Marshall
Conference USA
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#114
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#169
Pace85.4#2
Improvement+1.3#73

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#85
First Shot+2.8#99
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#133
Layup/Dunks+6.9#19
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#326
Freethrows+0.6#141
Improvement+1.6#39

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#175
First Shot+0.3#163
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#218
Layups/Dunks+1.7#117
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#272
Freethrows+0.8#143
Improvement-0.3#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.4% 13.9% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.7 12.4 13.1
.500 or above 78.9% 87.4% 69.8%
.500 or above in Conference 82.7% 86.6% 78.6%
Conference Champion 14.2% 17.3% 10.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 1.0%
First Four0.5% 0.8% 0.2%
First Round11.1% 13.5% 8.5%
Second Round2.1% 2.7% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 51.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 32 - 5
Quad 37 - 69 - 10
Quad 410 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 206   Wright St. W 96-88 79%     1 - 0 +3.0 +0.0 +1.3
  Nov 18, 2021 182   Campbell L 65-67 76%     1 - 1 -6.0 -7.5 +1.4
  Nov 21, 2021 249   Jackson St. W 80-66 85%     2 - 1 +6.3 +4.9 +1.1
  Nov 23, 2021 183   Louisiana W 93-79 76%     3 - 1 +9.9 +3.4 +4.1
  Nov 27, 2021 32   @ Indiana L 79-90 14%     3 - 2 +4.2 +8.7 -3.5
  Dec 01, 2021 165   @ Akron W 76-75 52%    
  Dec 04, 2021 194   Duquesne W 84-76 77%    
  Dec 11, 2021 161   @ Eastern Kentucky L 90-91 50%    
  Dec 15, 2021 72   @ Ohio L 80-87 28%    
  Dec 18, 2021 112   Northern Iowa W 84-81 60%    
  Dec 21, 2021 116   @ Toledo L 83-86 39%    
  Dec 30, 2021 108   @ Louisiana Tech L 82-86 37%    
  Jan 01, 2022 246   @ Southern Miss W 79-74 67%    
  Jan 08, 2022 222   Florida Atlantic W 86-77 80%    
  Jan 13, 2022 107   North Texas W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 15, 2022 170   Rice W 89-82 72%    
  Jan 20, 2022 225   @ Florida International W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 22, 2022 222   @ Florida Atlantic W 83-80 61%    
  Jan 27, 2022 181   Middle Tennessee W 82-75 74%    
  Jan 29, 2022 52   UAB L 79-81 42%    
  Feb 03, 2022 234   @ Old Dominion W 75-71 62%    
  Feb 05, 2022 198   @ Charlotte W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 10, 2022 225   Florida International W 80-71 79%    
  Feb 13, 2022 160   @ UTEP L 75-76 50%    
  Feb 17, 2022 234   Old Dominion W 78-68 81%    
  Feb 19, 2022 198   Charlotte W 79-71 76%    
  Feb 24, 2022 181   @ Middle Tennessee W 79-78 54%    
  Mar 02, 2022 126   Western Kentucky W 84-80 63%    
  Mar 05, 2022 126   @ Western Kentucky L 81-83 43%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.2 3.0 4.5 3.3 1.6 0.4 14.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.6 5.1 2.1 0.4 15.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.7 4.1 1.2 0.1 13.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 5.5 3.8 0.9 0.1 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.5 1.2 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.2 3.0 4.2 1.1 0.1 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 4.1 1.3 0.1 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 2.1 0.2 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.0 0.3 4.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.0 2.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.7 4.8 7.2 10.5 11.9 13.6 13.3 11.8 9.3 6.6 3.7 1.6 0.4 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.6    1.5 0.1
16-2 89.8% 3.3    2.7 0.7 0.0
15-3 67.6% 4.5    2.5 1.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 32.0% 3.0    1.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
13-5 10.2% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.2% 14.2 8.3 4.5 1.1 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 72.2% 41.7% 30.6% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 52.4%
17-1 1.6% 46.5% 35.0% 11.5% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 17.6%
16-2 3.7% 34.9% 29.8% 5.1% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4 7.3%
15-3 6.6% 26.7% 24.7% 2.0% 12.3 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 4.9 2.6%
14-4 9.3% 21.5% 21.0% 0.5% 12.6 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 7.3 0.7%
13-5 11.8% 14.1% 14.1% 13.1 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.0 10.1
12-6 13.3% 11.8% 11.8% 13.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 11.8
11-7 13.6% 7.7% 7.7% 13.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 12.5
10-8 11.9% 4.2% 4.2% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 11.4
9-9 10.5% 2.2% 2.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.3
8-10 7.2% 2.5% 2.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.0
7-11 4.8% 1.2% 1.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 4.8
6-12 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 11.4% 10.7% 0.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.3 3.6 2.3 0.6 0.1 88.6 0.7%