IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.2	#302
Expected Predictive Rating	-18.6	#360

Pace	74.4	#56
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.6	#245

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.6	#334

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	2.0%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.7	14.8

.500 or above	12.1%	27.8%	11.2%
.500 or above in Conference	29.9%	43.1%	29.1%
Conference Champion	1.3%	4.6%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	16.1%	12.5%	16.3%

First Four	0.1%	0.7%	0.0%
First Round	0.8%	2.0%	0.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 5.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 7	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	320	@ Buffalo	L	79-85	44%	0 - 1			-11.6	+6.9	-18.9
Nov 09, 2025	82	@ South Carolina	L	65-81	6%
Nov 13, 2025	294	@ Grambling St.	L	71-74	37%
Nov 22, 2025	348	North Florida	W	83-80	61%
Dec 03, 2025	156	@ Radford	L	67-77	20%
Dec 06, 2025	48	@ Miami (FL)	L	67-88	3%
Dec 08, 2025	294	Grambling St.	W	74-71	59%
Dec 13, 2025	37	Mississippi	L	66-86	4%
Dec 18, 2025	248	Louisiana	W	75-74	50%
Dec 20, 2025	131	Arkansas St.	L	76-81	32%
Dec 29, 2025	54	@ LSU	L	67-87	4%
Jan 01, 2026	359	@ Louisiana Monroe	W	77-75	58%
Jan 03, 2026	248	@ Louisiana	L	71-77	31%
Jan 08, 2026	261	Texas St.	W	73-72	53%
Jan 10, 2026	359	Louisiana Monroe	W	80-72	76%
Jan 14, 2026	118	@ Troy	L	69-82	15%
Jan 17, 2026	261	@ Texas St.	L	70-75	33%
Jan 22, 2026	312	@ Georgia St.	L	75-77	42%
Jan 24, 2026	272	@ Coastal Carolina	L	73-77	36%
Jan 29, 2026	244	Appalachian St.	W	69-68	50%
Jan 31, 2026	140	James Madison	L	71-76	35%
Feb 04, 2026	167	@ Marshall	L	71-80	23%
Feb 12, 2026	172	South Alabama	L	68-71	40%
Feb 14, 2026	118	Troy	L	72-79	27%
Feb 21, 2026	199	Old Dominion	L	74-76	44%
Feb 24, 2026	131	@ Arkansas St.	L	73-84	17%
Feb 27, 2026	172	@ South Alabama	L	65-74	22%
Projected Record						9 - 18	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1				1.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.5	1.0	0.3	0.2	0.1				2.2	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.9	1.4	0.5	0.2						3.1	3rd
4th										0.1	1.0	1.4	0.8	0.2							3.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.5	1.9	0.4								5.3	5th
6th									0.3	2.7	3.0	0.3	0.0								6.4	6th
7th								0.2	1.6	3.8	1.4										7.0	7th
8th							0.2	1.4	4.1	2.5	0.2										8.4	8th
9th						0.2	1.2	4.2	3.5	0.6											9.7	9th
10th					0.1	0.7	3.2	4.9	1.3												10.1	10th
11th				0.1	0.6	3.5	4.3	1.7													10.2	11th
12th				1.1	3.1	5.3	2.2	0.2													11.9	12th
13th		0.2	1.5	3.0	4.1	2.1	0.3	0.0													11.2	13th
14th	0.7	2.1	2.8	3.0	1.1	0.2															9.9	14th

Total	0.7	2.2	4.3	7.1	9.0	12.1	11.4	12.5	10.9	10.1	8.3	4.5	3.2	2.0	1.1	0.6	0.2					Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	50.6%	0.1		0.1
15-3	73.3%	0.4		0.3	0.1
14-4	48.3%	0.5		0.2	0.3	0.1
13-5	11.6%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1
12-6	1.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.3%	1.3		0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.2%																							0.2
15-3	0.6%		6.7%	6.7%		13.0														0.0				0.5
14-4	1.1%		6.9%	6.9%		14.0															0.1			1.0
13-5	2.0%		11.6%	11.6%		14.3														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.7
12-6	3.2%		8.3%	8.3%		15.0															0.1	0.1	0.1	2.9
11-7	4.5%		4.3%	4.3%		15.8																0.0	0.2	4.3
10-8	8.3%		0.9%	0.9%		14.5														0.0			0.0	8.2
9-9	10.1%																							10.1
8-10	10.9%																							10.9
7-11	12.5%																							12.5
6-12	11.4%																							11.4
5-13	12.1%																							12.1
4-14	9.0%																							9.0
3-15	7.1%																							7.1
2-16	4.3%																							4.3
1-17	2.2%																							2.2
0-18	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		0.9%	0.9%	0.0%	14.8														0.1	0.3	0.2	0.3	99.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%