Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -12.7 343
Results Rating -8.9 305
Consistency 0.22 364
Pace 69.1 159
Improvement -4.6 330

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 353 D D- F C B
Defense D+ 285 D C- C C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 143 D 52% 319 -1.8 248
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 282 D+ 35% 289 -3.1 318
Three Pointers 46% 64 D 31% 309 +0.6 158
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 63 D- -5.0 335
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 309
Second Chance C- 28.8% 227 F 0.80 363 D- 0.23 342
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.7% 346
Other Turnovers F 9.9% 362
Turnovers F 21.6% 361
Freethrows B- 0.34 76 F+ 66% 356 C 0.22 184
Total Offense F+ -9.1 353

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 37% 332 F 17.3% 362
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 100 D- 8.0% 332
Three Pointers B- 87% 111 D+ 1.2% 271
Total C 54% 200 F 8.5% 364


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 48 D 63% 316 +5.2 341
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 306 C 38% 177 -1.5 69
Three Pointers 40% 216 D+ 36% 266 +0.5 213
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 331 D +3.1 301
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 319
Second Chance C- 31.3% 228 D+ 1.08 272 C- 0.34 261
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.0% 290
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 47
Turnovers C 16.5% 193
Freethrows C- 0.32 252 C 72% 193 C- 0.23 246
Total Defense D+ -3.7 285

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 221 F+ 4.5% 357
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 272 D 2.0% 324
Three Pointers C- 86% 253 C- 0.7% 207
Total C- 58% 244 F+ 2.6% 355

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.1 256 16.5 45
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 240 0.23 339
Consistency 0.15 350 0.11 112
Improvement -5.7 356 +1.1 137

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 344 343 343
Results Rating Rank 305 304 302
Conference Record 4 - 14 4 - 14 4 - 14
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 71 - 14
Quad 46 - 77 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 354 Louisiana Monroe W 102 - 82 68% +10  80% 1 - 0 C+ +2 A- +10 D+ A+ F F+ -8 F D- C+
 Fri, Nov 7 22 @Wisconsin L 72 - 97 1% -19  0% 1 - 1 D+ -6 C- -1 A+ F F D+ -4 B- F C+
 Mon, Nov 10 58 @Grand Canyon L 59 - 88 2% -17  3% 1 - 2 F+ -16 D- -8 D B+ F D- -8 D- F A-
 Tue, Nov 18 81 @Northern Iowa L 57 - 70 3% -3  26% 1 - 3 C- -3 D+ -3 B D- F C- -2 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 265 @Loyola Chicago W 76 - 59 17% +9  85% 2 - 3 B+ +14 A- +11 A- B F+ B+ +6 C- B+ B
 Tue, Nov 25 183 @Austin Peay L 59 - 77 10% -7  12% 2 - 4 F+ -16 F -10 F D+ C+ D- -8 F D- C-
 Tue, Dec 2 270 Lindenwood L 64 - 99 36% -22  4% 2 - 5 F -44 F -17 D+ F F F -25 C- F F
 Sat, Dec 6 111 @Bradley L 55 - 84 5% -14  8% 2 - 6 F -23 F -20 F B- F C- -2 F+ C+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 242 @Elon L 79 - 85 15% +4  90% 2 - 7 D+ -8 C -0 D C- D D- -8 D A- F+
 Sat, Dec 20 269 Central Michigan W 74 - 73 36% -10  3% 3 - 7 1 - 0 D+ -8 D+ -2 F+ A F D -6 C F B-
 Wed, Dec 31 218 Buffalo L 67 - 81 27% -7  16% 3 - 8 1 - 1 F -20 F -13 F+ F D- D- -8 D- F A
 Sat, Jan 3 157 @Kent St. L 73 - 77 8% -9  0% 3 - 9 1 - 2 C -1 D -5 B+ C- F B +5 B B C+
 Tue, Jan 6 143 Toledo L 61 - 75 16% -11  4% 3 - 10 1 - 3 F+ -16 F -19 D D- F B- +3 D+ A+ B+
 Tue, Jan 13 248 @Eastern Michigan L 59 - 77 16% -3  44% 3 - 11 1 - 4 F -20 F -16 D- F F+ C- -3 D+ A F+
 Sat, Jan 17 199 Massachusetts W 70 - 68 23% +3  75% 4 - 11 2 - 4 C- -3 F -11 F D D- A- +8 A A- A+
 Tue, Jan 20 222 @Ohio L 77 - 80 13% -5  15% 4 - 12 2 - 5 C- -3 D+ -3 B F F C -1 D D- A-
 Sat, Jan 24 280 @Ball St. L 53 - 58 20% -6  0% 4 - 13 2 - 6 D -9 F -12 F B- C B- +2 C- C- D-
 Tue, Jan 27 276 Western Michigan W 85 - 65 38% +12  99% 5 - 13 3 - 6 B +10 A+ +16 A+ A- D+ C- -2 C B B-
 Sat, Jan 31 92 @Miami (OH) L 61 - 85 3% -3  44% 5 - 14 3 - 7 F+ -15 F -15 C- F F C+ +1 C A D-
 Sat, Feb 7 305 @Georgia St. W 75 - 74 25% -1  38% 6 - 14 C- -5 D+ -3 B- F D C- -2 D- A- F+
 Wed, Feb 11 166 Bowling Green L 52 - 68 19% -15  1% 6 - 15 3 - 8 F -19 F -23 F F+ C- B +4 D B A
 Sat, Feb 14 269 @Central Michigan L 46 - 88 18% -25  0% 6 - 16 3 - 9 F -45 F -31 F F F F -16 F F F+
 Tue, Feb 17 218 @Buffalo W 72 - 70 13% +0  51% 7 - 16 4 - 9 C+ +2 C- -2 B+ F+ F B +4 B+ C- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 222 Ohio L 66 - 74 27% -7  4% 7 - 17 4 - 10 D- -14 D- -8 A- F F D- -7 D B F
 Tue, Feb 24 143 @Toledo L 69 - 79 7% -7  2% 7 - 18 4 - 11 D+ -6 D -4 D- D+ B- C- -2 C+ C+ D-
 Sat, Feb 28 280 Ball St. L 43 - 79 40% -19  1% 7 - 19 4 - 12 F -46 F -29 F F C- F -21 F F F
 Tue, Mar 3 157 Kent St. L 76 - 102 17% -17  17% 7 - 20 4 - 13 F -29 D- -8 D F+ F F -19 D F F
 Fri, Mar 6 69 @Akron L 55 - 94 2% -21  0% 7 - 21 4 - 14 F -27 F -16 F+ F C+ F -11 F A+ C+
Totals 7 - 21 4 - 14 -13 F+ -9 D D- B D+ -4 D F+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ D D+ D D- 40% 29% 46% B D C- F D- F B- F+ C D+ D C D+ D 44% 17% 40% D D C- D+ C- C C- C C-
0.96 52% 35% 31% -5 +1 0.94 29% 0.8 .23 22% .34 66% .22 1.14 63% 38% 36% +3 +1 1.10 31% 1.1 .34 16% .32 72% .24
Nov
3		 Louisiana Monroe A- F+ A+ C+ D- 51% 4% 45% A D+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ B- A+ F+ C F F F 40% 20% 40% C- F B+ F D- C+ D C D
1.36 52% 100% 36% +1 +3 1.10 61% 1.6 1.00 24% .46 73% .33 1.09 55% 50% 40% +5 0 1.12 19% 1.7 .32 17% .36 73% .26
Nov
7		 Wisconsin C- C A+ B+ A+ 42% 14% 44% A A+ F+ F F F A+ D A+ D+ F F A+ B- 29% 14% 57% B B- F F F C+ F B- F
0.98 56% 83% 37% +7 +1 1.19 16% 0.5 .08 23% .55 68% .37 1.32 80% 57% 28% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.4 .58 12% .57 76% .43
Nov
10		 Grand Canyon D- F F A+ D- 36% 25% 39% C+ D C- A+ B+ F A A+ A+ D- C- A+ F D- 43% 16% 41% D+ D- F F F A- C- F F
0.82 31% 18% 41% -11 -1 0.80 23% 1.6 .35 29% .41 81% .33 1.22 62% 13% 45% +4 +1 1.12 54% 1.4 .73 21% .33 95% .32
Nov
18		 Northern Iowa D+ F A+ A+ C+ 54% 5% 41% A+ B C F D- F A D B+ C- F F+ C- F 48% 10% 43% F+ F F A+ C+ A+ F B F
0.92 41% 50% 41% -4 +3 1.00 27% 0.6 .17 24% .34 69% .23 1.13 74% 50% 35% +9 +2 1.25 31% 0.8 .23 24% .51 67% .34
Nov
21		 Loyola Chicago A- C+ D- A+ A- 32% 12% 56% B- A- A+ F B F+ F B F B+ B- A+ F+ C 45% 6% 49% D- C- A- B- B+ B A+ A+ A+
1.24 56% 33% 43% +6 +1 1.16 46% 0.8 .38 16% .19 80% .16 0.96 52% 0% 39% -1 +2 1.04 24% 0.9 .21 21% .14 57% .08
Nov
25		 Austin Peay F A+ C- F F 38% 21% 40% D+ F C- D- D+ C+ C+ F F D- F B- F F 36% 14% 50% C- F D- D+ D- C- F A+ C-
0.91 75% 36% 10% -9 0 0.85 29% 0.7 .20 17% .32 41% .13 1.19 75% 33% 41% +11 +1 1.25 33% 1.2 .41 15% .40 59% .24
Dec
2		 Lindenwood F F A+ A+ D- 57% 9% 35% A D+ B- F F F A+ F B F A- B D+ C+ 59% 13% 28% F C- F F F F F D- F
0.86 38% 50% 44% -5 +3 0.98 35% 0.3 .09 24% .53 50% .27 1.33 47% 29% 33% -8 +2 0.91 50% 1.7 .83 13% .44 71% .31
Dec
6		 Bradley F F F F F 36% 17% 47% A- F A F+ B- F A+ F D C- F+ C D F+ 41% 15% 44% F+ F+ A F C+ C B- D- C+
0.76 47% 13% 18% -19 0 0.64 40% 0.8 .33 25% .44 46% .20 1.16 68% 38% 38% +6 +1 1.17 20% 1.3 .27 14% .30 79% .24
Dec
13		 Elon C F+ F B+ D- 35% 8% 57% B+ D C D C- D A+ B- A+ D- F F A+ D 57% 10% 33% D- D D+ A+ A- F+ F C- F
1.12 47% 0% 39% -2 +1 1.00 34% 1.0 .34 18% .47 74% .35 1.20 71% 60% 19% +2 +3 1.12 34% 0.6 .22 13% .53 73% .39
Dec
20		 Central Michigan D+ D+ A+ F F 51% 5% 44% A F+ B+ A- A F A+ B A+ D C+ F A+ B 53% 8% 39% F C F F F B- B- A+ A-
1.12 57% 50% 22% -8 +3 0.93 41% 1.3 .55 24% .68 74% .50 1.10 56% 75% 25% -4 +3 1.00 41% 1.3 .53 20% .24 54% .13
Dec
31		 Buffalo F B+ A F F 38% 4% 58% B+ F+ D+ F F D- C+ A+ B+ D- C- A F D- 43% 15% 43% D+ D- F F F A F B+ F+
0.98 68% 50% 24% -4 +2 0.98 30% 0.6 .18 21% .29 88% .26 1.19 60% 29% 45% +6 +1 1.17 34% 1.3 .44 21% .42 70% .29
Jan
3		 Kent St. D C F+ A+ A- 29% 17% 55% D+ B+ A F C- F A+ F A+ B F+ F A+ B 38% 18% 44% C B C- A B C+ F D F
1.00 58% 29% 43% +6 0 1.14 40% 0.7 .29 30% .59 60% .35 1.05 65% 50% 20% -5 0 0.93 35% 0.8 .30 19% .68 78% .52
Jan
6		 Toledo F D- F C- F+ 38% 2% 60% B+ D C F D- F C- F D B- B- F F C- 58% 19% 23% F D+ B+ A+ A+ B+ D- A+ C
0.86 53% 0% 33% -3 +2 1.00 34% 0.8 .26 30% .22 64% .14 1.05 53% 60% 42% +4 +2 1.13 24% 0.5 .12 18% .33 63% .21
Jan
13		 Eastern Michigan F A- F F F+ 35% 16% 49% C+ D- D- F F F+ C+ F D- C- F C- A+ D- 36% 36% 28% B+ D+ A+ C A F+ C+ F+ C
0.81 67% 13% 24% -8 0 0.86 23% 0.5 .11 19% .32 58% .19 1.06 76% 38% 25% +3 -2 1.03 15% 1.0 .15 14% .24 80% .19
Jan
17		 Massachusetts F D- F F F 43% 2% 55% A F A F D D- A+ D+ A A- A A B+ A+ 49% 15% 36% F A B A A- A+ F D F
0.96 52% 0% 26% -10 +3 0.88 38% 0.6 .23 19% .51 70% .36 0.93 48% 29% 29% -9 +2 0.87 28% 1.0 .28 25% .55 70% .38
Jan
20		 Ohio D+ F A+ A+ B- 45% 14% 41% B B C- F F F A+ C A+ C D- A F+ D 42% 25% 33% C D B F D- A- F C- F
1.06 40% 50% 50% +3 +1 1.11 32% 0.6 .19 23% .48 74% .36 1.10 65% 33% 38% +3 0 1.08 24% 1.4 .34 19% .42 72% .31
Jan
24		 Ball St. F C- A+ F F 27% 18% 56% C- F D+ A+ B- C A- C- B+ B- D- A+ A+ C 49% 12% 40% F C- A F C- D- F+ A+ D+
0.89 58% 50% 8% -19 0 0.62 29% 1.3 .38 18% .35 76% .27 0.97 62% 20% 24% -6 +2 0.93 17% 1.4 .24 13% .35 61% .21
Jan
27		 Western Michigan A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 8% 56% B- A+ A+ F A- D+ F F F C- B- A C- C+ 34% 17% 49% D C F A+ B B- F F F
1.40 50% 75% 50% +13 +1 1.32 50% 0.9 .44 15% .19 60% .12 1.07 50% 29% 35% -4 0 0.95 42% 0.6 .25 18% .54 81% .44
Jan
31		 Miami (OH) F A- C- F D+ 39% 16% 45% B C- F F F F B- F D- C+ D- F A+ C+ 42% 12% 46% D- C D- A+ A D- C+ D- C
0.83 70% 38% 26% -1 +1 1.02 17% 0.5 .09 23% .30 53% .16 1.16 71% 71% 27% +5 +1 1.14 29% 0.5 .14 12% .31 80% .25
Feb
7		 Georgia St. D+ F A A+ C+ 45% 12% 43% B B- F F+ F D A- C+ A- C- F A+ A+ D- 38% 27% 35% D D- C A+ A- F+ F B+ F
1.05 41% 50% 48% +2 +2 1.10 18% 0.8 .15 18% .38 73% .27 1.03 78% 23% 24% -2 -1 0.96 27% 0.7 .19 13% .53 73% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
11		 Bowling Green F F B F F 37% 14% 49% C+ F F C- F+ C- D- C+ D- B D+ D- C+ D 56% 14% 30% D- D A+ F+ B A A+ F A
0.75 47% 43% 16% -17 +1 0.71 17% 1.0 .17 19% .26 73% .19 0.98 61% 43% 33% +2 +2 1.10 17% 1.0 .17 22% .20 82% .16
Feb
14		 Central Michigan F F F F F 40% 20% 40% D+ F D+ F F F A+ F C F D F F F 54% 28% 19% D- F C- F F F+ A+ C- A
0.67 44% 22% 22% -16 0 0.71 33% 0.1 .04 25% .53 44% .23 1.29 62% 60% 60% +15 0 1.33 29% 1.6 .46 15% .17 70% .12
Feb
17		 Buffalo C- D+ F A+ A- 31% 9% 60% C+ B+ D F F+ F C+ D+ C+ B D A+ B A- 45% 16% 39% D+ B+ A+ F C- C- B- B B
1.10 57% 25% 48% +11 +1 1.27 29% 0.8 .21 23% .30 73% .22 1.07 64% 13% 32% -3 +1 0.98 16% 2.0 .31 15% .31 71% .22
Feb
21		 Ohio D- B- F A+ B+ 50% 13% 37% B+ A- F F F F F F F D- C- B- F+ D 46% 21% 33% D- D B- B+ B F F B F+
1.02 61% 17% 47% +6 +2 1.17 23% 0.9 .20 22% .24 50% .12 1.15 59% 40% 38% +3 +1 1.08 26% 0.9 .23 11% .42 67% .28
Feb
24		 Toledo D A D F F+ 47% 12% 41% B D- D- B+ D+ B- B+ F C+ C- D+ A C- B- 47% 27% 25% C- C+ D+ B+ C+ D- B- F C
1.03 71% 33% 19% -4 +2 0.98 27% 1.1 .30 16% .29 63% .18 1.18 62% 33% 36% +1 0 1.04 31% 0.9 .29 12% .24 86% .20
Feb
28		 Ball St. F F F+ F F 35% 25% 40% D+ F F F F C- A+ D A+ F D- B+ F F 44% 13% 43% D- F C F F F A+ F A-
0.68 21% 30% 25% -20 -1 0.60 11% 0.8 .09 19% .45 74% .33 1.26 63% 29% 43% +7 +1 1.19 26% 1.3 .32 11% .18 80% .14
Mar
3		 Kent St. D- C+ F F F+ 43% 9% 49% B+ D D+ F F+ F A+ C A+ F A+ F F D 37% 12% 52% D D C- F F F F F F
1.00 60% 25% 26% -6 +2 0.94 28% 0.7 .20 21% .60 72% .43 1.34 42% 67% 41% +3 +1 1.10 35% 1.6 .56 12% .52 83% .43
Mar
6		 Akron F C+ A+ F F 38% 15% 47% C+ F+ F F F C+ D- F F F D+ F F F 33% 17% 50% B- F B+ A+ A+ C+ B A+ A-
0.79 60% 50% 20% -7 +1 0.89 13% 0.4 .05 17% .21 50% .10 1.36 65% 56% 65% +29 0 1.60 28% 0.9 .24 17% .21 67% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%