Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.8#322
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#263
Pace71.3#130
Improvement-2.4#314

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#278
First Shot-4.3#301
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#166
Layup/Dunks-2.2#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#286
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#194
Freethrows+0.1#174
Improvement-2.8#352

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#340
First Shot-3.5#297
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#325
Layups/Dunks-4.5#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#193
Freethrows+0.3#162
Improvement+0.5#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 0.5% 1.2% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 7.5% 14.6% 4.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.1% 13.6% 32.4%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Home) - 33.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 31 - 81 - 14
Quad 46 - 67 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 354 Louisiana Monroe W 102-82 74%     1 - 0 +3.5 +13.7 -11.5
  Fri, Nov 7 47 @Wisconsin L 72-97 2%     1 - 1 -10.9 +2.1 -11.8
  Mon, Nov 10 86 @Grand Canyon L 59-88 5%     1 - 2 -19.4 -8.8 -9.8
  Tue, Nov 18 94 @Northern Iowa L 57-70 5%     1 - 3 -4.0 +0.8 -6.5
  Fri, Nov 21 266 @Loyola Chicago W 76-59 25%     2 - 3 +14.2 +10.0 +6.6
  Tue, Nov 25 194 @Austin Peay L 59-77 16%     2 - 4 -17.3 -5.8 -12.9
  Tue, Dec 2 228 Lindenwood L 64-99 39%     2 - 5 -42.0 -14.4 -25.6
  Sat, Dec 6 107 @Bradley L 55-84 7%     2 - 6 -22.0 -15.2 -5.8
  Sat, Dec 13 166 @Elon L 79-85 13%     2 - 7 -3.6 +2.6 -6.1
  Sat, Dec 20 323 Central Michigan W 74-73 62%     3 - 7 1 - 0 -11.8 -1.7 -10.0
  Tue, Dec 30 196 Buffalo L 75-79 34%    
  Sat, Jan 3 123 @Kent St. L 75-90 8%    
  Tue, Jan 6 168 Toledo L 77-83 28%    
  Tue, Jan 13 217 @Eastern Michigan L 68-77 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 164 Massachusetts L 74-80 28%    
  Tue, Jan 20 190 @Ohio L 73-84 16%    
  Sat, Jan 24 305 @Ball St. L 69-74 33%    
  Tue, Jan 27 279 Western Michigan L 77-78 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 105 @Miami (OH) L 72-89 6%    
  Wed, Feb 11 116 Bowling Green L 69-79 18%    
  Sat, Feb 14 323 @Central Michigan L 73-76 40%    
  Tue, Feb 17 196 @Buffalo L 72-82 18%    
  Sat, Feb 21 190 Ohio L 76-81 33%    
  Tue, Feb 24 168 @Toledo L 74-86 14%    
  Sat, Feb 28 305 Ball St. W 72-71 54%    
  Tue, Mar 3 123 Kent St. L 78-87 21%    
  Fri, Mar 6 58 @Akron L 74-96 3%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 2.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.5 0.8 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 6.0 6.9 1.6 0.1 15.7 10th
11th 0.0 1.3 6.3 8.2 2.6 0.2 18.6 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 6.9 7.9 2.9 0.2 0.0 19.8 12th
13th 2.0 5.4 5.6 1.8 0.2 15.0 13th
Total 2.1 7.2 13.9 17.1 18.3 15.8 11.0 7.2 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 2.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 6.5% 6.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.4% 0.4
11-7 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.0 0.0 0.9
10-8 2.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.1
9-9 4.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.0
8-10 7.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.1
7-11 11.0% 11.0
6-12 15.8% 15.8
5-13 18.3% 18.3
4-14 17.1% 17.1
3-15 13.9% 13.9
2-16 7.2% 7.2
1-17 2.1% 2.1
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.1%