Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#338
Expected Predictive Rating-12.2#338
Pace71.1#124
Improvement-0.6#220

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#347
First Shot-1.0#203
After Offensive Rebound-5.9#364
Layup/Dunks-6.8#352
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#17
Freethrows+2.1#71
Improvement-0.2#202

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#298
First Shot-3.8#300
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#182
Layups/Dunks-2.3#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#152
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#101
Freethrows-4.3#352
Improvement-0.5#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 0.7% 3.4% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 8.4% 15.6% 8.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 38.5% 26.5% 39.3%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Away) - 5.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 45 - 96 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 235   @ Georgia Southern L 65-80 18%     0 - 1 -16.0 -11.0 -4.1
  Nov 12, 2024 287   Monmouth W 79-66 45%     1 - 1 +3.5 -0.4 +3.7
  Nov 16, 2024 71   @ Bradley L 60-76 3%     1 - 2 -5.0 -6.7 +0.9
  Nov 20, 2024 173   Elon L 48-75 26%     1 - 3 -30.8 -25.3 -6.6
  Nov 23, 2024 97   @ DePaul L 52-98 5%     1 - 4 -37.4 -20.4 -14.8
  Nov 27, 2024 247   @ Valparaiso L 82-87 19%     1 - 5 -6.5 +1.9 -8.1
  Nov 29, 2024 316   @ Eastern Illinois L 59-72 32%     1 - 6 -18.7 -14.9 -3.8
  Dec 07, 2024 113   @ Northern Iowa L 62-79 6%    
  Dec 18, 2024 170   @ Illinois St. L 64-77 11%    
  Jan 04, 2025 299   @ Eastern Michigan L 66-72 28%    
  Jan 07, 2025 110   Kent St. L 60-71 15%    
  Jan 11, 2025 157   @ Ohio L 68-82 10%    
  Jan 14, 2025 198   Miami (OH) L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 18, 2025 196   Central Michigan L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 21, 2025 271   @ Western Michigan L 68-76 24%    
  Jan 25, 2025 270   Ball St. L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 28, 2025 131   Akron L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 01, 2025 203   @ Toledo L 71-83 15%    
  Feb 04, 2025 267   @ Bowling Green L 68-76 24%    
  Feb 11, 2025 331   Buffalo W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 270   @ Ball St. L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 18, 2025 131   @ Akron L 68-83 9%    
  Feb 22, 2025 299   Eastern Michigan L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 25, 2025 198   @ Miami (OH) L 64-76 15%    
  Mar 01, 2025 271   Western Michigan L 71-73 45%    
  Mar 04, 2025 267   Bowling Green L 71-73 44%    
  Mar 07, 2025 196   @ Central Michigan L 64-76 15%    
Projected Record 6 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.0 1.0 0.1 6.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.3 2.0 0.2 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.6 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.5 6.9 4.6 0.8 0.0 16.5 10th
11th 0.2 1.7 5.6 8.0 5.0 1.2 0.1 21.7 11th
12th 1.5 4.9 8.0 7.6 4.0 0.8 0.1 26.8 12th
Total 1.5 5.0 9.7 13.7 15.8 15.3 13.3 10.2 7.0 4.2 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 64.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 55.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 20.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 11.1% 11.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 7.4% 7.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 1.2% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
10-8 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 2.2
9-9 4.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 4.1
8-10 7.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.0
7-11 10.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.1
6-12 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.3
5-13 15.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.3
4-14 15.8% 15.8
3-15 13.7% 13.7
2-16 9.7% 9.7
1-17 5.0% 5.0
0-18 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%