Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +0.4 155
INCC Stats Results Rating -0.5 166
Consistency 0.16 232
Pace 78.4 11
Improvement +0.9 145

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 145 C- B D- B- B-
Defense C 186 C B- D+ C- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 198 C 59% 158 -0.1 186
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 282 D 34% 303 -2.6 304
Three Pointers 46% 67 D+ 32% 267 +1.4 136
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 98 C- -1.7 242
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 213
Second Chance B+ 37.4% 22 C 1.02 197 B 0.38 52
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.8% 350
Other Turnovers D+ 7.9% 270
Turnovers D- 19.7% 339
Freethrows B- 0.33 104 C+ 73% 172 B- 0.24 108
Total Offense C+ +0.8 145

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 180 C 10.6% 162
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 198 F 9.5% 355
Three Pointers B+ 92% 18 B+ 0.2% 27
Total B- 60% 74 C 5.6% 192


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 240 C- 60% 250 -0.1 176
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 157 C 38% 169 +0.1 202
Three Pointers 42% 137 C 34% 190 +0.6 223
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 130 C- +0.8 216
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 203
Second Chance B- 27.3% 75 C 1.03 176 B- 0.28 93
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.0% 143
Other Turnovers F 5.0% 363
Turnovers D+ 14.9% 290
Freethrows C- 0.33 260 C+ 71% 128 C- 0.23 240
Total Defense C -0.4 186

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 56% 326 D 7.9% 309
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 236 C- 3.7% 251
Three Pointers C+ 82% 136 C- 0.6% 233
Total D+ 60% 277 D 3.9% 309

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.1 13 17.4 193
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 128 0.18 209
Consistency 0.10 32 0.14 285
Improvement -0.3 203 +1.2 121



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 3 228 Ohio W 89 - 85 56% -2  24% 1 - 0 C+ +3 B+ +5 C- A+ F C- -3 F A+ D
Fri, Nov 7 104 Stephen F. Austin L 65 - 90 24% -16  0% 1 - 1 F+ -17 F+ -9 F D+ D+ F+ -7 D+ F A+
Tue, Nov 11 196 Missouri St. W 86 - 85 47% -7  15% 2 - 1 C+ +2 C -0 D B+ F+ C+ +2 C- B+ D+
Wed, Nov 19 35 Saint Mary's L 72 - 85 7% -7  4% 2 - 2 C+ +4 B- +7 C A- C+ C- -3 D+ D B
Fri, Nov 21 45 SMU L 69 - 100 8% -15  6% 2 - 3 D- -15 F+ -11 D- A+ F C -1 F A+ F
Mon, Nov 24 208 Jacksonville St. W 74 - 63 72% +7  86% 3 - 3 B- +5 D- -6 D+ D F A+ +11 A A B+
Fri, Nov 28 128 North Dakota St. W 85 - 80 OT 54% -1  43% 4 - 3 C+ +4 C- -0 D B- A B +4 C+ A+ C-
Tue, Dec 2 163 Texas Arlington W 83 - 63 63% +10  78% 5 - 3 A- +17 B+ +8 B+ C- D- A +8 A+ D- F+
Sat, Dec 6 312 Arkansas Little Rock W 90 - 78 75% +8  97% 6 - 3 B- +5 A- +9 B- B+ C+ C- -4 F A+ F
Sat, Dec 13 225 Rice L 76 - 77 54% +7  97% 6 - 4 C -2 C -0 B- D C C- -2 C- B+ F
Wed, Dec 17 235 Texas St. W 89 - 70 59% +8  91% 7 - 4 1 - 0 A- +17 A- +11 A A+ F B +5 B+ C+ F+
Sat, Dec 20 218 Southern Miss W 93 - 86 52% +3  60% 8 - 4 2 - 0 B- +7 A+ +17 D- A+ A F -10 F C- D-
Sat, Jan 3 216 James Madison L 74 - 78 74% +2  65% 8 - 5 2 - 1 D -10 F+ -7 D D B- C- -3 F A A-
Wed, Jan 7 156 Troy W 86 - 74 62% +10  86% 9 - 5 3 - 1 B +9 B- +3 B A- F A- +5 C A+ D
Sat, Jan 10 235 Texas St. W 83 - 82 78% +5  94% 10 - 5 4 - 1 D+ -7 D+ -3 F C F+ D -4 C- F B-
Thu, Jan 15 209 South Alabama L 87 - 91 OT 50% -0  44% 10 - 6 4 - 2 C- -4 C -1 C- B F C- -2 C B F
Sat, Jan 17 156 Troy L 74 - 99 39% -9  16% 10 - 7 4 - 3 F -22 B- +4 D- A- B+ F -27 F F F
Thu, Jan 22 230 Georgia Southern W 85 - 68 57% +9  88% 11 - 7 5 - 3 A- +16 C+ +1 A- F F A+ +14 A+ F C+
Sat, Jan 24 307 Georgia St. L 81 - 82 74% +3  64% 11 - 8 5 - 4 D+ -7 A- +8 B+ C F F -15 F A+ F
Wed, Jan 28 253 Old Dominion L 71 - 75 80% -5  1% 11 - 9 5 - 5 D- -12 F -11 D D F C -1 C+ C+ F+
Sat, Jan 31 205 Marshall L 61 - 70 71% -4  11% 11 - 10 5 - 6 D- -14 F -14 F D D D+ -1 B- C- B-
Wed, Feb 4 239 Coastal Carolina W 70 - 66 59% +0  46% 12 - 10 6 - 6 C+ +2 D -3 C D+ F A- +5 C+ D A+
Sat, Feb 7 166 Bowling Green W 91 - 54 64% +21  98% 13 - 10 A+ +34 A- +9 A+ A C+ A+ +22 A+ A+ A+
Wed, Feb 11 352 Louisiana Monroe W 103 - 70 95% +15  99% 14 - 10 7 - 6 B+ +15 A +11 B A C+ C+ +2 C+ C+ C-
Sat, Feb 14 209 South Alabama L 88 - 92 OT 72% +5  74% 14 - 11 7 - 7 D -10 B- +3 C A- F F -12 B- F F
Thu, Feb 19 304 Louisiana W 79 - 62 73% +1  53% 15 - 11 8 - 7 B +11 B- +4 B+ B F A- +7 A- A F
Sat, Feb 21 352 Louisiana Monroe W 102 - 94 88% +6  89% 16 - 11 9 - 7 C- -4 A- +8 C+ C C F -13 F F B
Tue, Feb 24 218 Southern Miss W 89 - 84 74% +3  74% 17 - 11 10 - 7 C -1 C+ +2 F A+ F D+ -4 F+ D D
Fri, Feb 27 304 Louisiana W 81 - 58 87% +14  98% 18 - 11 11 - 7 B +11 D+ -5 D+ D B A+ +14 A+ B+ F
Thu, Mar 5 230 Georgia Southern L 77 - 80 68% -3  23% 18 - 12 D+ -7 C- -2 D B- C- D -5 F A+ C-
Totals 18 - 12 11 - 7 +0 C+ +1 C C- B- C +0 D+ C+ B-


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C D D+ C- 38% 29% 46% B- C- B+ C B D- B- C+ B- C C- C C C- 37% 21% 42% C+ C B- C B- D+ C- C+ C-
1.10 59% 34% 32% -2 +1 1.00 37% 1.0 .38 20% .33 73% .24 1.09 60% 38% 34% +1 0 1.03 27% 1.0 .28 15% .33 71% .23
Nov
3		 Ohio B+ F A+ C D+ 42% 4% 54% A- C- A- A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ C- D+ F C F 41% 17% 42% D- F A A+ A+ D C- B- C
1.18 45% 100% 35% -2 +2 1.02 42% 1.6 .68 24% .49 89% .44 1.13 63% 70% 32% +6 +1 1.15 20% 0.6 .11 13% .34 68% .23
Nov
7		 SFA F+ F F+ F F 41% 13% 46% B F D C+ D+ D+ A+ B+ A+ F+ A- F A- D 27% 29% 44% B D+ F F F A+ F A+ C-
0.88 42% 33% 19% -17 +1 0.70 25% 1.1 .28 19% .55 79% .43 1.22 47% 69% 29% +3 -2 1.04 49% 1.4 .67 19% .32 53% .17
Nov
11		 MO St. C B+ A F D+ 19% 43% 38% F D B B B+ F+ A+ B+ A+ C+ F C- B D+ 31% 31% 38% B+ C- A+ F B+ D+ F F+ F
1.08 70% 48% 25% +1 -4 0.96 36% 1.2 .44 20% .46 79% .36 1.07 75% 38% 30% +3 -2 1.04 21% 1.3 .27 15% .55 73% .40
Nov
19		 St. Mary's B- D D+ D- D+ 47% 10% 43% A C A+ C- A- C+ C- A+ C+ C- C- A+ F D+ 51% 19% 30% D- D+ D+ D+ D B F B+ F
1.04 48% 33% 28% -9 +2 0.88 37% 0.9 .33 15% .22 85% .19 1.23 59% 13% 54% +5 +1 1.14 41% 1.2 .47 19% .59 76% .45
Nov
21		 SMU F+ A- A+ F D- 31% 20% 49% C+ D- A+ C+ A+ F A- D+ B+ C F F D+ F 41% 27% 32% C+ F A A+ A+ F B+ A+ A
0.86 67% 50% 17% -8 -1 0.86 54% 1.0 .54 40% .33 69% .23 1.25 81% 56% 38% +16 -1 1.33 31% 0.2 .05 10% .22 63% .14
Nov
24		 JVST D- D F C+ D 39% 8% 53% B D+ D- C- D F A+ B- A+ A+ B+ F A+ A 38% 16% 46% B A D+ A+ A B+ F B- F
1.01 53% 0% 35% -5 +2 0.96 22% 1.0 .22 22% .51 79% .40 0.86 47% 75% 17% -10 +1 0.84 31% 0.6 .18 20% .50 66% .33
Nov
28		 NDSU C- D- F C+ F+ 37% 10% 53% B+ D C A- B- A A- A+ A+ B A+ C F C+ 34% 23% 43% C C+ A- A+ A+ C- F A- F
1.08 55% 17% 35% -2 +1 1.00 29% 1.1 .31 14% .33 91% .30 1.02 42% 38% 42% 0 -1 1.00 24% 0.7 .18 15% .47 65% .30
Dec
2		 UT Arlington B+ A+ C+ F A- 40% 28% 32% C B+ A F C- D- A+ C+ A+ A B- A+ A+ A+ 45% 27% 29% B A+ C F D- F+ F A+ C-
1.14 76% 40% 24% +3 -1 1.06 39% 0.7 .28 19% .50 72% .36 0.87 50% 23% 7% -19 0 0.63 36% 1.1 .40 17% .43 62% .26
Dec
6		 Little Rock A- A+ F C- C+ 36% 7% 57% B- B- C+ A B+ C+ F A+ F C- F C F F 27% 38% 35% B+ F A+ F A+ F D A- C-
1.26 80% 25% 34% +7 +2 1.20 38% 1.2 .44 17% .15 100% .15 1.09 73% 33% 53% +12 -3 1.20 9% 1.3 .13 13% .27 59% .16
Dec
13		 Rice C A+ C+ F B- 37% 33% 31% C- B- C+ F D C C F D C- B- A+ F C 35% 25% 40% D- C- A- C+ B+ F F B D-
1.10 83% 38% 27% +6 -2 1.10 34% 0.8 .26 16% .33 63% .21 1.12 53% 14% 45% -1 -1 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 10% .37 65% .24
Dec
17		 Texas St. A- B+ F A+ A 46% 13% 41% B- A A+ A+ A+ F B B- B B A C+ A- A 53% 28% 19% D- B+ A F C+ F+ C- F D
1.23 67% 0% 53% +11 +2 1.26 44% 1.8 .80 26% .37 75% .28 0.97 47% 38% 27% -8 0 0.86 24% 1.1 .27 15% .29 83% .24
Dec
20		 S. Miss A+ D F C F+ 43% 16% 41% B- D- A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ F F C+ F F 28% 40% 32% A+ F B F C- D- F F F
1.30 52% 13% 35% -6 +1 0.92 43% 1.6 .70 13% .53 82% .43 1.20 71% 35% 44% +7 -3 1.10 28% 1.3 .34 15% .44 93% .41
Jan
3		 J. Madison F+ A F F D 35% 17% 48% C D A F D B- A F C C- D- C- F F 45% 23% 32% B- F B+ A A A- F A+ F
1.04 68% 11% 27% -6 0 0.91 39% 0.6 .24 11% .43 59% .25 1.10 67% 36% 47% +10 0 1.21 24% 0.9 .21 21% .46 62% .29
Jan
7		 Troy B- F A+ A B+ 23% 19% 58% D B B+ B+ A- F A+ B A+ A- F A+ D D+ 30% 26% 44% A+ C A+ A+ A+ D B- A+ A-
1.14 45% 56% 39% +5 -1 1.10 38% 1.2 .44 21% .49 76% .37 0.98 76% 13% 36% 0 -1 1.00 23% 0.7 .15 15% .28 61% .17
Jan
10		 Texas St. D+ B F F F 43% 13% 44% B- F A+ F C F+ A+ A- A+ D F A- A+ D+ 44% 35% 20% C+ C- A F F B- D+ F D-
1.07 65% 14% 25% -6 +1 0.93 44% 0.6 .28 22% .53 78% .41 1.06 75% 32% 18% 0 -1 1.00 25% 1.9 .47 21% .31 84% .26
Jan
15		 S. Alabama C B D+ D- D+ 25% 5% 69% B- C- B+ C- B F C B+ B- C- D+ F A+ B- 51% 9% 40% F C A+ F B F F D- F
1.06 67% 33% 29% -3 +1 0.98 37% 1.1 .40 23% .24 80% .19 1.11 61% 67% 19% -5 +2 0.97 15% 1.5 .22 6% .39 70% .27
Jan
17		 Troy B- F A- A- F 45% 12% 43% B+ D- C+ A+ A- B+ A+ F C+ F F F D+ F 43% 2% 55% F+ F F+ F F F D- F F
1.11 32% 50% 38% -8 +2 0.90 34% 1.3 .44 13% .38 55% .21 1.48 77% 100% 36% +11 +3 1.29 41% 1.5 .59 10% .35 90% .32
Jan
22		 GA Southern C+ D A+ A+ B+ 47% 8% 45% B+ A- D F F F B- A A- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 43% 6% 51% F+ A+ F+ F F C+ F A+ D
1.14 54% 75% 43% +7 +2 1.22 31% 0.7 .22 23% .40 83% .33 0.91 52% 0% 11% -22 +2 0.62 33% 1.3 .42 16% .42 65% .27
Jan
24		 GA St. A- C A+ C+ B 51% 6% 43% A B+ A- F+ C F B+ A+ A+ F A+ F F F 20% 26% 54% C+ F A+ A+ A+ F F F F
1.20 58% 100% 35% +5 +3 1.17 41% 0.8 .34 21% .36 89% .32 1.22 40% 62% 44% +11 -2 1.20 13% 0.5 .07 10% .37 91% .33
Jan
28		 Old Dom F A- F D+ D 32% 19% 49% C- D D+ D- D F D- F F C C D+ B- C 32% 31% 37% B- C+ A+ F C+ F+ A- D- B+
0.98 71% 10% 31% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.9 .26 21% .30 65% .19 1.04 58% 39% 32% -1 -2 0.97 14% 1.8 .25 12% .22 79% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Marshall F B+ F F F 32% 11% 57% B+ F B+ F D D A+ F A- D+ C B F C 27% 38% 35% A+ B- D- B+ C- B- D F F+
0.96 67% 20% 19% -12 +1 0.79 42% 0.7 .28 19% .49 64% .31 1.10 62% 33% 41% +3 -3 1.02 35% 1.0 .35 19% .29 80% .23
Feb
4		 Coastal Car. D F F A+ C 33% 27% 41% C+ C A F D+ F A C- A- A- B F A- B- 28% 16% 56% F C+ D D+ D A+ D- A C-
1.00 38% 31% 45% -2 -1 0.96 38% 0.7 .25 20% .37 71% .27 0.94 50% 50% 29% -5 0 0.92 30% 1.0 .30 23% .31 65% .20
Feb
7		 Bowl Green A- A+ F A+ A+ 37% 8% 56% B+ A+ A+ C+ A C+ C+ F D A+ C- A A+ A+ 40% 22% 38% A- A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F+ C D-
1.21 74% 25% 41% +11 +2 1.27 41% 1.1 .44 17% .34 57% .19 0.72 59% 25% 10% -16 0 0.69 23% 0.1 .03 23% .38 73% .27
Feb
11		 LA Monroe A B A+ B+ B- 47% 5% 48% A- B A+ D+ A C+ C F F+ C+ A+ B- D C 29% 23% 48% B C+ C+ C C+ C- F A+ D
1.39 67% 67% 39% +9 +3 1.26 51% 1.1 .56 15% .25 50% .13 0.95 40% 33% 36% -5 -1 0.90 23% 1.0 .23 16% .42 62% .26
Feb
14		 S. Alabama B- F D+ B C+ 14% 12% 75% D C A+ D- A- F A+ F A+ F A A+ F C 21% 29% 50% A+ B- D- F F F D- F F
1.15 43% 33% 37% +1 -1 1.02 47% 1.0 .44 24% .51 67% .34 1.21 46% 17% 42% -3 -2 0.92 28% 1.5 .41 7% .36 77% .28
Feb
19		 LA Laf B- A A+ F A- 50% 17% 33% C+ B+ A+ D- B F A+ C- A+ A- A+ F+ A- A- 27% 37% 36% B- A- C- A+ A F A- D B+
1.15 71% 86% 21% +8 +1 1.21 45% 0.9 .41 26% .55 71% .39 0.90 31% 45% 29% -7 -3 0.81 27% 0.4 .12 4% .17 73% .12
Feb
21		 LA Monroe A- F+ A- A+ C+ 32% 8% 60% C+ C+ C C C C A+ A+ A+ F F A+ F+ F 40% 19% 40% D+ F F F F B F C F
1.31 53% 50% 44% +8 +1 1.21 35% 1.2 .41 15% .47 84% .40 1.21 76% 20% 38% +6 0 1.15 39% 1.2 .48 19% .46 72% .33
Feb
24		 S. Miss C+ B- F F F 43% 22% 35% C F A+ A+ A+ F A+ A A+ D+ C+ F+ D- D- 55% 20% 25% F F+ D- C- D D B A+ A+
1.13 62% 9% 18% -13 0 0.76 45% 1.4 .64 23% .76 78% .59 1.06 57% 45% 36% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.1 .39 16% .32 52% .17
Feb
27		 LA Laf D+ B+ F D+ D 38% 7% 55% B- D+ F A+ D B C F F A+ A+ B+ A- A+ 35% 28% 37% F+ A+ A C- B+ F F A+ D+
1.07 67% 0% 32% -1 +2 1.04 21% 1.3 .28 16% .38 50% .19 0.77 35% 31% 29% -13 -1 0.74 18% 0.9 .16 12% .35 52% .18
Mar
5		 GA Southern C- B F D- D 34% 14% 52% C- D A D- B- C- C+ F F D F C F F 22% 10% 68% B F A A+ A+ C- C- F F
1.12 65% 29% 31% -2 +1 1.00 47% 0.9 .42 19% .38 52% .20 1.16 73% 40% 41% +11 0 1.24 20% 0.3 .07 15% .34 90% .31