Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#281
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#205
Pace69.6#183
Improvement+0.3#142

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#240
First Shot-3.5#277
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#113
Layup/Dunks-1.4#232
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#188
Freethrows-0.9#233
Improvement-0.6#240

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#322
First Shot-3.2#289
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#263
Layups/Dunks-1.5#239
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#256
Freethrows+0.1#180
Improvement+0.9#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.4
.500 or above 10.8% 14.1% 4.3%
.500 or above in Conference 23.9% 27.2% 17.7%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 17.8% 15.3% 22.8%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lindenwood (Home) - 65.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 47 - 510 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 361 Louisiana Monroe W 102-82 84%     1 - 0 +2.8 +14.0 -12.5
  Fri, Nov 7 34 @Wisconsin L 72-97 3%     1 - 1 -9.3 +2.6 -10.7
  Mon, Nov 10 98 @Grand Canyon L 59-88 9%     1 - 2 -20.8 -9.3 -10.6
  Tue, Nov 18 94 @Northern Iowa L 57-70 8%     1 - 3 -4.3 -1.6 -4.4
  Fri, Nov 21 259 @Loyola Chicago W 76-59 35%     2 - 3 +14.4 +11.7 +5.1
  Tue, Nov 25 168 @Austin Peay L 59-77 20%     2 - 4 -15.9 -5.3 -12.0
  Tue, Dec 2 309 Lindenwood W 77-73 66%    
  Sat, Dec 6 114 @Bradley L 67-80 11%    
  Sat, Dec 13 204 @Elon L 75-82 27%    
  Sat, Dec 20 304 Central Michigan W 75-71 65%    
  Tue, Dec 30 207 Buffalo L 75-76 48%    
  Sat, Jan 3 121 @Kent St. L 75-87 13%    
  Tue, Jan 6 172 Toledo L 77-79 41%    
  Tue, Jan 13 202 @Eastern Michigan L 68-75 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 181 Massachusetts L 76-78 42%    
  Tue, Jan 20 208 @Ohio L 75-81 28%    
  Sat, Jan 24 318 @Ball St. L 70-71 47%    
  Tue, Jan 27 274 Western Michigan W 76-73 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 123 @Miami (OH) L 72-84 14%    
  Wed, Feb 11 141 Bowling Green L 71-76 34%    
  Sat, Feb 14 304 @Central Michigan L 72-74 43%    
  Tue, Feb 17 207 @Buffalo L 73-79 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 208 Ohio L 77-78 49%    
  Tue, Feb 24 172 @Toledo L 74-82 23%    
  Sat, Feb 28 318 Ball St. W 73-68 67%    
  Tue, Mar 3 121 Kent St. L 78-84 29%    
  Fri, Mar 6 55 @Akron L 73-92 4%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.8 0.5 0.1 4.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.8 3.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 4.7 2.8 0.2 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.6 4.0 0.6 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.5 3.9 5.3 1.2 0.1 10.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.3 2.3 0.1 12.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.0 6.0 3.1 0.3 12.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.2 3.0 0.4 12.3 12th
13th 0.3 1.3 3.1 3.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 10.8 13th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.7 7.2 10.6 13.0 14.4 13.7 11.9 9.5 6.3 4.1 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 63.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 30.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 16.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 15.0% 15.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 6.7% 6.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.1% 3.5% 3.5% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
12-6 2.2% 2.8% 2.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2
11-7 4.1% 1.9% 1.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
10-8 6.3% 1.3% 1.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.2
9-9 9.5% 1.2% 1.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 9.4
8-10 11.9% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.8
7-11 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.7
6-12 14.4% 14.4
5-13 13.0% 13.0
4-14 10.6% 10.6
3-15 7.2% 7.2
2-16 3.7% 3.7
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%