Texas St.
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating -4.8 235
INCC Stats Results Rating -3.3 219
Consistency 0.15 146
Pace 66.2 245
Improvement +5.2 25

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 276 D+ C- D C- D
Defense C- 198 D B- B- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 40 C- 56% 247 +2.3 96
2 Pt. Jumpers 65% 4 B- 41% 91 +5.2 10
Three Pointers 24% 365 D- 30% 334 -10.3 365
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.1 314 C- -1.7 239
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 263
Second Chance C+ 32.3% 112 D- 0.91 335 C- 0.29 213
Opponents' Steals D- 11.4% 333
Other Turnovers C- 7.4% 215
Turnovers D 18.8% 314
Freethrows D+ 0.28 261 B 76% 43 C- 0.21 212
Total Offense D+ -4.1 276

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 52% 117 D- 14.4% 341
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 151 C+ 4.2% 123
Three Pointers B- 88% 92 C+ 0.7% 144
Total D+ 50% 297 F+ 7.9% 350


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 81 C- 60% 235 +3.2 292
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 289 C+ 37% 139 -1.4 69
Three Pointers 40% 208 D- 38% 343 +2.1 287
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 300 D +3.0 301
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 313
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 135 B 0.93 48 B- 0.27 69
Turnovers from Steals B 11.3% 46
Other Turnovers C- 6.8% 238
Turnovers B- 18.2% 86
Freethrows D+ 0.34 288 C 72% 179 D+ 0.24 280
Total Defense C- -0.8 198

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 40% 39 C 11.6% 146
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 19 B- 6.4% 85
Three Pointers B- 80% 70 D 0.3% 309
Total B 50% 53 C+ 6.2% 131

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 197 17.5 207
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 119 0.17 163
Consistency 0.12 155 0.13 215
Improvement +4.1 21 +1.1 132



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 3 166 Bowling Green L 48 - 83 23% -13  0% 0 - 1 F -32 F -25 F F F D -7 F A- C+
Sat, Nov 8 203 Tulane L 71 - 79 30% +6  77% 0 - 2 D+ -7 C -1 D+ B+ C+ D- -7 F+ A+ B
Wed, Nov 12 336 Texas San Antonio W 80 - 69 84% +10  97% 1 - 2 C- -5 C- -3 F A- B C- -1 B- C+ D+
Sat, Nov 15 316 Texas Southern W 77 - 67 79% +12  97% 2 - 2 C- -3 D -5 D+ A+ F C+ +2 D+ B A
Tue, Nov 18 243 Abilene Christian W 63 - 49 62% +11  96% 3 - 2 B- +6 F+ -6 D D- F A+ +14 A+ D- A
Fri, Nov 21 312 Arkansas Little Rock W 65 - 56 77% +5  88% 4 - 2 C- -4 F -11 B- F F A +8 B+ A- A
Fri, Nov 28 112 Seattle L 52 - 66 21% -5  9% 4 - 3 D -10 F -7 C- F D D+ -5 F A D
Sat, Nov 29 293 Lehigh L 74 - 78 OT 63% +1  50% 4 - 4 D- -12 D -5 D C- F D- -7 F A+ C
Wed, Dec 3 225 Rice L 72 - 77 34% -2  23% 4 - 5 D+ -6 D+ -3 D+ F C- D+ -3 B F B-
Wed, Dec 10 278 Southern W 86 - 83 70% -2  27% 5 - 5 D+ -7 D+ -5 A- F F D+ -2 F C A+
Wed, Dec 17 155 Arkansas St. L 70 - 89 41% -8  4% 5 - 6 0 - 1 F -22 F+ -10 F C C F -11 F F A+
Sat, Dec 20 209 South Alabama W 67 - 65 53% -6  4% 6 - 6 1 - 1 C- -4 D -6 F A C- B- +3 B- B A-
Wed, Dec 31 156 Troy L 80 - 100 22% -8  12% 6 - 7 1 - 2 F+ -17 A- +9 C+ A+ D F -26 F F F
Sat, Jan 3 352 Louisiana Monroe W 84 - 79 76% +3  80% 7 - 7 2 - 2 D+ -7 C- -3 F A D D -4 F A+ B
Thu, Jan 8 218 Southern Miss L 70 - 80 OT 33% +0  50% 7 - 8 2 - 3 D -10 F -10 F C- C- C+ +1 D+ B+ C+
Sat, Jan 10 155 Arkansas St. L 82 - 83 22% -5  0% 7 - 9 2 - 4 C+ +2 C -0 C- A+ F B- +3 B A B
Wed, Jan 14 304 Louisiana W 59 - 54 76% +5  83% 8 - 9 3 - 4 D+ -7 F -12 B F F+ B +5 B B C
Sat, Jan 17 218 Southern Miss W 74 - 67 55% +3  70% 9 - 9 4 - 4 C +1 D -4 C F+ F B+ +5 C+ A+ C+
Thu, Jan 22 239 Coastal Carolina L 70 - 72 39% -3  30% 9 - 10 4 - 5 C- -4 D+ -2 F D+ A+ C -2 C B+ D
Sat, Jan 24 216 James Madison L 57 - 82 32% -17  2% 9 - 11 4 - 6 F -25 F -13 F F B- F -15 F D C
Wed, Jan 28 205 Marshall W 72 - 68 52% +4  72% 10 - 11 5 - 6 C -1 D -8 D+ B- D B+ +7 B- A+ F
Sat, Jan 31 253 Old Dominion W 81 - 64 64% +12  99% 11 - 11 6 - 6 B- +9 C+ +2 C+ D- B+ B+ +7 A C A
Wed, Feb 4 230 Georgia Southern W 77 - 71 37% +3  52% 12 - 11 7 - 6 C+ +5 C -1 F A+ C B+ +6 C- A D+
Sat, Feb 7 275 Western Michigan W 77 - 61 68% +5  78% 13 - 11 B- +6 C+ +2 B D D- B+ +6 C+ C A-
Wed, Feb 11 156 Troy W 74 - 62 42% +9  98% 14 - 11 8 - 6 B +9 B +5 A D+ F A- +6 B+ B+ A+
Sat, Feb 14 352 Louisiana Monroe W 95 - 84 89% +6  93% 15 - 11 9 - 6 D+ -7 A+ +17 A A+ A F -23 F F C
Thu, Feb 19 209 South Alabama W 90 - 82 OT 31% +3  68% 16 - 11 10 - 6 B- +8 A +12 A D- B D+ -4 F A+ C+
Sat, Feb 21 304 Louisiana L 54 - 67 55% -11  0% 16 - 12 10 - 7 F -19 F -13 F C+ F F+ -8 F F A
Fri, Feb 27 194 Appalachian St. W 60 - 57 50% -2  26% 17 - 12 11 - 7 C- -2 F+ -7 B- F D+ B+ +6 A- C A+
Fri, Mar 6 218 Southern Miss L 77 - 81 44% -3  7% 17 - 13 D+ -7 C+ +3 C- A- C F -10 F A+ D
Totals 17 - 13 11 - 7 -5 D+ -4 C C- D C- -1 D- B C-


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- B- D- C- 44% 65% 24% D D+ C+ D- C- D D+ B C- C- C- C+ D- D 42% 17% 40% D D C+ B B- B- D+ C D+
1.02 56% 41% 30% -2 -1 0.96 32% 0.9 .29 19% .28 76% .21 1.11 60% 37% 38% +3 +1 1.10 29% 0.9 .27 18% .34 72% .20
Nov
3		 Bowl Green F D- C+ F F 47% 20% 33% C+ F F C- F F F F F D F A- F F 47% 14% 39% C- F B- A+ A- C+ B B B+
0.68 50% 40% 18% -12 +1 0.80 14% 1.0 .14 26% .13 43% .06 1.18 71% 29% 50% +14 +2 1.33 25% 0.6 .14 17% .27 69% .19
Nov
8		 Tulane C F D A+ D 46% 25% 29% C D+ C- A+ B+ C+ F A+ D D- D+ A+ F F+ 41% 14% 45% D F+ B A+ A+ B F F F
1.06 45% 33% 43% -3 0 0.96 32% 1.3 .41 16% .23 85% .20 1.18 61% 0% 45% +4 +1 1.11 19% 0.0 .00 16% .54 100% .54
Nov
12		 UTSA C- C+ F+ F F 43% 25% 32% D+ F B+ C+ A- B A+ B+ A+ C- B B- A+ B+ 48% 12% 40% F B- B+ F+ C+ D+ F C- F
1.14 61% 31% 12% -11 0 0.79 44% 1.2 .51 13% .42 77% .33 0.98 48% 33% 24% -12 +2 0.83 26% 1.1 .28 16% .37 73% .27
Nov
15		 TX Southern D C+ C- D D+ 43% 22% 35% D+ D+ C A+ A+ F A+ B A+ C+ C F+ A D+ 47% 29% 24% C- D+ D+ A+ B A F A F
1.08 63% 38% 31% 0 0 1.03 32% 1.9 .60 24% .59 75% .44 0.94 57% 46% 27% -1 0 1.00 29% 0.7 .21 23% .53 62% .33
Nov
18		 Abilene Chr F+ F F+ A+ D- 56% 26% 18% C- D A+ F D- F B+ C+ B+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 57% 14% 29% F A+ F C D- A F+ A+ B
1.00 45% 30% 71% +1 +1 1.05 41% 0.5 .21 30% .50 73% .36 0.77 21% 50% 25% -23 +2 0.60 40% 0.9 .35 25% .40 53% .21
Nov
21		 Little Rock F A C+ C+ B- 51% 24% 24% D+ B- B- F F F B F D+ A A+ A C+ A+ 56% 18% 27% F B+ D+ A+ A- A F C- F
1.01 74% 36% 36% +9 0 1.20 39% 0.2 .07 26% .34 56% .19 0.87 44% 25% 33% -10 +2 0.84 32% 0.7 .21 23% .36 67% .24
Nov
28		 Seattle F B- C+ F C+ 40% 42% 19% F C- B+ F F D F B F D+ F A+ C+ F 55% 11% 34% F F A- A+ A D D+ A+ B-
0.85 58% 40% 22% -3 -3 0.92 37% 0.2 .06 23% .17 75% .13 1.08 79% 0% 33% +7 +2 1.20 18% 0.6 .11 15% .33 59% .19
Nov
29		 Lehigh D D- B C- C+ 33% 54% 13% F D A F C- F A+ B A+ D- B- D- F F 40% 17% 43% F+ F C A+ A+ C A- A+ A
1.05 50% 46% 33% +2 -5 0.96 44% 0.8 .33 20% .41 78% .32 1.11 52% 44% 57% +14 +1 1.30 23% 0.3 .06 18% .21 58% .12
Dec
3		 Rice D+ B C- B- C 35% 44% 21% F D+ B+ F F C- C C C D+ F B- A+ B 23% 27% 50% C+ B D F F B- F F F
1.06 67% 35% 36% +2 -3 1.00 38% 0.5 .18 16% .33 74% .25 1.13 80% 33% 23% -5 -2 0.89 39% 1.3 .50 19% .53 76% .40
Dec
10		 Southern D+ B- B A+ A- 53% 15% 32% A- A- C- F F F A+ D+ A+ D+ F+ C F F 26% 31% 43% A- F C C+ C A+ C C C
1.08 64% 43% 47% +10 +2 1.26 31% 0.4 .14 24% .51 74% .38 1.05 64% 35% 43% +7 -2 1.11 30% 1.0 .30 24% .31 68% .22
Dec
17		 Ark St. F+ F C F F 53% 28% 19% C+ F D+ B C C D+ A+ C+ F D- A+ F F 46% 13% 41% D F F F F A+ D- D+ D-
0.97 47% 38% 27% -8 0 0.86 24% 1.1 .27 15% .29 83% .24 1.23 67% 0% 53% +11 +2 1.26 44% 1.8 .80 26% .37 75% .28
Dec
20		 S. Alabama D D- B+ F F 38% 16% 47% C+ F A+ D A C- A+ A+ A+ B- C+ F A+ B 56% 13% 31% F B- B C B A- F C+ F+
1.02 53% 43% 19% -12 +1 0.80 46% 1.0 .46 18% .41 91% .37 0.99 56% 50% 20% -6 +2 0.94 19% 1.2 .23 17% .40 64% .26
Dec
31		 Troy A- D+ C A+ B- 40% 27% 33% D+ C+ A A- A+ D C- F D F F+ A+ F F 65% 7% 28% F F F F F F F A+ F
1.18 52% 43% 41% +3 -1 1.06 41% 1.2 .50 19% .25 64% .16 1.47 67% 0% 69% +18 +4 1.46 45% 1.3 .59 12% .53 63% .33
Jan
3		 LA Monroe C- D+ B- F F 49% 31% 20% D- F A- B A D D- D D- D F A+ F F 37% 19% 44% C- F A+ A+ A+ B B B B+
1.15 59% 44% 25% -1 0 1.00 43% 1.3 .54 18% .20 67% .13 1.08 68% 20% 52% +12 0 1.27 14% 0.5 .07 19% .27 69% .19
Jan
8		 S. Miss F F B F F 38% 21% 41% C- F C- D+ C- C- C- F D C+ F B+ C+ D 41% 36% 23% B- D+ A- B- B+ C+ D+ C- D+
0.91 48% 42% 26% -8 0 0.86 27% 1.0 .27 18% .35 64% .22 1.04 70% 30% 31% +1 -2 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 19% .39 75% .29
Jan
10		 Ark St. C A+ D- F C 44% 35% 20% D- C- C- A+ A+ F C- A+ B B- D- A+ A+ B+ 43% 13% 44% D B F A+ A B F D- F
1.06 75% 32% 18% 0 -1 1.00 25% 1.9 .47 21% .31 84% .26 1.07 65% 14% 25% -6 +1 0.93 44% 0.6 .28 22% .53 78% .41
Jan
14		 LA Laf F C+ A+ A+ B+ 60% 23% 16% C+ B D F F F+ F F F B A A+ F A- 37% 23% 40% F B A+ F B C F C+ F
0.97 62% 50% 43% +7 +1 1.19 27% 0.3 .08 21% .21 60% .13 0.89 44% 10% 41% -8 0 0.86 16% 1.2 .19 16% .37 68% .26
Jan
17		 S. Miss D F A+ A C 49% 21% 31% B- C D F F+ F A+ A+ A+ B+ B F A+ C+ 38% 34% 28% B- C+ A+ B- A+ C+ D- F F
1.03 47% 50% 42% +1 +1 1.05 24% 0.8 .20 25% .65 80% .52 0.94 53% 47% 21% -4 -2 0.90 16% 1.0 .16 20% .42 83% .35
Jan
22		 Coastal Car. D+ F A- F F 34% 45% 21% F+ F C F D+ A+ B- A+ A+ C F F+ A+ C 24% 27% 49% C C B+ B- B+ D F D+ F
1.02 42% 48% 8% -9 -3 0.77 29% 0.8 .24 6% .33 90% .30 1.05 67% 46% 25% -2 -2 0.94 21% 0.9 .18 13% .49 76% .37
Jan
24		 J. Madison F C F F F 45% 28% 28% D+ F C- F F B- B- C- C+ F C- F F F 26% 12% 62% C+ F F B- D C A D+ A-
0.90 57% 15% 23% -11 0 0.79 28% 0.6 .18 11% .37 71% .27 1.30 62% 50% 45% +13 0 1.28 37% 1.0 .37 17% .21 73% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Marshall D F+ F A+ D 48% 24% 28% B- D+ D A+ B- D C- D D+ B+ D- B- A+ B 40% 25% 35% D B- A+ B+ A+ F B+ A+ A
1.05 50% 25% 43% -3 0 0.96 31% 1.3 .39 19% .34 68% .23 0.99 70% 36% 25% -1 0 1.00 17% 1.0 .17 10% .19 58% .11
Jan
31		 Old Dom C+ C- C- A+ B- 39% 33% 27% F+ C+ C+ F D- B+ B+ A- A B+ C- A+ A+ A+ 41% 14% 45% F A F A+ C A F F F
1.17 60% 35% 43% +3 -2 1.06 32% 0.7 .24 12% .41 80% .33 0.93 60% 14% 23% -10 +1 0.84 33% 0.8 .27 20% .40 82% .33
Feb
4		 GA Southern C F+ D F F 57% 18% 24% B- F B A+ A+ C B- A+ A+ B+ B- F B D+ 39% 14% 47% C+ C- A+ F+ A D+ D B- D+
1.11 50% 33% 25% -9 +2 0.88 39% 1.4 .55 19% .39 91% .35 1.02 53% 71% 30% 0 +1 1.04 16% 1.2 .19 14% .37 73% .27
Feb
7		 W. Michigan C+ B+ A A A 36% 32% 32% F B D+ D D D- F A+ F+ B+ A+ F+ D C+ 40% 22% 38% D+ C+ C- C+ C A- A+ F A+
1.21 68% 47% 41% +10 -2 1.19 27% 1.0 .27 16% .19 90% .17 0.96 40% 45% 37% -4 0 0.94 31% 1.0 .31 20% .12 83% .10
Feb
11		 Troy B A A+ F A+ 37% 44% 19% F A D+ C- D+ F A+ A+ A+ A- B+ A B- B 26% 18% 56% A+ B+ C- A B+ A+ F D+ F
1.16 69% 63% 25% +13 -3 1.21 29% 1.0 .29 22% .38 84% .32 0.97 50% 29% 32% -6 -1 0.90 35% 0.7 .26 24% .53 77% .41
Feb
14		 LA Monroe A+ C A+ A+ A 55% 25% 21% C A A+ A+ A+ A F+ B- D- F B- F F F 48% 13% 39% F F F D+ F C D A+ C
1.48 62% 77% 45% +15 +1 1.34 57% 1.5 .87 11% .19 73% .14 1.31 50% 67% 56% +13 +2 1.30 38% 1.1 .41 17% .36 63% .23
Feb
19		 S. Alabama A A- A A+ A+ 20% 34% 46% F A C F D- B A+ D+ A+ D+ F D F F 48% 13% 39% D- F A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ D C
1.24 70% 47% 43% +12 -3 1.20 31% 0.8 .26 15% .53 73% .39 1.13 69% 43% 43% +11 +2 1.28 7% 0.0 .00 14% .30 68% .21
Feb
21		 LA Laf F F+ F+ F F 30% 43% 28% F F A F C+ F B- B+ B F+ A- C F F 28% 41% 31% B F D F F A F D- F
0.90 50% 29% 18% -13 -3 0.70 41% 0.9 .35 25% .40 78% .31 1.12 45% 38% 67% +11 -3 1.18 31% 1.1 .35 22% .41 74% .30
Feb
27		 App St. F+ D+ A+ B+ A- 40% 43% 17% F B- F F F D+ C+ F C- B+ C D+ A+ A 36% 11% 53% D A- F A+ C A+ F A+ F+
0.99 53% 50% 38% +4 -3 1.04 21% 0.7 .14 15% .29 60% .17 0.94 59% 40% 20% -11 +1 0.83 48% 0.7 .31 21% .46 55% .25
Mar
6		 S. Miss C+ B- B- C- C+ 43% 45% 12% F C- A C+ A- C C- A+ B+ F F+ D- F F 45% 38% 17% B- F A A+ A+ D F C- F
1.12 62% 41% 33% +3 -3 1.02 38% 1.1 .41 17% .35 85% .30 1.17 68% 44% 43% +9 -2 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 16% .64 76% .48