St. D- F D+ F+ F 38% 32% 30% F+ F A- F+ C+ D+ A+ A A+ B+ A+ F A B+ 34% 16% 50% C B+ B C B- F B+ A+ A+
1.02 44% 33% 29% -9 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 17% .44 79% .35 1.00 41% 63% 28% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 14% .32 44% .14
Feb
12		 S. Alabama D+ C- F A- C 49% 11% 40% A- C+ D A+ A F A+ B A+ D- F F+ F F 32% 19% 49% B+ F A+ A A+ C+ F A F
1.04 59% 0% 39% -1 +2 1.04 27% 1.8 .47 28% .52 79% .41 1.12 87% 44% 39% +14 0 1.30 13% 1.0 .13 13% .57 57% .32
Feb
14		 Troy D+ F A+ F F 57% 25% 18% B- F A B- A B- C+ A+ B A- D- F A C- 54% 4% 41% F D+ D+ A+ B+ A+ C- A+ A-
1.04 38% 54% 0% -16 +1 0.71 42% 1.1 .47 15% .29 81% .23 0.98 64% 50% 26% -1 +3 1.07 37% 0.7 .26 23% .31 56% .18
Feb
21		 Old Dom D C+ F A+ A- 55% 22% 22% B A- A+ F C- F A+ F A+ C+ A+ C F B- 38% 26% 36% C- B- C- F F A+ F D F
1.06 63% 27% 55% +7 +1 1.18 47% 0.6 .30 32% .55 67% .36 1.00 40% 36% 42% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.6 .41 23% .44 78% .34
Feb
24		 Ark St. C C- A- B- C 55% 20% 25% B+ C+ A B- A- D+ C F F C D+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 22% 35% B- A+ F F F B+ F D- F
1.06 57% 45% 36% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.1 .39 16% .32 52% .17 1.13 62% 9% 18% -13 0 0.76 45% 1.4 .64 23% .76 78% .59
Feb
27		 S. Alabama C D- F+ A+ B 33% 16% 51% C B D- C+ D F A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% F+ A+ B+ F C F+ F B+ F+
1.05 53% 29% 43% +4 0 1.11 24% 1.1 .28 22% .35 78% .28 0.85 39% 0% 18% -23 +2 0.60 18% 1.5 .27 9% .43 60% .26
Mar
5		 J. Madison B- D+ D+ B C 46% 33% 21% D C- C- A+ B A A+ A+ A+ C- F A+ A+ C- 49% 22% 29% C C- A F C- F+ F C+ D-
1.19 54% 35% 36% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .37 8% .51 82% .42 1.11 76% 18% 27% +1 +1 1.06 21% 1.6 .33 14% .37 70% .26
Mar
6		 Texas St. B A- B+ A+ A- 45% 38% 17% F B- D- F F+ B A+ B A+ D- D C- C- D- 43% 45% 12% A D+ D- F F D+ F F F
1.17 68% 44% 43% +9 -2 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 16% .64 76% .48 1.12 62% 41% 33% +3 -3 1.02 38% 1.1 .41 17% .35 85% .30
Mar
7		 App St. A B- D- C C 31% 45% 24% F D A+ A+ A+ C- A+ B- A+ C- F A- A+ C 33% 29% 38% A B- C D+ C- C- F F F
1.25 60% 32% 33% -2 -4 0.90 45% 1.6 .74 15% .44 73% .32 1.06 75% 29% 22% -4 -1 0.92 31% 1.1 .33 15% .50 76% .38
Mar
8		 Troy D A F F F 41% 31% 28% D- F A B- A C A- F C+ C+ F A+ A+ B+ 58% 8% 35% F B- F+ B C- A F F F
0.98 68% 29% 7% -10 -1 0.80 42% 1.1 .47 17% .34 60% .20 1.09 70% 0% 14% -7 +3 0.95 41% 0.8 .34 22% .69 82% .56