Preseason Rankings
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#316
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.3#90
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#292
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#317
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 14.8 15.5
.500 or above 9.3% 11.9% 2.7%
.500 or above in Conference 20.3% 23.8% 11.6%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 21.8% 18.6% 29.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Home) - 71.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 62 - 13
Quad 47 - 79 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 348   Louisiana Monroe W 75-69 72%    
  Nov 07, 2025 26   @ Wisconsin L 60-87 1%    
  Nov 10, 2025 80   @ Grand Canyon L 67-86 4%    
  Nov 18, 2025 110   @ Northern Iowa L 62-78 8%    
  Nov 21, 2025 103   @ Loyola Chicago L 63-79 7%    
  Nov 25, 2025 276   @ Austin Peay L 69-74 31%    
  Nov 29, 2025 320   Bellarmine W 76-72 62%    
  Dec 02, 2025 327   Lindenwood W 75-71 64%    
  Dec 06, 2025 107   @ Bradley L 63-79 8%    
  Dec 13, 2025 228   @ Elon L 67-75 24%    
  Dec 20, 2025 299   Central Michigan W 73-71 56%    
  Dec 30, 2025 334   Buffalo W 79-74 65%    
  Jan 03, 2026 126   @ Kent St. L 64-78 12%    
  Jan 06, 2026 180   Toledo L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 13, 2026 291   @ Eastern Michigan L 72-77 35%    
  Jan 17, 2026 173   Massachusetts L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 20, 2026 145   @ Ohio L 71-84 15%    
  Jan 24, 2026 244   @ Ball St. L 69-76 28%    
  Jan 27, 2026 286   Western Michigan W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 31, 2026 128   @ Miami (OH) L 68-82 12%    
  Feb 11, 2026 220   Bowling Green L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 14, 2026 299   @ Central Michigan L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 17, 2026 334   @ Buffalo L 76-77 45%    
  Feb 21, 2026 145   Ohio L 74-81 30%    
  Feb 24, 2026 180   @ Toledo L 72-82 20%    
  Feb 28, 2026 244   Ball St. L 72-73 46%    
  Mar 03, 2026 126   Kent St. L 67-75 26%    
  Mar 06, 2026 104   @ Akron L 71-87 9%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.2 1.1 0.2 4.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 1.1 3.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 4.0 3.5 0.8 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.2 4.4 1.2 0.1 10.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.5 5.2 1.7 0.1 12.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.6 5.6 2.0 0.2 13.6 11th
12th 0.2 2.1 5.0 4.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 14.2 12th
13th 1.1 3.6 4.7 3.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 14.0 13th
Total 1.1 3.8 6.9 9.7 11.7 13.1 12.8 11.4 9.4 7.4 5.4 3.4 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 61.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 22.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 19.4% 19.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 17.1% 17.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 10.0% 10.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.2% 7.4% 7.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
12-6 2.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
11-7 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.3
10-8 5.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.3
9-9 7.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.3
8-10 9.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.9 0.1 9.3
7-11 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.4
6-12 12.8% 12.8
5-13 13.1% 13.1
4-14 11.7% 11.7
3-15 9.7% 9.7
2-16 6.9% 6.9
1-17 3.8% 3.8
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%